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Article

Modeling Trophic Cascades to Identify Key Mammalian Species for Ecosystem Stability

by
Idung Risdiyanto
1,2,*,
Yanto Santosa
2,
Nyoto Santoso
2 and
Arzyana Sunkar
2
1
Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, IPB University, Bogor 16680, Indonesia
2
Graduate Study Program of Tropical Biodiversity Concervation, Faculty of Forestry and Environmental, IPB University, Bogor 16680, Indonesia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Ecologies 2024, 5(4), 585-609; https://doi.org/10.3390/ecologies5040035
Submission received: 16 June 2024 / Revised: 6 October 2024 / Accepted: 28 October 2024 / Published: 1 November 2024

Abstract

:
The role of keystone species in maintaining ecosystem stability is a crucial aspect of ecology. Identifying key mammalian species within an ecosystem requires a systematic approach, utilizing criteria and indicators derived from species characteristic variables. This study presents a framework to identify key mammalian species based on various ecological, structural, and functional factors. By developing a mechanistic model of energy flow in food webs and trophic levels, the model aims to pinpoint each species’ role in the stability and sustainability of biomass flow within the ecosystem. Known as KVT version 1.0, the model explains the role of each characteristic variable of mammalian species, predicts population growth, elucidates species interactions at trophic levels, and assesses species-specific dietary compositions, including food requirements, reproduction, and activity. Factor analysis of model outputs has produced equations to determine the value of keystone species (Kv), indicating the role of mammalian species in the stability and sustainability of biomass flow in the ecosystem. Keystone species, as identified by this model, are primarily small mammals of the families Muridae, Sciuridae, Tupaiidae, Ptilocercidae, Hystricidae, Viverridae, and Herpestidae, demonstrating omnivorous and herbivorous trophic levels. This model can serve as a valuable framework for conservation management of biodiversity in an ecosystem, with potential for expansion to include characteristics of non-mammalian species in future research.

1. Introduction

Ecosystem stability is a critical concept that denotes an ecosystem’s capacity to uphold its functions and structure in the face of internal and external disturbances. The stability of an ecosystem hinges on its resistance and resilience to changes and disturbances. In a stable ecosystem, various species coexist, interact closely, and maintain complex and intricate relationships, although these interactions often involve dynamics between predators and prey, parasites and hosts, and herbivores and plants that may not always be harmonious. Conversely, an unstable ecosystem is highly responsive to changes and can undergo sudden and unforeseeable shifts [1]. Stability in an ecosystem is recognized when species diversity remains relatively constant, while significant fluctuations in diversity characterize instability [2,3,4]. Additionally, assessing ecosystem stability involves considering the sources of ecological pressure. Ecological stress can arise from various factors, such as environmental changes, human disturbances, competition between species, or changes in resource availability [5,6].
In this study, “ecological stress” (ES) refers to a state where the available biomass within the ecosystem is inadequate to support the growth of mammalian species populations. Understanding changes in ecosystem stability requires analyzing variables such as food availability and energy flow within food chains and trophic cascades. These analyses can also reveal species diversity, population size changes, and extinction risks for specific species within an ecosystem [7,8]. Each species will demonstrate different physiological and ecological responses based on its adaptive capabilities, thereby altering its patterns of interaction with other organisms and its habitat, ultimately changing the structure and function of the ecosystem [9]. While the direct impacts of these changes may occur at the producer level, their consequences can affect multiple trophic levels through the trophic cascade, thereby altering biodiversity. The significance of changes in the ecosystem can be assessed by examining the effects of keystone species, which play a crucial role in maintaining the balance of the food web.
Understanding keystone species is a crucial aspect of maintaining ecosystem stability. The loss of keystone species can lead to significant changes within the ecosystem and affect the existence of other species [10,11,12]. Keystone species play essential roles in ecological communities and ecosystem functions by interacting directly or indirectly with other species [13]. Identifying keystone species in an ecosystem remains challenging and poses issues in conservation management [10,14,15] despite the concept being well established in ecological literature for several decades. Several studies have attempted to identify keystone species based on morphological, ecological, or functional attributes, but a consistent and widely adoptable approach is still lacking. Experimental approaches, comparative studies, and historical observations have been conducted, for instance, on theories of keystone species roles in ecosystems [10,12,16,17,18], mass balance in food webs [11,15,19,20], trophic levels [21,22,23,24,25], and ecological network theories [26]. Keystone species in complex food webs can exist at any trophic level, including producers, herbivorous consumers, omnivores, or carnivores. An ecosystem may have more than one keystone species. The complexity of this system can be represented by the presence of keystone species, including mammals.
Determining keystone mammal species for the stability of an ecosystem requires a systematic and measurable approach with clear criteria and indicators. Quantitative approaches through stochastic or mechanistic models can be used for such assessments [15,27]. Stochastic models and data mining can provide a quantitative explanation of current biodiversity status and facilitate learning for future predictions [28,29]. Mechanistic models can simplify and elucidate the processes and dynamics of biodiversity based on species physiology and energy flow between trophic levels [30], and they can also be used for future state predictions. Both dynamic and static variables are used as input data for the models. These two modeling approaches can be developed within the framework of microecology, based on specific ecosystem types, or macroecology, encompassing various ecosystem types within a broader region.
This study proposes a framework for suggesting keystone mammal species within terrestrial ecosystems based on various ecological, structural, and functional factors by developing a trophic-level food web model. This model, referred to as the KVT v.1.0, is a quantitative ecological model designed to serve as an instrument for identifying the variables that determine the role of mammalian species in ecosystem stability and keystone mammal species.

2. Materials and Methods

This study utilizes both primary and secondary data. The primary data consist of survey results on mammal species presence and ecosystem types conducted between 2011 and 2021 at 78 locations in Borneo, Indonesia (Tables S1–S3). The secondary data include maps, tabular data, and results from previous biodiversity surveys and studies (Table 1). These data and information are organized into a geodatabase, ensuring each dataset has georeferenced values. The geodatabase is structured into a data grid with a spatial resolution of 10 × 10 km (10,000 ha). Each grid cell has unique attributes: species presence, land cover, ecosystem type, species distribution, and biophysical conditions (Figure 1). The tools used to develop the geodatabase include MSQL and ArcGIS 10.1. These attributes are grouped using cluster analysis with the k-means algorithm. This analysis was conducted using Minitab version 20. The programming language used to develop the model application is Visual Studio 2019, while statistical analyses were performed using Minitab version 20.

2.1. Mechanistic Trophic Cascade Model Design

This study uses Forrester diagrams (DFs) as a graphical representation to design and construct the logic flow of the mechanistic and dynamic system models [31,32,33]. The dynamic system symbols include sources, sinks, state variables, rate/change variables, auxiliary variables, external system variables, energy or mass flows, and information or equation flows (Figure 2). The assumptions used to develop the mechanistic trophic cascade model for mammalian species are as follows: (i) the food chain balance with the population of each species in equilibrium is based on the phenology and mass of each species at each trophic level, (ii) the initial state of species presence is based on survey data from 76 locations, both within forest areas and other land use areas, and (iii) the relationships between variables are schematically illustrated using a Forrester diagram. Each symbol and relationship in the DF has interconnected mathematical equations (Table S4).

