Search Results (11)

The Dvorak technique has represented a fundamental tool for understanding the power of tropical cyclones based on their shape and geometric evolution. However, it should be noted that the Dvorak technique is purely morphological in nature and was developed for wind, not precipitation. The role of shape methods in precipitation prediction remains uncertain, particularly in the context of modern multi-sensor capabilities. This uncertainty forms the motivation for the present study. In an attempt to enrich Dvorak’s technique, this study proposes a novel hypothesis. This study tests the hypothesis that higher precipitation intensity is associated with more organized cloud-system morphology, as captured by simple geometric descriptors and indicative of dynamically coherent convection. A total of 3419 cloud-system objects (after size filter) were utilized to establish geometric relationships in each of them. For the case study of Hurricane Patricia over the Mexican coast in 2015, 3858 geometric shapes were processed. The cloud-system morphology was derived from geostationary imagery (GOES-13) and collocated with satellite precipitation estimates in order to isolate intense-rainfall objects (>50 mm/h). For each object, simple geometric descriptors were computed, and shape variability was summarised via Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The present study sought to evaluate the associations with rain-rate metrics (mean, mode, maximum) using rank correlations and k-means clustering. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were conducted on the rain threshold and minimum object size. A Shape Descriptor: ratio between perimeter and diameter was identified as a promising tool to enhance early prediction models of extreme rainfall, contributing to enhanced meteorological risk management. The study indicates that cloud shape can serve as a valuable indicator in the classification and forecasting of intense cloud systems. Full article

The integration of unmanned aerial vehicle-based laser scanning (ULS) and mobile laser scanning (MLS) enables the detection of forest three-dimensional structure in high-density canopy areas and has become an important tool for monitoring and managing forest ecosystems. However, MLS faces difficulties in positioning due to canopy occlusion, making integration challenging. Due to the variations in observation platforms, ULS and MLS point clouds exhibit significant structural discrepancies and limited overlapping areas, necessitating effective methods for feature extraction and correspondence establishment between these features to achieve high-precision registration and integration. Therefore, we propose a registration algorithm that introduces a Feature Deviation Metric to enable feature extraction and correspondence construction for forest point clouds in complex regional environments. The algorithm first extracts surface point clouds using the hidden point algorithm. Then, it applies the proposed dual-threshold method to cluster individual tree features in ULS, using cylindrical detection to construct a Feature Deviation Metric from the feature points and surface point clouds. Finally, an optimization algorithm is employed to match the optimal Feature Deviation Metric for registration. Experiments were conducted in 8 stratified mixed tropical rainforest plots with complex mixed-species canopies in Malaysia and 6 structurally simple, high-canopy-density pure forest plots in anorthern China. Our algorithm achieved an average RMSE of 0.17 m in eight tropical rainforest plots with an average canopy density of 0.93, and an RMSE of 0.05 m in six northern forest plots in China with an average canopy density of 0.75, demonstrating high registration capability. Additionally, we also conducted comparative and adaptability analyses, and the results indicate that the proposed model exhibits high accuracy, efficiency, and stability in high-canopy-density forest areas. Moreover, it shows promise for high-precision ULS-MLS registration in a wider range of forest types in the future. Full article

Mangrove ecosystems are important in tropical and subtropical coastal zones, contributing to marine biodiversity and maintaining marine ecological balance. It is crucial to develop more efficient, intelligent, and accurate monitoring methods for mangroves to understand better and protect mangrove ecosystems. This study promotes a novel model, MangroveNet, for integrating multi-scale spectral and spatial information and detecting mangrove area. In addition, we also present an improved model, AttCloudNet+, to identify the distribution of mangrove species based on high-resolution multispectral drone images. These models incorporate spectral and spatial attention mechanisms and have been shown to effectively address the limitations of traditional methods, which have been prone to inaccuracy and low efficiency in mangrove species identification. In this study, we compare the results from MangroveNet with SegNet, UNet, and DeepUNet, etc. The findings demonstrate that the MangroveNet exhibits superior generalization learning capabilities and more accurate extraction outcomes than other deep learning models. The accuracy, F1_Score, mIoU, and precision of MangroveNet were 99.13%, 98.84%, 98.11%, and 99.14%, respectively. In terms of identifying mangrove species, the prediction results from AttCloudNet+ were compared with those obtained from traditional supervised and unsupervised classifications and various machine learning and deep learning methods. These include K-means clustering, ISODATA cluster analysis, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and others. The comparison demonstrates that the mangrove species identification results obtained using AttCloudNet+ exhibit the most optimal performance in terms of the Kappa coefficient and the overall accuracy (OA) index, reaching 0.81 and 0.87, respectively. The two comparison results confirm the effectiveness of the two models developed in this study for identifying mangroves and their species. Overall, we provide an efficient solution based on deep learning with a dual attention mechanism in the acceptable real-time monitoring of mangroves and their species using high-resolution multispectral drone imagery. Full article

