Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (8,033)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = gridded data

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
29 pages, 2242 KB  
Systematic Review
Artificial Intelligence for Optimizing Solar Power Systems with Integrated Storage: A Critical Review of Techniques, Challenges, and Emerging Trends
by Raphael I. Areola, Abayomi A. Adebiyi and Katleho Moloi
Electricity 2025, 6(4), 60; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity6040060 (registering DOI) - 25 Oct 2025
Abstract
The global transition toward sustainable energy has significantly accelerated the deployment of solar power systems. Yet, the inherent variability of solar energy continues to present considerable challenges in ensuring its stable and efficient integration into modern power grids. As the demand for clean [...] Read more.
The global transition toward sustainable energy has significantly accelerated the deployment of solar power systems. Yet, the inherent variability of solar energy continues to present considerable challenges in ensuring its stable and efficient integration into modern power grids. As the demand for clean and dependable energy sources intensifies, the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with solar systems, particularly those coupled with energy storage, has emerged as a promising and increasingly vital solution. It explores the practical applications of machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), fuzzy logic, and emerging generative AI models, focusing on their roles in areas such as solar irradiance forecasting, energy management, fault detection, and overall operational optimisation. Alongside these advancements, the review also addresses persistent challenges, including data limitations, difficulties in model generalization, and the integration of AI in real-time control scenarios. We included peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2015 and 2025 that apply AI methods to PV + ESS, with empirical evaluation. We excluded studies lacking evaluation against baselines or those focusing solely on PV or ESS in isolation. We searched IEEE Xplore, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar up to 1 July 2025. Two reviewers independently screened titles/abstracts and full texts; disagreements were resolved via discussion. Risk of bias was assessed with a custom tool evaluating validation method, dataset partitioning, baseline comparison, overfitting risk, and reporting clarity. Results were synthesized narratively by grouping AI techniques (forecasting, MPPT/control, dispatch, data augmentation). We screened 412 records and included 67 studies published between 2018 and 2025, following a documented PRISMA process. The review revealed that AI-driven techniques significantly enhance performance in solar + battery energy storage system (BESS) applications. In solar irradiance and PV output forecasting, deep learning models in particular, long short-term memory (LSTM) and hybrid convolutional neural network–LSTM (CNN–LSTM) architectures repeatedly outperform conventional statistical methods, obtaining significantly lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and higher R-squared. Smarter energy dispatch and market-based storage decisions are made possible by reinforcement learning and deep reinforcement learning frameworks, which increase economic returns and lower curtailment risks. Furthermore, hybrid metaheuristic–AI optimisation improves control tuning and system sizing with increased efficiency and convergence. In conclusion, AI enables transformative gains in forecasting, dispatch, and optimisation for solar-BESSs. Future efforts should focus on explainable, robust AI models, standardized benchmark datasets, and real-world pilot deployments to ensure scalability, reliability, and stakeholder trust. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 17328 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of the Cooling Capacity of Urban Green Spaces in Beijing over the Past Four Decades
by Chao Wang, Chaobin Yang, Huaiqing Wang and Lilong Yang
Sustainability 2025, 17(21), 9500; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219500 (registering DOI) - 25 Oct 2025
Abstract
Urban green spaces (UGS) are crucial for mitigating rising urban land surface temperatures (LST). Rapid urbanization presents unresolved questions regarding (a) seasonal variations in the spatial co-distribution of UGS and LST, (b) the temporal and spatial changes in UGS cooling, and (c) the [...] Read more.
Urban green spaces (UGS) are crucial for mitigating rising urban land surface temperatures (LST). Rapid urbanization presents unresolved questions regarding (a) seasonal variations in the spatial co-distribution of UGS and LST, (b) the temporal and spatial changes in UGS cooling, and (c) the dominant factors driving cooling effects during different periods. This study focuses on Beijing’s Fifth Ring Road area, utilizing nearly 40 years of Landsat remote sensing imagery and land cover data. We propose a novel nine-square grid spatial analysis approach that integrates LST retrieval, profile line analysis, and the XGBoost algorithm to investigate the long-term spatiotemporal evolution of UGS cooling capacity and its driving mechanisms. The results demonstrate three key findings: (1) Strong seasonal divergence in UGS-LST correlation: A significant negative correlation dominates during summer months (June–August), whereas winter (December–February) exhibits marked weakening of this relationship, with localized positive correlations indicating thermal inversion effects. (2) Dynamic evolution of cooling capacity under urbanization: Urban expansion has reconfigured UGS spatial patterns, with a cooling capacity of UGS showing an “enhancement–decline–enhancement” trend over time. Analysis through machine learning on the significance of landscape metrics revealed that scale-related metrics play a dominant role in the early stage of urbanization, while the focus shifts to quality-related metrics in the later phase. (3) Optimal cooling efficiency threshold: Maximum per-unit-area cooling intensity occurs at 10–20% UGS coverage, yielding an average LST reduction of approximately 1 °C relative to non-vegetated surfaces. This study elucidates the spatiotemporal evolution of UGS cooling effects during urbanization, establishing a robust scientific foundation for optimizing green space configuration and enhancing urban climate resilience. Full article