2.2. Look up Table of Characteristic Variables of Mammal Species

This model uses mammalian species characteristics as variables influencing species behavior and interactions with available food resources within the ecosystem. The data on mammalian species characteristics are organized into a database within the model, functioning as a metadata search look up table (LuT). Each mammalian species has a table containing its characteristic information (Table S5). All species characteristics are used as variables in the model’s mathematical equations (Table 2).

2.3. Model Calibration and Validation

Calibration of the mechanistic trophic cascade model is performed by optimizing the constants’ values. The optimization method employed in this study includes the solver algorithm and backpropagation method. These algorithms will generate random numbers as substitutes for the constant values, particularly the results derived from integrating differential equations used in the model. The objective of model calibration is to obtain logical and valid values for each dependent variable result in this model, such as NPP growth, NPP allocation for each trophic level, species population growth, predation relationships, and respiration. This research defines validation as determining whether the conceptual simulation model accurately represents the real-world system [34]. Model validation can be performed using three approaches based on data availability: (i) no actual data, (ii) only output data, and (iii) both input and output data [35]. In this investigation, model validation is conducted using the approach without actual data and utilizing only the model output data.
Model validation without actual data aims to obtain simulation values by adjusting some variables to align with the theories and concepts developed in this research. The lowest level of validation without actual data involves simulating changes in influential variables affecting state variables. This validation employs regression analysis and analysis of variance (ANOVA) to compare the response of changes in state variables or estimated transformation of input–output (I/O) model simulation results. The state variables of this model are the availability of energy and biomass at each trophic level from producers to consumer level n.
Validation with output data involves comparing the model output data with reference values. This study employs four methods: Relative Error (RE) [36,37,38,39], Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) [40,41], Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) [42,43], and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (NSE) [44,45]. This validation compares the population density data of species (j) at level i (Dm,j) from the model with reference data or field research data (Dr,j) (Table S6). Population density is a crucial parameter in ecology and conservation, and population density estimates are required for various basic and applied ecological applications [40]. The population density of mammalian taxa exhibits variability due to methodological diversity and natural influencing factors [40,46,47]. Several ecological models utilize population density as model output influenced by independent variables such as land cover and prey species distribution [48,49].
R E j = D m , j D r , j D r , j × 100 %
R M S E j = i n D m , j D r , j 2 n
M A P E = 1 n i n D r , j D m , j D r , j 100
N S E j = 1 i i + j D m , j i D r , j i 2 i i + j D r , j i D r , j ¯ 2

2.4. Cluster Analysis of Survey Locations

The model was executed independently for each survey location, and cluster analysis was applied to group these locations based on land cover diversity and the presence of mammalian species. This analysis aimed to simplify the interpretation of model results by identifying groups of locations with similar ecosystem characteristics. The K-means clustering method was implemented using Minitab 20, with cluster separation based on the K-means algorithm to ensure optimal cluster formation. This approach facilitates comparisons among ecosystems and provides a clearer context for the overall interpretation of the model results.

2.5. Selection of Characteristic Variables of Mammalian Species

The selection of characteristic variables in mammalian species for determining keystone species uses perturbation analysis. This analysis tests the sensitivity of changes in independent variables to the model output. Mathematically, this can be expressed simply as:
X i t = f X , θ j
θ j = θ j + θ j
Equations (5) and (6) show that Xi is the status-i variable or the model output, t is the time or iteration t, and θj is the independent variable of model-j. The context of the model output to be tested involves changes in ecosystem biomass allocation for mammals (rDm) and species population dynamics within the ecosystem. Population dynamics are expressed in the changes in the Shannon–Wiener diversity index (H′). The independent variables consist of characteristics of mammalian species, including social group size (Sgs), body weight (Bm), basal metabolic rate (Bmr), home range (Hr), diet (Dt), number of offspring per female individual birth (Ls), average age at sexual maturity (Asm), biological age (Ub), arboreal habitat preference (Pha), and ground surface preference (Phg). Furthermore, using the first-order Taylor expansion of the function f concerning θj around the baseline value, we find:
f X i , θ j + θ j f X i , θ j + f θ j θ j
Here, ∂f/∂θ is the gradient of f with respect to the variable θj. Equation (7) is used to evaluate changes in the status variable or model output (Xi) for each change in θj. Evaluation of the initial differential equations using Taylor expansion can be utilized to obtain the first approximation of the change in Xi with respect to the change in θ.
X i t f θ j
The equation above provides an estimate of the sensitivity of Xi to changes in θ. Sensitivity estimates are computed in series due to the nonlinear relationship between the variable θ and the model output. The magnitude of sensitivity will depend on the interactions between variables and mammalian species within the ecosystem. The mean absolute value and the minimum and maximum range of differences between (∂Xi)/∂t and ∂f/(∂θj) will be used to compare the sensitivity magnitude for each variable.
Factor analysis is used to establish criteria and indicators for keystone species. The variables used are the deviation values of the perturbation results of the variable θj at time t. This analysis can identify mammalian species characteristics that significantly influence the diversity of biomass allocation as variables shaping the population of each species. Data standardization for the dependent variable of biomass allocation for mammalian species (∆DM) in factor analysis is carried out by converting the deviation values between the standard variable and the perturbation variable into change ratio values of biomass allocation (rDM) (Equation (9)).
r D M i , t = D M i , t D M n , t = D M θ j t D M n , t D M n , t
A correlation matrix between all variables is required to assess multicollinearity of the data, and data reliability is tested with a limit of Cronbach’s α value ≥ 0.7 [50,51]. The number of selected factors is determined using the criteria of eigenvalues ≥ 1. Factor extraction is performed using the principal component analysis (PCA) method with varimax rotation so that the factor structure can be interpreted more clearly. The interpreted factor values include factor loadings and communalities for each variable. Additionally, scree plots further confirmed the retention of factors as being salient, supporting our selection criteria.
The values obtained from factor analysis are used to form equations for keystone species values (Kv(i)). Kv serves as a measure to identify keystone species in an ecosystem. Characteristic variables of mammalian species that have factor loading values > 0.5 are selected as variables (θj) forming the equations for keystone species. Proportional values of factor diversity are used as weights for each factor (β), and the coefficient values of variables in each selected factor are used as variable constants (ρ). The relative proportion of individual species-i (φi) is also used as a weight to determine the value of Kv (Equation (10)).
K v ( i ) = φ ( i ) f = i n β f j = 1 n ρ j 2 θ j
Differences in variable scales require data normalization. The maximum–minimum method is used for normalization (Equation (11)). The normalized variable results are used to calculate Kv.
θ j = 100 θ j θ m i n θ m a x θ m i n

3. Results

3.1. Data Clustering of Mammal Species Surveys

Cluster analysis of land cover across all locations resulted in four groups consisting of locations with dominant land cover of plantations and industrial forest plantation (K1), shrubs and bushes (K2), forests (K3), and balanced land cover among the three types of land cover, referred to as mixed land cover (K4) (Figure 3). The number of mammal species found in each location within a cluster exhibits high diversity (Table S7), hence necessitating grouping. The diversity of species numbers reinforces findings indicating a greater diversity of mammal species in logged forests and shrublands than in other land covers [52,53]. The number of mammal species influences competition in resource utilization within each cluster. Different numbers within each cluster will result in different competition patterns [54,55]. Each cluster, K1, K2, K3, and K4, consists of three, three, one, and three groups based on the number of mammal species found in survey locations (Table 3).