The maize tassel represents one of the most pivotal organs dictating maize yield and quality. Investigating its phenotypic information constitutes an exceedingly crucial task within the realm of breeding work, given that an optimal tassel structure is fundamental for attaining high maize yields. High-throughput phenotyping technologies furnish significant tools to augment the efficiency of analyzing maize tassel phenotypic information. Towards this end, we engineered a fully automated multi-angle digital imaging apparatus dedicated to maize tassels. This device was employed to capture images of tassels from 1227 inbred maize lines falling under three genotype classifications (NSS, TST, and SS). By leveraging the 3D reconstruction algorithm SFM (Structure from Motion), we promptly obtained point clouds of the maize tassels. Subsequently, we harnessed the TreeQSM algorithm, which is custom-designed for extracting tree topological structures, to extract 11 archetypal structural phenotypic parameters of the maize tassels. These encompassed main spike diameter, crown height, main spike length, stem length, stem diameter, the number of branches, total branch length, average crown diameter, maximum crown diameter, convex hull volume, and crown area. Finally, we compared the GFC (Gaussian Fuzzy Clustering algorithm) used in this study with commonly used algorithms, such as RF (Random Forest), SVM (Support Vector Machine), and BPNN (BP Neural Network), as well as k-Means, HCM (Hierarchical), and FCM (Fuzzy C-Means). We then conducted a correlation analysis between the extracted phenotypic parameters of the maize tassel structure and the genotypes of the maize materials. The research results showed that the Gaussian Fuzzy Clustering algorithm was the optimal choice for clustering maize genotypes. Specifically, its classification accuracies for the Non-Stiff Stalk (NSS) genotype and the Tropical and Subtropical (TST) genotype reached 67.7% and 78.5%, respectively. Moreover, among the materials with different maize genotypes, the number of branches, the total branch length, and the main spike length were the three indicators with the highest variability, while the crown volume, the average crown diameter, and the crown area were the three indicators with the lowest variability. This not only provided an important reference for the in-depth exploration of the variability of the phenotypic parameters of maize tassels but also opened up a new approach for screening breeding materials. Full article

Estimating forest carbon content typically requires the precise measurement of the trees’ diameter at breast height (DBH), which is crucial for maintaining the health and sustainability of natural forests. Currently, Terrestrial Laser Scanning (TLS) systems are commonly used to acquire forest point cloud data for DBH estimation. However, traditional circular fitting methods face challenges such as a reliance on forest elevation normalization and underfitting of large trees. This study explores a novel approach, the Shape Diameter Function (SDF) algorithm model, leveraging the advantages of three-dimensional point cloud information to replace traditional circular fitting methods. This study employed a parallel approach, combining the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) with Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) to segment tree point clouds at breast height. Additionally, a point cloud SDF algorithm based on an octree structure was proposed to accurately estimate individual tree DBH. The research data were obtained from tropical secondary forests located in Cameroon, Peru, Indonesia, and Guyana, with forest ground point cloud data acquired via TLS. The experimental results demonstrated the superior performance of the SDF algorithm in estimating DBH. Compared with the Random Sample Consensus (RANSAC) and Hough transform methods, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) decreased by 28.1% and 47.8%, respectively. Particularly in estimating DBH for large trees, the SDF algorithm exhibited smaller errors, indicating a closer alignment between the estimated individual tree DBH values and those obtained from manual measurements. This study presented a more accurate DBH estimation algorithm, contributing to the exploration of improved forest carbon content estimation methods. Full article

