4.1.1. Agricultural Income

Agricultural income is negatively affected by the IE policy. The results of simulations are constrained to the categories of unsustainable agricultural development or unacceptable in the quadrant analysis. Agriculture income reduces by 32.7% in G1, 19.1% in U1, 23.0% in N1 during 2017–2050, and 7.8% in G1, 5.7% in U1, and 10.0% in N1 during 2051–2099. The

average reductions in agricultural income are −24.9% in the short-term and −7.8% in the long-term. The proposed infrastructure related to the IE policy is a long-term investment on a large scale, so reducing agricultural income is not surprising. It should be noted that the negative impacts to agricultural income are greatly reduced in the long-term but still have a consistently negative impact compared to the base case.