15 pages, 2574 KB  
Article
Self-Supervised Representation Learning for UK Power Grid Frequency Disturbance Detection Using TC-TSS
by Maitreyee Dey and Soumya Prakash Rana
Energies 2025, 18(21), 5611; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215611 (registering DOI) - 25 Oct 2025
Abstract
This study presents a self-supervised learning framework for detecting frequency disturbances in power systems using high-resolution time series data. Employing data from the UK National Grid, we apply the Temporal Contrastive Self-Supervised Learning (TC-TSS) approach to learn task-agnostic embeddings from unlabelled 60-s rolling [...] Read more.
This study presents a self-supervised learning framework for detecting frequency disturbances in power systems using high-resolution time series data. Employing data from the UK National Grid, we apply the Temporal Contrastive Self-Supervised Learning (TC-TSS) approach to learn task-agnostic embeddings from unlabelled 60-s rolling window segments of frequency measurements. The learned representations are then used to train four traditional classifiers, Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and Random Forest (RF), for binary classification of frequency stability events. The proposed method is evaluated using over 15 million data points spanning six months of system operation data. Results show that classifiers trained on TC-TSS embeddings performed better than those using raw input features, particularly in detecting rare disturbance events. ROC-AUC scores for MLP and SVM models reach as high as 0.98, indicating excellent separability in the latent space. Visualisations using UMAP and t-SNE further demonstrate the clustering quality of TC-TSS features. This study highlights the effectiveness of contrastive representation learning in the energy domain, particularly under conditions of limited labelled data, and proves its suitability for integration into real-time smart grid applications. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 4029 KB  
Article
Effects of the Orifice and Absorber Grid Designs on Coolant Mixing at the Inlet of an RITM-Type SMR Fuel Assembly
by Anton Riazanov, Sergei Dmitriev, Denis Doronkov, Aleksandr Dobrov, Aleksey Pronin, Dmitriy Solntsev, Tatiana Demkina, Daniil Kuritsin and Danil Nikolaev
Fluids 2025, 10(11), 278; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10110278 (registering DOI) - 24 Oct 2025
Abstract
This article presents the results of an experimental study on the hydrodynamics of the coolant at the inlet of the fuel assembly in the RITM reactor core. The importance of these studies stems from the significant impact that inlet flow conditions have on [...] Read more.
This article presents the results of an experimental study on the hydrodynamics of the coolant at the inlet of the fuel assembly in the RITM reactor core. The importance of these studies stems from the significant impact that inlet flow conditions have on the flow structure within a fuel assembly. A significant variation in axial velocity and local flow rates can greatly affect the heat exchange processes within the fuel assembly, potentially compromising the safety of the core operation. The aim of this work was to investigate the effect of different designs of orifice inlet devices and integrated absorber grids on the flow pattern of the coolant in the rod bundle of the fuel assembly. To achieve this goal, experiments were conducted on a scaled model of the inlet section of the fuel assembly, which included all the structural components of the actual fuel assembly, from the orifice inlet device to the second spacer grids. The test model was scaled down by a factor of 5.8 from the original fuel assembly. Two methods were used to study the hydrodynamics: dynamic pressure probe measurements and the tracer injection technique. The studies were conducted in several sections along the length of the test model, covering its entire cross-section. The choice of measurement locations was determined by the design features of the test model. The loss coefficient (K) of the orifice inlet device in fully open and maximally closed positions was experimentally determined. The features of the coolant flow at the inlet of the fuel assembly were visualized using axial velocity plots in cross-sections, as well as concentration distribution plots for the injected tracer. The geometry of the inlet orifice device at the fuel assembly has a significant impact on the pattern of axial flow velocity up to the center of the fuel bundle, between the first and second spacing grids. Two zones of low axial velocity are created at the edges of the fuel element cover, parallel to the mounting plates, at the entrance to the fuel bundle. These unevennesses in the axial speed are evened out before reaching the second grid. The attachment plates of the fuel elements to the diffuser greatly influence the intensity and direction of flow mixing. A comparative analysis of the effectiveness of two types of integrated absorber grids was performed. The experimental results were used to justify design modifications of individual elements of the fuel assembly and to validate the hydraulic performance of new core designs. Additionally, the experimental data can be used to validate CFD codes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Heat Transfer in the Industry)
Show Figures