Continuous monitoring of forest disturbance on tropical forests is a fundamental tool to support proactive preservation actions and to stop further destruction of native vegetation. Currently most of the monitoring systems in operation are based on optical imagery, and thus are flaw-prone on areas with frequent cloud cover. As this, several Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)-based systems have been developed recently, aiming all-weather disturbance detection. This article presents the main aspects and the results of the first year of operation of the SAR based Near Real-Time Deforestation Detection System (DETER-R), an automated deforestation detection system focused on the Brazilian Amazon. DETER-R uses the Google Earth Engine platform to preprocess and analyze Sentinel-1 SAR time series. New images are treated and analyzed daily. After the automated analysis, the system vectorizes clusters of deforested pixels and sends the corresponding polygons to the environmental enforcement agency. After 12 months of operational life, the system has produced 88,572 forest disturbance warnings. Human validation of the warning polygons showed a extremely low rate of misdetections, with less than 0.2% of the detected area corresponding to false positives. During the first year of operation, DETER-R provided 33,234 warnings of interest to national monitoring agencies which were not detected by its optical counterpart DETER in the same period, corresponding to an area of 105,238.5 ha, or approximately 5% of the total detections. During the rainy season, the rate of additional detections increased as expected, reaching 8.1%. Full article

In recent years, due to the influence of global warming, extreme weather events occur frequently, such as the continuous heavy precipitation, regional high temperature, super typhoon, etc. Tropical cyclones make frequent landfall, heavy rains and flood disasters caused by landfall typhoons have a huge impact, and typhoon rainstorms are often closely related to mesoscale and small-scale system activities. The application 2020 NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) final operational global analysis data and WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting model, version 3.9) mesoscale numerical prediction model successfully simulates the evolution characteristics of the mesoscale convective complex (MCC) that caused an extreme rainstorm in the Yangtze River delta region behind a northwards typhoon in this article. The results show that a meso-β-scale vortex existed in the mid- to upper troposphere in the region where the MCC occurred; accompanied by the occurrence of the meso-β-scale vortex, the convective cloud clusters developed violently, and its shape is a typical vortex structure. The simulation-sensitive experiment shows that the development of the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex is the main reason for the enhancement of MCC. The occurrence and development of the MCC is manifested as a vertical positive vorticity column and a strong vertical ascending motion region in the dynamic field. In the development and maturity stage of the MCC, the vorticity and vertical rising velocity in the MCC area are significantly greater than those in the weakened typhoon circulation, which shows significant mesoscale convective system characteristics. The diagnostic analysis of the vorticity equation shows that the positive vorticity advection caused by the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex in the mid- to upper troposphere plays important roles in the development of the MCC. Enhanced low-level convergence enhances vertical ascending motion. The convective latent heat release also plays an important role on the development of the MCC, changes the atmospheric instability by heating, enhances the upward movement, and delivers positive vorticity to the upper level, making the convection develop higher, forming a positive feedback mechanism between low-level convergence and high-level divergence. The simulation-sensitive experiment also shows that the meso-β-scale cyclonic vortex formation in this process is related to convective latent heat release. Full article

Tropical cloud clusters (TCCs) are embryos of tropical cyclones (TCs) and may have the potential to develop into TCs. The genesis productivity (GP) of TCCs is used to quantify the proportion of TCCs that can evolve into TCs. Recent studies have revealed a decrease in GP of western North Pacific (WNP) TCCs during the extended boreal summer (July–October) since 1998. Here, we show that the changing tendencies in GP of WNP TCCs have obvious seasonality. Although most months could see recent decreases in GP of WNP TCCs, with October experiencing the strongest decreasing trend, May is the only month with a significant recent increasing trend. The opposite changing tendencies in May and October could be attributed to different changes in low-level atmospheric circulation anomalies triggered by different sea surface temperature (SST) configurations across the tropical oceans. In May, stronger SST warming in the tropical western Pacific could prompt increased anomalous westerlies associated with anomalous cyclonic circulation, accompanied by the weakening of the WNP subtropical high and the strengthening of the WNP monsoon. Such changes in background atmospheric circulations could favor the enhancement of atmospheric eddy kinetic energy and barotropic energy conversions, resulting in a recent intensified GP of WNP TCCs in May. In October, stronger SST warming in the tropical Atlantic and Indian Oceans contributed to anomalous easterlies over the tropical WNP associated with anomalous anticyclonic circulation, giving rise to the suppressed atmospheric eddy kinetic energy and recent weakened GP of WNP TCCs. These results highlight the seasonality in recent changing tendencies in the GP of WNP TCCs and associated large-scale atmospheric-oceanic conditions. Full article

