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Keywords = deteriorating inventory model

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16 pages, 683 KB  
Article
Risk Factors of Mental Health in University Students: A Predictive Model Based on Personality Traits, Coping Styles, and Sociodemographic Variables
by Josefa A. Antón-Ruiz, Elisa Isabel Sánchez-Romero, Elena Cuevas-Caravaca, Miguel Bernabé and Ana I. López-Navas
Medicina 2025, 61(9), 1575; https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina61091575 - 31 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1065
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Data on mental health in university students have been increasingly concerning, with high prevalence rates of clinical conditions such as anxiety, stress, and depression. This study aims to evaluate the risk factors associated with mental health status and to [...] Read more.
Background and Objectives: Data on mental health in university students have been increasingly concerning, with high prevalence rates of clinical conditions such as anxiety, stress, and depression. This study aims to evaluate the risk factors associated with mental health status and to develop a predictive model. Materials and Methods: A total of 242 university students were recruited (74.8% women). Participants’ ages ranged from 18 to 56 years (M = 25.81; SD = 7.59). Data collection were conducted through the Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scale (DASS-21), the Big Five Inventory-10 (BFI-10), and the Coping Orientation to Problems Experienced Inventory (COPE-28). Results: Overall, mean scores across the three clinical dimensions are within the moderate range, but anxiety shows the highest mean value (M = 8.67, SD = 5.69) and is categorized as “extremely severe.” Additionally, identifying as female, living with family or roommates, and having high scores on passive coping styles were significant risk factors for mental health deterioration. In contrast, identifying as male, living with a romantic partner (cohabitation), and having high scores on the Responsibility personality trait were identified as protective factors against mental health impairment. Conclusions: Additional research is warranted to explore additional mediating variables and to develop specific intervention protocols for improving university students’ psychological well-being. Full article
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24 pages, 1996 KB  
Article
Optimal Pricing Strategies and Inventory Management for Fresh Food Products in Sustainable Cold Chain: Analytical Modeling with Korean Market Validation
by Sunghee Lee and Jinsoo Park
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7680; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177680 - 26 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1432
Abstract
With rising consumer concerns regarding food safety, cold chain management—which preserves product freshness through low-temperature distribution—has emerged as a critical competitive factor for retailers. This study examines how retail firms can manage quality deterioration over time to maximize profits, with a focus on [...] Read more.
With rising consumer concerns regarding food safety, cold chain management—which preserves product freshness through low-temperature distribution—has emerged as a critical competitive factor for retailers. This study examines how retail firms can manage quality deterioration over time to maximize profits, with a focus on pricing strategies and discard rates. Through game-theoretic modeling and empirical data analysis of milk products, we find that while individual items exhibit no consistent pattern, bundled fresh food items demonstrate an inverted U-shaped relationship between discount rates and profits, indicating an optimal discount level. Furthermore, we identify a U-shaped relationship between order quantity and disposal rate, highlighting the importance of determining optimal inventory levels to minimize waste and maximize efficiency for a sustainable competitiveness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Food, Supply Chains, and Sustainable Development—Second Edition)
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18 pages, 1227 KB  
Article
Approximated Optimal Solution for Economic Manufacturing Quantity Model
by Jinyuan Liu, Pengfei Jiang, Shr-Shiung Hu and Gino K. Yang
Mathematics 2025, 13(12), 2011; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13122011 - 18 Jun 2025
Viewed by 374
Abstract
This study investigates the use of the bisection algorithm in inventory models to obtain an approximated optimal solution for the economic manufacturing quantity (EMQ) problem under imperfect production conditions. The objectives are threefold. First, we utilize refined estimations of exponential functions to provide [...] Read more.
