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Keywords = dynamic inflow conditions

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26 pages, 2594 KB  
Article
An Integrated Framework for Balancing Workload and Capacity in Project-Based Organizations Using System Dynamics
by Ahmed Okasha Elnady, Mohammad Masfiqul Alam Bhuiyan and Ahmed Hammad
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3569; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073569 - 6 Apr 2026
Viewed by 118
Abstract
Project-based organizations (PBOs) face persistent challenges in managing workload fluctuations that influence performance, competitiveness, and resource sustainability. Although previous research has explored bidding strategies and project inflows and outflows, few studies have systematically modeled workload-capacity dynamics or assessed policy responses to manage them [...] Read more.
Project-based organizations (PBOs) face persistent challenges in managing workload fluctuations that influence performance, competitiveness, and resource sustainability. Although previous research has explored bidding strategies and project inflows and outflows, few studies have systematically modeled workload-capacity dynamics or assessed policy responses to manage them effectively. To address this gap, this study develops a system dynamics (SD) model that integrates both pre-award and post-award project phases with internal and external organizational processes. Data for model development were drawn from the literature, industry reports, and expert interviews, resulting in the identification of 28 variables organized into subsystems covering demand, capacity planning, work execution, competitiveness, and financial performance. The model was validated through dimensional and structural tests, expert review, and further examined using social network analysis (SNA) and sensitivity analysis. The SNA results identified workload, production rate, and organizational capacity as the most influential variables. Sensitivity analysis conducted through Monte Carlo experiments, employing screening, regression, and ANOVA (analysis of variance) methods, revealed that capacity adjustment flexibility, minimum capacity, and demand level are critical factors influencing organizational stability. The validated model was then applied to evaluate policy alternatives under two distinct market conditions. Findings indicate that in lowest-price environments, a competitive, market-share-oriented policy enhances utilization and responsiveness, whereas in average-price markets, a stable capacity policy yields more sustainable outcomes. These results demonstrate how project-based organizations can strategically adjust bidding and capacity policies to stabilize workload dynamics and improve long-term operational resilience under different market conditions. The study contributes theoretically by extending the application of SD modeling to workload-capacity management in PBOs and contributes practically by offering a decision-support tool that helps managers assess capacity strategies, reduce risks, and align organizational policies with long-term sustainability objectives. Full article
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29 pages, 1582 KB  
Review
A Review of Research Progress on Intelligent Cyclone–Filtration-Integrated Equipment for High-Suspended-Solids Mine Water Treatment
by Shengbing Xiao and Lixin Li
Separations 2026, 13(4), 107; https://doi.org/10.3390/separations13040107 - 30 Mar 2026
Viewed by 367
Abstract
Mine water treatment remains a long-term challenge due to high suspended solids, wide particle size distributions, and inflow variability, all of which stress solid–liquid separation systems. Hydrocyclones and filtration often fail not from insufficient capacity, but from the inability to handle dynamic influent [...] Read more.
Mine water treatment remains a long-term challenge due to high suspended solids, wide particle size distributions, and inflow variability, all of which stress solid–liquid separation systems. Hydrocyclones and filtration often fail not from insufficient capacity, but from the inability to handle dynamic influent behavior. This review integrates existing studies and reinterprets mine water treatment as a system performance issue, focusing on maintaining operability under fluctuating conditions. Evidence shows that high-solids mine water behaves as a concentrated multiphase flow, where particle interactions and flow changes lead to gradual shifts in separation behavior. For example, hydrocyclone efficiency ranges from 85 to 95%, and pressure drop increases by 0.5–5 kPa/h under continuous operation. Wear, clogging, and flow redistribution develop together, impacting the operational window of integrated treatment units. Key gaps remain in system performance under fluctuating loads and reliable performance under high-solids loading. The complexity of these interactions often leads to significant operational risk and performance variability in real-world conditions. Future research should focus on dynamic control strategies, multi-stage pre-separation, and advanced filtration designs to enhance system performance, long-term stability, and adaptability in real mining environments. Emerging technologies and new system configurations may further improve efficiency and reduce operational failure risks under extreme conditions. Full article
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51 pages, 4860 KB  
Article
Wing–Wake Interaction Dynamics for Gust Rejection in Dragonfly-Inspired Tandem-Wing MAVs
by Sebastian Valencia, Jaime Enrique Orduy, Dylan Hidalgo, Javier Martinez and Laura Perdomo
Drones 2026, 10(4), 231; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones10040231 - 25 Mar 2026
Viewed by 464
Abstract
Dragonflies exhibit remarkable flight stability in unsteady environments, largely due to aerodynamic interaction between their forewings and hindwings. This study investigates gust response in dragonfly-inspired micro-aerial vehicles (MAVs) from a system dynamics perspective, with emphasis on the aerodynamic role of tandem-wing interaction rather [...] Read more.
