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22 pages, 16041 KB  
Article
Loess Strength Prediction Model Under Dry–Wet Cycles Based on the IAGA-BP Algorithm
by Cheng Luo, Haijuan Wang, Feng Guo and Xu Guo
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(5), 2206; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16052206 - 25 Feb 2026
Abstract
In the long-term operation of canals in loess areas, instability and landslides frequently occur due to the effect of wetting–drying cycles, which severely restricts the long-term safe operation of engineering projects. To reveal the evolution law of loess strength under wetting–drying cycles and [...] Read more.
In the long-term operation of canals in loess areas, instability and landslides frequently occur due to the effect of wetting–drying cycles, which severely restricts the long-term safe operation of engineering projects. To reveal the evolution law of loess strength under wetting–drying cycles and establish a strength prediction model, this study conducted wetting–drying cycle tests and direct shear tests, analyzing the effects of different cycle times, dry densities, and initial water contents on the shear strength and its parameters. A combined model of improved adaptive genetic algorithm and backpropagation neural network (IAGA-BP) was adopted for shear strength prediction. An adaptive crossover and mutation operator based on the Sigmoid function, which combines the fitness value with the population iteration number, was proposed. By optimizing the parent selection strategy and the uniform crossover genetic method, the population diversity was effectively maintained, and premature convergence was avoided. The test results show that with the increase in the wetting–drying cycle times, both the shear strength and strength parameters of loess exhibit a trend of gradual attenuation and eventually tend to be stable. The increase in the dry density and initial water content can reduce the degradation amplitude of soil cohesion after five wetting–drying cycles. The model verification results indicate that all evaluation indicators of the IAGA-BP neural network model (MAPE = 3.75%, MAE = 0.95 kPa, MSE = 9 × 10−4, R2 = 0.975) are significantly superior to those of the traditional BP and GA-BP models, with the comprehensive prediction performance improved by 62% and 46%, respectively. This model not only effectively overcomes the defect that traditional models are prone to fall into local extremum but also shows significant advantages in prediction accuracy and convergence speed. This study can provide a theoretical reference for the calculation of loess strength degradation and the prediction of long-term stability under the environment of wetting–drying alternation. Full article
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24 pages, 19823 KB  
Article
Identification of the Dominant Rainfall Index and Evolution of Multi-Factor Driving Mechanisms for Landslide Activity in Hong Kong (1990–2024)
by Jiaqi Wu, Zelang Miao, Yaopeng Xiong, Zefa Yang and Xiangqian Shen
Sensors 2026, 26(5), 1430; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26051430 - 25 Feb 2026
Abstract
Revealing the spatiotemporal driving mechanisms of landslide activity is fundamental to improving long-term landslide hazard management and risk mitigation in mountainous cities. Focusing on landslide events in Hong Kong from 1990 to 2024, this study develops an integrated framework at the slope-unit scale [...] Read more.
Revealing the spatiotemporal driving mechanisms of landslide activity is fundamental to improving long-term landslide hazard management and risk mitigation in mountainous cities. Focusing on landslide events in Hong Kong from 1990 to 2024, this study develops an integrated framework at the slope-unit scale that combines rainfall index optimization with multi-factor spatiotemporal driving analysis. First, Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) is employed to systematically evaluate the spatiotemporal associations between landslide occurrences and six commonly used rainfall indices, aiming to obtain a consistent and robust representation of rainfall triggering conditions. Subsequently, the Optimal-Parameter Geographical Detector (OPGD) model is introduced to quantitatively assess the explanatory power of individual factors—covering geological, topographic, hydro-meteorological, and human-related variables—as well as their pairwise interactions, thereby revealing the spatiotemporal evolution of landslide driving factors and their multi-factor coupling mechanisms over a 35-year period. The results indicate that the maximum 3-day cumulative rainfall index (RX3day) consistently exhibits the strongest association across different resolution parameter settings and is identified as the dominant rainfall indicator representing dynamic landslide triggering. Geological conditions and topographic factors constitute a stable background controlling the spatial heterogeneity of landslides throughout the entire study period, whereas the explanatory power of RX3day increases markedly after around 2000, gradually emerging as a primary dynamic driving factor of landslide activity. Interaction detection further demonstrates that landslide occurrence is mainly governed by nonlinear enhancement effects among multiple factors, with “geology–topography” and “rainfall–topography/geology” interactions showing the highest explanatory power, and rainfall-related interactions exhibiting continuous strengthening over time. Overall, the spatiotemporal distribution of landslides in Hong Kong is jointly controlled by long-term stable geological–topographic conditions and increasingly intensified extreme rainfall forcing. Full article
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21 pages, 20874 KB  
Article
Assessing the Relationship Between Erosion Risk, Climate Change and Archaeological Heritage: Medieval Sites in the Basilicata Region, Italy
by Alessia Frisetti, Nicodemo Abate, Antonio Minervino Amodio, Dario Gioia, Giuseppe Corrado, Maria Danese, Gabriele Ciccone and Nicola Masini
Heritage 2026, 9(3), 89; https://doi.org/10.3390/heritage9030089 - 24 Feb 2026
Abstract
Climate change has among its effects the increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters, such as landslides, floods, erosion and fires, with clear implications on both natural and anthropic hazards and risks. These natural phenomenapose a growing threat to archaeological heritage through increased [...] Read more.
