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18 pages, 35497 KB  
Article
Hierarchical YOLO-SAM: A Scalable Pipeline for Automated Segmentation and Morphometric Tracking of Coral Recruits in Time-Series Microscopy
by Richard S. Zhao, Cuixian Chen, Meg Van Horn and Nicole D. Fogarty
Sensors 2026, 26(8), 2291; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26082291 (registering DOI) - 8 Apr 2026
Abstract
Coral reef ecosystems are declining rapidly due to climate change, disease, and anthropogenic stressors, driving the expansion of land-based coral propagation for reef restoration. A major bottleneck in these efforts is the manual measurement of coral recruit tissue area from microscopy images, which [...] Read more.
Coral reef ecosystems are declining rapidly due to climate change, disease, and anthropogenic stressors, driving the expansion of land-based coral propagation for reef restoration. A major bottleneck in these efforts is the manual measurement of coral recruit tissue area from microscopy images, which requires 2–7 min per image and limits scalability. We present a hierarchical deep learning pipeline that automates this measurement by integrating YOLO-based detection with Segment Anything Model (SAM) segmentation. YOLO localizes recruits and classifies them by developmental stage; stage-specific fine-tuned SAM models then segment live tissue using bounding box and background point prompts to suppress segmentation leakage and improve boundary precision. Surface area is computed directly from the segmented masks using pixel size extracted from image metadata. The pipeline reduces processing time to approximately 3–5 s per image—a 24–140× speedup over manual tracing. Evaluated on 3668 microscopy images from two national coral research facilities, the system achieves a mean IoU exceeding 95% and an auto-acceptance rate (AAR) of 71.51%, where predicted-to-ground-truth area ratios fall within a ±5% tolerance of expert annotation, substantially reducing manual workload while maintaining measurement reliability across species, developmental stages, and imaging conditions. This workflow addresses a critical bottleneck in restoration research and demonstrates the broader applicability of AI-based image analysis in marine ecology. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Digital Image Processing and Sensing Technologies—Second Edition)
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30 pages, 1921 KB  
Article
TinyML for Sustainable Edge Intelligence: Practical Optimization Under Extreme Resource Constraints
by Mohamed Echchidmi and Anas Bouayad
Technologies 2026, 14(4), 215; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies14040215 - 7 Apr 2026
Abstract
Deep learning has emerged as an effective tool for automatic waste classification, supporting cleaner cities and more sustainable recycling systems. Because environmental protection is central to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), improving the sorting and processing of everyday waste is a [...] Read more.
Deep learning has emerged as an effective tool for automatic waste classification, supporting cleaner cities and more sustainable recycling systems. Because environmental protection is central to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), improving the sorting and processing of everyday waste is a practical step toward this broader objective. In many real-world settings, however, waste is still sorted manually, which is slow, labor-intensive, and prone to human error. Although convolutional neural networks (CNNs) can automate this task with high accuracy, many state-of-the-art models remain too large and computationally demanding for low-cost edge devices intended for deployment in homes, schools, and small recycling facilities. In this work, we investigate lightweight waste-classification models suitable for TinyML deployment while preserving competitive accuracy. We first benchmark multiple CNN architectures to establish a strong baseline, then apply complementary compression strategies including quantization, pruning, singular value decomposition (SVD) low-rank approximation, and knowledge distillation. In addition, we evaluate an RL-guided multi-teacher selection benchmark that adaptively chooses one teacher per minibatch during distillation to improve student training stability, achieving up to 85% accuracy with only 0.496 M parameters (FP32 ≈ 1.89 MB; INT8 ≈ 0.47 MB). Across all experiments, the best accuracy–size trade-off is obtained by combining knowledge distillation with post-training quantization, reducing the model footprint from approximately 16 MB to 281 KB while maintaining 82% accuracy. The resulting model is feasible for deployment on mobile applications and resource-constrained embedded devices based on model size and TensorFlow Lite Micro compatibility. Full article
47 pages, 11862 KB  
Article
Adaptive Preference-Based Multi-Objective Energy Management in Smart Microgrids: A Novel Hierarchical Optimization Framework with Dynamic Weight Allocation and Advanced Constraint Handling
by Nahar F. Alshammari, Faraj H. Alyami, Sheeraz Iqbal, Md Shafiullah and Saleh Al Dawsari
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3591; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073591 - 6 Apr 2026
Abstract
The paper proposed an adaptive preference-based multi-objective optimization framework of intelligent energy management in smart microgrids that are dynamically adapted to operational priorities with regard to real-time grid conditions, stakeholder preferences, and environmental constraints. The suggested hierarchical algorithm combines an improved Non-dominated Sorting [...] Read more.
