Search Results (149)

The Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) and the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) are key economic growth poles in China, playing a critical role in driving national economic development and facilitating international exchanges in commerce, culture, and ecology. However, rapid urbanization and industrialization have exerted considerable pressure on regional environments. In this study, we first assessed the dynamics of carbon storage (CS) and habitat quality (HQ) in the GBA and the YRD from 2000 to 2020 using the InVEST model and ArcGIS software, systematically analyzing their spatiotemporal changes and underlying driving mechanisms. Subsequently, we employed the PLUS model to predict land use changes by 2030 and evaluate their potential impacts on CS and HQ. The results indicate that: (1) Both regions have experienced increases in construction land and declines in cropland. (2) Between 2000 and 2020, CS in the GBA decreased by 33.65 × 10⁶ t and HQ declined by 0.0833, whereas in the YRD, CS decreased by 15.35 × 10⁶ t and HQ dropped by 0.0504. (3) By 2030, CS in the GBA is projected to decline further by 4.08%, with HQ decreasing to 0.4777, while in the YRD, CS is expected to fall by 2.71% and HQ decrease to 0.4115. (4) The spatial differentiation of CS and HQ in the GBA is primarily driven by anthropogenic processes, whereas in the YRD it is mainly constrained by natural factors such as topography. This study highlights the importance of understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of CS and HQ, which can help enhance ecosystem service functions, mitigate the impacts of climate change, and provide a scientific basis for regional sustainable development. Full article

Responding to rapid urbanization, this study examines the trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services (ESs) at the county scale in the Zhengzhou metropolitan area and constructs an ecological security pattern. Using the InVEST model, we quantified carbon storage (CS), soil conservation (SC), habitat quality (HQ), water yield (WY), and food production (FP). We then analyzed their trade-offs and synergies using the geographically weighted regression model, identified driving factors with an optimal parameter-based geographical detector model, detected ecosystem service bundles via a Self-organizing map model, and constructed an ecological security pattern based on circuit theory. The results showed that: (1) From 2003 to 2023, ES spatial distribution remained stable overall, with weak trade-offs and synergies. Locally, WY and HQ declined, while SC and FP increased. (2) Slope and DEM enhanced SC, whereas urban expansion consistently weakened CS, HQ, and FP. Moreover, slope played an increasingly prominent role in regulating WY. (3) Key synergistic bundles with stable spatiotemporal distribution were identified as ecological sources, leading to the construction of ecological security pattern characterized by “four districts, one corridor, and one belt.” This provides a framework for integrating ecological space protection and restoration into urban development. Full article

Identifying the heterogeneous characteristics of habitat quality (HQ) trajectories is a key prerequisite for refined ecological spatial management. We used kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) to correct the highly sensitive parameters, validated the correction results based on their consistency with the prior study findings, developed a framework for the evolution of HQ using Sen+MK and Pettitt’s tests, and utilized XGBoost and partial correlation analysis to identify the primary drivers of dynamic changes in HQ from both spatiotemporal perspectives. Our findings include the following: (1) between 2000 and 2023, the average annual rate of change in the HQ index was 0.0037 per year, indicating a continuous improvement in HQ. Compared with the period from 2011 to 2023 (0.0026 per year), the rate of improvement in HQ was faster during 2000–2011 (0.0047 per year). (2) Mutational improvement and progressive improvement were the main evolutionary trajectories, accounting for over 50.33% of the total. (3) Precipitation, land-use intensity (LUI), temperature, and elevation show a strong correlation with HQ distribution. The magnitude of HQ variation is related to HQ status, LUI, precipitation, and elevation. This study establishes a scientific foundation for developing differentiated regulatory strategies for YRB. Full article

