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Article

Analysis of Injection and Production Data for Open and Large Reservoirs

1
Department of Chemical and Petroleum Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
2
Harold Vance Department of Petroleum Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3116, USA
3
Department of Geoscience, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Energies 2011, 4(11), 1950-1972; https://doi.org/10.3390/en4111950
Submission received: 27 July 2011 / Revised: 2 November 2011 / Accepted: 2 November 2011 / Published: 14 November 2011
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Petroleum Engineering)

Abstract

:
Numerous studies have concluded that connectivity is one of the most important factors controlling the success of improved oil recovery processes. Interwell connectivity evaluation can help identify flow barriers and conduits and provide tools for reservoir management and production optimization. The multiwell productivity index (MPI)-based method provides the connectivity indices between well pairs based on injection/production data. By decoupling the effects of well locations, skin factors, injection rates, and the producers’ bottomhole pressures from the calculated connectivity, the heterogeneity matrix obtained by this method solely represents the heterogeneity and possible anisotropy of the formation. Previously, the MPI method was developed for bounded reservoirs with limited numbers of wells. In this paper, we extend the MPI method to deal with cases of large numbers of wells and open reservoirs. To handle open reservoirs, we applied some modifications to the MPI method by adding a virtual well to the system. In cases with large numbers of wells, we applied a model reduction strategy based on the location of the wells, called windowing. Integration of these approaches with the MPI method can quickly and efficiently model field data to optimize well patterns and flood parameters.

1. Introduction

Interwell connectivity evaluation determines how effectively two wells are connected to each other. This can provide useful information on reservoir heterogeneity and lead to better waterflood management. Analysis of injection and production data can be particularly useful for determining connectivity between well pairs, since flow rates are among the most common measurements made during field life.
In the last two decades, several methods have been developed to analyze injection and production data and define parameters which evaluate the connectivity. Some of these connectivity parameters provide us with semi-quantitative insights to better understand the reservoir heterogeneity. For example, the correlation coefficient between injector-producer well pair flow rates [1,2] may help identify flow barriers or conduits between the well pairs. The correlation coefficient (r), for example, could be used to rank well pairs for their connectivity. The use of r, however, is not fully quantitative, because if one well pair has coefficient r0 while another pair has 2r0, the latter pair is not necessarily twice “as connected” as the former pair. Other, more fully quantitative parameters exist to assist us in waterflood management. For instance, the parameter λ in the Albertoni and Lake Model [3] and the Capacitance Model (CM) [4,5,6] not only give a quantitative evaluation of the interwell heterogeneity but can be used to predict the waterflood performance. Such a connectivity parameter decouples the effect of injection rate from the flow data. Thus the connectivity parameter λ will be independent of injection rate fluctuations. In cases where producer BHPs (bottom hole pressures) are available, the CM can also decouple the effect of pressure on λ. There are, however, non-reservoir effects which still affect λ, such as the well spacing and skin factors.
The CM is not the only tool recently proposed to analyze flow rates for interwell connectivity. Kaviani and Valkó [7] developed the multiwell productivity index (MPI)-based method to evaluate interwell connectivity. The connectivity parameter obtained using the MPI method can decouple the effects of injection rate, producer BHPs, skin factor, and location of the wells from the apparent connectivity. Therefore, this connectivity parameter represents a quantity which is more nearly only a function of the heterogeneity between the well pairs. Since this method is independent of the number and condition of the wells, frequent shut-ins and stimulation treatments of producers have no effect on the performance of the method and can be used successfully for both heterogeneity evaluation and reservoir performance prediction. See Kaviani and Jensen [8] for a comparison of the MPI and the CM methods for some synthetic cases.
The MPI method was originally developed for closed (volumetric) reservoirs, however. In non-volumetric (open) reservoirs, depending on the amount of fluid loss or gain, applying the MPI may lead to substantial errors in prediction of the production rates (with R2 < 0) or unrepresentative connectivity parameter values. The modifications described in this work show how we can analyze non-volumetric reservoirs to obtain improved predictions of reservoir performance (R2 > 0.99) and acceptable connectivity parameter estimates. Another problem with the MPI method is the relatively large number of model parameters for cases with medium to large numbers of wells (e.g., >25 wells). This will lead to a large CPU time needed for calculating the model parameters. We introduce windowing, a model reduction technique, to effectively reduce the number of parameters and so decrease the CPU time (for the studied cases up to 20 times) to evaluate reservoirs with large numbers of wells.

