Search Results (27)

The northeast monsoon prevailing over southeastern China in late seasons, generally from October to March, frequently generates water level anomalies upstream of the Taiwan Strait (TWS) that reach the coastal waters of Guangdong in South China, and, with compounding astronomical high tides, elevate coastal flood risk over the region. The risk of coastal flooding or sea inundation is further heightened when monsoon forcing co-occurs with storm surge brought by late-season tropical cyclones (TCs). This study integrates tide gauge observations from Hong Kong (HK) and its vicinity together with Delft3D Flexible Mesh simulations to diagnose a tide-modulated anomaly wave mechanism. Observations show that anomalies originating in or near TWS arrive in HK with station-dependent phasing. These water level anomalies exhibit a characteristic ~6 h periodicity west of the Taiwan Shoal, and display peaks that systematically align with the astronomical high tide. Time–frequency analysis reveals a wave period transformation from ~12 h north of Dongshandao over the coast of southeastern China to ~6 h west of the Taiwan Shoal. We test the hypothesis that wind-forced water anomalies generated in or near TWS undergo shoal-modulated nonlinear tide–wind interaction and tidal-current advection that transform their dominant period and phase-lock them to the tide, producing four anomaly peaks per day downstream and station-dependent phasing in HK. Hindcasts of the November 2024 monsoon episode reproduce the observed timing, periodicity, and spatial transition, while constituent experiments demonstrate that semi-diurnal forcing entering via the TWS is the primary driver of the ~6 h signal, with the Taiwan Shoal acting as the modulation locus. Accurate water level forecasts for the Guangdong coast, therefore, need to incorporate upstream wind forcing over the TWS and bathymetric controls around the Taiwan Shoal, with practical implications for compound flood risk during spring tides and co-occurring monsoon and/or TC events. Full article

Tropical estuarine hydrodynamic processes are governed by complex interactions between tides, monsoons, and fluvial runoff. To obtain long-term (≥30 years) hydrodynamic conditions of the Mekong River Estuary, this study established a Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) coupled with validated Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) wind forcing for a 32-year (1988–2019) high-resolution simulation. Validation against in situ observations confirms the model’s robustness. Temporal–spatial patterns of water level and current were analyzed, and extreme parameters for 1–100 year return periods were derived via the Pearson-III probability distribution. Results indicate the study area is a mesotidal environment (tidal range = 3.58 m) dominated by SSE-NNW reciprocating tidal currents. Relative to Vietnam’s national elevation datum, 100-year return period extreme high/low water levels are 2.15 m and −2.03 m, with a maximum storm surge setup of 2.09 m. The 100-year return period maximum current velocity reaches 4.58 m/s (A21 station), and Mekong River runoff exerts a negligible influence (<5% velocity change). This study provides high-precision baseline data for offshore wind farm engineering and disaster risk assessment, offering a methodological reference for tropical estuarine hydrodynamic simulations. Full article

Coastal flooding can result from multiple interacting drivers and can be a complex, challenging topic for learners to grasp. Interactive learning with apps offers new opportunities for improving comprehension and engagement. We present the Floodport app, an educational interactive tool that puts students in the role of coastal risk analysts exploring how natural hazards threaten port safety. Users have to adjust key parameters, including high tides, storm surges, terrestrial rainfall contribution, sea-level rise, and engineered features such as dock height. These forces, individually or jointly, result in water-level rises that may flood the app’s port. The app supports exploration of mitigation designs for the port. Developed in Excel and Python 3.11.4 and deployed as an R/Shiny application, Floodport was used as a classroom game by 153 students with no prior knowledge on coastal flooding concepts. Pre–post survey statistical analysis showed significant learning gains and positively correlation with willingness to engage further. Floodport was found to be a useful tool for basic introduction to flooding concepts. The results indicate strong pedagogical promise and potential for using the app beyond the classroom, in contexts such as stakeholder engagement and training. Full article

