Scissors Approach in Human and Equipment Reliability Vis-A-Vis the Use of Alternative Fuel in Ship Propulsion
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Background
1.2. Current Issue
1.3. CREAM
2. The Contribution of This Paper
Hydrogen Bunkering Procedure
3. Methodology
3.1. Marine Case
3.2. Problem Definition
3.3. Task Analysis
- Operational Procedures of a Task: This represents the standard operating procedures (SOPs) involved in hydrogen bunkering: Connecting and disconnecting fuel lines, pressure and leak checks, ventilation protocols, and emergency shut-off readiness. These procedures are predefined and should be followed strictly by operators. A clear understanding and execution of tasks reduces human error and enhances safety.
- Identifying Potential Uncertainties: Here, operators must recognize possible deviations or unexpected conditions during the operation, such as the following: Sudden pressure drops or surges, the detection of minor hydrogen leaks, sensor malfunctions, or alarm failures. These uncertainties might not indicate immediate danger but can escalate if not managed. Early identification allows pre-emptive responses rather than reactive crisis management.
- Possible Human Corrective Responses: Based on the identified uncertainties, trained personnel may adjust the flow rate or pressure, pause or stop the operation, isolate a section of the system, initiate an emergency shutdown, notify the control room, or initiate evacuation if required.
3.4. Human Error Analysis
3.5. The Screening Phase
3.6. Quantification
3.7. Human Error Probability (HEP)
3.8. Collection of Data from the Maritime Industry
3.9. Application of Statistics to Determine the Failure Rate of Equipment
3.10. Integrating the Cognitive Failure Probability with Equipment Reliability
3.11. Application of More Corrective Actions
4. Case Study
4.1. Application of the CREAM HRA to the Human Corrective Actions of the Hydrogen Bunkering Operation
4.2. Event Sequence of the Human Corrective Measures of the Hydrogen Bunkering Process
- Replace the hose assembly.
- Properly label the inert gas line and hoses.
- Activate the emergency shutdown system (ESD).
- Identify and repair the source of the leak.
- Replace faulty lighting, gauges, and indicators.
- Determine the maximum filling limit of the tank.
- vii. Complete a planning stage checklist.
- ∑reduced = 1 ∑Not significant = 5 ∑Improved = 3 = (1, 5, 3).
- Figure 5 clearly indicates the tactical mode.
5. Discussion
5.1. Original Contribution of the Research Findings to the Industry
5.2. Recommendations for Improving the Current Issue
5.3. Limitations of Current Research and Suggestions for Future Work
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Van Hoecke, L.; Laffineur, L.; Campe, R.; Perreault, P.; Verbruggen, S.W.; Lenaerts, S. Challenges in the Use of Hydrogen for Maritime Applications. Energy Environ. Sci. 2021, 14, 815–843. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ball, M.; Wietschel, M. The future of hydrogen-opportunities and challenges. Int. J. Hydrogen Energy 2009, 34, 615–627. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Elkafas, A.G.; Rivarolo, M.; Gadducci, E.; Magistri, L.; Massardo, A.F. Fuel cell systems for maritime: A review of research development, commercial products, applications, and perspectives. Processes 2023, 11, 97. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Atilhan, S.; Park, S.; El-Halwagi, M.M.; Atilhan, M.; Moore, M.; Nielsen, R.B. Green Hydrogen as an Alternative Fuel for the Shipping Industry. Curr. Opin. Chem. Eng. 2021, 31, 100668. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hydrogen, Forbes. 2024. Available online: https://forbes.com/sites/kensilverstein/2024/03/18/green-hydrogen-will-become-the-21st-century-version-of-oil/?sh=55832c026365 (accessed on 10 January 2025).
- Hollnagel, E. Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method CREAM; Elsevier Science: London, UK, 1998; Available online: https://google.co.uk/books/edition/Cognitive_Reliability_and_Error_Analysis/-Y4MI8cMSpMC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=COGNITIVE+RELIABILITY+AND+ERROR+ANALYSIS+METHOD+CREAM+&pg=PP1&printsec=frontcover (accessed on 16 May 2025).