2. MPI Method

We begin with a brief review of the MPI method. For more details regarding the MPI concept, see [9,10].
In a reservoir with one well, under pseudosteady state conditions, we can calculate the production rate using:
q = Jp
where q is the production rate, J is the productivity index, and ∆p is the pressure drawdown at the well location. Drawdown is defined as the difference of the well and volumetric average pressures. By defining the MPI, Valkó et al. [10] extended the productivity index concept to systems with multiple producing wells:
q = [ J ] Δ p
where q is the vector of total liquid (water and oil) production rates, [J] is the multiwell productivity index matrix, and Δ p is the vector of pressure drawdowns at the wellbore locations. [J] can be expressed in terms of the influence matrix, [A]:
[J]= к ×[A]−1
where к is the rock-fluid factor, equal to 2πkh/(μB), where k is the reservoir permeability, h is the reservoir thickness, μ is the liquid viscosity, and B is the formation volume factor. [A] can be calculated analytically for a rectangular homogeneous reservoir. The elements of this matrix are constant as long as the pseudosteady state assumptions are valid.
Kaviani and Valkó [7] extended the MPI concept to systems having both injectors and producers. The influence matrix for a set of injectors and producers can be partitioned:
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where a is the influence function between the well pairs, the subscripts inj indicates the injectors and prod indicates the producers, I is the number of injectors, K is the number of producers, [Ainj] is the influence matrix of the injectors, [Acon] is the influence matrix between the injectors and producers, and [Aprod] is the influence matrix of the producers. Based on this, the liquid production rate, q , will be:
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Where p is the volumetric average reservoir pressure, [1]1 is a K × 1 matrix with elements of 1, p p r o d is the vector of producer BHPs and w is the vector of injection rates [7]. p is a function of time and can be calculated as:
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where t is the time elapsed since the most recent change of state, t = t0 (here we define a new state after any change of the control parameters, including injection rate, producer BHPs and well skin factor), p ¯ 0 = p ¯ ( t 0 ) is the volumetric average reservoir pressure at the previous state, ct is the total compressibility, Vp is the reservoir pore volume and c1 and c2 are defined as:
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and:
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We can also show that the injector BHPs, p i n j will be:
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The most important assumptions of this approach are that we have a volumetric (closed) reservoir and unit end-point mobility ratio of the phases [9]. For a homogeneous and rectangular system, we can determine [A] analytically. For such cases, we can easily calculate the reservoir performance at any time. For heterogeneous reservoirs, however, no analytical formula exists to determine [A]. For these cases, we have to estimate [A] based on the injection and production data: the matrix that minimizes the error in prediction of production rates and injector BHPs (if available) is the influence matrix for a heterogeneous system ([A(H)]). In other words, we back-calculate the influence matrix based on reservoir performance. We can use a nonlinear numerical solver to estimate this matrix. Kaviani [9] discusses the possible issues with non-uniqueness of this matrix under different situations. The difference between this matrix and the analytical influence matrix (from the homogeneous case with the same reservoir extent and well location) is called the heterogeneity matrix ([]):
[] = [A(H)] − [A]
The analytical influence matrix contains the well location, reservoir extents and well skin factor components of the apparent connectivity between the wells. The heterogeneity matrix solely represents the heterogeneity-related components of the interwell connectivities. Similar to the influence function, this matrix is symmetric. Each off-diagonal element of this matrix (δ) is called the connectivity index between the corresponding wells defined by the row and the column of the heterogeneity matrix. By modifying the connectivity indices using:
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a more robust indicator of connectivity will be obtained that is called the modified connectivity index [7]. In general, δ´ij > 0 when there is a large connectivity in the interwell (and vicinity) region and δ´ij < 0 indicates a small connectivity between the wells [7]. Thus, δ´ij = 0 represents an intermediate level of connectivity between wells, such as we would have for a completely homogeneous reservoir; it does not represent zero connectivity.
We can use a simple vector map (very similar to the maps of Albertoni and Lake [3]) to show the connectivity of the system. In this map, we draw a vector from each injector to the other injectors and producers where the vector length shows the absolute magnitude of the modified connectivity indices (δ´ij). To show the connectivity between producers, we draw the vectors from both wells. The light (red) vectors show the δ´ij < 0 and heavy (blue) ones represent δ´ij > 0. For example, for a heterogeneous reservoir (Figure 1 with properties listed in Table 1), the connectivity map (Figure 2) shows the main geological features clearly. δ´(I03, P04) > 0 and δ´(I03, I05) > 0, reflecting the channel in their interwell regions. δ´(I01, P01) < 0, δ´(P01, P02) < 0, and δ´(I05, P03) < 0, reflecting the barriers near these well pairs. (For more discussion of the interpretation of this map, see [7].)
Figure 1. Permeability map and well locations of Case 1. The permeability of the reservoir is 40 md and there are three barriers with permeability of 0.2 md and a channel with permeability of 400 md.
Figure 1. Permeability map and well locations of Case 1. The permeability of the reservoir is 40 md and there are three barriers with permeability of 0.2 md and a channel with permeability of 400 md.
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The procedure to determine the modified connectivity indices can be summarized as:
  • Calculate the analytical influence function of the wells based on well locations and reservoir extents.
  • Evaluate the optimum influence matrix that minimizes the reservoir performance (production rates and injectors’ BHP) prediction error.
  • Calculate the heterogeneity matrix and modified connectivity indices.
We term this the “simple MPI” method because it assumes a closed system and uses data from all wells in the system.
Table 1. General Fluid and rock properties of the simulated cases.
Table 1. General Fluid and rock properties of the simulated cases.
Reservoir Thicknessh = 60ft
Porosityφ = 0.18
PermeabilityAbsolute = 40md
Oil end point = 36md
Water end point = 9md
ViscosityOil = 0.5cp
Water = 2cp
Formation Volume FactorOil = 1.07
Water = 1.01
CompressibilityOil = 5 × 10−6psi−1
Water = 1 × 10−6psi−1
Rock = 1 × 10−6psi−1
Figure 2. In connectivity maps, the length of the vector between each well pair shows the connectivity level (δ´ij). For the injector/producer well pairs, we draw a vector only from the injectors. For the injector well pairs and the producer well pairs, we draw vectors from both wells. In this example, large (heavy blue line) δ´(I03, P04) and δ´(I03, I05) indicate the channel in their interwell region. Small (light red line) δ´(I01, P01), δ´(P01, P02), and δ´(I05, P03) are indication of barriers between these wells.
Figure 2. In connectivity maps, the length of the vector between each well pair shows the connectivity level (δ´ij). For the injector/producer well pairs, we draw a vector only from the injectors. For the injector well pairs and the producer well pairs, we draw vectors from both wells. In this example, large (heavy blue line) δ´(I03, P04) and δ´(I03, I05) indicate the channel in their interwell region. Small (light red line) δ´(I01, P01), δ´(P01, P02), and δ´(I05, P03) are indication of barriers between these wells.
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3. Non-Volumetric Systems

