Search Results (100)

By 2050, global population growth will lead to a significant increase in demand for animal-based products, including seafood. Aquaculture is a key solution to meet these needs while reducing pressure on wild aquatic stocks. However, its environmental footprint and energy demand remain open concerns. This study explores the co-location of offshore aquaculture with a wave energy converter—WaveRoller—as a renewable power source. Using a 44-year dataset from the Portuguese coast near Peniche, the analysis evaluates the survivability and operation of the WaveRoller, long-term percentile trends, seasonal energy production, extrapolated extreme events using probabilistic modeling, and confidence intervals for energy costs. A scenario-based range of energy demand is constructed from a baseline blue mussel production of over 400 tons/yr. The K-Means clustering method is applied to reduce data size while maintaining its representativeness. Results show that a 600 kW WaveRoller is similarly suited to operational wave conditions compared to a 1000 kW device, though it excels when aquaculture energy demand peaks in Summertime. The probability that a single WaveRoller fails to meet annual aquaculture energy needs is nearly zero, though, during Summer, it can become statistically significant. The opposite is verified on survivability during Winter, under harsher wave conditions. The Levelized Cost of Energy is calculated for different expenditure scenarios, with minimum values slightly under 200 EUR/MWh being reported only under ideal conditions. Future work should include climate change scenarios and life cycle assessments to better evaluate environmental impacts and techno-economic viability. Full article

The study of vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) is essential in the Yanshan–Taihang Mountain Ecological Conservation Zone (YTECZ). Serving as an ecological security barrier for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers of NPP in the YTECZ is fundamental for supporting effective sustainable development policies. Utilizing MODIS NPP, climatic data (temperature and precipitation), and the Human Footprint Index (HFP, a comprehensive metric of anthropogenic pressure), this study employed univariate linear regression, ArcGIS spatial analysis, and the Geographical Detector to investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of vegetation NPP in the YTECZ from 2004 to 2023 and to project its future trends through time series analysis. Our findings reveal a significant fluctuating upward trend in vegetation NPP over the 21-year period (mean annual increase: 4.58 g C·m⁻²), displaying a distinct spatial gradient characterized by higher values in western and northern sectors relative to eastern and southern areas. The interannual variability of vegetation NPP was primarily dominated by precipitation fluctuation, while its spatial heterogeneity was jointly driven by vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and temperature. Notably, human activities exhibited significant explanatory power on NPP’s spatial pattern, and their interaction with climatic factors (e.g., VPD) resulted in non-linear enhancements. Future projections suggest that the current increasing trend is unlikely to be sustained in the long term, indicating substantial uncertainty in vegetation carbon sequestration patterns. This study provides critical insights into vegetation response mechanisms to global change drivers, offering a scientific foundation for ecological management strategies toward sustainable development in the YTECZ. Full article

Wind is an important renewable energy source, and even minor variations in wind speed will significantly impact wind power generation. The objective of this study was to systematically assess the impacts of climate change on wind energy resources in the South China Sea (SCS) under future climate projections. To achieve this, we employed a multi-model ensemble approach based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) data under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The results demonstrated that, in comparison with scatterometer wind data, the CMIP6 historical results (1995–2014) showed good performance in capturing the spatiotemporal distribution of wind power density (WPD) in the SCS. There were regional discrepancies in the central SCS due to the complex monsoon-driven wind dynamics. Future projections revealed an overall increase in annual mean wind power density (WPD) across the entire SCS by the mid-21st century (2046–2065) and late 21st century (2080–2099). The seasonal analyses indicated significant WPD increases in summer, especially in the northern SCS and the region adjacent to the Kalimantan strait. The increase in summer (>40 × 10⁻⁴ m/s/year under SSP5-8.5) is about triple that in winter. In the late 21st century, an increase in WPD exceeding 10% can be generally anticipated under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios in all seasons. The extreme wind in the northern and central SCS will further increase by 5% under the three scenarios, which will add an extra extreme load to wind turbines and related marine facilities. These assessments are essential for wind farm planning and long-term energy production evaluations in the SCS. Based on the findings in this study, specific areas of concern can be targeted to conduct localized downscaling analyses and risk assessments. Full article

