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Keywords = non-linear models

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20 pages, 6970 KB  
Article
Dynamic Parameter Identification Method for Space Manipulators Based on Hybrid Optimization Strategy
by Haitao Jing, Xiaolong Ma, Meng Chen and Jinbao Chen
Actuators 2025, 14(10), 497; https://doi.org/10.3390/act14100497 (registering DOI) - 15 Oct 2025
Abstract
High-precision identification of dynamic parameters is crucial for the on-orbit performance of space manipulators. This paper investigates dynamic modeling and parameter identification under special environmental conditions such as microgravity and vacuum. First, a dynamic model of the manipulator incorporating a nonlinear friction term [...] Read more.
High-precision identification of dynamic parameters is crucial for the on-orbit performance of space manipulators. This paper investigates dynamic modeling and parameter identification under special environmental conditions such as microgravity and vacuum. First, a dynamic model of the manipulator incorporating a nonlinear friction term is established using the Newton-Euler method, and an improved Stribeck friction model is proposed to better characterize high-speed conditions and space environmental effects. On this basis, a hybrid parameter identification method combining Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithms is proposed to balance global search capability and local convergence accuracy. To enhance identification performance, Fourier series are used to design excitation trajectories, and their harmonic components are optimized to improve the condition number of the observation matrix. Experiments conducted on a ground test platform with a six-degree-of-freedom (6-DOF) manipulator show that the proposed method effectively identifies 108 dynamic parameters. The correlation coefficients between predicted and measured joint torques all exceed 0.97, with root mean square errors below 5.1 N·m, demonstrating the high accuracy and robustness of the method under limited data samples. The results provide a reliable model foundation for high-precision control of space manipulators. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dynamics and Control of Aerospace Systems—2nd Edition)
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17 pages, 758 KB  
Article
Impact of ESG Preferences on Investors in China’s A-Share Market
by Yihan Sun, Diyang Jiao, Yiqu Yang, Yumeng Peng and Sang Hu
Int. J. Financial Stud. 2025, 13(4), 191; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13040191 (registering DOI) - 15 Oct 2025
Abstract
This study explores the time-varying influence of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors on asset pricing in China’s A-share market from 2017 to 2023, integrating investor heterogeneity categorized as ESG-unaware (Type-U), ESG-aware (Type-A), and ESG-motivated (Type-M). taxonomy. It adopts a linear regression model [...] Read more.
This study explores the time-varying influence of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors on asset pricing in China’s A-share market from 2017 to 2023, integrating investor heterogeneity categorized as ESG-unaware (Type-U), ESG-aware (Type-A), and ESG-motivated (Type-M). taxonomy. It adopts a linear regression model with seven control variables (including firm systematic risk, asset turnover ratio, and ownership concentration) to quantify ESG’s marginal effect on stock returns. Annual regressions (2017–2022) reveal distinct ESG coefficient shifts: insignificant negative coefficients in 2017–2018, significantly positive coefficients in 2019–2020, and significantly negative coefficients in 2021–2022. Heterogeneity analysis across five non-financial industries (Utilities, Properties, Conglomerates, Industrials, Commerce) shows industry-specific ESG effects. Portfolio performance tests using 2023 data (stocks divided into eight ESG groups) indicate that portfolios with medium ESG scores outperform high/low ESG portfolios and the traditional mean-variance model in risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ratio) and volatility control, avoiding poor governance risks (low ESG) and excessive ESG resource allocation issues (high ESG). Overall, policy shocks and institutional maturation transformed the market from ESG indifference to ESG-motivated pricing within a decade, offering insights for stakeholders in emerging ESG markets. Full article
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26 pages, 23359 KB  
Article
Dispersive Soliton Solutions and Dynamical Analyses of a Nonlinear Model in Plasma Physics
by Alwaleed Kamel, Ali H. Tedjani, Shafqat Ur Rehman, Muhammad Bilal, Alawia Adam, Khaled Aldwoah and Mohammed Messaoudi
Axioms 2025, 14(10), 763; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14100763 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the generalized coupled Zakharov system (GCZS), a fundamental model in plasma physics that describes the nonlinear interaction between high-frequency Langmuir waves and low-frequency ion-acoustic waves, including the influence of magnetic fields on weak ion-acoustic wave propagation. This research [...] Read more.