One of the main assumptions in the MPI approach is that the reservoir is a closed system. In other words, we assume all the fluid injected will be stored or eventually produced and there is no additional source of energy (e.g., aquifer) or leaking elements (e.g., leaking fault) that affects production rates. We also assume that all the injectors and producers in the system are included in the analysis. In such cases, we expect the total injection rate to be similar to the total production rate. Thus, if we observe a large difference between these two or we are aware of a leaking zone or an aquifer in the system, the volumetric assumption is not valid. Since these situations are common in fields, we develop some modifications to mitigate these effects on the MPI.
Ideally, if we know the location and properties of the leak zones, we may model them by adding wells at the location of the leak zones. However, such information is most likely unavailable. To model this effect, we assume all the leaked fluid is produced from a virtual well (with constant BHP) in the system. To include this well in the model we need to modify the influence matrix of the system (Equation 4). In this approach the influence function can be written as:
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where [Ainjl] is the I × 1 matrix of the influence functions between the injectors and virtual well, [Aprodl] is the K × 1 matrix of the influence functions between the producers and virtual well, and al is the influence function of the virtual well. We can show that the average reservoir pressure of the system for this case will be in the form of Equation 6, where c1 and c2 are (Appendix A):
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where pl is the BHP of the virtual well. The vector of liquid production rates will be:
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where ql is the production rate of the virtual well and can be calculated as:
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In this case, the injector BHPs will be:
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If injection and production data are available, we can determine the I + K + 2 new parameters ([Ainjl], [Aprodl], al, and pl) using the same procedure as used to calculate the heterogeneity matrix. To reduce the number of parameters of this model, we can use a reduced form of the influence matrix of Equation 12. By assigning zero to the off-diagonal elements of the virtual well row and column of the influence matrix, we obtain:
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where [0]1 is a I × 1 matrix with elements of 0. The “zero” elements of the influence function between the virtual well and other wells does not mean the absence of connectivity between these wells (Appendix A). For this reduced approach, the average reservoir pressure is calculated using Equation 6 with:
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and
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and Equations 5 and 9 still apply for calculating q and p i n j g the reduced approach, we only need to add two new parameters to the model: al, and pl. Instead of the zero-vector, we may have any other constant matrix and it does not affect the model performance; however, the advantage of the zero-vector is its simple solution where several terms in the equations cancel. In this paper, we call the approach with the full influence matrix with a virtual well the “full leak model” (Equation 12) and the one with reduced matrix (zero elements for the virtual well) the “reduced leak model” (Equation 18).
We now apply the developed approaches for three synthetic systems, where we used a commercial simulator (Eclipse 100™) to calculate the reservoir performance. For all cases, we first determined the δ´ for a similar ideal case, where all model assumptions are met, e.g., closed boundary system and unit end-point mobility ratio, and with the same well locations and geological properties. Then we compared the estimated δ´ for the open reservoirs with these “true” values.
Case 1. This case is a 5 × 4 heterogeneous system (five injectors and four producers, Figure 1). The rock and reservoir properties are listed in Table 1. At first we simulated a reference case with a closed system and, based on the simulated injection and production data, we evaluated the modified connectivity indices of the system (Figure 2 and Table 2). Then we added an “isolated” zone to the system that is not connected to the reservoir (Figure 3). In this case, more than 3% of the injected fluid was lost to the isolated zone. Applying the full leak and reduced leak models, we observed the leak models could predict the reservoir performance much more accurately than the simple model (Table 2). On the other hand, comparing the estimated δ´ with the true δ´, the difference is only 0.26 in average (Figure 4a). We also tested a case with a larger isolated zone where almost 6% of the injected fluid escaped to the isolated zone. Applying all three models, the performance of the simple model decreased markedly, especially for the predicted vs. production rates (R2 = 0.67). The full and reduced leak models provide accurate estimation of reservoir performance; however, the estimated δ´ were less accurate (on average 0.46 difference in estimated δ´) than for the 3% leakage case (Figure 4b).
Table 2. Comparison of reference and non-ideal model results using R2.
Table 2. Comparison of reference and non-ideal model results using R2.
ModelProduction RateInjectors’ BHP
Case 1, closed systemSimple model1.0001.000
Case 1, small isolated zoneSimple Model0.9060.999
Full leak model0.9991.000
Reduced leak model0.9991.000
Case 1, large isolated zoneSimple Model0.6690.997
Full leak model0.9990.999
Reduced leak model0.9980.999
Case 2Simple Model−11.849 *0.991
Full leak model1.0001.000
Reduced leak model1.0001.000
Case 3Simple Model−26.642 *0.967
Full leak model1.0001.000
Reduced leak model1.0001.000
Case 3, with 20% noiseSimple Model−21.230 *0.796
Full leak model0.7540.807
Reduced leak model0.7560.806
Case 3, with 40% noiseSimple Model−11.154 *0.487
Full leak model0.4270.491
Reduced leak model0.4270.490
* When the fit is less accurate than the mean value of the true data a negative R2 may occur. For these two cases, the predicted production rates are very different from the true ones because of the material balance assumption. See [11,12] for further discussion and examples of negative R2 values.
Figure 3. Case 1 configuration where every injection well has fluid loss to the isolated zone.
Figure 3. Case 1 configuration where every injection well has fluid loss to the isolated zone.
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Figure 4. For the (a) small (3%) and (b) large (6%) isolated zone cases, the approaches generate modified connectivity indices that are slightly higher than the true ones. The results of the full and reduced leak models are almost identical.