Facing the severe challenge of global warming, the construction of photovoltaic (PV) power stations has been increasing annually both in China and worldwide, with mountainous areas gradually becoming preferred sites for such projects. Mountain landscapes are ecologically sensitive, and the large-scale installation of PV panels may lead to destruction of the mountain landscape ecological environment. In this study, soil physicochemical properties were measured in 160 soil test plots, and vegetation community conditions were assessed in 26 vegetation test plots at a mountain PV power station in Damiao Town, Chaoyang County, Liaoning Province, China, using a combination of field sampling and laboratory testing. Based on mean values of 15 soil and vegetation indicators under different PV panel coverage rates, calculated via ANOVA in SPSS 27.0 software with Bonferroni-corrected p-values, the effects of various coverage rates on the mountain landscape ecological environment were investigated through multiple comparisons of the mean values. Using the Euclidean distance principle, the similarity ranking between the ecological environment under different PV coverage intervals and the control point was determined as follows: 0% > 0–5% > 15–20% > 5–10% > 10–15% > over 20%. Ultimately, considering the power generation requirements of the PV power station, the 15–20% PV panel coverage rate was identified as the optimal range that minimizes impact on the mountain landscape ecological environment while meeting electricity production demands. Therefore, construction stakeholders should fully consider the influence of PV panel coverage rate on the mountain landscape ecological environment and control the coverage within the 15–20% range according to the power generation needs of mountain PV power stations, so as to mitigate the environmental impact of PV panel installation. Full article

Understanding spatial variability in crop yields across fields is critical for developing precision agricultural strategies that optimize productivity while reducing negative environmental impacts. This variability often arises from a complex interplay of topographic features, soil characteristics, and hydrological conditions. This study investigates the influence of hydro-topographic factors on corn and soybean yield variability from 2016 to 2023 at the well-managed experimental sites in Beltsville, Maryland. A high-resolution surface digital elevation model (DEM) and subsurface DEM derived from ground-penetrating radar (GPR) were used to quantify topographic factors (elevation, slope, and aspect) and hydrological factors (surface flow accumulation, depth from the surface to the subsurface-restricting layer, and distance from each crop pixel to the nearest subsurface flow pathway). Topographic variables alone explained yield variation, with a relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of 23.7% (r² = 0.38). Adding hydrological variables reduced the error to 15.3% (r² = 0.73), and further combining with remote sensing data improved the explanatory power to an RRMSE of 10.0% (r² = 0.87). Notably, even without subsurface data, incorporating surface-derived flow accumulation reduced the RRMSE to 18.4% (r² = 0.62), which is especially important for large-scale cropland applications where subsurface data are often unavailable. Annual spatial yield variation maps were generated using hydro-topographic variables, enabling the identification of long-term persistent yield regions (LTRs), which served as stable references to reduce spatial anomalies and enhance model robustness. In addition, by combining remote sensing data with interannual meteorological variables, prediction models were evaluated with and without hydro-topographic inputs. The inclusion of hydro-topographic variables improved spatial characterization and enhanced prediction accuracy, reducing error by an average of 4.5% across multiple model combinations. These findings highlight the critical role of hydro-topography in explaining spatial yield variation for corn and soybean and support the development of precise, site-specific management strategies to enhance productivity and resource efficiency. Full article

To investigate the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and primary driving factors of Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, we employed an enhanced MODIS-PSN model. Utilizing the fifth-generation global climate reanalysis dataset (ECMWF ERA5), we generated GPP remote sensing products by integrating six natural factors. Through correlation analysis and geographical detector modeling, we quantitatively analyzed the spatiotemporal dynamics and key drivers of vegetation GPP across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2001 to 2022. The results demonstrate that GPP changes across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau display pronounced spatial heterogeneity. The humid northeastern and southeastern regions exhibit significantly positive change rates, primarily distributed across wetland and forest ecosystems, with a maximum mean annual change rate of 12.40 gC/m²/year. In contrast, the central and southern regions display a decreasing trend, with the minimum change rate reaching −1.61 gC/m²/year, predominantly concentrated in alpine grasslands and desert areas. Vegetation GPP on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau shows significant correlations with temperature, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), evapotranspiration (ET), leaf area index (LAI), precipitation, and radiation. Among the factors analyzed, LAI demonstrates the strongest explanatory power for spatial variations in vegetation GPP across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The dominant factors influencing vegetation GPP on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are LAI, ET, and precipitation. The pairwise interactions between these factors exhibit linear enhancement effects, demonstrating synergistic multifactor interactions. This study systematically analyzed the response mechanisms and variations of vegetation GPP to multiple driving factors across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from a spatial heterogeneity perspective. The findings provide both a critical theoretical framework and practical insights for better understanding ecosystem response dynamics and drought conditions on the plateau. Full article

