Search Results (16,240)

Potential evaporation (PE) from saturated bare surfaces is the basis for estimating actual evaporation (E_s) in agricultural and related disciplines. Most models estimate PE using meteorological data. Thus, the dependence of soil temperature (T) on PE is often simplified in applications. To address this gap, we conducted an in situ lysimeter experiment in the Guanzhong Basin, China, continuously measuring PE, T, and soil heat flux (G) at high temporal resolution over three fully saturated sandy soils. Results show that annual PE over fine sand was 7.1% and 11.0% higher than that of coarse sand and gravel. The observed PE differences across textures can be quantitatively explained using the surface energy balance equation and a radiatively coupled Penman-Monteith equation, accounting for the dependence of T on net radiation (R_n) and G. In contrast, PE estimates diverged from observations when R_n and G were assumed to be independent of T. We further evaluated the influence of T and other influencing variables on PE. The random forest model identified that near-surface heat storage variations (∆S) contribute most significantly to PE estimation (relative importance = 0.37), followed by surface temperature (0.24) and sensible heat flux (0.23). These findings highlight the critical role of near-surface temperature in PE estimation. Full article

Urban streetscapes are among the most frequently encountered spatial environments in daily life, and their restorative visual features have a significant impact on well-being. Although existing studies have revealed the relationship between streetscape environments and perceived restorativeness, there remains a lack of scalable, data-driven methods for quantifying such perception at the street level. This study proposes an interpretable and replicable framework for predicting streetscape restorativeness by integrating semantic segmentation, perceptual evaluation, and machine learning techniques. Taking Liwan District of Guangzhou as a case study, street-view images (SVIs) were collected and processed using the Mask2Former model to extract the following five key visual metrics: greenness, openness, enclosure, walkability, and imageability. Based on the Perceived Restorativeness Scale (PRS), an online questionnaire was designed from four dimensions (fascination, being away, compatibility, and extent) to score a random sample of images. A random forest model was then trained to predict the perceptual levels of the full dataset, followed by K-means clustering to identify spatial distribution patterns. The results revealed that there were significant differences in visual characteristics among high, medium, and low restorativeness street types. The proposed framework enables scalable, data-driven evaluation of perceived restorativeness across diverse urban streetscapes. By embedding perceptual metrics into large-scale urban analysis, the framework offers a replicable and efficient approach for identifying streets with low restorative potential—thus providing urban planners and policymakers with a novel tool for prioritizing street-level renewal, improving public well-being, and supporting perception-oriented urban design without the need for labor-intensive fieldwork. Full article

Frequent channel migrations of the Yellow River, coupled with increasing human disturbances, have driven significant land cover changes in the Yellow River Delta (YRD) over time. Accurate estimation of aboveground biomass (AGB) and clarification of the impact of land cover changes on AGB are crucial for monitoring vegetation dynamics and supporting ecological management. However, field-based biomass samples are often time-consuming and labor-intensive, and the quantity and quality of such samples greatly affect the accuracy of AGB estimation. This study developed a robust AGB estimation framework for the YRD by synthesizing 4717 field-measured samples from the published scientific literature and integrating two critical ecological indicators: leaf area index (LAI) and length of growing season (LGS). A random forest (RF) model was employed to estimate AGB for the YRD from 2001 to 2022, achieving high accuracy (R² = 0.74). The results revealed a continuous spatial expansion of AGB over the past two decades, with higher biomass consistently observed in western cropland and along the Yellow River, whereas lower biomass levels were concentrated in areas south of the Yellow River. AGB followed a fluctuating upward trend, reaching a minimum of 204.07 g/m² in 2007, peaking at 230.79 g/m² in 2016, and stabilizing thereafter. Spatially, western areas showed positive trends, with an average annual increase of approximately 10 g/m², whereas central and coastal zones exhibited localized declines of around 5 g/m². Among the changes in land cover, cropland and wetland changes were the main contributors to AGB increases, accounting for 54.2% and 52.67%, respectively. In contrast, grassland change exhibited limited or even suppressive effects, contributing −6.87% to the AGB change. Wetland showed the greatest volatility in the interaction between area change and biomass density change, which is the most uncertain factor in the dynamic change in AGB. Full article

Reliability assessment of power systems is essential for ensuring the secure and stable operation of power grids, and identifying weak links constitutes a critical step in enhancing system reliability. Traditional deterministic methods are limited in their ability to capture the complex, nonlinear relationships between component failures and overall system risk. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes an explainable machine learning-based approach for identifying weak components in power systems. Specifically, a set of contingency scenarios is constructed through enumeration, and a random forest regression model is trained to map transmission line outage events to the amount of system load curtailment. The trained model is then interpreted using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values. By aggregating these values, the global reliability contribution of each component is quantified. The proposed method is validated on the IEEE 57-bus system, and the results demonstrate its effectiveness and feasibility. This research offers a data-driven framework for translating system-level reliability metrics into device-level quantitative attributions, thereby enabling interpretable identification of weak links. Full article

