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Search Results (1,097)

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Keywords = maximum power prediction

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26 pages, 6533 KB  
Article
MPC Design and Comparative Analysis of Single-Phase 7-Level PUC and 9-Level CSC Inverters for Grid Integration of PV Panels
by Raghda Hariri, Fadia Sebaaly, Kamal Al-Haddad and Hadi Y. Kanaan
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5116; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195116 - 26 Sep 2025
Abstract
In this study, a novel comparison between single phase 7-Level Packed U—Cell (PUC) inverter and single phase 9-Level Cross Switches Cell (CSC) inverter with Model Predictive Controller (MPC) for solar grid-tied applications is presented. Our innovation introduces a unique approach by integrating PV [...] Read more.
In this study, a novel comparison between single phase 7-Level Packed U—Cell (PUC) inverter and single phase 9-Level Cross Switches Cell (CSC) inverter with Model Predictive Controller (MPC) for solar grid-tied applications is presented. Our innovation introduces a unique approach by integrating PV solar panels in PUC and CSC inverters in their two DC links rather than just one which increases power density of the system. Another key benefit for the proposed models lies in their simplified design, offering improved power quality and reduced complexity relative to traditional configurations. Moreover, both models feature streamlined control architectures that eliminate the need for additional controllers such as PI controllers for grid reference current extraction. Furthermore, the implementation of Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) technology directly optimizes power output from the PV panels, negating the necessity for a DC-DC booster converter during integration. To validate the proposed concept’s performance for both inverters, extensive simulations were conducted using MATLAB/Simulink, assessing both inverters under steady-state conditions as well as various disturbances to evaluate its robustness and dynamic response. Both inverters exhibit robustness against variations in grid voltage, phase shift, and irradiation. By comparing both inverters, results demonstrate that the CSC inverter exhibits superior performance due to its booster feature which relies on generating voltage level greater than the DC input source. This primary advantage makes CSC a booster inverter. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F3: Power Electronics)
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26 pages, 5274 KB  
Article
Hybrid Artificial Neural Network and Perturb & Observe Strategy for Adaptive Maximum Power Point Tracking in Partially Shaded Photovoltaic Systems
by Braulio Cruz, Luis Ricalde, Roberto Quintal-Palomo, Ali Bassam and Roberto I. Rico-Camacho
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5053; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195053 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 165
Abstract
Partial shading in photovoltaic (PV) systems causes multiple local maximum power points (LMPPs), complicating tracking and reducing energy efficiency. Conventional maximum power point tracking (MPPT) methods, such as Perturb and Observe (P&O), often fail because of oscillations and entrapment at local maxima. To [...] Read more.
Partial shading in photovoltaic (PV) systems causes multiple local maximum power points (LMPPs), complicating tracking and reducing energy efficiency. Conventional maximum power point tracking (MPPT) methods, such as Perturb and Observe (P&O), often fail because of oscillations and entrapment at local maxima. To address these shortcomings, this study proposes a hybrid MPPT strategy combining artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the P&O algorithm to enhance tracking accuracy under partial shading while maintaining implementation simplicity. The research employs a detailed PV cell model in MATLAB/Simulink (2019b) that incorporates dynamic shading to simulate non-uniform irradiance. Within this framework, an ANN trained with the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm predicts global maximum power points (GMPPs) from voltage and irradiance data, guiding and accelerating subsequent P&O operation. In the hybrid system, the ANN predicts the maximum power points (MPPs) to provide initial estimates, after which the P&O fine-tunes the duty cycle optimization in a DC-DC converter. The proposed hybrid ANN–P&O MPPT method achieved relative improvements of 15.6–49% in tracking efficiency, 16–20% in stability, and 14–54% in convergence speed compared with standalone P&O, depending on the irradiance scenario. This research highlights the potential of ANN-enhanced MPPT systems to maximize energy harvest in PV systems facing shading variability. Full article
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22 pages, 2875 KB  
Article
Uncertainty Quantification of Fatigue Life for Cement-Stabilized Cold Recycled Mixtures Using Probabilistic Programming
by Hao Liu, Jiaolong Ren, Lin Zhang, Qingyi Lv, Shenghan Zhuang and Hongbo Zhao
Materials 2025, 18(19), 4439; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18194439 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 196
Abstract
The assessment of fatigue life is important for the design of pavement materials because fatigue cracks are one of the most common types of failure in pavement structures. The fatigue test is commonly used to determine the fatigue life. However, there are lots [...] Read more.