The primary aim of this study is to validate the utility of Social Media Data (SMD) as a scientifically grounded tool for quantifying the spatial mismatch between objective ecological supply and subjective social demand. Assessing the spatial coupling and mismatch between Habitat Quality (HQ)—representing objective ecological supply—and Ecological Perception (EP)—representing subjective social demand—is essential for developing targeted urban management and development strategies. Focusing on the core urban area of Hangzhou, this study quantified ecological supply using the InVEST HQ model. To reflect social demand, 4958 geolocated Weibo posts were processed using contextual sentiment analysis. A Coupling Coordination Degree model served as a diagnostic tool to evaluate the synergy between these two dimensions. Additionally, a Geodetector model was employed to investigate the factors driving spatial differentiation in this coupling. The findings indicate that: (1) The regional average HQ is 0.56, reflecting a moderate overall level of degradation, while EP shows a preference for natural environments and exhibits a distinct “strip-like” spatial distribution. (2) The overall CCD value is 0.384; high-coupling areas are primarily concentrated in regions with superior natural conditions and dense vegetation, whereas low-coupling areas correspond to zones with intensive urban functions. (3) Driving factor analysis reveals that land-use type exerts the most significant influence on the overall degree of coupling. This study demonstrates that the HQ-EP coupling framework provides a reliable spatial diagnostic tool for urban planners to identify socio-ecological vulnerabilities. The results suggest that an appropriate integration of natural elements enhances coupling outcomes, with the highest synergy observed in environments characterized by high HQ and minimal anthropogenic disturbance. Full article

The spatiotemporal evolution of ecosystem services and the elucidation of their driving mechanisms constitute a central scientific issue in territorial spatial optimization and regional sustainable development. Taking Gansu Province, a core area of the ecological security barrier in northwestern China, as the study area, this study integrates land-use, natural geographic, and socioeconomic data from 2000 to 2020. Using a land-use transfer matrix, the InVEST model, the Geographical Detector, and the PLUS model, we constructed a comprehensive analytical framework that combines historical evolution analysis, spatial differentiation identification, and multi-scenario simulation and prediction. The framework was used to systematically reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of four core ecosystem services, namely carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and soil retention service (SDR), and to analyze their natural and socioeconomic driving mechanisms, while also simulating land-use change and ecosystem-service responses under the natural development, ecological protection, and urban expansion scenarios in 2030. The results show that, from 2000 to 2020, land use in Gansu Province was dominated by grassland (average proportion: 33.34%) and unused land (average proportion: 41.35%). Urban land expanded from 660.52 km² to 2227.36 km², with its share increasing from 0.15% to 0.50%, mainly through the conversion of cropland and grassland. Ecosystem services exhibited marked spatial differentiation: CS increased from east to west; WY showed an increasing pattern from northwest to southeast; HQ was lower in the central and southeastern regions and higher in the western and southern regions; and SDR was dominated by low-value areas in the northwest (average proportion: 84.81%). Driving-mechanism analysis indicated that slope was the core natural factor affecting CS, HQ, and SDR (q = 0.18–0.45), while mean annual precipitation dominated the variation in WY (q = 0.31–0.35). The influence of socioeconomic factors such as GDP increased gradually over time, showing an evolutionary trend from natural dominance to coordinated natural–socioeconomic regulation. Multi-scenario simulation further showed that, under the ecological protection scenario, grassland area increased significantly (+0.60%), the proportions of medium-value CS zones and high-value WY zones increased, and ecosystem services were optimized overall; under the urban expansion scenario, cropland and urban land expanded (+0.87% and +0.23%, respectively), imposing potential pressure on part of the ecosystem-service functions. These findings provide a scientific basis for optimizing territorial spatial planning, strengthening the ecological security barrier, and promoting regional sustainable development in Gansu Province. The methodological framework also offers a broadly applicable reference for ecologically sensitive arid and semi-arid regions in northwestern China. Full article

As a core area for soil and water conservation on the Loess Plateau and a national primary shale oil production zone, Qingyang City faces an increasingly acute contradiction between its inherently fragile ecological base and energy development activities. From the dual perspectives of ecological regulating services and production-supporting services, this study selected six key ecosystem services—habitat quality (HQ), soil retention (SR), carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), food supply (FS), and grassland forage supply (GS)—to comprehensively assess their spatiotemporal evolution, trade-off/synergy relationships, and driving mechanisms from 2000 to 2020. The results indicate: (1) Significant changes occurred in the total amounts and spatial patterns of all ecosystem services during 2000–2020. HQ showed a fluctuating upward trend, while SR, FS, and GS increased overall; by contrast, CS and WY generally declined. (2) Ecosystem services exhibited a differentiated pattern characterized by “intra-category synergy and inter-category trade-off.” Regulating and supporting services were generally dominated by synergistic relationships, although clear differences remained among specific service pairs; provisioning services generally showed trade-offs with regulating services, among which the trade-offs between FS–HQ and between FS–GS were the most pronounced, whereas FS–CS showed a certain degree of synergy. (3) Driving force analysis revealed a continuous decline in the influence of natural factors and a sharp intensification of human activity factors. Groundwater level and land-use intensity became core drivers of pattern shifts, with their explanatory power increasing significantly. The study reveals that ecosystem services in Qingyang have rapidly transitioned from being dominated by natural hydrothermal conditions to being profoundly reshaped by energy development activities, exposing the region to the ecological risk of a “resource curse.” These findings provide a scientific basis and management insights for achieving coordinated development between resource exploitation and ecological conservation in ecologically fragile areas of the Loess Plateau. Full article