Storm surge dynamics in coastal zones and estuaries are complex, driven by coupled oceanic and terrestrial interactions that enhance the risk of coastal disasters. This study investigates storm surge characteristics and mechanisms in the Macao Cross Tidal Channel (MCTC), located in the Macao Sea Area (MSA). A tide-surge coupled numerical model was established using the unstructured grid Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM). The model was rigorously validated against tide gauge data from Typhoon Hato, demonstrating strong performance, with a skill score of 0.95 and a correlation coefficient exceeding 0.94. The spatiotemporal characteristics and mechanisms of storm surge dynamics in the MCTC were elucidated. The results show that the MCTC’s complex geometry induces a geometric funneling effect, which substantially amplifies the storm surge compared with adjacent locations in the estuary and open sea. During the typhoon period, coastal geomorphology affects winds, tide levels, currents, and waves, which in turn spatially and temporally modulate the storm surge. Wind is the primary driver, but its effect is modulated by nonlinear interactions with waves, including enhanced bottom friction and wave set-down. In isolation, the wind-induced component contributed approximately 106% of the peak total surge. This overestimation quantitatively highlights the critical role of nonlinear interactions, where wave-enhanced bottom friction acts as a major energy sink, and wave set-down directly suppresses the water level at the channel entrance. The individual peak contributions from atmospheric pressure and wave were approximately 5% and 17%, respectively, but these peaks occurred out of phase with the storm surge. Energy transformation analysis based on the Bernoulli principle revealed a distinct conversion from potential to kinetic energy in the constricted transverse waterway, while the longitudinal waterway exhibited a more gradual energy change. These findings enhance the mechanistic understanding of storm surges in complex, constricted estuaries and can inform targeted strategies for coastal hazard mitigation in the Macao region. Full article

The primary contribution of this study lies in analyzing the dynamic drivers during two anomalous sea level rise events in the Bohai Sea through coupled numeric modeling using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) integrated with the Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) module (hereafter referred to as FVCOM-SWAVE). WRF-derived wind speeds (0.05° grid resolution) were validated against Haiyang-2 (HY-2) scatterometer observations, yielding a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.88 m/s and a correlation coefficient (Cor) of 0.85. Similarly, comparisons of significant wave height (SWH) simulated by FVCOM-SWAVE (0.05° triangular mesh) with HY-2 altimeter data showed an RMSE of 0.67 m and a Cor of 0.84. Four FVCOM sensitivity experiments were conducted to assess drivers of sea level rise, validated against tide gauge observations. The results identified tides as the primary driver of sea level rise, with wind stress and elevation forcing (e.g., storm surge) amplifying variability, while currents exhibited negligible influence. During the two events, i.e., 20–21 October and 25–26 August 2024, elevation forcing contributed to localized sea level rises of 0.6 m in the northern and southern Bohai Sea and 1.1 m in the southern Bohai Sea. A 1 m surge in the northern region correlated with intense Yellow Sea winds (20 m/s) and waves (5 m SWH), which drove water masses into the Bohai Sea. Stokes transport (wave-driven circulation) significantly amplified water levels during the 21 October and 26 August peak, underscoring critical wave–tide interactions. This study highlights the necessity of incorporating tides, wind, elevation forcing, and wave effects into coastal hydrodynamic models to improve predictions of extreme sea level rise events. In contrast, the role of imposed boundary current can be marginalized in such scenarios. Full article

One of the manifests of air-sea interactions is the change in sea level due to meteorological forcing through wind stress and atmospheric pressure. When meteorological conditions conducive to water level increase coincide with high tides during spring tides, the sea level may rise higher than expected and pose a flood risk to coastal low-lying areas. In Hong Kong, specifically when the northeast monsoon coincides with the higher spring tides in late autumn and winter, and sometimes even compounded by the storm surge brought by late-season tropical cyclones (TCs), the result may be coastal flooding or sea inundation. Aiming at forecasting such sea level anomalies on the scale of hours and days with local tide gauges using a flexible and computationally efficient method, this study adapts a data-driven method based on empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) regression of non-uniformly lagged regional wind field from ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) to capture the effects from synoptic weather evolution patterns, excluding the effect of TCs. Local atmospheric pressure and winds are also included in the predictors of the regression model. Verification results show good performance in general. Hindcast using ECMWF forecasts as input reveals that the reduction of mean absolute error (MAE) by adding the anomaly forecast to the existing predicted astronomical tide was as high as 30% in February on average over the whole range of water levels, as well as that compared against the Delft3D forecast in a strong northeast monsoon case. The EOF method generally outperformed the persistence method in forecasting water level anomaly for a lead time of more than 6 h. The performance was even better particularly for high water levels, making it suitable to serve as a forecast reference tool for providing high water level alerts to relevant emergency response agencies to tackle the risk of coastal inundation in non-TC situations and an estimate of the anomaly contribution from the northeast monsoon under its combined effect with TC. The model is capable of improving water level forecasts up to a week ahead, despite the general decreasing model performance with increasing lead time due to less accurate input from model forecasts at a longer range. Some cases show that the model successfully predicted both positive and negative anomalies with a magnitude similar to observations up to 5 to 7 days in advance. Full article