The assessment of fatigue life is important for the design of pavement materials because fatigue cracks are one of the most common types of failure in pavement structures. The fatigue test is commonly used to determine the fatigue life. However, there are lots of uncertainties, such as the construction environment and personal operations, during the fatigue test due to the complexity of the pavement materials. Determining the fatigue life of pavement materials under uncertainty is a challenging task. In this study, considering cement-stabilized cold recycled mixtures (CSCRMs) as an example, an uncertainty quantification (UQ) method based on PyMC3, a novel and powerful probabilistic programming package, was developed to address the uncertainty in fatigue behavior based on fatigue tests. Probabilistic programming was employed to characterize the uncertainty of fatigue life based on fatigue test data and the fatigue life formula. The uncertainty of fatigue life was quantified by determining the unknown coefficient of the fatigue life formula. Two independent datasets for the CSCRM were used to illustrate and verify the developed method. The coefficients of determination (R2) for the prediction results of fatigue life were higher than 0.96, based on the obtained formula and test data. The maximum and average errors of the coefficients determined using the fatigue equation were less than 11% and 7%, respectively. The verification demonstrates that the predicted fatigue life closely agrees with the test data, and the determined coefficients of the fatigue equation are in excellent agreement with prior findings. The developed method avoided complex statistical computations and references. The UQ can evaluate the fatigue life and its uncertainty and significantly enhance the understanding of the fatigue behavior of the CSCRM. Full article
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22 pages, 4725 KB  
Article
Data-Driven Optimization and Mechanical Assessment of Perovskite Solar Cells via Stacking Ensemble and SHAP Interpretability
by Ruichen Tian, Aldrin D. Calderon, Quanrong Fang and Xiaoyu Liu
Materials 2025, 18(18), 4429; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18184429 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 142
Abstract
Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) have emerged as promising photovoltaic technologies owing to their high power conversion efficiency (PCE) and material versatility. Conventional optimization of PSC architectures largely depends on iterative experimental approaches, which are often labor-intensive and time-consuming. In this study, a data-driven [...] Read more.
Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) have emerged as promising photovoltaic technologies owing to their high power conversion efficiency (PCE) and material versatility. Conventional optimization of PSC architectures largely depends on iterative experimental approaches, which are often labor-intensive and time-consuming. In this study, a data-driven modeling strategy is introduced to accelerate the design of efficient and mechanically robust PSCs. Seven supervised regression models were evaluated for predicting key photovoltaic parameters, including PCE, short-circuit current density (Jsc), open-circuit voltage (Voc), and fill factor (FF). Among these, a stacking ensemble framework exhibited superior predictive accuracy, achieving an R2 of 0.8577 and a root mean square error of 2.084 for PCE prediction. Model interpretability was ensured through Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP) analysis, which identified precursor solvent composition, A-site cation ratio, and hole-transport-layer additives as the most influential parameters. Guided by these insights, ten device configurations were fabricated, achieving a maximum PCE of 24.9%, in close agreement with model forecasts. Furthermore, multiscale mechanical assessments, including bending, compression, impact resistance, peeling adhesion, and nanoindentation tests, were conducted to evaluate structural reliability. The optimized device demonstrated enhanced interfacial stability and fracture resistance, validating the proposed predictive–experimental framework. This work establishes a comprehensive approach for performance-oriented and reliability-driven PSC design, providing a foundation for scalable and durable photovoltaic technologies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Materials)
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34 pages, 17998 KB  
Article
Bayesian Stochastic Inference and Statistical Reliability Modeling of Maxwell–Boltzmann Model Under Improved Progressive Censoring for Multidisciplinary Applications
by Heba S. Mohammed, Osama E. Abo-Kasem and Ahmed Elshahhat
Axioms 2025, 14(9), 712; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14090712 - 21 Sep 2025
Viewed by 174
Abstract
The Maxwell–Boltzmann (MB) distribution is important because it provides the statistical foundation for connecting microscopic particle motion to macroscopic gas properties by statistically describing molecular speeds and energies, making it essential for understanding and predicting the behavior of classical ideal gases. This study [...] Read more.
