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33 pages, 921 KB  
Article
A Parallel STPA–FTA Risk Assessment Framework for Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships: Development and Case Study Application
by Konstantinos Voutzoulidis and Ioannis Tigkas
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(8), 748; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14080748 (registering DOI) - 19 Apr 2026
Abstract
Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) introduce new safety challenges associated with complex cyber–physical systems, distributed control architectures, and remote supervisory operation. Traditional maritime risk assessment approaches primarily focus on component failures and historical accident data and may therefore be insufficient for capturing interaction-driven [...] Read more.
Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) introduce new safety challenges associated with complex cyber–physical systems, distributed control architectures, and remote supervisory operation. Traditional maritime risk assessment approaches primarily focus on component failures and historical accident data and may therefore be insufficient for capturing interaction-driven hazards arising in autonomous vessel systems. This study develops a parallel and architecturally synchronized risk assessment framework integrating System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) and Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) for the safety assessment of MASS. Within the proposed framework, both analyses evolve concurrently within a shared system architecture, enabling explicit traceability between hazards, unsafe control actions, causal scenarios, failure events, and accident propagation pathways. The framework is demonstrated through a case study of a Degree of Autonomy 3 short-sea freight vessel operating in a high-density North Sea traffic environment. The integrated analysis identifies dominant accident pathways related to perception degradation, communication disturbance, authority coordination conflicts, maneuver execution deviations, and incorrect collision-risk assessment. The results illustrate how the framework supports structured safety assessment of MASS while preserving traceability between systemic control deficiencies and accident propagation mechanisms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Autonomous Systems for Complex Maritime Operations)
29 pages, 1569 KB  
Article
A Conceptual Framework for Multi-Stakeholder Partnerships to Advance the Construction and Implementation of Green Shipping Corridors
by Hui Xing and Kai Wang
Sustainability 2026, 18(5), 2623; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18052623 - 7 Mar 2026
Viewed by 422
Abstract
To effectively leverage the role of green shipping corridors (GSCs) in promoting greenhouse gas emissions reduction in international shipping, this paper firstly examined the current status and challenges faced by GSCs with the aim of providing valuable solutions for future development. Then, a [...] Read more.
To effectively leverage the role of green shipping corridors (GSCs) in promoting greenhouse gas emissions reduction in international shipping, this paper firstly examined the current status and challenges faced by GSCs with the aim of providing valuable solutions for future development. Then, a conceptual framework of multi-stakeholder partnerships (MSPs) for the international maritime industry that enables the construction and implementation of GSCs was proposed. Additionally, the inherent correlation mechanism between the “feasibility wall” of GSCs and the core elements as well as key principles in the MSP framework was also explored. The findings indicate that the GSC initiatives at the global, regional and local levels are advancing rapidly, yet very few have been truly implemented and effectively operationalized, with the fundamental cause lying in the lack of effective theoretical guidance and research support; based on the theory, mechanism and framework of MSPs, the existing GSCs are found to still have considerable deficiencies in partnership building, roles and responsibilities, governance structure, funding and resource support, as well as monitoring and accountability. Concept validation through case studies demonstrates that the conceptual framework proposed in this paper can serve as a practical diagnostic tool for GSC initiatives, which can help to identify the specific stage they are failing at and apply targeted principles to fix it. This paper is expected to contribute to a more effective advancement of the development of GSCs, thereby actively facilitating the achievement of net-zero emission targets for international shipping. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Maritime Logistics and Low-Carbon Transportation)
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20 pages, 5587 KB  
Article
Pollution Characteristics and Ecological Risk Assessment of Organochlorine Pesticides and Polychlorinated Biphenyls in the Maoming Coastal Zone, China
by Qiqi Chen, Xuewan Wu, Tongzhi Lu, Lifeng Xu, Yan Li and Zhifeng Wan
Water 2026, 18(2), 263; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020263 - 19 Jan 2026
Viewed by 538
Abstract
Coastal zones, as critical ocean–land–atmosphere ecotones, face significant ecological threats from persistent organic pollutants like organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). However, there are still obvious deficiencies in the understanding of the pollution characteristics and ecological risks of OCPs and PCBs in [...] Read more.
