Search Results (1,065)

The degree of urbanization and the uncontrolled expansion of the built environment play a defining role in shaping contemporary society, contributing significantly to abrupt temperature fluctuations and a declining quality of life. This study aims to analyze land use and land cover (LULC) patterns in the municipality of Deva, located in the central part of Hunedoara County, Romania (45°52′ N, 22°54′ E). The analysis covers the period from March 2022 to March 2023 and is based on open-source datasets. Supervised classification of LULC was performed using two GIS software platforms: ArcGIS Pro and QGIS. Sentinel-2A satellite imagery, with spatial resolutions of 10 m, 20 m, and 60 m, was processed using two different classification algorithms—the Minimum Distance classifier (via the Semi-Automatic Classification Plugin in QGIS) and the k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN) algorithm in ArcGIS Pro. The comparative accuracy assessment indicated that the k-NN classifier in ArcGIS Pro performed better, achieving an overall accuracy of 89.7% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.86, while the Minimum Distance classifier in QGIS obtained an overall accuracy of 81.2% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.78. The outputs of both classification workflows were compared, and an accuracy assessment was conducted during the post-processing stage. The best results were obtained using the k-NN algorithm. The classification maps generated in this study can serve as a valuable foundation for local authorities to monitor environmental changes and support urban planning initiatives in Deva. Full article

Understanding landscape fragmentation is crucial to explore comprehensive land-use–land-cover (LULC) change within fast-growing urbanisation. While LULC change is a global concern, limited research explores landscape fragmentation along river and road infrastructure in high-density riverine contexts. This study addresses this gap through understanding dynamic landscape fragmentation patterns to track LULC in the Ciliwung River, Indonesia, from 1990 to 2020. The research employed remote sensing, GIS, R programming with Landsat data, Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values, buffering, and landscape metrics. The findings show minimal fragmentation was concentrated downstream near Jakarta, while significant fragmentation, manifesting as green loss, occurred in the midstream. Buffer analysis showed high green loss in the upstream segment both near the river and roads, particularly within a 0–400 m buffer. However, landscape metrics identified changes in the midstream close to the river buffer (0–200 m) indicating that riparian green spaces in this area persist as relatively large but ecologically unconnected “chunks”. The stability of these remaining patches makes them a crucial asset for targeted restoration. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how river and road networks influence the change, highlighting the integral role of remote sensing and GIS in monitoring LULC change for natural preservation. Full article

Quantifying and removing urbanization-induced biases in existing precipitation datasets is critical for climate change detection, model assessment, and attribution studies in Northwest China (NWC). The precipitation observational stations of NWC were divided into rural (reference) stations and urban stations using the percentage of urban areas calculated from the land use/land cover (LULC) satellite data of the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative (CCI) Land Cover project. The annual extreme precipitation index series for urban stations (all stations) and rural stations from 1961 to 2022 were calculated based on the categorization of meteorological stations, and the urbanization effects and their contributions to precipitation index series were quantitatively evaluated through estimating trends in the difference series between all stations and the rural stations. The results showed that the urbanization effect varies among different regions and indices. The R10mm, R95pTOT, R99pTOT, and PRCPTOT indices in the sampled urban areas of NWC exhibited statistically significant negative urbanization effects, reaching −0.075 days decade⁻¹, −0.038 % decade⁻¹, −0.024 % decade⁻¹, and −0.035 % decade⁻¹, respectively. However, the R95pTOT, SDII, CDD, and CWD indices at the urban station of the largest city, Urumqi, have been significantly positively affected by urbanization, which is inconsistent with the sampled urban areas of NWC, where the urbanization effect reached 0.069 % decade⁻¹, 0.054 mm·d⁻¹ decade⁻¹, 2.319 days decade⁻¹, and 0.112 days decade⁻¹, respectively. Our analysis shows that the previously reported regional increase in total precipitation and extremes has been underestimated due to the negative urbanization effects in the precipitation data series of urban stations. Full article