Climate change has among its effects the increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters, such as landslides, floods, erosion and fires, with clear implications on both natural and anthropic hazards and risks. These natural phenomenapose a growing threat to archaeological heritage through increased rates of soil erosion, flooding, and landslides. This study presents a multidisciplinary approach to assess the erosion risk affecting medieval rural settlements in the Basilicata Region of Southern Italy. This area is characterised by high-impact natural phenomena that have influenced settlement patterns in the past. The focus is on rural settlements that arose during the Middle Ages, some of which were abandoned as early as the late Middle Ages. This study has the dual objective of analysing the natural causes that may have led to the abandonment of many sites in ancient times and producing a predictive multi-risk map of the possible loss of cultural heritage sites. By integrating archaeological data, remote sensing, historical sources, and geospatial modelling, a multi-risk map was developed to identify areas at the highest risk. The results demonstrate the urgent need for proactive conservation strategies in the face of ongoing climatic change. Full article
48 pages, 16638 KB  
Article
From WebGIS to a Digital Twin for Sustainable Water Governance and Climate-Resilient River Basin District Planning: The AUBAC Case in Central Italy
by Marco Casini
Sustainability 2026, 18(5), 2168; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18052168 - 24 Feb 2026
Abstract
Climate change is reshaping territorial safety and water-resource management, calling for digital tools that integrate heterogeneous datasets, enable advanced analyses, and enhance decision-making transparency. This article documents the three-year digital transformation (2022–2025) of the Central Apennine River Basin District Authority (AUBAC), covering > [...] Read more.
Climate change is reshaping territorial safety and water-resource management, calling for digital tools that integrate heterogeneous datasets, enable advanced analyses, and enhance decision-making transparency. This article documents the three-year digital transformation (2022–2025) of the Central Apennine River Basin District Authority (AUBAC), covering > 42,000 km2 and serving 8.6 million residents in central Italy. Through an incremental methodology across three releases, AUBAC developed an integrated WebGIS consolidating 613 geospatial layers and near-real-time monitoring from 1844 IoT sensors, implementing a Level 1 (Diagnostic) Digital Twin. Measured results include 141,569 platform visits, an approximately 60% reduction in administrative burden, a 70–80% reduction in plan-processing times, over 5000 users participating in public consultations, and a 40–60% increase in perceived risk understanding. The article presents the research design, platform architecture, evaluation framework, challenges encountered, and recommendations for replicability. The platform supports climate adaptation, disaster-risk reduction, and integrated water-resource management, contributing to SDGs 6, 11, and 13. The experience demonstrates that territorial Digital Twins can deliver tangible operational gains within public administration while establishing a foundation for evolution toward predictive capabilities. Full article
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22 pages, 7978 KB  
Article
WebGIS Dynamic Framework for AHP+Random Forest Susceptibility Mapping with Open-Source Technologies
by Marcello La Guardia, Emanuela Genovese, Clemente Maesano, Giuseppe Mussumeci and Vincenzo Barrile
Land 2026, 15(3), 356; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15030356 - 24 Feb 2026
Abstract
Landslides triggered by extreme events, such as heavy rainfall, are often unpredictable and cause significant damage to people and infrastructure. Calculating landslide susceptibility and associated risk in real time is challenging on several fronts, but it would provide valuable assistance in the event [...] Read more.