Coastal zones, as critical ocean–land–atmosphere ecotones, face significant ecological threats from persistent organic pollutants like organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). However, there are still obvious deficiencies in the understanding of the pollution characteristics and ecological risks of OCPs and PCBs in the coastal environment of South China, especially in western Guangdong. Due to the absence of prior research on these pollutants in the Maoming area, we measured the grain sizes from 157 sediment samples and the concentrations of PCBs and OCPs from 11 key locations to assess their environmental occurrence and risks. As analyzed by the GC-MS system, OCP levels range from 0.39 to 50.20 ng/g (mean 10.25 ng/g), while PCB concentrations range from 1.6 to 92.59 ng/g. Through the analysis of pollutant data and analysis of similar areas, we found that OCPs and PCBs in the Maoming coastal zone primarily originate from fishing port operations, ship antifouling paints, and historical legacy pollutants. In addition, the distribution of pollution is significantly controlled by hydrodynamic conditions and the semi-enclosed geomorphological characteristics of the bay. As grain size increases, the correlation with pollutant concentrations shifts from positive to negative. This trend reveals that finer-grained sediments in low-energy environments accumulate significantly higher levels of pollution compared to their coarser counterparts in more dynamic settings. Compared to other coastal regions globally, the study area demonstrates relatively lower pollution intensity. Dual assessments using Sediment Quality Guidelines (SQGs) and Sediment Quality Standards (SQSs) indicate a generally low probability of adverse biological effects, with elevated risk localized to sites near port activities. This study provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of OCP and PCB pollution in the Maoming coastal zone and also provides a reference for pollution assessment in similar areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sediment Pollution: Methods, Processes and Remediation Technologies)
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26 pages, 1160 KB  
Article
Identifying the Importance of Key Performance Indicators for Enhanced Maritime Decision-Making to Avoid Navigational Accidents
by Antanas Markauskas and Vytautas Paulauskas
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(1), 105; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14010105 - 5 Jan 2026
Viewed by 854
Abstract
Despite ongoing advances in maritime safety research, ship accidents persist, with significant consequences for human life, marine ecosystems, and port operations. Because many accidents occur in or near ports, assessing a vessel’s ability to enter or depart safely remains critical. Although ports apply [...] Read more.
Despite ongoing advances in maritime safety research, ship accidents persist, with significant consequences for human life, marine ecosystems, and port operations. Because many accidents occur in or near ports, assessing a vessel’s ability to enter or depart safely remains critical. Although ports apply local navigational rules, safety criteria could be strengthened by adopting more adaptive and data-informed approaches. This study presents a mathematical framework that links Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to a Ship Risk Profile (SRP) for collision/contact/grounding risk indication. Expert-based KPI importance weights were derived using the Average Rank Transformation into Weight method in linear (ARTIW-L) and nonlinear (ARTIW-N) forms and aggregated into a nominal SRP. Using routinely monitored KPIs largely drawn from the Baltic and International Maritime Council and Port State Control/flag-related measures, the results indicate that critical equipment and systems failures and human/organisational factors—particularly occupational health and safety and human resource management deficiencies—are the most influential contributors to the normalised accident-risk index. The proposed framework provides port authorities and maritime stakeholders with an interpretable basis for more proactive risk-informed decision-making and targeted safety improvements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Maritime Safety and Risk Assessment)
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27 pages, 5220 KB  
Article
Ship Motion Control Methods in Confined and Curved Waterways Combining Good Seamanship
by Liwen Huang and Jiahao Chen
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1800; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091800 - 17 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1194
Abstract
For the motion control of ships in confined and curved waterways, from broad coastal channels to narrow river bends, conventional methods often struggle to ensure both tracking accuracy and navigational safety. A key deficiency is the inability of standard algorithms to incorporate the [...] Read more.
