Search Results (2,818)

Oases are the core carriers of societal development in arid regions, and their spatial patterns have changed significantly, driven by climate change and anthropogenic activities. This study integrates historical documents, archeological materials, maps, and remote sensing data. The changes in the temperature, precipitation, settlements, war frequency, and oasis area were identified by combining quantitative and qualitative methods, and the partial least squares path model (PLS-PM) was utilized to quantify the natural and human driving factors. The results show that the oasis development in the Tarim and Heihe River Basins exhibits distinct spatio-temporal variability and phased characteristics and is comprehensively shaped by both natural and anthropogenic drivers. The Tarim Basin’s natural oases demonstrate a “fluctuating recovery” pattern. The cultivated oases gradually expanded. The natural oases within the Heihe River Basin have persistently decreased, and cultivated oases show a “U”-shaped evolution pattern. This reflects the strong intervention of human reclamation in the cultivated oases. The introverted social ecosystem has endowed the Tarim River Basin with the ability to self-repair and achieve a periodic recovery. The Heihe River Basin serves as a strategic corridor for national external engagement, relying on regime stability. A regime collapse led to its lack of a stable recovery period. The PLS-PM reveals that the Tarim River Basin oasis evolution is predominantly driven by climate fluctuations. The path coefficient of natural factors for artificial oases is 0.63, and extreme drought leads to natural oasis contraction. The human influence dominates the Heihe River Basin, with a −0.93 path coefficient linking the cultivated oasis area to human factors. The frequency of wars (load 0.74) and changes in settlements (load −0.92) are the key factors. This study provides a powerful case for the analysis of the evolution and driving mechanism of future oases in drylands. Full article

Wetlands are an important part of coastal ecosystems but are under increasing pressure from climate change-induced sea-level rise and flooding, in addition to development pressures associated with increasing human populations. The change in tidal events and their intensity due to sea-level rise is also reshaping and challenging the vitality of existing wetland systems, requiring more intensive localized studies to identify future-focused restoration and conservation strategies. To support this endeavor, this study utilizes tide gauge datasets from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) for maximum sea-level (Hmax) prediction and Landsat Collection surface reflectance datasets obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) database to detect and project patterns of change in the Maroochy River floodplain of Queensland, Australia. This study developed an efficient hybrid deep learning model combining a Convolutional Neural Network and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CNNBiLSTM) architecture for the prediction of maximum sea-level and tidal events. The proposed model significantly outperformed three benchmark models (Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and CatBoost) in achieving a high correlation coefficient (r = 0.9748) for maximum sea-level prediction. To further address the increasing frequency and intensity of tidal events linked to sea-level rise, a CNNBiLSTM classification model was also developed, achieving 96.72% accuracy in predicting extreme tidal occurrences. This study identified a significant positive linear increase in sea-level rise of 0.016 m/year between 2014 and 2024. Wetland change detection using Landsat imagery along the Maroochy River floodplain also identified a substantial vegetation loss of 395.64 hectares from 2009 to 2023. These findings highlight the strong potential of integrating deep learning and remote sensing for improved prediction and assessment of sea-level extremes and coastal ecosystem changes. The study outcomes provide valuable insights for informing not only conservation and restoration activities but also for providing localized projections of future change necessary for the progression of effective climate adaptation and mitigation strategies. Full article

Urbanization is a dominant force reshaping human settlements, driving socio-economic development while also causing significant environmental challenges. With over 56% of the world’s population now residing in urban areas—a figure expected to rise to two-thirds by 2050—land use changes are accelerating rapidly. The conversion of natural landscapes into impervious surfaces such as concrete and asphalt intensifies the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, raises urban temperatures, and strains local ecosystems. This study investigates land use and landscape changes in Ceredigion County, UK, utilizing remote sensing and GIS techniques to analyze urbanization impacts over two decades (2003–2023). Results indicate significant urban expansion of approximately 122 km², predominantly at the expense of agricultural and forested areas, leading to vegetation loss and changes in water availability. County-wide mean land surface temperature (LST) increased from 21.4 °C in 2003 to 23.65 °C in 2023, with urban areas recording higher values around 27.1 °C, reflecting a strong UHI effect. Spectral indices (NDVI, NDWI, NDBI, and NDBaI) reveal that urban sprawl adversely affects vegetation health, water resources, and land surfaces. The Urban Thermal Field Variance Index (UTFVI) further highlights areas experiencing thermal discomfort. Additionally, machine learning models, including Linear Regression and Random Forest, were employed to forecast future LST trends, projecting urban LST values to potentially reach approximately 27.4 °C by 2030. These findings underscore the urgent need for sustainable urban planning, reforestation, and climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the environmental impacts of rapid urban growth and ensure the resilience of both human and ecological systems. Full article

