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40 pages, 8701 KiB  
Article
Enhanced and Interpretable Prediction of Multiple Cancer Types Using a Stacking Ensemble Approach with SHAP Analysis
by Shahid Mohammad Ganie, Pijush Kanti Dutta Pramanik and Zhongming Zhao
Bioengineering 2025, 12(5), 472; https://doi.org/10.3390/bioengineering12050472 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 142
Abstract
Background: Cancer is a leading cause of death worldwide, and its early detection is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop and evaluate ensemble learning models, specifically stacking, for the accurate prediction of lung, breast, and cervical cancers using [...] Read more.
Background: Cancer is a leading cause of death worldwide, and its early detection is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop and evaluate ensemble learning models, specifically stacking, for the accurate prediction of lung, breast, and cervical cancers using lifestyle and clinical data. Methods: 12 base learners were trained on datasets for lung, breast, and cervical cancer. Stacking ensemble models were then developed using these base learners. The models were evaluated for accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, AUC-ROC, MCC, and kappa. An explainable AI technique, SHAP, was used to interpret model predictions. Results: The stacking ensemble model outperformed individual base learners across all three cancer types. On average, for three cancer datasets, it achieved 99.28% accuracy, 99.55% precision, 97.56% recall, and 98.49% F1-score. A similar high performance was observed in terms of AUC, Kappa, and MCC. The SHAP analysis revealed the most influential features for each cancer type, e.g., fatigue and alcohol consumption for lung cancer, worst concave points, mean concave points, and worst perimeter for breast cancer and Schiller test for cervical cancer. Conclusions: The stacking-based multi-cancer prediction model demonstrated superior accuracy and interpretability compared with traditional models. Combining diverse base learners with explainable AI offers predictive power and transparency in clinical applications. Key demographic and clinical features driving cancer risk were also identified. Further research should validate the model on more diverse populations and cancer types. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biosignal Processing)
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20 pages, 4643 KiB  
Article
SOH Estimation Model Based on an Ensemble Hierarchical Extreme Learning Machine
by Yu He, Norasage Pattanadech, Kasian Sukemoke, Lin Chen and Lulu Li
Electronics 2025, 14(9), 1832; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14091832 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 119
Abstract
This paper addresses the challenges of accurately estimating the state of health (SOH) of retired batteries, where factors such as limited historical data, non-linear degradation, and unstable parameters complicate the process. We propose a novel SOH estimation model based on an Integrated Hierarchical [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the challenges of accurately estimating the state of health (SOH) of retired batteries, where factors such as limited historical data, non-linear degradation, and unstable parameters complicate the process. We propose a novel SOH estimation model based on an Integrated Hierarchical Extreme Learning Machine (I-HELM). The model minimizes reliance on historical data and reduces computational complexity by introducing health indicators derived from constant charging time and charging current area. The hierarchical structure of the Extreme Learning Machine (HELM) effectively captures the non-linear relationship between health indicators and battery capacity, improving estimation accuracy and learning efficiency. Additionally, integrating multiple HELM models enhances the stability and robustness of the results, making the approach more reliable across varying operational conditions. The proposed model is validated on experimental datasets collected from two Samsung battery packs, four Samsung single cells, and two Panasonic retired batteries under both constant-current and dynamic conditions. Experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of the model: the maximum error for Samsung battery cells and packs does not exceed 2.2% and 2.6%, respectively, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) below 1%. For Panasonic retired batteries, the maximum error remains under 3%. Full article
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26 pages, 7623 KiB  
Article
An Ensemble Classification Method Based on a Stacking Strategy for Ship Type Classification with AIS Data
by Lei Deng, Shichen Yang, Limin Jia and Danyang Geng
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(5), 886; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13050886 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 94
Abstract
Ship type (e.g., Cargo, Tanker and Fishing) classification is crucial for marine management, environmental protection, and maritime safety, as it enhances navigation safety and aids regulatory agencies in combating illegal activities. Traditional ship type classification methods with AIS data are often plagued by [...] Read more.