Dragonflies exhibit remarkable flight stability in unsteady environments, largely due to aerodynamic interaction between their forewings and hindwings. This study investigates gust response in dragonfly-inspired micro-aerial vehicles (MAVs) from a system dynamics perspective, with emphasis on the aerodynamic role of tandem-wing interaction rather than control compensation. A six-degree-of-freedom (6DOF) rigid-body framework is developed and coupled with a quasi-steady aerodynamic model that includes explicit phase-dependent interaction between forewing and hindwing forces. Gusts are introduced as time-varying inflow perturbations, allowing physically consistent analysis of how disturbances propagate through aerodynamic loading into vehicle motion. Simulations are performed for representative flight conditions, including gliding, hovering, and gust-perturbed ascent. The results show bounded trajectory, velocity, and attitude responses under sustained gust excitation, even with conservative baseline control. Force and energy analyses indicate that wing–wake interaction redistributes aerodynamic loads in time and reduces peak force and moment fluctuations before they reach the rigid-body dynamics. This behavior is interpreted as passive aerodynamic filtering of gust disturbances inherent to the tandem-wing configuration. Comparative simulations using backstepping control and Active Disturbance Rejection Control (ADRC) further show that the dominant gust attenuation arises from aerodynamic configuration rather than from control action. Although the aerodynamic model is quasi-steady, the framework reproduces key trends reported in biological and CFD-based studies and provides a numerical foundation for future wind-tunnel and free-flight experiments on configuration-level gust attenuation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Drone Design and Development)
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22 pages, 76620 KB  
Article
CFD–DEM Modeling of Stress–Damage–Seepage Coupling Mechanisms and Support Strategies in Subsea Tunnel Excavation
by Xin Chen, Yang Li, Hong Chen, Yu Fei, Qiang Yue, Yufeng Li, Guangwei Xiong and Guangming Yu
Eng 2026, 7(4), 144; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng7040144 - 24 Mar 2026
Viewed by 216
Abstract
The stability of subsea tunnels is governed by the strong coupling among stress redistribution, damage evolution, and seepage flow (Stress–Damage–Seepage, SDS). The dynamic interplay, especially under high water pressure, often leads to catastrophic failures, yet its mechanisms, particularly the role of support timing, [...] Read more.
The stability of subsea tunnels is governed by the strong coupling among stress redistribution, damage evolution, and seepage flow (Stress–Damage–Seepage, SDS). The dynamic interplay, especially under high water pressure, often leads to catastrophic failures, yet its mechanisms, particularly the role of support timing, remain insufficiently understood due to limitations in conventional numerical methods. This study aims to unravel the SDS coupling mechanisms during tunnel excavation under high hydraulic head, and to quantitatively investigate how support timing influences the stability of the surrounding rock within this coupled system. A coupled Computational Fluid Dynamics and Discrete Element Method (CFD-DEM) framework was employed. In this approach, excavation-induced damage, crack propagation, and fluid–particle interactions are explicitly resolved at the particle scale, whereas the macroscopic permeability evolution is captured through an imposed empirical exponential relationship. Simulations were conducted under both steady-state and transient seepage conditions with varying stress ratios and water heads. High-head transient seepage intensifies SDS coupling, dynamically redistributing seepage forces to damage zone edges and amplifying damage. Support timing critically mediates this interaction: premature support risks tensile failure at the tunnel periphery, while delayed support allows a vicious cycle of shear failure and increased inflow. Optimal “timely” support, applied after initial deformation, diverts high seepage forces inward, minimizing final damage. The spatiotemporal synchronization of transient seepage forces with damage evolution is pivotal for stability. Support timing acts as a key control variable. The CFD-DEM framework effectively elucidates these micro-mechanisms, providing a scientific basis for the dynamic design of support in high-pressure subsea tunnels. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Chemical, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
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23 pages, 6913 KB  
Article
A Novel Self-Adaptive Marine Current Turbine with a Magnetically Driven Speed-Increasing Seal
by Futian Geng, Xiao Zhang, Yanhui Wang, Yinghao Dang, Zongyang He, Guanzheng Xu, Da Che, Siyu Zhang, Baigong Wu and Wanqiang Zhu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(6), 585; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14060585 - 22 Mar 2026
Viewed by 269
Abstract
This study presents a novel self-adaptive marine current power generation system capable of operating efficiently across a wide range of flow velocities. The key innovations include an adaptive variable-solidity rotor and a non-contact magnetic speed-increasing dynamic seal. The rotor employs foldable blades that [...] Read more.
