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Article

Predictors of Secondary Education Completion across Portuguese Municipalities: Evidence from the 2009–2018 Period

1
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (Iscte), Cis-Iscte, 1649-026 Lisbon, Portugal
2
Instituto de Ciências Sociais, Universidade de Lisboa, 1600-189 Lisbon, Portugal
3
Department of Quantitative and Business Studies, University of Naples, 80132 Napoli, Italy
4
Sociology Department, South-West University “Neofit Rilski”, 2700 Blagoevgrad, Bulgaria
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Societies 2023, 13(9), 200; https://doi.org/10.3390/soc13090200
Submission received: 12 July 2023 / Revised: 10 August 2023 / Accepted: 17 August 2023 / Published: 25 August 2023

Abstract

Our overriding goal was to understand territorial inequalities regarding secondary school completion by testing which contextual factors and educational resources are associated with their change in high- and low-density Portuguese municipalities. Our analysis covered the time between 2009 and 2018, including both the economic crisis and the economic recovery period. Drawing mostly on publicly available data from 253 municipalities and following a Linear Mixed Model approach, we found that low-density municipalities depicted significantly greater levels of secondary school attainment by 2013 compared to high-density municipalities. Moreover, growing unemployment rates were associated with a reduction in secondary school completion rates across the assessed time points. Contrary to our expectations, higher rates of permanent teachers were associated with worse rates of secondary school completion. In addition, we found a significant increase in the rates of secondary school conclusion at higher levels of preschool enrollment among high-density municipalities. Our discussion counteracts the usual overstating of vulnerable territories’ worse educational indicators. We also underline the importance of improving secondary education indicators for reducing structural inequalities in the school-to-work transition in less affluent territories and pinpoint the importance of implementing policies, such as improving access to preschool education in Portuguese high-density municipalities.
Keywords: secondary education; school attainment; municipalities; preschool enrollment; teachers; school-to-work transition; public policies secondary education; school attainment; municipalities; preschool enrollment; teachers; school-to-work transition; public policies

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Garcia, D.; Simões, F.; Bettencourt, L.; Aguiar, C.; Ferreira, I.A.; Mendonça, J.; Moleiro, C.; Rocca, A.; Lendzhova, V. Predictors of Secondary Education Completion across Portuguese Municipalities: Evidence from the 2009–2018 Period. Societies 2023, 13, 200. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc13090200

AMA Style

Garcia D, Simões F, Bettencourt L, Aguiar C, Ferreira IA, Mendonça J, Moleiro C, Rocca A, Lendzhova V. Predictors of Secondary Education Completion across Portuguese Municipalities: Evidence from the 2009–2018 Period. Societies. 2023; 13(9):200. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc13090200

Chicago/Turabian Style

Garcia, D’Jamila, Francisco Simões, Leonor Bettencourt, Cecília Aguiar, Inês Alves Ferreira, Joana Mendonça, Carla Moleiro, Antonella Rocca, and Vladislava Lendzhova. 2023. "Predictors of Secondary Education Completion across Portuguese Municipalities: Evidence from the 2009–2018 Period" Societies 13, no. 9: 200. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc13090200

APA Style

Garcia, D., Simões, F., Bettencourt, L., Aguiar, C., Ferreira, I. A., Mendonça, J., Moleiro, C., Rocca, A., & Lendzhova, V. (2023). Predictors of Secondary Education Completion across Portuguese Municipalities: Evidence from the 2009–2018 Period. Societies, 13(9), 200. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc13090200

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