Figure 1

25 pages, 1868 KB  
Article
AI-Powered Digital Twin Co-Simulation Framework for Climate-Adaptive Renewable Energy Grids
by Kwabena Addo, Musasa Kabeya and Evans Eshiemogie Ojo
Energies 2025, 18(21), 5593; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215593 (registering DOI) - 24 Oct 2025
Abstract
Climate change is accelerating the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, posing a critical threat to the stability, efficiency, and resilience of modern renewable energy grids. In this study, we propose a modular, AI-integrated digital twin co-simulation framework that enables climate adaptive [...] Read more.
Climate change is accelerating the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, posing a critical threat to the stability, efficiency, and resilience of modern renewable energy grids. In this study, we propose a modular, AI-integrated digital twin co-simulation framework that enables climate adaptive control of distributed energy resources (DERs) and storage assets in distribution networks. The framework leverages deep reinforcement learning (DDPG) agents trained within a high-fidelity co-simulation environment that couples physical grid dynamics, weather disturbances, and cyber-physical control loops using HELICS middleware. Through real-time coordination of photovoltaic systems, wind turbines, battery storage, and demand side flexibility, the trained agent autonomously learns to minimize power losses, voltage violations, and load shedding under stochastic climate perturbations. Simulation results on the IEEE 33-bus radial test system augmented with ERA5 climate reanalysis data demonstrate improvements in voltage regulation, energy efficiency, and resilience metrics. The framework also exhibits strong generalization across unseen weather scenarios and outperforms baseline rule based controls by reducing energy loss by 14.6% and improving recovery time by 19.5%. These findings position AI-integrated digital twins as a promising paradigm for future-proof, climate-resilient smart grids. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 2613 KB  
Article
Analytical Design and Hybrid Techno-Economic Assessment of Grid-Connected PV System for Sustainable Development
by Adebayo Sodiq Ademola and Abdulrahman AlKassem
Processes 2025, 13(11), 3412; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13113412 (registering DOI) - 24 Oct 2025
Abstract
Renewable energy sources can be of significant help to rural communities with inadequate electricity access. This study presents a comprehensive techno-economic assessment of a 500 kWp solar Photovoltaic (PV) energy system designed for Ibadan, Nigeria. A novel hybrid modeling framework was developed in [...] Read more.
Renewable energy sources can be of significant help to rural communities with inadequate electricity access. This study presents a comprehensive techno-economic assessment of a 500 kWp solar Photovoltaic (PV) energy system designed for Ibadan, Nigeria. A novel hybrid modeling framework was developed in which technical performance analysis was employed using PVSyst, whereas economic and optimization analysis was carried out using HOMER. Simulation outputs from PVSyst were integrated as inputs into HOMER, enabling a more accurate and consistent cross-platform assessment. Nigeria’s enduring energy crisis, marked by persistent grid unreliability and limited electricity access, necessitates need for exploration of sustainable alternatives. Among these, solar photovoltaic (PV) technology offers significant promise given the country’s abundant solar irradiation. The proposed system was evaluated using meteorological and load demand data. PVSyst simulations projected an annual energy yield of 714,188 kWh, with a 25-year lifespan yielding a performance ratio between 77% and 78%, demonstrating high operational efficiency. Complementary HOMER Pro analysis revealed a competitive levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of USD 0.079/kWh—substantially lower than the baseline grid-only cost of USD 0.724/kWh, and a Net Present Cost (NPC) of USD 6.1 million, reflecting considerable long-term financial savings. Furthermore, the system achieved compelling environmental outcomes, including an annual reduction of approximately 160,508 kg of CO2 emissions. Sensitivity analysis indicated that increasing the feed-in tariff (FiT) from USD 0.10 to USD 0.20/kWh improved the project’s financial viability, shortening payback periods to just 5.2 years and enhancing return on investment. Overall, the findings highlight the technical robustness, economic competitiveness, and environmental significance of deploying solar-based energy solutions, while reinforcing the urgent need for supportive energy policies to incentivize large-scale adoption. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

