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Article

Inference Based on Progressive-Stress Accelerated Life-Testing for Extended Distribution via the Marshall-Olkin Family Under Progressive Type-II Censoring with Optimality Techniques

by
Ehab M. Almetwally
1,*,
Osama M. Khaled
2 and
Haroon M. Barakat
3
1
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia
2
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Science, Port Said University, Port Said 42521, Egypt
3
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Zagazig University, Zagazig 44759, Egypt
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Axioms 2025, 14(4), 244; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040244
Submission received: 22 January 2025 / Revised: 17 March 2025 / Accepted: 20 March 2025 / Published: 23 March 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Stochastic Modeling and Optimization Techniques)

Abstract

:
This paper explores a progressive-stress accelerated life test under progressive type-II censoring with binomial random removal. It assumes a cumulative exposure model in which the lifetimes of test units follow a Marshall–Olkin length-biased exponential distribution. The study derives maximum likelihood and Bayes estimates of the model parameters and constructs Bayes estimates of the unknown parameters under various loss functions. In addition, this study provides approximate, credible, and bootstrapping confidence intervals for the estimators. Moreover, it evaluates three optimal test methods to determine the most effective censoring approach based on various optimality criteria. A real-life dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the proposed procedures and simulation studies used to compare two different designs of the progressive-stress test.

1. Introduction

Advancements in science and technology have led to incredibly durable and complex products such as silicone seals, computers, and LEDs. Reliability is a cornerstone of product quality, so manufacturers invest heavily in testing, design, and other efforts to ensure dependable performance. Ideally, this would involve a wealth of life-testing data. However, a challenge arises with highly reliable products, as their extended lifespans often mean that very few or even zero failures occur within a reasonable testing period under normal operating conditions. The traditional maximum likelihood (ML) method faces challenges in this scenario.
Accelerated life testing (ALT) is employed to expedite failure detection. ALT applies higher-than-usual stress conditions (such as temperature and voltage) to products to induce earlier failures and assess their reliability. These data are then analyzed to estimate a product’s lifespan under normal use. There are different ways to apply stress in ALT: Constant stress maintains a fixed level, step-stress increases it gradually in discrete stages, and progressive stress continuously increases it over time. For a more comprehensive understanding of these accelerated models, refer to Nelson’s [1] study. Using ALT, manufacturers can gather critical failure data more quickly, even for highly reliable products. This approach improves product design, improves testing efficiency, and reduces costs. See Figure 1 to view the difference between the possible types of ALT, where ( S 1 , S 2 , and S 3 ) or (A, B, and C) are stress levels. Additionally, NOC (normal operating conditions) are highlighted to indicate baseline performance under standard conditions. For more information, see [2].
Progressive-stress ALT adopts a different approach compared to constant and step-stress methods. Here, the stress level in each unit constantly increases over time. A specific example is a ramp stress test, where stress increases linearly. Various researchers have explored this approach, with studies focusing on different aspects. For instance, Yin and Sheng [3] investigated finding the maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) for an exponential progressive-stress model, while Bai and Cha [4] explored optimal test designs and failure rate models under progressive stress conditions. AL-Hussaini et al. [5] discussed one-sample Bayesian prediction intervals based on progressively type-II censored data from the half-logistic distribution under the progressive stress model.
Figure 1 discussed (1) constant stress levels ( S 1 , S 2 , S 3 ), (2) step-stress ( S 1 , S 2 , S 3 ), and (3) progressive-stress (A, B, C). Types of accelerated life testing, illustrating constant stress, step-stress, and progressive-stress methods with different stress levels. For more information see [2].
In life testing, experiments often end before all units fail. These “censored data” help to reduce testing time and costs. Two common censoring methods are type-I and type-II censoring. Recently, progressive type-II censoring has gained popularity for analyzing data from highly reliable products. The process works as follows: Suppose n identical items are being tested. The experimenter predefines several failures (m, where m is less than n) that are expected to occur. The experimenter also predetermines how many surviving units to remove ( R 1 , R 2 , , R m ) at each failure point. These removal numbers add up to the total number of surviving units that the experimenter will keep at the end ( n m ) . The test ends after the mth failure, with any remaining units being withdrawn. For more information on progressive type-II censoring, refer to Balakrishnan and Aggarwala [6] or Balakrishnan and Cramer [7].
The research on progressive-stress ALT extends beyond basic models based on censored samples. Rong-hua and Heliang [8] explored its application with the Weibull distribution and a tampered failure rate model. Other studies used progressive stress with various distribution models and statistical techniques. For instance, Abdel-Hamid and Al-Hussaini [9] examined progressive stress combined with finite mixture distributions, progressive censoring, and Bayesian analysis for different underlying lifetime distributions. This research demonstrated the versatility of progressive-stress ALT and its potential for analyzing complex failure data. Abdel-Hamid and Al-Hussaini [10] also studied inference for a progressive stress model based on Weibull distribution under progressive type-II censoring. Recently, studies have used progressive-stress ALT based on censoring schemes [11,12,13,14,15,16].
This research presents a novel methodology for testing the reliability of highly dependable products by integrating progressive-stress ALT with the Marshall–Olkin length-biased exponential (MOLBE) distribution under progressive type-II censoring. The MOLBE distribution offers greater flexibility in modeling hazard rates compared to other distributions, making it more accurate for analyzing censored data, especially for products with low failure rates. This study explores statistical estimation methods and optimal confidence interval analysis while providing simulation studies to assess the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
This study is structured to guide you through a new life testing approach for highly reliable products. Section 2 describes the model and testing assumptions. Section 3 and Section 4 estimate the model’s parameters using both MLEs and a modern Bayesian approach with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Section 5 constructs reliable confidence intervals for the parameters. Optimal censoring schemes for the progressive type-II censoring model are obtained in Section 6. To demonstrate the method’s application, Section 7 analyzes a real-world dataset. Section 8 reinforces the approach’s effectiveness through simulations, and Section 9 concludes this study by providing key takeaways.

2. Model Description and Test Assumption

In this section, an overview of the model under consideration is provided. Also, the ramp stress ALT model is constructed according to the assumptions outlined in the second subsection.

2.1. Marshall–Olkin Length-Biased Exponential Distribution

This study discusses a recently proposed lifetime distribution called the MOLBE distribution, which builds upon the length-biased exponential distribution and Marshall–Olkin family. It generalizes the concept of the length-biased exponential distribution. The mathematical details of this distribution are provided by ul Haq et al. [17], including its cumulative distribution function (CDF), probability density function (PDF), and hazard rate function (HRF). These functions describe the probability of failure within a certain time, the likelihood of failure at a specific time, and the instantaneous risk of failure over time, respectively.
G ( x ; α , β ) = 1 1 + x β e β x 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + x β e x β , g ( x ; α , β ) = α β 2 x e β x 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + x β e x β 2 , x , α , β > 0 h ( x ; α , β ) = β 2 x 1 + x β 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + x β e x β .
A recent study by ul Haq et al. [17] explored the MOLBE distribution as a potential alternative to several existing models for analyzing lifetime data. These existing models included the standard exponential distribution and extensions of exponential, Marshall–Olkin extended exponential, moment exponential, and exponentiated moment exponential distributions. The implication is that MOLBE might offer advantages over these established models for accurately capturing the patterns observed in real-world lifetime data.

2.2. Progressive Stress ALT (PSALT) Structure and Assumptions

This subsection focuses on the underlying assumptions and the mathematical model for designing PSALT experiments. The following provides a breakdown of the key assumptions:
  • Lifetime Distribution: The lifetime of each object being tested is assumed to follow a MOLBE distribution with specific parameters ( α , β ) . This distribution describes the probability of a unit failing at a certain time.
  • Progressive Stress Levels: The stress applied to the units increases gradually over time according to a predefined law. This law relates the stress level (denoted by Φ i ( t ) ) at a specific stage (i) to the corresponding time (t). The time stages ( u 1 , u 2 , , u k ) are ordered with increasing values, and each stage represents a specific stress level (which could be voltage, temperature, or another relevant factor).
  • Stress and Lifetime Relationship: The relationship between the applied stress ( Φ i ( t ) ) and the characteristic lifetime ( h i = u i u i 1 ) of the units at each stress level follows an inverse power law. This law describes how the lifetime of the units is expected to decrease as the stress level increases as follows:
    Φ i ( t ) = 1 δ 0 [ V i ( t ) ] η ; δ 0 > 0 , η > 0 ,
    where δ 0 and η represent unidentified parameters; please refer to the experimental section regarding acceleration for further information on these methods (additional details on these acceleration techniques can be found in Chapter 2 of [1]).
  • Typically, the lifespan of a unit follows a MOLBE distribution when operating under normal conditions. Additionally, the progressive stress, denoted as V ( t ) , increases linearly with time at a constant rate h, expressed as V i ( t ) = h i t , where V is greater than zero; 0 < h 1 < h 2 < < h k .
  • The k items tested are divided into ( k 2 ) groups for the testing procedure.
  • The effect of stress variation across different levels is modeled using a linear cumulative exposure model. For further elaboration, please refer to Nelson [1].
Based on the assumption of the linear cumulative exposure model, a test unit’s CDF under progressive stress V u ( t ) can be expressed as
F u ( t ; α , β ) = G u ( Δ t ; α , β ) , u = 1 , , k ,
where
Δ t = 0 t 1 Φ i ( x ) d x = δ 0 h i η t ( η + 1 ) ( η + 1 ) ,
and G u ( . ) is the CDF of the MOLBE distribution under progressive stress V u ( t ) with the scale parameter β taken as 1. Therefore, the CDF, PDF, and HRF of the MOLBE distribution are based on PSALT as follows:
F i ( t ; α , δ 0 , η ) = 1 1 + δ i t ( η + 1 ) e δ i t ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t ( η + 1 ) e δ i t ( η + 1 ) , f i ( t ; α , δ 0 , η ) = α δ i 2 t ( η + 1 ) e δ i t ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t ( η + 1 ) e δ i t ( η + 1 ) 2 , t , α , δ 0 , η > 0 h i ( t ; α , δ 0 , η ) = δ i 2 t ( η + 1 ) 1 + δ i t ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t ( η + 1 ) e δ i t ( η + 1 ) ,
where δ i = δ 0 h i η η + 1 .

