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18 pages, 3285 KB  
Article
Research on the Preparation of Red Mud High-Performance Cement Mortar and the Corresponding Resistance to Dry–Wet Alternation Cycles of Exposure to Chloride and Sulfate Solutions
by Ligai Bai, Chunying Zhu, Jian Zhang, Jiameng Wan, Junzhe Liu, Kangshuo Xia, Feiting Shi and Huihui Tong
Coatings 2026, 16(4), 484; https://doi.org/10.3390/coatings16040484 - 17 Apr 2026
Abstract
The accumulation of highly alkaline red mud poses serious environmental risks due to land occupation and potential soil/groundwater contamination. Recycling red mud as a secondary resource offers an eco-friendly solution, yet its influence on the performance of high-performance mortar (HPM) remains incompletely understood, [...] Read more.
The accumulation of highly alkaline red mud poses serious environmental risks due to land occupation and potential soil/groundwater contamination. Recycling red mud as a secondary resource offers an eco-friendly solution, yet its influence on the performance of high-performance mortar (HPM) remains incompletely understood, particularly in aggressive environments. This study aims to systematically evaluate the effects of red mud on the fresh and hardened properties of HPM, including rheological parameters, setting time, mechanical strength, drying shrinkage, and sulfate dry–wet erosion resistance. The novelty lies in (1) quantifying the nonlinear relationships between red mud content and rheological/setting behaviors, (2) revealing the dual effect of red mud with curing age, and (3) using XRD/SEM-EDS to elucidate the micro-mechanisms related to hydration products and elemental changes (Al and Fe). The results show that increasing red mud content reduces slump flow (max 76.03%), plastic viscosity (46.7%), and yield stress (42.3%) while also shortening initial/final setting times (67.91% and 76.18% max reductions). At curing ages below 7 days, flexural and compressive strength increase (up to 64.53% and 33.35%, respectively), following cubic functions; however, at 7 and 28 days, both strength values decrease (max reductions of 13.43% and 12.98%). Red mud increases drying shrinkage and delays sulfate-induced degradation. Microstructural analysis reveals improved compactness of hydration products at early ages but reduced compactness at later ages, accompanied by increased Al/Fe content and enhanced SiO2/calcium silicate hydrate crystals. These findings provide valuable insights for applying red mud HPM in marine environments. Full article
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24 pages, 6766 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Analysis and Multi-Scenario Projection of Soil Erosion in the Loess Plateau Using the PLUS-CSLE Model
by Xiaohan Su, Haijing Shi, Yangyang Liu, Zhongming Wen, Ye Wang, Guang Yang, Yufei Zhang and Xihua Yang
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(8), 1202; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18081202 - 16 Apr 2026
Abstract
Soil erosion remains a critical ecological challenge on China’s Loess Plateau (LP), where fragile geomorphology and intensive human activities jointly amplify land degradation risks. As land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) is a primary determinant of erosion processes, clarifying the nexus between land patterns [...] Read more.
Soil erosion remains a critical ecological challenge on China’s Loess Plateau (LP), where fragile geomorphology and intensive human activities jointly amplify land degradation risks. As land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) is a primary determinant of erosion processes, clarifying the nexus between land patterns and erosion intensity is essential for formulating effective conservation strategies. This study integrates the Chinese Soil Loss Equation (CSLE) with the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of soil erosion from 2000 to 2020 and project future patterns for 2060 under five scenarios: Natural Development (ND), Ecological Protection (EP), Economic Development (ED), Cropland Protection (CP), and Planning Guidance (PG). Results indicate a fluctuating decline in LP soil erosion during 2000–2020, marked by a transition toward predominantly slight erosion (~70% of the total area), while high-intensity erosion remained concentrated in central and western cropland and grassland. Scenario projections reveal pronounced divergence in erosion outcomes. The EP scenario, characterized by sustained vegetation expansion, demonstrated the highest efficacy in erosion mitigation. Conversely, the ED scenario exhibited the most severe erosion risk due to urban expansion into ecological areas. The PG scenario effectively reconciled the trade-offs between ecological conservation and socioeconomic demands, maintaining a balanced erosion control performance. In the context of global climate change, the complexity of soil and water conservation governance is expected to intensify. This study suggests that future efforts should focus on scientifically guiding the evolution of land-use patterns through sustainable spatial planning. Furthermore, targeted engineering and biological conservation measures must bae implemented for high-risk land categories to ensure the long-term stability of the regional ecological security barrier. Full article
24 pages, 7609 KB  
Article
CGHD: Dual-Temporal Dataset of Composite Geological Hazards via Multi-Source Optical Remote Sensing Images
by Yuebao Wang, Guang Yang, Xiaotong Guo, Wangze Lu, Rongxiang Liu, Meng Huang and Shuai Liu
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(8), 1198; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18081198 - 16 Apr 2026
Abstract
Geological hazards are characterized by their sudden occurrence, high destructiveness, and wide spatial impact. In particular, landslides and debris flows triggered by earthquakes and intense rainfall often lead to severe casualties and substantial property losses. Therefore, the rapid delineation of affected areas is [...] Read more.