3.2. Model Validation

The validation results indicate that the trophic level model can evaluate the role of each characteristic variable of mammal species in the ecosystem. Differences influence biomass transformation at the producer level in input diversity of land cover, which is divided into four clusters (K1, K2, K3, and K4). Vegetation (producer) biomass growth reaches a maximum limit after the n-year. The rate of biomass addition tends to decrease, and biomass provision for the first consumer becomes constant (Figure 4). Theoretically, vegetation will reach a climax growth level after several years [59,60,61]. After its climax phase, the biomass produced from photosynthesis is only used for maintenance respiration; thus, growth tends to approach zero [62]. The initial land cover condition will determine the growth rate and the amount of producer biomass in the first year. The shrubland composition in K2 and K4 leads to a higher biomass growth rate than K1 and K2.
The biomass flow at each trophic level indicates that this model provides different responses for each land cover cluster. The amount of biomass at the producer level determines the allocation at the next trophic level. The biomass of K3 at the producer and herbivore levels provides the most significant biomass availability for the omnivore and carnivore levels. At the omnivore level, biomass input is obtained from producers and herbivores, while at the carnivore level, it is only obtained from herbivores and omnivores. This is one reason biomass amounts overlap in each cluster at the omnivore and carnivore levels. The overlap in biomass distribution between clusters is most significant at the carnivore level. The higher the trophic level, the more significant the overlap in biomass allocation (Figure 5). Characteristic variables of species in the ecosystem, such as species number, body weight, BMR, and diet type of each species used in this model, influence biomass allocation at each trophic level [63,64].
Validation based on the output of species individuals shows that the model can respond to differences in land cover and initial species presence in each cluster. The number of large mammal species in K3 in the first year is more significant than in other clusters. In the initial years, the number of individuals in K3 is more significant than in other clusters, but it is later surpassed by clusters K4 and K2. The number of large mammal individuals in K4 surpasses all clusters after the 22nd year. Cluster K2 surpasses K3 after 40 years. Meanwhile, the number in K1 is always below other clusters. Unlike large mammals, the number of small mammals in K3 is more significant than in other clusters (Figure 6). Climax forests limit food availability and reduce habitat suitability for large mammal species [65], while food availability is more significant for small mammals, especially for seed and fruit eaters. Shrublands and young regeneration forests produce biomass growth that can provide more food than old forests for large mammals [66]. A more significant number of species also leads to competition among individuals and species, thus hindering the development of each species [67].
Validation of model output against reference values indicates that the model can predict population density values for most species at each location. The tested output dataset is the population density of each species at each sampled location simulated over a series of 100 years. The testing of error values is conducted against n datasets of population density per year for each mammal species in each cluster. The number of datasets for each cluster K1, K2, K3, and K4 is 84,700, 79,800, 5600, and 28,300, respectively. The average relative frequency distribution RE< 60% for all clusters is 69% ± 3%. RMSE has an average relative frequency distribution for RMSE values < 2 ind/km2 of 45 ± 3% for all clusters. This relative frequency distribution value increases significantly up to 70 ± 3% when RMSE < 6 ind/km2. The average relative frequency distribution MAPE for all clusters at a model-worthy level (MAPE ≤ 50%) is 63 ± 3%. At a very good level, it is 21± 1%, and good is 41 ± 3%. Validation using NSE shows that 69.2% of the overall model results have values between 0.8 and 1. This means that the model output values approximate and/or equal the reference values (Figure 7).

3.3. The Role of Mammal Species Characteristic Variables in the Stability of Energy Availability in Ecosystems

The model can demonstrate the role of mammal species characteristics in the mechanism of energy flow from producer to tertiary consumer levels. The dependent variable for assessing this role is the initial time of occurrence of ecological stress (ES) and its frequency. ES can arise from various sources, including environmental changes, human disturbance, interspecies competition, or changes in resource availability [5,6]. In this study, ES represents a condition where the amount of biomass available as a resource in the ecosystem cannot support the growth of mammal species populations. The model results show that each ecosystem produces outputs of varying initial times and frequencies of ES occurrences (Figure 8). The diversity within each group is caused by the diversity of characteristics among mammal species.
Each characteristic variable of mammal species plays a role in ecosystem stability. The quantification of variable roles is assessed based on their influence on the availability of ecosystem biomass that can support all mammal species living within it. This study employs regression analysis with 95% and 90% confidence intervals. The null hypothesis (H0) is that species characteristics do not play a role in the occurrence of ES, while the alternative hypothesis (H1) suggests significant involvement. In addition to the significance of the relationship between independent and dependent variables, the trends formed by the regression equations are also used to explain these relationships (Table S8).

3.4. Changes in Ecosystem Biomass Allocation and Mammal Species Diversity

Perturbations in the KVT v1.0 model variables yield varying results with diverse deviations from their normal values. From the overall model results, changes in all dependent variables can be synthesized into two variables: the allocation of ecosystem biomass for mammalian species across all trophic levels and the Shannon–Wiener diversity index (H’). These two variables also illustrate species population dynamics resulting from model variable perturbations.
Changes in biomass allocation for species will serve as the basis for determining the characteristic variables of mammalian species that will be used as criteria and indicators for key species (Table 4 and Figure 9). The most significant changes in biomass allocation occur in the K3 ecosystem (forest), while carnivores exhibit the most changes according to their trophic levels. The biomass growth rate in forest ecosystems is relatively lower than other ecosystems, which is a major cause of these significant changes. Carnivores in all ecosystem types experience greater changes than herbivores and omnivores. This substantial change is due to their dependence on prey availability from other mammalian species. These can be observed from the perturbation results of the variable Ls, which represents the number of offspring per year and shows the most significant change compared to other variables. The number of offspring is an indicator of prey availability. The value of this change is further depicted as the ratio of the change between the normal variable value and the perturbed variable.
Changes in ecosystem biomass allocation for the mammalian species inhabiting them also trigger population dynamics and shifts in community diversity. The KVT 1.0 model demonstrates that the population dynamics of different mammalian species in each ecosystem influence changes in the Shannon–Wiener index (H′) over time. The K2 ecosystem, characterized by shrubland, exhibits the highest range of changes compared to other ecosystems (Figure 10). Changes in H’ in the K2 ecosystem are influenced by the shrubland ecosystem’s relatively higher biomass growth rate than others. The changes caused by differences in variable perturbations according to trophic levels and ecosystems show similar absolute mean values but with different patterns. These changes have hidden patterns, necessitating factor analysis to determine the proportion of influence each variable has on the ecosystem biomass allocation for mammalian species within it.