2.3. Progressive Type-II Censored

Various censoring schemes, including common type-I and type-II censoring, have been extensively discussed in the literature; see Kundu and Pradhan [18]. Recently, progressive censoring schemes have gained attention for their efficient resource utilization. Progressive type-II censoring extends type-II censoring by placing n units on a life test and observing only m failures. When a failure occurs, a predetermined number of surviving units are randomly removed. This process continues until the m-th failure, at which point all remaining units are removed. The censoring numbers R i are before the experiment. The sample is denoted by t 1 : m : n , t 2 : m : n , , t m : m : n . For more information, see Balakrishnan and Aggarwala [6]. The likelihood function for progressive type-II is as follows:
L ( Ω ) = C i = 1 m f ( t ( i : m : n ) ; Ω ) 1 F ( t ( i : m : n ) ; Ω ) R i ,
where Ω is a vector of parameters, and C is a fixed value and does not depend on Ω . For more information, see [19,20,21,22,23,24].
In some reliability studies, the number of patients dropping out is random. A progressive censoring scheme with random removals is needed, where each unit has the same removal probability p. The number of units withdrawn at each failure follows a binomial distribution: R 1 binomial ( n m , p ) , R j b i n o m i a l ( n m l = 1 m 1 R j , P ) ; j = 2 , , m 1 , and R m = n m j = 1 m 1 R j . For more details, see Tse et al. [25].

3. Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Consider n to be the total number of units under test, and let V 1 ( t ) < V 2 ( t ) < < V k ( t ) represent the different stress levels applied during the test, with V 1 ( t ) being the use stress. At each increasing stress level V i ( t ) = h i t for i = 1 , 2 , , k , n i identical units are tested. The progressive type-II censoring scheme is conducted as follows:
At the time of the first failure t i 1 : m i : n i , R i 1 units are randomly withdrawn from the remaining n i 1 surviving units. At the time of the second failure t i 2 : m i : n i , R i 2 units are randomly withdrawn from the remaining n i 2 R i 1 units. The test concludes at the time of the m i -th failure t i m i : m i : n i ; at this point, all remaining R i m i = n i m i j = 1 m i 1 R i j units are withdrawn. Evidently, complete samples and type-II censored samples are specific cases of this scheme. Using this notation, the observed progressively censored data under the progressive-stress V i ( t ) are t i 1 : m i : n i < t i 2 : m i : n i < < t i m i : m i : n i for i = 1 , 2 , , k .
This section discusses the MLEs of the parameters α , η , and δ 0 under progressive-stress V i ( t ) ALT when the data are progressive type-II censoring. The likelihood function of Ω = ( α , η , δ 0 ) can be expressed as follows:
L ( Ω ) = i = 1 k C i j = 1 m i α R i j + 1 δ i 2 t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j e δ i ( R i j + 1 ) t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j + 2 .
The log-likelihood function can be written as
( Ω ) 2 i = 1 k m i ln δ i + ln α i = 1 k j = 1 m i ( R i j + 1 ) + ( η + 1 ) i = 1 k j = 1 m i ln t i j i = 1 k δ i j = 1 m i ( 1 + R i j ) t i j η + 1 + i = 1 k j = 1 m i R i j ln 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) i = 1 k j = 1 m i ( R i j + 2 ) ln 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) .
The log-likelihood equations for the parameters α , η , and δ 0 are, respectively, given by
( Ω ) α = 1 α i = 1 k j = 1 m i ( R i j + 1 ) i = 1 k j = 1 m i ( R i j + 2 ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ,
( Ω ) η = δ 0 i = 1 k 2 m i δ i δ i ( η ) + i = 1 k j = 1 m i ln t i j δ 0 i = 1 k δ i ( η ) j = 1 m i ( 1 + R i j ) t i j η + 1 i = 1 k δ i j = 1 m i ( 1 + R i j ) t i j η + 1 ln t i j + i = 1 k j = 1 m i R i j δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ln t i j + δ 0 δ i ( η ) t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ( 1 α ) i = 1 k j = 1 m i ( R i j + 2 ) δ 0 δ i ( η ) + δ i ln t i j δ i t i j 2 ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ,
( Ω ) δ 0 = i = 1 k 2 m i δ 0 i = 1 k h i η η + 1 j = 1 m i ( 1 + R i j ) t i j η + 1 + 1 η + 1 i = 1 k j = 1 m i R i j h i η t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ( 1 α ) i = 1 k h i η η + 1 j = 1 m i ( R i j + 2 ) δ i t i j 2 ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) ,
where δ i ( η ) = δ i η = h i η ( η + 1 ) ln h i h i η ( η + 1 ) 2 .
As the likelihood equations for α , η , and δ 0 are nonlinear and challenging to solve analytically, numerical methods such as the Newton–Raphson method can be employed to find the MLEs of the distribution parameters α , η , and δ 0 , denoted as α ^ , η ^ , and δ 0 ^ , respectively. In this study, the Newton–Raphson method was implemented using the maxlike function from the Maxlike library in R.

4. Bayesian Analysis

In this section, Bayesian analysis is explored using various prior and posterior distributions of the MOLBE distribution with PSALT based on the PTII censored sample.

4.1. Prior and Posterior Distribution

To carry out the Bayesian analysis, prior distributions for each unknown parameter need to be considered. To ensure that the Bayesian analysis is comparable with the likelihood-based analysis from Section 4, we assume that the three parameters α , η , and δ 0 follow gamma prior distributions. Thus, the following is true:
π ( α ) α a 1 1 e α b 1 , α > 0 , a 1 , b 1 > 0 , π ( η ) η a 2 1 e η b 2 , η > 0 , a 2 , b 2 > 0 , π ( δ 0 ) δ 0 a 3 1 e δ 0 b 3 , δ 0 > 0 , a 3 , b 3 > 0 .
Assuming that the parameters α , η , and δ 0 are independent, the joint prior PDF is given by
π ( α , η , δ 0 ) α a 1 1 η a 2 1 δ 0 a 3 1 e ( α b 1 + η b 2 + δ 0 b 3 ) , α > 0 , η > 0 , δ 0 > 0 .
Together with the likelihood function in (11), by using the Bayesian theorem, the joint posterior density of α , η , and δ 0 can be written as follows:
π ( Ω | t ) L ( Ω ) π ( α , η , δ 0 ) i = 1 k j = 1 m i α δ i 2 t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 2 α 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j × α a 1 1 η a 2 1 δ 0 a 3 1 e ( α b 1 + η b 2 + δ 0 b 3 ) .

4.2. Symmetric and Asymmetric Loss Functions

This study investigates two distinct loss functions used in Bayesian estimation. The first one is the squared error loss function (SELF), which treats overestimation and underestimation equally, making it symmetric in nature when estimating parameters. The second option is the linear exponential loss function (LLF), which is asymmetric and assigns different weights to overestimation and underestimation.
The Bayes estimate of the function of parameters D = D ( Ω ) based on SELF is expressed as follows:
D ˜ SELF = Ω D π ( Ω ) d Ω .
The Bayes estimate under LLF of D is given by
D ˜ LLF = 1 ν ln Ω e ν D π ( Ω ) d Ω ,
where ν 0 is the shape parameter of the LLF.
It is important to highlight that the Bayes estimates of D in Equations (13) and (14) are similar to a ratio of three multiple integrals, which cannot be simplified analytically. Therefore, it is advisable to use an approximation technique to compute these estimates, as outlined in the following subsection.

4.3. MCMC Method

In this context, the MCMC method is used to generate samples from the posterior distribution and subsequently calculate the Bayes estimates of D under ramp stress ALT. The conditional posterior distributions of α , η , and δ 0 are obtained from the joint posterior density function given in Equation (12) as follows:
π ( α | η , δ 0 , t ) α a 1 1 e α b 1 i = 1 k j = 1 m i α R i j + 1 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j + 2 ,
π ( η | α , δ 0 , t ) η a 2 1 e η b 2 i = 1 k j = 1 m i h i η η + 1 2 t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 2 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j ,
π ( δ 0 | α , η , t ) δ 0 a 3 1 e δ 0 b 3 i = 1 k j = 1 m i δ 0 2 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j e δ i ( 1 + R i j ) t i j ( η + 1 ) 1 ( 1 α ) 1 + δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) e δ i t i j ( η + 1 ) R i j + 2 .
Since the conditional posterior distributions of the parameters α , η , and δ 0 cannot be simplified into well-known distribution forms, we employ the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, as referenced in Upadhyay and Gupta [26]. To calculate the Bayes estimates of D = D ( α , η , δ 0 ) under SELF and LLF, the following procedure is used:
  • Set initial values for α , η , and δ 0 , for instance, α 0 = α ^ , η 0 = η ^ , and δ 0 0 = δ ^ 0 .
  • Set j = 1 .
  • Generate proposed values α ˜ N ( α ^ , σ 11 ) , η ˜ N ( η ^ , σ 22 ) , and δ ˜ 0 N ( δ ^ 0 , σ 33 ) , where σ represents the variance–covariance matrix.
  • Calculate
    T j = π ( α j , η j , δ 0 j | t ) π ( α j 1 , η j 1 , δ 0 j 1 | t ) .
  • Accept ( α j , η j , δ 0 j ) with a probability of min ( 1 , T j ) .
  • Repeat steps (3) to (5) I times to obtain I samples for the parameters ( α , η , δ 0 ) .
  • Calculate the Bayes estimates of α , η , and δ 0 under SELF and LLF using Equations (13) and (14) as follows:
α ˜ SELF = 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ α j , η ˜ SELF = 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ η j , δ 0 ˜ SELF = 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ δ 0 j .
α ˜ LLF = 1 ν ln 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ e ν α j , η ˜ LLF = 1 ν ln 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ e ν η j , δ 0 ˜ LLF = 1 ν ln 1 I ´ j = 1 I ´ e ν δ 0 j .
where I ´ = I I 0 , and I 0 is also known as a burn-in sample.

5. Interval Estimation

In this section, we construct approximate confidence intervals (ACIs) using the asymptotic normality of MLEs, as well as BCI- and HPD-credible intervals for the parameters α , η , and δ 0 .

5.1. Approximate CI

As closed-form solutions for the MLEs of the unknown parameters are not available, it is challenging to determine their exact distributions. Consequently, exact confidence intervals (CIs) for the parameters cannot be computed. Therefore, ACIs for α , η , and δ 0 are developed using large sample approximations.
ACIs for Ω = ( α , η , δ 0 ) can be computed using the observed Fisher information matrix (FIM), leveraging the asymptotic normality properties of the MLEs. The observed information matrix, derived from the unknown parameters of the log-likelihood function, is used to estimate the asymptotic variance–covariance of the MLEs.
I ( Ω ^ ) = 2 ( Ω ) Ω i Ω j Ω ^ .
Next, the approximate asymptotic variance–covariance matrix is established as
C o v ( Ω ^ ) = I 1 ( Ω ^ ) .
The MLEs of parameters approximately follow the multivariate normal distribution with mean Ω and variance–covariance matrix C o v ( Ω ^ ) , namely Ω ^ N ( Ω , C o v ( Ω ^ ) ) . Therefore, for arbitrary 0 < ϵ < 1 , the 100 ( 1 ϵ ) % ACIs of the unknown parameters can be expressed as follows:
Ω ^ z ϵ 2 V a r ( Ω ^ ) , Ω ^ + z ϵ 2 V a r ( Ω ^ ) ,
where z ϵ 2 is the ( 1 ϵ ) quantile of the standard normal distribution N ( 0 , 1 ) .