Ship type (e.g., Cargo, Tanker and Fishing) classification is crucial for marine management, environmental protection, and maritime safety, as it enhances navigation safety and aids regulatory agencies in combating illegal activities. Traditional ship type classification methods with AIS data are often plagued by problems such as data imbalance, insufficient feature extraction, reliance on single-model approaches, or unscientific model combination methods, which reduce the accuracy of classification. In this paper, we propose an ensemble classification method based on a stacking strategy to overcome these challenges. We apply the SMOTE technique to balance the dataset by generating minority class samples. Then, a more comprehensive ship behavior model is developed by combining static and dynamic features. A stacking strategy is adopted for the classification, integrating multiple tree structure-based classifiers to improve classification performance. The experimental results show that the ensemble classification method based on the stacking strategy outperforms traditional classifiers such as CatBoost, Random Forest, Decision Tree, LightGBM, and the ensemble classification method, especially in terms of improving classification precision, recall, F1 score, ROC curve, and AUC. This method improves the accuracy of ship type recognition, and it is suitable to real-time online classification, which is helpful for applications in marine safety monitoring, law enforcement, and illegal fishing detection. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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30 pages, 705 KiB  
Article
Strong, Weak and Merging Lines in Atomic Spectra
by Jean-Christophe Pain
Plasma 2025, 8(2), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/plasma8020017 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 262
Abstract
We present analytical estimates for the maximum line strength in a transition array, as well as for the numbers of strong and weak lines. For that purpose, two main assumptions are used as concerns the line strength distribution. The first one, due to [...] Read more.
We present analytical estimates for the maximum line strength in a transition array, as well as for the numbers of strong and weak lines. For that purpose, two main assumptions are used as concerns the line strength distribution. The first one, due to Porter and Thomas, is more suitable for JJ sets, where J is the total atomic angular momentum, and the second one, based on a decreasing-exponential modeling of the line-amplitude distribution, is more relevant for an entire transition array. We also review the different approximations of overlapping and blanketing (band model), insisting on the computation and properties of the Elsasser function. We compare different approximations of the Ladenburg–Reiche function giving the equivalent width of an ensemble of lines in a frequency bin and discuss the possibility of using statistical indicators, such as the Chernoff bound or the Gini coefficient (initially introduced in economics for the measurement of income inequality), in the statistical characterization of transition arrays. Full article
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29 pages, 2665 KiB  
Review
Data-Driven Learning Models for Internet of Things Security: Emerging Trends, Applications, Challenges and Future Directions
by Oyeniyi Akeem Alimi
Technologies 2025, 13(5), 176; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies13050176 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 390
Abstract
The prospect of integrating every object under a unified infrastructure, which provides humans with the possibility to monitor, access, and control objects and systems, has played a significant role in the geometric growth of the Internet of Things (IoT) paradigm, across various applications. [...] Read more.
The prospect of integrating every object under a unified infrastructure, which provides humans with the possibility to monitor, access, and control objects and systems, has played a significant role in the geometric growth of the Internet of Things (IoT) paradigm, across various applications. However, despite the numerous possibilities that the IoT paradigm offers, security and privacy within and between the different interconnected devices and systems are integral to the long-term growth of IoT networks. Various sophisticated intrusions and attack variants have continued to plague the sustainability of IoT technologies and networks. Thus, effective methodologies for the prompt identification, detection, and mitigation of these menaces are priorities for stakeholders. Recently, data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models have been considered effective in numerous applications. Hence, in recent literature studies, various single and ensemble AI subset models, such as deep learning and reinforcement learning models, have been proposed, resulting in effective decision-making for the secured operation of IoT networks. Considering the growth trends, this study presents a critical review of recently published articles whereby learning models were proposed for IoT security analysis. The aim is to highlight emerging IoT security issues, current conventional strategies, methodology procedures, achievements, and also, importantly, the limitations and research gaps identified in those specific IoT security analysis studies. By doing so, this study provides a research-based resource for scholars researching IoT and general industrial control systems security. Finally, some research gaps, as well as directions for future studies, are discussed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue IoT-Enabling Technologies and Applications)
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27 pages, 10604 KiB  
Article
Hybrid Method for Oil Price Prediction Based on Feature Selection and XGBOOST-LSTM
by Shucheng Lin, Yue Wang, Haocheng Wei, Xiaoyi Wang and Zhong Wang
Energies 2025, 18(9), 2246; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18092246 - 28 Apr 2025
Viewed by 148
Abstract
The accurate and stable prediction of crude oil prices holds significant value, providing insightful guidance for investors and decision-makers. The intricate interplay of factors influencing oil prices and the pronounced fluctuations present significant obstacles within the realm of oil price forecasting. This study [...] Read more.