Understanding streamflow dynamics in watersheds affected by human activity and climate variability is important for sustainable water and environmental resource management. This study evaluates the vulnerability of Alabama watersheds to anthropogenic and climatic changes using an integrated framework combining GIS, remote sensing, hydrological modeling, and machine learning (ML). Three Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models, differing in spatial resolution and soil inputs, were developed to simulate streamflow under baseline and land-use/land cover (LULC) scenarios from 1990 to 2023. The model, built with consistent 100 × 100 m rasters and fine-resolution SSURGO (Soil Survey Geographic Database) soil data, achieved the best calibration and was selected for detailed analysis. Streamflow trends were assessed over two periods (1993–2009 and 2010–2023) to help isolate climate variability (from LULC effects), while LULC changes were evaluated using 1992, 2011, and 2021 maps. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model further enhanced simulation accuracy by integrating partially calibrated SWAT outputs. Watershed vulnerability was ranked using a multi-criteria framework. Two watersheds were classified as highly vulnerable, nine as moderately vulnerable, and three as having low vulnerability. Basin-level contrasts revealed moderate climate impacts in the Tombigbee Basin, greater climate sensitivity in the Black Warrior Basin, and LULC-dominated impacts in the Alabama Basin. Overall, LULC change exerted stronger and more spatially variable effects on streamflow than climate variability. This study introduces a transferable SWAT–ML vulnerability ranking framework to guide watershed and environmental management in data-scarce, human-modified regions. Full article

Tropical forests play an essential role in the carbon and water cycles of terrestrial ecosystems, but they are increasingly threatened by human activities and climate change. For places where ground observations are scarce, like in Equatorial Africa, remote sensing is a key source of information for monitoring the temporal and spatial dynamics of forests over large areas. Several Earth Observation-based global maps were developed in recent decades using different definitions of the land-use/land-cover (LULC) classes. While such products are widely used for monitoring land use and planning land management, the consistency of these LULC maps for the Congo Basin has never been analyzed and quantified at the ecosystem level. Here, we selected seven of the most-used global maps and analyzed their consistency over the Congo Basin. After reclassification into forest/non-forest masks and spatial resampling, we assessed the agreement and disagreement percentage across the different tropical ecoregions of Africa, from moist forest to miombo, including savanna. The datasets showed differences in forest area as a function of spatial resolution, with higher forest area levels at coarser resolutions (e.g., from 74.1% to 88.5% forest cover when upscaling the GLCLU from 30 m to 1 km over the Congo Basin). A higher agreement between the datasets was found for forest area over moist forest (between 88.18% and 99.38%) in comparison to savanna (32.82%–99.84%) and miombo (53.83%–99.7%). These discrepancies led to large differences in forest cover, varying from a net loss of 205,704 km² to a net gain of 50,726 km² over 2001–2019 depending on the dataset used. This study draws attention to the uncertainty associated with these products with regard to forests, particularly in regions of biological importance, such as the miombo and savanna regions, which remain poorly understood. Indeed, the two major uncertainties affecting the quality of LULC products are related to the different spatial resolutions and biological definition of “forest” adopted by each product. Full article

Revealing the coordination relationship between land use/land cover (LULC) and carbon storage (CS) under diverse climate scenarios is crucial for climate change adaptation in topographically complex regions. This study developed an integrated framework combining the System Dynamics (SD) model, Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model, and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model, enabling a closed-loop analysis of driving forces, spatial simulation, and ecological feedback. This study systematically assessed LULC evolution and ecosystem CS along China’s National Highway 318 (G318) from 2000 to 2020, and projected LULC and CS under three SSP-RCP scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) for 2030. Results show the following: (1) Historical LULC change was dominated by rapid urban expansion, cropland loss, and nonlinear grassland fluctuation, exerting strong impacts on ecosystem dynamics. Future scenario simulations revealed distinct thresholds of ecological pressure. (2) Regional CS exhibited a decline–recovery pattern during 2000–2020, with all 2030 scenarios projecting CS reduction, although ecological-priority pathways could mitigate losses. (3) Coordination between land-use intensity and CS improved gradually, with SSP2-4.5 emerging as the optimal strategy for balancing development and ecological sustainability. Overall, the coupled SD-PLUS-InVEST framework provides a practical tool for policymakers to optimize land use patterns and enhance CS in complex terrains. Full article

