A novel Monte Carlo (MC) approach is proposed for the simulation of wind speed samples to assess the wind energy production potential of a site. The Monte Carlo approach is based on historical wind speed data and reserves the effect of autocorrelatio...
With the growth of air traffic demand in busy airspace, there is an urgent need for airspace sectorization to increase air traffic throughput and ease the pressure on controllers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a method framework that can pe...
Supplement 1 to the ‘Guide to the expression of uncertainty of measurement’ describes a Monte Carlo method as a general numerical approach to uncertainty evaluation. Application of the approach typically delivers a large number of values...
Financial derivatives have developed rapidly over the past few decades due to their risk-averse nature, with options being the preferred financial derivatives due to their flexible contractual mechanisms, particularly Asian options. The Black–S...
An environment of turbulence in the market in recent years and increasing inflation, mainly as a result of the post-COVID period and the ongoing military operation in Ukraine, represents a significant financial risk factor for many companies, which h...
The kinetics of the hydrolysis and polycondensation reactions of saccharides have made the subject of numerous studies, due to their importance in several industrial sectors. The present work, presents a novel kinetic modeling framework that is speci...
In this work, a mathematical computer simulation model is used to predict the possible energy generated from different Waves Energy Converters (WECs) in the Canary Islands. The Monte Carlo Method is the computer simulation model proposed to predict t...
In Japan, there are four methods of calculating water supply demands for office buildings based on SHASE-S 206 and two methods based on the design standard of Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT). However, these methods were...
In this work, we introduce a novel variance reduction approach utilising the integral formulation of the radiative transfer equation to calculate the radiance in a planar symmetric slab geometry. Due to its integral nature, our method offers a fundam...
The stochastic distributed placement of vacancy defects has evident effects on graphene mechanical property, which is a crucial and challenged issue in the field of nanomaterial. Different from the molecular dynamic theory and continuum mechanics the...
Water–rock interaction in surface and subsurface environments occurs in complex multicomponent systems and involves several reactions, including element transfer. Such kinetic information is obtained by fitting a forward model into the temporal...
A three-dimensional topography simulation of deep reactive ion etching (DRIE) is developed based on the narrow band level set method for surface evolution and Monte Carlo method for flux distribution. The advanced level set method is implemented to s...
This paper considers a method of the calculation of probability of the exit from a band of the solution of a stochastic differential equation. The method is based on the approximation of the solution of the considered equation by a process which is r...
The Monte Carlo simulation is a popular statistical method to estimate the effect of uncertainties on the solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations, but it requires a huge computational cost of the deterministic model, and the convergence...
The necessity of mining valuable metals must be balanced with the safe and effective disposal or remediation of the resulting waste. Water, one of our most valuable resources, is a major component of the mining process, and its post-operation storage...
Since the atmosphere has a strong scattering effect on ultraviolet light, the transmission of non-line-of-sight (NLOS) signals can be realized in the atmosphere. In previous articles, ultraviolet (UV) light atmospheric scattering has been characteriz...
This paper experiments an artificial neural networks model with Bayesian approach on a small real estate sample. The output distribution has been calculated operating a numerical integration on the weights space with the Markov Chain Hybrid Monte Car...
The design of airport queuing networks is a significant research field currently for researchers. Many factors must to be considered in order to achieve the optimized strategies, including the passenger flow volume, boarding time, and boarding order...
When vehicles fly at hypersonic speeds, a high-temperature flow field forms and emits intense radiation across some spectral bands. This strong flow field can be seen as a point source and is transmitted to high altitudes through the radiative transf...
In this study, models for NOEL (No Observed Effect Level) and NOEC (No Observed Effect Concentration) related to long-term/reproduction toxicity of various organic pesticides are built up, evaluated, and compared with similar models proposed in the l...
As a new testing technology, large-scale ship model tests on the sea are advantageous in addressing the scale effect in ship models and in simulating ship navigation conditions. In this study, the uncertainty of a ship model propulsion test on the se...
Traditionally, electric power systems are subject to uncertainties related to equipment availability, topological changes, faults, disturbances, behaviour of load, etc. In particular, the dissemination of distributed generation (DG), especially those...
The energy eigenvalues of the ground state helium atom and lowest two excited states corresponding to the configurations 1s2s embedded in the plasma environment using Hulthén, Debye–Hückel and exponential cosine screened Coulomb mod...
The fatigue resistance of coarse-grained (CG) metals can be greatly improved by introducing a nanograined surface layer. In this study, the Weibull distribution is used to characterize the spatially-random fracture properties of specimens under axial...
For the sake of understanding the mechanism of deep subcriticality and high heterogeneity of neutron fluence rate in time–space on the neutron kinetics of the Accelerator-driven Subcritical Reactor Subcritical Reactor (ADSR) under varied beam t...