Geological hazards are characterized by their sudden occurrence, high destructiveness, and wide spatial impact. In particular, landslides and debris flows triggered by earthquakes and intense rainfall often lead to severe casualties and substantial property losses. Therefore, the rapid delineation of affected areas is crucial for disaster assessment and post-disaster reconstruction. To this end, several geohazard datasets have been developed from remote sensing imagery, focusing on specific regions, disaster types, and data sources, providing valuable support for geohazard detection and risk assessment. Our study addresses the diversity of real-world geological disasters in terms of their types, causes, and spatial distribution and constructs the Composite Geological Hazards Dataset (CGHD), a dual-temporal geohazard dataset that enhances generalisation and practical applicability. CGHD incorporates pre- and post-disaster remote sensing images of 14 landslide and debris flow events that occurred worldwide between 2017 and 2024, collected using four remote sensing platforms and encompassing multiple spatial scales and land-cover categories. The affected areas varied significantly in size and shape, with land-cover types including roads, buildings, vegetation, farmland, and water bodies. This resulted in 3963 pairs of pre- and post-disaster images, each with a size of 1024 × 1024 pixels. We validated the reliability of the CGHD through experiments with nine change-detection models and further evaluated its generalisation capability using an unseen dataset. The experimental results demonstrate that CGHD achieves high recognition accuracy and strong generalisation across diverse geographic environments, providing comprehensive data support for intelligent geohazard recognition and disaster assessment. Full article
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35 pages, 6368 KB  
Article
Twenty-Four Years of Land Cover Land Use Change in Gasabo, Rwanda, and Projection for 2032
by Ngoga Iradukunda Fred, Alishir Kurban, Anwar Eziz, Toqeer Ahmed, Egide Hakorimana, Justin Nsanzabaganwa, Isaac Nzayisenga, Schadrack Niyonsenga and Hossein Azadi
Land 2026, 15(4), 655; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15040655 - 16 Apr 2026
Abstract
Urbanisation reshapes Land Cover and Land Use (LCLU) by driving deforestation, wetland loss, and the conversion of natural and agricultural areas into built environments. However, integrated analyses of LCLU change in response to climate variability in topographically complex, rapidly urbanising African cities remain [...] Read more.
