From 2013 to 2022, the market share in secondhand clothing exports revealed interesting trends across the leading exporting nations. The USA consistently held a dominant position, starting at 15.63% in 2013 and increasing to 16.82% by 2022. China displayed significant growth, climbing from a modest 2.30% in 2013 to a peak of 15.32% in 2022. The UK saw a steady decline in its share from 13.91% in 2013 to 7.86% in 2022. South Korea’s share also declined from 8.27% in 2013 to 6.60% in 2022. Germany’s share gradually decreased from 11.19% in 2013 to 6.06% in 2022, reflecting a consistent decline.
The Netherlands showed minor fluctuations, maintaining a relatively stable share of around 5%, while Poland experienced modest growth from 3.20% in 2013 to 3.51% in 2022. The United Arab Emirates experienced a notable rise, growing from 0.38% in 2013 to 4.61% in 2023, highlighting its emergence as a key player. Pakistan, the 11th top secondhand clothing exporter, saw remarkable growth, starting at 0.36% in 2013 and increasing to 4.52% in 2022, fueled by its dual role as both a major importer and exporter.
The CAGR analysis for the period from 2013 to 2022 shows varied performance among the countries, presented in
Figure 1. Pakistan, followed by the UAE, had the highest CAGR, standing at 36.13%, and 35.61%, respectively, among the top ten secondhand clothing exporting nations. China also demonstrated impressive growth at 26.99%, indicating a significant increase in its secondhand clothing export performance. The United States and Poland displayed moderate growth rates of 3.69% and 3.90%, respectively, while Korea exhibited marginal growth at 0.30%. On the other hand, several countries faced a decline in their CAGR. Germany experienced a decrease of −3.92%, the United Kingdom −3.47%, Canada −1.70%, The Netherlands −1.54%, and Italy showed a slight contraction of −0.38%. These figures highlight the dynamic and uneven nature of the secondhand clothing export industry over the decade.
4.1. Export Comparative Advantage
RCA, dynamic RCA, and RSCA indices for the HS6309 product category, detailed in
Table 2 and
Table 3, and
Figure 2, indicate export competitiveness and comparative advantage trends. The UK consistently demonstrated strong comparative advantage, maintaining RCA values above 3, though experiencing a slight decline from 4.711, in 2013, to 3.373, in 2022. The USA maintained stable RCA values, averaging around 1.8, while China exhibited significant improvement, rising from 0.193, in 2013, to 0.979, in 2022, still not gaining a comparative advantage. The UAE gained a significant comparative advantage in the latter half of the decade, while Germany, Italy, and Canada experienced declines. Pakistan showed exceptional growth, with RCA surging to 36.052 in 2022 from 2.734 in 2013, reflecting its dominant market position.
The RSCA metric further highlights competitive shifts. The UAE also showed a significant improvement in RSCA, transitioning from a negative score (−0.678 in 2013) to a positive 0.345 by 2022. In contrast, Germany’s RSCA declined into negative territory (−0.096 in 2022), and the United Kingdom saw a moderate decrease from 0.650 to 0.543. China moved toward comparative advantage, improving from −0.676 in 2013 to −0.011 in 2022. Conversely, Canada, and Italy experienced declines in their RSCA scores, with Canada reaching near neutrality by 2022 (0.008). Pakistan exhibited remarkable growth, with RSCA rising from 0.464 in 2013 to 0.946 in 2022, indicating a strong increase in comparative advantage.
Dynamic RCA, which measures the growth in comparative advantage over time, reveale the following patterns: Pakistan led with a staggering value of 199.88, reflecting its robust dominance in the sector. The UAE followed at 5.89, and the UK achieved substantial value at 44.97, despite a slight decline in recent years. China showed steady improvement with a dynamic RCA value of 1.93. However, several countries experienced declines in dynamic RCA, including Germany (−2.20), Canada (−0.62), and The Netherlands (−0.56). Italy remained relatively stable with a slight negative value of −0.12, while Korea saw minimal value change (0.28). These results highlight significant shifts in global competitiveness within the secondhand clothing industry over the decade.
