1. Introduction
It is an unavoidable fact of academic life that the actual and/or perceived research performance of scholars is important in hiring, tenure and promotion decisions. Where a paper is published is frequently regarded as being of greater importance than the quality of the paper itself which, among other reasons, leads to rankings of a journal’s perceived quality. Such perceived quality of academic journals is routinely based on both testable and untestable assessments of journal impact and influence, the number of high quality papers, and quantitative or qualitative information about a journal, as well as quantifiable bibliometric Research Assessment Measures (RAMs) that are based on citations.
In this context, the leading database for generating RAMs to evaluate the research performance of individual researchers and the quality of academic journals is the Thomson Reuters ISI Web of Science [
1] database (hereafter ISI), where most RAMs are based on alternative weighted and unweighted transformations of citations data. Virtually all existing RAMs are static, with two being dynamic in capturing changes in impact factors over a period of two to five years, as well as escalating journal self-citations.
Seglen [
2] and Chang
et al. [
3,
4,
5,
6,
7], among others, have raised important warnings regarding the methodology and data collection methods underlying the ISI database. Such caveats would generally apply to any citation databases. Nevertheless, the ISI citations database is the oldest and most widely-used source of citations-based RAMs, and is undoubtedly the benchmark against which other citations databases, such as SciVerse Scopus, Google Scholar and Microsoft Academic Search, social science open access repositories, such as the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), and discipline-specific databases, such as Research Papers in Economics (RePEc), are compared.
The perceived quality of academic journals has long been used as a (sometimes highly questionable) proxy for the quality of published papers, especially for less established scholars, and especially in the social sciences. In comparison, citations are used far more frequently in the sciences to evaluate the quality of published papers than they are in the social sciences. As stated elsewhere, and as is well known, journal publishers promote the ISI impact factor of their journals and, if their journals do not yet have an impact factor, publicize the fact that their journals have either been selected for coverage in ISI or they have applied for inclusion in ISI.
Various RAMs have been used to compare journals in a wide range of ISI disciplines in terms of citations, quality and impact, such as the 40 leading journals in Economics and the leading 10 journals in each of Management, Finance and Marketing [
3], the six leading journals in each of 20 disciplines in the Sciences [
4], the 10 leading journals in a sub-discipline of Economics, namely Econometrics, and four leading journals in Statistics [
5], the 26 leading journals in Neuroscience [
6], the 299 leading journals in Economics [
7], the 110 leading journals in Statistics and Probability [
8], and the leading 34 journals in Finance [
9].
Although [
5] evaluated the 10 leading journals in econometrics using 13 RAMs from ISI for seven journals and 10 RAMs from ISI for three journals, the data were downloaded from ISI on April 28, 2010. In this paper, we use 15 RAMs from ISI for all 10 journals using data that were downloaded on September 28, 2013. As ISI data are made available in June of each year, this is four years more current than the previous rankings paper of econometrics journals, which will enable a comparison of whether the previous rankings have changed over time.
This paper also uses five RAMs from the highly accessible RePEc database (see [
10]) which, to the best of our knowledge, has not previously been compared with citations RAMs using ISI data. In addition, the five RAMs from RePEc will be compared with each other to determine which RAMs provide distinctive information. Therefore, 20 RAMs will be used to rank the 10 leading journals in econometrics, as well as determine which RAMs are able to provide informational value relative to others from ISI and RePEc.
This paper examines the importance of RAMs as viable rankings criteria in 10 leading econometrics journals from the ISI category of Economics, and suggests a robust rankings method of alternative RAMs using the harmonic mean of the ranks. Together with the arithmetic and geometric means, the harmonic mean is one of the three Pythagorean means, and is defined as the reciprocal of the arithmetic mean of the reciprocals. The rankings based on any single RAM, such as the two-year impact factor, are placed in context, and may be seen as an extreme as it is clearly subsumed by the harmonic mean of the ranks when all other RAMs are given zero weights, except the RAM in question. Moreover, emphasizing the two-year impact factor of a journal to the exclusion of other informative RAMs can lead to a distorted evaluation of journal quality, impact and influence based on citation data.