Urbanisation reshapes Land Cover and Land Use (LCLU) by driving deforestation, wetland loss, and the conversion of natural and agricultural areas into built environments. However, integrated analyses of LCLU change in response to climate variability in topographically complex, rapidly urbanising African cities remain limited. Therefore, this study examined 2000–2024 LCLU changes in hilly Gasabo District (Kigali, Rwanda) using 30 m Landsat imagery and a Random Trees classifier (92.7% accuracy, 70/30 train-test split), with 2032 projections via a population-driven hybrid trend model. Population estimates/projections 320,516 in 2002 to 967,512 in 2024, 1.41 million by 2032, were derived from Rwanda’s census data and exponential growth modelling (calibrated to 5.05% annual growth). Rapid population growth has driven a 539% expansion of Built-up Areas, accompanied by notable declines in cropland and Forest. Local climate trends (Meteo Rwanda stations) aligned with global datasets (ERA5-Land and CHIRPS): rainfall fluctuation and temperature rose, with strong correlations between population-driven Built-up Areas expansion. From 2024 to 2032, LCLU projections indicate that Built-up Areas will continue to expand by 29.5%. Cropland was forecast to decline to 15.9%, while Forest loss slowed to 5.7%. MLR analysis revealed strong correlations between population-driven expansion of Built-up Areas, cropland/forest loss, warming, and rainfall fluctuations in Gasabo. An ARDL model was applied to address multicollinearity among LCLU predictors, which limited the interpretation of individual coefficients, and confirmed the core MLR correlation trends, with statistically significant (p < 0.05) coefficients. The results highlight the need for data-driven spatial planning in Gasabo (stricter zoning, high-rise buildings, targeted reforestation, climate-resilient green infrastructure) to mitigate population and urbanisation-driven environmental degradation. Full article
17 pages, 1795 KB  
Article
An Edge-Aware Change Detection Network Toward Urban Construction Land Change Identification
by Wuyi Cai, Gongming Li, Yanlong Zhang and Yonghong Mo
Buildings 2026, 16(8), 1573; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16081573 - 16 Apr 2026
Abstract
As urbanization transitions from incremental expansion to the optimized utilization of existing construction land, the precise identification of land-use status and changes has become a core requirement for enhancing refined land resource management. However, in urban built environments characterized by dense object distributions [...] Read more.
As urbanization transitions from incremental expansion to the optimized utilization of existing construction land, the precise identification of land-use status and changes has become a core requirement for enhancing refined land resource management. However, in urban built environments characterized by dense object distributions and complex geometric contours, existing change detection methods often struggle to capture subtle boundaries, leading to edge blurring and loss of detail. To address these challenges, this study proposes an Edge-aware Change Detection Network for urban construction land change identification. The model features a shared Siamese encoding network based on MiT-B1, leveraging its hierarchical multi-scale attention mechanism to balance local detail extraction with long-range semantic dependency capture, thereby overcoming the limitations of monolithic feature extraction. Furthermore, a multi-level feature concatenation and fusion strategy is designed to align and interact with bi-temporal features along the channel dimension, significantly enhancing the saliency and discriminative representation of change areas. Experimental results on the Yongzhou building change detection dataset demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in both visual recognition and quantitative metrics. It effectively resolves the difficulty of boundary definition in complex urban scenarios, providing localized high-precision technical support for the assessment and dynamic monitoring of construction land within the study area. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Energy, Physics, Environment, and Systems)
19 pages, 3646 KB  
Article
Impact of Unprotected Area (UPA) Deforestation on Amazonian Climate: Mapping Regional Shifts and Localized Risk
by Corrie Monteverde, Fernando De Sales, Trent W. Biggs, Katrina Mullan, Charles Jones and Mariana Vedoveto
Climate 2026, 14(4), 85; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14040085 - 16 Apr 2026
Abstract
Deforestation in unprotected areas (UPAs) within the Brazilian Amazon affects environmental sustainability and regional climate. This study quantifies shifts in near-surface air temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration (ET) during the dry season resulting from UPA loss. Utilizing a five-year ensemble (2015–2019) to isolate the [...] Read more.
