The Impact of Financial Constraints on the Convertible Bond Announcement Returns
Abstract
:1. Motivation
2. The Model
3. Empirical Variables
3.1. Financial Constraint
3.2. Performance Index
4. Empirical Analysis
4.1. Industrial Distribution of Sample Companies and Events
4.2. Analysis on the Difference in Short- and Long-Term Performances after the Announcement of Convertible Bonds between High and Low Financial Constraints
4.3. Short-Term Performance from High and Low Financial Constraints
4.4. Long-Term Performance from High and Low Financial Constraints
4.5. Effect of Financial Constraints on Short-Term Performance after the Announcement of Convertible Bonds
4.6. Effect of Financial Constraints on Long-Term Performance after the Announcement of Convertible Bonds
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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1 | Panel data regression was run with fixed effect in addition to pooled ordinary least regression approach. This yielded favorable results which support our claim, that companies with high financial constraints have higher long-term performance after issuing convertible bonds. |
2 | The index measuring the degree of companies’ financial constraints were widely used, including by Lamont et al. (2001), Baker et al. (2003), Chen et al. (2007), and Hennessy et al. (2007). In following Whited and Wu (2006), the WW index was included to measure whether a company has financial constraints. The result is consistent with the empirical results. |
3 | Panel data regression was run with fixed effect in addition to pooled ordinary least regression approach. This yielded favorable results which support our claim that companies with high financial constraints have higher long-term performance after issuing convertible bonds. |
Industry | Number of Companies | % | Number of Events | % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Food | 4 | 0.96% | 4 | 0.62% |
Plastic | 4 | 0.96% | 7 | 1.09% |
Textile | 9 | 2.15% | 15 | 2.33% |
Electric Machinery | 18 | 4.31% | 25 | 3.89% |
Electric and Cable | 6 | 1.44% | 8 | 1.24% |
Biotechnology | 23 | 5.50% | 32 | 4.98% |
Glass and Ceramic | 1 | 0.24% | 2 | 0.31% |
Paper and Pulp | 5 | 1.20% | 7 | 1.09% |
Iron and Steel | 15 | 3.59% | 28 | 4.35% |
Rubber | 4 | 0.96% | 5 | 0.78% |
Automobile | 2 | 0.48% | 5 | 0.78% |
Electronics | 267 | 63.88% | 408 | 63.45% |
Building Material and Construction | 23 | 5.50% | 37 | 5.75% |
Shipping and Transportation | 5 | 1.20% | 13 | 2.02% |
Tourism | 2 | 0.48% | 2 | 0.31% |
Trading and Consumers’ Goods | 6 | 1.44% | 11 | 1.71% |
Oil, Gas, and Electricity | 4 | 0.96% | 5 | 0.78% |
others | 20 | 4.78% | 29 | 4.51% |
Total | 418 | 100.00% | 643 | 100.00% |
Panel A Short-Term Cumulative Abnormal Returns 1 | ||||
Performance | High Financial Constraints | Low Financial Constraints | Difference | p-Value |
SCAR0_5 | −1.10 | −0.65 | −0.46 | 0.3639 |
SCAR0_10 | −1.29 | −1.56 | 0.27 | 0.6796 |
SCAR0_15 | −1.27 | −1.65 | 0.38 | 0.6358 |
SCAR0_20 | −1.77 | −2.35 | 0.58 | 0.5399 |
SCAR0_25 | −2.15 | −2.21 | 0.06 | 0.9616 |