The Maxwell–Boltzmann (MB) distribution is important because it provides the statistical foundation for connecting microscopic particle motion to macroscopic gas properties by statistically describing molecular speeds and energies, making it essential for understanding and predicting the behavior of classical ideal gases. This study advances the statistical modeling of lifetime distributions by developing a comprehensive reliability analysis of the MB distribution under an improved adaptive progressive censoring framework. The proposed scheme strategically enhances experimental flexibility by dynamically adjusting censoring protocols, thereby preserving more information from test samples compared to conventional designs. Maximum likelihood estimation, interval estimation, and Bayesian inference are rigorously derived for the MB parameters, with asymptotic properties established to ensure methodological soundness. To address computational challenges, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are employed for efficient Bayesian implementation. A detailed exploration of reliability measures—including hazard rate, mean residual life, and stress–strength models—demonstrates the MB distribution’s suitability for complex reliability settings. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations validate the efficiency and precision of the proposed inferential procedures, highlighting significant gains over traditional censoring approaches. Finally, the utility of the methodology is showcased through real-world applications to physics and engineering datasets, where the MB distribution coupled with such censoring yields superior predictive performance. This genuine examination is conducted through two datasets (including the failure times of aircraft windshields, capturing degradation under extreme environmental and operational stress, and mechanical component failure times) that represent recurrent challenges in industrial systems. This work contributes a unified statistical framework that broadens the applicability of the Maxwell–Boltzmann model in reliability contexts and provides practitioners with a powerful tool for decision making under censored data environments. Full article
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19 pages, 3960 KB  
Article
Optimization of Hot Stamping Parameters for Aluminum Alloy Crash Beams Using Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms
by Ruijia Qu, Zhiqiang Zhang, Mingwen Ren, Hongjie Jia and Tongxin Lv
Metals 2025, 15(9), 1047; https://doi.org/10.3390/met15091047 - 19 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1518
Abstract
The hot stamping process of aluminum alloys involves multiple parameters, including blank holder force, stamping speed, die temperature, and friction coefficient. Traditional methods often fail to capture the nonlinear interactions among these parameters. This study proposes an optimization framework that integrates BP neural [...] Read more.
The hot stamping process of aluminum alloys involves multiple parameters, including blank holder force, stamping speed, die temperature, and friction coefficient. Traditional methods often fail to capture the nonlinear interactions among these parameters. This study proposes an optimization framework that integrates BP neural networks with genetic algorithms (GA), while six bio-inspired algorithms—Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO), Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), Crested Porcupine Optimizer (CPO), Grey lag Goose Optimization (GOOSE), Dung Beetle Optimizer (DBO), and Parrot Optimizer (PO)—were employed to optimize the network hyperparameters. Comparative results show that all optimized models outperformed the baseline BP model (R2 = 0.702, RMSE = 0.106, MAPE = 20.8%). The PO-BP achieved the best performance, raising R2 by 27.3% and reducing MAPE by 27.1%. Furthermore, combining GA with the PO-BP model yielded optimized process parameters, reducing the maximum thinning rate to 17.0% with only a 1.16% error compared with experiments. Overall, the proposed framework significantly improves prediction accuracy and forming quality, offering an efficient solution for rapid process optimization in intelligent manufacturing of aluminum alloy automotive parts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forming and Processing Technologies of Lightweight Metal Materials)
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31 pages, 12350 KB  
Article
Statistical Evaluation of Beta-Binomial Probability Law for Removal in Progressive First-Failure Censoring and Its Applications to Three Cancer Cases
by Ahmed Elshahhat, Osama E. Abo-Kasem and Heba S. Mohammed
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 3028; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13183028 - 19 Sep 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
Progressive first-failure censoring is a flexible and cost-efficient strategy that captures real-world testing scenarios where only the first failure is observed at each stage while randomly removing remaining units, making it ideal for biomedical and reliability studies. By applying the α-power transformation [...] Read more.