- Akyuz, E.; Celik, E. A modified human reliability analysis for cargo operation in single point mooring (SPM) offshore units. Appl. Ocean. Res. 2016, 58, 11–20. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Vinagre-Ríos, J.; Iglesias-Baniela, S. The human element in shipping casualties as a process of risk homeostasis of the shipping business. J. Navig. 2013, 66, 385–397. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ung, S.T. A weighted CREAM model for maritime human reliability analysis. Saf. Sci. 2015, 72, 144–152. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pei, H.; Gong, H.; Bai, Z.; Ma, Y.; Xu, M.; Li, G. A human factor reliability analysis method for maritime transport based on an improved CREAM model and group decision-making. Ocean Eng. 2024, 293, 116664. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sezer, S.I.; Elidolu, G.; Aydin, M.; Ahn, S.I.; Akyuz, E.; Kurt, R.E. Analyzing human reliability for the operation of cargo oil pump using fuzzy CREAM extended Bayesian Network (BN). Ocean Eng. 2024, 299, 117345. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ahn, S.I.; Kurt, R.E. Application of a CREAM based framework to assess human reliability in emergency response to engine room fires on ships. Ocean. Eng. 2020, 216, 108078. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fan, H.; Enshaei, H.; Jayasinghe, S.G. Human Error Probability Assessment for LNG Bunkering Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Network-CREAM Model. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2022, 10, 333. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Johnston, N.; McDonald, N. Aviation Psychology in Practice; Routledge: Abingdon-on-Thames, UK, 2017. [Google Scholar]
- Ibrion, M.; Paltrinieri, N.; Nejad, A.R. Learning from failures in cruise ship industry: The blackout of Viking Sky in Hustadvika, Norway. Eng. Fail. Anal. 2021, 125, 105355. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- DNV. Hydrogen Bunkering Safety Guidelines; Det Norske Veritas: Oslo, Norway, 2021. [Google Scholar]
- Singari, R.M.; Mathiyazhagan, K.; Kumar, H. Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering; Springer: Dordrecht, The Netherland; Available online: https://springer.com/series/11693 (accessed on 20 June 2025).
- Priya Vinod, A.; Babu, S.P. Carbon footprint levels and recommendations for sustainable shipping industry. Carbon footprint levels and recommendations for sustainable shipping industry. Sustain. Agri Food Environ. Res. Discontin. 2023, 12. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tofalos, C.; Jeong, B.; Jang, H. Safety comparison analysis between LNG/LH2 for bunkering operation. Journal of International Maritime Safety. Environ. Aff. Shipp. 2020, 4, 135–150. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Uflaz, E.; Sezer, S.I.; Akyuz, E.; Arslan, O.; Kurt, R.E. A human reliability analysis for ship-to-ship LNG bunkering process under D-S evidence fusion HEART approach. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 2022, 80, 104887. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
TASK | Bunkering Operation | Human Actions | Possible Hazards |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Hose/loading arm connection | Establish hose connection | Possible hose misalignment |
2 | Inert bunker lines, hoses, pumps | Start inert of lines and cargo pump with nitrogen | Possible wrong opening of inert gas line valves |
3 | Purging of lines | Start purging of lines with hydrogen vapour | Possible valve lines damaged |
4 | Filling of receiver tank with hydrogen | Open manual bunker valves on both sides | I. Possible misinterpretation of gauges or indicators II. Possible tank overfilling |
5 | Completion of transfer capacity | Verify required quantity | Possible tank overfilling |
6 | Draining of lines | Ensure liquid line stripping | Possible switch button failure |
7 | Purging of lines after completion | Purge lines with hydrogen vapour | Possible loss of valve connection |
8 | Inert lines after completion of bunkering | Ensure supply of inert gas (nitrogen) | Possible confusion of nitrogen with other gases |
9 | Hose/loading arm disconnection | Ensure proper disconnection | Possible hose misalignment |
Causes | Consequences | Preventive Measures | Human Corrective Response Actions (HCRAs) |
---|---|---|---|
Improper assembly; not correctly matching hose with fitting | Hose rupture | Take care not to bend the hose beyond the minimum bend radius (MBR) | Ensure to replace the hose assembly |
Lack of coordination among crew | Potential leakage | Proper communication | Proper labelling of inert gas lines, hoses, and gas cylinders |
Possible wrong closing and opening of valves | Potential leakage | Use proper equipment such as valves and fittings | I. Activate the emergency shutdown system on both sides II. Identify and repair the source of the leak |
I. Poor visibility or lighting II. Lack of standardization or calibration | Potential leakage | Ensure adequate illumination | Replace faulty lighting, gauges, and indicators |
Failing to check level of hydrogen in both tanks | Potential leakage | Proper communication | Determine the maximum filling limit for the hydrogen fuel tanks |
