5.3.1. Hybrid Electric Vehicles

This measure promotes the use of hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), which increases the e fficiency of fuel use by up to 50% according to [63]. It is assumed that HEV in Mexico will reach 35% of the new vehicle sales by 2035. This percentage is higher than the one estimated for USA [64], where a 24% market share for year 2030 is proposed. Comparing our value with a 40% share in a strong hybrid scenario proposed for USA [65] by 2035, our value is 5% lower but still is an ambitious goal. It is also assumed that the additional investment cost with respect to conventional internal combustion vehicles will be 6250 USD. This value was estimated as follows: according to [66] that proposes an incremental value is 7945 USD which contrasts with the value presented by [67] that proposes an incremental value of 5050 USD, both in year 2010, in our article we propose to use a value close to the average between these two references. Finally, we consider that the incremental value is reduced to 3125 USD by year 2035, which is very close to the estimated by [68], in its electric and hybrid vehicles section, which establishes a value of 3231 USD in 2030.