To reveal the hydraulic characteristics of a centrifugal pump with splitter blades during shutdown, a low specific speed closed impeller centrifugal pump is subjected to shutdown experiments under eight non-rated operating conditions in this paper. The transient evolution characteristics of five performance parameters with time are obtained, including rotational speed, flow rate, inlet and outlet pressures, and head. Meanwhile, the shutdown fitting models based on three machine learning models are developed. The results show that the integrated neural network model can more accurately predict the hydraulic performance of the physical pump during shutdown than the decision tree regression and random forest regression models. During the pre-mid period of the shutdown, the integrated neural network model predicts a maximum error of about 3.21% for the instantaneous flow rate and about 3.58% for the instantaneous head. This study provides a reference for the performance control of centrifugal pumps during transient operation. Full article

Rapid sand filtration is a critical step in the water treatment process, as its effectiveness directly impacts the supply of safe drinking water. However, optimising filtration processes in water treatment plants (WTPs) presents a significant challenge due to the varying operational parameters and conditions. This study applies explainable machine learning to enhance insights into predicting direct filtration operations at the Ålesund WTP in Norway. Three baseline models (Multiple Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, and K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN)) and three ensemble models (Random Forest (RF), Extra Trees (ET), and XGBoost) were optimised using the GridSearchCV algorithm and implemented on seven filter units to predict their filtered water turbidity. The results indicate that ML models can reliably predict filtered water turbidity in WTPs, with Extra Trees models achieving the highest predictive performance (R² = 0.92). ET, RF, and KNN ranked as the three top-performing models using Alternative Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (A-TOPSIS) ranking for the suite of algorithms used. The feature importance analysis ranked the filter runtime, flow rate, and bed level. SHAP interpretation of the best model provided actionable insights, revealing how operational adjustments during the ripening stage can help mitigate filter breakthroughs. These findings offer valuable guidance for plant operators and highlight the benefits of explainable machine learning in water quality management. Full article

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remain the primary cause of global mortality, with arterial hypertension, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and cerebrovascular accident (CVA) forming a progressive continuum from early risk factors to severe outcomes. While numerous studies focus on isolated biomarkers, few integrate multidimensional visualization with artificial intelligence to reveal hidden, clinically relevant patterns. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive analysis of 106 patients using an integrated framework that combined clinical, biochemical, and lifestyle data. Parameters included renal function (glomerular filtration rate, cystatin C), inflammatory markers, lipid profile, enzymatic activity, and behavioral factors. After normalization and imputation, we applied correlation analysis, parallel coordinates visualization, t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) with k-means clustering, principal component analysis (PCA), and Random Forest modeling with SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) interpretation. Bootstrap resampling was used to estimate 95% confidence intervals for mean absolute SHAP values, assessing feature stability. Results: Consistent patterns across outcomes revealed impaired renal function, reduced physical activity, and high hypertension prevalence in IHD and CVA. t-SNE clustering achieved complete separation of a high-risk group (100% CVD-positive) from a predominantly low-risk group (7.8% CVD rate), demonstrating unsupervised validation of biomarker discriminative power. PCA confirmed multidimensional structure, while Random Forest identified renal function, hypertension status, and physical activity as dominant predictors, achieving robust performance (Accuracy 0.818; AUC-ROC 0.854). SHAP analysis identified arterial hypertension, BMI, and physical inactivity as dominant predictors, complemented by renal biomarkers (GFR, cystatin) and NT-proBNP. Conclusions: This study pioneers the integration of multidimensional visualization and AI-driven analysis for CVD risk profiling, enabling interpretable, data-driven identification of high- and low-risk clusters. Despite the limited single-center cohort (n = 106) and cross-sectional design, the findings highlight the potential of interpretable models for precision prevention and transparent decision support in cardiovascular aging research. Full article

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are among the most common pathologies, with a high incidence in women and hospitalized patients. Their diagnosis is based on the presence of clinical symptoms and signs in addition to the detection of microorganisms in urine trough urine cultures, a time-consuming and resource-intensive test. The goal was to optimize UTI detection through artificial intelligence (machine learning) using non-microbiological laboratory parameters, thereby reducing unnecessary cultures and expediting diagnosis. A total of 4283 urine cultures from patients with suspected UTIs were analyzed in the Microbiology Laboratory of the University Hospital Virgen de las Nieves (Granada, Spain) between 2016 and 2020. Various machine learning algorithms were applied to predict positive urine cultures and the type of isolated microorganism. Random Forest demonstrated the best performance, achieving an accuracy (percentage of correct positive and negative classifications) of 82.2% and an area under the ROC curve of 87.1%. Moreover, the Tree algorithm successfully predicted the presence of Gram-negative bacilli in urine cultures with an accuracy of 79.0%. Among the most relevant predictive variables were the presence of leukocytes and nitrites in the urine dipstick test, along with elevated white cells count, monocyte count, lymphocyte percentage in blood and creatinine levels. The integration of AI algorithms and non-microbiological parameters within the diagnostic and management pathways of UTI holds considerable promise. However, further validation with clinical data is required for integration into hospital practice. Full article