5.2. Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

The bootstrap is a resampling technique used for statistical inference. It is the likelihood applied in the estimation of CIs; see Efron [27] for more details. In this section, we construct confidence intervals for the unknown parameters α , η , and δ 0 using the parametric bootstrap approach. Specifically, we consider the percentile bootstrap (PB) and bootstrap-t (BT) methods for constructing confidence intervals. For further details on the bootstrap technique, refer to [28,29,30,31].

5.2.1. Percentile Bootstrap CI

  • Compute the MLEs of ALT for parameters of TCPE distribution;
  • Generate bootstrap samples using α , η , and δ 0 to obtain the bootstrap estimate of α say α b , η say η b , and δ 0 say δ 0 b using the bootstrap sample;
  • Repeat step (2) B times to obtain ( α b ( 1 ) , α b ( 2 ) , α b ( B ) ) , ( η b ( 1 ) , η b ( 2 ) , , η b ( B ) ) and ( δ 0 b ( 1 ) , δ 0 b ( 2 ) , , δ 0 b ( B ) ) ;
  • Arrange ( α b ( 1 ) , α b ( 2 ) , α b ( B ) ) , ( η b ( 1 ) , η b ( 2 ) , , η b ( B ) ) and ( δ 0 b ( 1 ) , δ 0 b ( 2 ) , , δ 0 b ( B ) ) in ascending order as ( α b [ 1 ] , α b [ 2 ] , α b [ B ] ) , ( η b [ 1 ] , η b [ 2 ] , , η b ( [ B ] ) ) , and ( δ 0 b [ 1 ] , δ 0 b [ 2 ] , , δ 0 b [ B ] ) ;
  • Two-sided 100 ( 1 ϵ ) % BP confidence interval for the unknown parameters η , α , δ 0 , where k = 1 , 2 and Ω are given by [ α b ( [ B ϵ 2 ] ) , α b ( [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] ) ] , [ η b ( [ B ϵ 2 ] ) , η b ( [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] ) ] and [ δ 0 b ( [ B ϵ 2 ] ) , δ 0 b ( [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] ) ] .

5.2.2. Bootstrap-T CI

For Bootstrap-T CI, follow these steps:
  • Same as steps (1, 2) in BP;
  • Compute the t-statistic of Ω as
    T = Ω ^ b Ω ^ V ( Ω ^ b )
    where V ( Ω ^ b ) is the asymptotic variance of Ω ^ b , and it can be obtained using the FIM;
  • Repeat steps 2–3 B times and obtain ( T ( 1 ) , T ( 2 ) , , T ( B ) ) ;
  • Arrange ( T ( 1 ) , T ( 2 ) , , T ( B ) ) in ascending order as ( T [ 1 ] , T [ 2 ] , , T [ B ] ) ;
  • A two-sided 100 ( 1 ϵ ) % BP confidence interval for the unknown parameters η , α , and δ 0 is given by:
    α + T [ B ϵ 2 ] V ( α b ) , α + T [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] V ( α b ) , η + T [ B ϵ 2 ] V ( η b ) , η + T [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] V ( η b ) , δ 0 + T [ B ϵ 2 ] V ( δ 0 b ) , δ 0 + T [ B ( 1 ϵ 2 ) ] V ( δ 0 b ) .

5.3. Highest Posterior Density (HPD) Credible Interval

To compute the Bayesian HPD credible CIs (CCIs) of any function of μ , set the credible level to 100 ( 1 ϵ ) % and apply the MCMC method described in Section 4.3 based on its point estimation. The following are the specific steps:
  • To obtain I groups of samples, repeat Steps (1)–(6) of the MCMC method sampling in Section 5.3;
  • The samples from the aforementioned I groups are sorted in turn to produce W ( 1 ) , W ( 2 ) , , W ( I ) , where W i = W ( μ i ) ;
  • The 100 ( 1 ϵ ) % HPD credible interval of W ( μ ) is ( W ( i * ) , W ( i * + ( 1 ϵ 2 ) I ) ) , where i * satisfies the equation W ( i * + ( 1 ϵ 2 ) I ) W ( i * ) = m i n { W ( i * + ( 1 ϵ 2 ) I ) W ( i * ) } , for 1 i I ( 1 ϵ 2 ) I .
The benefit of the Bayesian credible interval over the classical confidence interval is that it does not require creating a pivot in advance.

6. Optimal Censoring Plan

The ideal method for gathering data through censoring has been extensively studied recently by Burkschat [32] and Pradhan and Kundu [26]. Progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring involves removing items at specific points during an experiment, allowing for various combinations ( R i 1 , R i 2 , , R i m i ) of removal times based on the predetermined number of total items ( n i ) and observed failures ( m i ) .
Before selecting a particular sampling plan, it is crucial to determine which progressive censoring method yields the most informative data about the unknown parameters that we aim to estimate. This involves two main challenges:
  • How can we estimate the unknown parameters using a given progressive censoring scheme?
  • How can we evaluate the value of different progressive censoring schemes?
To address these challenges for MOLBE under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring samples with various schemes via binomial removal, this study establishes a set of optimality criteria, as outlined in Table 1. The table also includes several popular information measures that can help to identify the best progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring for a given experiment.
The three optimality criteria ( O 1 , O 2 , and O 3 ) defined to identify the most informative progressive-stress ALT are based on a progressive type-II censoring scheme for estimating multiple unknown parameters.
  • O 3 : This criterion maximizes the observed FIM, represented as ( [ I 3 × 3 ] ) . FIM quantifies the amount of information an experiment provides about the parameters estimated. In this context, a higher value signifies more informative data.
  • O 1 and O 2 : These criteria both aim to reduce the uncertainty in the estimates. They do so by minimizing the determinant and the trace (sum of the diagonal elements) of the inverse of the FIM ( [ I 3 × 3 ] 1 ) . Lower values indicate less uncertainty.

7. An Application

In this section, a real-world dataset from Nelson [1] is presented to demonstrate the practical application of MLEs and Bayesian estimation methods. The data are shown as follows:
Failure data with 30 kilovolts (kv): 7.74, 17.05, 20.46, 21.02, 22.66, 43.40, 47.30, 139.07, 144.12, 175.88, and 194.90. Failure data with 32 kv: 0.27, 0.40, 0.69, 0.79, 2.75, 3.91, 9.88, 13.95, 15.93, 27.80, 53.24, 82.85, 89.29, 100.58, and 215.10. Failure data with 34 kv: 0.19, 0.78, 0.96, 1.31, 2.78, 3.16, 4.15, 4.67, 4.85, 6.50, 7.35, 8.01, 8.27, 12.06, 31.75, 32.52, 33.91, 36.71, and 72.89. Failure data with 36 kv: 0.35, 0.59, 0.96, 0.99, 1.69, 1.97, 2.07, 2.58, 2.71, 2.9, 3.67, 3.99, 5.35, 13.77, and 25.50.
This section analyzes the breakdown time of insulating oil under different stress levels (30 kv, 32 kv, 34 kv, and 36 kv). The data at 30 kv are considered the “normal stress” case. Before diving deeper, the researchers check if the chosen MOLBE distribution accurately reflects the breakdown time data at each stress level. To achieve this, we use standard error (SE), AIC, BIC, the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K-S) test statistic (KSD), and its corresponding p-value (PVKS) for each stress level. The K-S test and its p-value help us to assess how well the MOLBE distribution fits the observed data patterns.
The results in Table 2 indicate a good fit between the MOLBE distribution and the data for each stress level. This is because the p-values from the K-S test (included in Table 2) are greater than 0.05, which suggests a high probability that the data come from the MOLBE distribution. Figure 2 visually confirms this by plotting the TTT, estimated HF, and empirical CDFs of the data alongside the theoretical CDF, histogram of the data, and the theoretical PDF, QQ, and PP plots of the MOLBE distribution for each stress level. The close alignment between the data and the theoretical function plots of Figure 2 reinforces the conclusion that the MOLBE distribution is a suitable model for these data.
Figure 2 showcases various statistical plots of oil breakdown datasets for the MOLBE distribution, with each row representing a different dataset or parameter setting. The columns feature distinct types of plots to assess the distribution’s fit to the data. The first column displays TTT (total time on test) plots, which reveal failure patterns. Concave shapes indicate early failures, while convex shapes suggest wear-out failures. The second column presents the estimated hazard rate, reflecting how the failure rate changes over time, with fluctuating trends indicating a non-constant hazard function. The third column compares the empirical CDF with the fitted distribution to demonstrate how well the model matches the observed data.
Further, the fourth column features the estimated PDF, displaying the distribution of failure times with a histogram for empirical data and a red curve for the fitted distribution. The fifth column includes a QQ plot, assessing the goodness of fit by comparing theoretical and empirical quantiles. Any deviations from the straight line suggest discrepancies in the model. Lastly, the PP plot in the final column evaluates how well the empirical distribution matches the theoretical one, with points on the diagonal indicating a good fit. Together, these plots provide valuable insights into the MOLBE distribution’s suitability for modeling oil breakdown data, highlighting areas where the model aligns with or deviates from empirical data.
This study utilizes a real-world dataset to demonstrate a specific life testing approach. The data are subjected to progressive-stress ALT combined with progressive type-II censoring that removes units based on a binomial probability. Table 3 presents the results of applying this testing method under two scenarios:
  • Binomial removal probability (p) of 0.25;
  • Binomial removal probability (p) of 0.85.
Essentially, the table showcases the outcomes of the life-testing approach under different probabilities for removing units during the testing process.
We analyze the data that used progressive-stress testing with progressive type-II censoring. For each test, we calculate the MLEs and Bayesian estimates of the parameters δ 0 , η , and α . These estimates are presented in Table 4. Additionally, Table 4 presents 95% confidence intervals (CIs) along with the lengths of these intervals. For the MLEs, the length is represented as ACIs (LACI), while for the Bayesian method, the length is represented as CCIs (LCCI). To check that the MLE values have maximum points of likelihood, the likelihood profile is depicted in Figure 3 for the parameter in the first case. Based on this figure (Figure 3), the values of MLEs have a maximum point and uniqueness solution. Additionally, MCMC plots are shown in Figure 4 to determine the convergence and normality of the outputs of the MH algorithm via MCMC for Bayesian estimation and each stress level.