Figure 4. For the (a) small (3%) and (b) large (6%) isolated zone cases, the approaches generate modified connectivity indices that are slightly higher than the true ones. The results of the full and reduced leak models are almost identical.
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Case 2. The well locations, geometry and the heterogeneity of the reservoir are similar to Case 1. However, for this case we have a localized leaky zone (Figure 5) where almost 27% of the injected fluid is escaping. Applying both full and reduced models, we can accurately model the data (Table 2). The simple MPI gives very poor results. On the other hand, the full model predicted the δ´ more accurately than the other models (Figure 6). Since we only have a localized leak in this case, the full model also determined the parameters of that leak zone as an additional well and reproduced the exact δ´s.
Figure 5. In Case 2, a leak zone exists in the system, where 27% of the injected fluid leaks out from the system.
Figure 5. In Case 2, a leak zone exists in the system, where 27% of the injected fluid leaks out from the system.
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Figure 6. For Case 2, the full leak model estimates the δ´ more accurately than the other methods. The prediction of the reduced model is also excellent.
Figure 6. For Case 2, the full leak model estimates the δ´ more accurately than the other methods. The prediction of the reduced model is also excellent.
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Case 3. This case is similar to Case 2, but the leaks are more widely distributed in the system (Figure 7), where almost 35% of the injected fluid is leaking out from the system. A major fraction of the escaping fluid (more than two-thirds) is from one of the leaks. Similar to Case 2, both the full and reduced approaches fit the data very well (Table 2). The estimated δ´s from both reduced and leak model are almost identical and fairly close to the true ones (Figure 8a). We also tested this case with the leak evenly distributed between the leak zones and a total of 47% escaping. For this situation, both the reduced and leak model predicted the reservoir performance perfectly. The estimated modified connectivity indices are, however, different from the true ones (Figure 8b). Mapping these indices still shows useful connectivity information (Figure 9). For instance, the channel around I03, and the barriers between (P01, P02) and (P03, I03), and (I01, P01) are recognizable. However, a few connectivity indices are misleading, e.g., (I02, I05) where no high permeability zone exists in the interwell region.
Figure 7. For Case 3, four leak zones are in the reservoir, where 47% of the injected fluid is leaking from the system.
Figure 7. For Case 3, four leak zones are in the reservoir, where 47% of the injected fluid is leaking from the system.
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Figure 8. For Case 3, where the major leak is from one location both reduced and full leak models provide good estimates of the modified connectivity indices (a). For the case with uniform leakage from the four locations none of the models predicts the modified connectivity indices accurately (b). The leak models, however, estimate the δ´ more accurately than the simple MPI.
Figure 8. For Case 3, where the major leak is from one location both reduced and full leak models provide good estimates of the modified connectivity indices (a). For the case with uniform leakage from the four locations none of the models predicts the modified connectivity indices accurately (b). The leak models, however, estimate the δ´ more accurately than the simple MPI.
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Figure 9. Connectivity map of Case 3 (with multiple uniform leaks) has useful information on the main barriers and channel in the system.
Figure 9. Connectivity map of Case 3 (with multiple uniform leaks) has useful information on the main barriers and channel in the system.
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To investigate the effect of noise on the results, we reran Case 3 (with 35% overall escape and one leak consuming 20%) while the response data were corrupted with different levels of uniformly distributed white noise. We observed that for 20% noise in the data, compared to the noise-free cases, the standard deviation of the δ´ values is around 0.23, which shows a moderately accurate estimation (Figure 10), and the predicted reservoir performance is acceptable (Table 2). However, at 40% noise we cannot get any useful information from the data; the R2 of predicted production rates and injectors’ BHP is smaller than 0.5 and the standard deviation of δ´ values is larger than 1.
Figure 10. For small amounts of noise (20%) the δ´ values are fairly accurate (a). Larger noise (40%) levels may lead to unrepresentative δ´ (b).
Figure 10. For small amounts of noise (20%) the δ´ values are fairly accurate (a). Larger noise (40%) levels may lead to unrepresentative δ´ (b).
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For all three cases, the production prediction accuracies of both the full and reduced approaches were very similar to each other and both methods are as accurate as or better than the simple model. The δ´ predictions suffered when leakage was present and the estimated δ´ values tended to overestimate the non-leak values by approximately 0.5 (Figure 8b). For all the cases, the accuracy of the estimated δ´ values and predicted reservoir performance for both full and reduced leak models were very close to each other; using the full model did not improve the results. Since in general, we may have more than one leak zone in the system, using the reduced model instead of the full model could be better because having fewer free parameters decreases the chance of overfitting the model to the data. On the other hand, considering the reduced accuracy of the estimated parameters for the case of multiple leaks (with similar sized leaks from different leaking points), one may consider using more than one virtual well. For example, if we use four vertical wells in Case 3 with 47% distributed leakage, the error becomes quite small. If the number of leaks is limited and we know the exact number of leaks this can increase the accuracy of the method. However, in general we do not know the number of leaks and adding more than one virtual well could lead to overfitting the model.
We have described MPI models which have been modified for mechanisms that lead to non-volumetric systems, and the leak models showed more accurate production predictions over the simple model. However, we have not yet devised a model which will produce accurate connectivity indices under all conditions. In practice, the leak mechanism might be different and more complicated than we have modeled here. For future work, considering more cases and mechanisms will help us to recognize the possible trends in the estimated connectivity indices (for example here, they were higher than the true ones) and interpret the results more accurately.