Landslides triggered by extreme events, such as heavy rainfall, are often unpredictable and cause significant damage to people and infrastructure. Calculating landslide susceptibility and associated risk in real time is challenging on several fronts, but it would provide valuable assistance in the event of major disasters. In this context, this research project aims to present a cutting-edge system for dynamic landslide susceptibility estimation based on open-source software, open data, and Open Geospatial Consortium (OGC) standards. Using real-time precipitation and geospatial data, the system allows for the calculation of susceptibility following extreme rainfall events, combining Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Random Forest processing. The proposed framework represents a prototypical, Digital Twin-ready terrain system, where dynamic geospatial data and real-time precipitation data are integrated in a predictive machine learning model and published within a WebGIS-based architecture. The system dynamically updates landslide susceptibility information, supporting local authorities and planners in identifying critical areas and enabling timely intervention in the event of imminent danger. The automated WebGIS processing and visualization environment provides a scalable and extensible foundation for future integration of physically based simulations and bidirectional feedback mechanisms, oriented to Digital Twinning Twinning solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ground Deformation Monitoring via Remote Sensing Time Series Data)
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17 pages, 5295 KB  
Article
Towards Automatic Burrow Detection for Sustainable River Levees
by Lisa Borgatti, Alberto Cervellati, Monica Ghirotti, Davide Martinucci, Giacomo Pampalone, Alberto Paparella, Stefano Parodi, Federica Pellegrini, Edoardo Ponsanesi, Guido Sciavicco, Massimo Valente and Roberta Zambrini
Sustainability 2026, 18(4), 2153; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18042153 - 23 Feb 2026
Viewed by 69
Abstract
Burrows are tunnels or holes excavated into the ground by certain types of animals, to be used as habitation or temporary refuge, or as a by-product of their locomotion. Burrows provide a form of shelter against predation and exposure to the elements, and [...] Read more.
Burrows are tunnels or holes excavated into the ground by certain types of animals, to be used as habitation or temporary refuge, or as a by-product of their locomotion. Burrows provide a form of shelter against predation and exposure to the elements, and can be found in nearly every biome and among various biological interaction types. River bank burrowing weakens the soil structure, increases the risk of erosion, and may lead to bank retreat and landslides. Currently, burrow watching, mapping, and prevention are human-only activities, and there are no conventional data or information systems designed for this purpose. In this paper, we design, implement, and test a novel AI-based solution that, starting with drone-acquired imagery, allows the user to automatically identify and map potentially dangerous burrows in the target area, and lays the basis for the digitization and systematic conservation of such information, to be later used for intervention and planning. Our solution contributes to the environmental sustainability of rivers, especially close to densely populated areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sustainability and Applications)
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37 pages, 10105 KB  
Article
Evaluating Catchment-Scale Physically Based Modeling of Sediment Deposition During an Extreme Rainfall Event
by Sobhan Emtehani, Victor Jetten, Cees van Westen and Bastian van den Bout
Geosciences 2026, 16(2), 88; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16020088 - 20 Feb 2026
Viewed by 174
Abstract
Extreme rainfall events often trigger landslides, debris flows, and sediment-laden floods that cause severe damage in built-up areas, yet sediment deposition is rarely quantified in hazard assessments. This study evaluates the capability of the physically based catchment model LISEMHazard to reconstruct sediment generation, [...] Read more.