The accurate and stable prediction of crude oil prices holds significant value, providing insightful guidance for investors and decision-makers. The intricate interplay of factors influencing oil prices and the pronounced fluctuations present significant obstacles within the realm of oil price forecasting. This study introduces a novel hybrid model framework, distinct from the conventional methods, that integrates influencing factors for oil price prediction. First, using Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN) extract mode components from crude oil prices. Second, using the Adaptive Copula-based Feature Selection (ACBFS), rooted in Copula theory, facilitates the integration of the influencing factors; ACBFS enhances both accuracy and stability in feature selection, thereby amplifying predictive performance and interpretability. Third, low-frequency modes are predicted through an Attention Mechanism-based Long and Short-Term Memory Neural Network (AM-LSTM), optimized using Bayesian Optimization and Hyperband (BOHB). Conversely, high-frequency modes are forecasted using Extreme Gradient Boosting Models (XGboost). Finally, the error correction mechanism further enhances the predictive accuracy. The experimental results show that the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the proposed hybrid prediction framework are the lowest compared to the benchmark model, at 0.7333 and 1.1069, respectively, which proves that the designed prediction structure has better efficiency and higher accuracy and stability. Full article
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13 pages, 510 KiB  
Article
A Comparative Analysis of Student Performance Prediction: Evaluating Optimized Deep Learning Ensembles Against Semi-Supervised Feature Selection-Based Models
by Jose Antonio Lagares Rodríguez, Norberto Díaz-Díaz and Carlos David Barranco González
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(9), 4818; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15094818 - 26 Apr 2025
Viewed by 162
Abstract
Advancements in modern technology have significantly increased the availability of educational data, presenting researchers with new challenges in extracting meaningful insights. Educational Data Mining offers analytical methods to support the prediction of student outcomes, development of intelligent tutoring systems, and curriculum optimization. Prior [...] Read more.
Advancements in modern technology have significantly increased the availability of educational data, presenting researchers with new challenges in extracting meaningful insights. Educational Data Mining offers analytical methods to support the prediction of student outcomes, development of intelligent tutoring systems, and curriculum optimization. Prior studies have highlighted the potential of semi-supervised approaches that incorporate feature selection to identify factors influencing academic success, particularly for improving model interpretability and predictive performance. Many feature selection methods tend to exclude variables that may not be individually powerful predictors but can collectively provide significant information, thereby constraining a model’s capabilities in learning environments. In contrast, Deep Learning (DL) models paired with Automated Machine Learning techniques can decrease the reliance on manual feature engineering, thereby enabling automatic fine-tuning of numerous model configurations. In this study, we propose a reproducible methodology that integrates DL with AutoML to evaluate student performance. We compared the proposed DL methodology to a semi-supervised approach originally introduced by Yu et al. under the same evaluation criteria. Our results indicate that DL-based models can provide a flexible, data-driven approach for examining student outcomes, in addition to preserving the importance of feature selection for interpretability. This proposal is available for replication and additional research. Full article
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17 pages, 9827 KiB  
Article
Construction of a NOx Emission Prediction Model for Hybrid Electric Buses Based on Two-Layer Stacking Ensemble Learning
by Jiangyan Qi, Xionghui Zou and Ren He
Atmosphere 2025, 16(5), 497; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16050497 - 25 Apr 2025
Viewed by 107
Abstract
To enhance the management of NOx emissions from hybrid electric buses, this paper develops an instantaneous NOx emission prediction model for hybrid electric buses based on a two-layer stacking ensemble learning method. Seventeen parameters, including operational characteristic parameters of hybrid electric buses, engine [...] Read more.
To enhance the management of NOx emissions from hybrid electric buses, this paper develops an instantaneous NOx emission prediction model for hybrid electric buses based on a two-layer stacking ensemble learning method. Seventeen parameters, including operational characteristic parameters of hybrid electric buses, engine operating parameters, and emission after-treatment device operating parameters are selected as input features for the model. The correlation analysis results indicate that the Pearson correlation coefficients of engine coolant temperature and selective catalytic reduction (SCR) after-treatment device temperature show a significant linear negative correlation with instantaneous NOx emission mass. The Mutual Information (MI) analysis reveals that engine intake air volume, SCR after-treatment device temperature and engine fuel consumption have strong nonlinear relationships with instantaneous NOx emission mass. The two-layer stacking ensemble learning model selects eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), and an optimized BP neural network as base learners, with a linear regression model as the meta-learner, effectively predicting the instantaneous NOx emission mass of hybrid electric buses. The evaluation metrics of the proposed model—mean absolute error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination—are 0.0068, 0.0283, and 0.9559, respectively, demonstrating a significant advantage compared to other benchmark models. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Pollution Control)
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27 pages, 16245 KiB  
Article
Windows Malware Detection via Enhanced Graph Representations with Node2Vec and Graph Attention Network
by Nisa Vuran Sarı, Mehmet Acı and Çiğdem İnan Acı
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(9), 4775; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15094775 - 25 Apr 2025
Viewed by 168
Abstract
As malware has become increasingly complex, advanced techniques have emerged to improve traditional detection systems. The increasing complexity of malware poses significant challenges in cybersecurity due to the inability of existing methods to understand detailed and contextual relationships in modern software behavior. Therefore, [...] Read more.