This study investigates the use of the bisection algorithm in inventory models to obtain an approximated optimal solution for the economic manufacturing quantity (EMQ) problem under imperfect production conditions. The objectives are threefold. First, we utilize refined estimations of exponential functions to provide tighter lower and upper bounds for the bisection algorithm. Second, we propose three analytical improvements that simplify the solution process, each supported by rigorous proofs. Third, we incorporate recent results from the literature to further enhance the accuracy of exponential function approximations within the EMQ model. Our improved bounding approach significantly reduces the search interval needed by the bisection method and yields an approximate solution that attains a total cost very close to the true optimum. In a numerical example, the proposed method shrinks the initial search range by over 99% compared to prior methods and achieves a production run length that produces a near-minimal average total cost. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the enhanced bounds and provide practical insights for inventory models with imperfect processes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Improved Mathematical Methods in Decision Making Models)
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6 pages, 185 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Analysis of Severity of Losses and Wastes in Taiwan’s Agri-Food Supply Chain Using Best–Worst Method and Multi-Criteria Decision-Making
by Wen-Hua Yang, Yi-Chang Chen and Ya-Jhu Yang
Eng. Proc. 2025, 98(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025098008 - 9 Jun 2025
Viewed by 835
Abstract
Food loss and waste are critical challenges in Taiwan’s agri-food supply chain, deteriorating security and resource efficiency. By employing the best–worst method (BWM), a multi-criteria decision-making model was developed in this study to evaluate the severity of losses and wastes. Combining literature review [...] Read more.
Food loss and waste are critical challenges in Taiwan’s agri-food supply chain, deteriorating security and resource efficiency. By employing the best–worst method (BWM), a multi-criteria decision-making model was developed in this study to evaluate the severity of losses and wastes. Combining literature review results with expert survey analysis results, key loss points, and mitigation strategies were identified to enhance sustainability and efficiency in Taiwan’s agricultural food system. Among the seven stages of the agricultural food supply chain, supermarket waste (16.95%) was identified as the severest, followed by government policies (16.63%), restaurant waste (15.35%), processing loss (14.71%), production site loss (13.64%), household waste (11.93%), and logistics/storage/distribution loss (10.79%). In the subcategories of each supply chain stage, the eight severe issues were identified as “Inadequate planning and control of overall production and marketing policies” under government policies, “Adverse climate conditions” and “Imbalance in production and marketing” under production site loss, “Inaccurate market demand forecasting” and “Poor inventory management at supermarkets” under supermarket waste, and “Improper storage management of ingredients leading to spoilage” as well as “Inability to accurately forecast demand due to menu diversity” under restaurant waste. The least severe issues included “Poor production techniques” under production site loss. Other minor issues included “Inefficient use of ingredients due to poor cooking skills”, “Festive culture and traditional customs”, and “Suboptimal food labeling design”, all of which contributed to household waste. Based on these findings, we proposed recommendations to mitigate food loss and waste in Taiwan’s agricultural food supply chain from practical, policy, and academic perspectives. The results of this study serve as a reference for relevant organizations and stakeholders. Full article
37 pages, 6457 KB  
Article
A Two-Echelon Supply Chain Inventory Model for Perishable Products with a Shifting Production Rate, Stock-Dependent Demand Rate, and Imperfect Quality Raw Material
by Kapya Tshinangi, Olufemi Adetunji and Sarma Yadavalli
AppliedMath 2025, 5(2), 50; https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath5020050 - 30 Apr 2025
Viewed by 2026
Abstract
This model extends the classical economic production quantity (EPQ) model to address the complexities within a two-echelon supply chain system. The model integrates the cost of raw materials necessary for production and takes into account the presence of imperfect quality items within the [...] Read more.
This model extends the classical economic production quantity (EPQ) model to address the complexities within a two-echelon supply chain system. The model integrates the cost of raw materials necessary for production and takes into account the presence of imperfect quality items within the acquired raw materials. Upon receipt of the raw material, a thorough screening process is conducted to identify imperfect quality items. Combining imperfect raw material and the concept of shifting production rate, two different inventory models for deteriorating products are formulated under imperfect production with demand dependent on the stock level. In the first model, the imperfect raw materials are sold at a discounted price at the end of the screening period, whereas in the second one, imperfect items are kept in stock until the end of the inventory cycle and then returned to the supplier. Numerical analysis reveals that selling imperfect raw materials yields a favourable financial outcome, with an optimal inventory level I1 = 11,774 units, optimal cycle time T=2140 h, and a total profit per hour of USD 183, while keeping the imperfect raw materials to return them to the supplier results in a negative profit of USD 4.44×103 per hour, indicating an unfavourable financial outcome with the optimal inventory level I1 and optimal cycle time T of 26,349 units and 4702.6 h, respectively. The findings show the importance of selling imperfect raw materials rather than returning them and provide valuable insights for inventory management in systems with deteriorating products and imperfect production processes. Sensitivity analysis further demonstrates the robustness of the model. This study contributes to satisfying the need for inventory models that consider both the procurement of imperfect raw materials, stock-dependent demand, and deteriorating products, along with shifts in production rates in a multi-echelon supply chain. Full article
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23 pages, 670 KB  
Article
A Retail Inventory Model with Promotional Efforts, Preservation Technology Considering Green Technology Investment
by Sunita Yadav, Sarla Pareek, Mitali Sarkar, Jin-Hee Ma and Young-Hyo Ahn
Mathematics 2025, 13(7), 1065; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13071065 - 25 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1316
Abstract
Retailing strategy can be considered as the most critical factor for the success of industries. Managing deteriorating products in retail demands a strategic approach aimed at mitigating losses while maximizing profitability. This entails a proactive stance towards identifying products nearing expiration, becoming obsolete [...] Read more.