The paper proposed an adaptive preference-based multi-objective optimization framework of intelligent energy management in smart microgrids that are dynamically adapted to operational priorities with regard to real-time grid conditions, stakeholder preferences, and environmental constraints. The suggested hierarchical algorithm combines an improved Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) with an advanced dynamic preference weight distribution system that can trade off between minimization of operational cost. Reduction of carbon emission, enhancement of voltage stability, enhancement of power quality and maximization of system reliability and adaptability to different operational conditions, such as renewable energy intermittency, demand response schemes and emergencies. The framework presents a new multi-layered preference-learning module that represents the intricate stakeholder priorities in terms of more sophisticated fuzzy logic-based decision matrices, neural network preference prediction, and adaptive reinforcement learning methods and transforms them into dynamic optimization weights with feedback mechanisms. Large-scale simulations on a modified IEEE 33-bus test system coupled with various renewable energy sources, energy storage facilities, electric vehicle charging points, and smart appliances demonstrate superior improvements in performance: 23.7% operational costs reduction, 31.2% carbon emissions reduction, 18.5% system reliability improvement, 15.3% voltage stability increase and 12.8% reduction of deviations in power quality. The proposed system has an adaptive nature with better performance in a variety of operating conditions such as peak demand times, renewable energy intermittency events, grid-connected and islanded operations, emergency load shedding situations, and cyber–physical security risks. The framework is shown to be highly effective under different conditions of uncertainty and variation in parameters and communication delay through intense sensitivity analysis and robustness testing, thus demonstrating its practical applicability in real-world applications of smart grids. Full article
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19 pages, 8010 KB  
Article
Multi-Model Fusion for Street Visual Quality Evaluation
by Qianhan Wang and Yuechen Li
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2026, 15(4), 158; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15040158 - 6 Apr 2026
Viewed by 84
Abstract
With accelerating global urbanization and increasingly diverse demands for public spaces, promoting urban low-carbon transitions and enhancing residents’ quality of life have become central missions of modern urban development. As one of the city’s primary arteries, streets—through their green landscapes, slow-moving transportation systems, [...] Read more.
With accelerating global urbanization and increasingly diverse demands for public spaces, promoting urban low-carbon transitions and enhancing residents’ quality of life have become central missions of modern urban development. As one of the city’s primary arteries, streets—through their green landscapes, slow-moving transportation systems, and public facilities—play an indispensable role in reducing carbon emissions, promoting healthy living, and improving residents’ well-being. In this study, the Yubei District of Chongqing was selected as the research area, and an automated evaluation framework was proposed for street visual quality, based on multi-source street view data and ensemble learning. PSP-Net semantic segmentation model was employed to extract eight key visual indicators from street view images, including green view index, Visual Entropy (Entropy), sky view factor (SVF), drivable space, sidewalk, safety facilities, buildings, and enclosure. Based on these features, a Stacking-based ensemble learning model was constructed, integrating multiple base models such as Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, with Linear Regression as the meta-learner, to predict street visual quality. The results demonstrate that the ensemble model significantly outperforms any single model, achieving a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.77 and effectively capturing the complex perceptual features of street environments. This study provides a reliable, intelligent, and quantitative method for large-scale evaluation of urban street visual quality, while supplying data support and decision-making references for street renewal and spatial optimization. Full article
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18 pages, 1160 KB  
Article
Predicting Physical Inactivity in Chilean Adults: A Comparison of Survey-Weighted Logistic Regression and Explainable Machine Learning Models
by Josivaldo de Souza-Lima, Rodrigo Yáñez-Sepúlveda, Frano Giakoni-Ramírez, Catalina Muñoz-Strale, Javiera Alarcon-Aguilar, Maribel Parra-Saldias, Daniel Duclos-Bastias, Andrés Godoy-Cumillaf, Eugenio Merellano-Navarro, José Bruneau-Chávez and Claudio Farias-Valenzuela
Data 2026, 11(4), 73; https://doi.org/10.3390/data11040073 - 3 Apr 2026
Viewed by 182
Abstract
Physical inactivity remains a major modifiable risk factor for non-communicable diseases and continues to exhibit marked socioeconomic and gender disparities in Latin America. Identifying robust and interpretable predictors of inactivity in nationally representative datasets is essential for informing public health strategies. This study [...] Read more.