This study presents a novel self-adaptive marine current power generation system capable of operating efficiently across a wide range of flow velocities. The key innovations include an adaptive variable-solidity rotor and a non-contact magnetic speed-increasing dynamic seal. The rotor employs foldable blades that enable passive solidity regulation in response to varying inflow conditions. At low flow velocities, the blades remain deployed, increasing rotor solidity and reducing the required startup flow velocity. Water tank experiments indicate that the minimum startup velocity of the variable-solidity rotor is 0.217 m/s, which represents a 38% reduction compared to a conventional rotor. At high flow velocities, the blades fold under increased hydrodynamic loading, thereby reducing the effective solidity and suppressing torque growth to provide overload protection. The power transmission module incorporates a non-contact magnetic speed-increasing dynamic seal, which ensures underwater dynamic sealing of the main shaft while simultaneously increasing the rotational speed of the driven shaft. Motor-driven bench tests demonstrate that when the active shaft speed remains below the cut-off threshold, a stable speed-increasing ratio of 2:1 is maintained, enabling effective speed amplification and torque transmission. Once the active shaft speed exceeds the cut-off threshold, the driven shaft automatically stalls, thereby preventing motor overload. Overall, this work provides an effective solution for enhancing the operational adaptability and transmission reliability of marine current energy conversion systems under variable flow conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Energy)
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23 pages, 28834 KB  
Article
Patient-Specific Computational Hemodynamic Modeling of the Right Pulmonary Artery Using CardioMEMS Data: Validation, Simplification, and Sensitivity Analysis
by Angélica Casero, Laura G. Sánchez, Felicia Alfano, Pedro Navas, Juan F. Oteo, Carlos Arellano-Serrano and Manuel Gómez-Bueno
Fluids 2026, 11(3), 83; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids11030083 - 19 Mar 2026
Viewed by 468
Abstract
This study investigates the application of computational hemodynamic modeling, involving both FSI and CFD models, using SimVascular to simulate blood flow in the right pulmonary artery for patient-specific cardiovascular assessment. The artery’s three-dimensional geometry was reconstructed from a computed tomography (CT) image, and [...] Read more.
This study investigates the application of computational hemodynamic modeling, involving both FSI and CFD models, using SimVascular to simulate blood flow in the right pulmonary artery for patient-specific cardiovascular assessment. The artery’s three-dimensional geometry was reconstructed from a computed tomography (CT) image, and pressure measurements from a CardioMEMS™ device were used as clinical ground truth for validation. To represent the arterial hemodynamics, we initially formulated a fluid–structure interaction (FSI) approach to capture wall mechanics. However, given the high computational cost of fully patient-specific FSI simulations for routine clinical decision-making, we evaluated the validity of key simplifications by assuming rigid vessel walls coupled with a three-element Windkessel (3WK) model and applying a half-sine inflow waveform derived from the patient’s cardiac output. These simplifications yielded results with minimal error: the rigid-wall assumption introduced a 1.1% deviation, while the idealized waveform resulted in a 0.56 mmHg offset. Crucially, while wall rigidity was acceptable, we found that arterial compliance in the boundary conditions is non-negotiable; reducing the model to a pure resistance approach resulted in non-physiological pressures (130 mmHg). A subsequent parametric analysis examined how varying resistance (R) and compliance (C) distinctively alter the pressure waveform morphology. The results underscore the potential of combining remote monitoring data with validated computational simulations to deepen the understanding of cardiovascular dynamics and enhance diagnostic and therapeutic approaches for cardiovascular diseases. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Hemodynamics and Related Biological Flows, 2nd Edition)
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26 pages, 12104 KB  
Article
A Dataset Establishment Method for Wind Turbine Wake and a Data-Driven Model of Wake Prediction
by Qinghong Tang, Yuxin Wu, Changhua Li, Peiyao Duan, Jiahao Wu and Junfu Lyu
Energies 2026, 19(5), 1385; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19051385 - 9 Mar 2026
Viewed by 397
Abstract
A cross-construction method is proposed to establish a wind turbine wake dataset with significantly reduced computational fluid dynamics (CFD) costs. This method involves adjusting one operating parameter, such as the tip speed ratio (TSR), while maintaining the others at their optimal values. This [...] Read more.