The use of a mean measure based on the individual RAMs has a firm foundation in statistical theory. In hypothesis testing, the test of a null against a specific alternative hypothesis will have high power if the alternative is true. However, if the alternative is not true, the test will be inconsistent. Such a test is not robust. If the null hypothesis is tested against multiple alternatives, the test will more likely be consistent, and hence will be robust. The same principle applies to rankings of multiple criteria, which is precisely why we aggregate a large number of RAMs to obtain a robust set of rankings.
The plan of the remainder of the paper is as follows.
Section 2 presents some key RAMs using ISI data that may be calculated annually or updated daily and key RAMs from RePEc that are updated daily.
Section 3 discusses and analyses 20 RAMs for 10 leading journals in econometrics drawn from the ISI category of Economics, and provides a harmonic mean of the ranks as a robust rankings method of alternative RAMs.
Section 4 summarizes the ranking outcomes, gives some practical suggestions as to how to rank journal quality and impact using citations data, and emphasizes the inherent usefulness and informational value of some RAMs relative to others.
3. Analysis of RAM for 10 Leading Journals in Econometrics
The acronyms for the 10 leading econometrics journals are taken from the ISI Economics subject category, and are given (in alphabetical order) as follows:
ECONOMET J = Econometrics Journal
ECONOMET REV = Econometric Reviews
ECONOMET THEOR = Econometric Theory
ECONOMETRICA = Econometrica
J APPL ECONOMET = Journal of Applied Econometrics
J BUS ECON STAT = Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
J ECONOMETRICS = Journal of Econometrics
J FINANC ECONOMET = Journal of Financial Econometrics
OXFORD B ECON STAT = Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
REV ECON STAT = Review of Economics and Statistics
No single RAM captures adequately the quality, impact and influence of a journal. Therefore, any general measure of journal quality and impact, such as a harmonic mean of the ranks as a robust rankings method (see, for example, [
7]), should depend on all the available RAMs. Of the 20 RAMs, 17 are ranked from high to low. The three RAMs that rank from low to high are PI-BETA, IFI and ESC.
In what follows, we compare the RAMs that are based on ISI citations data (
Table 1 ,
Table 3,
Table 4 and
Table 5) and RePEc citations data (
Table 2,
Table 3,
Table 4 and
Table 5). Only articles from the ISI Web of Science and RePEc are included in the citations data, which were downloaded from ISI on September 28, 2013 and from RePEc on October 4, 2013, for all journals. As will be seen below, all 10 econometrics journals are among the leading journals in both the Economics category of ISI and in RePEc.
In
Table 1 we evaluate 15 RAMs for the 10 leading econometrics journals, which are ranked according to 2YIF. The means and ranges for 2YIF, respectively, are 1.665 and 0.707–3.823; for 2YIF*, 1.538 and 0.707–3.425; for 5YIF, 2.440 and 1.252–5.702; and for Immediacy, 0.294 and 0.091–0.740. These impact factors are all considerably higher than their counterparts in the Economics category, which are 1.665, 1.538, 2.440 and 0.294, respectively (see [
7]).
The mean and range of 5YD2 in
Table 1 are 1.521 and 0.997–2.499, respectively, so that 5YIF is considerably higher than 2YIF, which is to be expected in Econometrics. In Economics, 5YD2 is 1.380 (see [
7]), so that citations increase more over time for the leading econometrics journals than for Economics as a whole.
Journal self-citations in the 10 leading econometrics journals are very low, with a mean IFI of 1.086 and a range of 1–1.187. On average, the 299 leading journals in Economics have 2YIF that is inflated by a factor of 1.442 through journal self-citations (see [
7]), which is considerably higher.
