Land 2026, 15(7), 1209; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15071209 (registering DOI) - 6 Jul 2026
Abstract
As climate change intensifies heat extremes, the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect amplifies local thermal stress. Assessing the UHI using robust observational data, whether ground- and/or satellite-based, is essential for climate risk assessment and evidence-based urban adaptation. Therefore, this study aims to provide
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As climate change intensifies heat extremes, the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect amplifies local thermal stress. Assessing the UHI using robust observational data, whether ground- and/or satellite-based, is essential for climate risk assessment and evidence-based urban adaptation. Therefore, this study aims to provide a comprehensive climatological assessment of air temperature patterns and UHI intensity across the Lisbon Metropolitan Area (LMA) over a 26-year period (2000–2025). The methodology employs a dense, high-quality integrated network of in-situ weather stations from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) and the National Water Resources Information System (SNIRH). To bridge critical gaps in traditional climate assessments, this research implements a dual-perspective approach that combines the high temporal resolution of MSG-SEVIRI and the spatial precision of MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST). This framework accurately captures the lag effects between surface heating and atmospheric response. Validation results demonstrate that satellite-derived LST is a robust proxy for monitoring the nocturnal UHI, with differences generally below 1 °C compared with near-surface air temperature observations (T2m). However, daytime LST significantly overestimates atmospheric temperatures, with deviations of 2–8 °C due to solar radiation and urban geometry. The selection of rural reference stations constitutes a critical methodological factor, as a baseline shift can alter perceived UHI intensities by more than 3 °C. Despite these sensitivities, the results unequivocally confirm a persistent and spatially heterogeneous UHI effect in Lisbon, which intensifies during extreme heat events by up to an additional 4 °C. Analysis of the 2003 and 2018 heatwaves reveals surface LST anomalies exceeding 10 °C and urban–rural thermal differentials reaching up to 7 °C under conditions of suppressed maritime breezes. These nocturnal anomalies are particularly pronounced in densely built-up areas, limiting thermal dissipation and preventing physiological recovery. Integrating multi-sensor satellite data with in-situ validation provides a new benchmark for climate risk assessments, delivering the reliable, reproducible data required to strengthen long-term urban resilience under increasingly frequent extreme heat events.
Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers for "Land–Climate Interactions" Section: Integration of Remote Sensing and GIS)
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