In this paper, we investigate the generalized coupled Zakharov system (GCZS), a fundamental model in plasma physics that describes the nonlinear interaction between high-frequency Langmuir waves and low-frequency ion-acoustic waves, including the influence of magnetic fields on weak ion-acoustic wave propagation. This research aims to achieve three main objectives. First, we uncover soliton solutions of the coupled system in hyperbolic, trigonometric, and rational forms, both in single and combined expressions. These results are obtained using the extended rational sinh-Gordon expansion method and the GG,1G-expansion method. Second, we analyze the dynamic characteristics of the model by performing bifurcation and sensitivity analyses and identifying the corresponding Hamiltonian function. To understand the mechanisms of intricate physical phenomena and dynamical processes, we plot 2D, 3D, and contour diagrams for appropriate parameter values. We also analyze the bifurcation of phase portraits of the ordinary differential equations corresponding to the investigated partial differential equation. The novelty of this study lies in the fact that the proposed model has not been previously explored using these advanced methods and comprehensive dynamical analyses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Trends in Dynamical Systems and Applied Mathematics)
21 pages, 3563 KB  
Article
Nose Landing Gear Shimmy Analysis with Variable System Stiffness Under Time-Varying Load
by Yiyao Jiang, Jiyong Sun, Sheng Zhong and Bingyan Jiang
Aerospace 2025, 12(10), 926; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12100926 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
Vertical load fluctuations alter nose landing gear (NLG) system stiffness and complicate shimmy dynamics. Based on the full-scale NLG static stiffness test data, the relationship between shock absorber stroke and system stiffness was fitted, and a nonlinear shimmy model considering time-varying loads was [...] Read more.
Vertical load fluctuations alter nose landing gear (NLG) system stiffness and complicate shimmy dynamics. Based on the full-scale NLG static stiffness test data, the relationship between shock absorber stroke and system stiffness was fitted, and a nonlinear shimmy model considering time-varying loads was established. The numerical solution was achieved using the established Simscape model. The research results show that, under constant load conditions, considering the nonlinear growth characteristic of NLG system stiffness with shock absorber stroke, the lateral shimmy amplitude of the NLG is significantly reduced, while the rotational shimmy amplitude increases slightly; among these, lateral stiffness plays a dominant role in influencing shimmy stability. In addition, time-varying loads aggravate shimmy through two paths: first, the fluctuation of load amplitude directly changes the force state; second, vertical movement causes changes in the shock absorber stroke, which in turn leads to dynamic adjustment of system stiffness. This is of great help in guiding the stiffness design of the NLG system and accurately evaluating shimmy stability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Landing Systems Engineering)
27 pages, 2930 KB  
Article
Research on a New Shared Energy Storage Market Mechanism Based on Wind Power Characteristics and Two-Way Sales
by Yi Chai, Qinghai Hao, Ce Wang, Yunfei Tian, Jing Peng, Peng Sun and Mao Yang
Electronics 2025, 14(20), 4038; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14204038 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
