Search Results (2,245)

Etesian winds, the characteristic summer winds over large parts of Greece and the eastern Mediterranean, can cause coastal upwelling, especially over the eastern Aegean. The question that many studies address is whether these northern winds can cause upwelling processes that alter not only sea surface temperature but also chlorophyll concentrations, which are indicative of phytoplankton growth and overall ocean health. The present study is an effort to investigate the above matter over the eastern Aegean, from Lesvos to Ikaria and Samos islands, on a monthly basis, based on all the available satellite chlorophyll data up to now. Full article

Three-dimensional (3D) ocean physical fields are essential for understanding ocean dynamics, but reconstructing them solely from sea-surface remote sensing remains challenging. We present 3DV-Unet, an end-to-end deep learning framework that reconstructs eddy-resolving three-dimensional essential ocean variables (temperature, salinity, and currents) from multi-source satellite data. The model employs a 3D Vision Transformer bottleneck to capture cross-depth and cross-variable dependencies, ensuring physically consistent reconstruction. Trained on 2011–2019 reanalysis and satellite data, 3DV-Unet achieves RMSEs of ~0.30 °C for temperature, 0.11 psu for salinity, and 0.05 m/s for currents, with all R² values above 0.93. Error analyses further indicate higher reconstruction errors in dynamically complex regions such as the Kuroshio Extension, while spectral analysis indicates good agreement at 100 km+ but systematic deviation in the 20–100 km band. Independent validation against 6113 Argo profiles confirms its ability to reproduce realistic vertical thermohaline structures. Moreover, the reconstructed 3D fields capture mesoscale eddy structures and their life cycle, offering a valuable basis for investigating ocean circulation, energy transport, and regional variability. These results demonstrate the potential of end-to-end volumetric deep learning for advancing high-resolution 3D ocean reconstruction and supporting physical oceanography and climate studies. Full article

Climate change in Antarctica has profound global implications, influencing sea level rise, atmospheric circulation, and the Earth’s energy balance. This study presents a data-driven baseline analysis of meteorological observations from a British Antarctic Survey automatic weather station (2020–2024). Temporal and seasonal analyses reveal strong insolation-driven variability in temperature, snow depth, and solar radiation, reflecting the extreme polar day–night cycle. Correlation analysis highlights solar radiation, upwelling longwave flux, and snow depth as the most reliable predictors of near-surface temperature, while humidity, pressure, and wind speed contribute minimally. A linear regression baseline and a Random Forest model are evaluated for temperature prediction, with the ensemble approach demonstrating superior accuracy. Although the short data span limits long-term trend attribution, the findings underscore the potential of lightweight, reproducible pipelines for site-specific climate monitoring. All analysis codes are openly available in github, enabling transparency and future methodological extensions to advanced, non-linear models and multi-site datasets. Full article

Floating photovoltaic arrays on ponds may alter thermal and optical conditions that are relevant to aquaculture performance. This study compared 0% and 40% surface shading in two outdoor earthen-pond trials, one with Asian sea bass (Lates calcarifer) and one with Japanese sea bass (Lateolabrax japonicus). Temperature was logged hourly and summarized as daily means; water quality was sampled biweekly; fish were measured repeatedly, with endpoint growth compared within species. The result shows that shading lowered pond temperature and the diurnal temperature range and reduced the number of days above species benchmark temperatures. Indicators associated with phytoplankton, including suspended solids and chlorophyll a, were lower under shading, whereas dissolved inorganic nutrients were higher. In the Japanese sea bass trial, dissolved oxygen was higher without shading. Final body weight did not differ between treatments within either trial, but survival was higher with 40% shading. Principal component analysis and permutational multivariate analysis of variance indicated a treatment signal in multivariate water quality. Because the trials occurred in different years with one pond per treatment, inference was restricted to contrasts within each species. Overall, moderate surface shading cooled ponds and altered water quality without reducing growth. Full article

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) pose a serious threat to the marine ecosystems and fishery resources in the East China Sea (ECS). Based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature High Resolution version 2 data, this study investigated the regional divergence in long-term trends of MHWs in the ECS from 1982 to 2023. The principal findings were as follows. Concerning MHWs, the coastal waters of China from northern Jiangsu coast to northeast of Taiwan Island experienced a relatively high annual average frequency, the longest duration, largest number of total days, strongest intensity, and the most pronounced seasonal signals. Additionally, the areas along the Kuroshio path showed significant levels of frequency, duration, and total days, but with comparatively weak intensity. In the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, EOF1 of the total days and cumulative intensity exhibited notable variation along the path of the Kuroshio and its offshoots, and in Chinese coastal areas. EOF2 showed significantly more conspicuous variation in areas extending from the Yangtze River Estuary to the northern Jiangsu coast. Furthermore, the MHW indices generally showed a positive trend in the ECS from 1982 to 2023. Importantly, the regions with high annual average MHW indices were also characterized by a significantly positive increasing trend. Moderate (79.10%) and strong (19.94%) events were most prevalent, whereas severe (0.82%) and extreme (0.14%) events occurred infrequently. The enhanced solar radiation and the reduced latent heat loss were the main contributing factors of MHWs in the ECS. These findings provide valuable insights into the ecological environment and resources of the ECS as a marine pastoral area. Full article