Retailing strategy can be considered as the most critical factor for the success of industries. Managing deteriorating products in retail demands a strategic approach aimed at mitigating losses while maximizing profitability. This entails a proactive stance towards identifying products nearing expiration, becoming obsolete or showing signs of deterioration. Offering discounts or promotions can stimulate consumer interest and clear out inventory. The promotion of products within the context of retail management involves a multifaceted approach aimed at increasing awareness, generating interest, and ultimately driving sales. Sustainability helps retailers to develop social as well as economic consistency. Every country and their respective governments are currently working towards sustainable development. New technologies in this direction have been introduced. The present paper introduces a retailing model considering green technology as it is becoming popular to lower environmental risks. The items considered in this study are perishable in nature. As product prices and the promotion of products highly influence demand, a demand pattern dependent on price and promotion is therefore considered. This paper presents a sustainable retail-based inventory model that considers preservation technology to lower the rate of deterioration and increase product shelf life. As carbon emissions is currently the biggest threat to the environment, enforcing a penalty may lower its emissions. Carbon emissions costs due to storage, transportation, and preservation are considered herein. This model studies the effect of various cost parameters on the model. A numerical analysis is performed to validate the result. The results of this study show that the implementation of preservation technology not only increases cycle time but also significantly reduces total cost, hence increasing profit. Sensitivity analysis is performed to show the behaviors of different cost parameters on total cost and decision variables. Mathematica 11 and Maple 18 software are used for graphical representation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section E5: Financial Mathematics)
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27 pages, 4201 KB  
Article
Optimizing Inventory for Imperfect and Gradually Deteriorating Items Under Multi-Level Trade Credit in a Sustainable Supply Chain
by Abhay Bansal, Aastha Panwar, Bhuvan Unhelkar and Mandeep Mittal
Mathematics 2025, 13(5), 752; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13050752 - 25 Feb 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1169
Abstract
Reducing carbon emissions is of immense interest to most modern organizations striving for sustainability. Effective inventory management is crucial for achieving resource optimization and minimizing environmental impact. Very little work has been conducted up to this point on slowly declining, low-quality products with [...] Read more.
Reducing carbon emissions is of immense interest to most modern organizations striving for sustainability. Effective inventory management is crucial for achieving resource optimization and minimizing environmental impact. Very little work has been conducted up to this point on slowly declining, low-quality products with multi-level trade credit rules under the influence of carbon emissions. In this study, an inventory model is tailored specifically for imperfect and gradually deteriorating products with a multi-level trade credit policy. Further, the impact of carbon emissions on the retailer’s ordering strategies is also considered. To determine the optimal policy for supply chain partners, three trade credit instances with seven subcases are taken into consideration. To choose the best scenario out of ten cases, an algorithm is also developed. The model’s validity is illustrated through a numerical experiment and sensitivity analysis. This study is an innovative approach to balancing economic trade credit policy in sustainable supply chain management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Theoretical and Applied Mathematics in Supply Chain Management)
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36 pages, 1647 KB  
Article
Inventory Model for Instantaneously Deteriorating Items with Multiple Trade Facilities, Stock- and Price-Dependent Demand, and Full Backlogging
by Rabeya Sarker, Md. Sharif Uddin, Md Abu Helal, Aminur Rahman Khan, Ali AlArjani and El-Awady Attia
Computation 2024, 12(12), 244; https://doi.org/10.3390/computation12120244 - 12 Dec 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2034
Abstract
This paper formulates six inventory models for products with instantaneous deterioration, focusing on the impacts of full and partial advance payment structures. The demand function depends on both price and stock levels and accounts for shortages through full backlogging. The primary objective is [...] Read more.