When assessing the competitiveness of secondhand clothing exports among the top eleven countries, it is unsurprising that Pakistan is the most competitive. Since RCA, RSCA, and dynamic RCA values are calculated against a country’s total exports, they highlight that secondhand clothing is a valuable export commodity for Pakistan, the UK, the UAE, and South Korea. Over the past decade, the UK and South Korea have lost some comparative advantage, while Pakistan and the UAE have gained competitiveness in the secondhand clothing export market. This also explains why the USA, China, Germany, and Italy experience a comparative disadvantage in this sector. Given their status as global economic powerhouses, the USD 5.66 billion secondhand clothing export industry is not big enough to be competitive [
5].
4.2. Export Markets
An analysis of the major export destinations of the top five exporters revealed distinct patterns. Between 2013 and 2022, the USA’s secondhand clothing exports to various countries showed distinct patterns, as seen in
Table 4. Guatemala consistently increased its share, becoming the largest destination for US secondhand clothing by 2022 with 18.3%, up from 8.1% in 2013. Canada, which was once the top recipient, saw a decline in its share over the years, dropping from 15.1% in 2013 to 6.3% in 2022. Chile remained a steady destination throughout the decade, with a slight increase from 8.9% in 2013 to 9.7% in 2022. Honduras experienced a rise in its share, growing from 3.3% in 2013 to 9.7% by 2022, with a notable peak in 2021 at 10.4%. Mexico, after peaking at 21.6% in 2015, fluctuated and ended the period with 5.9% in 2022.
Table 5 presents China’s exporting destinations. From 2013 to 2022, the majority of China’s secondhand clothing exports were to several African nations. Kenya, the largest destination, saw a steady increase in its share, rising from 6.3% in 2013 to 16.1% in 2022. Angola also experienced significant growth, particularly between 2015 and 2017, when its share surged from 5.2% to 15.5%, but then declined to 10.1% by 2022. The United Republic of Tanzania showed a fluctuation in its share over the years, peaking at 9.9% in 2015 and ending at 8.2% in 2022. Ghana’s share was more variable, starting at 7.9% in 2013, dipping in the following years, and falling to 4.7% by 2022. Nigeria, like Ghana, had fluctuating exports, peaking at 13.5% in 2016 before declining to 4.3% by 2022. This data reflects the dynamic nature of the global secondhand clothing trade, with African markets playing an increasingly important role in China’s export destinations.
The UK’s secondhand clothing export destinations exhibited notable shifts in market share, as seen in
Table 6. Ghana, the largest recipient, saw its share fluctuate, peaking at 22.6% in 2020 before dropping to 14.5% in 2022. Poland consistently remained a significant destination, with its share ranging from 10.2% in 2016 to 14.0% in 2021, maintaining a relatively stable presence throughout the decade. Ukraine experienced a decline in its share over the years, with a notable peak of 9.7% in 2018 before dropping to 9.9% in 2022. Pakistan’s share, after peaking in 2018 at 12.6%, sharply declined in the later years, falling to just 4.5% by 2022. Nigeria, which saw gradual increases in its share until 2019, experienced a sharp rise in 2020 to 10.9%, before dropping back to 3.2% in 2022.
Germany’s secondhand clothing exports, as presented in
Table 7, exhibit a relatively stable distribution across various destinations from 2013 to 2022. Poland was consistently the largest recipient, with its share ranging from 11.4% in 2013 to 18.5% in 2021 before slightly dropping to 18.4% in 2022. The Netherlands maintained a steady presence as the second-largest destination, with its share varying between 8.7% and 11.3% over the years. The Russian Federation, which accounted for 4.7% of Germany’s secondhand clothing exports in 2013, experienced a decline, particularly after 2021, when its share plummeted to just 0.8% by 2022. Ukraine’s share fluctuated between 3.1% and 4.5%, showing some consistency despite minor annual shifts. Italy remained a steady but smaller market, with its share ranging between 3.3% and 3.9% over the decade, reflecting a stable demand for secondhand clothing.