A cross-construction method is proposed to establish a wind turbine wake dataset with significantly reduced computational fluid dynamics (CFD) costs. This method involves adjusting one operating parameter, such as the tip speed ratio (TSR), while maintaining the others at their optimal values. This procedure is repeated across another parameter (inflow velocity) to generate a sparse but informative dataset. CFD simulations were performed using large eddy simulation (LES) coupled with an actuator line model (ALM) to generate data. A pre-training and fine-tuning network based on error classification (PFNEC) was developed, achieving high prediction accuracy with coefficients of determination of 0.9750 and 0.9851 for two validation conditions. Two models based on a softmax function and a residual block were designed, and they achieved the best performance, with coefficients of determination of 0.9921 and 0.9891 under different conditions. The Fourier embedding was applied to enhance input features of neural networks. Four samples added to the original dataset improved the prediction accuracy for extreme operating conditions, from coefficient of determination values of 0.7143 and 0.7034 to 0.9939 and 0.9886 with Fourier embedding. This cross-construction method can significantly reduce the cost of dataset establishment. The models exhibited reliable generalization and prediction accuracy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A3: Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy)
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23 pages, 4171 KB  
Article
Research on Wake Characteristics of Dynamic Yawing Offshore Wind Turbine by Proper Orthogonal Decomposition
by Oussama Sabbar, Bowen Zhang, Jie Ge and Longyan Wang
Oceans 2026, 7(2), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans7020025 - 9 Mar 2026
Viewed by 435
Abstract
The wake that forms behind a yawing wind turbine is a complex flow region that can affect the performance of downstream turbines in offshore wind farms. It contains various flow features, including velocity deficit, shear layers, and vortex structures, which evolve in both [...] Read more.
The wake that forms behind a yawing wind turbine is a complex flow region that can affect the performance of downstream turbines in offshore wind farms. It contains various flow features, including velocity deficit, shear layers, and vortex structures, which evolve in both time and space. Understanding this behavior is important for the design and operation of large-scale offshore wind farms. In this work, large-eddy simulations combined with proper orthogonal decomposition are used to study the wake development behind the National Renewable Energy Laboratory five-megawatt offshore wind turbine under both aligned and yawed inflow conditions. The results indicate that yawing the rotor leads to a lateral shift in the wake and increased asymmetry, with a stronger shear layer forming on one side. This asymmetry promotes enhanced mixing between the wake and the surrounding flow, contributing to a faster downstream recovery of the velocity field. The proper orthogonal decomposition analysis shows that the most energetic modes are associated with large-scale wake deflection and meandering, while higher-order modes correspond to smaller and less stable flow structures within the shear layer. The temporal evolution of these modes illustrates how the wake responds to the yaw maneuver and gradually reaches a new quasi-steady state. Overall, the study provides insight into the influence of yaw on wind turbine wake dynamics and demonstrates the applicability of combining large-eddy simulation with proper orthogonal decomposition for wake analysis in offshore wind farm studies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Renewable Energy and Related Environmental Science)
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22 pages, 8365 KB  
Article
Numerical Simulation of Karst Groundwater Systems Under Construction of Xiushan Tunnel in Pingyanggai Syncline, Chongqing, China
by Xingyu Zhu, Qiang Xia, Mo Xu, Yinghe Wang, Yixiong Huang, Yayi Li and Boru Ding
Hydrology 2026, 13(3), 81; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13030081 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 259
Abstract
Tunnel construction in karst aquifers can substantially alter groundwater flow systems. In this study, a three-dimensional groundwater flow model based on MODFLOW-CFP was developed to simulate the Pingyanggai synclinal karst system in Chongqing, China, incorporating dynamic tunnel excavation and lining processes. Under natural [...] Read more.