The h-index has a mean of 63 and a range of 11–181, with the mean being more than double the mean of 27 for the 299 Economics journals in ISI (see [
7]). The journals with lower h-indexes tend to have been included in ISI more recently than those journals with higher h-indexes.
In terms of mean citations, C3PO has a mean of 17.63 and a range of 3.46–52.21, as compared with a considerably lower mean of 5.51 for Economics (see [
7]). As in the case of the h-index, the journals with lower C3PO values tend to have been included in ISI more recently than those journals with higher C3PO.
Eigenfactor has a mean of 0.01638 and a range of 0.00304–0.04620, which is more than three times the mean of 0.005 for Economics as a whole (see [
7]). Article Influence has a mean of 3.181 and a range of 1.533–9.684, which is more than double the mean of 1.334 for the 299 Economics journals in ISI (see [
7]). As Article Influence is standardized to have a mean of one across all social science and science journals in the Thomson Reuters ISI database, the mean article influence in econometrics is considerably greater than for all the Economics journals, and even higher still than the full list of journals in the ISI database. Cited Article Influence (CAI) has a mean of 2.432 and a range of (1.035, 6.895), which is much higher than for all Economics journals, with a mean of 0.925.
The h-index has a mean of 63 and a range of 11–181, with the mean being more than double the mean of 27 for the 299 Economics journals in ISI (see [
7]). The journals with lower h-indexes tend to have been included in ISI more recently than those journals with higher h-indexes.
In terms of mean citations, C3PO has a mean of 17.63 and a range of 3.46–52.21, as compared with a considerably lower mean of 5.51 for Economics (see [
7]). As in the case of the h-index, the journals with lower C3PO values tend to have been included in ISI more recently than those journals with higher C3PO.
Eigenfactor has a mean of 0.01638 and a range of 0.00304–0.04620, which is more than three times the mean of 0.005 for Economics as a whole (see [
7]). Article Influence has a mean of 3.181 and a range of 1.533–9.684, which is more than double the mean of 1.334 for the 299 Economics journals in ISI (see [
7]). As Article Influence is standardized to have a mean of one across all social science and science journals in the Thomson Reuters ISI database, the mean article influence in econometrics is considerably greater than for all the Economics journals, and even higher still than the full list of journals in the ISI database. Cited Article Influence (CAI) has a mean of 2.432 and a range of (1.035, 6.895), which is much higher than for all Economics journals, with a mean of 0.925.
Table 1.