For the motion control of ships in confined and curved waterways, from broad coastal channels to narrow river bends, conventional methods often struggle to ensure both tracking accuracy and navigational safety. A key deficiency is the inability of standard algorithms to incorporate the nuanced principles of good seamanship. To address this, a novel, hierarchical adaptive control framework is proposed. The core novelty of this framework lies in its versatile and adaptive guidance rules, which embed maritime practice into the control loop for different navigating scenarios. In general maritime channels with wind and current, these rules function to ensure robust, high-fidelity route tracking. For the most challenging inland river curved channels, it is further enhanced to generate a strategic, non-centerline trajectory that replicates the crucial inland navigational practice of “holding high and taking low”. This is complemented by a reinforcement learning-based strategy at the control layer, which performs real-time tuning of PID gains to adapt to the vessel’s dynamics. The framework’s dual capabilities were systematically validated. The core adaptive algorithms proved effective for robust control in curved channels under wind and current disturbances. Furthermore, the full framework, including the seamanship-informed strategy, demonstrated superior performance in the most complex inland river scenarios. Compared to a conventional controller, the proposed method reduced the peak cross-track error by over 40% and increased the minimum safety margin from the bank by more than 49% under a strong 3 m/s cross-current. An effective solution for motion control is thus provided, bridging the gap between modern control theory and the context-dependent expertise of practical pilotage. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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24 pages, 325 KB  
Review
Review of Ship Risk Analyses Through Deficiencies Found in Port State Inspections
by Jose Manuel Prieto, David Almorza, Victor Amor-Esteban and Nieves Endrina
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1688; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091688 - 1 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2696
Abstract
This literature review examines the relationship between the number and type of deficiencies identified during Port State Control (PSC) inspections and a ship’s overall risk. The main objective is to synthesise the current academic evidence, detailing the analytical methodologies employed and highlighting key [...] Read more.
This literature review examines the relationship between the number and type of deficiencies identified during Port State Control (PSC) inspections and a ship’s overall risk. The main objective is to synthesise the current academic evidence, detailing the analytical methodologies employed and highlighting key research contributions. The selection of literature has focused on peer-reviewed articles and relevant doctoral theses addressing detention risk prediction, accident risk and ship risk profiling. The findings indicate a consistent correlation between PSC deficiencies and ship risk, although the nature and strength of this correlation may vary depending on the type of risk considered and the specific deficiencies. A methodological evolution is observed in the field, from descriptive statistical analyses and regressions towards more complex predictive models, such as Machine Learning (ML) and Bayesian Networks (BNs). This transition reflects a search for greater accuracy in risk assessment, going beyond simple numerical correlation to improve the selection of ships for inspection. Multivariate statistical techniques, on the other hand, focus on the identification of risk patterns and the evaluation of the PSC system. The conclusions underline the importance of deficiencies as indicators of risk, the need for differentiated inspection approaches and the persistent challenges related to data quality and model interpretability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
29 pages, 1283 KB  
Review
Progress on Research and Application of Energy and Power Systems for Inland Waterway Vessels: A Case Study of the Yangtze River in China
by Yanqi Liu, Yichao He, Junjie Liang, Yanlin Cao, Zhenming Liu, Chaojie Song and Neng Zhu
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4636; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174636 - 31 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2417
Abstract
This study focuses on the power systems of inland waterway vessels in Chinese Yangtze River, systematically outlining the low-carbon technology pathways for different power system types. A comparative analysis is conducted on the technical feasibility, emission reduction potential, and economic viability of LNG, [...] Read more.