Against the backdrop of the world’s increasing reliance on renewable energy, the inherent intermittency and volatility of wind and solar energy pose significant challenges to the stability and economic benefits of the power system. In regions rich in renewable energy resources such as [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of the world’s increasing reliance on renewable energy, the inherent intermittency and volatility of wind and solar energy pose significant challenges to the stability and economic benefits of the power system. In regions rich in renewable energy resources such as Gansu Province, due to low operational efficiency and underdeveloped market mechanisms, the potential of new energy storage systems is often not fully exploited. This paper proposes an integrated shared energy storage model designed to suppress wind power fluctuations and a two-way market trading mechanism designed to maximize social welfare to solve these problems. Firstly, a hybrid energy storage system combining electrochemical- and hydrogen-based energy storage is constructed. The modular coordination strategy is adopted to dynamically allocate power capacity, and the wind energy fluctuation suppression technology is proposed to achieve fluctuation suppression at multiple time scales. Secondly, a combined dual bidding mechanism is introduced, allowing for combined bidding across time periods and resource types, to better capture user preferences and enhance market flexibility. The model is represented as a mixed-integer nonlinear programming problem aimed at maximizing social welfare, and then transformed into a linear equivalence problem to enhance the traceability of the calculation. The branch and bound algorithm is adopted to solve this problem. Finally, the simulation results based on the bidding data of a certain area enhanced the participation of participants and improved the fairness of the market and the overall social welfare. This system effectively enhances the grid-friendliness of renewable energy grid connection and provides a scalable and replicable framework for highly renewable energy systems. Full article
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18 pages, 766 KB  
Article
A Comprehensive Approach to Identifying the Parameters of a Counterflow Heat Exchanger Model Based on Sensitivity Analysis and Regularization Methods
by Salimzhan Tassanbayev, Gulzhan Uskenbayeva, Aliya Shukirova, Korlan Kulniyazova and Igor Slastenov
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3289; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103289 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
The study presents a robust methodology for simultaneous state and parameter estimation in nonlinear thermal systems, demonstrated on a counter-current heat exchanger model operating with nitrogen under industrial conditions. To address challenges of ill-conditioning and parameter correlation, local sensitivity analysis is combined with [...] Read more.
The study presents a robust methodology for simultaneous state and parameter estimation in nonlinear thermal systems, demonstrated on a counter-current heat exchanger model operating with nitrogen under industrial conditions. To address challenges of ill-conditioning and parameter correlation, local sensitivity analysis is combined with regularization through optimal parameter subset selection using orthogonalization and D-optimal experimental design. The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is employed to jointly estimate the augmented state vector in real time, leveraging high-fidelity dynamic simulations generated in Unisim Design with the Peng–Robinson equation of state. The proposed framework achieves high estimation accuracy and numerical stability, even under limited sensor availability and measurement noise. Monte Carlo simulations confirm robustness to ±2.5% uncertainty in initial conditions, while residual autocorrelation analysis validates estimator optimality. The approach provides a practical solution for real-time monitoring and model-based control in industrial heat exchangers and offers a generalizable strategy for building identifiable, noise-resilient models of complex nonlinear systems. Full article
20 pages, 1741 KB  
Article
CFD-Based Estimation of Ship Waves in Shallow Waters
by Mingchen Ma, Ingoo Lee, Jungkeun Oh and Daewon Seo
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1965; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101965 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
This study examines the evolution characteristics of ship waves generated by large vessels in shallow waters. A CFD-based numerical wave tank, incorporating Torsvik’s ship wave theory, was developed using the VOF multiphase approach and the RNG k-ε turbulence model to capture free-surface evolution [...] Read more.