15 Research assessment measures (RAM) from ISI for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Table 1.
15 Research assessment measures (RAM) from ISI for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Rank | Journal | 2YIF | 2YIF * | IFI | 5YIF | Imm | 5YD2 | h-index | C3PO | PI-BETA | Eigenf | AI | CAI | H-STAR | 2Y-STAR | ESC |
---|
1 | ECONOMETRICA | 3.823 | 3.425 | 1.116 | 5.702 | 0.740 | 1.491 | 181 | 52.21 | 0.288 | 0.04620 | 9.684 | 6.895 | 96 | 80 | 8 |
2 | REV ECON STAT | 2.346 | 2.307 | 1.017 | 3.699 | 0.325 | 1.564 | 95 | 27.03 | 0.100 | 0.02670 | 4.264 | 3.838 | 98 | 100 | −1 |
3 | J BUS ECON STAT | 1.932 | 1.852 | 1.043 | 2.369 | 0.217 | 1.226 | 58 | 19.32 | 0.175 | 0.01037 | 2.986 | 2.463 | 96 | 92 | 2 |
4 | J APPL ECONOMET | 1.867 | 1.765 | 1.058 | 2.521 | 0.315 | 1.350 | 54 | 16.61 | 0.188 | 0.01005 | 2.368 | 1.923 | 96 | 90 | 3 |
5 | J ECONOMETRICS | 1.710 | 1.441 | 1.187 | 2.713 | 0.265 | 1.587 | 105 | 25.84 | 0.121 | 0.04103 | 3.272 | 2.876 | 88 | 70 | 9 |
6 | ECONOMET THEOR | 1.477 | 1.321 | 1.180 | 1.473 | 0.188 | 0.997 | 44 | 9.52 | 0.310 | 0.01285 | 2.491 | 1.719 | 84 | 80 | 2 |
7 | ECONOMET J | 1.000 | 0.929 | 1.076 | 1.252 | 0.227 | 1.252 | 15 | 4.02 | 0.329 | 0.00420 | 1.724 | 1.157 | 94 | 86 | 4 |
8 | J FINANC ECONOMET | 0.976 | 0.881 | 1.108 | 1.580 | 0.091 | 1.619 | 11 | 3.46 | 0.404 | 0.00304 | 1.736 | 1.035 | 82 | 80 | 1 |
9 | ECONOMET REV | 0.811 | 0.755 | 1.074 | 1.321 | 0.259 | 1.629 | 17 | 5.17 | 0.347 | 0.00429 | 1.748 | 1.141 | 96 | 88 | 4 |
10 | OXFORD B ECON STAT | 0.707 | 0.707 | 1.000 | 1.767 | 0.317 | 2.499 | 46 | 13.15 | 0.167 | 0.00508 | 1.533 | 1.277 | 98 | 100 | −1 |
| Mean | 1.665 | 1.538 | 1.086 | 2.440 | 0.294 | 1.521 | 63 | 17.63 | 0.243 | 0.01638 | 3.181 | 2.432 | 93 | 87 | 3 |
Table 2.
5 Research assessment measures (RAM) from RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Table 2.
5 Research assessment measures (RAM) from RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Rank | Journal | SIF | RIF | DIF | RDIF | h-RePEc |
---|
1 | ECONOMETRICA | 46.688 | 2.839 | 9.622 | 2.746 | 174 |
2 | REV ECON STAT | 15.544 | 0.886 | 3.524 | 0.905 | 95 |
3 | J BUS ECON STAT | 17.116 | 0.920 | 3.868 | 0.912 | 77 |
4 | J APPL ECONOMET | 16.357 | 0.856 | 4.251 | 0.941 | 59 |
5 | J ECONOMETRICS | 21.559 | 0.863 | 5.022 | 0.985 | 113 |
6 | ECONOMET THEOR | 6.948 | 0.332 | 1.597 | 0.400 | 47 |
7 | ECONOMET J | 9.463 | 0.111 | 2.714 | 0.157 | 26 |
8 | J FINANC ECONOMET | 7.227 | 0.320 | 2.475 | 0.560 | 20 |
9 | ECONOMET REV | 7.561 | 0.295 | 2.201 | 0.461 | 26 |
10 | OXFORD B ECON STAT | 9.827 | 0.302 | 2.205 | 0.328 | 46 |
| Mean | 15.829 | 0.772 | 3.748 | 0.840 | 68 |
Table 3.
Correlations of 20 RAM from ISI and RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Table 3.