As malware has become increasingly complex, advanced techniques have emerged to improve traditional detection systems. The increasing complexity of malware poses significant challenges in cybersecurity due to the inability of existing methods to understand detailed and contextual relationships in modern software behavior. Therefore, developing innovative detection frameworks that can effectively analyze and interpret these complex patterns has become critical. This work presents a novel framework integrating API call sequences and DLL information into a unified, graph-based representation to analyze malware behavior comprehensively. The proposed model generates initial embeddings using Node2Vec, which uses a random walk approach to understand structural relationships between nodes. Graph Attention Network (GAT) then enhances these initial embeddings, which utilizes attention mechanisms to incorporate contextual dependencies and enhance semantic representations. Finally, the enhanced embeddings are classified using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU)s, a custom hybrid CNN-GRU-3 deep learning-based model capable of effectively modeling sequential patterns. The dual role of GAT as a classifier and feature extractor is also analyzed to evaluate its impact on embedding quality and classification accuracy. Experimental results show that the proposed model achieves superior results with an accuracy rate of 0.9961 compared to state-of-the-art approaches such as ensemble learning and standalone GAT. This achievement highlights the framework’s ability to utilize contextual information for malware detection. The real-world dataset used provides a benchmark for future work, and this research lays a comprehensive foundation for advancing graph-based malware analysis. Full article
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16 pages, 2341 KiB  
Article
TAE Predict: An Ensemble Methodology for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting of Climate Variables in the Context of Climate Change
by Juan Frausto Solís, Erick Estrada-Patiño, Mirna Ponce Flores, Juan Paulo Sánchez-Hernández, Guadalupe Castilla-Valdez and Javier González-Barbosa
Math. Comput. Appl. 2025, 30(3), 46; https://doi.org/10.3390/mca30030046 - 25 Apr 2025
Viewed by 180
Abstract
Climate change presents significant challenges due to the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Mexico, with its diverse climate and geographic position, is particularly vulnerable, underscoring the need for robust strategies to predict atmospheric variables. This work presents TAE Predict (Time [...] Read more.
Climate change presents significant challenges due to the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Mexico, with its diverse climate and geographic position, is particularly vulnerable, underscoring the need for robust strategies to predict atmospheric variables. This work presents TAE Predict (Time series Analysis and Ensemble-based Prediction with relevant feature selection) based on relevant feature selection and ensemble models of machine learning. Dimensionality in multivariate time series is reduced through Principal Component Analysis, ensuring interpretability and efficiency. Additionally, data remediation techniques improve data set quality. The ensemble combines Long Short-Term Memory neural networks, Random Forest regression, and Support Vector Machines, optimizing their contributions using heuristic algorithms such as Particle Swarm Optimization. Experimental results from meteorological time series in key Mexican cities demonstrate that the proposed strategy outperforms individual models in accuracy and robustness. This methodology provides a replicable framework for climate variable forecasting, delivering analytical tools that support decision-making in critical sectors, such as agriculture and water resource management. The findings highlight the potential of integrating modern techniques to address complex, high-dimensional problems. By combining advanced prediction models and feature selection strategies, this study advances the reliability of climate forecasts and contributes to the development of effective adaptation and mitigation measures in response to climate change challenges. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Numerical and Evolutionary Optimization 2024)
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32 pages, 6398 KiB  
Article
Big Data-Driven Distributed Machine Learning for Scalable Credit Card Fraud Detection Using PySpark, XGBoost, and CatBoost
by Leonidas Theodorakopoulos, Alexandra Theodoropoulou, Anastasios Tsimakis and Constantinos Halkiopoulos
Electronics 2025, 14(9), 1754; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14091754 - 25 Apr 2025
Viewed by 402
Abstract
This study presents an optimization for a distributed machine learning framework to achieve credit card fraud detection scalability. Due to the growth in fraudulent activities, this research implements the PySpark-based processing of large-scale transaction datasets, integrating advanced machine learning models: Logistic Regression, Decision [...] Read more.