8. Simulation Study

This section compares the performance of maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation methods through simulations. The simulations involve various scenarios using progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring schemes with random removal. To achieve this, the analysis leverages the R 4.3.0 software package for extensive calculations. The simulations generate data samples under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring schemes with random removal configurations by specifying the values of models. The specific steps involved in defining these parameter values are detailed later in the study.
  • The parameter values ( δ 0 , α , η ) in this simulation are as follows:
    Case 1 is ( δ 0 = 0.6 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 ), Case 2 is ( δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 ),
    Case 3 is ( δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 0.5 ), Case 4 is ( δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 2.5 ), and
    Case 5 is ( δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 1.3 , α = 1.2 ).
    The sample sizes for each stress level are defined as follows: ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) , ( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) , and ( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) ; the censored samples m i = n i r and relative censoring size r i are determined to be 0.75 and 0.9 for each stress level, and (they must be whole numbers and not fractions). The process used is as follows:
  • Four samples from a uniform distribution with a range of ( 0 , 1 ) are generated.
  • MOLBE samples are generated using the inverse of the CDF. However, this inverse does not have a closed mathematical form. Therefore, the ’uniroot’ function in R, which is a root-finding method rather than an iterative algorithm, is used to obtain the required values. As a result, four samples following the MOLBE distribution are generated.
  • In addition, the probability of binomial removal p is considered to be 0.25 and 0.85 for each stress level l, l = 1 , 2 , , k .
  • The algorithm technique of a progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring has produced a MOLBE distribution with a size of n i , a censoring size of m i , and ratios of time stages of stress h i of 100%, 71.43%, 55.55%, and 41.47%, respectively, for each stress level.
This subsection evaluates the accuracy of different parameter estimates through simulations. The analysis compares two approaches:
  • MLEs: This method provides point estimates for the model parameters ( α , η , and δ 0 ). The researchers calculate the mean squared error (MSE) and estimated bias of these MLEs to evaluate their accuracy.
  • Bayesian Estimation: This method incorporates prior information about the parameters. Here, the researchers use a gamma prior distribution with different settings (SELF, LLF with ν = −0.5, and LLF with ν = 0.5) to estimate the parameters.
The simulations involve 5000 runs and analyze various aspects of the point estimates:
  • We estimate bias for MLEs and the Bayesian estimates of α , η and δ 0 ;
  • We calculate the MSE for MLEs and the Bayesian estimates;
  • We determine the optimality measures via FIM for MLEs to determine the best schemes that have a minimum or maximum value of binomial removal.
For interval estimates, the following definitions are used:
  • Length of CIs: This refers to the width of the interval capturing the true parameter value with a certain confidence level (e.g., 95%). The analysis compares three types of CIs, ACIs, Bootstrap-P CIs, and Bootstrap-T CIs for each parameter.
  • Coverage Probability (CP): This represents the proportion of times the constructed CIs contain the true parameter value when repeated sampling is conducted. For example, a 95% CI should ideally contain the true parameter 95% of the time.
  • Bayesian Credible Ranges: Similar to CIs, these represent the range of likely values for the parameters based on the Bayesian approach.
Interestingly, to set up the Bayesian estimation effectively, the researchers leverage the MLEs results. They use the MLEs estimate and its variance–covariance matrix to determine suitable values for the hyper-parameters of the gamma prior distribution.
Since exact formulas are unavailable for the best MLEs, a numerical optimization method, BFGS (Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno), implemented in the R 4.3.0 package ‘MaxLik’. This package calculates the MLEs for each parameter based on the data. For Bayesian estimates, the researchers ran simulations with (12,000 samples) using MCMC and discarded initial adjustments (burn-in) by removing the first 2000 iterations. Finally, the researchers used R’s “coda” tools to obtain the most likely Bayesian values and their credible ranges (HPD intervals) for the same parameters.
The findings from Table 5, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8, Table 9, Table 10, Table 11, Table 12, Table 13 and Table 14 highlight several key points:
  • Generally, the error in both MLEs and Bayesian estimates decreases as the dataset size increases, (except for some variations). This is likely because using more data provides a clearer picture of the underlying relationships.
  • In most cases, Bayesian estimates outperform MLEs in terms of accuracy (measured by MSE). This suggests that incorporating prior information about the parameters can be beneficial.
  • Among the Bayesian approaches, estimates obtained using the LINEX loss function with c = 2 yield the most accurate results (lowest MSE) for the parameters.
  • The width of both approximate and Bayesian confidence intervals generally shrinks as the data size increases (with some exceptions due to data variation). This indicates a more precise range for the true parameter values.
  • Compared to approximate confidence intervals, Bayesian credible intervals tend to more accurately capture the true parameter values within the specified confidence level.
  • Bootstrap techniques tend to be more accurate in terms of capturing the true parameter values within the specified confidence level.
  • The Bayesian credible intervals have a higher probability of covering the true parameter values compared to approximate confidence intervals. This reinforces the potential advantages of the Bayesian approach for reliable parameter estimation.
Table 15 uses optimality measures to determine the best parameter of binomial removal for this scheme.

9. Summary and Conclusions

This study addressed point and interval estimations for item lifetimes under use conditions following the MOLBE distribution within a progressive-stress ALT framework, utilizing progressive type-II censoring. We employed MLEs and Bayesian methods (under LINEX and SE loss functions) for parameter estimation based on progressive type-II censoring with binomial removal. For the CIs estimated, asymptotic and credible intervals were both obtained. The MCMC technique was used to derive Bayesian estimates of the model parameters. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of the estimates and to compare the CI outputs. Two techniques of bootstrap CI were obtained. Additionally, we examined the three distinct optimum test methods for the suggested model using various optimal criteria. A real dataset was analyzed to test the efficiency of the proposed estimation methods. The results indicate that the MOLBE distribution effectively fits the data and that the estimation methods perform well under progressive-stress ALT with progressive type-II censoring. We recommend using the Bayes estimation technique under the LLF loss function with c values close to 0.5 for estimating the model parameters.
In many different sectors, accelerated life testing has been used to rapidly collect failure time data for test units in a significantly shorter period than testing under typical operating circumstances. A ramp stress ALT under type-II UPHC is taken into consideration in this article when the lifetime of test units follows a truncated Cauchy power exponential distribution. The scale parameter of the distribution follows the inverse power law, and the cumulative exposure model accounts for the effect of fluctuating stress. Using type-II UPHC, the maximum likelihood estimates are compared with the Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameters based on symmetric and asymmetric loss functions via MCMC. We also provide some interval estimators of the unknown parameters, including asymptotic intervals, bootstrap intervals, and highest posterior density intervals. Simulations are used to compare the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimates with the Bayesian estimates, as well as to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed confidence intervals for various parameter values and sample sizes. Finally, analysis of real data was examined.

Author Contributions

Methodology, E.M.A. and O.M.K.; Software, E.M.A.; Formal analysis, O.M.K.; Investigation, O.M.K.; Resources, H.M.B.; Data curation, H.M.B.; Writing—original draft, E.M.A. and H.M.B.; Writing—review & editing, O.M.K. and H.M.B. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was supported and funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research at Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU) (grant number IMSIU-DDRSP2503).