SCAR0_30 | −2.06 | −2.62 | 0.56 | 0.6502 |
Panel B Long-Term Cumulative Abnormal Returns 2 | ||||
Performance | High Financial Constraints | Low Financial Constraints | Difference | p-Value |
LCAR0_12 | −12.68 | −19.08 | 6.40 | 0.1951 |
LCAR0_24 | −21.35 | −35.21 | 13.86 * | 0.0656 |
LCAR0_36 | −25.53 | −46.97 | 21.44 ** | 0.0347 |
LCAR0_48 | −38.09 | −62.73 | 24.64 * | 0.0546 |
LCAR0_60 | −47.85 | −78.79 | 30.94 ** | 0.0425 |
Performance | High Financial Constraints | Low Financial Constraints | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
SCAR0_t | Rate of Return | t-Value | Rate of Return | t-Value |
SCAR0_0 | −0.09 | −0.64 | −0.25 * | −1.65 |
SCAR0_1 | −0.43 ** | −2.10 | −0.36 | −1.55 |
SCAR0_2 | −0.73 *** | −2.92 | −0.60 ** | −2.15 |
SCAR0_3 | −0.78 *** | −2.62 | −0.66 ** | −2.04 |
SCAR0_4 | −0.89 *** | −2.60 | −0.53 * | −1.53 |
SCAR0_5 | −1.20 *** | −3.34 | −0.65 * | −1.71 |
SCAR0_6 | −1.49 *** | −3.92 | −0.96 ** | −2.40 |
SCAR0_7 | −1.55 *** | −3.76 | −1.12 *** | −2.69 |
SCAR0_8 | −1.60 *** | −3.81 | −1.24 *** | −2.83 |
SCAR0_9 | −1.67 *** | −3.77 | −1.41 *** | −3.02 |
SCAR0_10 | −1.38 *** | −3.05 | −1.63 *** | −3.33 |
SCAR0_11 | −1.24 ** | −2.56 | −1.44 *** | −2.72 |
SCAR0_12 | −1.24 ** | −2.46 | −1.64 *** | −2.91 |
SCAR0_13 | −1.34 ** | −2.54 | −1.61 *** | −2.77 |
SCAR0_14 | −1.31 ** | −2.35 | −1.67 *** | −2.87 |
SCAR0_15 | −1.43 ** | −2.53 | −1.57 ** | −2.57 |
SCAR0_16 | −1.50 *** | −2.66 | −1.56 ** | −2.41 |
SCAR0_17 | −1.80 *** | −3.06 | −1.64 ** | −2.51 |
SCAR0_18 | −1.90 *** | −3.08 | −1.90 *** | −2.88 |
SCAR0_19 | −1.93 *** | −3.03 | −2.06 *** | −3.02 |
SCAR0_20 | −1.96 *** | −2.97 | −2.28 *** | −3.20 |
SCAR0_21 | −1.90 *** | −2.80 | −2.32 *** | −3.17 |
SCAR0_22 | −2.04 *** | −2.93 | −2.22 *** | −2.99 |
SCAR0_23 | −2.23 *** | −3.06 | −2.23 *** | −2.95 |
SCAR0_24 | −2.27 *** | −3.07 | −2.16 *** | −2.83 |
SCAR0_25 | −2.42 *** | −3.24 | −2.20 *** | −2.80 |
SCAR0_26 | −2.24 *** | −2.90 | −2.06 *** | −2.60 |
SCAR0_27 | −2.28 *** | −2.90 | −2.20 *** | −2.71 |
SCAR0_28 | −2.24 *** | −2.79 | −2.31 *** | −2.72 |
SCAR0_29 | −2.17 *** | −2.64 | −2.51 *** | −2.96 |
SCAR0_30 | −2.31 *** | −2.76 | −2.69 *** | −3.07 |
Performance | High Financial Constraints | Low Financial Constraints | Performance | High Financial Constraints | Low Financial Constraints | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SCAR0_t | Return | t-Value | Return | t-Value | Return | t-Value | Return | t-Value | |
LCAR0_0 | −1.39 ** | −2.02 | −1.66 ** | −1.87 | LCAR0_31 | −24.38 *** | −3.88 | −40.01 *** | −5.68 |
LCAR0_1 | −1.59 | −1.42 | −2.49 ** | −2.02 | LCAR0_32 | −24.84 *** | −3.87 | −40.38 *** | −5.59 |
LCAR0_2 | −3.28 ** | −2.31 | −3.32 ** | −2.04 | LCAR0_33 | −25.09 *** | −3.85 | −40.94 *** | −5.50 |
LCAR0_3 | −3.66 ** | −2.12 | −4.05 * | −2.19 | LCAR0_34 | −25.71 *** | −3.86 | −41.43 *** | −5.41 |
LCAR0_4 | −4.55 ** | −2.30 | −4.12 ** | −1.91 | LCAR0_35 | −25.57 *** | −3.74 | −42.06 *** | −5.42 |
LCAR0_5 | −4.99 ** | −2.25 | −5.33 ** | −2.20 | LCAR0_36 | −26.54 *** | −3.79 | −44.48 *** | −5.60 |