3.5. Formulating Criteria and Indicators for Key Mammalian Species

Factor analysis of the model results with perturbations of species characteristic variables on mammal biomass allocation yielded several variables that play a more significant role than others. All ecosystems (K1, K2, K3, and K4) produced two factors with eigenvalues > 1, namely, factor-1 and factor-2 (Figure 11). The important variables forming factors in each ecosystem show similarities explained by commonalities, factor loadings, and variable coefficients. The commonalities of each variable across all ecosystems were also high. Factor analysis also indicated that all the variables’ variability can be well explained, with values > 0.6. This means that all mammalian species characteristic variables have a role in ecosystem biomass allocation for mammalian species (Table 5, Table 6, Table 7 and Table 8).
Factor loadings greater than 0.5 in the K1 ecosystem are indicated by the variables Bmr, Ls, and Hr on factor-1 and Bm, Dt, Hr, and Ams on factor-2 (Table 5). These results show that biomass allocation on factor-1 is determined by metabolism, reproductive size, and species activity, which have a positive relationship. Factor-2 is influenced by body size, diet diversity, activity, and age of maturity for reproduction, which have a negative relationship. A positive relationship indicates an increasing ratio of mammal ecosystem biomass allocation, while a negative relationship indicates the opposite.
In the K2 ecosystem, the factor loadings for factor-1 greater than 0.5 are similar to those in the K1 ecosystem but differ for factor-2 (Table 6). The variables Dt, Ams, and Pha on factor-2 are related to diet diversity, age of reproduction, and arboreal habitat preference. These variables have a negative relationship, meaning that any increase in these variable values will decrease the ecosystem biomass allocation for the mammals inhabiting it.
In the K3 ecosystem, the variables with factor loadings influencing factor-1 are Dt, Ams, and Hr, while for factor-2, they are Bmr and Ls. Factor-1 is related to diet diversity, age of reproduction, and activity range, with a positive relationship with mammal biomass allocation. The variable Bmr on factor-2 is related to metabolic capacity and activity, while Ls is related to the number of offspring per birth. An increase in the values of these two variables in factor-2 has a negative relationship, causing a decrease in the average biomass allocation for mammals in the K3 ecosystem.
The number of variables forming factor-1 in the K4 ecosystem with high factor loadings is more significant than in other ecosystems. These variables are Bm, Bmr, Ls, Hr, and Phg. Bm and Bmr are related to body weight, metabolism, and activity. The variable Ls is related to reproductive capacity, the litter size, and the variables Hr and Phg are related to activity and habitat preferences on the ground surface. Factor-2 in the K4 ecosystem is only formed by two dominant variables, namely, Dt, related to diet diversity, and Ams, indicating reproductive age.
The results of factor analysis of mammalian species characteristic variables influencing changes in biomass allocation for mammals are used to develop criteria and indicators for key species in the ecosystem. The interpretation of this factor analysis is supplemented with a review of previous research literature. Each characteristic variable of mammalian species that serves as input for the KVT v.1 model and is selected in the factor analysis is compiled as a characteristic variable of key species. Below are several criteria and indicators for key species that can be fulfilled by the characteristic variables of mammalian species (Table 9). This table will reference each characteristic of mammalian species to be used as variables for these criteria and indicators.
Each indicator within the key species criteria can be integrated into a single value Kv for each species. The Kv value in each ecosystem is formed by variables and constants specific to each ecosystem. The formulation of the Kv value is calculated from two factors with eigenvalues > 1. From these two factors, variables with factor loadings > 0.5 are selected, while the constant values are derived from the coefficient values of each variable factor. Their populations also determine key species in one ecosystem community [80]. Each ecosystem generates different variables and constant values. The two factors used to form the equation of Kv values for each ecosystem can explain data variability by 74.7%, 76.0%, 77.4%, and 85.4% for ecosystems K1, K2, K3, and K4, respectively. To standardize the Kv values and ensure normal data distribution, a logarithmic transformation is applied to the final results after multiplication by the population variable of species output from the model (φi). The factor-1 variables (θj) used in the equation are Bmr, Ls, and Hr for ecosystems K1 and K2, Dt, Ams, and Hr for K3, and Bm, Bmr, Ls, Hr, and Phg for K4. The factor-2 variables (θk) are Bm, Ams, and Hr for ecosystems K1, Dt, Ams, and Hr for K2, Bmr and Ls for K3, and Dt and Ams for K4. Below are the equations for calculating Kv in each ecosystem.
K v i K 1 = ln φ i 0.495 j = 1 n ρ j 2 θ i , j + 0.252 k = 1 n ρ k 2 θ i , k
K v i K 2 = ln φ i 0.494 j = 1 n ρ j 2 θ i , j + 0.266 k = 1 n ρ k 2 θ i , k
K v i ( K 3 ) = ln φ i 0.572 j = 1 n ρ j 2 θ i , j + 0.202 k = 1 n ρ k 2 θ i , k
K v i ( K 4 ) = ln φ i 0.601 j = 1 n ρ j 2 θ i , j + 0.253 k = 1 n ρ k 2 θ i , k