Physical inactivity remains a major modifiable risk factor for non-communicable diseases and continues to exhibit marked socioeconomic and gender disparities in Latin America. Identifying robust and interpretable predictors of inactivity in nationally representative datasets is essential for informing public health strategies. This study compared a survey-weighted logistic regression model and an explainable machine learning approach (XGBoost) to predict physical inactivity among Chilean adults using data from the 2024 National Physical Activity and Sports Survey (ENAFyD; n = 5248). Models were evaluated on a stratified held-out test set (n = 1050) using weighted and unweighted area under the ROC curve (AUC), Brier scores, and calibration curves. Survey-weighted logistic regression achieved a weighted AUC of 0.801, while XGBoost achieved 0.797, demonstrating comparable discrimination. XGBoost showed marginally lower Brier scores, indicating slightly improved probabilistic calibration. Low socioeconomic status, female sex, lower monthly physical activity expenditure, limited facility access, and lower engagement with digital resources were consistently associated with higher inactivity risk. SHAP-style contribution analysis provided additional insight into feature-level influence within the machine learning framework. Overall, both approaches demonstrated similar predictive capacity, supporting the complementary use of classical regression and explainable machine learning for population-level physical inactivity research. Full article
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11 pages, 2051 KB  
Communication
Flexible and Physically Unclonable Function Anti-Counterfeiting Labels via Multi-Level Dynamic Structural Color Encryption
by Junzhe Lin, Min Zhao, Xueqing Zhu, Ruohan Guo, Dan Guo and Tianrui Zhai
Materials 2026, 19(7), 1428; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19071428 - 2 Apr 2026
Viewed by 327
Abstract
Physically unclonable functions (PUFs) are critical security primitives used in authentication and cryptographic key generation. Among these, structural color-based PUFs offer distinct advantages, including fade resistance and the ability to conceal multi-dimensional information. However, current fabrication methods rely heavily on wet processes and [...] Read more.
Physically unclonable functions (PUFs) are critical security primitives used in authentication and cryptographic key generation. Among these, structural color-based PUFs offer distinct advantages, including fade resistance and the ability to conceal multi-dimensional information. However, current fabrication methods rely heavily on wet processes and laser ablation. Consequently, there is a significant need for flexible PUF labels capable of being produced through a facile and dry process. Here, we present stress-relief modulated photonic crystal PUF labels designed for multi-level dynamic encryption. We achieve random patterning of nanograting-based photonic crystals by leveraging curved pinning edge-induced interruptions and the uncontrolled bulking of the polymeric elastomer due to the uneven adhesion force from the tape. Using artificial intelligence-based deep learning algorithms, we authenticate the labels by extracting structural color, brightness, and saturation, which are determined by the grating periodicity, depth, and orderliness of each pixel. Furthermore, we integrated these photonic crystal patterns with dynamically modulated optical erasure to extend encryption capacity from the spatial to the temporal dimension. We anticipate this approach will enable advanced wearable anti-counterfeiting labels and multi-level digital encryption systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Optical and Photonic Materials)
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11 pages, 984 KB  
Brief Report
Comparing the Behaviour of Domestic Pet Cats and Research Cats
by Michelle Smit, Ina Draganova, Christopher J. Andrews, Rene A. Corner-Thomas and David G. Thomas
Pets 2026, 3(2), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/pets3020017 - 1 Apr 2026
Viewed by 218
Abstract
Cats are among the most popular pets globa lly, yet little is known about how the home environment influences their behaviour. Most studies have focused on cats in shelters or research facilities, potentially limiting applicability to pet cats. This study combined behavioural data [...] Read more.