This study quantitatively evaluates the effects of human activities (HAs) and climate change (CC) on the terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle, providing a scientific basis for ecosystem management and the formulation of sustainable development policies in urban agglomerations located in arid and ecotone regions. Using the LanXi urban agglomeration in China as a case study, we simulated the spatiotemporal variation of vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) from 2000 to 2023 based on MODIS remote sensing data and the CASA model. Trend analysis and the Hurst index were employed to identify the dynamic trends and persistence of NPP. Furthermore, the Geographical Detector model with optimized parameters, along with nonlinear residual analysis, was employed to investigate the driving mechanisms and relative contributions of HAs and CC to NPP variation. The results indicate that NPP in the LanXi urban agglomeration exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with an average annual increase of 4.26 gC/m² per year. Spatially, this trend followed a pattern of “higher in the center, lower in the east and west,” with more than 95% of the region showing an increase in NPP. Precipitation, mean annual temperature, evapotranspiration, and land use types were identified as the primary driving factors of NPP change. The interaction among these factors demonstrated a stronger explanatory power through factor coupling. Compared with linear residual analysis, the nonlinear model showed clear advantages, indicating that vegetation NPP in the LanXi urban agglomeration was jointly influenced by HAs and CC. These findings can further act as a basis for resource and environmental research in similar ecotone regions globally, such as Central Asia, the Mediterranean Basin, the southwestern United States, and North Africa. Full article

Energy generated from wind (in the form of wind farms (WFs)) is expected to help alleviate rising energy demand in Saudi Arabia, driven by industrial development and population growth. However, before implementing wind farms, conducting a comprehensive wind resource assessment (WRA) study is of paramount importance. This paper presents the analysis of the wind resource potential of a site in Yanbu city, which is located on the western coastal area of Saudi Arabia, using a comprehensive study. The hourly data on wind speed and direction over a one-year period was used in the presented analysis. The plant capacity factor (CF) and annual energy production (AEP) are evaluated for more than 100 commercial wind turbines (WTs). The highest AEP was achieved by the ‘Enercon E126/7.5 MW’ turbine, generating 14.49 GWh, with a corresponding CF of 21.82%. In contrast, the lowest AEP was observed for the ‘Northern Power d’ turbine, producing only 0.13 GWh, with a CF of 14.89%. The highest CF was recorded for the ‘Leitwind LTW104/2.0 MW’ turbine at 40.67%, corresponding to an AEP of 7.12 GWh. The results obtained are very valuable for designers in selecting the appropriate WT to obtain the predicted AEP and CF with the appropriate turbine class. Furthermore, this study applied the K-means clustering algorithm to classify WTs into three distinct categories. Building on this classification, synthetic datasets representing tailored WT configurations were generated—a novel methodology that enables the simulation of site-specific designs not yet available in existing market offerings. These datasets equip wind farm developers with the ability to define WT specifications for manufacturers, guided by two key criteria: the site’s wind resource profile and the target performance metrics of the WT. Full article

Accurate solar spectral irradiance (SSI) input is key to modelling climate systems. Traditional SSI data used in the climate modelling community are based on solar model calculations joined by limited observations. Recent advances in spaceborne high-resolution solar spectrum observations, such as the National Administration for Space and Aeronautics (NASA)’s Total and Spectral Solar Irradiance Sensor (TSIS), have provided more accurate and reliable SSI alternatives. Here, we investigate the differences between the observed and the model-based SSIs, and how these affect the modelled downward surface shortwave radiation (DSSR) over different regions of China. Special interest is dedicated to the implications for solar power estimation from solar farms. We conduct idealized calculations using the RRTMG_SW radiative transfer model, with the traditional China Meteorological Administration standard solar spectrum (CMA_STD) and the observed TSIS-1 Hybrid Solar Reference Spectrum (TSIS-1_HSRS). Results show that the CMA_STD SSI yields 4.45 Wm⁻² less energy than the TSIS-1_HSRS, and systematically overestimate energy in the infrared bands and underestimate that in the visible bands. These discrepancies result in an annual regional mean DSSR underestimation of ~0.44 Wm⁻², with localized underestimation for a particular month exceeding 2 Wm⁻². The estimated solar power productions with the two SSIs differ by 0.25~0.32% and 0.36~0.52% of the total power production capacity for fixed-angle and solar tracking panels, respectively. These findings suggest that long-term and high-resolution spaceborne SSI observations are crucial to improve surface climate modelling, especially on local scales, and to service climate change mitigations. Full article