The continuous expansion of impervious surfaces replacing the vegetation cover and surface water areas increases urban heating. Such heating leads to downward heat transfer and latent heat flux from the surface to subsurface aquifers. This study used Landsat optical and thermal satellite data for land use/land cover (LULC), land surface temperature (LST), and anthropogenic heat flux (H_as) change mapping in Bangalore City, India. The in situ sensor-based land surface temperature (LST) and groundwater temperature (GWT) measurements were used to validate the study outcome. A minor difference was observed between the satellite data and the in situ LST due to the differential data acquisition time. The built-up area increased from 7.61% to 28.78% from 1999 to 2017 at the cost of the green cover and the extent of waterbodies. Therefore, LST change was higher in green cover areas (~6 °C LST) than in urban areas (>3 °C). The anthropogenic heat fluxes increased significantly (above 65 W/m²) during the study period. The in situ GWT was strongly correlated with the H_as (R² = 0.83) and LST (R² = 0.78). The study highlights the nature of urban expansion in Bangalore City, India, and its impact on LST, H_as, and GWT. The observed changes in land use practices with urban heat indicators at 30 m scale can be used for sustainable land use planning to improve the thermal comfort of the city, preserving the urban ecosystems. The high collinearity between satellite-data-derived LST, H_as, and GWT can be used for periodic monitoring at seasonal and annual scales using the Landsat data, which can be important inputs for land use planners and policymakers. Full article

While prior studies on LULC change in the Ewa region of O’ahu Hawai’i have explored the policy implications and the rapid infrastructure changes on land use, very few studies have attempted to fully integrate both of these changes in a comprehensive, long-term study of island geographies. Most of the past work has focused on general trends or short-term fluctuations, without considering the play of nuanced interactions between urbanization policies, transit-oriented development, and constraints of Hawai’i’s finite land resources. To fill these gaps, this study examines LULC changes in Ewa, Honolulu between 2002 and 2022, which emphasizes the impacts of strategic urban policies and infrastructure development, such as the Honolulu Skyline Rail Transit System. Using Landsat 7 satellite imagery and random forest machine learning classifier, in Google Earth Engine, LULC is classified into urban, forest, vegetation, barren, and water with classification accuracy of over 85%. The results highlight trends of significant urban growth especially after 2010, and highlight key issues of tension between housing demands and environmental sustainability in O’ahu. This study highlights the potential of integrated remote sensing and policy analysis for informing sustainable development in land-constrained island settings, and advocates for planning frameworks that more effectively balance growth, ecosystem stewardship, and community welfare. Full article

Land use/land cover (LULC) change is a key driving factor influencing the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage. In high-groundwater-level coal resource-based cities (HGCRBCs), the interplay of urban expansion, mining disturbances, and land reclamation makes the carbon storage evolution process more complex. This study takes Jining, Zaozhuang, and Heze cities in Shandong Province as the research area and constructs a coupled analytical framework of “mining–reclamation–carbon storage” by integrating the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS), Probability Integral Method (PIM), InVEST, and Grey Multi-Objective Programming (GMOP) models. It systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon storage changes from 2000 to 2020 and simulates the carbon storage responses under different development scenarios in 2030. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the total carbon storage in the region decreased by 31.53 Tg, with cropland conversion to construction land and water bodies being the primary carbon loss pathways, contributing up to 89.86% of the total carbon loss. (2) Among the 16 major LULC transition paths identified, single-process drivers dominated carbon storage changes. Specifically, urban expansion and mining activities individually accounted for nearly 70% and 8.65% of the carbon loss, respectively. Although the reclamation path contributed to a recovery of 1.72 Tg of carbon storage, it could not fully offset the loss caused by mining. (3) Future scenario simulations indicate that the ecological conservation scenario yields the highest carbon storage, while the economic development scenario results in the lowest. Mining activities generally lead to approximately 3.5 Tg of carbon loss, while post-mining reclamation can restore about 72% of the loss. Full article

Accurate land use/land cover (LULC) maps generated through cloud computing can support large-scale land management. Leveraging the rich resources of Google Earth Engine (GEE) is essential for developing historical maps that facilitate the analysis of regional LULC dynamics. We implemented the best-performing scheme on GEE to produce 30 m LULC maps for the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration (SPUA) and to detect LULC changes, while closely observing the spatio-temporal trends of landscape patterns during 2004–2024 using the Shannon Diversity Index, Patch Density, and other metrics. The results indicate that (a) Gradient Tree Boost (GTB) marginally outperformed Random Forest (RF) under identical feature combinations, with overall accuracies consistently exceeding 90.30%; (b) integrating topographic features, remote sensing indices, spectral bands, land surface temperature, and nighttime light data into the GTB classifier yielded the highest accuracy (OA = 93.68%, Kappa = 0.92); (c) over the 20-year period, cultivated land experienced the most substantial reduction (11,128.09 km²), accompanied by impressive growth in built-up land (9677.21 km²); and (d) landscape patterns in central and eastern SPUA changed most noticeably, with diversity, fragmentation, and complexity increasing, and connectivity decreasing. These results underscore the strong potential of GEE for LULC mapping at the urban agglomeration scale, providing a robust basis for long-term dynamic process analysis. Full article