Balancing ecological conservation with agricultural production in protected areas remains a critical challenge, particularly regarding the nexus of food, water, land, and ecosystems (FWLE). Yet, the spatiotemporal trade-offs, synergies, and underlying drivers within the FWLE remain poorly understood. Focusing on the Henan Funiu Mountain National Nature Reserve (HFMNNR), we quantified water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and food production (FP) using the InVEST model and statistical yearbook data. The XGBoost-SHAP framework was applied to dissect the key drivers and mechanisms governing the FWLE system. Results indicate a significant increasing trend in FP (2000–2020), contrasting with the unimodal (increase-then-decline) trajectories of HQ and WY. Pronounced trade-offs were identified between HQ and WY, and between HQ and FP. Topographic and vegetative factors predominated in shaping the spatial patterns of HQ and FP, whereas climatic factors dictated WY distribution. Specifically, HQ declined when NDVI fell below 0.87, population density surpassed 0.01, or slope was gentler than 7°. WY was constrained when precipitation dropped below 947 mm, actual evapotranspiration exceeded 752 mm, or temperature ranged between 12.5–16.2 °C. FP was suppressed under conditions of slopes > 7°, NDVI within 0–0.61 or 0.61–0.86, or DEM > 373 m. These findings underscore the necessity of spatially explicit management strategies grounded in spatial heterogeneity. We advocate for a multi-objective governance framework centered on HQ to harmonize production and ecological functions. Our findings provide critical insights for formulating policies aimed at sustainably managing protected areas facing similar ecological-production conflicts. Full article

This study systematically analyzes the spatio-temporal evolution, trade-offs, synergies and driving mechanisms of five ecosystem services (ESs) in Fujian Province (carbon storage, CS; habitat quality, HQ; sediment delivery ratio, SDR; water yield, WY; food provision, FP) based on multi-source data from 2003, 2013 and 2023 by adopting the InVEST model, Spearman correlation analysis, geographically weighted regression (GWR), self-organizing maps (SOM) and geographic detectors. Results show that: (1) ESs present a spatial pattern of “high in northwest and low in southeast” in Fujian; CS, HQ and FP show an overall decline, while SDR and WY increase significantly. (2) ES trade-offs and synergies have obvious scale effects and spatial heterogeneity, with stronger relationship intensity at the county level than the grid level, and FP generally shows a trade-off relationship with other services. (3) Land use is the key driving factor for CS, FP and HQ; precipitation dominates the changes in WY and SDR; and dual-factor interactions generally enhance the explanatory power of ES changes. The findings enrich the theoretical system of multi-scale ES trade-off and synergy research under rapid urbanization and provide a scientific basis for sustainable territorial spatial planning and differentiated ecological governance in Fujian. Meanwhile, the research framework can serve as a reference for ES management in other coastal mountainous regions worldwide, contributing to the realization of regional sustainable development goals (SDGs). Full article