This study focuses on the power systems of inland waterway vessels in Chinese Yangtze River, systematically outlining the low-carbon technology pathways for different power system types. A comparative analysis is conducted on the technical feasibility, emission reduction potential, and economic viability of LNG, methanol, ammonia, pure electric and hybrid power systems, revealing the bottlenecks hindering the large-scale application of each system. Key findings indicate that: (1) LNG and methanol fuels offer significant short-term emission reductions in internal combustion engine power systems, yet face constraints from methane slip and insufficient green methanol production capacity, respectively; (2) ammonia enables zero-carbon operations but requires breakthroughs in combustion stability and synergistic control of NOX; (3) electric vessels show high decarbonization potential, but battery energy density limits their range, while PEMFC lifespan constraints and SOFC thermal management deficiencies impede commercialization; (4) hybrid/range-extended power systems, with superior energy efficiency and lower retrofitting costs, serve as transitional solutions for existing vessels, though challenged by inadequate energy management strategies and multi-equipment communication protocol interoperability. A phased transition pathway is proposed: LNG/methanol engines and hybrid systems dominate during 2025–2030; ammonia-powered systems and solid-state batteries scale during 2030–2035; post-2035 operations achieve zero-carbon shipping via green hydrogen/ammonia. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section K: State-of-the-Art Energy Related Technologies)
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20 pages, 4029 KB  
Article
RIPK2 Inhibition Blocks NOD2-Mediated IL-1β Production by Macrophages In Vitro but Exacerbates Crohn’s Disease-like Ileitis in SHIP–/– Mice
by Yvonne C. F. Pang, Wei Jen Ma, Susan C. Menzies and Laura M. Sly
Immuno 2025, 5(3), 37; https://doi.org/10.3390/immuno5030037 - 29 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2917
Abstract
Crohn’s disease is a chronic, idiopathic inflammatory bowel disease characterized by patchy, transmural inflammation that is influenced by genetic, environmental, and microbial factors. The NOD2 pathway mediates NFκB activation and pro-inflammatory cytokine production. In the SHIP–/– murine model of Crohn’s disease-like ileitis, macrophage-derived [...] Read more.
Crohn’s disease is a chronic, idiopathic inflammatory bowel disease characterized by patchy, transmural inflammation that is influenced by genetic, environmental, and microbial factors. The NOD2 pathway mediates NFκB activation and pro-inflammatory cytokine production. In the SHIP–/– murine model of Crohn’s disease-like ileitis, macrophage-derived IL-1β production drives intestinal inflammation. SHIP reduces NOD2 signaling by preventing downstream interaction between RIPK2 and XIAP, leading us to hypothesize that blocking RIPK2 in SHIP–/– mice would ameliorate intestinal inflammation. We examined the effects of RIPK2 inhibition on pro-inflammatory cytokine production in SHIP+/+ and SHIP–/– macrophages and in mice, using the RIPK2 inhibitor, GSK2983559. We found that GSK2983559 blocked RIPK2 activation in SHIP+/+ and SHIP–/– bone marrow-derived macrophages (BMDMs), and reduced Il1b transcription and IL-1β production in (MDP+LPS)-stimulated SHIP–/– BMDMs. Despite the reduction of IL-1β production in BMDMs, in vivo treatment with GSK2983559 worsened intestinal inflammation and increased IL-1β concentrations in the ileal tissues of SHIP–/– mice. GSK2983559 only modestly reduced IL-1β in (MDP+LPS)-stimulated SHIP–/– peritoneal macrophages, and did not suppress pro-inflammatory cytokine production in response to TLR ligands in peritoneal macrophages from either SHIP+/+ or SHIP–/– mice. Taken together, our data suggest that although RIPK2 inhibition can block IL-1β production by (MDP+LPS)-stimulated macrophages in vitro, it is not an effective anti-inflammatory strategy in vivo, highlighting the limitations of targeting RIPK2 to treat intestinal inflammation in the context of SHIP deficiency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Innate Immunity and Inflammation)
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27 pages, 6057 KB  
Article
Object Detection in Single SAR Images via a Saliency Framework Integrating Bayesian Inference and Adaptive Iteration
by Haixiang Li, Haohao Ren, Yun Zhou, Lin Zou and Xuegang Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 2939; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17172939 - 24 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1252
Abstract
Object detection in single synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery has always been essential for SAR interpretation. Over the years, the saliency-based detection method is considered as a strategy that can overcome some inherent deficiencies in traditional SAR detection and arouses widespread attention. Considering [...] Read more.