Data Availability Statement

The data used to support the findings of this study are included within the article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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Figure 1. The classification of ALT Methods. The figure illustrates three primary stress application techniques.
Figure 1. The classification of ALT Methods. The figure illustrates three primary stress application techniques.
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Figure 2. Different plots of oil breakdown datasets for the MOLBE distribution.
Figure 2. Different plots of oil breakdown datasets for the MOLBE distribution.
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Figure 3. Likelihood profile for parameters of the model under a complete sample ( m i = n i ) .
Figure 3. Likelihood profile for parameters of the model under a complete sample ( m i = n i ) .
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Figure 4. MCMC plots for each case.
Figure 4. MCMC plots for each case.
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Table 1. Optimization criteria and methods.
Table 1. Optimization criteria and methods.
CriterionMethodTarget
O 1 trace I 3 × 3 1 Minimum
O 2 det I 3 × 3 1 Minimum
O 3 trace I 3 × 3 Maximum
Table 2. The MLEs, SE, AIC, BIC, and K-S statistics with the associated PVKS for the oil breakdown for MOLBE distribution.
Table 2. The MLEs, SE, AIC, BIC, and K-S statistics with the associated PVKS for the oil breakdown for MOLBE distribution.
Failure Data With KV EstimateSEAICBICKSDPVKS
30 α 0.01490.0099121.5858122.38160.26670.3503
β 0.17050.2453
32 α 0.01930.0108163.9172165.33330.29500.1187
β 0.02310.0289
34 α 0.05090.0315148.4514150.34020.21900.2788
β 0.04260.0536
36 α 0.10130.110475.727377.14340.10780.9870
β 0.02500.0527
Table 3. Data under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring.
Table 3. Data under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring.
p j t 1 R 1 t 2 R 2 t 3 R 3 t 4 R 4
0.2517.7410.2720.1900.352
217.0500.400.7820.590
320.4600.6910.9640.960
422.6600.7911.3120.990
543.402.7503.1601.690
647.3013.9504.1501.970
7139.07015.9317.3512.070
8144.12027.808.2702.580
9175.88053.24033.9102.710
10194.90100.58036.7103.673
0.8517.7410.2720.1900.352
217.0500.400.7820.590
320.4600.6910.9640.960
422.6600.7911.3120.990
543.402.7503.1601.690
647.3013.9504.1501.970
7139.07015.9317.3512.070
8144.12027.808.2702.580
9175.88053.24033.9102.710
10194.90100.58036.7103.673
Table 4. MLEs and Bayesian estimation under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring.
Table 4. MLEs and Bayesian estimation under progressive-stress ALT based on progressive type-II censoring.
MLEsBayesian
m i p EstimatesSELowerUpperLACIEstimatesSELowerUpperLCCI
n i 0 δ 0 0.01650.00610.00450.02840.02390.01810.00390.01060.02570.0151
η 0.10760.03890.03150.18380.15230.11030.05000.02690.20510.1782
α 0.01010.00210.00600.01430.00830.01030.00280.00520.01580.0105
100.25 δ 0 0.01570.00660.00270.02870.02600.01810.00470.00970.02710.0175
η 0.33890.04770.06910.25620.18720.15590.05740.05260.26790.2153
α 0.00790.00190.00420.01170.00750.00840.00270.00340.01350.0101
0.85 δ 0 0.01380.00620.00170.02590.02420.01550.00370.00890.02310.0141
η 0.30860.05240.04540.25080.20540.15600.07020.03680.29550.2588
α 0.00600.00130.00350.00850.00490.00630.00180.00310.00990.0068
Table 5. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 1.
Table 5. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 1.
δ 0 = 0.6 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELFLLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr BiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSE
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.03360.1189−0.01090.0207−0.00360.0213−0.01800.0202
η 0.08580.22370.05570.07110.08020.08120.03200.0629
α 0.42520.98830.23870.21190.27440.25970.20410.1705
0.9 δ 0 0.02850.10280.00930.02020.00340.02030.01780.0192
η 0.06040.20840.04190.06170.06460.06990.01990.0550
α 0.41130.80820.21560.18920.24820.22730.18360.1541
0.850.75 δ 0 0.22920.20180.04810.02340.05720.02520.03920.0219
η 0.03790.23360.04160.06020.06550.06940.01850.0527
α 0.75951.47610.28380.24050.32600.30050.24290.1901
0.9 δ 0 0.17470.14510.04580.02250.05470.02470.03150.0203
η 0.01450.19810.04040.05940.06070.06790.01620.0526
α 0.50440.93770.21890.17420.25370.21380.18540.1404
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.07260.04510.02850.00980.03270.01030.02430.0094
η 0.03070.09360.02630.02680.03970.02920.01340.0249
α 0.31540.35880.20600.10990.22810.12890.18450.0930
0.9 δ 0 0.05660.03130.02030.00740.03080.00780.02130.0070
η 0.00410.06960.01870.02160.03090.02350.00680.0201
α 0.17790.16070.14010.07710.15860.11220.12280.0566
0.850.75 δ 0 0.08720.04520.04340.01170.04790.01260.03890.0110
η 0.01570.08230.01930.02520.03260.02750.00640.0233
α 0.28140.28770.18750.17890.21270.29840.16230.0951
0.9 δ 0 0.05740.03340.01940.00790.03960.00840.03220.0075
η 0.01310.07030.01820.02090.03190.02250.00590.0196
α 0.16120.16990.12150.05540.13790.06540.10580.0467
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.04140.02080.01950.00470.02230.00500.01670.0045
η 0.04000.05150.02560.01510.03510.01620.01630.0141
α 0.18190.12400.13390.04730.14760.05480.12070.0407
0.9 δ 0 0.03960.01760.01620.00460.02090.00480.01380.0044
η −0.00200.04540.00830.01200.01650.01270.00250.0115
α 0.10890.07950.09130.03120.10130.03540.08160.0275
0.850.75 δ 0 0.04490.02110.02750.00520.03030.00550.02460.0050
η 0.00860.05670.01040.01530.01970.01620.00120.0147
α 0.14330.10970.11290.04120.12520.04710.10110.0360
0.9 δ 0 0.03720.01660.02410.00390.02650.00400.02160.0037
η 0.00240.04260.01040.01230.01850.01300.00110.0118
α 0.10010.07010.08050.02440.09030.02790.07110.0214
Table 6. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 2.
Table 6. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 2.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr BiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSE
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.28990.6285−0.05360.1332−0.07910.1432−0.09790.1289
η 0.10590.25630.06700.07210.09280.08300.04220.0631
α 0.47901.39100.22760.26140.26990.41120.18770.1691
0.9 δ 0 0.22040.61380.03920.10390.06870.1204−0.00710.0936
η 0.05900.20640.05110.06390.07440.07270.02860.0568
α 0.43060.98400.18520.13130.21670.16240.15470.1051
0.850.75 δ 0 0.55581.02610.10180.14440.15850.17400.04680.1238
η 0.04860.23670.04500.06420.06870.07330.02210.0567
α 0.89922.46610.26700.21020.30640.25810.22880.1687
0.9 δ 0 0.42140.82630.10030.13900.13810.16670.04280.1189
η 0.03240.19020.04180.06350.05720.07310.02160.0558
α 0.58131.48190.21920.19010.25390.23270.18580.1533
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.16410.25550.05730.05440.08290.06140.03190.0491
η 0.02920.08660.02410.02560.03740.02800.01110.0237
α 0.32520.38760.20390.10610.22640.12550.18210.0889
0.9 δ 0 0.16390.19010.04850.04680.08190.05390.03060.0411
η 0.01110.07140.02090.02070.03280.02250.00920.0193
α 0.19900.17240.14340.07030.16070.08190.12670.0599
0.850.75 δ 0 0.23230.30390.10230.06690.12970.07680.07520.0587
η 0.00420.08250.01740.02380.03040.02580.00470.0222
α 0.29500.32700.18090.09780.20210.11460.16040.0829
0.9 δ 0 0.14380.20130.08820.04520.11170.05260.06490.0391
η −0.00280.07220.00890.02020.02040.0216−0.00240.0192
α 0.14780.14980.10980.04640.12530.05470.09490.0393
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.12420.14100.06020.03420.07780.03830.04270.0309
η 0.04080.05380.02890.01650.03830.01770.01970.0154
α 0.20330.14170.14480.05240.15840.05980.13170.0459
0.9 δ 0 0.10580.11220.05860.02440.07400.02760.04130.0218
η 0.00340.04260.01160.01200.01990.01270.00350.0114
α 0.11150.07200.08310.02540.09300.02890.07350.0222
0.850.75 δ 0 0.13750.15350.07800.03670.09620.04170.05990.0324
η 0.01420.05400.01760.01560.02720.01680.00820.0147
α 0.16650.12280.12170.04420.13450.05070.10920.0384
0.9 δ 0 0.08740.10600.06330.02660.07840.02990.04830.0238
η 0.00580.04690.01320.01380.02170.01460.00490.0131
α 0.08950.06840.08020.02590.09000.02970.07070.0226
Table 7. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 3.
Table 7. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 3.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr BiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSE
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.09770.6453−0.05790.1229−0.10430.1316−0.10050.1191
η 0.10260.26120.07290.07960.12150.09190.02570.0728
α 0.54581.73510.20960.17570.24360.21500.17660.1414
0.9 δ 0 0.08920.58590.04210.10030.08610.1141−0.00760.0916
η 0.02430.23890.03020.06320.07290.0701−0.01150.0601
α 0.49581.20140.19050.14440.22120.17480.16110.1181
0.850.75 δ 0 0.50950.87950.08890.12190.13940.14250.03950.1077
η 0.04960.22320.05060.05550.09610.06520.00650.0504
α 0.92352.67030.23840.19010.27210.22710.20580.1577
0.9 δ 0 0.41760.73440.08130.12240.13080.14100.03080.1049
η 0.02870.20650.03320.05120.07590.0581−0.00630.0482
α 0.63121.52200.21640.16890.25000.20680.18390.1365
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.18310.24530.06270.05580.08610.06200.03930.0507
η 0.03660.09260.02660.02350.04460.02530.00870.0224
α 0.35560.42860.20590.10600.22620.12240.18620.0912
0.9 δ 0 0.13470.16420.06180.04170.08090.04690.03520.0373
η 0.02590.06950.01870.01760.03450.01880.00300.0171
α 0.18920.17050.12920.05530.14430.06410.11470.0476
0.850.75 δ 0 0.19590.23920.08600.05740.11060.06530.06140.0510
η 0.00390.08920.01040.02240.02880.0235−0.00780.0219
α 0.27760.29030.16530.08380.18450.09790.14680.0714
0.9 δ 0 0.13260.16190.07260.04200.09330.04770.05190.0373
η 0.00320.07280.01010.01810.02530.0191−0.00130.0176
α 0.16760.15800.11300.04800.12760.05610.09880.0409