The South China Sea (SCS) is a critical fishery region facing sustainability challenges due to overexploitation, geopolitical tensions, and inadequate monitoring. Traditional monitoring methods, such as AIS and VMS, have limitations due to data gaps and vessel deactivation. We developed an improved remote sensing algorithm using VIIRS nighttime light observations (2013–2022) to detect and classify lit fishing boats in the SCS. The study introduces a Two-Dimensional Constant False Alarm Rate (2D-CFAR) algorithm integrated with morphological analysis, which enhances boats’ detection accuracy. The classification of fishing boat types was based on light power thresholds derived from spatial entropy analysis, where distinct clustering patterns indicated three operational categories: small interfering lights (<1.2–3.7 kW), small-to-medium-sized lit fishing boats (1.2–3.7 to 28.6–43.2 kW), and large lit fishing boats (>28.6–43.2 kW). Our findings reveal a 4.4-fold dominance of small-to-medium-sized lit fishing boats over large lit fishing boats. China’s summer fishing moratorium effectively reduces large lit fishing boats activity by 85%, yet small-to-medium-sized lit fishing boats, primarily from neighboring countries like Vietnam, persist, exploiting this period illegally. Spatially, small-to-medium-sized lit fishing boats concentrate in the central SCS, southeast Vietnam, and Nansha Islands, while large lit fishing boats target upwelling zones near Hainan and Guangdong. Moreover, a new fishing hotspot emerged in eastern SCS, reflecting intensified resource and geopolitical competition. Light intensity analysis reveals rapid growth in contested areas (10% annually, p < 0.01), underscoring ecological risks. These findings highlight the limitations of unilateral policies and the urgent need for regional cooperation to curb illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Our algorithm offers a robust tool for monitoring fishing dynamics, providing quantitative insights into vessel distribution, policy impacts, and resource-driven patterns. This supports evidence-based fisheries management and biodiversity conservation in the SCS, adaptable to other marine regions facing similar challenges. Full article

Urban centers shaped by industrial histories often exhibit complex patterns of land cover change that are not well-captured by standard classification techniques. This study investigates post-industrial urban change in Ponca City, Oklahoma, using remote sensing, unsupervised machine learning, and socioeconomic contextualization. Using a Jupyter Notebook version 7.0.8 environment for Python libraries, Landsat imagery from 1990 to 2020 was analyzed to detect shifts in land cover patterns across a relatively small, heterogeneous landscape. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce dimensionality and enhance pixel distinction across multiband reflectance data. Socioeconomic data and historical context were incorporated to interpret changes in land use alongside patterns of industrial reduction and urban redevelopment. Results revealed changes in five distinct land cover classes of urban, vegetative, and industrial land uses, with observable trends aligning with key periods of economic and infrastructural transition. The trends also aligned with socioeconomic changes of the city, with a larger reduction in industrial and commercial land cover than in residential and vegetation cover types. These findings demonstrate the utility of machine learning classification in small-scale, heterogeneous environments and provide a replicable methodological framework for smaller city municipalities to monitor urban change. Full article