Extreme rainfall events often trigger landslides, debris flows, and sediment-laden floods that cause severe damage in built-up areas, yet sediment deposition is rarely quantified in hazard assessments. This study evaluates the capability of the physically based catchment model LISEMHazard to reconstruct sediment generation, transport, and deposition during Hurricane Maria (2017) in two catchments in Dominica (Coulibistrie and Grand Bay). Simulations were performed at 10 m resolution using rainfall, topography, soil, and land-use data. Model calibration and validation used mapped landslides and debris flows, field measurements of deposition height, and DEMs of Difference (DoDs). LISEMHazard reproduced the general magnitude of sediment volumes and the frequency–area distribution of medium and large landslides but showed poor ability to predict their exact locations and overestimated landslide depth and deposition height. Agreement between modeled and observed debris-flow patterns was good in major channels but weak in minor ones. Sensitivity analysis indicated that soil depth and cohesion dominate uncertainties, whereas saturated hydraulic conductivity and surface roughness exert minimal influence. Despite substantial data and model limitations, physically based modeling remains a practical approach for spatial estimation of sediment deposition needed for risk assessment, structural damage evaluation, and cleanup cost estimation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sedimentology, Stratigraphy and Palaeontology)
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24 pages, 4191 KB  
Article
Estimation of Wind Turbine Heights with Shadows Using Gaofen-2 Satellite Imagery
by Jiaguo Li, Xinyue Cui, Xingfeng Chen, Hui Gong, Mei Hu, Limin Zhao, Yanping Wang, Kun Liu, Shumin Liu and Yunli Zhang
Sensors 2026, 26(4), 1330; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26041330 - 19 Feb 2026
Viewed by 162
Abstract
Using high-resolution remote sensing imagery to obtain the wind turbine height is a fast and effective method for monitoring the status of wind turbines after natural disasters such as earthquakes, landslides, and typhoons. A height estimation method tailored for wind turbines is proposed [...] Read more.
Using high-resolution remote sensing imagery to obtain the wind turbine height is a fast and effective method for monitoring the status of wind turbines after natural disasters such as earthquakes, landslides, and typhoons. A height estimation method tailored for wind turbines is proposed using high-resolution satellite images. First, deep learning techniques are employed to identify wind turbines and extract their shadow information from GaoFen-2 (GF-2) satellite imagery. Specifically, YOLOv5-CBAM and MSASDNet are used for target recognition and shadow extraction, achieving an identification accuracy of 96% and a shadow extraction accuracy of 82.53%. Next, the line-by-line scanning method is applied to remove blade shadow from the whole wind turbine shadow. By calculating the number of pixels occupied by the shadow length of the wind turbine after removing the blade shadow and multiplying by the image resolution, the wind turbine shadow length is obtained. Finally, a spatial geometry model involving the satellite angles, solar angles, and wind turbine shadow length is constructed to retrieve the wind turbine height. An experiment was conducted using GF-2 satellite remote sensing data from a wind farm in Huailai County of China. The actual heights of wind turbines in the estimation area were measured by the field experiment, and the average absolute error was verified to be 2.2 m, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. The experimental results show that this method can detect the post-disaster status of wind turbines. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Image Processing, Analysis and Application)
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29 pages, 19866 KB  
Article
GCF-Net: A Geometric Context and Frequency Domain Fusion Network for Landslide Segmentation in Remote Sensing Imagery
by Chunlong Du, Shaoqun Qi, Luhe Wan, Yin Chen, Zhiwei Lin, Ling Zhu and Xiaona Yu
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(4), 635; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18040635 - 18 Feb 2026
Viewed by 181
Abstract
Remote sensing-based landslide segmentation is of great significance for geological hazard assessment and post-disaster rescue. Existing convolutional neural network methods, constrained by the inherent limitations of spatial convolution, tend to lose high-frequency edge details during deep semantic extraction, while frequency-domain analysis, although capable [...] Read more.