28 pages, 7188 KB  
Article
A Real-World Case Study of Solar Pv Integration for Ev Charging and Residential Energy Demand in Ireland
by Mohammed Albaba, Morgan Pierce and Bülent Yeşilata
Sustainability 2025, 17(21), 9447; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219447 - 24 Oct 2025
Abstract
The integration of residential solar photovoltaic (PV) systems with electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure offers significant potential for reducing carbon emissions and enhancing energy autonomy. This study presents a real-world case of a solar-powered EV charging system installed at a residential property in [...] Read more.
The integration of residential solar photovoltaic (PV) systems with electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure offers significant potential for reducing carbon emissions and enhancing energy autonomy. This study presents a real-world case of a solar-powered EV charging system installed at a residential property in Dublin, Ireland. Unlike prior studies that rely solely on simulation, this work covers the complete process from digital design using OpenSolar to on-site installation and performance evaluation. The system includes 16 high-efficiency solar panels (435 W each), a 4 kW hybrid inverter, a 5.3 kWh lithium-ion battery, and a smart EV charger. Real-time monitoring tools were used to collect energy performance data post-installation. The results indicate that 67% of the household’s solar energy was self-consumed, leading to a 50% reduction in electricity costs. In summer 2024, the client achieved full grid independence and received a €90 credit through feed-in tariffs. The system also enabled free EV charging and generated environmental benefits equivalent to planting 315 trees. This study provides empirical evidence supporting the practical feasibility and economic–environmental advantages of integrated PV–EV systems in temperate climates. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