Mechanical or electrical failure of the switch button | Potential leakage | Regular inspection and maintenance | Activate emergency shutdown system (ESD) |
Possible wrong closing and opening of valves | Potential leakage | Proper watchkeeping | Initiate emergency shutdown system (ESD) |
Connecting the wrong hose to the nitrogen supply line | Potential gas leakage | Use dedicated hoses for nitrogen supply | Clearly label the inert gas line, gas cylinders, and hoses |
Lack of supervision | Potential hose rupture | Hose should not be dragged over rough surfaces | I. Replace the hose assembly II. Complete a planning stage checklist |
Task Number | Corrective Goal Intended | Task Step/Activity |
---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Replace the hose assembly | Stop the H2 transfer immediately and activate the ESD. |
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source. | |
0.1.3 | Vent the residual H2 from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system. | |
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected. | |
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and resume the H2 transfer. | |
0.2.1 | Properly label the inert gas line and hoses | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size. |
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system. | |
0.2.3 | Ensure that hoses and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the H2 couplings. | |
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination. | |
0.3.1 | Activate the emergency shutdown system (ESD) | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places. |
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD. | |
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves. | |
0.4.1 | Identify and repair the source of the leak | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors. |
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures. | |
0.5.1 | Replace faulty lighting, gauges, and indicators | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering. |
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares. | |
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional. | |
0.6.1 | Determine the maximum filling limit of the tank | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with. |
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature. | |
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | |
0.7.1 | Complete a planning stage checklist | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order. |
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures. |
CPC | Evaluation of the CPC of the Hydrogen Bunkering Operation (Corrective Actions) | CPC and Performance Reliability |
---|---|---|
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | Not significant |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | Not significant |
Working conditions | Compatible | Not significant |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | Improved |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | Not significant |
Available time | Adequate | Improved |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); daytime | Adjusted | Not significant |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | Reduced |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | Improved |
Control Modes | Reliability Interval (Probability of Action Failure) |
---|---|
Strategic | 0.000005 < p < 0.01 |
Tactical | 0.001 < p < 0.1 (1, 5, 3) |
Opportunistic | 0.01 < p < 0.5 |
Scrambled | 0.1 < p < 1.0 |
Task Number | Corrective Goal Intended | Task Step | Cognitive Activities |
---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Replace the hose assembly | Stop the hydrogen transfer immediately and activate the ESD | Execute |
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source | Coordinate | |
0.1.3 | Vent the residual hydrogen from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system | Execute | |
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected | Execute | |
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and resume the hydrogen transfer | Execute | |
0.2.1 | Properly label the inert gas line and hoses | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size | Plan |
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system | Execute | |
0.2.3 | Ensure that hoses and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the hydrogen couplings | Verify | |
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination | Monitor | |
0.3.1 | Activate the emergency shutdown system (ESD) | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places | Execute |
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD | Verify | |
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves | Verify | |
0.4.1 | Identify and repair the source of the leak | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors | Monitor |
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures | Verify | |
0.5.1 | Replace faulty lighting, gauges, and indicators | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering | Verify |
