Search Results (8,404)

Based on the Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI) and Geostationary High-speed Imager (GHI) information in the Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) satellite, we propose a convective initiation (CI) nowcasting algorithm for Sichuan Province, China. The algorithm optimizes satellite reflectance by considering multi-channel brightness differences, visible reflectance, and cloud-top cooling by exploiting the Farneback optical flow, where the cloud is followed by false cooling due to cloud motion. Moreover, the high temporal resolution of GHI enables the detection of early cumulus cloud growth. The algorithm was developed using daytime CI events in the coverage area of Mianyang radar station from 22 July to 9 August 2023, and the remaining areas in the Chengdu scan area were used for validation. The results showed that the proposed method achieves a probability of detection (POD) of 83.1%, a false alarm ratio (FAR) of 33.0%, and a critical success index (CSI) of 58.9%. Compared with the AGRI-only method and the SATCAST algorithm, the POD increases by 5.4% and 8.4%, respectively, while the CSI improves by 1.3% and 2.3%. The average lead time reaches 34.2 min, which is 4.6 min longer than AGRI-only and 7.9 min longer than SATCAST. This suggests that AGRI and GHI data improve the spatiotemporal resolution of CI nowcasting. This approach improves the early detection of convective initiation under the climatic background of warm cloud convection in Sichuan, offering new insights for short-term warnings of regional convective weather. Full article

Soil health is essential for food security, ecosystem stability, and sustainable development, yet its spatial heterogeneity and driving mechanisms remain insufficiently understood at regional scales. This study investigates soil health in Heilongjiang Province, China. A Soil Health Index (SHI) was constructed using eight indicators covering physical, chemical, and biological properties based on multi-source datasets at 1 km spatial resolution. A random forest (RF) model was applied to identify key environmental drivers, and Moran’s I and Getis–Ord Gi* statistics were used to analyze spatial clustering. The results showed that SHI values ranged from 0.19 to 0.70, with a mean of 0.45. The RF model achieved strong performance (R² = 0.6666, RMSE = 0.03184, MAE = 0.02372), significantly outperforming linear regression (R² ≈ 0.17). Significant spatial clustering was observed, where “hotspots” refer to statistically significant clusters of high SHI values, and “coldspots” indicate clusters of low SHI values based on Getis–Ord Gi* analysis. Climate factors (temperature and precipitation) and elevation were the dominant drivers. Significant spatial clustering was observed, with clear hotspot and coldspot patterns. These findings provide spatial evidence for sustainable land-use planning and zonal soil management. However, the analysis is limited by data resolution and model interpretability, which may affect the representation of fine-scale variability. Full article

Forage grasses are an important component of livestock systems due to their contribution to animal feed, soil conservation, and carbon sequestration. In the face of climate change, analyzing stomatal characteristics allows us to understand the mechanisms of adaptation and tolerance to environmental stress. Therefore, the objective of this study was to determine the stomatal characteristics and trichome density of ten forage grasses present in a pine-oak dominated ecosystem. Sampling was carried out in October and November 2022 on a 1938 ha area. Mature, healthy leaves were selected, and epidermal impressions were obtained from the adaxial and abaxial surfaces using the cyanoacrylate method. Observations were made with an optical microscope at 400× magnification, quantifying stomatal density, trichome density, number of epidermal cells, and stomatal index per mm². The results indicated that nine species were amphistomatic, while Schizachyrium scoparium exhibited an epistomatic pattern. Muhlenbergia arizonica showed the highest stomatal density, and Setaria parviflora the lowest. It is concluded that there is high stomatal variability among species, highlighting its importance for the management and improvement of pastures. Full article

Nitrogen (N) loss poses a significant threat to global climate stability and ecosystem sustainability. Afforestation, as a key ecological restoration strategy, regulates soil N cycling processes by modulating soil microbial community structure. However, a systematic synthesis of how afforestation influences microbial-mediated N loss remains limited. To address this gap, this study conducted a bibliometric analysis using CiteSpace software, based on 104 relevant publications indexed in the Web of Science Core Collection from 1997 to 2025, to comprehensively map the knowledge structure, research hotspots, and evolutionary trajectories in the field of afforestation-driven microbial regulation of soil N loss. The results reveal three developmental phases: initiation (1997–2005), growth (2006–2020), and stabilization (2021–2025). China contributed the highest number of publications (40), while the United States exhibited the greatest academic influence; the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Russian Academy of Sciences clusters have emerged as core research institutions. Notably, keyword and citation analyses revealed that research hotspots have shifted from process-oriented measurements, including N mineralization and N₂O emissions, toward a deeper exploration of microbial community structure, biodiversity, and functional mechanisms. This study presents the bibliometric synthesis of microbial N loss mechanisms under afforestation, revealing a paradigm shift from environmental driers to microbial diversity. These insights inform microbial forest management strategies that balance N retention with carbon sequestration. Full article