Object detection in single synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery has always been essential for SAR interpretation. Over the years, the saliency-based detection method is considered as a strategy that can overcome some inherent deficiencies in traditional SAR detection and arouses widespread attention. Considering that the conventional saliency method usually suffers performance loss in saliency map generation from lacking specific task priors or highlighted non-object regions, this paper is devoted to achieving excellent salient object detection in single SAR imagery via a two-channel framework integrating Bayesian inference and adaptive iteration. Our algorithm firstly utilizes the two processing channels to calculate the object/background prior without specific task information and extract four typical features that can enhance the object presence, respectively. Then, these two channels are fused to generate an initial saliency map by Bayesian inference, in which object areas are assigned with high saliency values. After that, we develop an adaptive iteration mechanism to further modify the saliency map, during which object saliency is progressively enhanced while the background is continuously suppressed. Thus, in the final saliency map, there will be a distinct difference between object components and the background, allowing object detection to be realized easily by global threshold segmentation. Extensive experiments on real SAR images from the Moving and Stationary Target Acquisition and Recognition (MSTAR) dataset and SAR Ship Detection Dataset (SSDD) qualitatively and quantitatively demonstrate that our saliency map is superior to those of four classical benchmark methods, and final detection results of the proposed algorithm present better performance than several comparative methods across both ground and maritime scenarios. Full article
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18 pages, 1065 KB  
Article
A Machine Learning-Based Model for Predicting High Deficiency Risk Ships in Port State Control: A Case Study of the Port of Singapore
by Ming-Cheng Tsou
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1485; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081485 - 31 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1731
Abstract
This study developed a model to predict ships with high deficiency risk under Port State Control (PSC) through machine learning techniques, particularly the Random Forest algorithm. The study utilized actual ship inspection data from the Port of Singapore, comprehensively considering various operational and [...] Read more.
This study developed a model to predict ships with high deficiency risk under Port State Control (PSC) through machine learning techniques, particularly the Random Forest algorithm. The study utilized actual ship inspection data from the Port of Singapore, comprehensively considering various operational and safety indicators of ships, including but not limited to flag state, ship age, past deficiencies, and detention history. By analyzing these factors in depth, this research enhances the efficiency and accuracy of PSC inspections, provides decision support for port authorities, and offers strategic guidance for shipping companies to comply with international safety standards. During the research process, I first conducted detailed data preprocessing, including data cleaning and feature selection, to ensure the effectiveness of model training. Using the Random Forest algorithm, I identified key factors influencing the detention risk of ships and established a risk prediction model accordingly. The model validation results indicated that factors such as ship age, tonnage, company performance, and flag state significantly affect whether a ship exhibits a high deficiency rate. In addition, this study explored the potential and limitations of applying the Random Forest model in predicting high deficiency risk under PSC, and proposed future research directions, including further model optimization and the development of real-time prediction systems. By achieving these goals, I hope to provide valuable experience for other global shipping hubs, promote higher international maritime safety standards, and contribute to the sustainable development of the global shipping industry. This research not only highlights the importance of machine learning in the maritime domain but also demonstrates the potential of data-driven decision-making in improving ship safety management and port inspection efficiency. It is hoped that this study will inspire more maritime practitioners and researchers to explore advanced data analytics techniques to address the increasingly complex challenges of global shipping. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Digital Technologies in Supply Chain Risk Management)
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22 pages, 6397 KB  
Article
Identification of Risk Patterns by Type of Ship Through Correspondence Analysis of Port State Control: A Differentiated Approach to Inspection to Enhance Maritime Safety and Pollution Prevention
by Jose Manuel Prieto, David Almorza, Víctor Amor-Esteban, Juan J. Muñoz-Perez and Bismarck Jigena-Antelo
Oceans 2025, 6(1), 15; https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans6010015 - 6 Mar 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2812
Abstract
This study analyzes the results of Port State Control (PSC) inspections carried out under the Paris Memorandum of Understanding between 2018 and 2022. Through a correspondence analysis, the most frequent deficiencies were identified according to the type of ship being inspected. The study [...] Read more.
This study analyzes the results of Port State Control (PSC) inspections carried out under the Paris Memorandum of Understanding between 2018 and 2022. Through a correspondence analysis, the most frequent deficiencies were identified according to the type of ship being inspected. The study sample included 186,255 inspections obtained from the THETIS platform. The results revealed significant heterogeneity in deficiency profiles across ship types, highlighting specific patterns associated with each category. Container ships, oil tankers and bulk carriers, for instance, exhibited distinctive deficiency profiles. The study emphasizes the necessity for a tailored approach to PSC inspections, with the objective of optimizing resources through the utilization of risk zone indicators for the inspector. The identification of specific risk indicators would not only facilitate the work of inspectors but also enable the earlier detection of potential problems and more effective intervention. The study provides a solid foundation for future research and decision-making on PSC inspections, with the aim of enhancing maritime safety and pollution prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers of Oceans 2024)
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33 pages, 2411 KB  
Review
Advances in the Application of Intelligent Algorithms to the Optimization and Control of Hydrodynamic Noise: Improve Energy Efficiency and System Optimization
by Maosen Xu, Bokai Fan, Renyong Lin, Rong Lin, Xian Wu, Shuihua Zheng, Yunqing Gu and Jiegang Mou
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 2084; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15042084 - 17 Feb 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1558
Abstract
Hydrodynamic noise is induced by hydrodynamic phenomena, such as pressure fluctuations, shear layers, and eddy currents, which have a significant impact on ship performance, pumping equipment efficiency, detection accuracy, and the living environment of marine organisms. Specifically, hydrodynamic noise increases fluid resistance around [...] Read more.