This paper formulates six inventory models for products with instantaneous deterioration, focusing on the impacts of full and partial advance payment structures. The demand function depends on both price and stock levels and accounts for shortages through full backlogging. The primary objective is to determine the optimal payment policy under varying trade facilities, analyzing six distinct payment scenarios commonly employed in business practice. Each model is presented with closed-form solutions and supported by mathematical formulations. For each case, algorithms and mathematical proofs are developed to determine the optimal cycle duration and corresponding unit cost. Numerical examples and 2D graphical representations generated using MATLAB are included to validate the proposed models. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to examine the effects of each payment policy and parameter variation, providing key managerial insights into payment planning in inventory management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computational Social Science)
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28 pages, 8553 KB  
Article
Recurrent Neural Network for Quantitative Time Series Predictions of Bridge Condition Ratings
by Adeyemi D. Sowemimo, Mi G. Chorzepa and Bjorn Birgisson
Infrastructures 2024, 9(12), 221; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures9120221 - 6 Dec 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2392
Abstract
Traditional forecasting models for bridge conditions, such as ARIMA and Markov chains, often fail to adequately capture nonlinear and dynamic relationships among critical variables like age, traffic patterns, and environmental factors, leading to suboptimal maintenance decisions, increased long-term maintenance costs, and heightened safety [...] Read more.
Traditional forecasting models for bridge conditions, such as ARIMA and Markov chains, often fail to adequately capture nonlinear and dynamic relationships among critical variables like age, traffic patterns, and environmental factors, leading to suboptimal maintenance decisions, increased long-term maintenance costs, and heightened safety risks. This study addresses these limitations by developing recurrent neural network (RNN) models utilizing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures with a TimeDistributed output layer. This novel approach enables accurate forecasting of the Bridge Health Index (BHI) and condition ratings for key components—deck, superstructure, and substructure—while effectively modeling temporal dependencies. Applied to bridge data from Georgia, USA, the regression models (BHI) achieved R2 values exceeding 0.84, while the classification models (components condition ratings) demonstrated accuracy between 84.78% and 87.54%. By modeling complex temporal trends in bridge deterioration, our method processes time-dependent data from multiple bridges simultaneously, revealing intricate relationships that influence bridge performance within a state’s inventory. These results provide actionable insights for maintenance planning, optimized resource allocation, and reduced risks of unexpected failures. This research establishes a robust framework for bridge performance prediction, ensuring improved infrastructure safety and resilience amid aging assets and constrained maintenance budgets. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bridge Modeling, Monitoring, Management and Beyond)
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16 pages, 3558 KB  
Article
Quantitative Evaluation of Reinforced Concrete Slab Bridges Using a Novel Health Index and LSTM-Based Deterioration Models
by Chi-Ho Jeon, Tae Ho Kwon, Jaehwan Kim, Kyu-San Jung and Ki-Tae Park
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(22), 10530; https://doi.org/10.3390/app142210530 - 15 Nov 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1508
Abstract
The Health Index (HI) serves as an essential tool for assessing the structural and functional condition of bridges, calculated based on the condition of structural components and the serviceability of the bridge. Its primary purpose is to identify the most deteriorated structures in [...] Read more.
The Health Index (HI) serves as an essential tool for assessing the structural and functional condition of bridges, calculated based on the condition of structural components and the serviceability of the bridge. Its primary purpose is to identify the most deteriorated structures in an asset inventory and prioritize those in most urgent need of repair. However, a frequently cited issue is the lack of accurate and objective data, with the determination of the HI often being heavily reliant on expert opinions and engineering judgment. Furthermore, the HI systems used in most countries are dependent on the current state of bridge components, making it challenging to use as a proactive indicator for factors such as the rate of bridge aging. To address this issue, this study introduces a novel HI as a quantitative evaluation metric for reinforced concrete slab bridges and details the process of deriving the HI based on deterioration models. The deterioration models are derived by preprocessing the deterioration data of reinforced concrete (RC) slab bridges, wherein the relationship between time and deterioration is directly employed for training a long short-term memory model. The HI was validated through a case study involving six RC slab bridges, wherein accuracies of >93% were achieved, confirming that the proposed quantitative evaluation methodology can significantly contribute to maintenance decisions for bridges. Full article
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25 pages, 3631 KB  
Article
Optimal Replenishment Strategy for a High-Tech Product Demand with Non-Instantaneous Deterioration under an Advance-Cash-Credit Payment Scheme by a Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis
by Hui-Ling Yang, Chun-Tao Chang and Yao-Ting Tseng
Mathematics 2024, 12(19), 3160; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12193160 - 9 Oct 2024
Viewed by 1344
Abstract
This study investigated non-instantaneous deteriorating items because not all products deteriorate immediately. In the high-tech product life cycle, the product demand increases linearly substantially in the growth stage and maintains a near-constant level in the maturity stage. This is a ramp-type demand rate. [...] Read more.