Accurate monitoring of water spatiotemporal dynamics is critical for hydrological process analysis and climate impact assessment. While remote sensing enables effective water monitoring, public satellite imagery is limited by mixed-pixel effects that hinder small river detection, and high-resolution commercial data suffers from low temporal frequency and restricted coverage. To address these limitations, this study proposes a deep learning-based super-resolution (SR) framework for multispectral remote sensing imagery. This paper constructs a matched dataset for GF2 and Sentinel-2 imagery and develops an Attention Enhanced Super Resolution Generative Adversarial Network (AESRGAN). By integrating attention mechanisms and a spectral-structural loss design, the network is optimized to adapt to the characteristics of multispectral remote sensing imagery. Experimental results demonstrate that AESRGAN achieves strong reconstruction performance, with a Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio (PSNR) of 33.83 dB and a Structural Similarity Index Measure (SSIM) of 0.882. Water extraction based on the reconstructed imagery using the U-Net++ model achieved an overall accuracy of 0.97 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.92. In addition, the reconstructed imagery improved the estimation accuracy of river length, width, and area by 0.34%, 3.28%, and 8.51%, respectively. The proposed framework provides an effective solution for multi-source remote sensing data fusion and high-precision surface water monitoring, offering new potential for long-term hydrological observation using medium-resolution satellite imagery. Full article

This study examines the effect of innovation on climate resilience in developing countries, covering annual data from 2008 to 2022, with a focus on how this relationship varies across different levels of vulnerability. The primary purpose is to understand whether innovation contributes uniformly to climate resilience or if its impact differs depending on a country’s resilience status. Addressing this question is crucial for developing evidence-based and context-specific climate policies. To capture these heterogeneous effects, this study employs a panel quantile regression approach using data from developing countries. This method allows the estimation of the influence of innovation proxied by the Global Innovation Index (GII) and the climate resilience Index. The findings show that innovation has a consistently positive and statistically strong impact on climate resilience across all quantiles, with the strongest impact at the median. The results carry important policy implications. Firstly, developing countries should prioritize innovation-driven strategies to strengthen resilience across different climate risk profiles. Secondly, policies supporting renewable energy deployment should target countries with higher emissions to maximize their impact. Thirdly, fiscal tools, such as environmentally aligned tax policies, should be emphasized particularly in more vulnerable contexts. Finally, trade policies, population dynamics and integration of climate finance variables must be integrated into climate strategies to enhance long-term sustainability. Full article

This paper introduces a new hybrid forecasting architecture that combines Nonlinear Autoregressive (NAR) models, the proxy Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and a Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Inputs (NARX) framework for Soil Moisture Index (SMI) prediction. The suggested methodology solves the crucial difficulty of combining future climatic knowledge into soil moisture forecasting by using a cascaded approach. Stage 1 uses univariate NAR models to create multi-step-ahead predictions of precipitation and temperature. Stage 2 converts these forecasts into proxy SPEI values using a physically based water balance computation, and Stage 3 employs a NARX model that uses observed historical SMI and forecast-derived proxy SPEI as exogenous inputs. The framework is assessed using high-frequency observations from 2014 to 2020, with training data through 2019 and validation covering the whole 2020 horizon. The study combining forecast-driven climatic indicators with autoregressive soil moisture dynamics resulted in prediction accuracy (R² = 0.9888, RMSE = 0.0827, MAE = 0.0567). This study presents a new NAR–SPEI–NARX model for SMI prediction forecasting, based on three-stage modeling, where NAR models forecast precipitation and temperature and then turn them into SPEI-proxy as an exogenous input for NARX. Full article

Against the backdrop of accelerating climate change, extreme weather events have increasingly caused yield losses in agricultural crops. Meanwhile, they undermine the stability of production systems, posing an increasingly severe threat to agriculture. This study draws on the “diversity–stability” hypothesis to construct a country-level measure of agricultural production resilience in China (ARES). Using output time series for multiple agricultural products, we capture the co-movements of shocks and system resilience through output stability and volatility. By combining ARES with climate exposure measures, we assemble a panel dataset covering 1343 counties over the period 2000–2023 and employ a dynamic panel threshold model to jointly account for persistence in ARES and state-dependent nonlinearities in climate impacts. The results reveal significant path dependence in ARES and pronounced threshold effects across climate dimensions. In the full sample, extreme high-temperature days become significantly detrimental after crossing the threshold, whereas extreme low-temperature days become significantly beneficial in the high-exposure regime. Extreme rainfall days and extreme drought days generally exhibit positive effects that weaken markedly beyond their respective thresholds, indicating diminishing marginal gains in ARES under severe exposure. The comprehensive climate physical risk index significantly suppresses ARES when it is below the threshold value; however, after surpassing the threshold, its marginal effect becomes significantly weaker. Heterogeneity analyses across hilly, plain, and mountainous areas, as well as nationally designated key counties for poverty alleviation and development, further show that threshold locations and regime-specific effects differ substantially by terrain and development conditions. These findings highlight the need for “threshold-based” climate adaptation governance, emphasizing targeted investments and risk-financing instruments to prevent ARES collapse under tail-risk regimes. Full article