South Korea’s secondhand clothing export destinations saw varying trends from 2013 to 2022, as presented in
Table 8. Malaysia was the largest recipient, with its share steadily increasing over the years, from 9.9% in 2013 to 29.3% in 2022, averaging 14.3% over the period. Cambodia, while consistently important, experienced fluctuations, reaching its peak of 15.9% in 2014, but settling at 4.5% in 2022, averaging 11.4%. The Philippines had a fairly stable share, peaking at 12.1% in 2016 and maintaining a steady range between 4.3% and 12.9%, averaging 9.2%. India’s market share also grew, particularly in the later years, peaking at 14.0% in 2022 and averaging 9.0%. Nigeria’s share varied, fluctuating between 4.7% and 10.1%, with its highest share of 10.7% in 2020, averaging 7.6%. Thailand, a smaller market, experienced steady growth, reaching 10.8% in 2019 before dropping slightly to 8.9% in 2022, averaging 7.0%.
The UAE’s secondhand clothing export destinations saw considerable variation from 2013 to 2022. Kenya was a major recipient, with its share fluctuating significantly, reaching as high as 17.9% in 2013 before experiencing a decline in the following years. However, by 2021, it rebounded to 20.2%, averaging 17.2% over the period. The United Republic of Tanzania also experienced a similar pattern, initially contributing 10.6% of the exports in 2013, but dropping to a low of 0.4% in 2017 before rising again to 20.0% in 2021, averaging 13.5%. Thailand’s share grew steadily over the years, from 4.5% in 2013 to 11.1% in 2022, reflecting a consistent upward trend in their secondhand clothing imports. The Philippines had a very small but growing share, increasing from 0.8% in 2013 to 5.0% by 2022. Lastly, Angola’s share started at 5.8% in 2013 but dwindled significantly in the years that followed, with a peak of 3.5% in 2022.
In the global commerce of secondhand clothing, Pakistan is a key player, as the largest importer and one of the top exporters. From 2013 to 2022, Pakistan’s secondhand clothing export destinations shifted notably. Kenya consistently ranked as the leading recipient, although its share of imports fluctuated over the years. In 2013, Kenya accounted for 19.0% of Pakistan’s secondhand clothing exports, and despite a decline in 2017, it remained a major market, with 17.6% in 2022. Mozambique, another key market, showed steady growth over the years, reaching 14.1% by 2022, up from 8.3% in 2013. Similarly, the United Republic of Tanzania experienced a rise in its share of imports, peaking at 18.0% in 2021 after starting at 11.2% in 2013. Thailand, another significant destination, had a fluctuating yet upward trajectory, reaching 11.3% in 2022 after starting at 4.8% in 2013. Angola, while contributing to the overall export figures, saw a decline, with its share dropping from 6.2% in 2013 to 3.6% in 2022.
Pakistan’s export and import destinations are provided in
Table 9. As for Pakistan’s secondhand clothing imports, the United States was the largest supplier over the years. In 2013, 43.95% of Pakistan’s secondhand clothing imports came from the USA, and this figure rose to 53.47% by 2022, reflecting a strong and increasing reliance on American exports. The UK consistently supplied a significant portion, though its share declined from 9.81% in 2013 to 4.57% in 2022. South Korea contributed steadily, maintaining a share between 7.35% and 3.25% throughout the decade. Canada and Germany also played roles in supplying secondhand clothing to Pakistan, with Canada providing between 4.64% and 6.91%, and Germany’s share gradually decreasing from 9.03% in 2013 to 2.42% in 2022.
4.2.1. Trade Intensity Index (TII)
The TII for the top five exporters revealed interesting trends and is showcased in
Table 10. For the USA, the TII with Canada remained consistently high, averaging between 7.3 and 7.9 throughout the period. Trade with other countries such as Guatemala and Honduras showed moderate values, ranging from 4.4 to 5.7, while Nicaragua’s TII fluctuated between 2.4 and 3.6. China’s trade intensity with Angola, Kenya, and Nigeria remained relatively stable, with values between 1.4 and 2.4. The Philippines and Tanzania showed higher intensity, with values of 2.4 and above by 2022, reflecting strong trade links.
The UK demonstrated high TII values with Ghana and Nigeria, maintaining values around 1.3 to 1.7. Pakistan and Poland showed relatively lower indices, fluctuating between 0.5 and 1.0, while trade with Ukraine remained more moderate. Germany’s trade intensity with Italy, Poland, and The Netherlands was significant, with values above 1.8 and reaching 3.7 for Poland. However, trade with the Russian Federation and Ukraine showed lower values, particularly in 2022 for Russia at 1.08. For South Korea, the TII with Malaysia and India showed steady values, ranging between 1.1 and 1.4. The Philippines displayed a notably high TII, peaking at 3.1, while trade intensity with Cambodia and Thailand remained more moderate, hovering around 1.