Progressive first-failure censoring is a flexible and cost-efficient strategy that captures real-world testing scenarios where only the first failure is observed at each stage while randomly removing remaining units, making it ideal for biomedical and reliability studies. By applying the α-power transformation to the exponential baseline, the proposed model introduces an additional flexibility parameter that enriches the family of lifetime distributions, enabling it to better capture varying failure rates and diverse hazard rate behaviors commonly observed in biomedical data, thus extending the classical exponential model. This study develops a novel computational framework for analyzing an α-powered exponential model under beta-binomial random removals within the proposed censoring test. To address the inherent complexity of the likelihood function arising from simultaneous random removals and progressive censoring, we derive closed-form expressions for the likelihood, survival, and hazard functions and propose efficient estimation strategies based on both maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference. For the Bayesian approach, gamma and beta priors are adopted, and a tailored Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is implemented to approximate posterior distributions under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. To evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed estimators, extensive Monte Carlo simulations are conducted, examining bias, mean squared error, and credible interval coverage under varying censoring levels and removal probabilities. Furthermore, the practical utility of the model is illustrated through three oncological datasets, including multiple myeloma, lung cancer, and breast cancer patients, demonstrating superior goodness of fit and predictive reliability compared to traditional models. The results show that the proposed lifespan model, under the beta-binomial probability law and within the examined censoring mechanism, offers a flexible and computationally tractable framework for reliability and biomedical survival analysis, providing new insights into censored data structures with random withdrawals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advance in Applied Probability and Statistical Inference)
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25 pages, 2383 KB  
Article
Application of the Finite Element Method in Stress and Strain Analysis of Spherical Tank for Fluid Storage
by Halima Onalla S. Ali, Vladimir Dedić, Jelena Živković, Nenad Todić and Radovan Petrović
Symmetry 2025, 17(9), 1565; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17091565 - 18 Sep 2025
Viewed by 217
Abstract
Symmetry plays a key role in the study of stress and strain analysis of spherical tanks, as described in detail in the main text. The inherent geometric symmetry of a spherical tank–being uniform in all directions from its center–allows for significant simplification of [...] Read more.
Symmetry plays a key role in the study of stress and strain analysis of spherical tanks, as described in detail in the main text. The inherent geometric symmetry of a spherical tank–being uniform in all directions from its center–allows for significant simplification of finite element models. This radial symmetry means that the stress and strain fields under uniform internal pressure are also symmetrical, reducing the computational domain to a small, representative portion of the tank rather than the entire structure. By using these symmetry principles, the study not only ensures the accuracy of its predictions but also achieves a high degree of computational efficiency, making complex engineering problems easier and more accessible. The application of symmetry, therefore, is not just a theoretical concept but a practical tool that underlies the methodology and success of this analysis. This study investigates the mechanical behavior of a spherical tank subjected to internal fluid pressure, utilizing the finite element method (FEM) as a primary analytical tool. Spherical tanks are widely used for the storage of various fluids, including liquefied natural gas (LNG), compressed gases, and water. Their design is critical to ensure structural integrity and safety. This research aims to provide a comprehensive stress and strain analysis of a typical spherical tank, focusing on the hoop and meridian stresses, and their distribution across the tank’s geometry. A 3D finite element model of a spherical tank will be developed using commercial FEA software. The model will incorporate realistic material properties (e.g., steel alloy) and boundary conditions that simulate the support structure and internal fluid pressure. The analysis will consider both linear elastic and potentially non-linear material responses to explore the tank’s behavior under various operational and overpressure scenarios. The primary objectives of this study are as follows: (1) determine the maximum principal stresses and strains within the tank wall, (2) analyze the stress concentration at critical points, such as support connections and nozzle penetrations, and (3) validate the FEM results against classical analytical solutions for thin-walled spherical pressure vessels. The findings will provide valuable insights into the structural performance of these tanks, highlighting potential areas of concern and offering a robust numerical approach for design optimization and safety assessment. This research demonstrates the power and utility of FEM in engineering design, offering a more detailed and accurate analysis than traditional analytical methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mathematics)
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15 pages, 1934 KB  
Article
Visual, Topographic and Aberrometric Outcomes After Phototherapeutic Keratectomy (PTK) for Salzmann Nodular Degeneration
by Simon Helm, Johanna Wiedemann, Niklas Reinking, Benjamin Rosswinkel, Björn Bachmann, Claus Cursiefen and Simona Schlereth
Med. Sci. 2025, 13(3), 197; https://doi.org/10.3390/medsci13030197 - 18 Sep 2025
Viewed by 259
Abstract
Purpose: The aim of this paper is to study the visual outcomes, changes in higher order aberration (HOA) and corneal densitometry after debridement and excimer laser phototherapeutic keratectomy (PTK) for the treatment of Salzmann nodular degeneration (SND). Methods: This monocentric study includes 69 [...] Read more.