4. Large Number of Wells

In general, considering the symmetry of the heterogeneity matrix, we need to determine at least (I + K) × (I + K + 1)/2 parameters to model the system. For a small number of wells, evaluating these parameters can be done quickly. For larger numbers of wells, this procedure will be very time consuming and may become computationally intractable. For example, the CPU time required to model a 25 × 16 system may be three orders of magnitude longer than the time needed for an 8 × 8 case and four orders of magnitude longer than a 5 × 4 case. A possible strategy to overcome this problem is to eliminate the less important parameters that have only a small effect on reservoir performance predictions. Here, we describe a model reduction approach called windowing. (Our use of the term windowing is similar to that used in signal processing and data analysis, e.g., [13,14].)
We define a region (window) for each well. This window can be defined based on distance of the wells and geology of the reservoir (if available). We only evaluate the connectivity indices between this well and the wells inside the window. For all the wells outside this window, we may calculate a single connectivity index (Figure 11). If the number of wells is large, we may define several windows for each well, where at each region between windows, a single connectivity index is assigned to the wells (Figure 12). Depending on the number of wells and sizes of the windows, this technique can reduce the number of parameters dramatically. For example, for a 8 × 8 case (Figure 11) with a 2750 ft window, the number of parameters decreases from 136 to 88 and for a 25 × 16 case (Figure 12), defining three windows at 3520, 4620 and 5720 ft, reduces the number of parameters from 861 to 425. In case we have some geological information about the reservoir, we may modify the shape of the window. For example, if we know a barrier exists in the reservoir, we can trim the window and add a new one to consider geological information in our model more effectively (Figure 13). In systems with ovate or linear deposits, such as may occur in barrier bar or channel sediments, we may define elliptical widows to use the directional connectivity information in the model.
Figure 11. In the windowing technique, we only estimate the connectivity indices between the target well and the wells inside the window. For wells outside the window, we assign a single value to all connectivity indices. In this 8 × 8 system, for well I01 (a), wells I04, I07, I08, P02, P07, P06, and P08 are outside the window. However, for well I06 (b), no well is outside the window.
Figure 11. In the windowing technique, we only estimate the connectivity indices between the target well and the wells inside the window. For wells outside the window, we assign a single value to all connectivity indices. In this 8 × 8 system, for well I01 (a), wells I04, I07, I08, P02, P07, P06, and P08 are outside the window. However, for well I06 (b), no well is outside the window.
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Figure 12. We can define more than one window for each well, where at each outer window a single value is assigned to the connectivity indices between the target well and the wells inside the window. Here, for well I01 (a), 7, 13 and 6 wells are in windows 1, 2 and 3, respectively. For well I013 (b), only four wells are outside the first window.
Figure 12. We can define more than one window for each well, where at each outer window a single value is assigned to the connectivity indices between the target well and the wells inside the window. Here, for well I01 (a), 7, 13 and 6 wells are in windows 1, 2 and 3, respectively. For well I013 (b), only four wells are outside the first window.
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Figure 13. If we have geological information about the field, such as the location of a flow barrier, we may change the window shape. Because of the barrier, we assigned a different window size for the wells to the left of the barrier.
Figure 13. If we have geological information about the field, such as the location of a flow barrier, we may change the window shape. Because of the barrier, we assigned a different window size for the wells to the left of the barrier.
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Here, we show two cases of windowing using numerical simulation.
Case 4. For this 8 × 8 heterogeneous system (Figure 14), the fluid and rock properties are identical to Case 1. Based on the simulated injection and production data, we calculated the δ´s of the system. We then defined a window at 2750 ft (Figure 11) and modeled the data and the modified connectivity indices, which were in very good agreement with those from the model with no window (Figure 15). The estimated δ´s of the closer wells are slightly more accurate than the distant ones. In addition, the R2 of the predicted production rates and the injectors’ BHPs were 0.9996 and 0.9998, respectively, showing that the model with the smaller number of parameters was adequate to predict the reservoir performance. Applying this window reduced the CPU time by more than 3.5 times.