Rapid climate change has exacerbated global ecosystem degradation, leading to habitat fragmentation and landscape connectivity loss. Constructing ecological networks (EN) with resilient conduction functions and conservation priorities is crucial for maintaining regional ecological security and promoting sustainable development. However, the spatiotemporal modeling and dynamic resilience assessment of EN under the combined impacts of future climate and land use/land cover (LULC) changes remain underexplored. This study focuses on the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration (CYUA), China, and integrates landscape ecology with complex network theory to develop a dynamic resilience assessment framework that incorporates multi-scenario LULC projections, multi-temporal EN construction, and node-link disturbance simulations. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP-RCP) scenarios, we quantified spatiotemporal variations in EN resilience and identified resilience-based conservation priority areas. The results show that: (1) Future EN patterns exhibit a westward clustering trend, with expanding habitat areas and enhanced connectivity. (2) From 2000 to 2040, EN resilience remains generally stable, but diverges significantly across scenarios—showing steady increases under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, while slightly declining under SSP2-4.5. (3) Approximately 20% of nodes and 40% of links are identified as critical components for maintaining structural-functional resilience, and are projected to form conservation priority patterns characterized by larger habitat areas and more compact connectivity under future scenarios. The multi-scenario analysis provides differentiated strategies for EN planning and ecological conservation. This framework offers adaptive and resilient solutions for regional ecosystem management under climate change. Full article

Land degradation in Iraq’s Mesopotamian plain threatens food security and rural livelihoods, yet the relative roles of climatic water deficits versus anthropogenic pressures remain poorly attributed in space. We test the hypothesis that multi-timescale climatic water deficits (SPEI-03/-06/-12) exert a stronger effect on vegetation degradation risk than anthropogenic pressures, conditional on hydrological connectivity and irrigation. Using Babil and Al-Qadisiyah (2000–2023) as a case, we implement a four-part pipeline: (i) Fractional Vegetation Cover with Mann–Kendall/Sen’s slope to quantify greening/browning trends; (ii) LandTrendr to extract disturbance timing and magnitude; (iii) annual LULC maps from a Random Forest classifier to resolve transitions; and (iv) an XGBoost classifier to map degradation risk and attribute climate vs. anthropogenic influence via drop-group permutation (ΔAUC), grouped SHAP shares, and leave-group-out ablation, all under spatial block cross-validation. Driver attribution shows mid-term and short-term drought (SPEI-06, SPEI-03) as the strongest predictors, and conditional permutation yields a larger average AUC loss for the climate block than for the anthropogenic block, while grouped SHAP shares are comparable between the two, and ablation suggests a neutral to weak anthropogenic edge. The XGBoost model attains AUC = 0.884 (test) and maps 9.7% of the area as high risk (>0.70), concentrated away from perennial water bodies. Over 2000–2023, LULC change indicates CA +515 km², HO +129 km², UL +70 km², BL −697 km², WB −16.7 km². Trend analysis shows recovery across 51.5% of the landscape (+29.6% dec⁻¹ median) and severe decline over 2.5% (−22.0% dec⁻¹). The integrated design couples trend mapping with driver attribution, clarifying how compounded climatic stress and intensive land use shape contemporary desertification risk and providing spatial priorities for restoration and adaptive water management. Full article