Global warming has been altering the East Asian climate at an unprecedented rate since the 20th century. In order to evaluate the changes in the East Asian winter climate (EAWC) and support policy-making for climate mitigation and adaptation strategies, this paper utilizes the multimodel ensemble from the Couple Model Intercomparison Project 6 and a temperature threshold method to investigate the EAWC changes during the period 1979–2100. The results show that the EAWC has been undergoing widespread and robust changes in response to global warming. The winter length in East Asia has shortened and will continue shortening owing to later onsets and earlier withdrawals, leading to a drastic contraction in length from 100 days in 1979 to 43 days (27 days) in 2100 under SSP2-4.5 (SSP5-8.5). While most regions of the East Asian continent are projected to become warmer in winter, the Japan and marginal seas of northeastern Asia will face the risks from colder winters with more frequent extreme cold events, accompanied by less precipitation. Meanwhile, the Tibetan Plateau is very likely to have colder winters in the future, though its surface snow amounts will significantly decline. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are found to be responsible for the EAWC changes. GHG traps heat inside the Earth’s atmosphere and notably increases the air temperature; moreover, its force modulates large-scale atmospheric circulation, facilitating an enhanced and northward-positioned Aleutian low together with a weakened Siberian high, East Asian trough, and East Asian jet stream. These two effects work together, resulting in a contracted winter with robust and uneven regional changes in the EAWC. This finding highlights the urgency of curbing GHG emissions and improving forecasts of the EAWC, which are crucial for mitigating their major ecological and social impacts. Full article

China’s coastal fisheries face challenges to their sustainability due to climate and human-induced pressures on key habitat drivers. This study provides an 18-year (2003–2020) assessment of six key ecological and data-available environmental factors (sea-surface temperature (SST), salinity, transparency, currents (eastward velocity, EV; northward velocity, NV), and net primary productivity (NPP), selected for their ecological relevance and data availability, across the Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas at a spatial resolution of 0.083°. Non-parametric trend tests and seasonal climatologies were applied using MODIS-Aqua and CMEMS data with a refined quasi-analytical algorithm (QAA-v6). The results show distinct gradients: SST ranging from 9 to 13 °C (Bohai Sea) to >20 °C (East China Sea); transparency ranging from <5 m (turbid coasts) to 29.20 m (offshore). Seasonal peaks occurred for SST (summer: 18.92 °C), transparency (summer: 12.54 m), and primary productivity (spring: 1289 mg/m²). Long-term trends reveal regional SST warming in the northern Yellow Sea (9.78% of the area), but cooling in the central East China Sea. Widespread increases in transparency were observed (65.14% of the area), though productivity declined significantly (27.3%). The drivers showed spatial coupling (e.g., SST–salinity r = 0.95), but the long-term trends were decoupled. This study provides a comprehensive and long-term assessment of multiple key habitat drivers across China’s coastal seas. The results provide an unprecedented empirical baseline and dynamic management tools for China’s changing coastal ecosystems. Full article

Global climate change poses a significant management challenge for vital transboundary resources like the Pacific saury (Cololabis saira). To address this, we developed an innovative framework that uses high-resolution Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and deep learning to define species distribution, which then informs a robust Ensemble Species Distribution Model (ESDM). The model (TSS > 0.89, AUC > 0.97) identifies sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (CHL) as key habitat drivers. Projections under future climate scenarios reveal two critical threats: (1) a continuous northeastward migration of the habitat’s centroid, exceeding 400 km by 2100 under a high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario, and (2) a drastic contraction of highly suitable habitat (suitability > 0.8), shrinking by up to 94% under the high-emission SSP3-7.0 scenario. By directly linking key oceanographic features to these climate-driven risks, this study delivers an essential scientific decision-support tool for management bodies like the North Pacific Fisheries Commission (NPFC) to develop climate-adaptive strategies. Full article

