Search Results (5)

Irony and sarcasm are forms of expression that emphasize the inconsistency between what is said and what is meant. Correctly classifying such expressions is an important text mining problem, especially on user-centered platforms such as social media. Due to the increasing prevalence of implicit expressions, this topic has become a significant area of research in Natural Language Processing (NLP). However, the simultaneous detection of ironic and sarcastic expressions is highly challenging, as both types of implicit sentiments often convey closely related meanings. To address the detection of irony and sarcasm, this study compares the performance of transformer-based models and an ensemble learning method on Turkish texts, using five textual datasets—monogram, bigram, trigram, quadrigram, and omnigram—that share the same textual content but differ in context length. To improve classification performance, an ensemble learning approach based on the Artificial Rabbit Optimization (ARO) algorithm was implemented, combining the outputs of the models to produce final predictions. The experimental results indicate that as the context width of the datasets increases, the models achieve better predictions, leading to improvements across all performance metrics. The ensemble learning method outperformed individual models in all metrics, with performance increasing as the context expanded, achieving the highest success in the omnigram dataset with 76.71% accuracy, 74.64% precision, 73.29% sensitivity, and 73.96% F-Score. This study demonstrates that both model architecture and data structure are decisive factors in text classification performance, showing that community methods can make significant contributions to the effectiveness of deep learning solutions in low-resource languages. Full article

In this study, we compare two novel hybrid data assimilation (DA) methods: Localized Weighted Ensemble Kalman filter (LWEnKF) and Implicit Equal-Weights Variational Particle Smoother (IEWVPS). These methods integrate a particle filter (PF) with traditional DA methods. LWEnKF combines the PF with EnKF, while IEWVPS integrates the PF with the four-dimensional variational (4DVAR) method. These hybrid DA methods not only overcome the limitations of linear or Gaussian assumptions in traditional assimilation methods but also address the issue of filter degeneracy in high-dimensional models encountered by pure PFs. Using the Regional Ocean Model System (ROMS), the effects of different DA methods for mesoscale eddies in the northern South China Sea (SCS) are examined using simulation experiments. The hybrid DA methods outperform the linear deterministic variational and Kalman filter methods: compared to the control experiment (no assimilation), EnKF, LWEnKF, IS4DVar and IEWVPS reduce the sea level anomaly (SLA) root-mean-squared error (RMSE) by 55%, 65%, 65% and 80%, respectively, and reduce the sea surface temperature (SST) RMSE by 77%, 78%, 74% and 82%, respectively. In the short-term assimilation experiment, IEWVPS exhibits superior performance and greater stability compared to 4DVAR, and LWEnKF outperforms EnKF (LWEnKF’s posterior SLA RMSE is 0.03 m, lower than EnKF’s value of 0.04 m). Long-term forecasting experiments (16 days, starting on 20 July 2017) are also conducted for mesoscale eddy prediction. The variational methods (especially IEWVPS) perform better in simulating the flow field characteristics of eddies (maintaining accurate eddy structure for the first 10 days, with an average SLA RMSE of 0.05 m in the studied AE1 eddy region), while the filters are more advantageous in determining the total root-mean-squared error (RMSE), as well as the temperature under the sea surface. Overall, compared to EnKF and 4DVAR, the hybrid DA methods better predict mesoscale eddies across both short- and long-term timescales. Although the computational costs of hybrid DA are higher, they are still acceptable: specifically, IEWVPS takes approximately 907 s for a single assimilation cycle, whereas LWEnKF only takes 24 s, and its assimilation accuracy in the later stage can approach that of IEWVPS. Given the computational demands arising from increased model resolution, these hybrid DA methods have great potential for future applications. Full article