50 pages, 2576 KB  
Perspective
Bridging the AI–Energy Paradox: A Compute-Additionality Covenant for System Adequacy in Energy Transition
by George Kyriakarakos
Sustainability 2025, 17(21), 9444; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17219444 - 24 Oct 2025
Abstract
As grids decarbonize and end-use sectors electrify, the rapid penetration of artificial intelligence (AI) and hyperscale data centers reshapes the electrical load profile and power quality requirements. This leads not only to higher consumption but also coincident demand in constrained urban nodes, steeper [...] Read more.
As grids decarbonize and end-use sectors electrify, the rapid penetration of artificial intelligence (AI) and hyperscale data centers reshapes the electrical load profile and power quality requirements. This leads not only to higher consumption but also coincident demand in constrained urban nodes, steeper ramps and tighter power quality constraints. The article investigates to what extent a compute-additionality covenant can reduce resource inadequacy (LOLE) at an acceptable $/kW-yr under realistic grid constraints, tying interconnection/capacity releases to auditable contributions (ELCC-accredited firm-clean MW in-zone or verified PCC-level services such as FFR/VAR/black-start). Using two worked cases (mature market and EMDE context) the way in which tranche-gated interconnection, ELCC accreditation and PCC-level services can hold LOLE at the planning target while delivering auditable FFR/VAR/ride-through performance at acceptable normalized costs is illustrated. Enforcement relies on standards-based telemetry and cybersecurity (IEC 61850/62351/62443) and PCC compliance (e.g., IEEE/IEC). Supply and network-side options are screened with stage-gates and indicative ELCC/PCC contributions. In a representative mature case, adequacy at 0.1 day·yr−1 is maintained at ≈$200 per compute-kW-yr. A covenant term sheet (tranche sizing, benefit–risk sharing, compliance workflow) is developed along an integration roadmap. Taken together, this perspective outlines a governance mechanism that aligns rapid compute growth with system adequacy and decarbonization. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 3461 KB  
Article
Impact on Predictive Performance of Air Pollutants in PV Forecasting Using Multi-Model Ensemble Learning: Evidence from the Port Logistics Hinterland Area
by Jungmin Ahn and Juyong Lee
Systems 2025, 13(11), 943; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13110943 - 23 Oct 2025
Abstract
The uncertainty of photovoltaic (PV) power generation can impact the stability and flexibility of the power grid. Thus, accurately forecasting PV power output is crucial for ensuring a stable power system and supporting next-generation policy decisions. The purpose of this study is to [...] Read more.
The uncertainty of photovoltaic (PV) power generation can impact the stability and flexibility of the power grid. Thus, accurately forecasting PV power output is crucial for ensuring a stable power system and supporting next-generation policy decisions. The purpose of this study is to examine how the PV power generation forecasting model performed both with and without the addition of particulate matter (PM) and greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration factors with meteorological data. In this study, PV power generation is forecasted by models based on various machine learning models. The results indicate that there was no significant difference in forecasting accuracy whether PM and GHG variables were included or not. In addition, the stacked ensemble model has the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) values for all datasets and shows improved performance compared to the single model. Stacked ensemble that include a combination of meteorological, PM, and GHG variables perform the best. However, the optimal datasets varied across models. Therefore, this study concluded that meteorological variables had the greatest influence on the PV generation forecasting performance. Among the additional factors, PM contributed more significantly to the improvement in forecasting performance than GHG. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Systems Engineering)
Show Figures

Figure 1

22 pages, 3921 KB  
Article
Tightly Coupled LiDAR-Inertial Odometry for Autonomous Driving via Self-Adaptive Filtering and Factor Graph Optimization
by Weiwei Lyu, Haoting Li, Shuanggen Jin, Haocai Huang, Xiaojuan Tian, Yunlong Zhang, Zheyuan Du and Jinling Wang
Machines 2025, 13(11), 977; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13110977 - 23 Oct 2025
Abstract
Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) has become a critical tool for fully autonomous driving. However, current methods suffer from inefficient data utilization and degraded navigation performance in complex and unknown environments. In this paper, an accurate and tightly coupled method of LiDAR-inertial odometry [...] Read more.
Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) has become a critical tool for fully autonomous driving. However, current methods suffer from inefficient data utilization and degraded navigation performance in complex and unknown environments. In this paper, an accurate and tightly coupled method of LiDAR-inertial odometry is proposed. First, a self-adaptive voxel grid filter is developed to dynamically downsample the original point clouds based on environmental feature richness, aiming to balance navigation accuracy and real-time performance. Second, keyframe factors are selected based on thresholds of translation distance, rotation angle, and time interval and then introduced into the factor graph to improve global consistency. Additionally, high-quality Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) factors are selected and incorporated into the factor graph through linear interpolation, thereby improving the navigation accuracy in complex and unknown environments. The proposed method is evaluated using KITTI dataset over various scales and environments. Results show that the proposed method has demonstrated very promising better results when compared with the other methods, such as ALOAM, LIO-SAM, and SC-LeGO-LOAM. Especially in urban scenes, the trajectory accuracy of the proposed method has been improved by 33.13%, 57.56%, and 58.4%, respectively, illustrating excellent navigation and positioning capabilities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Vehicle Engineering)
Show Figures