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares | Execute | |
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional | Verify | |
0.6.1 | Determine the maximum filling limit of the tank | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with | Evaluate |
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature | Evaluate | |
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | Monitor | |
0.7.1 | Complete a planning stage checklist | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order | Verify |
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures | Execute |
Task | Task Step | Cognitive Activity | Observation | Interpretation | Planning | Execution |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Stop the hydrogen transfer immediately and activate the ESD | Execute | √ | |||
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source | Coordinate | √ | |||
0.1.3 | Vent the residual hydrogen from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system | Execute | √ | |||
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected | Execute | √ | |||
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and resume the hydrogen transfer | Execute | √ | |||
0.2.1 | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size | Plan | √ | |||
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system | Execute | √ | |||
0.2.3 | Ensure that hoses and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the hydrogen couplings | Verify | √ | |||
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination | Monitor | √ | |||
0.3.1 | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places | Execute | √ | |||
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD | Verify | √ | |||
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves | Verify | √ | |||
0.4.1 | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors | Monitor | √ | |||
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures | Verify | √ | |||
0.5.1 | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering | Verify | √ | |||
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares | Execute | √ | |||
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional | Verify | √ | |||
0.6.1 | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with | Evaluate | √ | |||
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature | Evaluate | √ | |||
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | Monitor | √ | |||
0.7.1 | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order | Verify | √ | |||
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures | Execute | √ |
Task Number | Cognitive Activity | Observation | Interpretation | Planning | Execution | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
O1 | O2 | O3 | I1 | I2 | I3 | P1 | P2 | E1 | E2 | E3 | E4 | E5 | ||
0.1.1 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.1.2 | Coordinate | √ | ||||||||||||
0.1.3 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.1.4 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.1.5 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.2.1 | Plan | √ | ||||||||||||
0.2.2 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.2.3 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.2.4 | Monitor | √ | ||||||||||||
0.3.1 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.3.2 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.3.3 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.4.1 | Monitor | √ | ||||||||||||
0.4.2 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.5.1 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.5.2 | Execute | √ | ||||||||||||
0.5.3 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.6.1 | Evaluate | √ | ||||||||||||
0.6.2 | Evaluate | √ | ||||||||||||
0.6.3 | Monitor | √ | ||||||||||||
0.7.1 | Verify | √ | ||||||||||||
0.7.2 | Execute | √ |
Task Number | Cognitive Activity | COCOM Function | Error Mode | Nominal CFP |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Execute | Execution | E2: Action at wrong time | 3.0E−3 |
0.1.2 | Coordinate | Planning | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 |
0.1.3 | Execute | Execution | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 |
0.1.4 | Execute | Execution | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 |
0.1.5 | Execute | Execution | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 |
0.2.1 | Plan | Planning | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 |
0.2.2 | Execute | Execution | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 |
0.2.3 | Verify | Observation | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 |
0.2.4 | Monitor | Observation | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 |
0.3.1 | Execute | Execution | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 |
0.3.2 | Verify | Interpretation | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 |
0.3.3 | Verify | Observation | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 |
0.4.1 | Monitor | Observation | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 |
0.4.2 | Verify | Observation | O1: Wrong object observed | 1.0E−3 |
0.5.1 | Verify | Observation | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 |