Globally, the combined pollution of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) and ground-level ozone (O₃) poses severe challenges to public health and sustainable urban development. Recent data indicate that the annual average PM_2.5 concentration in the vast majority of cities worldwide fails to meet World Health Organization safety standards, with air pollution causing millions of premature deaths annually. As a nature-based solution, the purification efficacy of vegetation remains poorly quantified due to unclear coupling mechanisms with local meteorological conditions. This study systematically reviewed and synthesized 229 empirical studies published between 2000 and 2025 from Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), aiming to clarify the quantitative relationships and regulatory mechanisms of plant–meteorological synergistic purification of PM_2.5–O₃. Following double-blind independent screening (κ = 0.85) and data extraction, a quantitative minimal feasible synthesis approach was adopted due to high data heterogeneity. The results indicated the following. (1) The median canopy purification efficiency of urban vegetation for PM_2.5 was 18.2% (IQR: 12.5–30.1%, n = 17), with a median dry deposition velocity (Vd–PM) of 0.05 cm s⁻¹ (0.02–30 cm s⁻¹, n = 15). The median dry deposition velocity (Vd–O₃) for O₃ was 0.55 cm s⁻¹ (0.12–1.82 cm s⁻¹, n = 8), with non-stomatal deposition contributing approximately 35%. (2) Meteorological factors exhibit nonlinear regulation: relative humidity (RH) > 70% significantly enhances PM_2.5 adsorption, wind speeds of 1.5–3.0 m s⁻¹ are optimal for PM_2.5 deposition, and temperatures > 30 °C generally inhibit plant uptake of both pollutants (n = 7). (3) Functional traits strongly correlate with purification efficacy: species with high leaf roughness (R² = 0.8), high stomatal conductance, and low BVOC emissions (e.g., Ginkgo biloba, Platycladus orientalis) exhibit optimal synergistic purification potential. Species with high BVOC emissions (Populus przewalskii, Eucalyptus robusta) can increase daily net O₃ pollution equivalents by up to 86 g and must be strictly avoided. Based on quantitative evidence, a green space planning decision matrix indexed by climate zone and pollution type was developed, specifying vegetation configuration patterns, functional group selection, and key design parameters (canopy closure, green belt width, etc.) for different scenarios. This study provides an actionable scientific basis for precision planning and climate-adaptive management of urban green infrastructure. Full article

Extreme hydrometeorological events are occurring more often under climate change, increasing the risk for cities in coastal zones and lower river reaches. Such areas are prone to compound flooding (CF), where flood duration and magnitude are amplified by the combined effects of storm surges, onshore winds, long-term sea-level rise, and increasingly frequent rainfall-driven floods. This study assesses the socio-economic risk of residential neighbourhoods (RNs) along the lower reach of the Danė River in the city of Klaipėda, Lithuania, using a composite socio-economic risk index (CSERI) developed in this study under an extreme flood scenario, if the sea level in the south-eastern Baltic Sea rises by 1 m by the end of the century. The results show a strong relationship between water levels in the Klaipėda Strait and the lower reach of the Danė River, confirming a CF regime, where flood magnitude is driven by the interaction between strait water level and river discharge. The CSERI is based on five risk sub-indices (SIs): the building risk SI, road infrastructure risk SI, population risk SI, economic entities risk SI, and cultural heritage risk SI. The assessment identifies RNs at greatest risk under climate change and anthropogenic pressure and indicates priority areas for adaptation measures to reduce potential socio-economic losses. The proposed CSERI provides a practical decision-support tool for sustainable and climate-resilient urban development in coastal cities. Full article