Droughts are becoming more frequent, severe, and impactful across the globe. Agroecosystems, which are human-made ecosystems with high water demand that provide essential ecosystem services, are vulnerable to extreme droughts. Although water use efficiency in agriculture has increased in rec ent decades, drought management should be based on long-term, proactive strategies rather than crisis management. The AgrHyS network of sites in French Brittany collects high-resolution soil moisture data from agronomic stations and catchments to improve understanding of temporal soil moisture dynamics and enhance water use efficiency. Frequent mapping of soil moisture and plant water stress is crucial for assessing water stress risk in the context of global warming. Although satellite remote sensing provides reliable, periodic global data on surface soil moisture, it does so at a very coarse spatial resolution. The intrinsic spatial heterogeneity of surface soil moisture requires a higher spatial resolution in order to address upcoming challenges on a local scale. Drones are an excellent tool for upscaling point measurements to catchment level using different onboard cameras. In this study, we evaluated the potential of multispectral images, thermal images and LiDAR data captured in several concurrent drone flights for high-resolution mapping of soil moisture spatial variability, using in situ point measurements of soil water content and plant water stress in both agricultural areas and natural ecosystems. Statistical models were fitted to map soil water content in two areas: a natural marshland and a grassland-covered agricultural field. Our results demonstrate the statistical significance of topography, land surface temperature and red band reflectance in the natural area for retrieving soil water content. In contrast, the grasslands were best predicted by the transformed normalised difference vegetation index (TNDVI). Full article

Aboveground biomass (AGB) in grasslands is a vital metric for assessing ecosystem functioning and health. Accurate and efficient AGB estimation is essential for the scientific management and sustainable use of grassland resources. However, achieving low-cost, high-efficiency AGB estimation via remote sensing remains a key challenge. This study integrates Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 imagery to derive 38 multi-source feature variables, including backscatter coefficients, texture, spectral reflectance, vegetation indices, and topographic factors. These features are combined with AGB data from 112 field plots in the Three Parallel Rivers area. Feature selection was performed using Pearson correlation, Random Forest (RF), and SHAP values to identify optimal variable sets. Genetic Programming (GP) was then applied for nonlinear optimization of the selected features. Three machine learning models—RF, GBRT, and KNN—were used to estimate AGB and generate spatial distribution maps. The results revealed notable differences in model accuracy, with RF performing best overall, outperforming GBRT and KNN. After GP optimization, all models showed improved performance, with the RF model based on RF-selected features achieving the highest accuracy (R² = 0.90, RMSE = 0.31 t/ha, MAE = 0.23 t/ha), improving R² by 0.03 and reducing RMSE and MAE by 0.05 and 0.03 t/ha, respectively. Spatial mapping showed the AGB ranged from 0.41 to 3.59 t/ha, with a mean of 1.39 t/ha, closely aligned with the actual distribution characteristics. This study demonstrates that the RF model, combined with multi-source features and GP optimization, provides an effective approach to grassland AGB estimation and supports ecological monitoring in complex areas. Full article

Forest disturbance is a major driver shaping the structure and function of plantation ecosystems. Current research predominantly focuses on single forest types or landscape scales. However, species-level fine-scale assessments of disturbance dynamics are still scarce. In this study, we investigated Chinese fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata), Armand pine (Pinus armandii), and Yunnan pine (Pinus yunnanensis) plantations in the mountainous eastern Yunnan Plateau. We developed a Spatial Coupling Framework of Disturbance Legacy (SC-DL) to systematically elucidate the spatial associations between contemporary species distribution patterns and historical disturbance regimes. Using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, we reconstructed pixel-level disturbance trajectories by integrating long-term Landsat time series (1993–2024) and applying the LandTrendr algorithm. By fusing multi-source remote sensing features (Sentinel-1/2) with terrain factors, employing RFE, and performing a multi-model comparison, we generated 10 m-resolution species distribution maps for 2024. Spatial overlay analysis quantified the cumulative proportion of the historically disturbed area and the spatial aggregation patterns of historical disturbances within current species ranges. Key results include the following: (1) The model predicting disturbance year achieved high accuracy (R² = 0.95, RMSE = 2.02 years, MAE = 1.15 years). The total disturbed area from 1993 to 2024 was 872.7 km², exhibiting three distinct phases. (2) The random forest (RF) model outperformed other classifiers, achieving an overall accuracy (OA) of 95.17% and a Kappa coefficient (K) of 0.93. Elevation was identified as the most discriminative feature. (3) Significant spatial differentiation in disturbance types emerged: anthropogenic disturbances (e.g., logging and reforestation/afforestation) dominated (63.1% of total disturbed area), primarily concentrated within Chinese fir zones (constituting 70.2% of disturbances within this species’ range). Natural disturbances accounted for 36.9% of the total, with fire dominating within the Yunnan pine range (79.3% of natural disturbances in this zone) and drought prevailing in the Armand pine range (71.3% of natural disturbances in this zone). (4) Cumulative disturbance characteristics differed markedly among species zones: Chinese fir zones exhibited the highest cumulative proportion of disturbed area (42.6%), with strong spatial aggregation. Yunnan pine zones followed (36.5%), exhibiting disturbances linearly distributed along dry–hot valleys. Armand pine zones showed the lowest proportion (20.9%), characterized by sparse disturbances within fragmented, high-altitude habitats. These spatial patterns reflect the combined controls of topographic adaptation, management intensity, and environmental stress. Our findings establish a scientific basis for identifying disturbance-prone areas and inform the development of differentiated precision management strategies for plantations. Full article