Figure 1

25 pages, 2787 KB  
Article
Quantifying Weather’s Share in Dynamic Grid Emission Factors via SHAP: A Multi-Timescale Attribution Framework
by Zeqi Zhang, Yingjie Li, Danhui Lai, Ningrui Zhou, Qinhui Zhan and Wei Wang
Processes 2025, 13(11), 3393; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13113393 - 23 Oct 2025
Abstract
Accurately quantifying the impact of weather on dynamic grid carbon intensity is crucial for power system decarbonization. This study proposes a novel, interpretable machine learning framework integrating tree-based models with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to quantify this impact across multiple timescales via a [...] Read more.
Accurately quantifying the impact of weather on dynamic grid carbon intensity is crucial for power system decarbonization. This study proposes a novel, interpretable machine learning framework integrating tree-based models with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to quantify this impact across multiple timescales via a standardized “Weather Share” metric. Applied to city-level hourly data from China, the analysis reveals that meteorological variables collectively explain 21.64% of the hourly variation in carbon intensity, with air temperature and solar irradiance being the dominant drivers. Significant temporal variations are observed: the weather share is higher in summer (29.8%) and winter (23.5%) than in transition seasons and increases markedly to 32.7% during extreme high-temperature events. The proposed framework provides a robust, quantitative tool for grid operators, offering actionable insights for weather-aware carbon reduction strategies and highlighting critical time windows for targeted interventions. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

17 pages, 2557 KB  
Article
System Inertia Cost Forecasting Using Machine Learning: A Data-Driven Approach for Grid Energy Trading in Great Britain
by Maitreyee Dey, Soumya Prakash Rana and Preeti Patel
Analytics 2025, 4(4), 30; https://doi.org/10.3390/analytics4040030 - 23 Oct 2025
Viewed by 73
Abstract
As modern power systems integrate more renewable and decentralised generation, maintaining grid stability has become increasingly challenging. This study proposes a data-driven machine learning framework for forecasting system inertia service costs—a key yet underexplored variable influencing energy trading and frequency stability in Great [...] Read more.
As modern power systems integrate more renewable and decentralised generation, maintaining grid stability has become increasingly challenging. This study proposes a data-driven machine learning framework for forecasting system inertia service costs—a key yet underexplored variable influencing energy trading and frequency stability in Great Britain. Using eight years (2017–2024) of National Energy System Operator (NESO) data, four models—Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Residual LSTM, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LightGBM)—are comparatively analysed. LSTM-based models capture temporal dependencies, while ensemble methods effectively handle nonlinear feature relationships. Results demonstrate that LightGBM achieves the highest predictive accuracy, offering a robust method for inertia cost estimation and market intelligence. The framework contributes to strategic procurement planning and supports market design for a more resilient, cost-effective grid. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Business Analytics and Applications)
Show Figures

Figure 1

37 pages, 5731 KB  
Article
Probabilistic Prognostics and Health Management of Power Transformers Using Dissolved Gas Analysis Sensor Data and Duval’s Polygons
by Fabio Norikazu Kashiwagi, Miguel Angelo de Carvalho Michalski, Gilberto Francisco Martha de Souza, Halley José Braga da Silva and Hyghor Miranda Côrtes
Sensors 2025, 25(21), 6520; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25216520 - 23 Oct 2025
Viewed by 284
Abstract
Power transformers are critical assets in modern power grids, where failures can lead to significant operational disruptions and financial losses. Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) is a key sensor-based technique widely used for condition monitoring, but traditional diagnostic approaches rely on deterministic thresholds that [...] Read more.
Power transformers are critical assets in modern power grids, where failures can lead to significant operational disruptions and financial losses. Dissolved Gas Analysis (DGA) is a key sensor-based technique widely used for condition monitoring, but traditional diagnostic approaches rely on deterministic thresholds that overlook uncertainty in degradation dynamics. This paper proposes a probabilistic framework for Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) of power transformers, integrating self-adaptive Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average modeling with a probabilistic reformulation of Duval’s graphical methods. The framework enables automated estimation of fault types and failure likelihood directly from DGA sensor data, without requiring labeled datasets or expert-defined rules. Dissolved gas dynamics are forecasted using time-series models with residual-based uncertainty quantification, allowing probabilistic fault inference from predicted gas trends without assuming deterministic persistence of a specific fault type. A sequential pipeline is developed for real-time fault tracking and reliability assessment, aligned with IEC, IEEE, and CIGRE standards. Two case studies validate the method: one involving gas loss in an experimental setup and another examining thermal degradation in a 345 kV transformer. Results show that the framework improves diagnostic reliability, supports early fault detection, and enhances predictive maintenance strategies. By combining probabilistic modeling, time-series forecasting, and sensor-based diagnostic inference, this work contributes a practical and interpretable PHM solution for sensor-enabled monitoring environments in modern power grids. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fault Diagnosis & Sensors)
Show Figures