Reliable toxicity assessments are essential for protecting biological processes in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). This study focuses on quantifying the measurement uncertainty of the ISO 8192:2007 method, which determines the inhibition of oxyg...
Urban transformations require balancing private real estate interests with the provision of public spaces that enhance sustainability and ecosystem services. This study proposes a probabilistic model to assess the feasibility of transforming buildabl...
Based on fifty one groups of data on direction distribution measured from buoy sites, several important spectrum parameters including distribution characteristics of the measured data’s spectrum, the Wen’s direction spectrum and the Donel...
The paper presents a procedure for the determination of uncertainties in the modeling of surface roughness in the turning of NiTi alloys. The presented procedure is applicable both to the analysis of the measurement values of the two main roughness f...
Recently, the cooling load forecasting for the short-term has received increasing attention in the field of heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), which is conducive to the HVAC system operation control. The load forecasting based on weath...
The high-temperature strain gauge is a sensor for strain measurement in high-temperature environments. The measurement results often have a certain divergence, so the uncertainty of the high-temperature strain gauge system is analyzed theoretically....
The existence of pores is a very common feature of nature and of human life, but the existence of pores will alter the mechanical properties of the material. Therefore, it is very important to study the impact of different influencing factors on the...
The scattering of gases on solid surfaces plays a vital role in many advanced technologies. In this study, the scattering behavior of helium on graphene surfaces was investigated, including the thermal accommodation coefficient (TAC), outgoing zenith...
Thermal reduction by enhancing heat-generation phonon scattering can improve thermoelectric performance. In this paper, the phonon transport subjected to internal heat generation in two-dimensional nanoscale thermoelectric phononic crystals is invest...
In this study, we present the development of an advanced air pollution modeling approach, which incorporates cutting-edge stochastic techniques for large-scale simulations of long-range air pollutant transportation. The Unified Danish Eulerian Model...
Understanding light transportation in skin tissues can help improve clinical efficacy in the laser treatment of dermatosis, such as port-wine stains (PWS). Patient-specific cross-bridge PWS vessels are structurally complicated and considerably influe...
The solution of a wide class of applied problems can be represented as an integral over the trajectories of a random process. The process is usually modeled with the Monte Carlo method and the integral is estimated as the average value of a certain f...
The High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Pebble Bed Reactor (HTG-PBR) is notable in the advanced reactor realm for its online refueling capabilities and inherent safety features. However, the multiphysics coupling nature of HTG-PBR, involving neutronic analys...
To diagnose diabetes early or to maintain stable blood glucose levels in diabetics, blood glucose levels should be frequently checked. However, the only way to check blood glucose levels regularly is to use invasive methods, such as pricking the fing...
Pressures on water resources, which have increased significantly nowadays mainly due to rapid urbanization, population growth and climate change impacts, necessitate the development of innovative wastewater treatment and reuse technologies. In this c...
The incidence of skin cancer is increasing with the recent increase in UV exposure. The treatment of skin cancer generally proceeds through an excision of the tumor area, which causes bleeding into the affected area and surrounding tissues, and there...
The paper presents a program for simulating electron scattering in layered materials ProxyFn. Calculations show that the absorbed energy density is three-dimensional, while the contribution of the forward-scattered electrons is better described by a...
In this paper, the study of the influence of the matrix structure (mxm) of thin-film, rotation angle (α), magnetic field (B), and size (D) of Fe2O3 nanoparticle on the magnetic characteristic quantities such as the magnetization oriented z-direction...
Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) evaluating the effectiveness of interventions to promote fruit and vegetable (FV) consumption usually report intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis as the main outcome. These analyses compare the randomly assigned groups...
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Water environment carrying capacity (WECC) is an effective indicator that can help resolve the contradiction between social and economic development and water environment pollution. Considering the complexity of the water environment and socioeconomi...
The flood peak is commonly estimated using the rational method for the design of hydraulic structures. The method is mainly used in a deterministic context. However, there is often uncertainty in flood predictions, which should be incorporated in the...
It is important to determine the soil–water characteristic curve (SWCC) for analyzing slope seepage and stability under the conditions of rainfall. However, SWCCs exhibit high uncertainty because of complex influencing factors, which has not been pre...
Groundwater contaminant transport modeling is a vitally important topic. Since modeled processes include uncertainties, Monte Carlo methods are adopted to obtain some statistics. However, accurate models have a substantial computational cost. This dr...
High-temperature strain gauges are widely used in the strain monitoring of the hot-end components of aero-engines. In the application of strain gauges, the calibration of the gauge factor (
The rough Heston model is a form of a stochastic Volterra equation, which was proposed to model stock price volatility. It captures some important qualities that can be observed in the financial market—highly endogenous, statistical arbitrages...
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