In deep-sea oil and gas development scenarios, deep-sea dual-channel connectors often face the risk of seal failure due to internal and external temperature difference loads. To address this issue, this paper systematically establishes equivalent heat transfer models for the key parts of the connector based on the third-type boundary condition. On this basis, the quantitative correlation between the equivalent thermal conductivity, composite heat transfer coefficient and temperature of each part is explored. Using the finite element numerical simulation method, the transient temperature field of the connector under three working conditions (heating, cooling and temperature shock) is simulated and analyzed, revealing the temperature distribution characteristics and temperature change trends of the maximum temperature difference of each key component of the connector; combined with thermal–structural coupling simulation, the temperature field is converted into static load, to determine the behavior of the contact stress on the sealing surface under different temperature–pressure coupling working conditions; in addition, by placing the test prototype in a high-low temperature cycle chamber, the seal performance tests under pressurized and non-pressurized working conditions are carried out to verify the reliable sealing performance of the connector under variable temperature conditions. The results of this paper provide comprehensive theoretical support and an experimental basis for the thermodynamic optimization design of deep-sea connectors and the improvement of the reliability of the sealing system. Full article

The climatic variability of near-surface air temperature (NSAT) over the Caspian region (35–60° N; 40–65° E) was analyzed in this study. The analysis was based on a comparison of data from various sources: weather stations, NOAA OISSTv2 satellite-based data, atmospheric reanalyses ECMWF ERA5, NASA MERRA-2, and NCEP/NCAR, and the outputs from 33 Earth system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). CMIP6 models results from the historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) experiments were utilized. Over the period 1940–2023, NSAT exhibited variable changes across the Caspian region. Weather stations in the northwestern part of the region indicated NSAT increases of 0.9 ± 0.2 °C for 1985–2023. In the central-western part of the Caspian region, the increase in average NSAT between 1940–1969 and 1994–2023 was 1.4 °C with a spatial standard deviation of 0.3 °C. In the southern part of the Caspian region, the increase in average NSAT between 1986–2004 and 2005–2023 was 0.8 ± 0.1 °C. Importantly, all 33 CMIP6 models, as well as the ERA5 reanalysis, captured an average NSAT increase of approximately 1.3 ± 0.5 °C for the whole Caspian region between 1940–1969 and 1994–2023. From the ERA5 data, the increase in NSAT was more pronounced in the north (~1.6 °C) than in the central Caspian region, with the most significant warming observed in the mountainous regions of Iran (up to 3.0 °C). Under various CMIP6 SSPs scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5), projections indicate an increase in average NSAT across the study region. Comparing the periods 1994–2023 and 2070–2099, the projected NSAT increases are 1.7 ± 0.7 °C, 2.8 ± 0.8 °C, 4.0 ± 0.9 °C, and 5.2 ± 1.2 °C, respectively. For the earlier period of 2024–2053 relative to 1994–2023, the projected NSAT increases are 1.2 ± 0.4 °C, 1.3 ± 0.4 °C, 1.4 ± 0.4 °C, and 1.7 ± 0.5 °C. Notably, the projected increase in NSAT is slower over the Caspian Sea compared to the surrounding land areas. Full article

High-resolution spatiotemporal prediction information on fishing vessel activities is essential for formulating and effectively implementing fisheries policies that ensure the sustainability of marine resources and fishing practices. This study focused on the tuna longline fishery in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean (130° E–150° W, 20° S–20° N) and constructed a CLA U-Net deep learning model to predict fishing effort (FE) distribution based on 2017–2023 FE records and environmental variables. Two modeling schemes were designed: Scheme 1 incorporated both historical FE and environmental data, while Scheme 2 used only environmental variables. The model predicts not only the binary outcome (presence or absence of fishing effort) but also the magnitude of FE. Results show that in short-term predictions, Scheme 1 achieved F1 scores of 0.654 at the 0.5°-1-day scale and 0.763 at the 1°-1-day scale, indicating substantial improvement from including historical FE data. In medium-term predictions, Scheme 1 and Scheme 2 reached maximum F1 scores of 0.77 and 0.72, respectively, at the optimal spatiotemporal scale of 1°-30 days. The analysis also quantified the relative importance of environmental variables, with sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) identified as the most influential. These findings provide methodological insights for spatiotemporal prediction of fishing effort and support the refinement of fisheries management and sustainability strategies. Full article

Oceans, which cover more than 70% of Earth’s surface, are home to vast biological and mineral resources. Deep-sea exploration encounters significant challenges due to harsh environmental factors, including low temperatures, high pressure, and complex hydrodynamic forces. These constraints have led to the widespread use of underwater robots as essential tools for deep-sea resource exploration and exploitation. Conventional underwater robots, whether rigid with fixed stiffness or fully flexible, fail to achieve the propulsion efficiency observed in biological fish. To overcome this limitation, researchers have developed adjustable stiffness mechanisms for robotic fish designs. This innovation strikes a balance between structural rigidity for stability and flexible adaptability to dynamic environments. By dynamically adjusting localized stiffness, these bio-inspired robots can alter their mechanical properties in real time. This capability improves propulsion efficiency, energy utilization, and resilience to external disturbances during operation. This paper begins by reviewing the evolution of underwater robots, from fixed-stiffness systems to adjustable-stiffness designs. Next, existing methods for stiffness adjustment are categorized into two approaches: offline component replacement and online real-time adaptation. The principles, implementation strategies, and comparative advantages of each approach are then analyzed. Finally, we identify the current challenges in adjustable-stiffness underwater robotics and propose future directions, such as advancements in intelligent sensing, autonomous stiffness adaptation, and enhanced performance in extreme environments. Full article