This study examines the evolution characteristics of ship waves generated by large vessels in shallow waters. A CFD-based numerical wave tank, incorporating Torsvik’s ship wave theory, was developed using the VOF multiphase approach and the RNG k-ε turbulence model to capture free-surface evolution and turbulence effects. Results indicate that wave heights vary significantly near the critical depth-based Froude number (Fh). Comparative analyses between CFD results for a Wigley hull and proposed empirical correction formulas show strong agreement in predicting maximum wave heights in transcritical and supercritical regimes, accurately capturing the nonlinear surge of wave amplitude in the transcritical range. Simulations of 2000-ton and 6000-ton class vessels further reveal that wave heights increase with Fh, peak in the transcritical regime, and subsequently decay. Lateral wave attenuation was also observed with increasing transverse distance, highlighting the role of vessel dimensions and bulbous bow structures in modulating wave propagation. These findings provide theoretical and practical references for risk assessment and navigational safety in shallow waterways. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
13 pages, 1116 KB  
Article
A Four-Layer Numerical Model for Transdermal Drug Delivery: Parameter Optimization and Experimental Validation Using a Franz Diffusion Cell
by Fjola Jonsdottir, O. I. Finsen, B. S. Snorradottir and S. Sigurdsson
Pharmaceutics 2025, 17(10), 1333; https://doi.org/10.3390/pharmaceutics17101333 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
Background/Objectives: A mechanistic understanding of transdermal drug delivery relies on accurately capturing the layered structure and barrier function of the skin. This study presents a four-layer numerical model that explicitly includes the donor compartment, stratum corneum (SC), viable skin (RS), and receptor compartment. [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: A mechanistic understanding of transdermal drug delivery relies on accurately capturing the layered structure and barrier function of the skin. This study presents a four-layer numerical model that explicitly includes the donor compartment, stratum corneum (SC), viable skin (RS), and receptor compartment. Methods: The model is based on Fickian diffusion and incorporates interfacial partitioning and mass transfer resistance. It is implemented using the finite element method in MATLAB and calibrated through nonlinear least-squares optimization against experimental data from Franz diffusion cell studies using porcine skin. Validation was performed using receptor concentration profiles over time and final drug content in the SC and RS layers, assessed via tape stripping and residual skin analysis. Results: The model provided excellent agreement with experimental data. For diclofenac, the optimized partition coefficient at the SC–RS interface was close to unity, indicating minimal interfacial discontinuity and that a simplified three-layer model may be sufficient for this compound. Conclusions: The proposed four-layer framework provides a physiologically informed and generalizable platform for simulating transdermal drug delivery. It enables spatial resolution, mechanistic interpretation, and flexible adaptation to other drugs and formulations, particularly those with significant interfacial effects or limited lipophilicity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Drug Delivery and Controlled Release)
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25 pages, 2538 KB  
Article
Hydrodynamic Loads of the “Ningde No. 1” Offshore Aquaculture Platform Under Current-Only Conditions
by Mingjia Chen, Xiangyuan Zheng, Hui Cheng and Xiaoxian Li
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(10), 1964; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13101964 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
This study investigates the hydrodynamic loads of “Ningde No. 1” offshore aquaculture under current-only conditions using a fluid–structure interaction (FSI) approach with the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solver OpenFOAM. A porous-media-based model is applied to simulate net-induced drag, while the rigid framework is [...] Read more.
This study investigates the hydrodynamic loads of “Ningde No. 1” offshore aquaculture under current-only conditions using a fluid–structure interaction (FSI) approach with the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solver OpenFOAM. A porous-media-based model is applied to simulate net-induced drag, while the rigid framework is resolved using a large eddy simulation (LES) turbulence model. A comprehensive set of 350 CFD simulations is performed, with varying flow velocities, flow directions, draft depths, and existence of nets. The results reveal that the load on this fishing facility in the streamwise direction (Fx) increases monotonically with flow velocity, direction, and draft. The lateral (Fy) and vertical (Fz) loads exhibit non-linear trends, peaking at a specific flow direction (approximately 60°) and draft levels (around 11.5 m). The fishing nets substantially increase the streamwise load by up to 80%, while their influence on the lateral forces is dependent on submergence depth. To efficiently predict hydrodynamic loads without performing additional and lengthy CFD simulations, a physics-informed neural network (PINN) is trained using the simulated data. The PINN model is found able to accurately reproduce the hydrodynamic force across a wide range of current conditions, offering a practical and interpretable surrogate approach for structural design optimization and mooring system development in offshore aquaculture industry. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Marine Fishing Gear and Aquacultural Engineering)
14 pages, 4118 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Use of Artificial Neural Networks for the Evaluation of Thermal Comfort Based on the PMV Index
by Naoual Ben Yachrak and Driss Taoukil
Eng. Proc. 2025, 112(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025112010 - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
This study aims to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict the predicted mean vote (PMV) index, a key Indicator of thermal comfort. Based on the ASHRAE II dataset, our approach uses the six PMV variables: air temperature, relative humidity, air [...] Read more.