Cats are among the most popular pets globa lly, yet little is known about how the home environment influences their behaviour. Most studies have focused on cats in shelters or research facilities, potentially limiting applicability to pet cats. This study combined behavioural data from cats in three housing conditions: indoor pet (n = 10), free-roaming pet (n = 18), and research (n = 8), collected in summer and winter. Eight behaviours were classified from collar-mounted accelerometer data using a validated machine learning model and analysed using generalised linear mixed models. Free-roaming pet cats were more active in summer than winter (3.9 ± 0.39% vs. 2.7 ± 0.33%; p < 0.001) and more active than both research (2.0 ± 0.36%; p = 0.004) and indoor pet cats (2.0 ± 0.36%; p < 0.001) in summer. Research cats spent more time lying (52.9 ± 2.03% vs. 36.9 ± 2.89%; p = 0.009) and eating (7.8 ± 0.41% vs. 2.4 ± 0.39%; p = 0.003) in winter than summer, whereas no seasonal differences in these behaviours were observed for pet cats. A bimodal daily activity pattern, with peaks around sunrise and sunset, was observed across housing conditions and seasons. These findings demonstrate that both housing and seasonal conditions influence domestic cat behaviour and should be considered when interpreting behavioural studies. Full article
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24 pages, 5084 KB  
Article
Real-Time Constrained Visual Servoing for Agricultural Harvesting Robots via MPC-Guided Reinforcement Learning
by Liangzheng Gao, Qingchun Feng, Shiqi Chen, Zhijie Yang, Fengcui Fan, Lin Chen and Chunjiang Zhao
AI 2026, 7(4), 124; https://doi.org/10.3390/ai7040124 - 1 Apr 2026
Viewed by 295
Abstract
With the intensification of global agricultural labor shortage and scaled development of facility agriculture, autonomous precision harvesting robots for unstructured greenhouse environments have become an urgent need. For cluster-picking crops such as tomatoes, visual servoing enables real-time closed-loop control of the end-effector pose, [...] Read more.
With the intensification of global agricultural labor shortage and scaled development of facility agriculture, autonomous precision harvesting robots for unstructured greenhouse environments have become an urgent need. For cluster-picking crops such as tomatoes, visual servoing enables real-time closed-loop control of the end-effector pose, addressing challenges of random fruit distribution and variable stem orientations. However, existing methods struggle to balance constraint handling with real-time efficiency. This paper proposes an MPC-Guided Reinforcement Learning visual servoing framework, innovatively combining the planning capability of optimal control with the adaptive learning ability and real-time inference advantages of reinforcement learning. The approach adopts a teacher–student paradigm: expert trajectories from the MPC controller warm-start the reinforcement learning policy through behavior cloning, followed by PPO-based fine-tuning with adaptive gain regulation and stagnation-enhanced exploration mechanisms. Simulation experiments demonstrate a 95% success rate with average positioning and orientation errors of 13.6 mm and 0.009 rad respectively. Compared to MPC baseline, task steps are reduced by 53.4%; compared to Standard PPO, success rate improves by 6%. Greenhouse field validation achieves 85.3% picking success rate and 5.63 s per fruit operation time, confirming the framework’s excellent balance among control precision, robustness, and efficiency for high-precision robotic harvesting in unstructured agricultural environments. Full article
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20 pages, 7082 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Powered Smart Sensing of Copper Ions in Water Based on a Carbon Dot-Incorporated Hydrogel Platform: An Easy Path from Bench to Onsite Detection
by Ramanand Bisauriya, Richa Gupta, Ashwin S. Deshpande, Ansh Agarwal, Aryan Agarwal and Roberto Pizzoferrato
Sensors 2026, 26(7), 2142; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26072142 - 31 Mar 2026
Viewed by 188
Abstract
Water supplies contaminated by heavy metals pose a serious threat to human health, especially in areas without access to centralized testing facilities. While copper is a necessary heavy metal in trace levels, high concentrations can have detrimental effects on health, such as oxidative [...] Read more.