Purpose: The aim of this paper is to study the visual outcomes, changes in higher order aberration (HOA) and corneal densitometry after debridement and excimer laser phototherapeutic keratectomy (PTK) for the treatment of Salzmann nodular degeneration (SND). Methods: This monocentric study includes 69 eyes from 54 patients who underwent debridement and PTK for SND (mean follow-up time of 447.1 ± 597.7 days post-operatively). The following parameters were measured before and after PTK: best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) in logMAR, sphere, cylinder, calculated spherical equivalent (SPHQ), mean and maximum refractive power, astigmatism, HOA, corneal density and thickness. Patients were divided into two cohorts depending on additional visual acuity limitations (VAL). Results: Mean visual acuity improvement was 0.16 ± 0.21 logMAR (p < 0.001), independent of additional VAL, and was associated with normalization of the cornea (hyperopic reduction by 2.13 ± 2.60 dpt, p < 0.001), reductions in cylinder (1.49 ± 2.44 dpt, p < 0.001) and corneal astigmatism (3.01 ± 3.39 dpt, p < 0.001). HOA was reduced by 0.77 ± 1.11 µm (p < 0.001) and corneal density by 6.08 ± 16.45 gray scale units (GSUs) in the center (p = 0.019) and by 9.32 ± 12.08 GSUs in the mid-periphery (p < 0.001). Haze occurred in 26.1% of patients (15.9% mild; 10.1% moderate). Re-PTK was necessary in 5.8%. Conclusions: PTK is a low-complication method for visual improvement in patients with SND, regardless of additional VAL, and is associated with a normalization of corneal parameters. HOA, corneal density and Kmax were reduced significantly and showed a correlation with visual acuity, implying that these objective parameters may have a good predictive value for visual acuity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Translational Medicine)
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23 pages, 4818 KB  
Article
Model Predictive Control of Common Ground PV Multilevel Inverter with Sliding Mode Observer for Capacitor Voltage Estimation
by Kelwin Silveira, Felipe B. Grigoletto, Fernanda Carnielutti, Mokhtar Aly, Margarita Norambuena and José Rodriguez
Processes 2025, 13(9), 2961; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13092961 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 402
Abstract
Transformerless inverters have received significant attention in solar photovoltaic (PV) applications. The absence of low-frequency transformers contributes to improved efficiency and reduced size compared to other topologies; however, there are concerns about leakage currents. The common ground (CG) connection in PV inverters is [...] Read more.
