**7. Conclusions**

The ten-year, global, pseudoprospective earthquake spatial forecasting experiment gives us two critical results:


A possible future improvement of our method is to include the events below the magnitude of completeness (Mw < 5.5) in the model to enhance and better describe the active fault structures and their segments.

**Author Contributions:** M.T. conceived the method; M.T. and A.A. defined the application; M.T. performed the data analysis and created the figures; M.T. and A.A. wrote the paper. Both authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

**Funding:** This study was supported by Centro di Pericolosita' Sismica (CPS), Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV).

**Institutional Review Board Statement:** Not applicable.

**Informed Consent Statement:** Not applicable.

**Data Availability Statement:** Data and code used in this paper are available at: https://github.com/ MatteoTaroniINGV/SmoothedSeismicity.

**Acknowledgments:** This study is under the framework of the Mappa di Pericolosita' Sismica, MPS16 Project supported by Centro di Pericolosita' Sismica (CPS), Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV).

**Conflicts of Interest:** The authors declare no conflict of interest.