Water supplies contaminated by heavy metals pose a serious threat to human health, especially in areas without access to centralized testing facilities. While copper is a necessary heavy metal in trace levels, high concentrations can have detrimental effects on health, such as oxidative stress, cognitive impairment, and liver damage. Due to their expense, complexity, and reliance on laboratories, conventional detection techniques are accurate but unsuitable for real-time, dispersed deployment. Machine learning offers a potent solution to these constraints by facilitating the automatic, precise, and quick interpretation of complicated sensor data. It makes it possible to make decisions in real time without requiring a large laboratory infrastructure. In this work, a dual-mode optical sensor was developed using the colorimetry and fluorometry images of carbon dots embedded in hydrogels with the Cu2+ concentration of 0, 20, 50, 100, 200, and 500 μM. Data augmentation was used to expand the RGB picture dataset for each modality, and these data were interpolated to provide responses at 1 µM intervals (0–500 µM). We trained a comprehensive set of supervised machine learning models, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, and XGBoost, to categorize water samples into five risk-informed quality levels. The system achieved classification accuracies exceeding 96%. Furthermore, we built a simple user interface to make the system practically deployable in mobile phone. Together, these results demonstrate a scalable, interpretable, cost-effective, and quick solution for real-time water quality monitoring in resource-constrained environments. Since the proposed method focuses on classifying concentration ranges rather than precise quantification, a formal limit of detection (LOD) was not calculated; instead, the lowest concentration in the experimental dataset serves as the minimum detectable level. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Optical Chemical Sensors: Design and Applications)
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17 pages, 6806 KB  
Article
Personalization and Generative Dialogue in Social Robotics for Eldercare: A User Study
by Luca Pozzi, Marco Nasato, Nicola Toscani, Francesco Braghin and Marta Gandolla
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(7), 3369; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16073369 - 31 Mar 2026
Viewed by 142
Abstract
Service robots have the potential to support cognitive and social well-being in long-term care facilities, yet their widespread adoption depends on intuitive interaction modalities that minimize user learning effort and the need for a technical expert on-ground. Spoken dialogue is a natural interface, [...] Read more.
Service robots have the potential to support cognitive and social well-being in long-term care facilities, yet their widespread adoption depends on intuitive interaction modalities that minimize user learning effort and the need for a technical expert on-ground. Spoken dialogue is a natural interface, and recent advances in large language models (LLMs) promise more flexible and engaging exchanges than traditional scripted systems. In this study, we implemented a modular speech-based architecture combining automatic speech recognition, text-to-speech synthesis, and a conversational agent capable of switching between a fully scripted and LLM-driven dialogue. The implemented architecture was embodied in a TIAGo robot (PAL Robotics) and tested to compare three conversational strategies: (1) scripted, pre-defined dialogue, (2) LLM-based free-form conversation, and (3) LLM-based conversation augmented with personal information provided through the prompt. Eighteen younger adults and eighteen older adults engaged in a five-minute interaction with the robot under all three conditions in a within-subject design, and subsequently completed the Almere model questionnaire. Across all subscales and both participant groups, differences between dialogue strategies were small and statistically non-significant, despite informal comments from several older participants indicating a perceived increase in intelligence or naturalness for the LLM conditions. The findings suggest that generative dialogue and basic personalization alone do not meaningfully shift perceived acceptance in brief, task-neutral encounters, underscoring the importance of longer-term deployment and functionally meaningful robot roles in future evaluations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Latest Advances and Prospects of Human-Robot Interaction (HRI))
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19 pages, 1747 KB  
Article
Design and Implementation of a Low-Cost Dual-Structure Laser Shooting System with Physical and Web-Based Targets for School Physical Education
by Yongchul Kwon, Donghyun Kim, Dongsuk Yang, Minseo Kang and Gunsang Cho
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(7), 3347; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16073347 - 30 Mar 2026
Viewed by 238
Abstract
Shooting activities offer educational and recreational value; however, their application in school physical education and recreational settings remains limited due to safety concerns, high costs, and restricted access to specialized facilities and equipment. To address these constraints, this study designed and implemented a [...] Read more.
