A Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods for Global Energy-Efficient Route Planning
Abstract
1. Introduction
- ➀
- Taxonomy of Forecasting Methods: We classify dynamic traffic flow prediction techniques (statistical, machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid methods) published between 2020 and 2025, and propose a unified evaluation framework (e.g., RMSE, MAPE, computational latency).
- ➁
- Integration Framework: We develop a theoretical architecture for coupling real-time flow forecasts with multi-objective cost functions (distance, time, energy) in classical path-search algorithms (A*, Dijkstra, genetic algorithms).
- ➂
- Research Gaps and Future Directions: We identify open challenges in data quality, real-time scalability in IoT/5G environments, and extensions to multi-modal, personalized routing, and outline promising avenues for future work.
2. Research Background and Development Trajectory
2.1. Traffic Flow Prediction
2.2. Eco-Routing
2.3. Prediction–Planning Integration
3. Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods
3.1. Statistical Models
3.1.1. ARIMA and SARIMA
3.1.2. Kalman Filter
3.1.3. Fourier Series and Other Methods
3.2. Machine Learning Models
3.2.1. Linear Regression and Support Vector Regression (SVR)
3.2.2. Random Forest (RF)
3.2.3. XGBoost and LightGBM
3.3. Deep Learning Models
3.3.1. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs)
3.3.2. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU)
3.3.3. Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs)
3.3.4. Research Gaps on Key Elements of Spatiotemporal Traffic Forecasting
3.4. Hybrid and Enhanced Approaches
3.4.1. Wavelet Denoising + XGBoost
3.4.2. MLR-LSTM
3.4.3. Dual Error Model (DEM)
4. Theoretical Integration of Prediction Results in Energy-Saving Route Planning
4.1. Overview of the Theoretical Integrated Architecture
4.1.1. Prediction Module
4.1.2. Dynamic Cost Function Design
4.1.3. Path Search Algorithm Overview
4.2. Review of Classical Path Search Algorithms
4.2.1. A* Algorithm
4.2.2. Dijkstra Algorithm
4.2.3. Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA)
4.3. Integration Mode Comparison from Literature: A Critical Analysis
4.3.1. “Prediction → A” Fast Response Mode*
4.3.2. “Prediction → Genetic Optimization” Global Optimal Mode
4.3.3. Comparative Theoretical Analysis of Methods
5. Research Gaps, Challenges, and Future Directions
5.1. Data Dimension: Quality, Coverage, and Privacy Compliance
5.2. Algorithmic Dimension: Trade-Offs in Real-Time Performance, Scalability, and Interpretability
5.3. Integration of Emerging Technologies: IoT/5G, Vehicular Networks, and Digital Twins
5.4. Multimodal Transportation and Personalized Route Planning
- (1)
- Dynamic route adaptation: Basso et al. [56] demonstrate how a reinforcement-learning agent can continuously recalibrate route recommendations to optimize both energy use and travel time [102]. For user preferences, a preference matrix P = [p1, p2, p3, p4, p5, p6] can be introduced, where p1–p6 correspond to weights for time, energy, distance, walking comfort, transit convenience, and cycling friendliness (summing to 1). When a user selects comfort-prioritized routes three consecutive times, the system automatically increases p4 by 20% [103].
- (2)
- Real-time synchronization: Chen et al. [48] show that techniques drawn from industrial online scheduling can improve transfer timing and fleet utilization [104,105]. In multimodal scenarios, this can dynamically balance transfer wait times and energy costs—for example, when metro delays exceed 5 min, triggering automatic weight adjustments for bus/cycling alternatives [74,81], see Table 3.