This study presents an optimization for a distributed machine learning framework to achieve credit card fraud detection scalability. Due to the growth in fraudulent activities, this research implements the PySpark-based processing of large-scale transaction datasets, integrating advanced machine learning models: Logistic Regression, Decision Trees, Random Forests, XGBoost, and CatBoost. These have been evaluated in terms of scalability, accuracy, and handling imbalanced datasets. Key findings: Among the most promising models for complex and imbalanced data, XGBoost and CatBoost promise close-to-ideal accuracy rates in fraudulent transaction detection. PySpark will be instrumental in scaling these systems to enable them to perform distributed processing, real-time analysis, and adaptive learning. This study further discusses challenges like overfitting, data access, and real-time implementation with potential solutions such as ensemble methods, intelligent sampling, and graph-based approaches. Future directions are underlined by deploying these frameworks in live transaction environments, leveraging continuous learning mechanisms, and integrating advanced anomaly detection techniques to handle evolving fraud patterns. The present research demonstrates the importance of distributed machine learning frameworks for developing robust, scalable, and efficient fraud detection systems, considering their significant impact on financial security and the overall financial ecosystem. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advances in Cloud Computing and Its Latest Applications)
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18 pages, 4305 KiB  
Article
Decoding Depression from Different Brain Regions Using Hybrid Machine Learning Methods
by Qi Sang, Chen Chen and Zeguo Shao
Bioengineering 2025, 12(5), 449; https://doi.org/10.3390/bioengineering12050449 - 24 Apr 2025
Viewed by 248
Abstract
Depression has become one of the most common mental illnesses, causing severe physical and mental harm. To clarify the impact of brain region segmentation on the detection accuracy of moderate-to-severe major depressive disorder (MDD) and identify the optimal brain region for detecting MDD [...] Read more.
Depression has become one of the most common mental illnesses, causing severe physical and mental harm. To clarify the impact of brain region segmentation on the detection accuracy of moderate-to-severe major depressive disorder (MDD) and identify the optimal brain region for detecting MDD using electroencephalography (EEG), this study compared eight traditional single-machine learning algorithms with a hybrid machine learning model based on a stacking ensemble technique. The hybrid model employed K-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree (DT), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) as base learners and used a DT as the meta-learner. Compared with traditional single methods, the hybrid approach significantly improved detection accuracy by leveraging the strengths of different algorithms. In addition, this study divided the brain regions into the left and right temporal lobes and extracted both linear and nonlinear features to comprehensively capture the complexity and dynamic behavior of EEG signals, enhancing the model’s ability to distinguish features across different brain regions. The experimental results showed that among the eight traditional machine learning methods, the KNN classifier achieved the highest detection accuracy of 96.97% in the left temporal lobe region. In contrast, the stacking hybrid learning model further increased the detection accuracy to 98.07%, significantly outperforming the single models. Moreover, the analysis of the brain region segmentation revealed that the left temporal lobe exhibited higher discriminative power in detecting MDD, highlighting its important role in the neurobiology of depression. This study provides a solid foundation for developing more efficient and portable methods for detecting depression, offering new perspectives and approaches for EEG-based MDD detection, and contributing to the improvement in objectivity and precision in depression diagnosis. Full article
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24 pages, 4382 KiB  
Article
Research on Pedestrian Avoidance Behavior for School Section Based on Improved BP Neural Network and XGboost Algorithm
by Guiliang Lu and Mingwei Liu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(9), 4724; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15094724 - 24 Apr 2025
Viewed by 123
Abstract
As society evolves and technology advances, increasing transportation demands have heightened safety risks near schools and on mixed-traffic roads. While traditional studies on pedestrian evasive behavior have mainly focused on general traffic environments and used image-based features to predict trajectories, few have specifically [...] Read more.