3.6. Key Mammalian Species of the Ecosystem

Key mammalian species can be determined based on the Kv value. This value indicates the stability of biomass allocation at each trophic level in the ecosystem. The ecosystem biomass allocation ensures the sustainability of mammalian species diversity [81]. However, to maintain biomass and ecosystem functions, diversity protection within them is required [82,83]. Each ecosystem will have different key species based on biomass availability and the presence of species numbers. In all types of ecosystems, key species are dominated by small mammals, such as the families Muridae, Sciuridae, Tupaiidae, Ptilocercidae, Hystricidae, Viverridae, and Herpestidae, with omnivorous and herbivorous trophic levels. In addition to the forest ecosystem (K3), key species from the family Emballonuridae, namely, Emballonura alecto, are also produced. These small mammalian species numerically dominate ecosystems among mammals, with more than 20 mammalian species present; however, this dominance does not extend to all organisms, which include bacteria, protists, insects, etc. Meanwhile, in ecosystems with fewer than 20 species present, several larger herbivorous and omnivorous mammalian species exist in the families Tragulidae, Cervidae, Suidae, and Cercopithecidae. Table 10 shows the top five key species based on the Kv value, and more details for all species are provided in Table S9.
Overall, small mammalian species are essential in maintaining ecosystem stability through interactions with other biotic components such as plants, predators, and insect feeders. Their ability to disperse seeds can be indicated by dietary variables with high diversity in food types. These variables are also related to their ability to prey on insects, which affects plant community structure. The presence of small mammalian species tends to increase ecosystem biomass [84]. Their relationship with predation is related to population and reproductive variables such as the number of offspring per year and short sexual maturity age. Their presence ensures food availability for predators.
Specifically, for Viverridae and Herpestidae, such as Paradoxurus hermaphroditus, Viverra tangalunga, and Herpestes brachyurus, their dietary variables play a role in maintaining populations of rodents and insects within the ecosystem. Their activities in consuming rodents and insects can limit prey populations, which in turn affect the overall structure of the ecosystem. Their presence as key species in the ecosystems tested in this study also explains why carnivorous mammalian species were not selected as key species. P. hermaphroditus can survive in fragmented forests and play a significant role in restoring degraded fragments in the landscape as seed dispersers [85,86].
These results indicate that small mammals with diverse diets play a crucial role in maintaining the organization and diversity of their ecological communities. The abundance of these species ensures the sustainability of the ecosystem by stabilizing the food chain and the presence of predator species. The abundance of small mammal species is positively correlated with the presence of predator species [80]. The presence of some carnivorous and omnivorous mammalian predator species also declines when the presence of small mammals decreases. The total density and biomass of small mammals in a community are essential foundations for the stability of predator presence, especially in ecosystems that have experienced disturbances [87]. The diversity of their diet also significantly influences the structure of primary producer communities, which in turn alters the community [88].

4. Discussion

This research has developed a trophic-level model that can be used to identify the roles and relationships of mammalian species’ characteristic variables that determine ecosystem stability, originating from ecological pressures due to interspecies competition and the limited availability of biomass resources within the ecosystem. This model is called the Trophic Model KVT v1.0 as an initial development.
Each type of ecosystem produces diverse ecological pressure events according to the availability of biomass and the characteristics of the mammalian species present. The significant impact of mammalian species characteristics on the K1 ecosystem (plantations and forest plantations) is due to the lower diversity of food types compared to other ecosystems. The K2 ecosystem is influenced by the low amount or accumulation of biomass despite having a high growth rate. The low growth rate of biomass influences the K3 ecosystem despite having a high biomass accumulation. The K4 ecosystem is more stable against ecological pressures caused by limited biomass resources. The availability of biomass in an ecosystem affects the biodiversity within it [89,90]. A stable ecosystem can be characterized by the sustained availability of biomass for the fauna species living within it.
The KVT Model v1.0 can demonstrate the roles and relationships of each mammalian species characteristic in relation to ecological pressure events and their frequency. Each characteristic variable contributes differently depending on the ecosystem type. The mammalian species characteristics used in this model can be utilized to establish criteria for key species within ecosystems. These criteria include (i) ecological role criteria related to energy and nutrient cycles and maintaining biodiversity, (ii) contribution criteria to ecosystem structure, and (iii) criteria for the ability to maintain species population balance within the ecosystem. Each of these criteria can be assessed for each species based on its characteristics with quantitatively measurable indicators.
Criteria and indicators for key mammal species within an ecosystem can be determined based on species characteristic variables. This research demonstrates that most criteria and indicators can be established using food requirements, reproduction, and activity variables. Variables related to food requirements include basal metabolic rate, diet or dietary diversity, and body weight. Variables related to reproduction include the number of offspring and sexual maturity age. Variables related to activity include home range and habitat preference.
Each ecosystem type has different characteristic species variables used to determine key species. The integration of mammalian species’ characteristic variables can be expressed as a key value equation. This value can illustrate the role of species in allocating ecosystem biomass for the mammal community within it. This biomass allocation determines the community structure of species within the ecosystem, referring to the organization and interaction patterns among various species, as well as determining their biodiversity.
In all ecosystem types, key species are dominated by small mammals such as the families Muridae, Sciuridae, Tupaiidae, Ptilocercidae, Hystricidae, Viverridae, and Herpestidae with trophic levels of omnivores and herbivores. The higher the mammalian species diversity in an ecosystem, the more the presence of small mammals acts as key species. Larger mammal species, such as the families Tragulidae, Cervidae, Suidae, and Cercopithecidae, are still present in ecosystems with low diversity. These species are top herbivores that control the biomass of primary producers. Overall, small mammal species are crucial in maintaining ecosystem stability through interactions with other biotic components.
This research can be used as a framework to identify key mammal species based on the Trophic Model KVT v1.0. The criteria and indicators derived from this research can serve as instruments to identify and assess the critical role of a species in maintaining ecosystem balance and function.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at: https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/ecologies5040035/s1, Table S1: Survey Locations; Table S2: Proportion of Land Cover Area at 78 Survey Locations (%); Table S3: Presence of Mammalian Species at Locations S01–S10 (1 = Present; 0 = Absent); Table S4: The General Equation Used in the Construction of the KVT Version 1.0 Model; Table S5: Look up Table (LuT) of Mammal Species Characteristics; Table S6: Population Density of Mammal Species; Table S7: Number of Locations and Mammal Species in Each Cluster; Table S8: Regression Analysis of Species Characteristic Variables vs. Initial Occurrence and Frequency of Ecological Stress; Table S9: Key Species Value (Kv) in Each Ecosystem.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, I.R. and Y.S.; methodology, I.R.; software, I.R.; validation, I.R., Y.S., N.S. and A.S.; formal analysis, I.R. and Y.S.; investigation, I.R. and N.S.; resources, I.R.; data curation, I.R. and A.S.; writing—original draft preparation, I.R.; writing—review and editing, A.S.; visualization, I.R.; supervision, Y.S., N.S. and A.S.; project administration, I.R.; funding acquisition, I.R. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Data is contained within the article and Supplementary Material.