Shooting activities offer educational and recreational value; however, their application in school physical education and recreational settings remains limited due to safety concerns, high costs, and restricted access to specialized facilities and equipment. To address these constraints, this study designed and implemented a low-cost laser shooting system suitable for school physical education and recreational use. The proposed system comprises a laser-gun module, a physical electronic target providing immediate on-site feedback using an illuminance sensor, a Fresnel lens, and RGB LEDs, and a web-based electronic target that enables real-time scoring, logging, and visualization via smartphone or tablet cameras and browser-based processing. By adopting a low-power, projectile-free laser structure with pulse-limited emission, the system enhances operational safety, while the use of general-purpose components and web standards reduces cost and lowers barriers to adoption. Technical verification conducted under controlled indoor conditions demonstrated stable single-shot operation, reliable hit detection, and accurate score calculation for both the physical and web-based targets. Expert validation involving specialists in physical education, educational technology, and sports technology yielded consistently high evaluations across safety, cost efficiency, functional completeness, and field applicability. These findings suggest that the proposed system represents a practical and scalable alternative for school physical education classes and recreational programs. Future research should examine user-level usability, learning outcomes, system robustness under diverse environmental conditions, and structured expert consensus processes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Technologies in Sports and Physical Activity)
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25 pages, 3132 KB  
Article
Study on the Impact of Electrical Substitution Coefficient on Natural Gas Load Forecasting Under Deep Electrification Scenario for Sustainable Energy Systems
by Wei Zhao, Bilin Shao, Yan Cao, Ming Hou, Chunhui Liu, Huibin Zeng, Hongbin Dai and Ning Tian
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3318; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073318 - 29 Mar 2026
Viewed by 353
Abstract
Against the backdrop of the global energy transition toward deep electrification, the natural gas industry faces challenges, including increased load forecasting uncertainty and frequent extreme weather impacts. To enhance natural gas load forecasting accuracy and support system resilience planning, this study constructs a [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of the global energy transition toward deep electrification, the natural gas industry faces challenges, including increased load forecasting uncertainty and frequent extreme weather impacts. To enhance natural gas load forecasting accuracy and support system resilience planning, this study constructs a forecasting model based on quadratic decomposition and hybrid deep learning, incorporating an electricity substitution coefficient to characterize the coupling substitution effect between electricity and natural gas. Under the basic scenario, the VMD-WPD-TCN-BiGRU model is proposed. It employs variational mode decomposition and wavelet packet denoising for secondary signal denoising, combined with a time-series convolutional network and bidirectional gated recurrent unit to extract temporal features. Experiments demonstrate that, compared to mainstream methods such as CNN, BiLSTM, SVM, and XGBoost, this model achieves statistically significant reductions in MSE (11.11–96.21%), MAE (0.89–76.50%), and MAPE (4.10–67.94%), significantly improving forecasting accuracy. In the deep electrification scenario, the introduction of the electricity substitution coefficient further optimizes peak load forecasting for system pressure days under extreme low temperatures, elevating the overall R2 to 0.9905 in the deep electrification scenario. Research indicates that the proposed model not only effectively improves the accuracy of short-term natural gas load forecasting but also provides quantitative support for enterprises to plan peak-shaving facilities, optimize pipeline networks, and respond to extreme weather emergencies in data silo environments. This contributes to strengthening the adaptability and long-term resilience of natural gas systems during the energy transition, thereby supporting the sustainable development of energy infrastructure. Full article
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24 pages, 3168 KB  
Article
Application of Machine Learning Models to Oil Refinery Programming
by Evar Umeozor
Processes 2026, 14(7), 1072; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14071072 - 27 Mar 2026
Viewed by 327
Abstract
Transparent and evidence-based representations of global crude oil refining systems remain limited in the public literature, constraining robust energy systems modeling and policy analysis. This study develops a comprehensive, configuration-based modeling framework for all operating crude oil refineries worldwide using plant-level process unit [...] Read more.