This study investigated non-instantaneous deteriorating items because not all products deteriorate immediately. In the high-tech product life cycle, the product demand increases linearly substantially in the growth stage and maintains a near-constant level in the maturity stage. This is a ramp-type demand rate. To satisfy the demand as shortages occur, partial backlogging is necessary. The advance-cash-credit payment scheme, comprising advance, cash, and credit payments, has gained popularity in business transactions to improve cash flow flexibility among supply chain participants. This study explored a partial backlogging inventory model with ramp-type demand for non-instantaneous deteriorating items under generalized payment. The proposed model also incorporated discounted cash flow analysis to account for the time value of the profit function. This study attempted to determine the optimal replenishment strategy to maximize the present value of the total profit. Finally, we conducted a sensitivity analysis to examine the efficacy of the proposed model and gain managerial insights. The optimal total profit rises with an increase in the permissible delay period and sale price but decreases with an increase in ordering and purchase costs. Then, the decision-maker can refer to the managerial insights to choose the appropriate parameter value for the operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Models for Supply Chain Management)
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28 pages, 7879 KB  
Article
Research on Pricing and Dynamic Replenishment Planning Strategies for Perishable Vegetables Based on the RF-GWO Model
by Yongjun Pu, Zhonglin Huang, Junjie Wang and Qianrong Zhang
Symmetry 2024, 16(9), 1245; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym16091245 - 22 Sep 2024
Viewed by 3511
Abstract
This paper addresses the challenges of automated pricing and replenishment strategies for perishable products with time-varying deterioration rates, aiming to assist wholesalers and retailers in optimizing their production, transportation, and sales processes to meet market demand while minimizing inventory backlog and losses. The [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the challenges of automated pricing and replenishment strategies for perishable products with time-varying deterioration rates, aiming to assist wholesalers and retailers in optimizing their production, transportation, and sales processes to meet market demand while minimizing inventory backlog and losses. The study utilizes an improved convolutional neural network–long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) hybrid model, autoregressive moving average (ARIMA) model, and random forest–grey wolf optimization (RF-GWO) algorithm. Using fresh vegetables as an example, the cost relationship is analyzed through linear regression, sales volume is predicted using the LSTM recurrent neural network, and pricing is forecasted with a time series analysis. The RF-GWO algorithm is then employed to solve the profit maximization problem, identifying the optimal replenishment quantity, type, and most effective pricing strategy, which involves dynamically adjusting prices based on predicted sales and market conditions. The experimental results indicate a 5.4% reduction in inventory losses and a 6.15% increase in sales profits, confirming the model’s effectiveness. The proposed mathematical model offers a novel approach to automated pricing and replenishment in managing perishable goods, providing valuable insights for dynamic inventory control and profit optimization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computer)
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41 pages, 448 KB  
Article
Sustainable Inventory Managements for Non-Instantaneous Deteriorating Items: Preservation Technology and Green Technology Approaches with Advanced Purchase Discounts and Joint Emission Regulations
by Shun-Po Chiu, Jui-Jung Liao, Sung-Lien Kang, Hari Mohan Srivastava and Shy-Der Lin
Sustainability 2024, 16(16), 6805; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16166805 - 8 Aug 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1567
Abstract
The present article aims to determine the green economic policies of an inventory model for non-instantaneous deteriorating items under practical scenarios. These scenarios involve specific maximum lifetimes for items with deteriorations controllable through investments in preservation technologies, which can affect the period without [...] Read more.