Typhoons, extratropical cyclones, and cold fronts cause strong winds leading to storm surges and waves in the Bohai Sea. A wave–flow coupled numerical model is established for storm events observed in 2022 caused by three weather systems, to investigate how storm waves are modulated by wave–tide–surge interaction (WTSI). Wave response is basically controlled by water level change in coastal areas, where bottom friction or breaking dominates the energy dissipation, and determined by the current field in deep water by altering whitecapping. Wave height increases/decreases are induced by positive/negative water level or obtuse/acute wave–current interaction angle, leading to six types of field patterns for significant wave height (Hs) responses. For the three storm events, Hs basically changed within ±5% in central deep water, while the maximum increase/decrease reached 160%/−60% in the coastal area of Laizhou Bay/Liaodong Bay. Based on maximum Hs and its occurrence time, WTSI modulation is manifested as the superposition effect of wave–tide and wave–surge interactions in both space and time scales, and occurrence time depends more on tide than surge for all three storms. The enhancement/abatement of WTSI modulation happens for consistent/opposite changing trends of wave–tide and wave–surge interaction, with the ultimate result showing the side with a higher effect. Full article

Storm surge is one of the most remarkable natural calamities, which is shown as the abnormal sea level changes in the coastal waters during a typhoon event. To investigate the responses of storm surges to the typhoon paths, intensities and coastal dynamics, a coupled wave–current model is used to study the impacts of strong winds, considerable waves and complex currents on storm surges in the Yangtze River Estuary (YRE) during three representative typhoons of Fongwong (2014), Ampil (2018) and Lekima (2019) with different intensities and paths. The model is verified using the measured data on significant wave height and period, water level and current velocity and performs well in modeling real conditions. The numerical results demonstrate that (1) the maximum storm surge occurred in the South Channel (SC) during Fongwong and Lekima while in the North Branch (NB) during Ampil due to the typhoon path and the estuarine terrain. Among the three typhoons, Lekima presented the highest surge, with a maximum value of 1.17 m at SC2 (the inner point of the SC). There was a negative surge during Ampil, which reached −0.42 m at SC2, due to the representative path (SE to NW) and offshore wind action. (2) Tide is the main influencing factor of storm surge as the maximum or minimum value always occurs at the low or high tidal level, respectively. Meanwhile, typhoon intensity is important as it influences the variation rate of surge with higher intensity leading to a sudden increase in surge while the tidal intensity primarily affects the peak value. (3) The wave setup can counteract the wind-induced negative surge. The peak differences between storm surge isoline and wave setup isoline are 0.15, 0.2 and 0.2 m during Fongwong, Ampil and Lekima, respectively, which illustrates the impacts of the combined actions of the typhoon path and intensity on the wave setup. This research emphasizes the influences of wave–current interaction on estuarine storm surge during typhoon events and reveals the potential risks for oceanic disasters like coastal inundation. Full article