Terrestrial and satellite communications, tactical data links, positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT), as well as distributed sensing will continue to require precise timing and the ability to synchronize and disseminate time effectively. However, the supply of space-qualified clocks that meet Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-level performance standards is limited. As the awareness of potential disruptions to GNSS due to adversarial actions grows, the current reliance on GNSS-level timing appears costly and outdated. This is especially relevant given the benefits of developing robust and stable time scale references in orbit, especially as various alternatives to GNSS are being explored. The onboard realization of clock ensembles is particularly promising for applications such as those providing the on-demand dissemination of a reference time scale for navigation services via a proliferated Low-Earth Orbit (pLEO) constellation. This article investigates potential inter-satellite network architectures for coordinating time and frequency across pLEO platforms. These architectures dynamically allocate radio resources for clock data transport based on the requirements for pLEO time scale formations. Additionally, this work proposes a model-based control system for wireless networked timekeeping systems. It envisions the optimal placement of critical information concerning the implicit ensemble mean (IEM) estimation across a multi-platform clock ensemble, which can offer better stability than relying on any single ensemble member. This approach aims to reduce data traffic flexibly. By making the IEM estimation sensor more intelligent and running it on the anchor platform while also optimizing the steering of remote frequency standards on participating platforms, the networked control system can better predict the future behavior of local reference clocks paired with low-noise oscillators. This system would then send precise IEM estimation information at critical moments to ensure a common pLEO time scale is realized across all participating platforms. Clock steering is essential for establishing these time scales, and the effectiveness of the realization depends on the selected control intervals and steering techniques. To enhance performance reliability beyond what the existing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) control technique can provide, the minimal-cost-variance (MCV) control theory is proposed for clock steering operations. The steering process enabled by the MCV control technique significantly impacts the overall performance reliability of the time scale, which is generated by the onboard ensemble of compact, lightweight, and low-power clocks. This is achieved by minimizing the variance of the chi-squared random performance of LQG control while maintaining a constraint on its mean. Full article

Under the motivation of the great success of four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation methods and the advantages of ensemble methods (e.g., Ensemble Kalman Filters and Particle Filters) in numerical weather prediction systems, we introduce the implicit equal-weights particle filter scheme in the weak constraint 4D-Var framework which avoids the filter degeneracy through implicit sampling in high-dimensional situations. The new variational particle smoother (varPS) method has been tested and explored using the Lorenz96 model with dimensions $N_x=40$ , $N_x=100$ , $N_x=250$ , and $N_x=400$ . The results show that the new varPS method does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality by construction and the root mean square error (RMSE) in the new varPS is comparable with the ensemble 4D-Var method. As a combination of the implicit equal-weights particle filter and weak constraint 4D-Var, the new method improves the RMSE compared with the implicit equal-weights particle filter and LETKF (local ensemble transformed Kalman filter) methods and enlarges the ensemble spread compared with ensemble 4D-Var scheme. To overcome the difficulty of the implicit equal-weights particle filter in real geophysical application, the posterior error covariance matrix is estimated using a limited ensemble and can be calculated in parallel. In general, this new varPS performs slightly better in ensemble quality (the balance between the RMSE and ensemble spread) than the ensemble 4D-Var and has the potential to be applied into real geophysical systems. Full article

Ensembles of general circulation model (GCM) integrations yield predictions for meteorological conditions in future months. Such predictions have implicit uncertainty resulting from model structure, parameter uncertainty, and fundamental randomness in the physical system. In this work, we build probabilistic models for long-term forecasts that include the GCM ensemble values as inputs but incorporate statistical correction of GCM biases and different treatments of uncertainty. Specifically, we present, and evaluate against observations, several versions of a probabilistic forecast for gridded air temperature 1 month ahead based on ensemble members of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2). We compare the forecast performance against a baseline climatology based probabilistic forecast, using average information gain as a skill metric. We find that the error in the CFSv2 output is better represented by the climatological variance than by the distribution of ensemble members because the GCM ensemble sometimes suffers from unrealistically little dispersion. Lack of ensemble spread leads a probabilistic forecast whose variance is based on the ensemble dispersion alone to underperform relative to a baseline probabilistic forecast based only on climatology, even when the ensemble mean is corrected for bias. We also show that a combined regression based model that includes climatology, temperature from recent months, trend, and the GCM ensemble mean yields a probabilistic forecast that outperforms approaches using only past observations or GCM outputs. Improvements in predictive skill from the combined probabilistic forecast vary spatially, with larger gains seen in traditionally hard to predict regions such as the Arctic. Full article