0.5.2 | Execute | Execution | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 |
0.5.3 | Verify | Interpretation | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 |
0.6.1 | Evaluate | Interpretation | I3: Delayed interpretation | 1.0E−2 |
0.6.2 | Evaluate | Interpretation | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 |
0.6.3 | Monitor | Observation | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 |
0.7.1 | Verify | Observation | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 |
0.7.2 | Execute | Execution | E5: Missed action | 3.0E−2 |
CPC | Level | T0.1.1 | T0.1.2 | T0.1.3 | T0.1.4 | T0.1.5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E2 | P2 | E1 | E3 | E1 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T0.1.1 | T0.1.2 | T0.1.3 | T0.1.4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
P2 | E3 | O2 | O3 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T 0.3.1 | T 0.3.2 | T 0.3.4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
E3 | I2 | O3 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T 0.4.1 | T 0.4.2 |
---|---|---|---|
O3 | O1 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T 0.5.1 | T 0.5.2 | T 0.5.3 |
---|---|---|---|---|
O2 | E3 | I2 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T 0.6.1 | T 0.6.2 | T 0.6.3 | T 0.6.4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
E2 | P2 | E1 | E3 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
CPC | Level | T 0.7.1 | T 0.7.2 |
---|---|---|---|
O2 | E5 | ||
Adequacy of the organization | Efficient | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of MMI and operational support | Adequate | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Working conditions | Compatible | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Availability of procedures/plans | Acceptable | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Number of simultaneous goals | Matching current capacity | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Available time | Adequate | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Time of day (circadian rhythm); day time | Adjusted | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Adequacy of training and experience | Adequate, limited experience | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Crew collaboration quality | Very efficient | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Total influence of CPC | 0.25 | 0.25 |
Task | Task Activity | Error Mode | Nominal CFP | Weighting Factor | Adjusted CFP (HEPs) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Stop the hydrogen transfer immediately and activate the ESD | E2: Action at wrong time | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.1.3 | Vent the residual LNG from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and resume the LNG transfer | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.2.1 | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.2.3 | Ensure that the hose and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the LNG couplings | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.3.1 | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.4.1 | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures | O1: Wrong object observed | 1.0E−3 | 0.25 | 2.5E−4 |
0.5.1 | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.1 | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with | I3: Delayed interpretation | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.7.1 | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures | E5: Missed action | 3.0E−2 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
Task No | Task Activity | Error Mode | Nominal CFP | Weighting Factor | Adjusted CFP (HEPs) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 | Stop the hydrogen transfer immediately and activate the ESD | E2: Action at wrong time | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.1.3 | Vent the residual LNG from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and resume the LNG transfer | E1: Action of wrong type | 3.0E−3 | 0.25 | 7.5E−4 |
0.2.1 | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size | P2: Inadequate plan | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.2.3 | Ensure that the hose and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the LNG couplings | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.3.1 | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.4.1 | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures | O1: Wrong object observed | 1.0E−3 | 0.25 | 2.5E−4 |
0.5.1 | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares | E3: Action on wrong object | 5.0E−4 | 0.25 | 1.25E−4 |
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.1 | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with | I3: Delayed interpretation | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature | I2: Decision error | 1.0E−2 | 0.25 | 2.5E−3 |
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | O3: Observation not made | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.7.1 | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order | O2: Wrong identification | 7.0E−2 | 0.25 | 1.75E−2 |
