Water Demand Forecasting Based on Online Aggregation for District Meter Areas-Specific Adaption †
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data and Competition Setting
2.2. Modelling Framework
2.2.1. Data Cleaning and Pre-Processing
2.2.2. Individual Forecasting Models
2.2.3. Individual Forecasting Models
3. Results
4. Discussion and Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Model | MAE | %-Imp. (MAE) | PI1 | PI2 | PI3 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BOA_forecast_combination | 1.36 | 0.20 | 1.16 | 4.11 | 1.39 |
ar1000_des168 | 1.51 | 0.11 | 1.57 | 5.99 | 1.50 |
glm_lasso_Sdwy_hld_W_lag672 | 1.53 | 0.10 | 1.56 | 5.99 | 1.52 |
adam_mnm_Sdw-lags_arma_ar336 | 1.54 | 0.09 | 1.51 | 5.47 | 1.54 |
gam_Sdw_ar1008 | 1.56 | 0.08 | 1.61 | 6.72 | 1.55 |
mlp_lin_pp_Sdwy_W_smw | 1.60 | 0.05 | 1.40 | 4.49 | 1.63 |
mstl_s7s | 1.60 | 0.05 | 1.52 | 6.24 | 1.62 |
naive | 1.69 | 0.00 | 1.64 | 6.97 | 1.70 |
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© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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Kley-Holsteg, J.; Sonnenschein, B.; Johnen, G.; Ziel, F. Water Demand Forecasting Based on Online Aggregation for District Meter Areas-Specific Adaption. Eng. Proc. 2024, 69, 15. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2024069015
Kley-Holsteg J, Sonnenschein B, Johnen G, Ziel F. Water Demand Forecasting Based on Online Aggregation for District Meter Areas-Specific Adaption. Engineering Proceedings. 2024; 69(1):15. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2024069015
Chicago/Turabian StyleKley-Holsteg, Jens, Björn Sonnenschein, Gregor Johnen, and Florian Ziel. 2024. "Water Demand Forecasting Based on Online Aggregation for District Meter Areas-Specific Adaption" Engineering Proceedings 69, no. 1: 15. https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2024069015