Correlations of 20 RAM from ISI and RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
| 2YIF | 2YIF * | IFI | 5YIF | Imm | 5YD2 | h-index | C3PO | PI-BETA | Eigenf | AI | CAI | H-STAR | 2Y-STAR | ESC | SIF | RIF | DIF | RDIF | h-RePEc |
---|
2YIF | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2YIF * | 0.996 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
IFI | 0.136 | 0.054 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
5YIF | 0.956 | 0.954 | 0.016 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Imm | 0.817 | 0.804 | −0.044 | 0.879 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
5YD2 | −0.287 | −0.276 | −0.483 | −0.011 | 0.125 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
h-index | 0.916 | 0.896 | 0.190 | 0.955 | 0.861 | −0.001 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
C3PO | 0.938 | 0.926 | 0.092 | 0.977 | 0.885 | 0.007 | 0.991 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
PI-BETA | −0.263 | −0.297 | 0.297 | −0.335 | −0.170 | −0.242 | −0.421 | −0.413 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | |
Eigenf | 0.811 | 0.775 | 0.413 | 0.846 | 0.701 | −0.078 | 0.941 | 0.897 | −0.412 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | |
AI | 0.949 | 0.931 | 0.172 | 0.954 | 0.902 | −0.125 | 0.929 | 0.943 | −0.105 | 0.825 | 1 | | | | | | | | | |
CAI | 0.966 | 0.955 | 0.122 | 0.982 | 0.884 | −0.100 | 0.965 | 0.977 | −0.267 | 0.874 | 0.985 | 1 | | | | | | | | |
H-STAR | 0.249 | 0.304 | −0.761 | 0.341 | 0.504 | 0.328 | 0.264 | 0.339 | −0.483 | 0.064 | 0.228 | 0.288 | 1 | | | | | | | |
2Y-STAR | −0.146 | −0.058 | −0.944 | −0.061 | −0.004 | 0.401 | −0.202 | −0.123 | −0.354 | −0.420 | −0.206 | −0.144 | 0.713 | 1 | | | | | | |
ESC | 0.425 | 0.350 | 0.666 | 0.387 | 0.449 | −0.279 | 0.518 | 0.472 | 0.075 | 0.651 | 0.492 | 0.457 | −0.128 | −0.786 | 1 | | | | | |
SIF | 0.915 | 0.888 | 0.164 | 0.935 | 0.907 | −0.053 | 0.937 | 0.955 | −0.205 | 0.838 | 0.952 | 0.945 | 0.286 | −0.262 | 0.622 | 1 | | | | |
RIF | 0.949 | 0.931 | 0.126 | 0.956 | 0.903 | −0.090 | 0.925 | 0.953 | −0.164 | 0.797 | 0.972 | 0.960 | 0.274 | −0.196 | 0.520 | 0.981 | 1 | | | |
DIF | 0.897 | 0.868 | 0.177 | 0.917 | 0.878 | −0.074 | 0.905 | 0.925 | −0.171 | 0.821 | 0.926 | 0.916 | 0.259 | −0.304 | 0.658 | 0.992 | 0.968 | 1 | | |
RDIF | 0.936 | 0.913 | 0.168 | 0.946 | 0.880 | −0.090 | 0.911 | 0.937 | −0.124 | 0.799 | 0.963 | 0.946 | 0.219 | −0.250 | 0.547 | 0.974 | 0.995 | 0.969 | 1 | |
h-RePEc | 0.918 | 0.898 | 0.203 | 0.943 | 0.827 | −0.050 | 0.993 | 0.987 | −0.442 | 0.944 | 0.916 | 0.957 | 0.261 | −0.229 | 0.553 | 0.940 | 0.923 | 0.912 | 0.909 | 1 |
Table 4.
Rankings by the harmonic mean and 20 RAM from ISI and RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Table 4.
Rankings by the harmonic mean and 20 RAM from ISI and RePEc for 10 leading econometrics journals.
Journal | HM | 2YIF | 2YIF * | IFI | 5YIF | Imm | 5YD2 | h-index | C3PO | PI-BETA | Eigenf | AI | CAI | H-STAR | 2Y-STAR | ESC | SIF | RIF | DIF | RDIF | h-RePEc |
---|
ECONOMETRICA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
REV ECON STAT | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
OXFORD B ECON STAT | 3 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
J ECONOMETRICS | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
J BUS ECON STAT | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
J APPL ECONOMET | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
ECONOMET REV | 7 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
ECONOMET THEOR | 8 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
J FINANC ECONOMET | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
ECONOMET J | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
Table 5.
Correlations of Rankings of the Harmonic Mean (HM) and 20 RAM for 10 Leading Econometrics Journals.
Table 5.