Transformerless inverters have received significant attention in solar photovoltaic (PV) applications. The absence of low-frequency transformers contributes to improved efficiency and reduced size compared to other topologies; however, there are concerns about leakage currents. The common ground (CG) connection in PV inverters is an attractive solution to this issue, as it generates a constant common-mode voltage and theoretically eliminates the leakage current. In this context, multilevel CG inverters can eliminate the leakage current while achieving high-quality output voltages. Nonetheless, achieving simultaneous control of the grid current and inner capacitor voltages can be challenging. Furthermore, controlling the capacitor voltages in multilevel inverters requires feedback from measurement sensors, which can increase the cost and may affect the overall reliability. To address these issues, this paper proposes a model predictive controller (MPC) for a CG multilevel inverter with a reduced number of sensors. While conventional MPC uses a classical multi-objective technique with a single cost function, the proposed method avoids the use of weighting factors in the cost function. Additionally, a sliding-mode observer is developed to estimate the capacitor voltages, and an incremental conductance-based maximum power point tracking (MPPT) algorithm is used to generate the current reference. Simulation and experimental results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed observer and MPC strategy. Full article
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36 pages, 6566 KB  
Article
Algorithmic Optimal Control of Screw Compressors for Energy-Efficient Operation in Smart Power Systems
by Kassym Yelemessov, Dinara Baskanbayeva, Leyla Sabirova, Nikita V. Martyushev, Boris V. Malozyomov, Tatayeva Zhanar and Vladimir I. Golik
Algorithms 2025, 18(9), 583; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18090583 - 14 Sep 2025
Viewed by 564
Abstract
This work presents the results of a research study focused on the development and evaluation of an algorithmic optimal control framework for energy-efficient operation of screw compressors in smart power systems. The proposed approach is based on the Pontryagin maximum principle (PMP), which [...] Read more.
This work presents the results of a research study focused on the development and evaluation of an algorithmic optimal control framework for energy-efficient operation of screw compressors in smart power systems. The proposed approach is based on the Pontryagin maximum principle (PMP), which enables the synthesis of a mathematically grounded regulator that minimizes the total energy consumption of a nonlinear electromechanical system composed of a screw compressor and a variable-frequency induction motor. Unlike conventional PID controllers, the developed algorithm explicitly incorporates system constraints, nonlinear dynamics, and performance trade-offs into the control law, allowing for improved adaptability and energy-aware operation. Simulation results obtained using MATLAB/Simulink confirm that the PMP-based regulator outperforms classical PID solutions in both transient and steady-state regimes. Experimental tests conducted in accordance with standard energy consumption evaluation methods showed that the proposed PMP-based controller provides a reduction in specific energy consumption of up to 18% under dynamic load conditions compared to a well-tuned basic PID controller, while maintaining high control accuracy, faster settling, and complete suppression of overshoot under external disturbances. The control system demonstrates robustness to parametric uncertainty and load variability, maintaining a statistical pressure error below 0.2%. The regulator’s structure is compatible with real-time execution on industrial programmable logic controllers (PLCs), supporting integration into intelligent automation systems and smart grid infrastructures. The discrete-time PLC implementation of the regulator requires only 103 arithmetic operations per cycle and less than 102 kB of RAM for state, buffers, and logging, making it suitable for mid-range industrial controllers under 2–10 ms task cycles. Fault-tolerance is ensured via range and rate-of-change checks, residual-based plausibility tests, and safe fallbacks (baseline PID or torque-limited speed hold) in case of sensor faults. Furthermore, the proposed approach lays the groundwork for hybrid extensions combining model-based control with AI-driven optimization and learning mechanisms, including reinforcement learning, surrogate modeling, and digital twins. These enhancements open pathways toward predictive, self-adaptive compressor control with embedded energy optimization. The research outcomes contribute to the broader field of algorithmic control in power electronics, offering a scalable and analytically justified alternative to heuristic and empirical tuning approaches commonly used in industry. The results highlight the potential of advanced control algorithms to enhance the efficiency, stability, and intelligence of energy-intensive components within the context of Industry 4.0 and sustainable energy systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI-Driven Control and Optimization in Power Electronics)
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34 pages, 16782 KB  
Article
Ultra-Short-Term Prediction of Monopile Offshore Wind Turbine Vibration Based on a Hybrid Model Combining Secondary Decomposition and Frequency-Enhanced Channel Self-Attention Transformer
by Zhenju Chuang, Yijie Zhao, Nan Gao and Zhenze Yang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1760; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091760 - 11 Sep 2025
Viewed by 273
Abstract
Ice loads continue to pose challenges to the structural safety of offshore wind turbines (OWTs), while the rapid development of offshore wind power in cold regions is enabling the deployment of OWTs in deeper waters. To accurately simulate the dynamic response of an [...] Read more.