Understanding the intricate interrelationships among ecosystem services (ESs) is fundamental to advancing sustainable ecological management. This study focuses on the Taihu Basin and examines five representative ESs, including water yield (WY), carbon sequestration (CS), soil retention (SR), habitat quality (HQ), and crop production (CP), for the years 2000, 2010, and 2020. Spatial distribution characteristics and spatiotemporal dynamics were quantified through the combined application of the InVEST model, a food production model, and ArcGIS. Spearman correlation analysis and K-means clustering were then applied to characterize trade-offs and synergies among ESs and to delineate ecosystem service bundles at multiple spatial scales, including 1 km × 1 km grids, 10 km × 10 km grids, and the county level, while GeoDetector was used to identify the associated driving mechanisms. The results indicated that (1) between 2000 and 2020, the spatial distribution pattern of the ESs in the Taihu Basin underwent significant changes, with WY and SR increasing by 48.97% and 51.89%, respectively, while HQ, CS, and CP decreased by 17.2%, 15.5%, and 47.6%. (2) From an overall perspective of trade-offs and synergies, the interactions among ESs shifted from trade-offs (r < 0) to synergies (r > 0) as the scale increased. From the perspective of the spatial characteristics of trade-offs and synergies, the intensity of these interactions varied significantly with increasing scale, but the trend remained relatively stable. (3) The Taihu Basin can be categorized into six ES bundles (ESBs). ESB 1, ESB 3, ESB 4, and ESB 5 have relatively stable ES structures, whereas ESBs 2 and 6 display significant variations. (4) The primary factors influencing ESs vary significantly across different spatial scales, with land use/land cover (LULC) and the proportions of arable land, forestland, and buildings exhibiting strong explanatory power. This highlights the critical role of coupled natural and anthropogenic processes in shaping the spatial patterns of ESs. This study considers the spatiotemporal variation and scale dependence of ecosystem services, providing management recommendations tailored to different regions and spatial scales, and offering a scientific basis for regional ecological planning and watershed governance. Full article

Southwest China’s karst region has developed a dam- and reservoir-dense pattern in which cascaded hydropower on mainstem rivers coexists with small hydropower on tributaries, forming a foundation for the region’s low-carbon energy supply. Under China’s “dual-carbon” targets and a strengthening ecological civilization agenda, it is urgent to clarify the mechanisms driving habitat quality (HQ) change under compound disturbances from cascaded hydropower, urbanization, and related pressures—especially the nonlinear pathway through which engineering disturbance propagates to ecological responses via land-use restructuring. To address this need, we develop a Cascade disturbance–Land restructuring–Habitat response chain framework and integrate an InVEST–IntPLUS–OPGD modeling approach to capture HQ dynamics in the Wujiang River Basin (1980–2020), attribute the interactive effects of coupled natural–social drivers, and project ecological responses under alternative 2035 scenarios. Results show that: (1) The basin maintained a stable ecological matrix, with forest land and cropland consistently >82.5% and forest cover near 50%, while construction land increased by 972.15 km² and water bodies by 354.23 km² (2) Mean HQ stayed high and declined by only 1.42%, with high and medium–high HQ dominating (>65%). HQ degradation is concentrated in urban expansion areas and reservoir shorelines, whereas most mountainous/forested regions remain stable; and (3) HQ spatial differentiation is mainly shaped by the synergy between forest structure and NDVI, while nonlinear urbanization edge effects impose stronger stress than hydropower development itself. Scenario simulations further indicate that a water protection pathway can enhance HQ by building integrated “water–forest” corridors that promote blue–green synergy. Overall, this study supports improved trade-off design between energy supply and ecological protection in vulnerable karst regions. Full article

Land use transformation directly affects the stability and sustainability of regional ecosystems. Clarification of the trade-off/synergy dynamics among ecosystem services (ESs) provides a theoretical foundation to understand the transition of ES interactions from trade-offs to synergies, thereby facilitating the achievement in ecological sustainability in the ecoregion. This study, taking Jiangxi Province, China, as an example, utilized the InVEST model, Theil–Sen estimator, Mann–Kendall test, bivariate spatial autocorrelation, ecosystem service bundles (ESBs), and Random Forest (RF) models to conduct such an ecosystem-focused integrated analysis. According to land use changes from 1980 to 2020, the time-series spatiotemporal patterns of water yield (WY), soil conservation (SC), habitat quality (HQ), and carbon storage (CS) were analyzed. Differences in ES trade-off/synergy relationships and their underlying motivating factors were examined using a 3 km spatial grid framework. Compared with previous studies that mainly focused on typical subregions and of which driver analyses often remained at the individual ES level, this study introduced an explainable RF-SHAP framework based on the cooperative game theory at the grid scale, to quantitatively characterize the relative contributions of every motivating factor to ES trade-off/synergy relationships. The results indicate that from 1980 to 2020, forests and croplands constituted the predominant land use types, taking up 88% of the studied area. Throughout this period, forests, croplands, and grasslands decreased markedly, while built-up areas expanded notably, with a rise of 2876.65 km². Over the same time span, WY increased on average by 0.50% whereas SC, HQ, and CS declined by 0.50%, 0.98%, and 1.30%, respectively. Overall, these ESs demonstrated a geographical distribution characterized by low levels in SC, HQ and CS in the central area and high levels towards the provincial boundary. At the grid scale, the four ESs demonstrated predominantly a synergistic relationship while WY&HQ and WY&SC pairs were characterized by trade-offs. The constraint effect analysis revealed U-shaped relationships for SC&HQ, WY&HQ, and WY&SC, and inverted U-shaped relationships for SC&CS and HQ&CS, with clear threshold effects among these ES pairs. Based on self-organizing maps, the study area is partitioned into six ESBs, and the trade-off/synergy linkages of ESs are affected by the interplay of natural and societal forces. Elevation, slope, and rainfall emerge as the primary driving variables accompanied by population density and proximity to urban centers. These results are anticipated to offer reference to governments for their sustainable management in environmental resources to achieve United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 15 (Life on Land: Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems). The methods used in this paper provide a replicable framework for exploring ES interactions and driving mechanisms in other ecologically sensitive regions in the world. Full article

Exploring future habitat quality changes in the Mid-Section of the Tianshan Mountains (MSTM) is crucial for regional biodiversity conservation. This study utilizes climate projection data from CMIP6 and integrates the SD-PLUS-InVEST analytical framework to simulate future LULC and habitat quality under three distinct future scenarios. Additionally, the XGBoost-SHAP model is applied to identify and interpret the key regulatory factors within the modeling framework that influence habitat quality spatial heterogeneity. The results show the following: (1) the projections under the three 2035 scenarios generally follow the development trend of 2020, with continued spread of dry land and construction land, but general reduction in the ecological land, reflecting an intensifying conflict between land development and ecological preservation. (2) Habitat quality varies significantly across scenarios, generally exhibiting a “U-shaped” distribution pattern characterized by larger areas of high and low quality and smaller areas of moderate quality. Within the SSP5–8.5 scenario, habitat quality is relatively poor, accompanied by pronounced spatial heterogeneity and imbalance. (3) NDVI is identified as the dominant factor influencing habitat quality spatial heterogeneity, followed by GDP, TEM, and DEM. Although the influence of these factors varies slightly across scenarios, their relative importance remains generally consistent, reflecting the structural stability and response coherence of the ecosystem. Full article

The spatio-temporal dynamics of ecosystem services (ESs) are essential for ecological restoration and sustainable management in arid regions. Although ESs have been extensively studied in sandy landscapes, research on the multi-model evaluation of various ESs remains limited. This study assessed the spatio-temporal quantification and driving factors of, and interrelationships among, Net Primary Productivity (NPP), Habitat Quality (HQ), Carbon Stock (C), Water Yield (WY), and Soil Retention (SR) in the Horqin Sandy Land. This assessment utilized the InVEST model, the CASA model, geographic detectors, and Spearman correlation analysis. The results indicate the following: (1) From 2000 to 2024, land use transformation in the Horqin Sandy Land was characterized by a substantial reduction in fixed sand dunes (−1047 km²) and a shift toward dryland and semi-fluid sand dunes, while semi-fixed sand dunes and forested areas expanded significantly. (2) NPP, HQ, and SR exhibited an overall increase with notable spatial improvement, whereas WY experienced a general decline. The changes in each service displayed marked differentiation in both time and space. (3) NDVI, land use and precipitation are the dominant factors of different services, and the explanatory power of the interaction among these factors is generally stronger, jointly driving the spatial pattern of ecosystem services. (4) The collaboration and trade-off relationships among services evolve dynamically over time. Among them, the transformation from trade-off to collaboration between C and WY is the most prominent, and the spatial distribution of various relationships shows significant regional heterogeneity. The research results provide a scientific basis for revealing the ecological restoration in arid areas. Full article

Identifying the multi-scale drivers of ecosystem service (ES) trade-off intensity is essential for promoting regional sustainability. However, the existing multi-scale ES studies typically rely on predefined administrative units or fixed grid sizes due to the absence of scientifically sound scale-partitioning approaches, which limits the identification of characteristic scales and obscures scale-dependent interactions. This study broke new ground by combining continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and optimal parameter geographic detector (OPGD) to automatically identify the characteristic scales of trade-offs between ecosystem services, thus opening up a new avenue in multi-scale studies. Taking China’s plain–mountain transition zone as a case study, we evaluate trade-off intensity among four key ecosystem services—water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), soil conservation (SC), and carbon storage (CS). The results show that the following: (1) The identification of 36 characteristic scales (ranging from 5 km to 55 km) indicates that ecosystem service trade-offs operate across a wide range of spatial extents, implying that a single management scale cannot effectively address all ES interactions. (2) From 2000 to 2020, CS-HQ, SC-HQ, and WY-HQ trade-off intensities were jointly driven by both natural conditions and human activities, whereas CS-SC was predominantly influenced by natural and climatic factors. The trade-off intensities between CS-WY and WY-SC were mainly controlled by climatic forces. (3) The explanatory power (q value) of each factor varied distinctly with spatial scale, and the interaction effects between multiple factors were substantially stronger than their individual effects. This indicates that ecosystem service trade-offs are primarily governed by coupled processes rather than isolated drivers. Consequently, management strategies targeting single drivers are unlikely to be effective. Instead, ecosystem management should be designed around combinations of drivers that operate at specific spatial scales and provide a concrete pathway for translating trade-off analyses into spatially differentiated management actions. Full article

Desertification is an ever-growing global ecological and environmental problem. With the implementation of various ecological restoration initiatives, vegetation cover in many desert regions has increased substantially. Consequently, it is essential to understand the dynamics of ecosystem services (ESs) in desert ecosystems to better inform environmental management. This study integrates the InVEST model, RWEQ model, Spearman correlation analysis, trade-off and synergy coefficient method, and the Partial Least Squares Path Model (PLS-PM) to systematically assess the spatio-temporal dynamics and underlying driving mechanisms of five key ESs in the Kubuqi (KBQ) Desert, northern China. Specifically, the application of PLS-PM enables the identification of latent pathways, indirect effects, and multi-step causal relationships, which traditional correlation-based methods fail to capture. The results show that the KBQ Desert underwent substantial land use changes from 2000 to 2020: sandy land decreased by 2697.83 km², grassland increased by 1864.15 km², and cropland and urban land expanded by 519.15 km² and 257.74 km², respectively. ESs exhibited divergent trajectories. habitat quality (HQ), carbon sequestration (CS), soil conservation (SC), and water yield (WY) all showed overall increases, with WY and SC increasing particularly strongly, whereas Sand-fixation service (G) displayed a fluctuating trend. Over the past two decades, HQ–CS, HQ–G, and CS–G have shown moderately strong synergies, while CS–WY has exhibited a pronounced trade-off, and SC–G and SC–CS have displayed relatively weaker trade-offs. The spatial distribution results of trade-off and synergy relationships show that the KBQ Desert is dominated by a synergy relationship, and the main synergy relationship combinations are CS–HQ, CS–SC, and HQ–SC. The correlation coefficients between other ES pairs are generally low. Additionally, this study identifies key pathways through the PLS-PM method, such as PRE → NDVI → ES and LU → NDVI → ES, revealing the complex interactions between precipitation (PRE), land use (LU), and vegetation dynamics. The findings show that land use (LU) consistently exerts a strong negative impact on CS, while PRE and NDVI have a significant positive effect on WY. These pathways deepen our understanding of how climate and anthropogenic factors affect ESs, particularly the influence of temperature (TEMP) on evapotranspiration (ETP), which in turn affects WY. Additionally, the impact of NDVI on wind–sand fixation (G) and SC varies over time, with vegetation dynamics playing a particularly enhanced role in 2010 and 2015. These findings highlight the impact of ecological restoration and land management on regional ESs changes. A comprehensive understanding of the interactions between climate factors, LU, and vegetation dynamics will help in developing more effective intervention strategies. Full article