This study aims to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict the predicted mean vote (PMV) index, a key Indicator of thermal comfort. Based on the ASHRAE II dataset, our approach uses the six PMV variables: air temperature, relative humidity, air velocity, radiative mean temperature, clothing insulation, and metabolic rate. However, accurately calculating PMV to determine the thermal comfort of a space can be complex due to the non-linear relationships between these different parameters. Sensitivity analysis of these parameters, performed by the Spearman rank method, identifies the most influential parameters on thermal comfort. The ANN model is trained and tested on 26,805 datasets. The results demonstrate a strong predictive capacity of the ANN, attested by a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.99 and a low root mean square error RMSE. Full article
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21 pages, 18268 KB  
Article
Fractional-Order Modeling of a Multistable Erbium-Doped Fiber Laser
by Jorge Eduardo Silva Gómez, José de Jesús Barba Franco, Luís Armando Gallegos Infante, Juan Hugo García López, Rider Jaimes Reátegui and Alexander N. Pisarchik
Photonics 2025, 12(10), 1014; https://doi.org/10.3390/photonics12101014 - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
We propose a novel mathematical model of a multistable erbium-doped fiber laser based on Caputo fractional derivative equations. The model is used to investigate how the laser dynamics evolve as the derivative order is varied. Our results demonstrate that the fractional-order formulation provides [...] Read more.
We propose a novel mathematical model of a multistable erbium-doped fiber laser based on Caputo fractional derivative equations. The model is used to investigate how the laser dynamics evolve as the derivative order is varied. Our results demonstrate that the fractional-order formulation provides a more accurate description of the experimentally observed laser dynamics compared to conventional integer-order models. This study highlights the importance of fractional calculus in modeling complex nonlinear photonic systems and offers new insights into the dynamics of multistable lasers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Optical Fiber Lasers and Laser Technology)
20 pages, 1737 KB  
Article
Short-Term Forecasting Approach of Wind Power Relying on NWP-CEEMDAN-LSTM
by Ying Yang and Yanlei Zhao
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3276; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103276 - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
Precise wind power forecasting has several benefits, such as optimized peak regulation in power systems, enhanced safety analysis, and improved energy efficiency. Considering the substantial influence of meteorological data, such as wind speed and temperature, on wind power generation, and to minimize the [...] Read more.
Precise wind power forecasting has several benefits, such as optimized peak regulation in power systems, enhanced safety analysis, and improved energy efficiency. Considering the substantial influence of meteorological data, such as wind speed and temperature, on wind power generation, and to minimize the impact of fluctuations and complexity of wind power data on the forecast results, this paper proposes a combined wind power forecasting method. This approach is based on the long short-term memory network (LSTM) model, using the maximal information coefficient (MIC) method to select numerical weather prediction (NWP) and combining the efficiency of complete EEMD with the adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) method for nonlinear signal decomposition. Results indicate that the accuracy of the forecast results is supported by NWP. Moreover, wind power data are decomposed by the CEEMDAN algorithm and converted into relatively regular sub-sequences with small fluctuations. The MIC algorithm effectively reduces the redundant information in NWP data, and the LSTM algorithm addresses the uncertainty of wind power data. Finally, the wind power of multiple wind farms is forecasted. Comparison of the forecast results of different methods revealed that the NWP-CEEMDAN-LSTM method proposed in this paper, which considers feature extraction using MIC, effectively tracks power fluctuations and improves forecast performance, thereby reducing the forecast error of wind power. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
11 pages, 9295 KB  
Article
Berlage Oscillator as a Mathematical Model of High-Frequency Geoacoustic Emission with One Dislocation Source
by Darya Sergienko and Roman Parovik
Acoustics 2025, 7(4), 65; https://doi.org/10.3390/acoustics7040065 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
A mathematical model of high-frequency geoacoustic emission for a single dislocation radiation source is suggested in the papper. The mathematical model is a linear Berlage oscillator with non-constant coefficients whose solution is the Berlage function momentum. Further, the values of the parameters of [...] Read more.