Deforestation in unprotected areas (UPAs) within the Brazilian Amazon affects environmental sustainability and regional climate. This study quantifies shifts in near-surface air temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration (ET) during the dry season resulting from UPA loss. Utilizing a five-year ensemble (2015–2019) to isolate the climatic response from interannual variability, simulations indicate a warmer (+1.0 ± 0.4 °C) and drier climate, characterized by a basin-wide 12 ± 8% reduction in precipitation and a 12 ± 4% reduction in ET following UPA removal. This shifted climate state extends to Rondônia, a southwestern state where detailed risk mapping was developed by integrating changes in climate variables with socio-economic, agricultural, and demographic. UPA deforestation, largely external to Rondônia, is associated with a simulated decrease in precipitation by 20 ± 7% and ET by 11 ± 9% coupled with an increase in air temperature by 1.2 ± 0.4 °C. These shifts indicate increased vulnerability for municipalities, including the capital, potentially affecting agricultural productivity. Findings suggest that to protect remaining forests these biophysical risks must be mitigated. This study establishes a spatial framework for identifying municipalities most suceptible to the climatic shifts triggered by UPA loss. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate and Human-Driven Impacts on Tropical Rainforests)
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30 pages, 7865 KB  
Article
An Integrated, Modular Analytical Workflow Framework (DRIBS) for Revealing NPP Driving Mechanisms, Constraint Boundaries, and Management Priority Zones in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions
by Yusen Wang, Wenrui Zhang, Limin Duan, Xin Tong and Tingxi Liu
Land 2026, 15(4), 651; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15040651 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Net primary productivity (NPP) is a critical indicator of carbon sequestration and biomass accumulation in terrestrial ecosystems, directly reflecting ecosystem carbon sink capacity. Existing NPP studies have primarily emphasized climate-driven interannual variability. Spatially explicit analyses that jointly quantify multi-factor driving mechanisms, thresholds, and [...] Read more.
Net primary productivity (NPP) is a critical indicator of carbon sequestration and biomass accumulation in terrestrial ecosystems, directly reflecting ecosystem carbon sink capacity. Existing NPP studies have primarily emphasized climate-driven interannual variability. Spatially explicit analyses that jointly quantify multi-factor driving mechanisms, thresholds, and land-use transition risks remain limited. Here, we develop an integrated multi-method analytical workflow (DRIBS) that integrates Distributional Response, Informative Boundary constraints, and Spatial Interpretability Optimization, and apply it to the Jiziwan region in the Yellow River Basin, one of China’s major ecological restoration hotspot regions. From 2000 to 2020, the annual increasing rate of NPP was 5.80 gC·m⁻²·yr⁻¹, and 78% of the area showed a significant increasing trend. Among them, grasslands and croplands in the eastern and western parts exhibited strong fluctuations and low long-term stability. Evapotranspiration (ET) and fractional vegetation cover (FVC) were the dominant drivers of NPP spatial heterogeneity, and precipitation around ~220 mm marked a critical water-stress threshold. Population density and nighttime lights showed a non-linear “ecological adaptation window”, implying both disturbance and management potential. Land-use transitions exhibited divergent risk signatures: grassland/cropland-to-forest transitions produced stable enhancement (priority restoration zones), whereas cropland/unused-to-urban transitions were associated with degradation risk (urgent management). Overall, DRIBS provides an interpretable “change-mechanism-threshold-risk” assessment to support carbon-sink regulation and restoration prioritization in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article
17 pages, 2884 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Vegetation Net Primary Productivity and Its Responses to Evapotranspiration, Temperature, and Precipitation in the Mu Us Sandy Land (2001–2023)
by Zezhong Zhang, Shuang Zhao, Yajun Zhou, Yingjie Wu, Wenjun Wang, Weijie Zhang and Cunhou Zhang
Land 2026, 15(4), 652; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15040652 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Net primary productivity (NPP) and its response to global climate change are one of the hot topics in global change research. Based on Net primary productivity remote sensing data and meteorological data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal variation in vegetation NPP in Maowusu [...] Read more.
