**4. Conclusions**

Energy supply to consumers must be built on the principles of reliability, availability, and flexibility. Our research follows these principles and focuses on the consumer, considering his characteristics and needs. Energy supply also depends on the availability of resources, and our study answers this question using the potential of the region under consideration. The process of energy supply in the Arctic region should be considered as a single interconnected structure, where different types of consumers and energy sources are codependent. We have proposed a strategic planning approach based on the classification and analysis of the above variables, considering the opinion of experts, and scenario modeling of factors. The application of the relationship between consumer characteristics and the criteria for resources distinguishes our method from others. We understand that authors may encounter some limitations when repeating this technique. The risk groups identified in this study are applicable to the designated growth zones of the Russian Arctic. However, the technique is universal, which makes it possible to apply it in other studies, where their own risk groups and an expert group will be distinguished according to the specific request of the authors. Among the limitations, it is also worth highlighting that this approach does not consider the limitations caused by the infrastructure necessary to create conditions for the supply of energy with one or another resource in certain regions. The exact location of the growth in needs is also currently not determined by this method, which does not allow creating the necessary incentives for development at the regional level.

We would also like to emphasize that the study has grea<sup>t</sup> potential for development, among a number of urgen<sup>t</sup> tasks for future work, the following can be distinguished: presentation of factor analysis of risks, which will allow us to assess the dynamics of changes in risks over time, as well as to highlight the group of the most significant risks and their relationship with each other; solution of the optimization problem: regional optimal distribution of resources with the least carbon dioxide emissions and financial investments. In addition, research on limiting the use of various resources, especially hydrogen, is promising.

**Author Contributions:** Conceptualization, A.B. and Y.M.; methodology, Y.M.; validation, A.K.; formal analysis, A.B. and Y.M.; investigation, A.S. and A.K.; writing-original draft preparation, A.B., A.K. and Y.M.; writing—review and editing, Y.Z. and P.T.; visualization, A.B. and Y.Z.; supervision, data curation P.T.; project administration, Y.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

**Funding:** The research was carried out with the financial support of the gran<sup>t</sup> by the President of the Russian Federation for the state support of leading scientific schools of the Russian Federation, the number of the project NSh-2692.2020.5 "Modelling of ecological-balanced and economically sustainable development of hydrocarbon resources of the Arctic".

**Conflicts of Interest:** The authors declare no conflict of interest.