LCAR0_6 | −5.66 ** | −2.37 | −7.34 *** | −2.83 | LCAR0_37 | −28.51 *** | −3.98 | −46.34 *** | −5.69 |
LCAR0_7 | −7.57 *** | −2.88 | −9.49 *** | −3.54 | LCAR0_38 | −28.88 *** | −3.95 | −47.34 *** | −5.64 |
LCAR0_8 | −8.38 *** | −2.95 | −10.23 *** | −3.49 | LCAR0_39 | −30.58 *** | −4.13 | −48.85 *** | −5.66 |
LCAR0_9 | −8.99 *** | −3.00 | −11.99 *** | −3.84 | LCAR0_40 | −31.99 *** | −4.26 | −49.46 *** | −5.61 |
LCAR0_10 | −9.72 *** | −2.94 | −13.26 *** | −4.03 | LCAR0_41 | −32.89 *** | −4.29 | −50.94 *** | −5.67 |
LCAR0_11 | −10.57 *** | −3.11 | −16.49 *** | −4.98 | LCAR0_42 | −34.89 *** | −4.46 | −52.21 *** | −5.73 |
LCAR0_12 | −13.68 *** | −3.72 | −17.83 *** | −5.00 | LCAR0_43 | −35.89 *** | −4.53 | −52.69 *** | −5.74 |
LCAR0_13 | −16.02 *** | −4.24 | −19.04 *** | −5.13 | LCAR0_44 | −36.87 *** | −4.52 | −54.61 *** | −5.84 |
LCAR0_14 | −16.86 *** | −4.31 | −21.37 *** | −5.38 | LCAR0_45 | −36.77 *** | −4.44 | −55.44 *** | −5.81 |
LCAR0_15 | −18.35 *** | −4.54 | −22.78 *** | −5.37 | LCAR0_46 | −37.53 *** | −4.5 | −57.24 *** | −5.87 |
LCAR0_16 | −20.61 *** | −4.95 | −24.84 *** | −5.67 | LCAR0_47 | −37.31 *** | −4.44 | −59.54 *** | −5.94 |
LCAR0_17 | −20.96 *** | −4.86 | −25.23 *** | −5.54 | LCAR0_48 | −40.10 *** | −4.68 | −60.64 *** | −5.92 |
LCAR0_18 | −21.84 *** | −4.92 | −26.14 *** | −5.56 | LCAR0_49 | −42.24 *** | −4.85 | −63.98 *** | −6.17 |
LCAR0_19 | −21.15 *** | −4.60 | −26.43 *** | −5.43 | LCAR0_50 | −43.00 *** | −4.87 | −65.08 *** | −6.16 |
LCAR0_20 | −21.03 *** | −4.49 | −28.57 *** | −5.59 | LCAR0_51 | −44.90 *** | −5.00 | −66.14 *** | −6.15 |
LCAR0_21 | −21.74 *** | −4.54 | −30.19 *** | −5.60 | LCAR0_52 | −45.75 *** | −5.03 | −67.73 *** | −6.22 |
LCAR0_22 | −22.26 *** | −4.49 | −30.98 *** | −5.50 | LCAR0_53 | −46.54 *** | −5.05 | −69.73 *** | −6.33 |
LCAR0_23 | −22.79 *** | −4.44 | −33.12 *** | −5.89 | LCAR0_54 | −46.19 *** | −4.93 | −71.03 *** | −6.27 |
LCAR0_24 | −22.65 *** | −4.32 | −33.42 *** | −5.74 | LCAR0_55 | −47.39 *** | −4.96 | −72.71 *** | −6.29 |
LCAR0_25 | −23.35 *** | −4.32 | −34.08 *** | −5.72 | LCAR0_56 | −47.46 *** | −4.91 | −73.11 *** | −6.26 |
LCAR0_26 | −23.34 *** | −4.17 | −35.07 *** | −5.80 | LCAR0_57 | −48.07 *** | −4.96 | −73.82 *** | −6.21 |
LCAR0_27 | −23.93 *** | −4.10 | −36.49 *** | −5.95 | LCAR0_58 | −48.65 *** | −4.97 | −74.48 *** | −6.19 |
LCAR0_28 | −24.84 *** | −4.14 | −38.68 *** | −6.15 | LCAR0_59 | −48.94 *** | −4.96 | −75.88 *** | −6.23 |
LCAR0_29 | −25.04 *** | −4.08 | −37.96 *** | −5.83 | LCAR0_60 | −49.84 *** | −4.98 | −78.66 *** | −6.31 |
LCAR0_30 | −23.83 *** | −3.84 | −39.68 *** | −5.91 |
Performance | SCAR0_5 | SCAR0_10 | SCAR0_15 | SCAR0_20 | SCAR0_25 | SCAR0_30 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent Variable | |||||||
Intercept | 0.0188 | −0.0211 | −0.0106 | −0.0065 | −0.0253 | −0.0157 | |
(0.0179) | (0.0244) | (0.0300) | (0.0349) | (0.0393) | (0.0446) | ||
HFC | −0.0064 | 0.0034 | 0.0020 | 0.0100 | 0.0074 | 0.0100 | |
(0.0064) | (0.0079) | (0.0097) | (0.0113) | (0.0131) | (0.0142) | ||
SIZE | −0.0029 | 0.0015 | −0.0005 | −0.0004 | 0.0031 | 0.0017 | |