Net primary productivity (NPP) and its response to global climate change are one of the hot topics in global change research. Based on Net primary productivity remote sensing data and meteorological data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal variation in vegetation NPP in Maowusu sandy land by using Sen trend analysis, Mann–Kendall significance test, coefficient of variation stability analysis, partial correlation and complex correlation analysis, and quantitatively analyzed the response of vegetation NPP to climate factors. The results showed that from 2001 to 2023, the overall vegetation NPP showed a significant upward trend, and the annual average increased from 124.28 g·(m−2·a)−1 to 221.41 g·(m−2·a)−1. The Theil–Sen median slope of NPP was +3.87 g·(m−2·a)−1 with a coefficient of variation (CV) of 0.19, suggesting a robust but spatially variable greening trend. In total, 98.53% of the area showed an upward trend, with a very significant and significant increase area. The overall stability of vegetation NPP was strong, with an average coefficient of variation (CV) of 0.19 and a CV< of 0.30 in 97.96% of the regions, but the local area from southwest to east was highly volatile and there was a risk of secondary desertification. The influence of climate factors on vegetation NPP had significant spatial heterogeneity: precipitation was the key driving factor, and most areas were positively correlated. Potential evapotranspiration was positively correlated in the central and northern regions, and negatively correlated in some southern areas. The overall temperature has a negative effect, and only the local area has a weak promoting effect. Multi-correlation analysis shows that vegetation NPP is the result of the synergy of multiple climatic factors, and the hydrothermal coupling mechanism plays a decisive role in its spatial pattern. This study can provide a scientific basis for the restoration of vegetation ecosystems, environmental protection policy formulation, ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin in Maowusu Sandy Land. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land–Climate Interactions)
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26 pages, 639 KB  
Article
Advancing Life Cycle Assessment of Pasture-Based Beef Systems: A High-Resolution Cradle-to-Grave Framework for Global Benchmarking
by Rodolfo Bongiovanni, Leticia Tuninetti, Javier Echazarreta, Ana Muzlera Klappenbach, Javier Lozano, Leonel Alisio and Mariano Avilés
Sustainability 2026, 18(8), 3930; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18083930 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Beef production is widely recognized as a significant contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions, making robust and transparent environmental assessments essential for advancing sustainability within supply chains. This study applies a comprehensive cradle-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) to evaluate the environmental performance of [...] Read more.
Beef production is widely recognized as a significant contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions, making robust and transparent environmental assessments essential for advancing sustainability within supply chains. This study applies a comprehensive cradle-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) to evaluate the environmental performance of beef destined for export, following ISO 14040, ISO 14044 and ISO 14067 standards and the Product Category Rules for meat of mammals. Sixteen impact categories were quantified for 1 kg of vacuum-packed beef using detailed primary data from a pasture-based production system and a representative processing facility. The total climate change impact was 3.27 × 101 kg CO2eq, with enteric methane and feed production jointly responsible for over 70% of overall impacts. Slaughtering and distribution were associated mainly with fossil energy use and ozone depletion, while soil carbon sequestration partially compensated biogenic emissions. The results were consistent with international benchmarks, highlighting the environmental advantages of pasture-based systems, low fertilizer use, and stable land management. Key hotspots were identified in animal growth, feed efficiency, and manure management, with logistics also contributing notably. Overall, the study provides a high-resolution environmental baseline that can support Environmental Product Declarations and guide targeted mitigation strategies across beef supply chains. While the results are derived from a specific pasture-based production system, the study is positioned as a case-study-based application of a high-resolution LCA framework, illustrating how detailed inventories can support environmental benchmarking and hotspot identification without implying statistical representativeness of all beef production systems. Full article
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27 pages, 2909 KB  
Article
Integrated Spatial Planning as a Framework for Climate Adaptation in Coastal and Marine Systems
by Francisco Javier Córdoba-Donado, Vicente Negro-Valdecantos, Gregorio Gómez-Pina, Juan J. Muñoz-Pérez and Luis Juan Moreno-Blasco
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(8), 732; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14080732 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Coastal socio-ecological systems are increasingly exposed to the combined pressures of climate change, land-use intensification, hydrological alterations and expanding infrastructure networks. These pressures interact across the land–catchment–lagoon–sea continuum, generating complex feedbacks that challenge traditional planning instruments, which remain sectoral and fragmented. The Mar [...] Read more.