Ice loads continue to pose challenges to the structural safety of offshore wind turbines (OWTs), while the rapid development of offshore wind power in cold regions is enabling the deployment of OWTs in deeper waters. To accurately simulate the dynamic response of an OWT under combined ice–wind loading, this paper proposes a Discrete Element Method–Wind Turbine Integrated Analysis (DEM-WTIA) framework. The framework can synchronously simulate discontinuous ice-crushing processes and aeroelastic–structural dynamic responses through a holistic turbine model that incorporates rotor dynamics and control systems. To address the issue of insufficient prediction accuracy for dynamic responses, we introduced a multivariate time series forecasting method that integrates a secondary decomposition strategy with a hybrid prediction model. First, we developed a parallel signal processing mechanism, termed Adaptive Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Improved Singular Spectrum Analysis (CEEMDAN-ISSA), which achieves adaptive denoising via permutation entropy-driven dynamic window optimization and multi-feature fusion-based anomaly detection, yielding a noise suppression rate of 76.4%. Furthermore, we propose the F-Transformer prediction model, which incorporates a Frequency-Enhanced Channel Attention Mechanism (FECAM). By integrating the Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT) into the Transformer architecture, the F-Transformer mines hidden features in the frequency domain, capturing potential periodicities in discontinuous data. Experimental results demonstrate that signals processed by ISSA exhibit increased signal-to-noise ratios and enhanced fidelity. The F-Transformer achieves a maximum reduction of 31.86% in mean squared error compared to the standard Transformer and maintains a coefficient of determination (R2) above 0.91 under multi-condition coupled testing. By combining adaptive decomposition and frequency-domain enhancement techniques, this framework provides a precise and highly adaptable ultra-short-term response forecasting tool for the safe operation and maintenance of offshore wind power in cold regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Coastal Engineering)
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18 pages, 2680 KB  
Article
Distribution Network Optimization and Flexibility Enhancement Based on Power Grid Equipment Maintenance
by Runquan He, Manlu Chen, Renli Yang and Fei Chen
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4833; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184833 - 11 Sep 2025
Viewed by 308
Abstract
With increasing integration of renewable energy, traditional distribution networks face challenges such as low flexibility, poor response speed, and operational inefficiency. To address these issues, this paper proposes a two-layer optimization framework for active distribution networks that integrates grid reconfiguration and equipment maintenance [...] Read more.
With increasing integration of renewable energy, traditional distribution networks face challenges such as low flexibility, poor response speed, and operational inefficiency. To address these issues, this paper proposes a two-layer optimization framework for active distribution networks that integrates grid reconfiguration and equipment maintenance considerations. The upper layer optimizes the network topology and branch flexibility using a flexibility adequacy index and power loss minimization. The lower layer performs distributed robust dispatch under renewable generation uncertainty. A hybrid algorithm combining Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Fire Hawk Optimization (FHO), and Differential Evolution (DE) is developed to solve the model efficiently. Simulation is conducted on a modified 62-node test system. Comparative results with deterministic, stochastic, and robust models show that the proposed approach achieves the lowest average cost and maximum cost under 500 Monte Carlo scenarios. It also significantly reduces flexibility deficits and renewable curtailment. In addition, the model contributes to predictive maintenance by identifying optimal switching strategies and branch stress levels. These findings demonstrate the method’s effectiveness in improving economic efficiency, system flexibility, and equipment sustainability. Full article
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34 pages, 3701 KB  
Article
Symmetry-Aware Short-Term Load Forecasting in Distribution Networks: A Synergistic Enhanced KMA-MVMD-Crossformer Framework
by Jingfeng Zhao, Kunhua Liu, Qi You, Lan Bai, Shuolin Zhang, Huiping Guo and Haowen Liu
Symmetry 2025, 17(9), 1512; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17091512 - 11 Sep 2025
Viewed by 310
Abstract
Accurate and efficient short-term load forecasting is crucial for the secure and stable operation and scheduling of power grids. Addressing the inability of traditional Transformer-based prediction models to capture symmetric correlations between different feature sequences and their susceptibility to multi-scale feature influences, this [...] Read more.