Battery energy storage systems (BESSs) can play a significant role in overcoming the challenges in Distribution Systems (DSs) with a high level of penetration from renewable energy sources (RESs). In this paper, the goal is to determine the optimal location, size, and charging/discharging dispatches of BESSs in DSs with a high level of photovoltaic (PV) installations. The problem of the location and size of BESSs is solved with multi-criteria optimization using Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II). The criteria of the multi-criteria optimization are minimal investment costs for BESS and improvement of the network performance index. The network performance index includes the reduction in annual losses of active energy in DSs and the minimization of voltage deviations. The dispatch of a BESS is determined using auxiliary optimization. Linear Programming (LP) is used for auxiliary optimization, with the aim of dispatching the BESS to smooth the load profile in DS. The proposed optimization method differs from previous studies because it takes in its calculations all days of the year. This was performed using the K-means clustering technique. The days of one year are classified by the level of consumption and PV production. The optimization was performed for five different levels of PV penetration (60%, 70%, 80%, 90%, and 100%) and for two scenarios: the first with one BESS and the second with two BESSs. The proposed methodology is applied to the IEEE 33 bus balanced radial distribution system. The results demonstrate that with an optimal choice of location and parameters of the BESS, significant improvement in network performance is achieved. This refers to a reduction in losses of active power, improvement of voltage profile, smoothing the load diagram, and reducing the peak load. For the scenario with one BESS and PV penetration of 100%, the reduction in daily energy losses reaches a value of up to 10% compared to the base case (case without a BESS). The reduction in peak load goes to 20%. Further, the highest voltage during the day is significantly lower in all buses compared to the base case. Similarly, the lowest voltage during the day is considerably higher. The methodology from this paper can be applied to any radial distribution network with a variable number of BESSs. The testing results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed method. Full article

The present research examined the “production–living–ecological space” (“PLES”) by using land use data, the ecological and environmental quality index model, growth and reduction based on the spectrum, the center of gravity migration model, and the optimal parameter geoprobe model to further evaluate adjustments to ecological quality and the driving mechanisms. The findings indicate that (1) spanning the years 2000–2020, the production space and living area in Panjin increased to 2093 km² and 380 km² respectively, and the ecological area of forest land and water area showed a decreasing trend. (2) The center of gravity of the urban living space and the industrial and mining production space shifted significantly. (3) The negative effect of the contribution rate was of greater value than the positive effect. Thus, it can be concluded that the negative effect of “PLES” is greater than the positive one. (4) The results for this region showed that the mean annual temperature was the strongest explanation for the spatial variation in natural factors, and that social factors such as population density also had a strong effect, so an interaction analysis was carried out to analyze the interaction between the two factors, which showed that the relationship between mean annual temperature and density of population had the strongest explanatory power. Full article

CO₂ emission is a big problem, not only for current living beings, but also for nature and the upcoming generations. Therefore, modeling CO₂ emissions is the first step in reducing these emissions. In this work, the CO₂ emissions of Turkey are modeled depending on the gross domestic product, amount of hydroelectric electricity generated, amount of energy generated from coal and the electricity obtained from natural gas power plants. The conventional autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variables (ARIMAX) and nonlinear deep learning methods are utilized to model CO₂ emissions for the period of 1960–2020 using yearly data obtained from official sources. The modeling results of the ARIMAX and the deep learning methods are quantitatively assessed using four key figures of merit, namely the coefficient of determination (R²), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the root mean square error (RMSE). Considering the coefficient of determination and the other performance parameters, it is observed that the deep learning model provides better performance compared with the ARIMAX model in modeling the annual CO₂ emission data, especially in the pandemic period of 2019–2020. The results show that both the conventional ARIMAX and the nonlinear deep learning methods can be utilized to model CO₂ emissions, therefore providing a crucial step for reducing CO₂ emissions and the carbon footprint. Full article

In the early stages of developing wave energy converter (WEC) projects, a quantitative assessment of component failure consequence costs is essential. The WEC types, deployment site features, and accessibility should all be carefully considered. This study introduces an operation and maintenance failure consequence cost (O&M-FC) model, distinct from conventional O&M models. The model is illustrated with case studies at three energetic Atlantic sites, each of which considers two types of generic floating WECs: a 300 kW point absorber (PA) with a hydraulic power-take-off (PTO) and a 1000 kW oscillating water column (OWC) with an air-wells-turbine PTO. This study compares 39 failure modes for PA and 27 for OWC in terms of direct repair costs and indirect lost production costs, examining the impact of location accessibility, capacity factors, and the mean annual energy production. The discussion revolves around the sensitive parameters. Recommendations for failure mitigations are presented, and the impact of planned maintenance (PM) during the operational phase is examined for 20 MW PA and OWC WEC projects. For a given WEC type, the method thoroughly evaluates how the location affects performance metrics. It offers a decision-making tool for determining optimal PM intervals to meet targets such as O&M costs, operating profit, or availability. Full article