Remote sensing-based landslide segmentation is of great significance for geological hazard assessment and post-disaster rescue. Existing convolutional neural network methods, constrained by the inherent limitations of spatial convolution, tend to lose high-frequency edge details during deep semantic extraction, while frequency-domain analysis, although capable of globally preserving high-frequency components, struggles to perceive local multi-scale features. The lack of an effective synergistic mechanism between them makes it difficult for networks to balance regional integrity and boundary precision. To address these issues, this paper proposes the Geometric Context and Frequency Domain Fusion Network (GCF-Net), which achieves explicit edge enhancement through a three-stage progressive framework. First, the Pyramid Lightweight Fusion (PGF) block is proposed to aggregate multi-scale context and provide rich hierarchical features for subsequent stages. Second, the Geometric Context and Frequency Domain Fusion (GCF) module is designed, where the frequency-domain branch generates dynamic high-frequency masks via the Fourier transform to locate boundary positions, while the spatial branch models foreground–background relationships to understand boundary semantics, with both branches fused through an adaptive gating mechanism. Finally, Edge-aware Detail Consistency Improvement (EDCI) module is designed to balance boundary preservation and noise suppression based on edge confidence, achieving adaptive output refinement. Under the joint supervision of Focal loss, Dice loss, and Edge loss, experiments on the mixed dataset and LMHLD dataset demonstrate that GCF-Net achieves OAs of 96.42% and 96.71%, respectively. Ablation experiments and visualization results further validate the effectiveness of each module and the significant improvement in boundary segmentation. Full article
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17 pages, 14424 KB  
Article
Experimental Investigation on the Evolution of Mechanical Properties of Accumulation Deposits Under Fluctuating Water Levels
by Zhidan Liu, Zhouping Duan, Zhenhua Zhang, Guang Liu and Rui Shao
Eng 2026, 7(2), 91; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng7020091 - 15 Feb 2026
Viewed by 226
Abstract
Reservoir water-level fluctuations periodically alter the physical and mechanical properties of accumulation deposits in the bank slope zone, potentially triggering geological hazards such as collapses and landslides. This study developed an original laboratory mechanical testing system to systematically investigate the evolution of deformation [...] Read more.
Reservoir water-level fluctuations periodically alter the physical and mechanical properties of accumulation deposits in the bank slope zone, potentially triggering geological hazards such as collapses and landslides. This study developed an original laboratory mechanical testing system to systematically investigate the evolution of deformation and shear strength parameters in these accumulation deposits throughout the reservoir operation period. Tests conducted on the accumulation deposits in the Baijiabao bank slope demonstrate that under the coupled effects of anisotropic stress and cyclic wet–dry conditions, the compression modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle decrease significantly, by 10.6%, 11.4%, and 13.2%, respectively. As the number of wet–dry cycles increases, the rate of reduction in these parameters gradually diminishes. Between the second and fourth cycles, the decreases in compression modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle were 9.7%, 8.6%, and 6.9%, respectively. Beyond the eighth cycle, the values of these parameters stabilize with minimal further change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Chemical, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
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21 pages, 21467 KB  
Article
Exploitation of Multi-Sensor UAS Surveying for Monitoring the Volcanic Unrest at Vulcano Island (September 2021–June 2024)
by Matteo Cagnizi, Mauro Coltelli, Luigi Lodato, Peppe Junior Valentino D’Aranno, Maria Marsella and Francesco Rossi
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(4), 601; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18040601 - 14 Feb 2026
Viewed by 248
Abstract
In September 2021, significant changes in the geophysical and geochemical parameters on Vulcano Island were recorded by the surveillance network activities and periodic surveys. Between October 2021 and June 2024, additional surveys were conducted to acquire LIDAR, thermal, and RGB datasets for the [...] Read more.
In September 2021, significant changes in the geophysical and geochemical parameters on Vulcano Island were recorded by the surveillance network activities and periodic surveys. Between October 2021 and June 2024, additional surveys were conducted to acquire LIDAR, thermal, and RGB datasets for the generation of Digital Terrain Models (DTMs), orthophotos, and fumarole field maps. These data were collected using DJI Matrice 300 UAS platforms. Precision positioning was ensured through a POS/NAV RTK georeferencing approach. The instrumentation included Genius R-Fans-16 and DJI Zenmuse L1 laser scanners for structural mapping, alongside Zenmuse H20T infrared cameras for the thermal detection of potential instabilities on the volcano flanks, focused on the northern area and summit of Gran Cratere La Fossa, and these were subsequently repeated in May 2022, October 2022, October 2023, and June 2024. Additionally, 3D reconstruction targeted morphological variations in unstable areas like the cone top, Forgia Vecchia, and the 1988 landslide site. In May 2022, anomalous degassing in the Eastern Bay led to increased gas and hydrothermal fluid emissions, causing water whitening in front of Baia di Levante. Optical-thermal monitoring, both on land and at sea, detected multiple hydrothermal gas streams, aiding in assessing the magnitude and areal extension of fumarolic fields. These findings contribute to establishing a comprehensive monitoring approach for understanding the volcanic unrest evolution cost-effectively and safely. Full article
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20 pages, 8492 KB  
Article
Hydrodynamic Analysis of Landslide Dam Breach Formation and Outburst Flood Propagation in the Sunkoshi River Basin, Nepal
by Irshad Ali Zardari, Ningsheng Chen, Surih Sibaghatullah Jagirani, Shufeng Tian and Rosette Niyirora
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 23; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010023 - 13 Feb 2026
Viewed by 224
Abstract
A dam breach is an uncommon but profoundly destructive event that transpires when a dam collapses, releasing accumulated water downstream and leading to extensive damage. This study focuses on the Jure landslide dam, located in the Sindhupalchowk district, Nepal. The region is characterized [...] Read more.