Amid mounting concerns about climate change’s impact on coastal areas, this study investigates storm surge dynamics induced by Tropical Depression 29W (TD 29W) using the MIKE 21 model. Comprehending the complex mechanisms behind storm surges is crucial considering gaps in understanding their combined influences, including tide–surge interactions, varying typhoon parameters, and changing storm tracks. The impacts of climate change, including accelerating sea level rise and its correlation with storm surge magnitudes, require detailed investigations for effective disaster management in vulnerable coastal communities. Through precise calibration, matching simulations with tidal gauge stations, this research uncovers the intricate interplay between landfall timing, diverse storm tracks, wind intensities, and the amplifying impact of rising sea levels. Findings indicate surge residuals ranging from −0.03m to 0.01m during TD 29W’s landfall, with higher surge residuals during rising tide phases. Moreover, an increase in TD 29W’s maximum wind speed moderately influences positive surges while significantly amplifying negative surge heights by 68% to 92% with wind speed increments. An analysis of typhoon track variations emphasizes the vulnerability of the Pahang coast to changing storm dynamics, underlining the need for tailored resilience strategies. Projections suggest a significant surge height increase by the year 2100, emphasizing the urgency of adaptive measures for the region. Full article

Tropical cyclones affecting Shenzhen city have shown a remarkable tendency to increase in both intensity and quantity, highlighting the urgency of accurate forecasts of storm surges and flooding for effective planning and mitigation. Utilizing satellite and field observations together with the advanced high-resolution baroclinic wave–current model (SCHISM), a comprehensive investigation aimed at storm surge and flooding in Shenzhen was conducted. Statistical work of historical tropical cyclones revealed that Shenzhen was most vulnerable to cyclones propagating from the southeast toward the northwest and passing Shenzhen down the Pearl River Estuary. Thus, a representative, i.e., super typhoon Hato (2017), was selected for further study. Validations of numerical results suggested satisfactory model performance in mapping the wave, tide, and surge processes. Remarkable differences in spatiotemporal distribution and intensity of storm surge and flooding were found along the Shenzhen coast, which was dominated by the propagation of far-field surge and tidal waves, cooperation between wind direction and coastline orientation, estuary morphology, and the land terrain. Intervention of wave–current interaction improved the simulation of the surge and flooding and triggered an earlier occurrence time of the maximum surge in specific areas. The Pearl River discharge significantly elevated the sea level height inside the estuary and contributed to a more severe surge. Given the extremely complicated river networks and huge freshwater flux of Pearl River and the increasing trend of concurrent heavy precipitation of tropical cyclones, future investigations on compound flooding were suggested. Full article

The study used the SCHISM ocean model combined with the WWM III wind wave model to quantify the interaction between wind waves and tides in the coastal zone of the Changjiang River Estuary and its adjacent areas. The wave and storm surge during Typhoon Ampil, which made landfall in July 2018 in Shanghai, were simulated by using the Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) and Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) latest reanalysis (ERA5) wind dataset from 1 July to 31 July. Model results with CFSv2 forcing show better performance in terms of significant wave height and storm surge than those with ERA5 forcing. To investigate the interactions between waves, water levels, currents, and their combined effects on significant wave and surge variations, six numerical sensitivity experiments were designed according to the different coupling methods between SCHISM and WWMIII. The research shows that in coastal areas with water depths of less than 10 m, waves are affected by water levels and currents. The differences in the effect on significant wave height between wave-tide coupling and one-way coupling with water levels and currents are negligible. Wave setup is an important physical term which cannot be ignored during the variations of storm surge caused by Typhoon Ampil. The contributions of wave set up were concentrated in coastal areas with water depths less than 10 m. The peak wave setup occurred in the Changjiang River Estuary, reaching 0.15 m. In Xiangshan Bay and Sanmen Bay, wave radiation stress makes the proportion of wave setup to the total surge reached more than 30%. The consideration of wave-tide interaction can effectively improve the accuracy of numerical wave and storm surge simulations, which can provide more accurate hindcasts of wave and storm surge variations in the Changjiang River Estuary and its adjacent coastal areas. Full article

A numerical model integrating tides, waves, and surges can accurately evaluate the surge height (SH) risks of tropical cyclones. Furthermore, incorporating the external forces exerted by the storm’s wind field can help to accurately reproduce the SH. However, the lack of long-term typhoon best track (BT) data degrades the SH evaluations of past events. Moreover, archived BT data (BTD) for older typhoons contain less information than recent typhoon BTD. Thus, herein, the wind field structure, specifically its relationship with the central air pressure, maximum wind speed, and wind radius, are augmented. Wind formulae are formulated with empirically adjusted radii and the maximum gradient wind speed is correlated with the central pressure. Furthermore, the process is expanded to four quadrants through regression analyses using historical asymmetric typhoon advisory data. The final old typhoon BTs are converted to a pseudo automated tropical cyclone forecasting format for consistency. Validation tests of the SH employing recent BT and reconstructed BT (rBT) indicate the importance of the nonlinear interactions of tides, waves, and surges for the macrotidal west and microtidal south coasts of Korea. The expanded wind fields—rBT—based on the historical old BT successfully assess the return periods of the SH. The proposed process effectively increases typhoon population data by incorporating actual storm tracks. Full article