Transparent and evidence-based representations of global crude oil refining systems remain limited in the public literature, constraining robust energy systems modeling and policy analysis. This study develops a comprehensive, configuration-based modeling framework for all operating crude oil refineries worldwide using plant-level process unit data. Forty unique refinery configurations are identified through an unsupervised decision tree-based clustering approach that accounts for process unit presence and relative conversion intensity. An extremely randomized trees (ETR) machine learning model is trained on approximately 11,000 refinery-year observations to predict refined product yields as a function of refinery configuration, capacity, and crude oil diet. The model achieves out-of-sample coefficients of determination exceeding 0.90 for all major products and outperforms multiple linear regression and other ensemble methods. The predictive model is integrated with a differential evolution optimization algorithm to enable refinery programming under operational and feedstock constraints. The application of this model to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) refineries shows that, under existing technologies, petrochemical feedstock yields are bounded at approximately 37%, significantly below announced long-term diversification targets of 70–85%. Yield improvements of up to 6 percentage points are feasible through operational optimization but are associated with capacity utilization adjustments and product trade-offs. The framework provides a scalable tool for refinery benchmarking, energy transition analysis, and strategic planning across facility, national, and global levels. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Review Papers in Section "Chemical Processes and Systems")
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47 pages, 1879 KB  
Review
Advancing Offshore Wind Capacity Through Turbine Size Scaling
by Paweł Martynowicz, Piotr Ślimak and Desta Kalbessa Kumsa
Energies 2026, 19(7), 1625; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19071625 - 25 Mar 2026
Viewed by 558
Abstract
The upscaling of turbines in the offshore wind industry has been unprecedented, as compared to 5–6 MW rated turbines 10 years ago. A typical 20–26 MW rated turbine in modern commercial applications (MingYang MySE 18.X-20 MW installed in 2025 and 26 MW prototype [...] Read more.
The upscaling of turbines in the offshore wind industry has been unprecedented, as compared to 5–6 MW rated turbines 10 years ago. A typical 20–26 MW rated turbine in modern commercial applications (MingYang MySE 18.X-20 MW installed in 2025 and 26 MW prototype by Dongfang Electric tested in 2025) has been demonstrated. This scaling has been made possible by increasing rotor diameters (>250 m) and hub heights (>150–180 m) to achieve capacity factors of up to 55–65%, annual energy generation of more than 80 GWh/turbine, and significant decreases in levelised cost of energy (LCOE) to current values of up to 63–65 USD 2023/MWh globally averaged in 2023 (with minor variability in 2024 due to market changes and new regional areas). The paper analyses turbine upscaling over three levels of hierarchy, including turbine scale—rated capacity and physical aspect, project scale—multi-gigawatts of farms, and market scale—the global pipeline > 1500 GW level, and combines techno-economic evaluation, structural evaluation of loads, and infrastructure needs assessment. The upscaling has the advantage of reducing the number of turbines dramatically (e.g., 500 to 67 turbines in a 1 GW farm, as turbine size is increased to 15 MW) and balancing-of-plant (BoP) CAPEX (turbine-to-turbine foundations and cables) by some 20 to 30 percent per unit of capacity, and serial production learning rates of between 15 and 18% per doubling of capacity. But the problems that come with the increase in ultra-large designs are nonlinear increments in mass and load (i.e., blade-root and tower-bending moments), logistical constraints (blades > 120 m, nacelle up to 800–1000 tonnes demanding special vessels and ports), supply-chain issues (rare-earth materials, vessel shortages increase day rates by 30–50%), and technology