A dam breach is an uncommon but profoundly destructive event that transpires when a dam collapses, releasing accumulated water downstream and leading to extensive damage. This study focuses on the Jure landslide dam, located in the Sindhupalchowk district, Nepal. The region is characterized by complex river channels and steep terrains, which are significantly influenced by flood dynamics. This study aims to establish a compressive numerical simulation of a two-dimensional dam breach unsteady flow hydraulic model to simulate the dam breach process and downstream flood propagation. The study analyzes the dynamics of the Jure landslide dam outburst flood, emphasizing the flood characteristics, inundation, and velocity hazards in the mitigation of flood impacts. The results reveal that the peak discharge of the Jure landside dam was 5336.7 m3/s, while it decreased to 1181.4 m3/s when traveling 35 km. The flood depth obtained by 2D (HEC-RAS) downstream of the dam rages between 0.0334 and 55.9 m, while the corresponding estimated peak flow velocity of simulated breaches was 21.46 m/s, demonstrating extreme hydraulic force conditions, capable of catastrophe. The proposed hydraulic simulations reveal significant variations in overflow dynamics across different terrain types, with narrower sections exhibiting faster flood progression and greater water depths. The findings underscore the necessity of accounting for terrain heterogeneity in future flood risk assessments. This work offers valuable insights into the emergency management of landslide dams in similar regions. Full article
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16 pages, 3795 KB  
Article
Model Experimental Study on a Rapidly Assembled Lattice Beam Support Structure
by Jiong Liang, Yuntao Zhou, Ruiming Zhang, Zilong Li, Yang Liu and Wentao Wang
Buildings 2026, 16(4), 766; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16040766 - 13 Feb 2026
Viewed by 256
Abstract
In order to investigate the mechanical properties and supporting effect of the rapidly assembled lattice beam supporting structure in slope engineering, an indoor physical model test based on a scale ratio of 1:2 was carried out to simulate the typical landslide geological conditions [...] Read more.
In order to investigate the mechanical properties and supporting effect of the rapidly assembled lattice beam supporting structure in slope engineering, an indoor physical model test based on a scale ratio of 1:2 was carried out to simulate the typical landslide geological conditions of a highway slope. The structural design, construction technology and mechanical response characteristics of the assembled lattice beam under different loads were systematically studied. The stress process of the slope was simulated by the graded vertical loading method, and the evolution law of the soil pressure at each measuring point of the lattice beam cross beam and vertical beam was monitored. The test results show that the assembled lattice beam does not significantly participate in the load transfer of the soil at the initial loading stage. As the load gradually increases, its load-bearing capacity is significantly improved, and the supporting effect is obvious. The earth pressure of the cross beam is non-uniformly distributed along the length direction, and the force near the node and the edge area is significantly higher than that in the mid-span position. The earth pressure of the vertical beam shows a decreasing trend along the height direction, which reveals its transfer law to the concentrated load. The test results can provide a theoretical basis and experimental reference for the design and optimization of a bolt-fabricated lattice beam structure under complex geological conditions. Full article
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29 pages, 123573 KB  
Article
Dynamic Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Integrating SBAS-InSAR and Interpretable Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Baihetan Reservoir Area, Southwest China
by Hongfei Wang, Chuhan Deng, Ziyou Zhang, Zhekai Jiang, Qi Wei, Weijie Yi, Tao Chen and Junwei Ma
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(4), 578; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18040578 - 12 Feb 2026
Viewed by 176
Abstract
Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a fundamental approach for identifying and predicting areas prone to slope failure. However, most conventional LSM methods are based on time-invariant conditioning factors or long-term-averaged predictors and seldom incorporate slope-kinematic information from deformation observations, thereby limiting their ability [...] Read more.
Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a fundamental approach for identifying and predicting areas prone to slope failure. However, most conventional LSM methods are based on time-invariant conditioning factors or long-term-averaged predictors and seldom incorporate slope-kinematic information from deformation observations, thereby limiting their ability to capture evolving slope instability. Moreover, the black-box nature of many models limits interpretability and confidence in their predictions. In this study, we integrate small baseline subset interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) with interpretable machine learning (ML) methods to develop a dynamic LSM framework that improves the accuracy and reliability of susceptibility assessment. First, static LSM was performed using ML algorithms, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to quantify and visualize feature importance. Subsequently, SBAS-InSAR was applied to retrieve surface deformation rates. Finally, a dynamic LSM matrix was constructed to integrate InSAR-derived deformation with static susceptibility classes, producing time-varying landslide susceptibility maps. Application of the framework in the Baihetan Reservoir area, Southwest China, demonstrates its practical value. During the static LSM phase, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model achieved strong predictive performance (the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.8864; accuracy = 0.8315; precision = 0.8947), outperforming the alternative models. SHAP analysis indicates that elevation and distance to rivers are the primary controls on landslide occurrence. Incorporating SBAS-InSAR deformation data into the dynamic LSM matrix effectively captures the spatiotemporal evolution of slope instability. Susceptibility upgrades are observed for multiple inventoried landslides, and the actively deforming Xiaomidi and Gantianba landslides are presented as representative case studies, further supported by multisource observations from satellite imagery, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys, and ground-based global navigation satellite system (GNSS) monitoring. Consequently, the proposed dynamic LSM framework overcomes limitations of static approaches by integrating deformation information and enhancing interpretability through explainable artificial intelligence. Full article
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27 pages, 7226 KB  
Article
Interpretable Deep Learning for Landslide Forecasting in Post-Seismic Areas: Integrating SBAS-InSAR and Environmental Factors
by H. Y. Guo and A. M. Martínez-Graña
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(4), 1852; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16041852 - 12 Feb 2026
Viewed by 286
Abstract
Forecasting post-seismic landslide displacement is challenged by the difficulty in distinguishing short-term acceleration from creep and the risk of spatiotemporal leakage. To address this, an interpretable deep-learning framework is developed, integrating SBAS-InSAR time series with an Attention-enhanced Gated Recurrent Unit (Attention-GRU). Prior to [...] Read more.
Forecasting post-seismic landslide displacement is challenged by the difficulty in distinguishing short-term acceleration from creep and the risk of spatiotemporal leakage. To address this, an interpretable deep-learning framework is developed, integrating SBAS-InSAR time series with an Attention-enhanced Gated Recurrent Unit (Attention-GRU). Prior to modeling, a multi-stage preprocessing strategy, including empirical mode decomposition, is applied to mitigate noise and delineate active deformation zones. Unlike standard architectures, the model’s temporal attention mechanism adaptively amplifies critical precursory acceleration phases. Furthermore, a strict landslide-object-based partitioning strategy is employed to rigorously mitigate spatiotemporal leakage. The framework was evaluated in the Le’an Town landslide cluster using multi-source data. Targeting identified hazardous regions, the method achieved an R2 of 0.93 and reduced MAPE by 42.7% relative to the SVR baseline. This reflects a location-specific predictive capability, within active zones rather than regional generalization. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) further confirmed the model captures physical relationships, such as sensitivity to 25–35° slopes and vegetation degradation. Ultimately, the proposed framework offers a transparent, physically interpretable tool for operational hazard mitigation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Image Processing and Application, 2nd Edition)
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