Correlations of Rankings of the Harmonic Mean (HM) and 20 RAM for 10 Leading Econometrics Journals.
| HM | 2YIF | 2YIF* | IFI | 5YIF | Imm | 5YD2 | h-index | C3PO | PI-BETA | Eigenf | AI | CAI | H-STAR | 2Y-STAR | ESC | SIF | RIF | DIF | RDIF | h-RePEc |
---|
HM | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2YIF | 0.539 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2YIF* | 0.539 | 1.000 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
IFI | 0.261 | –0.103 | –0.103 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
5YIF | 0.867 | 0.768 | 0.770 | 0.030 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Imm | 0.842 | 0.418 | 0.418 | 0.309 | 0.697 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
5YD2 | 0.249 | –0.527 | –0.527 | 0.249 | 0.042 | 0.297 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
h-index | 0.879 | 0.770 | 0.770 | –0.042 | 0.903 | 0.709 | –0.103 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
C3PO | 0.903 | 0.806 | 0.806 | 0.055 | 0.915 | 0.746 | –0.115 | 0.988 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | |
PI-BETA | 0.746 | 0.442 | 0.442 | 0.346 | 0.685 | 0.600 | 0.030 | 0.758 | 0.770 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | |
Eigenf | 0.758 | 0.758 | 0.758 | –0.273 | 0.794 | 0.564 | –0.261 | 0.927 | 0.915 | 0.649 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | |
AI | 0.624 | 0.891 | 0.891 | –0.297 | 0.782 | 0.406 | –0.321 | 0.830 | 0.842 | 0.455 | 0.891 | 1 | | | | | | | | | |
CAI | 0.806 | 0.879 | 0.879 | –0.055 | 0.879 | 0.661 | –0.297 | 0.964 | 0.976 | 0.733 | 0.939 | 0.879 | 1 | | | | | | | | |
H-STAR | 0.677 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 0.786 | 0.404 | 0.743 | 0.240 | 0.448 | 0.524 | 0.513 | 0.229 | 0.153 | 0.393 | 1 | | | | | | | |
2Y-STAR | 0.312 | –0.019 | –0.019 | 0.973 | 0.070 | 0.337 | 0.146 | 0.006 | 0.121 | 0.375 | –0.159 | –0.197 | 0.032 | 0.793 | 1 | | | | | | |
ESC | 0.024 | –0.224 | –0.224 | 0.694 | –0.106 | –0.106 | 0.129 | –0.294 | –0.188 | 0.176 | –0.306 | –0.318 | –0.224 | 0.269 | 0.763 | 1 | | | | | |
SIF | 0.733 | 0.685 | 0.685 | 0.018 | 0.806 | 0.649 | –0.042 | 0.879 | 0.842 | 0.612 | 0.673 | 0.624 | 0.806 | 0.437 | –0.032 | –0.447 | 1 | | | | |
RIF | 0.709 | 0.891 | 0.891 | –0.079 | 0.879 | 0.394 | –0.309 | 0.855 | 0.867 | 0.539 | 0.818 | 0.891 | 0.879 | 0.262 | –0.006 | –0.118 | 0.733 | 1 | | | |
DIF | 0.539 | 0.746 | 0.746 | –0.152 | 0.782 | 0.515 | –0.139 | 0.757 | 0.721 | 0.442 | 0.576 | 0.624 | 0.733 | 0.197 | –0.210 | –0.518 | 0.927 | 0.709 | 1 | | |
RDIF | 0.588 | 0.746 | 0.746 | –0.273 | 0.842 | 0.406 | –0.067 | 0.782 | 0.746 | 0.358 | 0.685 | 0.794 | 0.721 | 0.142 | –0.286 | –0.471 | 0.794 | 0.842 | 0.842 | 1 | |
h-RePEc | 0.794 | 0.831 | 0.831 | –0.151 | 0.857 | 0.642 | –0.252 | 0.983 | 0.970 | 0.705 | 0.957 | 0.882 | 0.983 | 0.350 | –0.085 | –0.364 | 0.844 | 0.857 | 0.756 | 0.768 | 1 |
H-STAR and 2Y-STAR for the 10 econometrics journals are very high, with a mean of 93 and a range of 82–98 for H-STAR, compared with a much lower mean of 73 for all Economics journals in ISI, and a lower mean of 87 and a wider range of 70–100 for 2Y-STAR, compared with a much lower mean of 64 for all economics journals (see [
7]). The H-STAR and 2Y-STAR means of 93 and 87 reflect journal self-citations of 3.5% and 6.5%, respectively, historically and for the preceding two years, which are very low compared with all of Economics. On average, journal self-citations have increased over the preceding two years as compared with historical levels. The ESC mean is 3, with a range of −1–9. On average, self-citations are escalating, with two journals decreasing in self-citations in the preceding two years relative to historical levels, and eight journals increasing in self-citations.