Coastal evolutions are expected to have a significant impact on storm tides, disproportionately aggravating coastal flooding. In this study, we utilize a nested storm tide model to provide an integrated investigation of storm tide responses to changes in coastline and bathymetry along the Zhejiang coasts. We selected coastline and bathymetry data from 1980 and 2016, as well as data from three typical typhoon events (i.e., Winnie, Haikui, and Chan-hom) for simulating the storm surge processes. The results indicate that changes in the coastline and bathymetry from 1980 to 2016 have resulted in an increase in storm tides in the northern part and a decrease in the central part of Zhejiang. Specifically, storm tides in Hangzhou Bay have increased significantly, with an average increase of about 0.3 m in the maximum storm tides primarily attributed to coastline changes. On the contrary, in smaller basins like Sanmen Bay, while reclamation itself has reduced peak storm surges, rapid siltation has consequently exacerbated the storm surge. By decomposing storm tides into astronomical tides and storm surges, we discovered that the change in tidal levels was twice as significant as the surge change. Moreover, the nonlinear tide–surge interaction was nearly four times that of the pure surge, significantly contributing to storm surge variation. Alterations in the momentum balance reveal that the water depth-induced bottom friction and wind stress increase contributes to the local enlargement of storm tides at the bay head, while the coastline changes exaggerate nearshore storm tides through an increase in the advection term. Full article

Understanding drivers of tidal change is a key challenge in predicting coastal floods in the next century. Whilst interactions between tides and atmospheric surges have been studied, the effects of wind and pressure on tides on an annual scale over the Northwestern European shelf have not been investigated. Here, a modelling approach using the shallow water MARS model is carried out to understand and quantify meteorological effects on tidal characteristics. The model setup is validated against the GESLA 3 tide gauge database. Combined and relative influences of wind and pressure are investigated using four modelling scenarios: tide only; tide, wind, and pressure; tide and wind; and tide and pressure. Influences are investigated using a single year of tidal forcing, and across multiple years of meteorological data to examine the sensitivity to temporally changing meteorological conditions. It is found that meteorology influences tidal constituent amplitudes by +/−1 cm, yielding changes that may locally reach 15 cm in the predicted highest tide. Analysis of the shallow water equations show three non-linear interaction terms between tide, wind, and pressure (advective effects, quadratic parameterization of bottom friction, and shallow water effect). Part of the observed changes is shown to arise from meteorologically induced mean sea-level changes. Full article

A coupled wave–tide–circulation model is used to investigate wave–current interactions (WCIs) over the shelf waters of the Northwest Atlantic (NWA) during Hurricane Earl (2010). WCIs have substantial impacts on hydrodynamics in the upper ocean. The significant wave heights are modulated by WCIs, particularly over regions with strong current gradients, with a reduction up to ~2.1 m (20%) during the storm. Noticeable decreases in surface elevations and tidal currents occur in regions with strong tides such as the Gulf of Maine, mainly due to the wave-enhanced bottom stress. Over regions with weak tidal currents, wave effects on currents are dominated by two competitive processes between wave-induced forces and wave-enhanced mixing. The former strengthens surface currents (up to ~0.55 m/s) and increases the peak storm surge (up to ~0.48 m). The latter is responsible for the reduction in storm-induced surface currents (up to ~0.94 m/s) and anticyclonic modulation of current directions. Vertically, WCIs extend the strong vertical current shear and shift it downward during the storm, which enhances the local mixing and changes the structures of near-inertial oscillations (NIOs). Moreover, tidal currents also change the magnitudes of the NIOs and subtidal currents and affect the intensity of WCIs. Full article