A mathematical model of high-frequency geoacoustic emission for a single dislocation radiation source is suggested in the papper. The mathematical model is a linear Berlage oscillator with non-constant coefficients whose solution is the Berlage function momentum. Further, the values of the parameters of the Berlage pulse are specified using experimental data. For this purpose, the problem of multidimensional optimization is solved, which consists of two stages: global optimization using the differential evolution method and local optimization according to the Nelder-Mead method. Statistics are given to confirm the correctness of the obtained results: standard error and coefficient of determination. It is shown that two-stage multivariate optimization makes it possible to refine the parameters of the Berlage pulse with a sufficiently high accuracy to describe high-frequency geoacoustic emission. Full article
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26 pages, 6270 KB  
Article
Autonomous Navigation Approach for Complex Scenarios Based on Layered Terrain Analysis and Nonlinear Model
by Wenhe Chen, Leer Hua, Shuonan Shen, Yue Wang, Qi Pu and Xundiao Ma
Information 2025, 16(10), 896; https://doi.org/10.3390/info16100896 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
In complex scenarios, such as industrial parks and underground parking lots, efficient and safe autonomous navigation is essential for driverless operation and automatic parking. However, conventional modular navigation methods, especially the A* algorithm, suffer from excessive node traversal and short paths that bring [...] Read more.
In complex scenarios, such as industrial parks and underground parking lots, efficient and safe autonomous navigation is essential for driverless operation and automatic parking. However, conventional modular navigation methods, especially the A* algorithm, suffer from excessive node traversal and short paths that bring vehicles dangerously close to obstacles. To address these issues, we propose an autonomous navigation approach based on a layered terrain cost map and a nonlinear predictive control model, which ensures real-time performance, safety, and reduced computational cost. The global planner applies a two-stage A* strategy guided by the hierarchical terrain cost map, improving efficiency and obstacle avoidance, while the local planner combines linear interpolation with nonlinear model predictive control to adaptively adjust the vehicle speed under varying terrain conditions. Experiments conducted in simulated and real underground parking scenarios demonstrate that the proposed method significantly improves the computational efficiency and navigation safety, outperforming the traditional A* algorithm and other baseline approaches in overall performance. Full article
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20 pages, 4124 KB  
Article
Research on External Risk Prediction of Belt and Road Initiative Major Projects Based on Machine Learning
by Siyao Liu and Changfeng Wang
Sustainability 2025, 17(20), 9089; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209089 (registering DOI) - 14 Oct 2025
Abstract
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) represents one of the world’s most ambitious transnational infrastructure and investment programs, but its implementation faces considerable external risks. Specifically, these risks include geopolitical instability, regulatory disparities, socio-cultural conflicts, and economic volatility, which threaten project continuity, economic [...] Read more.
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) represents one of the world’s most ambitious transnational infrastructure and investment programs, but its implementation faces considerable external risks. Specifically, these risks include geopolitical instability, regulatory disparities, socio-cultural conflicts, and economic volatility, which threaten project continuity, economic viability, and sustainability of the BRI framework. Consequently, effective risk recognition and prediction has become crucial for mitigating disruptions and supporting evidence-based policy formulation. What should be noticed is that existing risk management frameworks lack specialized, dynamically adaptive indicator systems capable of forecasting external risks specific to international engineering projects under the BRI. They tend to rely on static and traditional methods, which are ill-equipped to handle the dynamic and nonlinear nature of these transnational challenges. To address this gap, we have developed a machine learning-based early warning system. Drawing on a comprehensive dataset of 31 risk indicators across 155 BRI countries from 2013 to 2022, we constructed a stacked ensemble model optimized via Grid Search. The resulting ensemble model demonstrated exceptional predictive performance, achieving an R2 value of 0.966 and outperforming all baseline methods significantly. By introducing a data-driven early-warning framework, our study contributes to more resilient infrastructure planning and improved risk governance mechanisms in the context of transnational cooperation initiatives. Full article
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