Background: Greek islands face mounting pressures on their marine water resources due to tourism growth, agricultural runoff, climate change, and emerging pollutants. Safeguarding seawater quality is critical for ecosystem integrity, public health, and the sustainability of tourism-based economies. Objectives: This scoping review synthesizes and evaluates the existing research on seawater quality in the Greek islands, with emphasis on pollution sources, monitoring methodologies, and socio-environmental impacts, while highlighting the gaps in addressing emerging contaminants and aligning with sustainable development goals. Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted in Scopus, Google Scholar, ResearchGate, Web of Science, and PubMed for English- and Greek-language studies published over the last two to three decades. The search terms covered physical, chemical, and biological aspects of seawater quality, as well as emerging pollutants. The PRISMA-ScR guidelines were followed, resulting in the inclusion of 178 studies. The data were categorized by pollutant type, location, water quality indicators, monitoring methods, and environmental, health, and tourism implications. Results: This review identifies agricultural runoff, untreated wastewater, maritime traffic emissions, and microplastics as key pollution sources. Emerging contaminants such as pharmaceuticals, PFASs, and nanomaterials have been insufficiently studied. While monitoring technologies such as remote sensing, fuzzy logic, and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are increasingly applied, these efforts remain fragmented and geographically uneven. Notable gaps exist in the quantification of socio-economic impact, source apportionment, and epidemiological assessments. Conclusions: The current monitoring and management strategies in the Greek islands have produced high bathing water quality in many areas, as reflected in the Blue Flag program, yet they do not fully address the spatial, temporal, and technological challenges posed by climate change and emerging pollutants. Achieving long-term sustainability requires integrated, region-specific water governance linked to the UN SDGs, with stronger emphasis on preventive measures, advanced monitoring, and cross-sector collaboration. Full article

There is increasing interest in the role of parks as potential cool refuges in the age of climate change. Such potential refuges result from the Park Cool Island (PCI) effect, reflecting the temperature differential between the park and surrounding urban areas. However, this study of different park typologies in Perth, Australia, illustrates that while surface temperatures are 10–15 °C lower in parks during summer afternoons (much less than at other times), air temperatures are generally no different from the adjacent streetscape for the smaller parks. Only the largest park in the study had 1–2 °C lower morning and mid-afternoon air temperature differentials. The study illustrates that while the PCI is a real phenomenon, the magnitude in terms of air temperature is small, and it is of less relevance to the conditions felt by humans in average summer daytime conditions than the direct effects of solar radiation. Many studies have assessed the PCI effect, an indicator that has shown a wide range across different studies and measurement techniques. However, this novel paper utilises satellite remote-sensed land surface temperatures, on-ground measurements of surface temperatures, air temperatures, and humidity, as well as modelling using the microclimatic simulation software ENVI-met version 5.0. A reliance on land surface temperature, which in isolation has a marginal correlation with human experience of thermal comfort, has led some researchers to overstate the PCI effect and its influence on adjoining urban areas. The research reported in this paper illustrates that it is the shade provided by the canopy in parks, rather than parks themselves, that provides meaningful thermal comfort benefits. Accordingly, adaptation to increasing temperatures requires the creation of a continuous canopy, ideally over parks, streetscapes, and private lots in an interconnected network. Full article