Figure 14. Permeability map of Case 4. Four barriers and one channel exist in the system. The well spacing is 945 ft.
Figure 14. Permeability map of Case 4. Four barriers and one channel exist in the system. The well spacing is 945 ft.
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Figure 15. For Case 4, applying a window (as we have in Figure 11) the estimated connectivity indices are in excellent agreement with the ones obtained using no window. The δ´s of the closer well pairs (<1375 ft) are estimated slightly more accurately than the more distant ones (between 1375 ft and 2750 ft).
Figure 15. For Case 4, applying a window (as we have in Figure 11) the estimated connectivity indices are in excellent agreement with the ones obtained using no window. The δ´s of the closer well pairs (<1375 ft) are estimated slightly more accurately than the more distant ones (between 1375 ft and 2750 ft).
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Case 5. This case is a 25 × 16 heterogeneous reservoir (Figure 16) with rock and fluid properties identical to Case 1. At first, we applied a window at 2750 ft (Figure 17) that reduced the number of free parameters from 861 to 254. The R2 values of the predicted production rates and injectors’ BHPs were 0.9926 and 0.9987, respectively. Applying a larger window at 3520 ft, the R2 values of the predicted production rates and injectors’ BHPs slightly increased to 0.9964 and 0.9993, respectively. Both window sizes were able to predict the reservoir performance well. However, comparing the modified connectivity indices for the large and small windows with the true ones (obtained from the model with no window), we observed the large window better reveals the heterogeneity than the smaller one (Figure 18). The CPU time for case of no window was 20 times greater than the time using the large window and 150 times more than the time required when using the small window. In addition, we applied a three window pattern (similar to Figure 12) and the results were almost identical to the large window. Similar to Case 4, using both large and small windows in this case showed the estimated δ´s for the closer wells are more accurate than the δ´s for the more distant wells (Table 3 and Figure 18).
Here, we only investigated cases with up to 41 wells. The reason we have not assessed cases with larger numbers of wells is the computational burden for these cases with larger numbers of wells. For example, for the 25 × 16 case, it took 40 days to calculate the δ´s using a standard PC. Larger numbers of wells need much longer times for estimation of the true δ´s (with no window); but we think our findings based on these two cases, however, can be extended to cases with larger numbers of wells.
Figure 16. Permeability map of Case 5. The well spacing is 945 ft.
Figure 16. Permeability map of Case 5. The well spacing is 945 ft.
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Figure 17. The two different window sizes applied for Case 5. For well I01, the larger window includes five more wells.
Figure 17. The two different window sizes applied for Case 5. For well I01, the larger window includes five more wells.
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Figure 18. The modified connectivity indices estimated by the large window (a) are more accurate than the ones obtained by the smaller window (b).
Figure 18. The modified connectivity indices estimated by the large window (a) are more accurate than the ones obtained by the smaller window (b).
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Table 3. Comparison of R2 values for the Case 5 estimated modified connectivity indices with and without using window of size 2750 ft (small) and 3520 ft (large).
Table 3. Comparison of R2 values for the Case 5 estimated modified connectivity indices with and without using window of size 2750 ft (small) and 3520 ft (large).
<1375 ft<2750 ft
Small window0.770.58
Large window0.870.70
For the cases above we observed that the windowing technique could effectively reduce the number of parameters and the reduced model still contains the most important heterogeneity information and prediction ability. In particular, the estimated modified connectivity indices for the neighboring wells from all the cases are in good agreement with the ones obtained with now window. However, here we only considered the distance and location of the wells as a parameter to select the window shape and size. For further development of this approach, defining criteria to select window size and shape based on the geological and engineering information is needed.

