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Galaxies 2014, 2(2), 259-262; doi:10.3390/galaxies2020259
Abstract: New analyses of extended data records collected with the Lunar Laser Ranging (LLR) technique performed with improved tidal models were not able to resolve the issue of the anomalous rate of the eccentricity e of the orbit of the Moon, which is still in place with a magnitude of yr−1. Some possible cosmological explanations are offered in terms of the post-Newtonian effects of the cosmological expansion and of the slow temporal variation of the relative acceleration rate of the cosmic scale factor S. None of them is successful since their predicted secular rates of the lunar eccentricity are too small by several orders of magnitude.
In 2009, Williams and Boggs  reported an anomalous secular rate of the eccentricity e of the orbit of the Moon:
Recently, Williams et al.  extended their analysis of the LLR data from March 1970 to April 2013 by using the new DE430 ephemerides  with improved tidal models. As a result, the anomalous eccentricity rate of the lunar orbit, although reduced with respect to Equation (1), did not disappear, amounting now to (as remarked in , the rate of Equation (2) exhibited a low correlation with other solved-for estimated parameters):
2. Ruling Out Some Possible Mechanisms of Cosmological Origin
At the Newtonian level, the cosmological expansion induces a Hooke-type two-body acceleration proportional to the binary’s separation r through an “elastic” constant given by the relative acceleration rate of the cosmic scale factor S; see, e.g.,  and references therein. Such an acceleration, proportional to the square of the Hubble parameter H, affects neither the shape nor the size of the orbit of a localized binary system, as it was calculated by several authors with a variety of different approaches [12,13,14,15,16].
At the first post-Newtonian (pN) level, a velocity-dependent acceleration linear in H occurs : in principle, it does secularly change both the semimajor axis a and the eccentricity e of the orbit of a test particle moving about a central body of mass M . The resulting eccentricity rate, averaged over one orbital period of the test particle, is :
Recently, in  it has been pointed out that a slow temporal variation of affects the local dynamics of a two-body system by secularly changing both a and e. In the case of matter-dominated epochs with Dark Energy, it turns out that, to first order in the power expansion of , the mean eccentricity rate is :
Thus, we can rule out any potentially viable explanation of cosmological origin for Equation (2).
As a result of the latest LLR data analysis performed with improved tidal models, it turned out that the anomalous eccentricity rate of the lunar orbit is still lingering, and amounts to yr−1.
The LLR analysts seem convinced that, sooner or later, a better understanding of the intricate geophysical processes of tidal origin taking place in the interiors of our planet and of its satellite will be able to fully accommodate the orbital anomaly. As such, they will continue to look for conventional causes for the anomalous eccentricity rate of the Moon.
Nonetheless, as a complementary approach, the search for causes residing outside the Earth and the Moon themselves is worthy of being pursued. If unsuccessful, it could also indirectly strengthen the relevance of the efforts towards an explanation in terms of standard physics. In this respect, it has been shown that neither the cosmological expansion at the first post-Newtonian level nor the slow temporal variation of the relative acceleration rate of the cosmic scale factor are able to explain the anomalous eccentricity increase because they induce long-term rates of change of the Moon’s eccentricity too small by several orders of magnitude. Such a further negative result adds to the previous series of failed attempts to find sound non-tidal explanations in the literature so far.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declare no conflict of interest.
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