Tunnel construction in karst aquifers can substantially alter groundwater flow systems. In this study, a three-dimensional groundwater flow model based on MODFLOW-CFP was developed to simulate the Pingyanggai synclinal karst system in Chongqing, China, incorporating dynamic tunnel excavation and lining processes. Under natural conditions, groundwater recharge is approximately 4.8 × 104 m3/d and is primarily balanced by discharge to the Yanmenkou and Miaolongtang underground rivers. Tunnel excavation introduced a new drainage outlet, generating an inflow of about 5.6 × 104 m3/d. The two underground rivers exhibited contrasting responses to excavation. Discharge from the Yanmenkou underground river decreased by approximately 6 × 103 m3/d (about 30%), indicating strong hydraulic connectivity with the tunnel, whereas the Miaolongtang underground river showed only minor changes. The simulated responses were qualitatively consistent with field observations during key excavation stages. These results demonstrate that tunnel excavation modifies not only the overall groundwater balance but also the internal redistribution of discharge pathways within the karst system, providing a quantitative basis for evaluating tunnel-induced hydrogeological impacts in complex karst environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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21 pages, 4820 KB  
Article
Determination of Suitable Ecological Intervals for Arid Terminal Lakes via Multi-Source Remote Sensing: A “Morphometry–Security–Efficiency” Framework Applied to Ebinur Lake
by Jing Liu, Aihua Long, Mingjiang Deng, Qiang An, Ji Zhang, Qing Luo and Rui Sun
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(5), 771; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18050771 - 3 Mar 2026
Viewed by 375
Abstract
Terminal lakes in arid regions face severe degradation due to the dual pressures of climate change and anthropogenic water consumption. Traditional single-threshold methods for defining ecological water requirements often fail to balance ecosystem stability with water scarcity. To address this, this study constructs [...] Read more.
Terminal lakes in arid regions face severe degradation due to the dual pressures of climate change and anthropogenic water consumption. Traditional single-threshold methods for defining ecological water requirements often fail to balance ecosystem stability with water scarcity. To address this, this study constructs a comprehensive framework coupling “Morphometric Stability–Ecological Security Reliability–Resource Use Efficiency” to delineate the suitable ecological interval for Ebinur Lake, the largest saltwater lake in Xinjiang. Using multi-source remote sensing data (Landsat, Sentinel, ICESat, CryoSat), we reconstruct the long-term hydrological dynamics from 2001 to 2023. Results indicate a significant shrinking trend in the lake area, driven primarily by reduced inflow. We jointly consider the lake morphometric breakpoint, the ecological security baseline, and the lower bound of ecosystem service water use efficiency (ESWUE) to determine a minimum suitable ecological area of 500 km2; the regulation upper limit is set at 740 km2 based on the marginal peak of ESWUE. However, monitoring data reveal that the lake falls below the minimum 500 km2 baseline in approximately 40% of months, highlighting a severe ecological deficit risk. Furthermore, ESWUE analysis shows a peak in April (10 CNY/m3), suggesting that, under current climate conditions, a “Spring Surplus and Autumn Deficit” regulation strategy—advancing the replenishment window to the spring windy season—can maximize dust suppression benefits at a lower evaporative cost. This study provides a theoretical basis and methodological paradigm that will contribute to the sustainable management of shrinking terminal lakes globally. Full article
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20 pages, 5191 KB  
Article
A Novel Approach to Mitigate Blade-to-Blade Interactions in Vertical-Axis Wind Turbines Suitable for Urban Areas
by Ion Mălăel
Computation 2026, 14(3), 60; https://doi.org/10.3390/computation14030060 - 2 Mar 2026
Viewed by 427
Abstract
With the growth of urban zones and the increasing need for energy, the use of renewable energy solutions in the built environment becomes a must. Due to their small size and the ability to capture wind from any direction, vertical-axis wind turbines are [...] Read more.