The PI-BETA scores are illuminating. The mean is 0.243, with a range of 0.1–0.404 so that, on average, one in every four papers published in the 10 leading econometrics journals is not cited, not even by the authors. In comparison, with a mean PI-BETA of 0.492, one in every two papers that are published in the leading 299 journals in Economics is not cited (see [
7]). The PI-BETA values in
Table 1 are much lower than for Economics journals listed in ISI, but are very similar to those in many disciplines in the sciences (see [
4]).
The RePEc RAMs in
Table 2 are illuminating. The simple impact factor (SIF) has a mean of 15.829 and a range of 6.948–46.688. The mean is considerably higher than the means of 2YIF and 5YIF in
Table 1, but this can be explained by the fact that the citations base of journals in RePEc is roughly six times as large as in ISI, even though RePEc excludes journal self-citations. The recursive, discounted and recursive discounted impact factors, namely RIF, DIF and RDIF, respectively, have means of 0.772, 3.748 and 0.840, and ranges of 0.111–2.839, 1.597–9.622 and 0.157–2.746, respectively.
The mean h-RePEc is 68, with a range of (20, 174). Despite excluding journal self-citations, the mean h-RePEc of 68 is very similar to the mean h-index of 63 in
Table 1 for ISI, which includes journal self-citations. The range of 11–181 for the h-indexes in
Table 1 is also very similar to the range of 20–174 for h-RePEc in
Table 2.
The pairwise correlations of 20 RAMs for the 10 leading econometrics journals based on the raw RAM scores in
Table 1 and
Table 2 are given in
Table 3. There are 66 pairs of RAMs for which the correlations exceed 0.9 (in absolute value) in
Table 3.
The correlations of 0.996 for the pair (2YIF, 2YIF*), 0.995 for (RIF, RDIF), 0.993 for (h-index, h-RePEc), 0.992 for (SIF, DIF), and 0.991 for (h-index, C3PO) are extremely high, which suggest that, among others, the two-year impact factors including and excluding self-citations are very similar for the leading econometrics journals. A similar comment applies to the very high correlations for the other four pairs, including RIF and RDIF, SIF and DIF, and the h-index with each of h-RePEc and C3PO. The 10 pairwise correlations for the five RePEc RAMs are all very high and lie in the range 0.909–0.995, which suggests that they provide similar information to each other, whether simple, recursive, discounted, or recursive discounted impact factors are used. The five RePEc RAMs are also very highly correlated with most of the 15 ISI RAMs. Interestingly, there are numerous pairs for which the pairwise correlations are relatively low, which suggests that they provide useful additional information about journal impact and influence.
One of the primary purposes of the paper is to provide robust rankings and to determine if reliance on the classic 2YIF, to the exclusion of the other RAMs, might lead to a distorted evaluation of journal quality, impact and influence. In order to provide a robust rankings measure based on the 20 RAMs, the rankings of the 10 leading econometrics journals given in
Table 4 are based on the harmonic mean.