(0.0020) | (0.0027) | (0.0034) | (0.0040) | (0.0044) | (0.0050) | ||
MB | −0.0014 | −0.0033 | −0.0009 | −0.0008 | −0.0011 | −0.0035 | |
(0.0019) | (0.0028) | (0.0035) | (0.0043) | (0.0049) | (0.0056) | ||
FCFratio | 0.0237 | 0.0248 | 0.0303 | 0.0371 | 0.0196 | 0.0343 | |
(0.0152) | (0.0225) | (0.0303) | (0.0296) | (0.0386) | (0.0372) | ||
STDAR | −0.0161 | 0.0001 | 0.0208 | 0.0225 | 0.0119 | −0.0378 | |
(0.0280) | (0.0486) | (0.0620) | (0.0673) | (0.0746) | (0.0986) | ||
LEV | 0.0008 | −0.0105 | −0.0095 | −0.0491 | −0.0688 | −0.0583 | |
(0.0244) | (0.0318) | (0.0386) | (0.0439) | (0.0516) | (0.0586) | ||
RmRf | 0.0071 | 0.0714 | 0.1458 ** | 0.1244 * | 0.1761 ** | 0.2784 *** | |
(0.0398) | (0.0515) | (0.0638) | (0.0713) | (0.0826) | (0.0950) | ||
Adj.R2 | 0.0115 | 0.0096 | 0.0136 | 0.0113 | 0.0133 | 0.0225 | |
F-value | 0.4344 | 0.5657 | 0.311 | 0.4433 | 0.3262 | 0.0569 |
Performance | LCAR0_12 | LCAR0_24 | LCAR0_36 | LCAR0_48 | LCAR0_60 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent Variable | ||||||
Intercept | 0.1850 | 0.2522 | 0.6774 ** | 0.7336 * | 0.9665 ** | |
(0.1777) | (0.2498) | (0.3276) | (0.3994) | (0.4852) | ||
HFC | 0.1199 ** | 0.2043 ** | 0.2587 ** | 0.2378 * | 0.3127 * | |
(0.0571) | (0.0877) | (0.1133) | (0.1415) | (0.1681) | ||
SIZE | −0.0015 | 0.0118 | −0.0332 | −0.0455 | −0.0685 | |
(0.0219) | (0.0292) | (0.0379) | (0.0471) | (0.0562) | ||
MB | −0.0663 * | −0.1439 *** | −0.1839 *** | −0.2376 *** | −0.3031 *** | |
(0.0363) | (0.0387) | (0.0471) | (0.0621) | (0.0747) | ||
FCFratio | 0.4405 ** | 0.4677 * | 0.6997 ** | 0.7404 * | 0.8466 * | |
(0.1791) | (0.2558) | (0.3144) | (0.3864) | (0.4332) | ||
STDAR | −2.4905 *** | −5.0979 *** | −7.1942 *** | −8.6716 *** | −9.6888 *** | |
(0.6469) | (0.8699) | (1.2583) | (1.6700) | (2.0607) | ||
LEV | −0.4961 ** | −0.7041 ** | −0.7173 * | −0.5391 | −0.6762 | |
(0.2105) | (0.3011) | (0.4190) | (0.5418) | (0.6353) | ||
RmRf | −0.0640 | −0.5177 | −0.3523 | −0.3101 | −0.4929 | |
(0.4306) | (0.5495) | (0.6946) | (0.8714) | (1.0643) | ||
Adj.R2 | 0.1136 | 0.1982 | 0.2278 | 0.225 | 0.2304 | |
F-value | 8.18 *** | 15.78 *** | 18.84 *** | 18.54 *** | 19.12 *** |
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Chang, C.-C.; Kam, T.-Y.; Chien, C.-C.; Su, W.T. The Impact of Financial Constraints on the Convertible Bond Announcement Returns. Economies 2019, 7, 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020032
Chang C-C, Kam T-Y, Chien C-C, Su WT. The Impact of Financial Constraints on the Convertible Bond Announcement Returns. Economies. 2019; 7(2):32. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020032
Chicago/Turabian StyleChang, Chong-Chuo, Tai-Yung Kam, Chih-Chung Chien, and Wan Ting Su. 2019. "The Impact of Financial Constraints on the Convertible Bond Announcement Returns" Economies 7, no. 2: 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020032
APA StyleChang, C. -C., Kam, T. -Y., Chien, C. -C., & Su, W. T. (2019). The Impact of Financial Constraints on the Convertible Bond Announcement Returns. Economies, 7(2), 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020032