Acknowledgments

We sincerely thank the Graduate Study Program of Tropical Biodiversity Conservation, Faculty of Forestry and Environmental and Faculty of Math and Natural Science, IPB University. We appreciate the constructive feedback provided by the reviewers, which greatly improved the quality of this manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 1. The spatial and tabular data structure, with red dots indicating the locations of mammal species surveys.
Figure 1. The spatial and tabular data structure, with red dots indicating the locations of mammal species surveys.
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Figure 2. Forrester diagram of the Trophic Cascade Model KVT v1.0 (description: GPP: Gross Primary Production; NPP: net primary production; EC(1): available energy for consumer (1): herbivore; EC(2): available energy for consumer (2): carnivora-1; EC(n): available energy for consumer (n): carnivora-n; Ue: utilization efficiency; Ae: assimilate efficiency; R: autotrophic respiration; Erf: energy loss (respiration and feces); Hi: number of herbivore species; C1i: number of carnivore species-1; C2i: number of carnivore species-2; fw: water factor; Qn: Net Radiation; T: air temperature; RH: relative humidity; Lcov: land vegetation cover; WB: Water Balance Model.
Figure 2. Forrester diagram of the Trophic Cascade Model KVT v1.0 (description: GPP: Gross Primary Production; NPP: net primary production; EC(1): available energy for consumer (1): herbivore; EC(2): available energy for consumer (2): carnivora-1; EC(n): available energy for consumer (n): carnivora-n; Ue: utilization efficiency; Ae: assimilate efficiency; R: autotrophic respiration; Erf: energy loss (respiration and feces); Hi: number of herbivore species; C1i: number of carnivore species-1; C2i: number of carnivore species-2; fw: water factor; Qn: Net Radiation; T: air temperature; RH: relative humidity; Lcov: land vegetation cover; WB: Water Balance Model.
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Figure 3. Diversity of land cover in each cluster (K1, K2, K3, K4) (note: LU1: forest, LU2: shrub, LU3: plantation and industrial plantation, LU4: agricultural land, LU5: settlement, LU6: water body). *: The size limit uses a body weight of less than 5 kg/ind for small mammals and vice versa for large mammals.
Figure 3. Diversity of land cover in each cluster (K1, K2, K3, K4) (note: LU1: forest, LU2: shrub, LU3: plantation and industrial plantation, LU4: agricultural land, LU5: settlement, LU6: water body). *: The size limit uses a body weight of less than 5 kg/ind for small mammals and vice versa for large mammals.
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Figure 4. Response to transformation of biomass availability at the producer trophic level according to differences in land cover groups (K1, K2, K3, and K4).
Figure 4. Response to transformation of biomass availability at the producer trophic level according to differences in land cover groups (K1, K2, K3, and K4).
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Figure 5. Distribution of biomass allocation at each trophic level at each location in clusters K1, K2, K3, and K4. * is the symbol for outlier data.
Figure 5. Distribution of biomass allocation at each trophic level at each location in clusters K1, K2, K3, and K4. * is the symbol for outlier data.
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Figure 6. The average development of the number of big mammals (right) and small mammals (left) in each cluster (K1, K2, K3, and K4).
Figure 6. The average development of the number of big mammals (right) and small mammals (left) in each cluster (K1, K2, K3, and K4).
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Figure 7. The relative frequency distribution of each validation value of the results of the models K1, K2, K3, and K4: (a) KR, (b) RMSE, (c) MAPE, and (d) NSE.
Figure 7. The relative frequency distribution of each validation value of the results of the models K1, K2, K3, and K4: (a) KR, (b) RMSE, (c) MAPE, and (d) NSE.
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Figure 8. Initial year diversity and frequency of ecological stress events according to the number of species diversity in each ecosystem group and subgroup. * is the symbol for outlier data.
Figure 8. Initial year diversity and frequency of ecological stress events according to the number of species diversity in each ecosystem group and subgroup. * is the symbol for outlier data.
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Figure 9. Changes in ecosystem biomass allocation to mammals due to the perturbation of mammal species characteristic variables in the model in each ecosystem (K1: plantations and industrial forest plantation, K2: shrubs, K3: forests, and K4: mixed).
Figure 9. Changes in ecosystem biomass allocation to mammals due to the perturbation of mammal species characteristic variables in the model in each ecosystem (K1: plantations and industrial forest plantation, K2: shrubs, K3: forests, and K4: mixed).
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Figure 10. Changes in the Shannon–Wiener diversity index (H′) with normal variables vs. perturbations of mammalian characteristic variables (K1: plantations and industrial forest plantation, K2: shrubs, K3: forests, and K4: mixed).
Figure 10. Changes in the Shannon–Wiener diversity index (H′) with normal variables vs. perturbations of mammalian characteristic variables (K1: plantations and industrial forest plantation, K2: shrubs, K3: forests, and K4: mixed).
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Figure 11. Scree plot of ecosystem biomass allocation factor analysis for mammal species in each ecosystem (K1: plantation and tree plantation, K2: shrubland, K3: forest, and K4: mixed).
Figure 11. Scree plot of ecosystem biomass allocation factor analysis for mammal species in each ecosystem (K1: plantation and tree plantation, K2: shrubland, K3: forest, and K4: mixed).
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Table 1. The data used in the study.
Table 1. The data used in the study.
NoDataData Collection Methods and Data Sources
1Presence of mammal species Present and absent survey of mammal species at 78 locations conducted in 2011–2021 on Borneo Island, Indonesia
2Land cover map
Field observations of land cover conditions in 76 locations in 2011–2021
Interpretation of Landsat 8 satellite imagery with acquisition date according to survey time
3Climate data (solar radiation, air temperature, humidity, wind, and rain)Climate data documentation was obtained from the BMKG measurement station closest to the survey location and NASA climate database (2011–2021)
4Topographic map of Indonesia, scale 1:50,000Data from years 2012–2020 in shp file format