In the modelling of hydrological processes on a regional scale, remote-sensing snow depth products with a high spatial and temporal resolution are essential for climate change studies and for scientific decision-making by management. The existing snow depth products have low spatial resolution and are mostly applicable to large-scale studies; however, they are insufficiently accurate for the estimation of snow depth on a regional scale, especially in shallow snow areas and mountainous regions. In this study, we coupled SSM/I, SSMIS, and AMSR2 passive microwave brightness temperature data and MODIS, TM, and Landsat 8 OLI fractional snow cover area (fSCA) data, based on Python, with 30 m spatially resolved fractional snow cover area (fSCA) data obtained by the spatio-temporal dynamic warping algorithm to invert the low-resolution passive microwave snow depths, and we developed a spatially downscaled snow depth inversion method suitable for the Turpan–Hami region. However, due to the long data-processing time and the insufficient arithmetical power of the hardware, this study had to set the spatial resolution of the result output to 250 m. As a result, a day-by-day 250 m spatial resolution snow depth dataset for 20 hydrological years (1 August 2000–31 July 2020) was generated, and the accuracy was evaluated using the measured snow depth data from the meteorological stations, with the results of r = 0.836 (p ≤ 0.01), MAE = 1.496 cm, and RMSE = 2.597 cm, which are relatively reliable and more applicable to the Turpan–Hami area. Based on the spatially downscaled snow depth data produced, this study found that the snow in the Turpan–Hami area is mainly distributed in the northern part of Turpan (Bogda Mountain), the northwestern part of Hami (Barkun Autonomous Prefecture), and the central part of the area (North Tianshan Mountain, Barkun Mountain, and Harlik Mountain). The average annual snow depth in the Turpan–Hami area is only 0.89 cm, and the average annual snow depth increases with elevation, in line with the obvious law of vertical progression. The annual mean snow depth in the Turpan–Hami area showed a “fluctuating decreasing” trend with a rate of 0.01 cm·a⁻¹ over the 20 hydrological years in the Turpan–Hami area. Overall, the spatially downscaled snow depth inversion algorithm developed in this study not only solves the problem of coarse spatial resolution of microwave brightness temperature data and the difficulty of obtaining accurate shallow snow depth but also solves the problem of estimating the shallow snow depth on a regional scale, which is of great significance for gaining a further understanding of the snow accumulation information in the Tuha region and for promoting the investigation and management of water resources in arid zones. Full article

Examining boiler failure causes is crucial for thermal power plant safety and profitability. However, traditional approaches are complex and expensive, lacking precise operational insights. Although data-driven approaches hold substantial potential in addressing these challenges, there is a gap in systematic approaches for investigating failure root causes with unlabeled data. Therefore, we proffered a novel framework rooted in data mining methodologies to probe the accountable operational variables for boiler failures. The primary objective was to furnish precise guidance for future operations to proactively prevent similar failures. The framework was centered on two data mining approaches, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) + K-means and Deep Embedded Clustering (DEC), with PCA + K-means serving as the baseline against which the performance of DEC was evaluated. To demonstrate the framework’s specifics, a case study was performed using datasets obtained from a waste-to-energy plant in Sweden. The results showed the following: (1) The clustering outcomes of DEC consistently surpass those of PCA + K-means across nearly every dimension. (2) The operational temperature variables T-BSH3rm, T-BSH2l, T-BSH3r, T-BSH1l, T-SbSH3, and T-BSH1r emerged as the most significant contributors to the failures. It is advisable to maintain the operational levels of T-BSH3rm, T-BSH2l, T-BSH3r, T-BSH1l, T-SbSH3, and T-BSH1r around 527 °C, 432 °C, 482 °C, 338 °C, 313 °C, and 343 °C respectively. Moreover, it is crucial to prevent these values from reaching or exceeding 594 °C, 471 °C, 537 °C, 355 °C, 340 °C, and 359 °C for prolonged durations. The findings offer the opportunity to improve future operational conditions, thereby extending the overall service life of the boiler. Consequently, operators can address faulty tubes during scheduled annual maintenance without encountering failures and disrupting production. Full article