5.5. Recommendations: Standardized Evaluation Platforms and Open-Source Toolkits
- Unified Evaluation Backbone
- Open-Source, Modular Toolkit
- Community-Driven Governance & Evolution
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Method Category | Method Name | Advantages | Disadvantages | Applicable Scenarios |
---|---|---|---|---|
Statistical Models | ARIMA and SARIMA | Simple structure, computationally efficient, suitable for stationary time series data [34] | High data stationarity requirement, ineffective for sudden events or short-term fluctuations [36] | Long-term, stable traffic flow prediction [34] |
Statistical Models | Kalman Filter | Real-time updates, low latency, effective for handling noisy and uncertain data [38] | Assumes Gaussian noise, not suitable for non-Gaussian or complex dynamic flows [22] | Small-scale real-time traffic monitoring, micro-level dynamic adjustments [22] |
Machine Learning Models | Linear Regression & SVR | Easy to understand, SVR effectively handles complex non-linearities [48] | Sensitive to noise, computationally expensive, less accurate with complex data [48] | Medium-term predictions, scenarios with strong linear relationships between features and targets |
Machine Learning Models | Random Forest (RF) | Strong non-linear modeling capability, resistant to overfitting, automatic feature selection [23] | High computational cost, especially with large datasets; tree depth and number significantly affect model speed | Multi-feature traffic flow prediction, energy-efficient route planning |
Machine Learning Models | XGBoost and LightGBM | Strong predictive power, efficient with large datasets, supports real-time updates [49] | Complex model tuning, highly sensitive to missing values and hyperparameter selection | Large-scale real-time traffic flow prediction, dynamic route adjustments |
Deep Learning Models | Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) | Efficient in extracting spatial features, well-suited for learning road network structures [50] | Limited in capturing temporal dependencies, typically requires integration with models like LSTM [24,25,26,47] | Spatial data analysis in traffic flow prediction, road network modeling |
Deep Learning Models | LSTM & GRU | Captures long-term dependencies, effective for dynamic traffic flow prediction [19] | Sensitive to noise, requires large datasets, computationally expensive [19] | Short-term traffic forecasting, spatiotemporal speed prediction |
Deep Learning Models | Spatiotemporal GNNs | Models both spatial and temporal dependencies, suitable for large-scale traffic networks [2] | High computational complexity, slower inference speed [2] | Large-scale real-time traffic forecasting, congestion detection |
Hybrid and Enhanced Approaches | Wavelet Denoising + XGBoost | Wavelet denoising improves data quality, XGBoost enhances prediction accuracy [20] | High computational overhead, may hinder real-time applications | Traffic data with noise or low signal, improving model performance in noisy datasets |
Hybrid and Enhanced Approaches | MLR + LSTM | Combines traditional statistical models with deep learning, capturing both linear and non-linear features [24,25,26,47] | Integration complexity, may require tuning for optimal performance | Traffic prediction with both linear and non-linear dependencies |
Hybrid and Enhanced Approaches | Dual Error Model (DEM) | Improves prediction stability and accuracy by integrating model and observational errors [27] | High computational complexity when merging multiple error sources | Complex, uncertain traffic data scenarios, federated learning for traffic prediction |
Mode | Computational Efficiency | Solution Quality | Suitable Scenarios | Supporting Literature |
---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction → A* | High | Local Optimum | Real-time navigation, fast response | Sebai et al. (2022); Dai et al. (2021); Jose & Vijula Grace (2022) [8,57,58] |
Prediction → Genetic Optimization | Low | Global Optimum | Long-term planning, multi-objective optimization | Zhao et al. (2023); Li et al. (2022); Basso et al. (2022) [12,29,56] |
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Qi, P.; Pan, C.; Xu, X.; Wang, J.; Liang, J.; Zhou, W. A Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods for Global Energy-Efficient Route Planning. Sensors 2025, 25, 5560. https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175560
Qi P, Pan C, Xu X, Wang J, Liang J, Zhou W. A Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods for Global Energy-Efficient Route Planning. Sensors. 2025; 25(17):5560. https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175560
Chicago/Turabian StyleQi, Pengyang, Chaofeng Pan, Xing Xu, Jian Wang, Jun Liang, and Weiqi Zhou. 2025. "A Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods for Global Energy-Efficient Route Planning" Sensors 25, no. 17: 5560. https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175560
APA StyleQi, P., Pan, C., Xu, X., Wang, J., Liang, J., & Zhou, W. (2025). A Review of Dynamic Traffic Flow Prediction Methods for Global Energy-Efficient Route Planning. Sensors, 25(17), 5560. https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175560