Accurate nitrogen (N) content estimation in grassland vegetation is essential for ecosystem health and optimizing pasture quality, as N supports plant photosynthesis and water uptake. Traditional lab methods are slow and unsuitable for large-scale monitoring, while remote sensing models often face accuracy challenges due to hyperspectral data complexity. This study improves N content estimation in the typical steppe of Inner Mongolia by integrating hyperspectral remote sensing with advanced machine learning. Hyperspectral reflectance from Leymus chinensis and Cleistogenes squarrosa was measured using an ASD FieldSpec-4 spectrometer, and leaf N content was measured with an elemental analyzer. To address high-dimensional data, four spectral transformations—band combination, first-order derivative transformation (FDT), continuous wavelet transformation (CWT), and continuum removal transformation (CRT)—were applied, with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) used for feature selection. Four machine learning models—Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)—were evaluated via five-fold cross-validation. Wavelet transformation provided the most informative parameters. The SVM model achieved the highest accuracy for L. chinensis (R² = 0.92), and the ANN model performed best for C. squarrosa (R² = 0.72). This study demonstrates that integrating wavelet transform with machine learning offers a reliable, scalable approach for grassland N monitoring and management. Full article

Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of forest disturbances globally, including windthrow, which poses substantial risks for both forest productivity and ecosystem stability. Rapid and precise assessment of wind-induced tree damage is essential for effective management, yet many injuries remain visually undetectable in the early stages. This study employed drone-based multispectral imaging and a simulated wind stress experiment (static pulling) on Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) to investigate the detectability of physiological and structural changes over four years. Multispectral data were collected at multiple time points (2023–2024), and a suite of vegetation indices (the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), the Structure Insensitive Pigment Index (SIPI), the Difference Vegetation Index (DVI), and Red Edge-based indices) were calculated and analysed using mixed-effects models. Our results demonstrate that trees subjected to mechanical bending (“Bent”) exhibit substantial reductions in the near-infrared (NIR)-based indices, while healthy trees maintain higher and more stable index values. Structure- and pigment-sensitive indices (e.g., the Modified Chlorophyll Absorption Ratio Index (MCARI 2), the Transformed Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index/Optimised Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index (TCARI/OSAVI), and RDVI) showed the highest diagnostic value for differentiating between damaged and healthy trees. We found the clear identification of group- and season-specific patterns, revealing that the most pronounced physiological decline in Bent trees emerged only several seasons after the disturbance. Full article

Algal blooms pose a serious threat not only to the lake ecosystem of Lake Bosten but also by negatively impacting its rapidly developing fisheries and tourism industries. This study focuses on Lake Bosten as the research area and utilizes multi-source remote sensing imagery from Landsat TM/ETM+/OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI. The Adjusted Floating Algae Index (AFAI) was employed to extract algal blooms in Lake Bosten from 2004 to 2023, analyze their spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors, and construct a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network model to predict the spatial distribution of algal-bloom frequency. The stability of the model was assessed through temporal segmentation of historical data combined with temporal cross-validation. The results indicate that (1) during the study period, algal blooms in Lake Bosten were predominantly of low-risk level, with low-risk bloom coverage accounting for over 8% in both 2004 and 2005. The intensity of algal blooms in summer and autumn was significantly higher than in spring. The coverage of medium- and high-risk blooms reached 2.74% in the summer of 2004 and 3.03% in the autumn of 2005, while remaining below 1% in spring. (2) High-frequency algal bloom areas were mainly located in the western and northwestern parts of the lake, and the central region experienced significantly more frequent blooms during 2004–2013 compared to 2014–2023, particularly in spring and summer. (3) The LSTM model achieved an R² of 0.86, indicating relatively stable performance. The prediction results suggest a continued low frequency of algal blooms in the future, reflecting certain achievements in sustainable water-resource management. (4) The interactions among meteorological factors exhibited significant influence on bloom formation, with the q values of temperature and precipitation interactions both exceeding 0.5, making them the most prominent meteorological driving factors. Monitoring of sewage discharge and analysis of agricultural and industrial expansion revealed that human activities have a more direct impact on the water quality of Lake Bosten. In addition, changes in lake area and water environment were mainly influenced by anthropogenic factors, ultimately making human activities the primary driving force behind the spatiotemporal variations of algal blooms. This study improved the timeliness of algal-bloom monitoring through the integration of multi-source remote sensing and successfully predicted the future spatial distribution of bloom frequency, providing a scientific basis and decision-making support for the sustainable management of water resources in Lake Bosten. Full article