Coastal socio-ecological systems are increasingly exposed to the combined pressures of climate change, land-use intensification, hydrological alterations and expanding infrastructure networks. These pressures interact across the land–catchment–lagoon–sea continuum, generating complex feedbacks that challenge traditional planning instruments, which remain sectoral and fragmented. The Mar Menor (SE Spain), a semi-enclosed Mediterranean lagoon affected by intensive agriculture, urbanisation, hydrological modifications and recurrent extreme climatic events, exemplifies this systemic vulnerability. Existing planning frameworks—local urban plans, regional territorial plans, river basin management plans, maritime spatial plans and lagoon-specific strategies—operate independently, each addressing only a fragment of the system and none integrating climate change as a structuring axis. This article introduces Integrated Spatial Planning (ISP) as a novel territorial–climatic framework designed to overcome these limitations. ISP integrates climate forcing, land uses, catchment processes, lagoon dynamics, marine conditions, critical infrastructures, intermodal and energy corridors and multilevel governance into a single analytical structure. A central component of the methodology is a four-zone multilevel zoning system that connects municipal, regional, basin, marine and EEZ planning domains within a unified territorial–climatic logic. The ISP matrix is applied to the Mar Menor to produce the first holistic diagnosis of the system. Results reveal strong land–sea–catchment interactions, high climatic exposure, vulnerable infrastructures and structural governance fragmentation. The matrix exposes systemic incompatibilities and vulnerabilities that remain invisible in sectoral planning instruments. The discussion demonstrates how ISP clarifies the roles and responsibilities of each governance level, supports multilevel coherence and integrates critical infrastructures and intermodal corridors into climate-resilient planning. ISP reframes climate change as the organising principle of territorial planning and provides a replicable, scalable methodology for coastal socio-ecological systems facing accelerating climate pressures. The Mar Menor case illustrates the urgent need for integrated territorial–climatic governance and positions ISP as a scientifically robust and operationally viable pathway for long-term adaptation and resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Marine Climate Models and Environmental Dynamics)
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30 pages, 1376 KB  
Systematic Review
Monitoring Soil Fertility Trends Linked to Arable Land-Use Change in Hungary, 2000–2020: A Systematic Review Integrating Field and Remote Sensing Data
by Ronald Kuunya, Magdoline Mustafa Ahmed Osman, Brian Ssemugenze, András Tamás and Péter Ragán
Agriculture 2026, 16(8), 876; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16080876 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Quantifying the effects of land-use changes on soil fertility is essential for agricultural planning, yet long-term analyses combining field and remote sensing data remain scarce in Hungary. This systematic review followed PRISMA 2020 guidelines to assess arable land fertility trends between 2000 and [...] Read more.
Quantifying the effects of land-use changes on soil fertility is essential for agricultural planning, yet long-term analyses combining field and remote sensing data remain scarce in Hungary. This systematic review followed PRISMA 2020 guidelines to assess arable land fertility trends between 2000 and 2020. A comprehensive search of WoS, Scopus, and Google Scholar identified 202 records, with 106 studies meeting inclusion criteria. Eligibility required empirical soil data collected from Hungarian arable lands. Among these, 17% reported declines in SOC, 13% indicated nutrient depletion, 36% observed stable or lost fertility, and 34% documented improvements. Regarding monitoring methods, 41% relied solely on field sampling, 44% applied GIS or spatial analyses, and 15% incorporated remote sensing indices such as NDVI. Evidence revealed spatial–temporal heterogeneity: fertility declines occurred in intensively cultivated regions, while western Transdanubia showed stability. Trends were linked to land-use intensification and intermittent reductions in agricultural area. Integration of remote sensing indices, such as NDVI, with field observations enhanced detection of spatial and temporal patterns. These findings underscore the need for harmonised monitoring frameworks, precision agriculture tools, and predictive modelling to support sustainable soil management. Identifying fertility-decline zones informs policy aligned with the EU Soil Strategy 2030 and supports Hungary’s agricultural resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Factors Affecting Soil Fertility and Improvement Measures)
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13 pages, 2093 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Monitoring Agricultural Vegetation Health Under Climate Stress Using NDVI and LST Indices in the Sylhet Region
by Sk. Tanjim Jaman Supto and Md. Nurjaman Ridoy
Biol. Life Sci. Forum 2025, 54(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/blsf2025054035 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Agricultural ecosystems in northeastern Bangladesh are increasingly vulnerable to climate-induced stressors, particularly rising temperatures and seasonal droughts. While previous research has examined the climate’s impact on agriculture in broader contexts, no study has specifically investigated long-term seasonal vegetation and thermal dynamics in Sylhet. [...] Read more.