Livestock represent a significant source of methane (CH₄) emissions, particularly in pastoral regions. However, in Xinjiang—a pivotal pastoral region of China—the spatiotemporal patterns of livestock CH₄ emissions remain poorly characterized, constraining regional mitigation actions. Here, a detailed CH₄ emissions inventory for livestock in Xinjiang spanning the period 2000–2020 is compiled. Eight livestock categories were covered, gridded livestock maps were developed, and the dynamic emission factors were built by using the IPCC 2019 Tier 2 approaches. Results indicate that the CH₄ emissions increased from ~0.7 Tg in 2000 to ~0.9 Tg in 2020, a 28.5% increase over the past twenty years. Beef cattle contributed the most to the emission increase (59.6% of total increase), followed by dairy cattle (35.7%), sheep (13.9%), and pigs (4.3%). High-emission hotspots were consistently located in the Ili River Valley, Bortala, and the northwestern margins of the Tarim Basin. Temporal trend analysis revealed increasing emission intensities in these regions, reflecting the influence of policy shifts, rangeland dynamics, and evolving livestock production systems. The high-resolution map of CH₄ emissions from livestock and their temporal trends provides key insights into CH₄ mitigation, with enteric fermentation showing greater potential for emission reduction. This study offers the first long-term, high-resolution CH₄ emission inventory for Xinjiang, providing essential spatial insights to inform targeted mitigation strategies and enhance sustainable livestock management in arid and semi-arid ecosystems. Full article

The soybean Glycine max (L.) Merrill is a key crop in Brazil’s agricultural sector and is essential for both domestic food security and international trade. However, water stress severely impacts its productivity. In this study, we examined the physiological and biochemical responses of soybean plants to various water regimes via hyperspectral reflectance (350–2500 nm) and machine learning (ML) models. The plants were subjected to eleven distinct water regimes, ranging from 100% to 0% field capacity, over 14 days. Seventeen key physiological parameters, including chlorophyll, carotenoids, flavonoids, proline, stress markers and water content, and hyperspectral data were measured to capture changes induced by water deficit. Principal component analysis (PCA) revealed significant spectral differences between the water treatments, with the first two principal components explaining 88% of the variance. Hyperspectral indices and reflectance patterns in the visible (VIS), near-infrared (NIR), and shortwave-infrared (SWIR) regions are linked to specific stress markers, such as pigment degradation and osmotic adjustment. Machine learning classifiers, including random forest and gradient boosting, achieved over 95% accuracy in predicting drought-induced stress. Notably, a minimal set of 12 spectral bands (including red-edge and SWIR features) was used to predict both stress levels and biochemical changes with comparable accuracy to traditional laboratory assays. These findings demonstrate that spectroscopy by hyperspectral sensors, when combined with ML techniques, provides a nondestructive, field-deployable solution for early drought detection and precision irrigation in soybean cultivation. Full article

Accurate prediction of geopolymer concrete compressive strength is vital for sustainable construction. Traditional experiments are time-consuming and costly; therefore, computer-aided systems enable rapid and accurate estimation. This study evaluates three ensemble learning algorithms (Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM)), as well as two baseline models (Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)), for this task. To improve performance, hyperparameter tuning was conducted using Bayesian Optimization (BO). Model accuracy was measured using R², RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. The results demonstrate that the XGB model outperforms others under both default and optimized settings. In particular, the XGB-BO model achieved high accuracy, with RMSE of 0.3100 ± 0.0616 and R² of 0.9997 ± 0.0001. Furthermore, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis was used to interpret the decision-making of the XGB model. SHAP results revealed the most influential features for compressive strength of geopolymer concrete were, in order, coarse aggregate, curing time, and NaOH molar concentration. The graphical user interface (GUI) developed for compressive strength prediction demonstrates the practical potential of this research. It contributes to integrating the approach into construction practices. This study highlights the effectiveness of explainable machine learning in understanding complex material behaviors and emphasizes the importance of model optimization for making sustainable and accurate engineering predictions. Full article