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.12880.12720.05270.02870.06820.03160.03730.0262
η 0.03730.05450.02330.01370.03490.01460.01170.0132
α 0.20520.14460.13210.04230.14400.04780.12050.0374
0.9 δ 0 0.07020.08820.04790.02250.06120.02490.03460.0204
η 0.02380.04160.01380.01070.02400.01120.00360.0104
α 0.09820.07350.08090.02590.09010.02950.07200.0227
0.850.75 δ 0 0.10190.12270.06050.03140.07610.03490.04480.0283
η 0.02680.05520.01750.01460.02950.01530.00560.0141
α 0.14230.10870.10810.04110.11940.04680.09710.0359
0.9 δ 0 0.06430.08810.04680.01930.05980.02140.03390.0176
η 0.00220.04180.00520.01080.01550.0111−0.00510.0107
α 0.08360.06530.06790.02080.07620.02340.05980.0185
Table 8. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 4.
Table 8. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 4.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 2.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr BiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSE
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 −0.08180.1390−0.06060.0440−0.04270.0436−0.07840.0450
η 0.07630.14040.06070.04190.08870.04740.03310.0381
α 0.81724.52020.99183.39521.61737.51470.45301.3515
0.9 δ 0 0.03630.11940.00900.03250.02680.0347−0.00880.0310
η 0.03420.12380.03100.03550.05580.03860.00660.0338
α 0.80924.05220.80622.28851.36674.74040.33190.9732
0.850.75 δ 0 0.17530.14520.06190.04230.08280.04710.04110.0384
η 0.03160.11760.02960.02990.05600.03300.00380.0283
α 1.82057.75731.25384.08721.98208.49120.62831.6431
0.9 δ 0 0.14710.12360.06080.03520.08070.03970.04090.0316
η 0.01810.11500.02150.02870.04580.0311−0.00240.0276
α 1.27035.46070.92642.64701.51585.40160.40841.0915
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.08080.04810.03310.01420.04160.01520.02450.0134
η 0.02760.04980.01830.01200.02830.01260.00840.0116
α 1.08543.20620.86001.63731.20692.86130.56030.8704
0.9 δ 0 0.07580.04770.03140.01250.04010.01350.02040.0116
η 0.01070.03800.00780.00930.01650.0096−0.00090.0092
α 0.71282.13290.56230.95180.83161.70330.32530.4998
0.850.75 δ 0 0.09060.04870.05190.01710.06080.01850.04300.0159
η 0.01360.04250.01000.01080.02040.0113−0.00040.0106
α 0.80682.12370.71251.37861.04522.47590.42480.7149
0.9 δ 0 0.05680.04520.04000.01280.04740.01370.03250.0119
η −0.00910.03490.00170.00890.01060.0090−0.00030.0088
α 0.49971.66660.45040.79960.69561.39850.23540.4424
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.08080.03500.03570.00970.04130.01030.03010.0092
η 0.02060.02860.01390.00740.02030.00760.00750.0072
α 0.76741.50370.57430.77610.77521.22800.39500.4696
0.9 δ 0 0.04630.02530.03010.00670.03490.00710.02540.0063
η −0.00570.02490.00210.00620.00770.0062−0.00340.0061
α 0.34950.77930.31030.34920.46010.57270.17750.2140
0.850.75 δ 0 0.07260.03460.04180.00970.04750.01040.03610.0091
η 0.01020.02820.00760.00700.01420.00720.00100.0069
α 0.60011.25220.50000.65730.69631.06000.32510.3960
0.9 δ 0 0.03300.02520.02390.00660.02860.00700.01920.0063
η 0.00870.02310.00590.00580.01150.00590.00030.0057
α 0.27990.68920.27520.29070.41900.47120.14880.1852
Table 9. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 5.
Table 9. Point estimation via bias and MSE for parameters: Case 5.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 1.3 , α = 1.2 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr BiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSEBiasMSE
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.12850.10630.04820.02700.06180.02950.03460.0250
η 0.02050.06180.01350.01610.02650.01690.00050.0156
α 0.68281.26010.46850.52020.56780.71500.37620.3669
0.9 δ 0 0.08150.08310.04520.01970.05680.02160.03350.0182
η 0.01250.05060.01190.01340.02370.01410.00040.0130
α 0.32560.55740.24510.20770.31220.28470.18310.1506
0.850.75 δ 0 0.14620.11350.07390.02960.08790.03280.05990.0267
η 0.00190.06070.00730.01550.02070.0162−0.00600.0152
α 0.56601.13810.38590.39100.47670.55070.30190.2720
0.9 δ 0 0.09880.07980.05440.02080.06590.02280.04290.0191
η −0.00150.05250.00140.01350.01310.0139−0.00510.0134
α 0.34010.57770.24380.20540.30800.27830.18410.1495
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 −0.01920.3193−0.06830.0738−0.04110.0750−0.09520.0744
η 0.08160.20160.06100.06600.09680.07530.02640.0596
α 0.80893.69240.48581.02260.66101.92720.32430.4953
0.9 δ 0 0.01340.27580.03460.05550.04060.06180.00650.0510
η 0.02970.16400.02680.04310.05810.0481−0.00360.0404
α 0.78293.13870.41990.63230.57030.95110.28110.3989
0.850.75 δ 0 0.34810.38890.09530.07410.12830.08530.06240.0653
η 0.02420.17680.03290.04280.06560.04840.00130.0396
α 1.58396.59440.63981.14510.83301.73570.45800.7070
0.9 δ 0 0.26550.34920.09100.07250.11360.08160.06070.0658
η 0.00790.15550.01900.04040.04980.0448−0.00110.0382
α 0.98613.75530.45790.73410.62101.14220.30880.4514
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.10220.06840.04160.01550.05040.01670.03280.0144
η 0.02240.04200.01540.01070.02400.01110.00690.0103
α 0.47120.67880.31660.23210.37380.29870.26330.1790
0.9 δ 0 0.06090.05140.03800.01120.04540.01220.03060.0105
η 0.00280.03550.00480.00900.01230.0093−0.00270.0089
α 0.20420.31210.15690.09180.19570.11750.12070.0721
0.850.75 δ 0 0.09090.06100.04300.01380.05200.01500.03410.0127
η 0.01330.04050.01220.01050.02100.01100.00350.0103
α 0.32090.43430.21510.12910.26540.17070.16840.0970
0.9 δ 0 0.06510.04840.04200.01100.04950.01200.03460.0101
η 0.00660.03220.00630.00820.01390.0084−0.00120.0080
α 0.20210.29670.15830.09950.19840.12900.12090.0768
Table 10. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 1.
Table 10. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 1.
δ 0 = 0.6 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr LACICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBT
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.345898.3%0.04370.04310.536797.4%0.01810.01810.572095.0%0.01810.01820.553094.7%0.01760.0172
η 1.824297.0%0.05900.05890.945297.8%0.03170.03171.072594.2%0.03540.03540.975594.1%0.03180.0313
α 3.524398.3%0.11650.11731.400896.8%0.04840.04921.684495.0%0.05560.05581.407794.3%0.04540.0454
0.9 δ 0 1.363098.1%0.04390.04470.524998.3%0.01790.01810.580894.9%0.01820.01810.560895.0%0.01730.0174
η 1.774898.0%0.05650.05700.856096.7%0.03140.03111.005395.4%0.03260.03300.916795.1%0.02810.0283
α 3.135298.5%0.09950.09561.273998.6%0.04610.04631.596495.2%0.05260.05121.360894.9%0.04410.0434
0.850.75 δ 0 1.515598.5%0.04900.04910.537398.7%0.01860.01830.580895.4%0.01870.01850.559294.9%0.01730.0175
η 1.889996.9%0.05860.05880.839297.0%0.03050.03001.000795.4%0.03210.03160.897295.1%0.02880.0287
α 3.719498.5%0.11840.11851.414898.6%0.04880.04871.728193.7%0.05260.05241.419994.0%0.04710.0467
0.9 δ 0 1.327997.8%0.04280.04280.535698.6%0.01870.01860.582995.3%0.01860.01860.558895.3%0.01900.0190
η 1.744597.5%0.05540.05520.827996.9%0.02940.02930.987495.3%0.03090.03090.895095.1%0.02820.0282
α 3.242198.5%0.10150.10161.245796.5%0.04110.04121.516194.6%0.04950.04861.277094.1%0.04010.0404
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.782398.7%0.02490.02490.362298.2%0.01180.01180.376294.9%0.01210.01220.367494.7%0.01120.0112
η 1.193897.5%0.03630.03580.592796.5%0.02050.02050.651895.4%0.02030.02050.616495.7%0.01980.0200
α 1.997398.5%0.06370.06370.888898.9%0.03100.03091.087194.5%0.03330.03330.952494.7%0.03140.0308
0.9 δ 0 0.657998.9%0.02110.02130.288398.7%0.00970.00970.313695.7%0.00990.00980.304995.5%0.00960.0097
η 1.034897.9%0.03310.03290.528496.8%0.01830.01840.588795.5%0.01970.01990.555395.7%0.01770.0177
α 1.409098.5%0.04360.04370.699096.7%0.02990.02841.157298.0%0.03870.03590.799395.5%0.02540.0256
0.850.75 δ 0 0.760398.6%0.02430.02460.349896.3%0.01250.01220.397895.9%0.01360.01330.381896.0%0.01260.0125
η 1.123797.6%0.03590.03560.582998.8%0.02010.01990.637795.0%0.01990.02010.598794.9%0.01970.0199
α 1.791098.5%0.05680.05670.857297.0%0.05000.04831.973396.6%0.08660.06021.028595.5%0.03390.0326
0.9 δ 0 0.680996.5%0.02130.02140.287396.3%0.01060.01060.324396.1%0.01010.00990.315196.0%0.01000.0099
η 1.038597.3%0.03270.03350.540798.8%0.01780.01770.575395.4%0.01770.01850.547495.8%0.01710.0172
α 1.488098.5%0.04640.04510.643497.2%0.02420.02450.845095.6%0.02630.02670.739295.4%0.02330.0232
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.541398.7%0.01710.01710.247098.8%0.00800.00790.261895.2%0.00840.00840.256195.1%0.00840.0085
η 0.876297.5%0.02860.02840.446296.5%0.01550.01540.480595.4%0.01620.01650.461295.6%0.01450.0143
α 1.182498.5%0.03640.03620.569096.9%0.02250.02260.713195.9%0.02210.02200.633595.6%0.02040.0203
0.9 δ 0 0.496898.3%0.01560.01550.231598.2%0.00790.00780.247595.3%0.00730.00740.242695.3%0.00760.0077
η 0.835597.3%0.02710.02690.414698.6%0.01320.01330.437094.8%0.01410.01390.421095.1%0.01360.0137
α 1.019798.1%0.03280.03290.497897.0%0.01780.01810.621795.6%0.01880.01940.566395.7%0.01750.0175
0.850.75 δ 0 0.542496.7%0.01630.01630.248698.8%0.00830.00850.265095.4%0.00830.00830.259595.4%0.00810.0081
η 0.933397.5%0.03000.02990.465996.3%0.01570.01570.493595.5%0.01590.01590.474895.3%0.01530.0154
α 1.170998.6%0.03620.03590.565696.9%0.01980.01950.694995.1%0.02180.02180.630094.9%0.01990.0206
0.9 δ 0 0.483798.4%0.01510.01510.215096.3%0.00740.00750.226995.5%0.00730.00730.222395.4%0.00720.0069
η 0.809697.7%0.02570.02590.419998.9%0.01370.01360.440595.3%0.01430.01440.425095.3%0.01380.0138
α 0.961197.8%0.03150.03120.446997.2%0.01600.01580.551195.4%0.01800.01780.501295.4%0.01630.0163
Table 11. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 2.
Table 11. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 2.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 0.5 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr LACICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBT
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 3.089498.6%0.09690.09691.283097.5%0.04350.04331.483995.3%0.04730.04751.354794.9%0.04170.0418
η 1.941698.0%0.06260.06270.915296.8%0.03300.03251.070095.0%0.03440.03450.971094.4%0.02960.0295
α 4.227198.6%0.13900.13931.315698.9%0.06110.05732.281397.7%0.07650.07261.434995.1%0.04480.0453
0.9 δ 0 2.948698.6%0.09350.09341.169298.4%0.03960.03951.317794.9%0.04160.04021.199694.7%0.03760.0376
η 1.766998.0%0.05730.05750.870298.9%0.03010.03021.016594.6%0.03190.03240.927695.2%0.02810.0285
α 3.504898.6%0.11210.11161.098396.3%0.03630.03641.332394.7%0.04340.04321.117094.0%0.03560.0353
0.850.75 δ 0 3.321397.8%0.10730.10731.372697.8%0.04770.04771.513095.1%0.04970.04971.367795.4%0.04310.0432
η 1.898598.8%0.06110.06120.839196.9%0.02950.02951.026895.4%0.03430.03410.929695.0%0.02930.0293
α 5.049398.6%0.15770.15611.336897.2%0.04560.04581.589595.1%0.05020.05011.338194.7%0.04280.0428
0.9 δ 0 3.158898.6%0.09880.10151.287698.4%0.04520.04551.435195.2%0.04460.04461.318694.8%0.04240.0423
η 1.705997.9%0.05380.05380.911396.9%0.03030.03081.022493.9%0.03260.03290.920793.9%0.03120.0307
α 4.194998.6%0.13090.13211.313497.2%0.04700.04641.608493.8%0.05500.05421.352094.1%0.04250.0424
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.875298.7%0.05950.05960.872898.5%0.02620.02630.915594.8%0.03020.03010.859694.9%0.02670.0266
η 1.148797.7%0.03390.03380.580896.6%0.02010.02010.640095.6%0.02070.02070.602195.6%0.02050.0195
α 2.082198.6%0.06190.06160.870298.7%0.03190.03191.068695.0%0.03520.03450.926594.7%0.02830.0282
0.9 δ 0 1.584598.4%0.04970.05040.763598.3%0.02330.02440.805295.0%0.02470.02460.756795.1%0.02340.0242
η 1.047097.5%0.03360.03360.524798.7%0.01740.01740.573895.7%0.01820.01870.543995.8%0.01760.0175
α 1.429398.6%0.04570.04580.715397.0%0.02770.02870.929095.7%0.02810.02770.821795.5%0.02570.0258
0.850.75 δ 0 1.960796.9%0.06080.06110.892798.9%0.02970.03000.960794.4%0.03080.03020.903394.2%0.02800.0270
η 1.126597.4%0.03540.03560.570496.9%0.02110.02120.619095.1%0.01950.01960.584595.2%0.01780.0180
α 1.921198.6%0.06160.06070.881297.2%0.03120.03161.065394.0%0.03140.03140.937994.1%0.02970.0298
0.9 δ 0 1.666796.3%0.05220.05200.692698.7%0.02410.02440.785595.6%0.02530.02520.732695.9%0.02310.0237
η 1.053597.4%0.03390.03370.515196.7%0.01760.01770.570495.5%0.01770.01760.543295.6%0.01760.0176
α 1.402998.6%0.04380.04400.601697.8%0.02380.02380.774095.5%0.02510.02510.682395.3%0.02240.0220
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.390098.9%0.04430.04450.651596.5%0.02230.02230.703895.2%0.02310.02330.668894.9%0.02250.0223
η 0.895797.1%0.02810.02830.461898.9%0.01540.01520.500495.4%0.01560.01580.480995.9%0.01650.0165
α 1.242298.6%0.03970.03990.619096.9%0.02170.02170.730594.6%0.02240.02240.662394.6%0.02100.0210
0.9 δ 0 1.246198.7%0.04050.04050.563298.4%0.01820.01830.583194.7%0.01870.01890.554094.9%0.01810.0179
η 0.809398.0%0.02490.02530.427196.6%0.01280.01300.434394.8%0.01380.01380.419094.8%0.01330.0134
α 0.957198.1%0.02910.02890.450096.5%0.01680.01710.558395.6%0.01820.01780.508996.1%0.01640.0165
0.850.75 δ 0 1.438898.9%0.04680.04680.655496.5%0.02200.02220.706395.1%0.02330.02340.665495.3%0.02060.0215
η 0.909697.6%0.02940.02980.463597.8%0.01470.01490.497495.8%0.01540.01540.474295.7%0.01400.0141
α 1.209498.2%0.03770.03710.570097.2%0.02120.02130.708095.3%0.02180.02210.638395.4%0.02010.0198
0.9 δ 0 1.230298.7%0.03970.03970.566998.4%0.01810.01800.604595.1%0.01820.01830.574494.9%0.01820.0186
η 0.849197.1%0.02700.02650.412697.2%0.01440.01440.466196.8%0.01550.01530.448696.7%0.01390.0138
α 0.964198.2%0.03030.03050.448696.9%0.01670.01700.576895.9%0.01850.01840.520295.9%0.01640.0163
Table 12. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 3.
Table 12. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 3.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 0.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr LACICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBT
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 3.127198.2%0.10490.10231.316898.4%0.04320.04331.421594.8%0.04630.04601.294694.9%0.04040.0408
η 1.963897.4%0.06470.06361.017897.6%0.03410.03421.089495.3%0.03340.03301.053395.4%0.03340.0334
α 4.702098.2%0.15240.15371.306296.8%0.04470.04671.547494.3%0.04890.04871.302295.0%0.04160.0418
0.9 δ 0 2.862298.2%0.08660.08721.148698.6%0.04060.04071.280995.1%0.04090.04091.187294.9%0.03590.0359
η 1.914796.9%0.06040.06100.951998.7%0.03010.02980.998695.3%0.03090.03120.960295.3%0.03050.0306
α 3.833998.2%0.12310.12211.100898.9%0.04050.04091.391795.0%0.04430.04501.190594.8%0.03770.0365
0.850.75 δ 0 3.088197.0%0.09660.09741.288397.9%0.04160.04191.375895.3%0.04270.04251.278094.8%0.03680.0366
η 1.842797.5%0.05930.05950.887498.3%0.02880.02830.927595.1%0.02910.02840.880595.3%0.02770.0273
α 5.287598.2%0.16260.16341.207996.7%0.04570.04611.534595.3%0.05060.04891.331695.0%0.04380.0424
0.9 δ 0 2.935198.2%0.09230.09291.206098.8%0.04020.04061.333395.2%0.04190.04191.227495.1%0.03720.0379
η 1.778597.4%0.05540.05530.856197.5%0.02720.02720.896995.0%0.02970.03010.860795.5%0.02670.0273
α 4.157198.2%0.12960.12931.175996.5%0.04290.04231.489894.8%0.04710.04691.257095.3%0.04080.0404
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.804998.8%0.05560.05440.823596.3%0.02790.02790.916495.1%0.02820.02820.869795.0%0.02800.0285
η 1.184697.0%0.03780.03850.592498.2%0.01850.01850.599294.8%0.01780.01750.586695.0%0.01850.0185
α 2.155898.2%0.06790.06650.848596.9%0.03070.02951.047094.5%0.03380.03390.932395.5%0.02850.0284
0.9 δ 0 1.499098.3%0.04670.04660.676996.8%0.02380.02390.768995.4%0.02500.02500.730295.6%0.02460.0248
η 1.029397.4%0.03280.03300.495598.3%0.01690.01700.519795.8%0.01640.01640.512096.1%0.01620.0161
α 1.439798.2%0.04640.04600.674996.8%0.02460.02460.815494.8%0.02570.02580.728494.5%0.02420.0245
0.850.75 δ 0 1.757398.5%0.05500.05400.846698.9%0.02920.02890.903695.3%0.02820.02860.852494.9%0.02640.0263
η 1.171498.1%0.03660.03630.559498.0%0.01870.01870.590595.8%0.01850.01870.580295.9%0.01880.0188
α 1.811198.2%0.05930.05910.832896.5%0.02970.02950.991094.4%0.03210.03190.875894.6%0.02920.0289
0.9 δ 0 1.489798.8%0.04840.04900.682698.6%0.02370.02270.774195.7%0.02560.02560.729296.3%0.02340.0235
η 1.056598.1%0.03390.03380.519497.2%0.01670.01670.529095.1%0.01760.01760.520595.2%0.01690.0166
α 1.413798.2%0.04700.04660.648796.9%0.02350.02380.782894.5%0.02450.02460.692594.7%0.02250.0229
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.304097.8%0.04070.04050.567598.9%0.01970.01960.644496.4%0.02020.02040.618496.2%0.02010.0202
η 0.903597.3%0.02920.02890.441597.9%0.01450.01440.453395.2%0.01480.01470.448395.3%0.01430.0144
α 1.255798.2%0.03870.03870.574997.2%0.02040.01970.645094.8%0.01970.01970.593594.8%0.01880.0188
0.9 δ 0 1.131998.5%0.03700.03670.518296.6%0.01730.01760.571095.5%0.01900.01900.543095.5%0.01770.0177
η 0.794597.8%0.02430.02440.398697.9%0.01330.01330.404694.9%0.01210.01210.400594.9%0.01260.0125
α 0.991598.2%0.03040.03080.448197.8%0.01880.01850.572995.6%0.01820.01830.519195.6%0.01580.0162
0.850.75 δ 0 1.314298.4%0.04110.04100.600896.9%0.02020.02020.669295.6%0.02140.02170.636195.8%0.01870.0185
η 0.915897.7%0.02850.02850.466198.5%0.01510.01510.471294.8%0.01450.01450.465695.1%0.01520.0152
α 1.166298.2%0.03600.03610.537496.7%0.02310.02210.707396.0%0.02350.02290.638595.9%0.02010.0196
0.9 δ 0 1.136297.9%0.03370.03420.500598.4%0.01650.01650.523995.0%0.01630.01630.502795.0%0.01580.0154
η 0.801797.1%0.02530.02530.390397.6%0.01320.01320.409195.9%0.01220.01230.404596.1%0.01310.0133
α 0.947198.1%0.02890.02890.430697.8%0.01600.01580.520195.5%0.01620.01660.478795.6%0.01550.0154
Table 13. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 4.
Table 13. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 4.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 2 , α = 2.5 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr LACICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBT
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.426697.0%0.04510.04480.716797.3%0.02540.02570.801996.1%0.02500.02510.773296.1%0.02510.0255
η 1.438997.7%0.04570.04590.744398.0%0.02440.02430.779695.2%0.02470.02500.754995.3%0.02370.0237
α 7.697998.0%0.26510.26144.964896.8%0.19680.19268.680896.1%0.27650.27604.199094.3%0.13460.1338
0.9 δ 0 1.347697.4%0.04090.04090.670898.7%0.02160.02140.723595.9%0.02360.02360.689795.7%0.02180.0215
η 1.373597.2%0.04380.04380.711697.4%0.02320.02340.739195.1%0.02360.02350.720495.1%0.02320.0238
α 7.510698.0%0.23910.23994.236197.2%0.16110.16116.647095.3%0.20120.20113.643494.7%0.11830.1192
0.850.75 δ 0 1.326997.6%0.04480.04460.725398.4%0.02500.02470.787195.6%0.02550.02550.751195.7%0.02350.0235
η 1.339197.1%0.04140.04140.671198.5%0.02160.02160.678094.9%0.02130.02140.659794.7%0.02130.0212
α 8.266998.1%0.25120.25275.221496.9%0.20470.20038.377894.5%0.26790.26584.381894.6%0.13620.1352
0.9 δ 0 1.252597.7%0.04000.04000.645396.9%0.02200.02180.702495.5%0.02090.02130.670395.5%0.02130.0216
η 1.327997.9%0.04440.04530.655998.2%0.02090.02050.667695.1%0.02070.02090.651194.3%0.02150.0216
α 7.692498.3%0.24690.24974.651897.8%0.17480.17456.909994.4%0.22890.22793.771494.1%0.12070.1216
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.799696.5%0.02540.02560.424596.7%0.01350.01350.455296.1%0.01510.01510.444396.2%0.01390.0143
η 0.868597.0%0.02730.02730.418996.5%0.01410.01400.425494.5%0.01400.01380.421395.1%0.01340.0134
α 5.585198.1%0.19220.18853.268397.2%0.11290.11174.648595.6%0.14810.14682.925894.8%0.08930.0887
0.9 δ 0 0.803697.5%0.02740.02660.380498.6%0.01300.01270.410595.6%0.01280.01270.398995.6%0.01290.0126
η 0.763097.1%0.02430.02400.376697.1%0.01200.01200.378994.5%0.01150.01180.376494.5%0.01170.0117