Agricultural ecosystems in northeastern Bangladesh are increasingly vulnerable to climate-induced stressors, particularly rising temperatures and seasonal droughts. While previous research has examined the climate’s impact on agriculture in broader contexts, no study has specifically investigated long-term seasonal vegetation and thermal dynamics in Sylhet. This study addresses this gap by assessing spatio-temporal variations in vegetation health under climate stress in the Sylhet region from 2005 to 2025 using remote sensing techniques. To investigate this problem, the study derived the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST) from Landsat satellite imagery and evaluated their seasonal behavior across the major cropping periods Rabi, Kharif I, and Kharif II. The relationship between vegetation health and surface temperature was examined using Pearson’s correlation matrix along with a statistical comparison to identify change patterns, transitions among vegetation and thermal stress classes, and the seasonal intensity of climate stress. The findings indicate that increased LST generally corresponds with reduced vegetation cover in lowland agricultural zones, whereas elevated areas with forest or tree covers show an opposite response. Distinct spatial hotspots of thermal stress and drought-prone zones were also identified, particularly during the dry Rabi season. These results highlight the idea that rising LST corresponds with declining NDVI values, indicating that increasing thermal stress and potential reductions in agricultural vegetation productivity and climate stress across Sylhet’s agricultural landscape have intensified markedly from 2005 to 2025, with clear seasonal differences in vulnerability. NDVI analysis reveals a consistent decline in vegetation health, while LST patterns show widespread transitions from moderate to high and severe thermal stress, particularly during the Kharif seasons. The observed NDVI decline under elevated LST conditions indicates reduced vegetation vigor and potential productivity within agricultural lands, rather than a direct reduction in cultivated areas, since NDVI primarily captures vegetation density and physiological condition. The strongest NDVI–LST inverse relationship occurs in Rabi and Kharif I, indicating vegetation’s cooling role, whereas this linkage weakens in Kharif II due to dominant monsoon-driven atmospheric controls. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 3rd International Online Conference on Agriculture)
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30 pages, 22668 KB  
Article
Coupling System Dynamics and Mixed Cellular Automata for Carbon-Economic Optimization in Coastal Zones: A Multi-Scenario Simulation Under SSP-RCPs
by Jiahui Chen, Yuting Jiang, Wenrui Yu and Gang Yang
Land 2026, 15(4), 648; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15040648 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Rising greenhouse gas concentrations have exacerbated global warming, elevating the importance of land use and land cover (LULC) changes in achieving carbon neutrality. This is especially true in coastal areas, which face dual pressures from rapid urbanization and the need to protect carbon [...] Read more.
Rising greenhouse gas concentrations have exacerbated global warming, elevating the importance of land use and land cover (LULC) changes in achieving carbon neutrality. This is especially true in coastal areas, which face dual pressures from rapid urbanization and the need to protect carbon sinks. This study developed an SD-MCCA coupling framework to predict the dynamic changes in LULC in four SSP scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, SSP585) in the coastal zone of Zhejiang Province from 2020 to 2100. Among them, the carbon storage was estimated by the InVEST model, and the dual-target optimization was carried out using the NSGA-II algorithm. Results indicated that construction land expanded significantly across all scenarios (50.3–110.2%), leading to a decline in carbon storage. However, outcomes were highly scenario-dependent; by 2100, carbon storage under the SSP126 pathway (1032.94 Mt) was notably higher than under the SSP585 pathway (1012.90 Mt). Coastal wetlands and forests emerged as major contributors to carbon storage, exhibiting high positive contribution scores, while construction land sites show significant negative correlations. Dual-target optimization achieved collaborative improvement: the optimized SSP126 scenario increased carbon storage by 1.16%, while economic benefits increased by 9.05%. The policy proposal emphasizes the priority of the SSP126 scenario, restricts the expansion of construction land, and enforces the ecological red line of wetlands and forests, guided by the phased Pareto optimal strategy. Full article
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24 pages, 27168 KB  
Article
Remote Sensing-Based Assessment of Pastureland Degradation in Atyrau Oblast, Kazakhstan
by Asyma Koshim, Kanat Samarkhanov, Aigul Sergeyeva, Aliya Aktymbayeva, Kazhmurat Akhmedenov, Aisulu Otepova, Aina Rysmagambetova and Kyrgyzbay Kudaibergen
Sustainability 2026, 18(8), 3905; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18083905 - 15 Apr 2026
Abstract
Pasture ecosystems in the arid regions of Kazakhstan are highly vulnerable to the combined effects of climatic variability and increasing grazing pressure, while long-term spatial assessments of degradation remain limited. This study develops an integrative remote sensing-based framework for assessing pasture degradation in [...] Read more.