limitations (aeroelastic compounded by numerical differences between reference 5 MW, 10 MW, and 15 MW models), it becomes evident that there is a significant increase in deflections of the tower and blades and platform surge/pitch responses with continued increases in power levels, but without a correspondingly mature infrastructure. The regional differences (mature ports of Europe vs. U.S. Jones Act restrictions vs. scale-up of vessels/manufacturing in China) lead to the necessity of optimisation depending on the context. The analysis concludes that, to the extent of mature markets with adapted logistics, continuous upscaling is an effective business strategy and can result in 5 to 12 percent further reductions in LCOE, but beyond that point, gains become marginal or even negative, as risks and costs increase. The competitiveness of the future depends on multi-scale/multi-market-based approaches—modular-based families of turbines, programmatic standardisation, vibration control innovations, and industry coordination towards supply-chain alignment and standards. Its major strength is that it transcends mere size–cost relationships and shows how nonlinear structural processes, aero-hydro-servo-elastic interactions, and bottlenecks in logistical systems are becoming more determinant of the efficiency of ultra-large turbines. The study demonstrates that upscaling turbines has LCOE benefits through the support of associated improvements in installation facility, supply-chain preparedness, and structural vibration control potential, based on the comparisons of quantitative loads, techno-economic scaling trends, and regional market differentiation. Full article
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28 pages, 1397 KB  
Article
Evaluation of Waste-to-Hydrogen Infrastructure in Oman: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach for Circular Economy Integration
by Sharif H. Zein
Modelling 2026, 7(2), 62; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling7020062 - 24 Mar 2026
Viewed by 207
Abstract
Plastic waste gasification offers a dual-benefit pathway for hydrogen production and waste management in emerging economies. However, existing hydrogen infrastructure planning focuses predominantly on blue and green pathways, with limited integration of waste-derived hydrogen or spatially distributed waste availability constraints. This study determines [...] Read more.
Plastic waste gasification offers a dual-benefit pathway for hydrogen production and waste management in emerging economies. However, existing hydrogen infrastructure planning focuses predominantly on blue and green pathways, with limited integration of waste-derived hydrogen or spatially distributed waste availability constraints. This study determines optimal waste-to-hydrogen infrastructure deployment in Oman through 2040 using mixed-integer linear programming with verified techno-economic parameters. Results indicate that plastic waste can produce 21,997 tonnes H2 annually at a levelised cost of $2.88/kg, competitive with blue hydrogen ($1.80–2.50/kg) and significantly cheaper than current green hydrogen ($4–6/kg). The optimal network comprises four facilities at Muscat (500 TPD), Sohar (128 TPD), Salalah (192 TPD), and Nizwa (67 TPD), processing 275,000 tonnes of plastic waste whilst avoiding 137,000 tonnes of CO2-eq through landfill diversion. However, feedstock availability constrains production to 24% of base case demand (90,000 tonnes), positioning waste-to-H2 as a complementary pathway requiring integration with steam methane reforming for industrial hubs and electrolysis for the transport sector. Sensitivity analysis reveals hydrogen yield (±29% cost impact) and CAPEX (±20%) as critical parameters, with cost reduction pathways targeting $2.00–2.30/kg by 2035 through technology learning and co-benefit monetisation. Policy recommendations include extended producer responsibility schemes, government fleet procurement mandates, and regional waste trade agreements across the GCC. Waste-to-hydrogen demonstrates techno-economic viability as a guaranteed baseload contributor within diversified hydrogen strategies for Gulf economies. Full article
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