Environmental degradation and soil desertification are among the most severe environmental issues of recent decades worldwide. Over time, these processes have led to increasingly extreme and highly dynamic climatic conditions. In Brazil, the Northeast Region is characterized by semi-arid and arid areas that exhibit high climatic variability and are extremely vulnerable to environmental changes and pressures from human activities. The application of geotechnologies and geographic information system (GIS) modeling is essential to mitigate the impacts and pressures on the various ecosystems of Northeastern Brazil (NEB), where the Caatinga biome is predominant and critically threatened by these factors. In this context, the objective was to map and assess the spatiotemporal patterns of land use and land cover (LULC), detecting significant trends of loss and gain, based on surface reflectance data and precipitation data over two decades (2000–2019). Remote sensing datasets were utilized, including Landsat satellite data (LULC data), MODIS sensor data (surface reflectance product) and TRMM data (precipitation data). The Google Earth Engine (GEE) software was used to process orbital images and determine surface albedo and acquisition of the LULC dataset. Satellite data were subjected to multivariate analysis, descriptive statistics, dispersion and variability assessments. The results indicated a significant loss trend over the time series (2000–2019) for forest areas (Z_MK = −5.872; Tau = −0.958; p < 0.01) with an annual loss of −3705.853 km² and a total loss of −74,117.06 km². Conversely, farming areas (agriculture and pasture) exhibited a significant gain trend (Z_MK = 5.807; Tau = 0.947; p < 0.01), with an annual gain of +3978.898 km² and a total gain of +79,577.96 km², indicating a substantial expansion of these areas over time. However, it is important to emphasize that deforestation of the region’s native vegetation contributes to reduced water production and availability. The trend analysis identified an increase in environmental degradation due to the rapid expansion of land use. LULC and albedo data confirmed the intensification of deforestation in the Northern, Northwestern, Southern and Southeastern regions of NEB. The Northwestern region was the most directly impacted by this increase due to anthropogenic pressures. Over two decades (2000–2019), forested areas in the NEB lost approximately 80.000 km². Principal component analysis (PCA) identified a significant cumulative variance of 87.15%. It is concluded, then, that the spatiotemporal relationship between biophysical conditions and regional climate helps us to understand and evaluate the impacts and environmental dynamics, especially of the vegetation cover of the NEB. Full article

This study presents an integrated assessment of four decades (1985–2023) of environmental and climate alterations in the principal metropolitan conurbation of the eastern Brazilian Amazon, encompassing Belém and its adjacent municipalities. By combining high-resolution land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics with in situ meteorological data, including understudied elements, such as relative humidity (RH) and wind speed, and satellite-derived precipitation estimates (CHIRPS v3), we advance the scientific understanding of regional climate trends. Our results document significant climate shifts, including pronounced dry-season warming (+1.5 °C), atmospheric drying (−4% in RH), attenuated wind patterns (−0.4 m s⁻¹), and altered precipitation regimes, which exhibit strong spatiotemporal coupling with extensive forest loss (−20%) and rapid urban expansion (+84%) between 1985 and 2023. Multivariate analyses reveal that these land–climate interactions are strongest during the dry regime, underscoring the role of surface–atmosphere feedbacks in amplifying regional changes. Comparative analysis of past (1980–1999) and present (2005–2024) decades demonstrates a marked intensification in the frequency and magnitude of extreme seasonal climate events. These findings elucidate a critical feedback mechanism that exacerbates climate risks in tropical urban areas. Consequently, we argue that mitigation public policies must prioritize the strict conservation of peri-urban forest fragments (vital for moisture recycling and local climate regulation) and the strategic implementation of green infrastructure aligned with prevailing wind patterns to enhance thermal comfort and resilience to hydrological extremes. Full article

The climate and environment of metropolitan areas have been negatively impacted by swift urbanization and industrialization. Surface Urban Heat Islands (SUHIs) are among the most critical environmental phenomena. This research focused on the spatiotemporal analysis of land use/land cover (LULC) changes in relation to surface urban heat islands and their interconnections from 1992 to 2022. Land Surface Temperature (LST), LULC, and LULC indices, such as the Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), were generated using Landsat data. Urban hot spots (UHSs) were identified, and the Urban Thermal Field Variance Index (UTFVI) was then used to evaluate the spatiotemporal variation in thermal comfort. The results indicated LST values between a low of 14.24 and a maximum of 46.30. Urban areas and exposed surfaces, such as open or bare soil, exhibit the highest surface radiant temperatures. Conversely, regions characterized by vegetation and water bodies have the lowest. Additionally, this study explored the correlation between LULC, LULC indices, LST, and SUHIs. LST and NDBI show a positive relationship because of urbanization and industrialization (R² = 0.57 for the year 1992, R² = 0.38 for the year 2010, and R² = 0.35 for the year 2022), while LST shows an inverse relationship with NDVI and NDMI. Urban development should account for thermal sensitivity in densely populated regions. This study introduced an innovative spatiotemporal framework for monitoring long-term changes in urban surface environments. Furthermore, this research can assist planners in creating urban green spaces in cities of developing nations to minimize the adverse impacts of urban heat islands and improve thermal comfort. Full article