5. Conclusions

The multiwell productivity index (MPI)-based method, described in earlier studies, can provide estimates of production rates and interwell connectivity. The method, however, may not perform well in open systems and, in fields with large numbers of wells, can be computationally burdensome.
  • We have developed two modified models to cope with escape of injected fluids.
    • Using simulation cases, both methods (reduced and full leak models) gave particularly good performance (R2 > 0.99) regarding the predictions of production rates for a range of leakage scenarios, which included leakage amounts up to 47% of the injected fluids.
    • The methods were able to accommodate conditions where the fluid escape was distributed across the reservoir. Interwell connectivity predictions suffered some loss of accuracy with these models, but the predictions nonetheless still provided useful information. Adding more than one virtual well in the model improved model performance for these distributed leak situations. Further work is required to develop a leak-tolerant method which will also accurately predict interwell connectivities.
    • If the amount of noise on the rates and pressures is small (<20%), the leak models are able to estimate the reservoir performance and the model parameters with good accuracy. However, with a larger amount of noise (40%), the model could not provide any useful information about the reservoir.
  • By introducing a windowing method, we have reduced the computational burden for MPI methods. Windowing reduces the number of parameters to be evaluated. Two cases showed results did not suffer by imposing windows around wells and the solutions with windows took between one-third and one-twentieth of the time required when no windowing was used.

Acknowledgments

Jerry L. Jensen holds the Schulich Chair in Geostatistics at the University of Calgary. An early version of this work appeared as conference paper SPE 129965. We thank the editor and reviewers for their comments and efforts which helped to improve this paper.