Hydrodynamic noise is induced by hydrodynamic phenomena, such as pressure fluctuations, shear layers, and eddy currents, which have a significant impact on ship performance, pumping equipment efficiency, detection accuracy, and the living environment of marine organisms. Specifically, hydrodynamic noise increases fluid resistance around the hull, reduces speed and fuel efficiency, and affects the stealthiness of military vessels; whereas, in pumping equipment, noise generation is usually accompanied by energy loss and mechanical vibration, resulting in reduced efficiency and accelerated wear and tear of the equipment. Traditional physical experiments, theoretical modeling, and numerical simulation methods occupy a key position in hydrodynamic noise research, but each have their own limitations: physical experiments are limited by experimental conditions, which make it difficult to comprehensively reproduce the characteristics of the complex flow field; theoretical modeling appears to be simplified and idealized to cope with the multiscale noise mechanism; and numerical simulation methods, although accurate, are deficient in the sense that they are computationally expensive and difficult to adapt to complex boundary conditions. In recent years, intelligent algorithms represented by data-driven algorithms and heuristic algorithms have gradually emerged, showing great potential for development in hydrodynamic noise optimization applications. To this end, this paper systematically reviews progress in the application of intelligent algorithms in hydrodynamic noise research, focusing on their advantages in the optimal design of noise sources, noise prediction, and control strategy optimization. Meanwhile, this paper analyzes the problems of data scarcity, computational efficiency, and model interpretability faced in the current research, and looks forward to the possible improvements brought by hybrid methods, including physical information neural networks, in future research directions. It is hoped that this review can provide useful references for theoretical research and practical engineering applications involving hydrodynamic noise, and point the way toward further exploration in related fields. Full article
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14 pages, 8958 KB  
Article
Improved Detection of Great Lakes Water Quality Anomalies Using Remote Sensing
by Karl R. Bosse, Robert A. Shuchman, Michael J. Sayers, John Lekki and Roger Tokars
Water 2024, 16(24), 3602; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16243602 - 14 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1945
Abstract
Due to their immense economic and recreational value, the monitoring of Great Lakes water quality is of utmost importance to the region. Historically, this has taken place through a combination of ship-based sampling, buoy measurements, and physical models. However, these approaches have spatial [...] Read more.
Due to their immense economic and recreational value, the monitoring of Great Lakes water quality is of utmost importance to the region. Historically, this has taken place through a combination of ship-based sampling, buoy measurements, and physical models. However, these approaches have spatial and temporal deficiencies which can be improved upon through satellite remote sensing. This study details a new approach for using long time series of satellite remote sensing data to identify historical and near real-time anomalies across a range of data products. Anomalies are traditionally detected as deviations from historical climatologies, typically assuming that there are no long-term trends in the historical data. However, if present, such trends could result in misclassifying ordinary events as anomalous or missing actual anomalies. The new anomaly detection method explicitly accounts for long-term trends and seasonal variability by first decomposing a 10-plus year data record of satellite remote sensing-derived Great Lakes water quality parameters into seasonal, trend, and remainder components. Anomalies were identified as differences between the observed water quality parameter from the model-derived expected value. Normalizing the anomalies to the mean and standard deviation of the full model remainders, the relative anomaly product can be used to compare deviations across parameters and regions. This approach can also be used to forecast the model into the future, allowing for the identification of anomalies in near real time. Multiple case studies are detailed, including examples of a harmful algal bloom in Lake Erie, a sediment plume in Saginaw Bay (Lake Huron), and a phytoplankton bloom in Lake Superior. This new approach would be best suited for use in a water quality dashboard, allowing users (e.g., water quality managers, the research community, and the public) to observe historical and near real-time anomalies. Full article
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19 pages, 1846 KB  
Article
Long-Term or Short-Term? Prediction of Ship Detention Duration Based on Machine Learning
by Qingyue Deng and Zheng Wan
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2024, 12(12), 2220; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse12122220 - 4 Dec 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2202
Abstract
The prevalence of ship deficiencies continues to be a significant issue. Data from the Tokyo Memorandum of Understanding reveals that ship detentions in 2023 surged by more than 80% compared with the previous year. The significant number of detained ships not only disrupts [...] Read more.
