Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Background Information Regarding Burundi
1.2. Study Background Information
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Cholera Case Data
2.2. Population Data
2.3. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Data
2.4. Identification of Hotspots
2.5. Definitions in Data Management
3. Results
3.1. Weekly Number of Cases
3.2. Hotspot Classification–Mean Annual Incidence and Persistence
4. Discussion
4.1. Hotspots and Contextual Factor Findings
4.2. Planning for Elimination
4.3. Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Burundi | 234 | 355 | 333 | 1072 | 214 | 1557 | 582 | 442 | 434 | 300 | 92 |
Tanzania | 2911 | 7700 | 4469 | 942 | 286 | 270 | 0 | 11,563 | 11,360 | 4895 | 4777 |
Uganda | 3726 | 1095 | 2341 | 0 | 6326 | 748 | 309 | 1461 | 516 | 292 | 4440 |
DRC | 30,150 | 22,899 | 13,884 | 21,700 | 33,661 | 26,944 | 22,203 | 19,182 | 28,093 | 56,190 | 30,768 |
Rwanda | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 0 | 0 |
All Africa | 179,323 | 217,333 | 115,106 | 188,678 | 117,570 | 0 | 105,287 | 71,176 | 71,058 | 179,385 | 120,652 |
World | 190,130 | 221,226 | 317,106 | 589,854 | 245,393 | 129,064 | 190,549 | 172,454 | 132,121 | 1,227,391 | 499,447 |
Type of Hotspots | Mean Annual Incidence Per 100,000 Population (70th percentile value) | Proportion of Weeks with Cholera Reported (60th Percentile Value) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
2014–2018 | 2016–2020 | 2014–2018 | 2016–2020 | |
High | >23 | >13 | >8% | >5% |
Medium | >23 | >13 | ≤8% | ≤5% |
Medium | ≤23 | ≤13 | >8% | >5% |
Lower | ≤23 | ≤13 | ≤8% | ≤5% |
Type of Hotspot | District | 2014–2018 | 2016–2020 | Population (Refers to Groups 2016–2020) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean Annual Incidence/100,000 | Proportion of Weeks with Cholera Reported (%) | Mean Annual Incidence/100,000 | Proportion of Weeks with Cholera Reported (%) | |||
High | Bujumbura centre | 57.37 | 16.92 | 142.12 | 21.92 | 123,415 |
Cibitoke | 30.89 | 14.23 | 42.20 | 16.15 | 229,867 | |
Kabezi | 37.05 | 10.38 | 31.22 | 6.54 | 171,665 | |
Total high | 524,947 | |||||
Medium | Mpanda | 15.57 | 8.08 | 8.02 | 5.38 | 172,138 |
Bujumbura nord * | - | - | 12.70 | 3.92 | 248,915 | |
Rumonge Φ | 29.55 | 10 | 18.85 | 4.62 | 203,744 | |
Total Medium | 624,797 | |||||
Lower | Bubanza | 6.1 | 3.1 | 5.55 | 1.92 | 165,885 |
Bujumbura sud | 5.3 | 4.2 | 5.93 | 4.23 | 124,836 | |
Nyanza-Lac Ψ | 5.77 | 4.51 | 4.51 | 2.31 | 203,811 | |
Mabayi δ | 6.2 | 0.4 | - | - | 230568 | |
Total Lower | 494,532 | |||||
Total Hotspots | 1,644,276 |
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Debes, A.K.; Shaffer, A.M.; Ndikumana, T.; Liesse, I.; Ribaira, E.; Djumo, C.; Ali, M.; Sack, D.A. Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis. 2021, 6, 76. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed6020076
Debes AK, Shaffer AM, Ndikumana T, Liesse I, Ribaira E, Djumo C, Ali M, Sack DA. Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease. 2021; 6(2):76. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed6020076
Chicago/Turabian StyleDebes, Amanda K., Allison M. Shaffer, Thaddee Ndikumana, Iteka Liesse, Eric Ribaira, Clement Djumo, Mohammad Ali, and David A. Sack. 2021. "Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination" Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease 6, no. 2: 76. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed6020076
APA StyleDebes, A. K., Shaffer, A. M., Ndikumana, T., Liesse, I., Ribaira, E., Djumo, C., Ali, M., & Sack, D. A. (2021). Cholera Hot-Spots and Contextual Factors in Burundi, Planning for Elimination. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 6(2), 76. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed6020076