Figure 1

40 pages, 11770 KB  
Article
Exploring Cost–Comfort Trade-Off in Implicit Demand Response for Fully Electric Solar-Powered Nordic Households
by Meysam Aboutalebi, Matin Bagherpour, Josef Noll and Geir Horn
Energies 2025, 18(21), 5568; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215568 - 22 Oct 2025
Viewed by 171
Abstract
This paper proposes a household energy management system for all-electric households, focusing on the interplay between cost savings and occupant comfort through an implicit demand response programme. A sequential multi-objective optimisation model is developed based on the lexicographic approach, allowing for the effective [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a household energy management system for all-electric households, focusing on the interplay between cost savings and occupant comfort through an implicit demand response programme. A sequential multi-objective optimisation model is developed based on the lexicographic approach, allowing for the effective prioritisation of objectives. The model optimally schedules a diverse range of electricity demands using real-world data from a Norwegian pilot household to evaluate its unique flexibility potential, while remaining adaptable for other regions. This includes integrating thermal and non-thermal demands with electric mobility via vehicle-to-home enabled electric vehicle charger. This approach achieves significant cost savings on energy bills and enhances user comfort across aggregated comfort indicators. Multiple scenarios are designed to evaluate the performance of the proposed demand response under diverse pricing mechanisms. Results indicate that transitioning from variable pricing to fixed pricing can lead to lower average electricity costs and higher average user comfort. The analysis reveals that prioritising occupant comfort can substantially increase electricity demand, resulting in a nearly fourfold rise in average annual expenses, while also leading to a decrease in self-consumption and self-sufficiency. Additionally, the study illustrates how grid tariff adjustments can benefit households and support the development of local renewable energy. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 4351 KB  
Article
Upscaling of Soil Moisture over Highly Heterogeneous Surfaces and Validation of SMAP Product
by Jiakai Qin, Zhongli Zhu, Qingxia Wu, Julong Ma, Shaomin Liu, Linna Chai and Ziwei Xu
Land 2025, 14(10), 2098; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14102098 - 21 Oct 2025
Viewed by 181
Abstract
Soil moisture (SM) is a critical component of the global water cycle, profoundly influencing carbon fluxes and energy exchanges between the land surface and the atmosphere. NASA’s Soil Moisture Active/Passive (SMAP) mission provides soil moisture products at the global scale; however, validation of [...] Read more.
Soil moisture (SM) is a critical component of the global water cycle, profoundly influencing carbon fluxes and energy exchanges between the land surface and the atmosphere. NASA’s Soil Moisture Active/Passive (SMAP) mission provides soil moisture products at the global scale; however, validation of SMAP faces significant challenges due to scale mismatches between in situ measurements and satellite pixels, particularly in highly heterogeneous regions such as the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. This study leverages high-spatiotemporal-resolution Harmonized Landsat–Sentinel-2 (HLS v2.0) data and the QLB-NET observation network, employing multiple machine learning models to generate pixel-scale ground-truth soil moisture from in situ measurements. The results indicate that XGBoost performs best (R = 0.941, RMSE = 0.047 m3/m3), and SHAP analysis identifies elevation and DOY as the primary drivers of the spatial patterns and dynamics of soil moisture. The XGBoost-upscaled soil moisture was employed as a validation benchmark to assess the accuracy of the SMAP 9 km and 36 km products, with the following key findings: (1) the proposed upscaling method effectively bridges the scale gap, yielding a correlation of 0.858 between the 36 km SMAP product and the pixel-scale soil moisture reference derived from XGBoost, surpassing the 0.818 correlation obtained using the traditional in situ averaging approach; (2) descending-orbit data generally outperform ascending-orbit data. In the 9 km SMAP product, 15 descending-orbit grids meet the scientific standard, compared to 10 ascending-orbit grids. For the 36 km product, only descending orbits satisfy the scientific standard. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop