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Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have been deteriorating global water bodies, and the accurate prediction of algal dynamics using the modelling method is a challenging research area. High-frequency monitoring and deep learning technology have opened up new horizons for HAB forecasting. However, the non-stationary and stochastic process behind algal dynamics monitoring largely limits the prediction performance and the early warning of algal booms. Through an analysis of the published literature, we found that decomposition methods are widely used in time-series analysis for hydrological processes. Predictions of ecological indicators have received less attention due to their inherent fluctuations. This study explores and demonstrates the predictive enhancement for chlorophyll fluorescence data based on the coupling of three decomposition algorithms with conventional deep learning models: the convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). We found that the decomposition algorithms can successfully capture the time-series patterns of chlorophyll fluorescence concentrations. The results indicate that decomposition-based models can enhance the accuracy of single models in predicting chlorophyll concentrations in terms of the improvement percentages in RMSE (with increases ranging from 25.7% to 71.3%), MAE (ranging from 28.3% to 75.7%), and R² values (increasing ranging from 14.8% to 34.8%). In addition, the comparison experiment for different decomposition methods might suggest the superiority of singular spectral analysis in hourly predictive tasks of chlorophyll fluorescence over the wavelet transform and empirical mode decomposition models. Overall, while decomposition methods come with their respective strengths and weaknesses, they are undeniably efficient in combination with deep learning models in dealing with the high-frequency monitoring of chlorophyll fluorescence data. We also suggest that model developers pay more attention to online data preprocessing and conduct comparative analyses to determine the best model combinations for forecasting algal blooms and water management. Full article

Cyclic imine toxins are neurotoxic, macrocyclic compounds produced by marine dinoflagellates. Mass spectrometric screenings of extracts from natural plankton assemblages revealed a high chemical diversity among this toxin class, yet only few toxins are structurally known. Here we report the structural characterization of four novel cyclic-imine toxins (two gymnodimines (GYMs) and two spirolides (SPXs)) from cultures of Alexandrium ostenfeldii. A GYM with m/z 510 (1) was identified as 16-desmethylGYM D. A GYM with m/z 526 was identified as the hydroxylated degradation product of (1) with an exocyclic methylene at C-17 and an allylic hydroxyl group at C-18. This compound was named GYM E (2). We further identified a SPX with m/z 694 as 20-hydroxy-13,19-didesmethylSPX C (10) and a SPX with m/z 696 as 20-hydroxy-13,19-didesmethylSPX D (11). This is the first report of GYMs without a methyl group at ring D and SPXs with hydroxyl groups at position C-20. These compounds can be conceived as derivatives of the same nascent polyketide chain, supporting the hypothesis that GYMs and SPXs are produced through common biosynthetic genes. Both novel GYMs 1 and 2 were detected in significant amounts in extracts from natural plankton assemblages (1: 447 pg; 2: 1250 pg; 11: 40 pg per mL filtered seawater respectively). Full article