Accurate and efficient short-term load forecasting is crucial for the secure and stable operation and scheduling of power grids. Addressing the inability of traditional Transformer-based prediction models to capture symmetric correlations between different feature sequences and their susceptibility to multi-scale feature influences, this paper proposes a short-term power distribution network load forecasting model based on an enhanced Komodo Mlipir Algorithm (KMA)—Multivariate Variational Mode Decomposition (MVMD)-Crossformer. Initially, the KMA is enhanced with chaotic mapping and temporal variation inertia weighting, which strengthens the symmetric exploration of the solution space. This enhanced KMA is integrated into the parameter optimization of the MVMD algorithm, facilitating the decomposition of distribution network load sequences into multiple Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) components with symmetric periodic characteristics across different time scales. Subsequently, the Multi-variable Rapid Maximum Information Coefficient (MVRapidMIC) algorithm is employed to extract features with strong symmetric correlations to the load from weather and date characteristics, reducing redundancy while preserving key symmetric associations. Finally, a power distribution network short-term load forecasting model based on the Crossformer is constructed. Through the symmetric Dimension Segmentation (DSW) embedding layer and the Two-Stage Attention (TSA) mechanism layer with bidirectional symmetric correlation capture, the model effectively captures symmetric dependencies between different feature sequences, leading to the final load prediction outcome. Experimental results on the real power distribution network dataset show that: the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the proposed model is as low as 14.7597 MW, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) is 13.9728 MW, the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reaches 4.89%, and the coefficient of determination (R2) is as high as 0.9942. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Engineering and Materials)
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26 pages, 3224 KB  
Article
Two-Layer Co-Optimization of MPPT and Frequency Support for PV-Storage Microgrids Under Uncertainty
by Jun Wang, Lijun Lu, Weichuan Zhang, Hao Wang, Xu Fang, Peng Li and Zhengguo Piao
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4805; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184805 - 9 Sep 2025
Viewed by 377
Abstract
The increasing deployment of photovoltaic-storage systems in distribution-level microgrids introduces a critical control conflict: traditional maximum power point tracking algorithms aim to maximize energy harvest, while grid-forming inverter control demands real-time power flexibility to deliver frequency and inertia support. This paper presents a [...] Read more.
The increasing deployment of photovoltaic-storage systems in distribution-level microgrids introduces a critical control conflict: traditional maximum power point tracking algorithms aim to maximize energy harvest, while grid-forming inverter control demands real-time power flexibility to deliver frequency and inertia support. This paper presents a novel two-layer co-optimization framework that resolves this tension by integrating adaptive traditional maximum power point tracking modulation and virtual synchronous control into a unified, grid-aware inverter strategy. The proposed approach consists of a distributionally robust predictive scheduling layer, formulated using Wasserstein ambiguity sets, and a real-time control layer that dynamically reallocates photovoltaic output and synthetic inertia response based on local frequency conditions. Unlike existing methods that treat traditional maximum power point tracking and grid-forming control in isolation, our architecture redefines traditional maximum power point tracking as a tunable component of system-level stability control, enabling intentional photovoltaic curtailment to create headroom for disturbance mitigation. The mathematical model includes multi-timescale inverter dynamics, frequency-coupled battery dispatch, state-of-charge-constrained response planning, and robust power flow feasibility. The framework is validated on a modified IEEE 33-bus low-voltage feeder with high photovoltaic penetration and battery energy storage system-equipped inverters operating under realistic solar and load variability. Results demonstrate that the proposed method reduces the frequency of lowest frequency point violations by over 30%, maintains battery state-of-charge within safe margins across all nodes, and achieves higher energy utilization than fixed-frequency-power adjustment or decoupled Model Predictive Control schemes. Additional analysis quantifies the trade-off between photovoltaic curtailment and rate of change of frequency resilience, revealing that modest dynamic curtailment yields disproportionately large stability benefits. This study provides a scalable and implementable paradigm for inverter-dominated grids, where resilience, efficiency, and uncertainty-aware decision making must be co-optimized in real time. Full article
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