Nomenclature

Variables

a
influence function, dimensionless
B
formation volume factor, dimensionless
c1
arbitrary constant, L4t/m
c2
arbitrary constant, L3/t
ct
total compressibility, (Lt2)/m
I
total number of injection wells
J
productivity index, reservoir (L4t)/m
K
total number of production wells
p ¯
average reservoir pressure, m/(Lt2)
p ¯ 0
average reservoir pressure at the previous state, m/(Lt2)
q
total fluid rate, reservoir L3/t
r
correlation coefficient, dimensionless
R2
coefficient of determination, dimensionless
t
time, t
t0
time of the latest state change, t
Vp
pore Volume, L3
w
injection rate, L3/t

Greek Symbols

δ
element of the heterogeneity matrix, dimensionless
δ´
element of the modified heterogeneity matrix, dimensionless
к
rock-fluid factor, L4t/m
λ
interwell connectivity constant between injector/producer well pair in the CM, dimensionless
μ
fluid viscosity, m/(Lt)

Matrices and Vectors

[A]
influence matrix, dimensionless
[A(H)]
estimated influence matrix for the heterogeneous case, dimensionless
[J]
productivity index, L4t/m
[]
heterogeneity matrix, dimensionless
w
vector of injection rates, L3/t
q
vector of production rates, L3/t
p i n j
vector of injectors’ BHP, m/(Lt2)
p p r o d
vector of producers’ BHP, m/(Lt2)

Subscripts and Superscripts

con
index of the interaction of injector/producer well pairs in the influence and heterogeneity matrix
i
well index
inj
injector index in the influence and heterogeneity matrix and bottomhole pressure
j
well index
l
virtual well index in the leak model
prod
producer index in the influence and heterogeneity matrix and bottomhole pressure

Appendix A. Derivation of the MPI Non-Volumetric Model

Defining influence matrix as Equation 12 the pressure drawdown at well locations will be:
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Solving for q we obtain:
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On the other hand, solving Equation A.1 for ql we obtain:
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Combining Equations A.2 and A.3 we obtain:
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Rewriting material balance for this case we have:
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Replacing Equations A.2 and A.4 in Equation A.2 we obtain:
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Solving for p gives us:
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where:
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and:
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On the other hand, solving Equation A.1 for p i n j , gives us:
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In case, we use the reduced model where influence function is defined as Equation 18, by replacing [Ainjl] and [Aprodl] with [0]1 and [0]1 in Equations 13, 14, 15, and 17, the formula for the reduced model could be derived.
If instead of a leak with constant BHP, a constant rate leak (or source) exists in the system, we just need to add a constant term for each production rate to account for this increase.

Appendix B. Physical Meaning of Zero Influence Function in Reduced Model

In the reduced model (Equation 18) we assign zero to the non-diagonal elements of the virtual well row and column of the influence matrix. It may appear that the zero influence function means no connectivity between the wells; however, this is incorrect. Depending on the location of the wells, the influence function may have negative, positive, or zero value. To clarify this, let us take a look at the physical meaning of the influence function. Based on the definition, at point A in a reservoir where x is the only active well, we have:
p ¯ p A = a A x κ q x
where pA is pressure at point A, aAx is the influence function between point A and well x, and qx is production rate of well x. Based on this equation we can see that, if aAx is positive, the pressure at point A will be smaller than the average reservoir pressure; if it is negative, pA will be higher than the average reservoir pressure and if it is zero, pA will be equal to the average reservoir pressure (Figure B.1). For the reduced model, we assume that the virtual well is located where the pressure is p ¯ and has the same effect on all the wells. In a multiwell system such a point that has zero influence function with all the wells most likely does not exist; however, in practice, we observed that using this assumption for a virtual well works as well as the full leak model.
Figure B.1. At each point of the reservoir, depending on distance from the well, the value of the influence function could be negative or positive, or zero. If the influence function is negative, the pressure will be less than average reservoir pressure, if it is negative the pressure will be higher than average reservoir pressure, and if it is zero, the pressure will be equal to average reservoir pressure.
Figure B.1. At each point of the reservoir, depending on distance from the well, the value of the influence function could be negative or positive, or zero. If the influence function is negative, the pressure will be less than average reservoir pressure, if it is negative the pressure will be higher than average reservoir pressure, and if it is zero, the pressure will be equal to average reservoir pressure.
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Kaviani, D.; Valkó, P.; Jensen, J. Analysis of Injection and Production Data for Open and Large Reservoirs. Energies 2011, 4, 1950-1972. https://doi.org/10.3390/en4111950

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Kaviani D, Valkó P, Jensen J. Analysis of Injection and Production Data for Open and Large Reservoirs. Energies. 2011; 4(11):1950-1972. https://doi.org/10.3390/en4111950

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Kaviani, Danial, Peter Valkó, and Jerry Jensen. 2011. "Analysis of Injection and Production Data for Open and Large Reservoirs" Energies 4, no. 11: 1950-1972. https://doi.org/10.3390/en4111950

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