4.2.2. Index of Export Market Penetration (IEMP)
The IEMP values for the top 11 secondhand clothing export nations for the years 2013 to 2022 are presented in
Figure 3. In 2013, the USA had a very high IEMP value of 0.975, which slightly increased to 1.000 by 2021 and 2022, indicating that the USA expanded its export reach to almost every country importing secondhand goods. China, in contrast, had an IEMP value of 0.549 in 2013, which gradually increased over the years, reaching 0.839 in 2022. The UK’s performance remained strong, with values ranging from 0.858 in 2013 to 0.953 in 2022, reflecting its continued penetration into global markets. Germany’s IEMP value was consistently high, peaking at 0.846 in 2013 and gradually declining to 0.765 in 2022. South Korea experienced a steady rise from 0.611 in 2013 to 0.728 in 2021, before dipping slightly to 0.678 in 2022.
Among emerging markets, The Netherlands showed a peak IEMP of 0.987 in 2015 but dropped slightly to 0.832 in 2022, still reflecting a strong export presence. Poland improved steadily from 0.586 in 2013 to 0.818 in 2022, marking its growing integration into global trade networks. The UAE, starting with an IEMP value of 0.481 in 2013, made significant progress, achieving 0.872 in 2022, reflecting its growing export market penetration. Italy maintained moderate values, ranging between 0.65 and 0.74, with a slight increase to 0.731 in 2022, showing stable penetration efforts. Canada exhibited minimal variation, with values ranging from 0.603 in 2019 to 0.709 in 2013, reflecting a steady export market presence. Pakistan showed fluctuating performance, with values ranging from 0.327 in 2014 to 0.450 in 2022, indicating some improvement in global export reach over time. COVID-19 did impact the secondhand clothing exports as the top exporting nations saw a decline in IEMP values in 2019.
4.2.3. Unit Export Values
Figure 4 provides unit values for secondhand clothing exports, measured in dollars per kilogram. The data span the years 2013 to 2022 for the top 11 secondhand clothing exporting countries, revealing trends in relative prices for this product category. The USA showed steady unit values, starting at USD 0.633/kg in 2013, peaking at USD 0.823/kg in 2020, and ending at USD 0.763/kg in 2022. China exhibited fluctuations, beginning at USD 0.807/kg in 2013, dropping sharply to USD 0.538/kg in 2014, and peaking at USD 0.984/kg in 2018. By 2022, China’s unit value settled at USD 0.878/kg. The UK started with relatively high unit values at USD 1.102/kg in 2013 but dropped down to USD 0.577/kg in 2016, then increased to USD 0.916 by 2022/kg.
South Korea demonstrated significant volatility, with values dropping to USD 0.164/kg in 2016 but increasing steadily to USD 0.867/kg by 2022. Germany also experienced a decline in unit values, from USD 0.756/kg in 2013 to USD 0.536/kg in 2018, before stabilizing at USD 0.827/kg in 2022. The UAE showed irregular trends, falling to USD 0.11/kg in 2019 but rising to USD 0.978/kg in 2022. The Netherlands maintained higher unit values compared to many countries, starting at USD 1.154/kg in 2013, peaking at USD 1.067/kg in 2021, and ending slightly lower at USD 1.025/kg in 2022. Poland exhibited an upward trend with notable increases, peaking at USD 1.163/kg in 2020 before stabilizing at USD 0.930/kg in 2022. Italy showed moderate variability, beginning at USD 0.819/kg in 2013 and concluding at USD 0.700/kg in 2022, while Canada displayed lower values, with fluctuations between USD 0.445/kg in 2014 and USD 0.768/kg in 2022. Pakistan exhibited notable volatility, particularly with an extreme low of USD 0.10/kg in 2016, before recovering to USD 1.064/kg in 2022. Unit value prices for secondhand clothing exports saw a dramatic decline in 2019, and can be attributed to the COVID-19 effect.