Thunderstorms in southeastern South America (SESA) stand out in satellite observations as being among the strongest on Earth in terms of satellite-based convective proxies, such as lightning flash rate per storm, the prevalence for extremely tall, wide convective cores and broad stratiform regions. Accurately quantifying when and where strong convection is initiated presents great interest in operational forecasting and convective system process studies due to the relationship between convective storms and severe weather phenomena. This paper generates a novel methodology to determine convective initiation (CI) signatures associated with extreme convective systems, including extreme events. Based on the well-established area-overlapping technique, an adaptive brightness temperature threshold for identification and backward tracking with infrared data is introduced in order to better identify areas of deep convection associated with and embedded within larger cloud clusters. This is particularly important over SESA because ground-based weather radar observations are currently limited to particular areas. Extreme rain precipitation features (ERPFs) from Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission are examined to quantify the full satellite-observed life cycle of extreme convective events, although this technique allows examination of other intense convection proxies such as the identification of overshooting tops. CI annual and diurnal cycles are analyzed and distinctive behaviors are observed for different regions over SESA. It is found that near principal mountain barriers, a bimodal diurnal CI distribution is observed denoting the existence of multiple CI triggers, while convective initiation over flat terrain has a maximum frequency in the afternoon. Full article

Analysis of daily solar irradiation variability and predictability in space and time is important for energy resources planning, development, and management. The natural intermittency of solar irradiation is mainly triggered by atmospheric turbulent conditions, radiative transfer, optical properties of cloud and aerosol, moisture and atmospheric stability, orographic and thermal forcing, which introduce additional complexity into the phenomenological records. To address this question for daily solar irradiation data recorded during the period 2011–2015, at 32 stations measuring solar irradiance on La Reunion French tropical Indian Ocean Island, we use the tools of non-linear dynamics: the intermittency and chaos analysis, the largest Lyapunov exponent, Sample entropy, the Kolmogorov complexity and its derivatives (Kolmogorov complexity spectrum and its highest value), and spatial weighted Kolmogorov complexity combined with Hamming distance to assess complexity and corresponding predictability. Finally, we have clustered the Kolmogorov time (that quantifies the time span beyond which randomness significantly influences predictability) for daily cumulative solar irradiation for all stations. We show that under the record-breaking 2011–2012 La Nina event and preceding a very strong El-Nino 2015–2016 event, the predictability of daily incident solar energy over La Réunion is affected. Full article

Worldwide, it is acknowledged that changes of land use influence water quality; however, in tropical forests, the relationship between land use and water quality is still poorly understood. This study assessed spatial and seasonal variations in water quality, and the relationship between water quality and changes of land use in the Bobos-Nautla River, whose upper course runs across a patch of a tropical cloud forest. Spatial and seasonal variations in water quality and land use were assessed with multivariate tools. A cluster analysis, as well as a Principal Component Analysis (PCA-3D), identified three groups of sites: (1) an upper portion, which showed the best water quality and the broadest natural vegetation coverage; (2) a middle course, with high nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations associated with extensive agricultural uses; and (3) a lower course, characterized by the highest levels of total and fecal coliforms, as well as ammonia nitrogen, associated with the highest percentage of urbanization and human settlements. Our findings demonstrate the impact of changes of land use on water quality of rivers running through cloud forests in tropical zones, which are currently endangered ecosystems. Full article