As society evolves and technology advances, increasing transportation demands have heightened safety risks near schools and on mixed-traffic roads. While traditional studies on pedestrian evasive behavior have mainly focused on general traffic environments and used image-based features to predict trajectories, few have specifically addressed the behavior of pedestrians in school zones. This study fills that gap by analyzing pedestrian evasive actions near school zones in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, using real-time video data. In contrast to previous approaches, our research leverages key traffic variables—such as vehicle speed, pedestrian proximity, and traffic density—to predict whether pedestrians will engage in evasive behavior. We independently apply three predictive models: the traditional BP (Backpropagation) neural network, an improved GA-BP(genetic algorithm–backpropagation) neural network, and the XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting) ensemble learning method. Our findings show that the improved GA-BP model outperforms the others, achieving an accuracy of over 79%. Furthermore, this study identifies crucial traffic factors influencing pedestrian behavior, offering valuable insights for road safety decision-making in school zones. This research demonstrates the potential of advanced predictive models for forecasting pedestrian evasive behavior. It enhances safety in school zones by highlighting the key traffic variables affecting pedestrians. Full article
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27 pages, 4678 KiB  
Article
EL-MTSA: Stock Prediction Model Based on Ensemble Learning and Multimodal Time Series Analysis
by Jianlei Kong, Xueqi Zhao, Wenjuan He, Xiaobo Yang and Xuebo Jin
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(9), 4669; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15094669 - 23 Apr 2025
Viewed by 226
Abstract
Predicting stock prices is a popular area of study within the realms of data mining and machine learning. Precise forecasting can assist investors in mitigating the risks associated with their investments. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, influenced by policy changes, [...] Read more.
Predicting stock prices is a popular area of study within the realms of data mining and machine learning. Precise forecasting can assist investors in mitigating the risks associated with their investments. Given the unpredictable nature of the stock market, influenced by policy changes, stock data often display high levels of fluctuation and randomness, aligning closely with the prevailing market sentiment. Moreover, diverse datasets related to stocks are rich in historical data that can be leveraged to forecast future trends. However, traditional forecasting models struggle to harness this information effectively, which restricts their predictive capabilities and accuracy. To improve the existing issues, this research introduces a novel stock prediction model based on a deep-learning neural network, named after EL-MTSA, which leverages the multifaceted characteristics of stock data along with ensemble learning optimization. In addition, a new evaluation index via market-wide sentiment analysis is designed to enhance the forecasting performance of the stock prediction model by adeptly identifying the latent relationship between the target stock index and dynamic market sentiment factors. Subsequently, many demonstration experiments were conducted on three practical stock datasets, the CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI A50 indices, respectively. Experiential results show that the proposed EL-MTSA model has achieved a superior predictive performance, surpassing various comparison models. In addition, the EL-MTSA can analyze the impact of market sentiment and media reports on the stock market, which is more consistent with the real trading situation in the stock market, and indicates good predictive robustness and credibility. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computing and Artificial Intelligence)
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18 pages, 1621 KiB  
Article
Performance Optimization of Machine-Learning Algorithms for Fault Detection and Diagnosis in PV Systems
by Eduardo Quiles-Cucarella, Pedro Sánchez-Roca and Ignacio Agustí-Mercader
Electronics 2025, 14(9), 1709; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14091709 - 23 Apr 2025
Viewed by 240
Abstract
The early detection of faults in photovoltaic (PV) systems is crucial for ensuring efficiency, minimizing energy losses, and extending operational lifespan. This study evaluates and compares multiple machine-learning models for fault diagnosis in PV systems, analyzing their performance across different fault types and [...] Read more.
The early detection of faults in photovoltaic (PV) systems is crucial for ensuring efficiency, minimizing energy losses, and extending operational lifespan. This study evaluates and compares multiple machine-learning models for fault diagnosis in PV systems, analyzing their performance across different fault types and operational modes. A dataset comprising 2.2 million measurements from a laboratory-based PV model, covering seven fault categories—including inverter failures, partial shading, and sensor faults—is used for training and validation. Models are assessed under both Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) and Limited Power Point Tracking (LPPT) conditions to determine their adaptability. The results indicate that the ensemble bagged tree classifier achieves the highest accuracy (92.2%) across all fault scenarios, while neural network-based models perform better under MPPT conditions. Additionally, the study highlights variations in model performance based on power mode, suggesting the potential for adaptive diagnostic approaches. The findings reinforce the feasibility of machine learning for predictive maintenance in PV systems, offering a cost-effective, sensor-free method for real-time fault detection. Future research should explore hybrid models that dynamically switch between classifiers based on system conditions, as well as validation using real-world PV installations. Full article
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