The journals in
Table 4 are ranked according to the harmonic mean of the ranks (given as HM). Bearing in mind that no standard errors are available for these rankings, in comparison with the rankings in
Table 1 that are based on 2YIF, only two journals remain unchanged in
Table 4, namely Econometrica at number 1 and the Review of Economics and Statistics at number 2. These two journals were ranked identically in [
5]. The other eight econometrics journals have changed positions relative to their rankings based on 2YIF in
Table 1. The Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics has shifted its ranking by seven places from 10 to 3, the Econometrics Journal has moved from 7 in
Table 1–10 in
Table 4, and the remaining six journals have shifted by one or two places in either direction.
The rankings based on the h-index and h-RePEc are virtually identical, with seven journals having the same ranking according to either RAM, and the remaining three journals being shifted by only one position. Thus, it would seem that whether journal self-citations are included or excluded does not seem to affect the relative rankings of the 10 leading econometrics journals.
It is widely acknowledged that the use of the harmonic mean of the ranks may be seen as rewarding or penalizing widely-varying rankings across alternative RAMs, with high rewards for particularly high rankings or, equivalently, low rank scores. The harmonic mean of the ranks tends to reward journals with strong individual performances according to one or more RAMs, with one or more strong performances leading to greatly improved rankings. This is most evident for the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, which has a wide range of 1–10, with five scores of 1 and three scores of 10. Econometrica also has a wide range of 1–9, with 14 scores of 1 and individual scores of 8 for IFI and 9 for ESC, while the Journal of Econometrics also has a wide range of 2–10, with six scores of 2 and three scores of 10. The Journal of Business & Economic Statistics and Econometric Reviews both have a range of 2–9, while the Journal of Financial Econometrics has a range of 3–10 and Econometric Theory has a range of 4–10. Three journals have relatively narrow ranges, with the Review of Economics and Statistics having a range of 1–5, the Journal of Applied Econometrics having a range of 3–7, and the Econometrics Journal having a range of 6–10.
There may be strong disagreement among the weights to be used, as well as about whether the harmonic, geometric or arithmetic means of the ranks might be an appropriate Pythagorean mean for purposes of obtaining ranks of journals. The RAMs provided in
Table 1,
Table 2,
Table 3,
Table 4 allow alternative weights to be used for different journals, but a concentration on 2YIF alone, with corresponding zero weights for all other RAMs, would seem to be excessively restrictive. A similar comment would apply to the use of any single RAM as compared with a broader number of RAMs, especially the harmonic mean. Regardless of whether the harmonic mean should be preferred to its arithmetic or geometric mean counterparts, it is clear that the harmonic mean should be preferred to any single RAM on the basis of its robustness to a broader range of citation criteria.
The simple ranking correlations of the 20 RAMs for the 10 leading econometrics journals, based on the rankings in
Table 4, are given in
Table 5. The correlations in
Table 5 are not very close (in absolute value) to the correlations in
Table 3 for the raw RAM scores. There are 16 RAM pairs for which the correlations exceed 0.9, with the two highest correlations being for the pair (2YIF, 2YIF*) at 1.0 and (h-index, C3PO) at 0.988, which show that the rankings according to 2YIF and 2YIF* would be identical, and would be virtually identical according to the h-index and C3PO. For the RePEc rankings, unlike the very high pairwise correlations in
Table 3, the highest correlation is for the pair (SIF, DIF) at 0.927.
In
Table 5, the five highest correlations with the Harmonic Mean (HM) are for C3PO (at 0.903), h-index (at 0.879), 5YIF (at 0.867), Immediacy (at 0.842), and CAI (at 0.806), which suggests that the classic two-year impact factor including journal self-citations (2YIF) is less correlated (at 0.539) with the Harmonic Mean than are numerous other RAMs. For the RePEc rankings, the highest correlation with the Harmonic Mean is 0.794 for h-RePEc, while the lowest correlation is 0.539 for DIF, which is the same as for 2YIF. Thus, 2YIF would not seem to be a robust individual RAM to use if it were intended to capture the harmonic mean of the ranks. Indeed, using 2YIF as a single RAM to capture the quality of a journal would lead to a distorted evaluation of a journal’s impact and influence.