5Net primary production (NPP)MODIS level 2b satellite interpretation (NPP and fPAR)
6Soil map of Kalimantan, scale 1:250,000Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Indonesia, RePPPort, BIG
7Land system map, scale 1:250,000Interpretation of ecosystem types according to land systems by HCVRN Indonesia (source: RePPPort, HCVRN Indonesia)
8Characteristics of mammal species:
Species diet
Body mass (gram)
Basal metabolic rate (mL O2/hour or grams/day)
Home range (km2)
Average population density of species (individuals/km2)
Average number of individuals per group
Habitat type
Average biological age
Average number of offspring/year
Systematic literature review.
The main data sources used are as follows:
Metadata for MammalDIET_v1.0 (Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), University of Amsterdam)
IUCN
ADW (Animal Diversity Web), Michigan University—Museum of Zoology
Ecological Archives E090-184-D1 by Zoological Society of London
LIPI—Biologi Indonesia
https://www.scopus.com/ (accessed on 2–31 July 2024) and https://www.sciencedirect.com/ (accessed on 15–31 July 2023)
Table 2. Look up table of characteristic variables of mammal species.
Table 2. Look up table of characteristic variables of mammal species.
NoCharacteristic of Mammal SpeciesSymbolUnit/Code
1Trophic levelTr1 = herbivore; 2 = omnivore; 3 = carnivore
Types of mammal food sources (no 2–13):
2MammalMm1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
3BirdMb1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
4HerpetMu1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
5FishMi1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
6InvertebrateMs1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
7SeedsMbi1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
8FruitsMbu1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
9LeavesMlf1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
10NectarMne1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
11Wood/barkMws1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
12RootsMrt1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
13Herbaceous/succulent/grassMhs1 = primary; 2 = secondary; 3 = tertiary
14Body weightBmGram/individual
15Basal metabolic rateBmrLiter O2/hour/individual
16Home rangeHrHectare/individual
17Number of litters per birthLsChild/parent
18Age of sexual maturityAsmMonth/female individual
19Biological ageUbyear
20Social group sizeSgsNumber/group
21SolitarySol0 = no; 1 = Yes
22Arboreal habitat preferencePha% (percent)
23Grounds surface habitat preferencePhg% (percent)
24Aquatic habitat preferencePhw% (percent)
Table 3. Number of locations and mammal species in each cluster.
Table 3. Number of locations and mammal species in each cluster.
Cluster∑ Locations∑ SpeciesNumber of Mammal Species Present
Big *Small *HerbivoreOmnivoreCarnivore
K1a430 ± 2.412 ± 2.218 ± 3.611 ± 2.213 ± 1.36 ± 0.5
K1b1221 ± 2.49 ± 1.812 ± 2.36 ± 2.211 ± 3.23 ± 1.2
K1c913 ± 2.15 ± 1.48 ± 2.03 ± 1.17 ± 1.12 ± 1.2
K2a1234 ± 3.013 ± 2.421 ±2.412 ± 2.215 ± 1.98 ± 1.7
K2b923 ± 3.39 ± 2.714 ±1.57 ± 2.49 ± 1.56 ± 1.8
K2c1314 ± 3.07 ± 1.87 ± 1.75 ± 2.17 ± 1.32 ± 1.1
K3634 ± 7.313 ± 1.722 ± 7.013 ± 2.914 ± 4.77 ± 2.2
K4a529 ± 2.910 ± 2.019 ± 1.310 ± 1.513 ± 2.47 ± 1.5
K4b422 ± 1.310 ± 0.612 ± 1.47 ± 1.710 ± 1.75 ± 2.6
K4c413 ± 1.07 ± 2.16 ± 1.44 ± 0.57 ± 1.02 ± 0.5
K1, K2, K3 and K4: clusters based on land cover diversity. a, b, c: clusters based on diversity of number of species and preference for feed types. * The size limit uses a body weight of less than 5 kg/ind for small mammals and vice versa for large mammals [56,57,58].
Table 4. Average absolute percentage change in ecosystem biomass allocation to mammal species due to model variable perturbations (%).
Table 4. Average absolute percentage change in ecosystem biomass allocation to mammal species due to model variable perturbations (%).
Tropic LevelEcosystemModel Variables (Characteristics of Mammalian Species)
BmBmrDtAmsLsUbHrPhaPhg
HerbivoreK18.813.612.78.727.36.78.07.07.9
K210.313.712.18.033.06.88.36.65.1
K312.011.012.09.417.68.99.87.77.8
K410.313.310.97.126.77.97.86.38.5
OmnivoreK116.015.114.814.615.511.413.011.711.4
K214.016.014.814.516.911.514.412.28.0
K312.214.914.914.515.412.615.211.413.2
K414.815.814.913.318.212.213.913.213.4
CarnivoreK118.916.820.116.821.614.817.814.914.3
K226.222.025.021.425.216.918.720.512.4
K358.759.745.141.4145.771.342.251.140.1
K425.521.222.920.531.419.120.521.421.2
All speciesK18.78.98.87.114.15.67.56.05.9
K28.99.78.47.516.85.68.05.63.9
K310.18.110.18.110.27.28.16.66.2
K49.39.67.86.716.05.98.05.67.0
Description: Bm: body weight, Bmr: basal metabolic rate, Dt: diet diversity/feed type, Ams: sexual age, Ls: number of offspring/year, Ub: biological age, Hr: home range, Pha: arboreal habitat preference, and Phg: ground habitat preference.
Table 5. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K1 ecosystem (plantation forests and plantations).
Table 5. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K1 ecosystem (plantation forests and plantations).
VariablesFactor LoadingCommunalityCoefficient
F1F2F1F2
Bm0.122−0.772 *0.6580.072−0.515
Bmr0.871 *−0.0820.8060.449−0.033
Dt−0.290−0.726 *0.708−0.175−0.438
Ub0.181−0.1760.835−0.0530.265
Ams−0.103−0.566 *0.614−0.120−0.191
Ls0.875 *0.1250.7920.4580.090
Hr0.535 *−0.627 *0.7270.301−0.432
Pha0.205−0.2690.691−0.0340.137
Phg0.173−0.2020.893−0.0500.122
* Selected variables.
Table 6. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K2 ecosystem (shrub dominance).
Table 6. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K2 ecosystem (shrub dominance).
VariablesFactor LoadingCommunalityCoefficient
F1F2F1F3
Bm0.025−0.2860.783−0.1370.185
Bmr0.866 *−0.0180.7830.4780.009
Dt−0.178−0.775 *0.741−0.140−0.420
Ub0.157−0.1490.784−0.1520.198
Ams0.011−0.859 *0.776−0.012−0.613
Ls0.822 *0.0770.7740.4310.022
Hr0.592 *−0.2810.7210.3010.014
Pha0.361−0.633 *0.6100.204−0.363
Phg0.253−0.1250.865−0.070−0.027
* Selected variables.
Table 7. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K3 ecosystem (forest).
Table 7. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K3 ecosystem (forest).
VariablesFactor LoadingCommunalityCoefficient
F1F2F1F2
Bm0.476−0.0790.7480.0850.121
Bmr0.189−0.798 *0.7340.063−0.469
Dt0.864 *0.2010.8510.5770.199
Ub0.216−0.1400.925−0.0470.097
Ams0.718 *−0.3590.7590.467−0.166
Ls−0.086−0.903 *0.852−0.129−0.558
Hr0.562 *−0.4420.6850.275−0.192
Pha0.243−0.2240.628−0.1300.061
Phg0.025−0.2140.780−0.3630.123
* Selected variables.
Table 8. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K4 ecosystem (mixed land).
Table 8. Rotated factor loads, communalities, and coefficients of each variable in the K4 ecosystem (mixed land).
VariablesFactor LoadingCommunalityCoefficient
F1F2F1F2
Bm0.665 *−0.4560.7090.130−0.309