With the growth of urban zones and the increasing need for energy, the use of renewable energy solutions in the built environment becomes a must. Due to their small size and the ability to capture wind from any direction, vertical-axis wind turbines are an alternative to conventional wind energy generators. However, the use of these turbines in the built environment faces difficulties due to performance inefficiencies, particularly because of the intricate aerodynamic characteristics of the blades. This work investigates a method for increasing the efficiency of VAWTs by addressing blade-to-blade interactions using Computational Fluid Dynamics simulations. The research aims to improve turbine design for urban locations, which motivates the application context of the study. The present numerical model employs a uniform inflow to isolate blade–blade interaction mechanisms under controlled conditions. The paper presents a design that minimizes aerodynamic losses, decreases turbulence-induced drag, and increases overall energy capture efficiency by modeling different blade configurations and their interactions. The performance of four asymmetric configurations of blade chord and radius was numerically studied and compared to a symmetric configuration. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Computational Methods for Fluid Flow)
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23 pages, 2436 KB  
Article
Study on the Influence of the Aerodynamic Performance of Electric Field Manipulator: Experimental and Modelling Research
by Aleksandras Chlebnikovas, Stanislovas Zdanevičius, Johannes Hieronymus Gutheil and Way Lee Cheng
Machines 2026, 14(3), 269; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14030269 - 28 Feb 2026
Viewed by 214
Abstract
Particulate matter (PM) emissions are common in technological processes, and effective mitigation requires gas pre-treatment before high-efficiency filtration to reduce fine and ultrafine PM that are particularly dangerous to the human health. This study evaluates a multichannel electric field manipulator (agglomerator) as a [...] Read more.
Particulate matter (PM) emissions are common in technological processes, and effective mitigation requires gas pre-treatment before high-efficiency filtration to reduce fine and ultrafine PM that are particularly dangerous to the human health. This study evaluates a multichannel electric field manipulator (agglomerator) as a flow pre-treatment stage and investigates the aerodynamic conditions that govern particle–gas flow distribution and variation in trajectories and dynamics at different flow rates. These factors provide meaningful assumptions about the possible behavior of particles in the flow, and they are critical for optimizing an agglomeration and its intensity. Such phenomena can have an impact on the probability of agglomeration in the manipulator channels, i.e., the adherence of small particles into larger ones, and this allows for improving the design and operating conditions of the apparatus. Gas flow velocities and pressure were analyzed experimentally at various cross-sectional points in the inlet and outlet ducts at inflow rates of 3.4 L/s and 50 L/s. The static inlet pressure of the manipulator ranged from 8 Pa to 178 Pa. This study provides new insights into flow pre-treatment using the electric field mechanism in a multichannel modular apparatus and provides a reasonable understanding of the necessary characteristics of gas flow distribution to support subsequent improvements targeting higher agglomeration. Full article
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18 pages, 3611 KB  
Article
Dynamic Evaluation of Aquifer Water Abundance Under Non-Stationary Conditions Based on TVP-CKF
by Situ Lv, Longqiang Zhang and Haonan Zhao
Water 2026, 18(5), 580; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18050580 - 28 Feb 2026
Viewed by 207
Abstract
Accurate prediction of aquifer water abundance is critical for coal mine safety, yet traditional static models often fail to capture the spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity of hydrogeological conditions. This study proposes a dynamic evaluation methodology integrating Grey Relational Analysis, the Analytic Hierarchy Process, [...] Read more.
Accurate prediction of aquifer water abundance is critical for coal mine safety, yet traditional static models often fail to capture the spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity of hydrogeological conditions. This study proposes a dynamic evaluation methodology integrating Grey Relational Analysis, the Analytic Hierarchy Process, and a Time-Varying Parameter Cubature Kalman Filter (TVP-CKF). By reconceptualizing spatial borehole data as a dynamic time-series process, the model recursively updates the contribution weights of six controlling factors based on monitoring data from 2012 to 2020. Analysis reveals a structural shift in the groundwater system: the influence of hydrochemical factors (TDS) has diminished, while hydraulic conductivity has become the dominant control over time. The TVP-CKF model significantly outperformed static regression and recursive least squares baselines, demonstrating superior convergence stability and precisely capturing transient inflow fluctuations. Furthermore, its uncertainty quantification effectively bounded extreme low-flow events within 95% confidence intervals. This approach validates the necessity of adaptive modeling in evolving geological environments, providing a robust, risk-quantified tool for precise water inrush prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrogeology)
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30 pages, 13847 KB  
Article
Watershed Dynamics in the Prespa Lakes: An Integrated Assessment of Stream Inflow Effects
by Vassiliki Markogianni, Ioanna Zotou, Evangelia Smeti, Anastasia Lampou, Ioannis Matiatos, Ioannis Karaouzas and Elias Dimitriou
Water 2026, 18(4), 518; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18040518 - 22 Feb 2026
Viewed by 480
Abstract
The Prespa Lakes system, shared between Greece, the Republic of North Macedonia, and Albania, forms a significant transboundary, large-scale integrated freshwater ecosystem subject to multiple anthropogenic and natural pressures. This study focuses on the Greek part of the Prespa Lakes system with particular [...] Read more.