Pasture ecosystems in the arid regions of Kazakhstan are highly vulnerable to the combined effects of climatic variability and increasing grazing pressure, while long-term spatial assessments of degradation remain limited. This study develops an integrative remote sensing-based framework for assessing pasture degradation in Atyrau Oblast by combining long-term NDVI time series (2000–2023) with grazing pressure indicators (Ksust and LIPS), field observations, and climatic data. The results show that 49.3% of pasturelands are degraded, with statistically significant negative NDVI trends observed across most administrative districts. Areas experiencing pasture overload (Ksust > 1.2) spatially coincide with persistent vegetation decline, and significant negative relationships between NDVI and livestock numbers are identified in several districts. The analysis also reveals spatial heterogeneity and lagged responses of vegetation dynamics to grazing pressure under varying climatic conditions. The proposed approach provides a novel integrative framework that links spectral vegetation indicators with climate-adjusted grazing metrics, enabling the identification of degradation hotspots and supporting spatially differentiated pasture management. This framework can be applied in regional land monitoring systems to improve decision-making for sustainable rangeland use under climate change. Full article
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35 pages, 19858 KB  
Article
Study on the Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Spatiotemporal Mismatch Between Grain Production and Cultivated Land in the Lower Yangtze River Economic Belt
by Danting Luo, Cuicui Jiao, Jiangtao Gou and Juan Xu
Agriculture 2026, 16(8), 873; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16080873 - 15 Apr 2026
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Abstract
Grain and cultivated land resources constitute the most fundamental means of human subsistence, and their spatial mismatch can directly reveal issues related to the rationality of regional resource utilization and urban–rural development patterns. The downstream region of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, as [...] Read more.
Grain and cultivated land resources constitute the most fundamental means of human subsistence, and their spatial mismatch can directly reveal issues related to the rationality of regional resource utilization and urban–rural development patterns. The downstream region of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, as a major grain-producing area in China, holds significant importance for optimizing regional arable land utilization patterns, achieving sustainable use of cultivated land resources, and ensuring national food security through the investigation of the spatiotemporal mismatch characteristics between grain production and arable land resources and their influencing factors. This study focuses on the downstream region of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, employing the Center of Gravity Transfer Model, Spatial Mismatch Model, and Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression Model to analyze the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of grain production and cultivated land area, as well as their mismatch patterns. It further investigates the factors that influence such mismatches and their spatial heterogeneity. The research findings indicate that, in terms of temporal characteristics, grain production in the downstream region of the Yangtze River Economic Belt exhibited an upward, fluctuating trend from 2000 to 2023. The cultivated land area initially decreased, then gradually increased, while the overall quantity showed a net reduction. From the perspective of spatial changes, the migration rate of grain production was significantly higher than that of cultivated land. The center of gravity of grain production shifted 78.85 km northwestward, while the center of gravity of cultivated land moved 4.16 km in the same direction. The overall mismatch between grain production and cultivated land shows fluctuating changes, while its spatial characteristics show an increasing trend toward polarization. The average intensity order of influencing factors is as follows: effective irrigated area > fertilizer’s equivalent weight > the proportion of agricultural output value > total power of agricultural machinery > urbanization rate > the proportion of people employed in the primary industry. Meanwhile, these influencing factors exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity characteristics, with their impact directions and intensities varying across different development stages in distinct regions. From a spatiotemporal perspective, the research findings provide differentiated policy recommendations for the efficient utilization of cultivated land resources and grain production in the downstream region of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agricultural Economics, Policies and Rural Management)
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