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures | E5: Missed action | 3.0E−2 | 0.25 | 7.5E−3 |
Task No | Task Activity | Adjusted (CFP) | Adjusted Equipment Failure Probability (EFP) | FFP | Final Probability (FP) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.1.1 Replace the hose assembly. | Stop the hydrogen transfer immediately and activate the ESD | 0.00075 | ESD (0.00000699) | 0.0007569848 | 0.9992430152 |
0.1.2 | Ensure to isolate the ruptured hose from the supply source | 0.0025 | Gas detector (0.0000015) | 0.0025014965 | 0.9974985038 |
0.1.3 | Vent the residual hydrogen from the ruptured hose to a safe location or flare system | 0.00075 | Gas detector 0.0000015 | 0.0007514989 | 0.9992485011 |
0.1.4 | Replace with a spare hose that has been tested and inspected | 0.000125 | Gas detector (0.0000015) | 0.00012649981 | 0.9998735002 |
0.1.5 | Ensure all connections and the hydrogen transfer operation are ready to start | 0.00075 | Multimeter or electrical testers (0.000025) | 0.00077498125 | 0.9992250188 |
0.2.1 Properly label inert gas line and hoses | Clearly mark the lines and hoses as INERT GAS with a contrasting colour and suitable size | 0.0025 | Gas detector (0.0000015) | 0.00250149625 | 0.9974985038 |
0.2.2 | Colour-code the inert gas lines and hoses according to the defined system | 0.000125 | Gas detector (0.0000015) | 0.00012649981 | 0.9998735002 |
0.2.3 | Ensure that hoses and gas lines have compatible couplings distinct from the hydrogen couplings | 0.0175 | Couplings (0.000011) | 0.0175108075 | 0.9824891925 |
0.2.4 | Test inert gas lines and hoses regularly for leaks and contamination | 0.0175 | Portable gas detectors (0.0000015) | 0.01750147375 | 0.9824985263 |
0.3.1 Activate the emergency shutdown system (ESD) | Press the ESD push button placed in strategic places | 0.000125 | ESD (0.00000699) | 0.00013198913 | 0.9998680109 |
0.3.2 | Ensure the manual activation of the ESD | 0.0025 | ESD (0.00000699) | 0.00250697253 | 0.9974930275 |
0.3.3 | Ensure that the automatic activation closes the transfer valves and pumps, releases the ERC, and opens the vent valves | 0.0175 | ESD (0.00000699) | ||
0.4.1 Identify and repair the source of the leak | Monitor for gas leakage using appropriate detection systems—pressure sensors and gas detectors | 0.0175 | Gas detector (0.0000015) | ||
0.4.2 | Ensure stoppage of the whole transfer process and initiate repair following safety protocols and emergency procedures | 0.00025 | ESD (0.00000699) | 0.00025698825 | 0.9997430117 |
0.5.1 Replace faulty lighting, gauges, and indicators | Ensure replacement before the start of bunkering | 0.0175 | Multimeter or electrical testers (0.000025) | 0.0175245625 | 0.9824754375 |
0.5.2 | Replace using appropriate tools and spares | 0.000125 | Multimeter or electrical testers (0.000025) | 0.00014999688 | 0.9998500031 |
0.5.3 | Ensure that the new components are compatible and functional | 0.0025 | Multimeter or electrical testers (0.000025) | 0.0025249375 | 0.9974750625 |
0.6.1 Determine the maximum filling limit of the tank | Ensure the maximum allowable liquid volume that the tank may be loaded with | 0.0025 | Tank level gauges (0.00000015) | 0.00250014963 | 0.9974998504 |
0.6.2 | Ensure appropriate loading density at the loading temperature and reference temperature | 0.0025 | Tank level gauges (0.00000015) | 0.00250014963 | 0.9974998504 |
0.6.3 | Monitor the maximum filling limit using appropriate instruments: pressure gauge, level gauge, etc. | 0.0175 | Tank level gauges (0.00000015) | 0.01750014738 | 0.9824998526 |
0.7.1 Complete a planning stage checklist | Ensure to complete the checklist when placing a bunker order | 0.0175 | VHF Radio (0.0000000045) | 0.01750000442 | 0.9824999956 |
0.7.2 | Include all necessary information about the bunker and safety procedures | 0.0075 | VHF Radio (0.0000000045) | 0.007500004466 | 0.9924999955 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Fetimi, B.; Jeong, B.; Park, Y.; Jee, J. Scissors Approach in Human and Equipment Reliability Vis-A-Vis the Use of Alternative Fuel in Ship Propulsion. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13, 1580. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081580
Fetimi B, Jeong B, Park Y, Jee J. Scissors Approach in Human and Equipment Reliability Vis-A-Vis the Use of Alternative Fuel in Ship Propulsion. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 2025; 13(8):1580. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081580
Chicago/Turabian StyleFetimi, Bebetebe, Byongug Jeong, Yeongmin Park, and Jaehoon Jee. 2025. "Scissors Approach in Human and Equipment Reliability Vis-A-Vis the Use of Alternative Fuel in Ship Propulsion" Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 13, no. 8: 1580. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081580
APA StyleFetimi, B., Jeong, B., Park, Y., & Jee, J. (2025). Scissors Approach in Human and Equipment Reliability Vis-A-Vis the Use of Alternative Fuel in Ship Propulsion. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 13(8), 1580. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081580