α 4.999398.3%0.16110.15792.630998.1%0.10240.09923.945095.2%0.11580.11542.461895.3%0.07690.0770
0.850.75 δ 0 0.789196.9%0.02500.02490.444296.8%0.01480.01470.476495.4%0.01550.01550.464395.4%0.01480.0148
η 0.806997.4%0.02300.02300.390898.0%0.01240.01250.409195.7%0.01280.01280.403395.8%0.01320.0129
α 4.759798.3%0.14540.14493.245198.1%0.11460.11434.613094.9%0.15120.15132.867195.2%0.09300.0874
0.9 δ 0 0.803897.4%0.02520.02480.397698.9%0.01310.01320.420195.0%0.01360.01360.408995.0%0.01340.0134
η 0.733197.3%0.02420.02460.364997.3%0.01180.01170.370695.4%0.01120.01110.367595.1%0.01170.0117
α 4.668598.3%0.15830.15862.449497.0%0.09820.09723.750794.9%0.12390.12172.439795.8%0.07860.0789
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.661997.7%0.02140.02150.343998.6%0.01170.01170.364295.6%0.01140.01140.356895.6%0.01110.0110
η 0.658897.0%0.02060.02040.327998.8%0.01090.01100.333094.3%0.01030.01030.330994.5%0.01060.0106
α 3.751198.9%0.11730.11572.237596.9%0.08250.08053.105695.9%0.09540.09732.196495.8%0.06960.0687
0.9 δ 0 0.596297.8%0.01940.01970.289598.3%0.00910.00910.300995.3%0.01010.01010.294595.5%0.00900.0091
η 0.619297.5%0.01920.01950.299997.7%0.00980.01000.308495.4%0.00990.00980.307295.3%0.00930.0094
α 3.179396.6%0.10490.10341.723298.1%0.06120.06172.356495.8%0.07200.07211.675795.7%0.05600.0565
0.850.75 δ 0 0.671997.1%0.02110.02130.347097.8%0.01130.01110.353994.9%0.01070.01090.346295.1%0.01070.0106
η 0.657797.8%0.02120.02120.331896.9%0.00990.01010.327094.5%0.01040.01040.325594.4%0.00990.0099
α 3.704496.7%0.11540.11352.189398.6%0.08010.08002.974295.2%0.09080.09222.113295.7%0.06580.0663
0.9 δ 0 0.608998.0%0.01920.01930.289097.8%0.00960.00960.308495.8%0.00950.00950.302796.0%0.00970.0095
η 0.595097.5%0.01910.01900.296797.4%0.00920.00950.297594.7%0.00950.00960.295994.9%0.00930.0092
α 3.065397.2%0.10090.10071.702996.3%0.05650.05652.132494.9%0.06680.06701.583894.9%0.04830.0478
Table 14. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 5.
Table 14. Interval estimation via LCI and CP for parameters with different methods: Case 5.
δ 0 = 1.5 , η = 1.3 , α = 1.2 MLEsSELELLF 1LLF 2
Sample Sizespr LACICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBTLCCICPLBPLBT
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 1.175497.9%0.03680.03680.633896.6%0.01980.0198−0.628694.4%0.01980.0199−0.604994.3%0.01850.0187
η 0.971898.1%0.03060.03070.480997.9%0.01600.0161−0.499495.0%0.01610.0161−0.489295.2%0.01500.0152
α 3.494598.3%0.10180.10191.818198.1%0.06760.0675−2.457794.9%0.07630.0762−1.862194.3%0.05930.0595
0.9 δ 0 1.084197.9%0.03240.03230.503698.4%0.01650.0166−0.531295.1%0.01720.0171−0.512095.3%0.01550.0154
η 0.880897.4%0.02880.02850.440098.1%0.01390.0138−0.455794.7%0.01450.0145−0.446895.3%0.01430.0143
α 2.635298.3%0.08480.08521.283398.9%0.05040.0493−1.697094.9%0.05210.0534−1.342295.3%0.04340.0434
0.850.75 δ 0 1.190598.4%0.03710.03700.569998.7%0.01950.01920.621695.3%0.01970.02000.596395.6%0.01890.0193
η 0.966397.7%0.03080.03070.461197.8%0.01500.01500.492595.8%0.01620.01630.482595.6%0.01510.0151
α 3.546698.3%0.11060.11111.657897.0%0.06150.06122.230895.5%0.07260.07301.667994.6%0.05490.0558
0.9 δ 0 1.038098.9%0.03380.03420.506798.9%0.01650.01660.532895.1%0.01730.01730.514795.1%0.01630.0162
η 0.898197.6%0.02720.02700.452997.8%0.01430.01400.460494.9%0.01490.01500.451895.0%0.01340.0132
α 2.665998.3%0.08860.08931.303797.0%0.04610.04571.679995.4%0.05300.05091.333795.3%0.04320.0432
( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 2.215198.0%0.07060.07060.959698.4%0.03270.03271.062095.1%0.03330.03321.002295.0%0.03300.0328
η 1.731796.9%0.05610.05620.939498.6%0.02980.02971.007095.6%0.03230.03200.952295.3%0.02960.0296
α 6.836198.3%0.21970.21692.648496.3%0.11710.11764.787997.8%0.16170.16002.449794.2%0.07780.0771
0.9 δ 0 1.991298.2%0.06240.06370.834598.5%0.02870.02880.943596.2%0.03190.03180.885095.6%0.02820.0283
η 1.584297.9%0.04980.04990.814198.1%0.02570.02520.829194.3%0.02520.02560.788593.9%0.02520.0253
α 6.141198.3%0.18820.19002.355196.6%0.08650.08773.102794.2%0.09930.09682.218294.5%0.06820.0683
0.850.75 δ 0 2.029698.6%0.06360.06420.952498.4%0.03150.03091.029294.9%0.03250.03230.972095.1%0.03120.0304
η 1.646496.7%0.05200.05180.798696.5%0.02540.02570.823494.9%0.02640.02620.780494.9%0.02460.0248
α 7.927598.3%0.24370.24393.021096.7%0.10320.10474.003294.4%0.13120.13152.765494.5%0.08950.0893
0.9 δ 0 2.070498.6%0.06690.06630.897498.6%0.03040.03041.019695.6%0.03180.03220.963095.5%0.02990.0298
η 1.546297.7%0.04960.05080.774997.2%0.02420.02440.806895.0%0.02550.02500.764994.7%0.02480.0247
α 6.542798.3%0.19420.19402.512196.8%0.09360.09363.411393.9%0.10640.10522.340293.9%0.07710.0755
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.75 δ 0 0.944298.6%0.02950.03000.438998.5%0.01490.01490.465995.0%0.01470.01490.453095.4%0.01430.0145
η 0.798797.3%0.02560.02560.408197.0%0.01240.01290.403194.0%0.01300.01290.397594.4%0.01300.0128
α 2.650598.3%0.08450.08461.293396.3%0.04680.04631.563994.4%0.04820.04831.299194.9%0.04310.0430
0.9 δ 0 0.856497.9%0.02770.02780.380798.1%0.01210.01200.394094.9%0.01240.01250.382895.0%0.01220.0121
η 0.739097.5%0.02350.02330.369597.9%0.01240.01240.374895.3%0.01160.01190.370495.3%0.01140.0116
α 2.039398.3%0.06290.06290.871096.9%0.03210.03291.103695.6%0.03520.03520.940595.7%0.03040.0306
0.850.75 δ 0 0.900398.6%0.02770.02830.416998.1%0.01330.01330.434995.2%0.01350.01360.421995.4%0.01300.0130
η 0.787897.7%0.02520.02530.401398.1%0.01290.01290.402494.9%0.01180.01180.397494.9%0.01300.0131
α 2.257798.1%0.07300.07340.999396.9%0.03620.03631.242095.4%0.03940.03921.027895.7%0.03250.0327
0.9 δ 0 0.824698.0%0.02510.02520.365796.9%0.01190.01180.382795.2%0.01190.01200.370595.3%0.01210.0121
η 0.703197.7%0.02230.02240.350698.3%0.01150.01150.356295.2%0.01130.01140.351895.1%0.01080.0106
α 1.984098.3%0.06560.06470.910298.1%0.03450.03431.174495.7%0.03660.03660.978395.3%0.03080.0311
Table 15. Optimal censoring plan optimization.
Table 15. Optimal censoring plan optimization.
r0.750.9
CaseSample SizespO1O2O3O1O2O3
5 ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.250.98840.0005614116.10800.60370.0002511140.6561
0.850.91880.0005545112.38280.61050.0002578134.7097
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.254.17590.0152035445.60763.45730.011235584.4429
0.856.19620.026727692.24743.75190.013686175.9936
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.49100.0001091182.18430.32230.0000515219.5484
0.850.42790.0000978180.68320.32080.0000517217.1690
4 ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.257.17710.014941288.01226.63560.012319667.2185
0.859.81860.023659552.53607.39860.014548056.5925
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.252.68180.0008627139.70621.97760.0004962159.7187
0.852.22870.0008058132.72761.74380.0004534158.4398
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.251.30820.0001820216.97110.89670.0000929253.6131
0.851.22110.0001766213.37880.86300.0000897254.8714
3 ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.251.67510.0136076426.66261.74060.0085678226.1592
0.852.82970.0216563149.91451.90040.0109613146.8757
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.49560.0003454220.17550.33770.0001420266.8394
0.850.45460.0003131213.01060.32940.0001384252.9630
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.24850.0000545305.67290.18720.0000252382.3596
0.850.23520.0000491330.08160.18440.0000243408.9906
2 ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.251.75520.0114175469.12661.67400.0077327304.0407
0.852.89800.0209264143.12451.95600.0106086162.8618
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.49260.0003214261.45140.36480.0001474288.7144
0.850.49430.0003412227.58940.35480.0001392292.3549
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.25900.0000539319.15100.20130.0000267393.0197
0.850.25590.0000533337.16450.19740.0000254402.9686
1 ( n 1 = 10 , n 2 = 10 , n 3 = 8 , n 4 = 8 ) 0.251.26150.00159682428.38921.07700.00113631286.5635
0.851.72560.0027836439.32701.08980.0014481463.0750
( n 1 = 30 , n 2 = 30 , n 3 = 25 , n 4 = 20 ) 0.250.33490.0000523653.12100.22030.0000227730.4343
0.850.31170.0000514608.67160.21780.0000231661.5870
( n 1 = 50 , n 2 = 50 , n 3 = 40 , n 4 = 30 ) 0.250.15790.0000081847.69850.12060.0000042990.4194
0.850.15220.0000079835.80790.11870.0000041990.4676
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Almetwally, E.M.; Khaled, O.M.; Barakat, H.M. Inference Based on Progressive-Stress Accelerated Life-Testing for Extended Distribution via the Marshall-Olkin Family Under Progressive Type-II Censoring with Optimality Techniques. Axioms 2025, 14, 244. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040244

AMA Style

Almetwally EM, Khaled OM, Barakat HM. Inference Based on Progressive-Stress Accelerated Life-Testing for Extended Distribution via the Marshall-Olkin Family Under Progressive Type-II Censoring with Optimality Techniques. Axioms. 2025; 14(4):244. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040244

Chicago/Turabian Style

Almetwally, Ehab M., Osama M. Khaled, and Haroon M. Barakat. 2025. "Inference Based on Progressive-Stress Accelerated Life-Testing for Extended Distribution via the Marshall-Olkin Family Under Progressive Type-II Censoring with Optimality Techniques" Axioms 14, no. 4: 244. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040244

APA Style

Almetwally, E. M., Khaled, O. M., & Barakat, H. M. (2025). Inference Based on Progressive-Stress Accelerated Life-Testing for Extended Distribution via the Marshall-Olkin Family Under Progressive Type-II Censoring with Optimality Techniques. Axioms, 14(4), 244. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040244

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