Tropical cyclones (TCs) over the Arabian Sea pose significant threats to coastal populations and result in substantial economic losses, yet their variability in response to major climate modes remains insufficiently understood. This study examines the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP) with TC activity over the Arabian Sea from 1982 to 2021. Utilizing the India Meteorological Department (IMD)’s best-track data, reanalysis datasets, and composite analysis, we find that ENSO and IOD phases affect TC activity differently across seasons. The pre-monsoon season shows a limited association between TC activity and both ENSO and IOD, with minimal variation in frequency, intensity, and energy metrics. However, during the post-monsoon season, El Niño enhances TC intensity, resulting in a higher frequency of intense storms, leading to increased accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and power dissipation index (PDI) in a statistically significant way. In contrast, La Niña favors the development of weaker TC systems and an increased frequency of depressions. While negative IOD (nIOD) phases tend to suppress TC formation, positive IOD (pIOD) phases are associated with increased TC activity, characterized by longer durations and higher ACE and PDI (statistically significant). Genesis sites shift with ENSO: El Niño favors genesis in the eastern Arabian Sea, causing westward or northeastward tracks, while La Niña shifts genesis toward the central-western basin, promoting northwestward movement. Composite analysis indicates that higher sea surface temperatures (SSTs), reduced vertical wind shear (VWS), increased mid-tropospheric humidity, and lower sea level pressure (SLP) during El Niño and pIOD phases create favorable conditions for TC intensification. In contrast, La Niña and nIOD phases are marked by drier mid-level atmospheres and less favorable SST patterns. The Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP), particularly its westernmost edge in the southeastern Arabian Sea, provides a favorable thermodynamic environment for genesis and exhibits a moderate positive correlation with TC activity. Nevertheless, its influence on interannual variability over the basin is less significant than that of dominant large-scale climate patterns like ENSO and IOD. These findings highlight the critical role of SST-related teleconnections (ENSO, IOD, and IPWP) in regulating Arabian Sea TC activity, offering valuable insights for seasonal forecasting and risk mitigation in vulnerable areas. Full article

Corals exhibit complex and diverse relationships with dinoflagellates of the family Symbiodiniaceae. Montiporid corals within Norfolk Island’s shallow water lagoonal reef systems have been observed to turn a deep fluorescent blue during winter, suggesting potential environmentally driven changes to their photoendosymbiosis. Here, we investigate the photoendosymbiosis of blue Montipora sp. corals over a year-long study, demonstrating that photosynthetic yield and Symbiodiniaceae densities vary seasonally, with the lowest photosynthetic yield occurring within winter periods. We also provide the first characterisation of Symbiodiniaceae species associated with corals from Norfolk Island, identifying blue Montipora sp. as predominantly associating with Cladocopium (formerly Clade C) genotypes (C3aap, C3ig, and C3aao). Finally, we also report on the impact of recent bleaching conditions (March 2024) on blue Montipora sp. photoendosymbiosis and find the genera is susceptible to increasing sea surface temperatures. Our findings provide insight into the unique biology of subtropical corals within this remote reef and the susceptibility of corals in the region to increasing sea surface temperatures. Full article

This study applies an artificial neural network (ANN) to simulate monthly temperature and salinity variations at three stations in the Venice lagoon, which have been selected to represent different regimes (marine, riverine and intermediate) in terms of relevance of local processes and exchanges with the open sea. Four key predictors are shown to play a major role: mean offshore sea level, 2 m air temperature, precipitation for the lagoon water temperature, integrated with offshore sea surface salinity for the lagoon water salinity. The development of the ANN is based on only 4 years of observations, taken irregularly over time with an approximately monthly frequency. Despite this, the ANN achieves an accurate reproduction of both variables with large R² and reasonably small, normalized root-mean-square errors at all stations, except for the salinity at the marine station, where the model presents a spurious variability, which is absent in observations. Sensitivity analysis shows that the 2 m air temperature is the dominant predictor for water temperature while sea-level and sea surface salinity are the principal predictor of salinity fluctuations, with precipitation exerting a relevant role mainly at the riverine station. The ANN has been used for a set of synthetic climate change analyses considering 1.5, 2 and 3 °C global warming levels with respect to preindustrial levels. An overall warming of lagoon water with maximum increase in summer is expected (up to 6 °C in the 3 °C global warming level), resulting in an amplification of the annual cycle amplitude. The expected increases in salinity have a strong gradient across the lagoon, are largest at the riverine station, and (analogously to the changes in temperature) amplify the salinity annual cycle amplitude. Full article