Bmr0.944 *0.0370.9030.2660.151
Dt0.403−0.804 *0.8430.039−0.516
Ub0.159−0.1350.941−0.0480.065
Ams−0.188−0.771 *0.750−0.155−0.500
Ls0.855 *0.2390.8270.2500.289
Hr0.908 *−0.2250.8920.233−0.036
Pha0.107−0.2350.952−0.0180.139
Phg0.893 *−0.2500.8680.227−0.070
* Selected variables.
Table 9. Criteria and indicators for determining key mammal species from the KVT v.1 model.
Table 9. Criteria and indicators for determining key mammal species from the KVT v.1 model.
CriteriaIndicatorSpecies CharacteristicsSpecies Characteristic VariablesReferences
Morphology and structurePopulation densitySpecies with significant population density and wide distribution play a crucial role in maintaining ecosystem stability. K1: Np, Ls, Ams, Hr
K2: Np, Ls, Ams, Hr
K3: Np, Ls, Ams, Hr
K4: Np, Ls, Ams, Hr
[40,68,69,70,71]
Genetic diversitySpecies with high genetic diversity tend to be more adaptive to environmental changes and may play an essential role in ecosystem recovery. Not modeled[10,72,73]
Ecological roleSupporting speciesSpecies that support ecosystem structure or function, such as those providing continuous biomass for other species.K1: Np, Ls, Ams, Bm
K2: Np, Ls, Ams
K3: Np, Ls, Ams
K4: Np, Ls, Ams, Bm
[68,74,75]
Symbiotic interactionsSpecies that form important symbiotic relationships with other organisms in the ecosystem. These relationships encompass various interactions, such as parasitism, herbivory, and mutualism, highlighting the complexity of interspecies relationships.K1: Bm, Dt
K2: Dt
K3: Dt
K4: Bm, Dt
[76,77,78]
Dependence on other speciesSpecies that are key to the survival of other species within the food web or mutualistic interactions.K1: Bm, Dt
K2: Dt
K3: Dt
K4: Bm, Dt
FunctionalContribution to nutrient cyclingSpecies that play a crucial role in nutrient cycling, such as those efficient in accumulating and recycling soil nutrients.K1: Bmr, Dt
K2: Bmr, Dt, Pha
K3: Bmr, Dt
K4: Bmr, Dt, Phg
[68,69,79]
Microclimate regulatorSpecies that contribute to regulating the microclimate, including temperature and humidity, in tropical rainforest ecosystems.Not modeled
Resilience to disruptionSpecies with the ability to withstand or recover from external disturbances, such as fires or extreme weather events.K1: Dt
K2: Dt
K3: Dt
K4: Dt
Threats and protectionConservation statusConservation classification based on the Red List or legal protection status.Not modeled
Ecosystem interconnectednessThe existence of food web relationshipsSpecies that serve as crucial nodes in the food web or food chain.K1: Bm, Bmr, Dt
K2: Bmr, Dt
K3: Bmr, Dt
K4: Bm, Bmr, Dt
Contribution to ecosystem balanceSpecies that play an important role in maintaining ecosystem balance, such as those that control pest populations or invasive species.K1: Dt, Hr
K2: Dt, Hr
K3: Dt, Hr
K4: Dt, Hr
[10,75]
Description: K1: forest and plantation ecosystem, K2: shrub ecosystem, K3: forest ecosystem, K4: mixed ecosystem. Bm: body weight, Bmr: basal metabolic rate, Dt: diversity of diet types, Ls: number of offspring, Ams: age ready to reproduce, Hr: home range, Pha: arboreal habitat preference, and Phg: ground surface habitat preference.
Table 10. The top five keystone species guarantee the sustainability of biomass allocation for mammal species diversity.
Table 10. The top five keystone species guarantee the sustainability of biomass allocation for mammal species diversity.
Ecosystem Type
Mammal Species
FamilySpeciesTrophic LevelKv
K1
Plantation and industrial forest plantation
K1a30 ± 2.4MuridaeNiviventer cremoriventerOmnivore9.65
TupaiidaeTupaia gracilisOmnivore9.32
MuridaeMaxomys whiteheadiOmnivore9.11
TupaiidaeTupaia tanaOmnivore8.44
SciuridaeRatufa affinisHerbivore8.20
K1b21 ± 2.4MuridaeRattus exulansOmnivore10.07
MuridaeRattus argentiventerOmnivore8.36
ViverridaeParadoxurus hermaphroditusOmnivore6.50
TragulidaeTragulus kanchilHerbivore6.37
HystricidaeHystrix brachyuraHerbivore6.22
K1c13 ± 2.1SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore8.28
ViverridaeParadoxurus hermaphroditusOmnivore6.75
SuidaeSus barbatusOmnivore5.67
TragulidaeTragulus kanchilHerbivore5.61
CervidaeRusa unicolorHerbivore5.21
K2
Shrublands
K2a34 ± 3.0TupaiidaeTupaia glisOmnivore9.89
SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore8.34
ViverridaeViverra tangalungaOmnivore7.39
SciuridaeCallosciurus prevostiiHerbivore7.05
ViverridaeParadoxurus hermaphroditusOmnivore7.04
K2b23 ± 3.3SciuridaeRatufa bicolorHerbivore9.15
SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore8.71
ViverridaeParadoxurus hermaphroditusOmnivore7.74
ViverridaeViverra tangalungaOmnivore7.69
TragulidaeTragulus kanchilHerbivore7.62
K2c14 ± 3.0SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore9.58
HerpestidaeHerpestes brachyurusOmnivore8.54
HystricidaeHystrix brachyuraHerbivore7.32
TragulidaeTragulus napuHerbivore6.96
CercopithecidaeMacaca fascicularisOmnivore6.88
K3
Forest
K334 ± 7.3SciuridaePetinomys genibarbisHerbivore11.86
TupaiidaeTupaia glisOmnivore9.87
EmballonuridaeEmballonura alectoCarnivore9.84
PtilocercidaePtilocercus lowiiOmnivore9.46
TupaiidaeTupaia dorsalisOmnivore9.23
K4
Mixed
K4a29 ± 2.9MuridaeRattus tiomanicusOmnivore9.62
TupaiidaeTupaia dorsalisOmnivore9.38
SciuridaeLariscus hoseiHerbivore7.43
SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore7.12
SciuridaeIomys horsfieldiiHerbivore7.05
K4b22 ± 1.3SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore8.61
CynocephalidaeGaleopterus variegatusHerbivore7.58
SciuridaeCallosciurus prevostiiHerbivore7.58
LorisidaeNycticebus menagensisOmnivore7.54
ViverridaeParadoxurus hermaphroditusOmnivore7.17
K4c13 ± 1.0SciuridaeCallosciurus notatusOmnivore13.90
HerpestidaeHerpestes brachyurusOmnivore12.78
ViverridaeViverra tangalungaOmnivore11.65
CercopithecidaeMacaca fascicularisOmnivore11.37
CervidaeMuntiacus muntjakHerbivore10.91
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Risdiyanto, I.; Santosa, Y.; Santoso, N.; Sunkar, A. Modeling Trophic Cascades to Identify Key Mammalian Species for Ecosystem Stability. Ecologies 2024, 5, 585-609. https://doi.org/10.3390/ecologies5040035

AMA Style

Risdiyanto I, Santosa Y, Santoso N, Sunkar A. Modeling Trophic Cascades to Identify Key Mammalian Species for Ecosystem Stability. Ecologies. 2024; 5(4):585-609. https://doi.org/10.3390/ecologies5040035

Chicago/Turabian Style

Risdiyanto, Idung, Yanto Santosa, Nyoto Santoso, and Arzyana Sunkar. 2024. "Modeling Trophic Cascades to Identify Key Mammalian Species for Ecosystem Stability" Ecologies 5, no. 4: 585-609. https://doi.org/10.3390/ecologies5040035

APA Style

Risdiyanto, I., Santosa, Y., Santoso, N., & Sunkar, A. (2024). Modeling Trophic Cascades to Identify Key Mammalian Species for Ecosystem Stability. Ecologies, 5(4), 585-609. https://doi.org/10.3390/ecologies5040035

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