The Prespa Lakes system, shared between Greece, the Republic of North Macedonia, and Albania, forms a significant transboundary, large-scale integrated freshwater ecosystem subject to multiple anthropogenic and natural pressures. This study focuses on the Greek part of the Prespa Lakes system with particular emphasis on the identification of the ecological and hydrological impacts of the contributing stream inflows on the lakes by examining the spatial variability in physicochemical and biological conditions and conducting water balance and isotopic analyses. Based on our results, streams draining into Lesser Prespa Lake exhibited more pronounced hydrological and physicochemical fluctuations than the Agios Germanos River connected to Great Prespa Lake, while ecological status classifications of all studied streams ranged from high to moderate. Furthermore, moderate ecological status conditions (mainly observed at the downstream stations) were closely associated with adjacent anthropogenic pressures, including agricultural drainage, livestock activities, irrigated croplands, and wastewater discharges. In addition, although both lakes were classified as mesotrophic, field data indicated greater transparency loss in Lesser Prespa than in Great Prespa Lake. Regarding the stream influences on Lesser Prespa Lake’s water quality, nutrient loads induced changes in lake concentrations by roughly one month. Total nitrogen showed moderate stream–lake correlations (R = 0.61) and a strong negative correlation for total phosphorus (R = −0.94), suggesting substantial nutrient retention and processes within the lake. Water balance analysis revealed an annual water deficit for both Lesser and Great Prespa, with the latter exhibiting a markedly stronger and systematic long-term decline in water level. In the Lesser Prespa, seasonal fluctuations in water volume were primarily driven by excess rainfall, while stream inflows contributed minimally. Conversely, correlation analysis for Great Prespa identified surface inflow from the Ag. Germanos catchment as the dominant driver of water storage variability, surpassing direct rainfall, with strong correlations in both wet (R = 0.79) and dry (R = 0.88) periods. Isotopic compositions (δ18O, δ2H) did not differ significantly between the two lakes, indicating common recharge sources and strong evaporative imprints, while stream isotopic signatures highlighted spatial and seasonal variability in hydrological inputs. Seasonal and spatial variations were proved to be strongly influenced by both natural hydrological dynamics and anthropogenic pressures within the basin, while these findings reinforce the importance and the necessity of adopting holistic, cross-border management strategies that maintain the ecological integrity and the long-term sustainability of the Prespa Lakes ecosystem. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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20 pages, 808 KB  
Perspective
Advances and Challenges in Analytical Wake Modelling for Offshore Wind Farm Layout Optimization
by Haixiao Liu, Zhichang Liang, Yunxuan Zhao and Xinru Guo
Energies 2026, 19(4), 982; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19040982 - 13 Feb 2026
Viewed by 372
Abstract
Wakes generated by upstream turbines in an offshore wind farm severely reduce the efficiency and power output of downstream turbines. Wind farm layout optimization offers a way to alleviate these negative impacts, where the main challenge lies in accurate and efficient evaluation across [...] Read more.
Wakes generated by upstream turbines in an offshore wind farm severely reduce the efficiency and power output of downstream turbines. Wind farm layout optimization offers a way to alleviate these negative impacts, where the main challenge lies in accurate and efficient evaluation across a vast number of potential configurations. Analytical wake models are crucial tools for this optimization, owing to their superb ability to efficiently predict wake distributions. This paper evaluates and discusses recent advances and persistent challenges in analytical wake modelling for layout optimization of wind farms. While the Jensen model remains efficient for discrete searches, the models capturing radial velocity gradients have become a preferred choice for high-fidelity optimization designs. Advanced models show the transition to full wakes to cover near-wake characteristics and complex inflow conditions. Motion corrections and physically based superposition methods improve the performance evaluation of floating offshore wind farms. Multi-objective optimization frameworks balance energy production and fatigue life by the integration of turbulence modelling. However, the increasing scale of modern wind turbines, the dynamic complexity of floating offshore wind farms, the clustering, and the model validation of large-scale wind farms present significant challenges to the applicability of these models. This paper highlights these emerging limitations in optimization problems, clarifying that addressing the gaps in these specific areas is essential for the development of high-fidelity optimizations and the design of future large-scale offshore wind turbine clusters. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A3: Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy)
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