To achieve accurate monitoring of dust intensity, this study developed a coupled model based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a bidirectional long short-term memory network (Bi-LSTM) to monitor dust intensity in a 24 h dynamic pattern. During this process, progressive dust temporal (PDT) features reflecting the temporal dynamics of dust events, including clear-sky state values, adjacent observation state values, and current observation state values for spectral indices and brightness temperatures, were first designed. Then, a PCBNet model combining CNN and Bi-LSTM was established and compared with PCLNet (CNN and LSTM), random forest (RF), and support vector machine (SVM) using only single-time observations, as well as PDT-RF and PDT-SVM, which used PDT features as inputs. Finally, a dust intensity product was generated by the optimal model, and its relationship with PM10 concentrations at air quality stations was examined. Furthermore, a dust storm event in April 2021 was analyzed to evaluate the ability of the products to capture event dynamics. The results indicate that PCBNet achieved the highest accuracy among all models on the validation dataset. Predicted dust intensity levels were well correlated with PM10 concentrations, and the monitoring product effectively tracked the spatiotemporal evolution of dust event. Full article

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a complex condition characterized by a group of interconnected metabolic abnormalities. Due to its increasing prevalence, better predictive markers are needed. Therefore, this study aims to develop predictive models for MetS by integrating adipokines, metabolic and cardiovascular risk factors, and anthropometric indices. Data were collected from 381 subjects aged 20 to 59 years (242 women and 139 men) from Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico, who were classified as having MetS or non-MetS based on the ATP-III criteria. Four supervised machine learning models were developed—Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)—and their performance was evaluated using the Area under the Curve (AUC), calibration curves, Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), and local interpretability analysis. The RF and XGBoost models achieved the highest AUCs (0.940 and 0.954). The RF and LR models were the best calibrated and showed the highest net benefit in DCA. Key variables included age, anthropometric indices (BRI and DAI), insulin resistance measures (HOMA-IR), lipid profiles (sdLDL-C and LDL-C), and high-molecular-weight adiponectin, used to classify the presence of MetS. The results highlight the usefulness of specific models and the importance of anthropometric variables, cardiovascular risk factors, metabolic profiles, and adiponectin as indicators of MetS. Full article

Background/Objectives: Postoperative complications such as wound infections and sepsis are common in diabetic patients, often resulting in longer hospital stays and higher morbidity. This study hypothesizes that a Random Forest Classifier can accurately predict these complications, enabling early clinical interventions. The model utilizes ensemble learning to integrate diverse patient data and improve predictive accuracy beyond traditional risk assessments. Methods: A comprehensive retrospective analysis was performed using data extracted from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. The dataset encompassed a wide array of variables, including demographic factors, clinical markers, and detailed surgical data (specialty, type of anesthesia, duration of surgery). Each variable was meticulously encoded into numerical formats, with categorical variables transformed through one-hot encoding, and continuous variables were normalized. The dataset was partitioned into training (80%) and testing (20%) subsets, ensuring a balanced representation of the target outcomes. The Random Forest Classifier was selected due to its robustness in handling high-dimensional data and its ability to model complex interactions between variables. Results: The Random Forest model showed accuracy rates of 94.38% for wound infection and 94.94% for sepsis. Precision and recall metrics also exceeded 94%, highlighting the model’s accuracy in identifying true positives and reducing false positives. ROC curve analysis yielded AUC values of 0.92 for wound infection and 0.95 for sepsis, indicating strong discriminative capability. Feature importance analysis further identified key predictors, including surgical duration, specific laboratory markers, and patient comorbidities. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the Random Forest Classifier’s strong predictive ability for postoperative wound infections and sepsis in diabetic patients. The model’s high-performance metrics indicate its potential for real-time risk stratification in clinical workflows. Future research should validate these findings in diverse populations and surgical settings. Incorporating this predictive model into clinical practice has the potential to significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce healthcare costs. Full article

Star scientists are highly influential researchers who have made significant contributions to their field, gained widespread recognition, and often attracted substantial research funding. They are critical for the advancement of science and innovation and significantly influence the transfer of knowledge and technology to industry. Identifying potential star scientists before their performance becomes outstanding is important for recruitment, collaboration, networking, and research funding decisions. This study utilizes machine learning techniques and builds four different classifiers, i.e., random forest, support vector machines, naïve bayes, and logistic regression, to predict star scientists in the field of artificial intelligence while highlighting features related to their success. The analysis is based on publication data collected from Scopus from 2000 to 2019, incorporating a diverse set of features such as gender, ethnic diversity, and collaboration network structural properties. The random forest model achieved the best performance with an AUC of 0.75. Our results confirm that star scientists follow different patterns compared to their non-star counterparts in almost all the early-career features. We found that certain features, such as gender and ethnic diversity, play important roles in scientific collaboration and can significantly impact an author’s career development and success. The most important features in predicting star scientists in the field of artificial intelligence were the number of articles, betweenness centrality, research impact indicators, and weighted degree centrality. Our approach offers valuable insights for researchers, practitioners, and funding agencies interested in identifying and supporting talented researchers. Full article