The present article aims to determine the green economic policies of an inventory model for non-instantaneous deteriorating items under practical scenarios. These scenarios involve specific maximum lifetimes for items with deteriorations controllable through investments in preservation technologies, which can affect the period without deterioration. Additionally, carbon is emitted due to energy-related costs, prompting retailers to invest in green technology investments to reduce carbon emissions concurrently under the carbon tax policy and the carbon cap-and-trade policy simultaneously. Meanwhile, when a retailer is required to make a prepayment, the purchase discount policy is contingent on the number of installments offered. This means that the retailer prepays off the entire purchasing cost with a single installment, thereby receiving a maximum percentage of price discount. Otherwise, the retailer prepays a certain fraction of the purchasing cost with multiple installments, and the percentage of the price discount will be contingent on the number of n identical installments. In this context, we present theoretical results for optimal solutions, and a salient algorithm is presented, which is derived from these theoretical findings within a sustainable inventory system. To better illustrate the proposed mathematical problems, several numerical examples are presented, followed by sensitivity analysis for different scenarios. Full article
20 pages, 2334 KB  
Article
Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Strategies for Fashion Products Using Stochastic Fashion Level Function
by Wenhan Lu and Litan Yan
Axioms 2024, 13(7), 453; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms13070453 - 4 Jul 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4052
Abstract
The fashion apparel industry is facing an increasingly growing demand, compounded by the short sales lifecycle and strong seasonality of clothing, posing significant challenges to inventory management in the retail sector. Despite some retailers like Uniqlo and Zara implementing inventory management and dynamic [...] Read more.
The fashion apparel industry is facing an increasingly growing demand, compounded by the short sales lifecycle and strong seasonality of clothing, posing significant challenges to inventory management in the retail sector. Despite some retailers like Uniqlo and Zara implementing inventory management and dynamic pricing strategies, challenges persist due to the dynamic nature of fashion trends and the stochastic factors affecting inventory. To address these issues, we construct a mathematical model based on the mathematical expression of the deterministic fashion level function, where the geometric Brownian motion, widely applied in finance, is initially utilized in the stochastic fashion level function. Drawing on research findings from deteriorating inventory management and stochastic optimization, we investigate the fluctuation of inventory levels, optimal dynamic pricing, optimal production rates, and profits—four crucial indicators—via Pontryagin’s maximum principle. Analytical solutions are derived, and the numerical simulation is provided to verify and compare the proposed model with deterministic fashion level function models. The model emphasizes the importance of considering stochastic factors in decision-making processes and provides insights to enhance profitability, inventory management, and sustainable consumption in the fashion product industry. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Mathematical Modeling, Analysis and Optimization)
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21 pages, 8775 KB  
Article
Analysis of Meteorological Drivers of Taihu Lake Algal Blooms over the Past Two Decades and Development of a VOCs Emission Inventory for Algal Bloom
by Zihang Liao, Shun Lv, Chenwu Zhang, Yong Zha, Suyang Wang and Min Shao
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(10), 1680; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16101680 - 9 May 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2724
Abstract
Cyanobacterial blooms represent a common environmental issue in aquatic systems, and these blooms bring forth numerous hazards, with the generation of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) being one of them. Global climate change has led to alterations in various climatic factors affecting algal growth, [...] Read more.
Cyanobacterial blooms represent a common environmental issue in aquatic systems, and these blooms bring forth numerous hazards, with the generation of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) being one of them. Global climate change has led to alterations in various climatic factors affecting algal growth, indirectly impacting the quantity of VOCs released by algae. With advancements in remote sensing technology, exploration of the spatiotemporal distributions of algae in large water bodies has become feasible. This study focuses on Taihu Lake, characterized by frequent occurrences of cyanobacterial blooms. Utilizing MODIS satellite imagery from 2001 to 2020, we analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of cyanobacterial blooms in Taihu Lake and its subregions. Employing the LightGBM machine learning model and the (SHapley Additive exPlanations) SHAP values, we quantitatively analyzed the major meteorological drivers influencing cyanobacterial blooms in each region. VOC-related source spectra and emission intensities from cyanobacteria in Taihu Lake are collected based on the literature review and are used to compile the first inventory of VOC emissions from blue-green algae blooms in Taihu Lake. The results indicate that since the 21st century, the situation of cyanobacterial blooms in Taihu Lake has continued to deteriorate with increasing variability. The relative impact of meteorological factors varies across different regions, but temperature consistently shows the highest sensitivity in all areas. The VOCs released from the algal blooms increase with the proliferation of the blooms, posing a continuous threat to the atmospheric environment of the surrounding cities. This study aims to provide a scientific basis for further improvement of air quality in urban areas adjacent to large lakes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Satellite-Based Climate Change and Sustainability Studies)
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