The prevalence of ship deficiencies continues to be a significant issue. Data from the Tokyo Memorandum of Understanding reveals that ship detentions in 2023 surged by more than 80% compared with the previous year. The significant number of detained ships not only disrupts ships’ daily operations but also strains port resources, leading to increased additional costs. In light of this issue, predicting the duration of ship detention becomes crucial, as accurate predictions can assist port managers in resource allocation and provide shipping companies with critical information for operational planning. This study is the first to predict ship detention duration, specifically distinguishing between long-term and short-term detained ships. Initially, key deficiency types influencing the ship detention duration were identified using an improved entropy weight–grey relational analysis. Subsequently, in consideration of the imbalance in data distribution between long-term and short-term detentions, a random forest model capable of handling imbalanced data was applied to classify these two types. The study found that fire safety, propulsion and auxiliary machinery, and pollution prevention are the three most critical deficiency types impacting detention duration; and the random forest model sampled and processed from the data level possessed the best model performance, achieving prediction accuracies of 0.71, 0.72, and 0.85 for bulk carriers, containers, and oil tankers, respectively. This research offers a comprehensive analysis of ship detention duration, making a significant contribution to both the theoretical understanding and practical applications in the maritime industry. Accurately predicting ship detention duration provides valuable insights for stakeholders, enabling them to anticipate potential detention scenarios and thus supporting shipping companies in effective fleet management while assisting port authorities in the optimal allocation of berth resources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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25 pages, 4557 KB  
Article
Spatio-Temporal Transformer Networks for Inland Ship Trajectory Prediction with Practical Deficient Automatic Identification System Data
by Youan Xiao, Xin Luo, Tengfei Wang and Zijian Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(22), 10494; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142210494 - 14 Nov 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2379
Abstract
Inland waterways, characterized by their complex, narrow paths, see significantly higher traffic volumes compared to maritime routes, increasing the regulatory demands on traffic management. Predictive modeling of ship traffic flows, utilizing real AIS historical data, enhances route and docking planning for ships and [...] Read more.
Inland waterways, characterized by their complex, narrow paths, see significantly higher traffic volumes compared to maritime routes, increasing the regulatory demands on traffic management. Predictive modeling of ship traffic flows, utilizing real AIS historical data, enhances route and docking planning for ships and port managers. This approach boosts transportation efficiency and safety in inland waterway navigation. Nevertheless, AIS data are flawed, marred by noise, disjointed paths, anomalies, and inconsistent timing between points. This study introduces a data processing technique to refine AIS data, encompassing segmentation, outlier elimination, missing point interpolation, and uniform interval resampling, aiming to enhance trajectory analysis reliability. Utilizing this refined data processing approach on ship trajectory data yields independent, complete motion profiles with uniform timing. Leveraging the Transformer model, denoted TRFM, this research integrates processed AIS data from the Yangtze River to create a predictive dataset, validating the efficacy of our prediction methodology. A comparative analysis with advanced models such as LSTM and its variants demonstrates TRFM’s superior accuracy, showcasing lower errors in multiple metrics. TRFM’s alignment with actual trajectories underscores its potential for enhancing navigational planning. This validation not only underscores the method’s precision in forecasting ship movements but also its utility in risk management and decision-making, contributing significantly to the advancement in maritime traffic safety and efficiency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Efficient and Innovative Goods Transportation and Logistics)
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