Rain-induced shallow landslides persistently disrupt Nepal’s mountain roads, frequently leading to fatalities, transport disruptions, and economic losses. This study develops physically validated, site-specific rainfall thresholds for the landslide-prone Kanti National Roadway (H37) by integrating empirical intensity–duration (I-D) analysis, antecedent rainfall metrics, and satellite-derived soil moisture data. Using 35 years of rainfall records (1990–2024) and 59 field-verified landslides (2017–2024), we derived a localized I-D threshold: I = 19.37 × D^−0.6215 (I: rainfall intensity in mm/h; D: duration in hours), effective for durations of 48–308 h, encompassing short intense storms and prolonged moderate rainfall. The Cumulative Antecedent Rainfall (CAR) method associated most failures with 3-day totals, while the Antecedent Precipitation Index (API) showed superior performance, with a 10-day threshold of 77 mm capturing all events. For physical validation, NASA’s SMAP Level-4 root-zone (0–100 cm) soil moisture data revealed a 1-day lag in response to rainfall; after adjustment, trends matched API saturation predictions and identified an inverse rainfall–moisture pattern before the 11 August 2019 landslide, indicating a potential instability precursor. This integration enhances predictive accuracy, bolsters mechanistic understanding of landslide hazards, and offers a scalable, cost-effective early-warning framework for data-scarce mountain regions, aiding climate-resilient infrastructure in regions with intensifying rainfall extremes. Full article

Reliable precipitation data are fundamental for climate and hydrological research, especially in regions with sparse ground-based observations. This study evaluates and compares the accuracy of two satellite-based precipitation products—CMORPH and GPCP—across daily, monthly, and annual scales over Iran. Daily, monthly, and annual precipitation estimates from CMORPH and GPCP were validated against observations from 128 meteorological stations distributed throughout the country. The assessment employed two statistical indices—correlation coefficient (CC) and root mean square error (RMSE)—alongside three categorical indices: probability of detection (POD), false alarm ratio (FAR), and critical success index (CSI). At the daily scale, CMORPH outperformed GPCP in terms of CC, RMSE, POD, and CSI, while GPCP exhibited a lower FAR. At the monthly scale, correlations between satellite-derived and station-based precipitation were stronger than those at the daily scale; CMORPH achieved the highest correlation (CC = 0.84), whereas GPCP yielded a lower RMSE, with a mean value of 26.2 mm. At the annual scale, GPCP demonstrated better performance in CC, while CMORPH showed superior accuracy in RMSE. CMORPH consistently underestimated precipitation, whereas GPCP tended to overestimate rainfall across Iran. Although both datasets provided reliable precipitation estimates at the national scale, CMORPH demonstrated higher overall accuracy and efficiency. Its superior performance across most indices makes CMORPH the more suitable dataset for precipitation monitoring in Iran, despite its tendency to underestimate rainfall relative to ground observations. Full article

This study examines the effects of climate change on precipitation and drought conditions in Greece, focusing on basin-level hydrological analysis. It builds on existing evidence that the Mediterranean region is highly vulnerable to global warming, experiencing reduced rainfall, extended droughts, and increased hydro-climatic extremes. Using high-resolution down-scaled climate projections under multiple RCP scenarios, the research quantifies precipitation volume within specific hydrological basins, incorporating detailed basin geometries and spatial statistical methods. Alongside precipitation estimates, consecutive dry days and drought frequency, assessed via the Standardised Precipitation Index, offer a multi-indicator view of climate stress. This basin-specific framework connects climate modelling with water resource management, supporting more targeted adaptation strategies. The findings provide new spatial insights into how precipitation redistributes across basins under future climate conditions, with implications for drought-prone regions in Greece. Full article

In the context of the global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy, offshore wind power has emerged as a critical resource and gained increasing attention, requiring accurate assessments of coastal wind energy potential. This study presents an integrated suitability evaluation framework for offshore wind energy around Hainan Island, utilizing multi-satellite remote-sensing observations. A fused wind product was generated by applying the optimal interpolation (OI) algorithm to scatterometer data and was subsequently used to construct a wind farm suitability index (WFSI). The results classify the coastal waters of Hainan Island into three suitability tiers, with the most favorable zones located along the west coast and near the Qiongzhou Strait, collocating with 62.5% of documented wind farm projects. Further analysis on a decadal-long comparative experiment reveals a clear linkage between local wind energy potential and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle that causes wind resources and high-suitability areas to contract during El Niño and expand during La Niña. These findings provide a refined natural source baseline for Hainan Island, clarify regional responses to climate variability, and offer a transferable remote-sensing framework for coastal wind energy assessments in similar maritime regions. Full article

Hydrological memory reflects the persistence of hydrological processes and plays an important role in understanding basin regime dynamics under changing climatic conditions. This study investigates the temporal stability of hydrological memory in the ten largest European basins: Volga, Danube, Dnieper, Don, Northern Dvina, Pechora, Neva, Rhine, Vistula, and Elbe. The analysis used rolling cross-correlation (CCF) and auto-correlation (ACF) functions calculated with a 50-month moving window to assess temporal changes in hydrological dependence structures. Additionally, an Instability Index was applied to quantify the variability of hydrological memory over time. The results indicate that the strongest correlations occur mainly at lag 0 and ±1, suggesting a relatively short hydrological memory in most basins. The lowest Instability Index was observed in the Volga basin, whereas the highest values were recorded in the Danube and Rhine basins. Full article