Accurate mapping of deforestation in regions characterized by complex, heterogeneous landscapes and frequent cloud cover remains a major challenge in remote sensing. This study presents a phenology-informed, spatiotemporal data fusion framework for robust deforestation mapping in North Korea, focusing particularly on hillside fields and unstocked forests—two dominant deforested land cover types in the region. By integrating multi-temporal satellite observations with variables derived from phenological dynamics, our approach effectively distinguishes spectrally similar classes that are otherwise challenging to separate. The Flexible Spatiotemporal Data Fusion Algorithm (FSDAF) was employed to generate high-frequency, Landsat-like time-series from MODIS data, thereby ensuring fine spatial detail alongside temporal consistency. Key classification features—including NDVI, NDSI, NDWI, and snowmelt timing—were identified and ranked using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm. The classification results were validated against reference Landsat imagery, achieving high correlation coefficients (R > 0.8) and structural similarity index values (SSIM > 0.85). The RF-based land cover classification reached an overall accuracy of 86.1% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.837, reflecting strong agreement with ground reference data. Comparative analyses demonstrated that this method outperformed global land cover products, such as MCD12Q1, in capturing the spatial variability and fragmented patterns of deforestation at the regional scale. This research underscores the value of combining spatiotemporal fusion with phenological indicators for accurate, high-resolution deforestation monitoring in data-limited environments, providing practical insights for sustainable forest management and ecological restoration planning. Full article

Net primary productivity (NPP) reflects the carbon sequestration capacity of terrestrial ecosystems and it is used as an important indicator for measuring ecosystem quality. However, due to the effects of “warming and humidification” and “oasisization”, the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of the NPP of vegetation in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains (NSTM), a typical arid area in China, are still unclear. Thus, in this study, we used remote sensing data and meteorological data to construct a Carnegie–Ames–Stanford–Approach (CASA) model for estimating the NPP of vegetation in the study area. Trend analysis, partial correlation analysis, and optimal parameter-based geographic detector (OPGD) methods were combined to explore the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms to changes in the NPP. The results showed that from 2001 to 2020, the annual average NPP on the NSTM exhibited an overall significant upward trend, increasing from 107.33 gC⋅m⁻²⋅yr⁻¹ to 156.77 gC⋅m⁻²⋅yr⁻¹, with an increase of 2.47 gC⋅m⁻² per year and 46.06% year-on-year. Over the past 20 years, climate change and human activities generally positively affected the changes in NPP in the study area. Human activities in the study area are mainly manifested in the large-scale conversion of other land use types into farmland, with a total increase of 16,154 km² in farmland area, resulting in a net increase of 6.01 TgC in NPP. Precipitation has the strongest correlation with NPP in the study area, with a partial correlation coefficient of 0.30, temperature and solar radiation have partial correlation coefficients with NPPs of 0.17 and 0.09, respectively. Therefore, increases in precipitation, temperature, and solar radiation have a promoting effect on the growth of NPP on the NSTM. During the study period, the land use type and soil moisture were the main factors that affected the spatial differentiation of vegetation NPP, and the effects of human interference on natural environmental conditions had significant impacts on vegetation NPP in the area. Therefore, in this study, we accurately determined the spatiotemporal variations in the NPP on the NSTM and comprehensively explored the driving mechanisms to provide a theoretical basis for sustainable development in arid areas and achieving carbon neutrality goals. Full article