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Keywords = ship main particulars prediction

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20 pages, 9653 KB  
Article
Prediction of Ship Main Particulars for Harbor Tugboats Using a Bayesian Network Model and Non-Linear Regression
by Ömer Emre Karaçay, Çağlar Karatuğ, Tayfun Uyanık, Yasin Arslanoğlu and Abderezak Lashab
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(7), 2891; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14072891 - 29 Mar 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1854
Abstract
Determining the key characteristics of a ship during the concept and preliminary design phases is a critical and intricate process. In this study, we propose an alternative to traditional empirical methods by introducing a model to estimate the main particulars of diesel-powered Z-Drive [...] Read more.
Determining the key characteristics of a ship during the concept and preliminary design phases is a critical and intricate process. In this study, we propose an alternative to traditional empirical methods by introducing a model to estimate the main particulars of diesel-powered Z-Drive harbor tugboats. This prediction is performed to determine the main particulars of tugboats: length, beam, draft, and power concerning the required service speed and bollard pull values, employing Bayesian network and non-linear regression methods. We utilized a dataset comprising 476 samples from 68 distinct diesel-powered Z-Drive harbor tugboat series to construct this model. The case study results demonstrate that the established model accurately predicts the main parameters of a tugboat with the obtained average of mean absolute percentage error values; 6.574% for the Bayesian network and 5.795%, 9.955% for non-linear regression methods. This model, therefore, proves to be a practical and valuable tool for ship designers in determining the main particulars of ships during the concept design stage by reducing revision return possibilities in further stages of ship design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Management in Green Ports and Maritime Transportation)
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13 pages, 2881 KB  
Article
Considerations on the Effect of Slow-Steaming to Reduce Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Ships
by Darko Glujić, Predrag Kralj and Josip Dujmović
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2022, 10(9), 1277; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10091277 - 9 Sep 2022
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 2708
Abstract
Carbon dioxide emissions have become a growing problem worldwide. Global institutions are addressing this problem and developing solutions. Countries that are aware of this problem are implementing regulations that affect global industry and, in particular, maritime transport. Considering that the combustion process, namely, [...] Read more.
Carbon dioxide emissions have become a growing problem worldwide. Global institutions are addressing this problem and developing solutions. Countries that are aware of this problem are implementing regulations that affect global industry and, in particular, maritime transport. Considering that the combustion process, namely, diesel, remains the main energy conversion process on board ships, the question arises: what is the best solution to reduce pollutant emissions? Coastal countries have taken various measures to reduce the emission of harmful gases into the marine environment. The problem with these measures is that it is difficult to accurately predict their impact. This paper looks at one of these measures (slow-steaming) to determine how it affects carbon dioxide emissions from different types of ships and their modes of operation. Engine room simulators were used to study two marine power plants under different operating conditions. Fuel consumption was measured, i.e., flows from heavy fuel oil and diesel oil service tanks to all consumers, and carbon emissions were calculated accordingly. The study showed a large reduction in carbon dioxide emissions in the case of a modern power plant ship, and large deviations when all operating modes were compared. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Pollution)
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15 pages, 7544 KB  
Article
Prediction of the Side Drift Force of Full Ships Advancing in Waves at Low Speeds
by Shukui Liu and Apostolos Papanikolaou
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(5), 377; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse8050377 - 25 May 2020
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 4047
Abstract
In this study, we analyze the experimental results of the mean sway (side drift) forces of six full type ships at low speeds in regular waves of various directions and compare them with numerical results of the in-house 3D panel code NEWDRIFT. It [...] Read more.
In this study, we analyze the experimental results of the mean sway (side drift) forces of six full type ships at low speeds in regular waves of various directions and compare them with numerical results of the in-house 3D panel code NEWDRIFT. It is noted that the mean sway force is most significant in relatively short waves, with the peak being observed at λ/LPP ≈ 0.5–0.6. For λ/LPP > 1.0, the corresponding value is rather small. We also observe a solid recurring pattern of the mean sway force acting on the analyzed full type ships. On this basis, we proceed to approximate the mean sway force with an empirical formula, in which only the main ship particulars and wave parameters are used. Preliminary validation results show that the developed empirical formula, which is readily applicable in practice, can accurately predict the mean sway force acting on a full ship, at both zero and non-zero speeds. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ship Dynamics for Performance Based Design and Risk Averse Operations)
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17 pages, 2036 KB  
Article
Predicting Traffic and Risk Exposure in the Maritime Industry
by Stephen Vander Hoorn and Sabine Knapp
Safety 2019, 5(3), 42; https://doi.org/10.3390/safety5030042 - 1 Jul 2019
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 7866
Abstract
Maritime regulators, port authorities, and industry require the ability to predict risk exposure of shipping activities at a micro and macro level to optimize asset allocation and to mitigate and prevent incidents. This article introduces the concept of a strategic planning tool by [...] Read more.
Maritime regulators, port authorities, and industry require the ability to predict risk exposure of shipping activities at a micro and macro level to optimize asset allocation and to mitigate and prevent incidents. This article introduces the concept of a strategic planning tool by making use of the multi-layered risk estimation framework (MLREF), which accounts for ship specific risk, vessel traffic densities, and meets ocean conditions at the macro level. This article’s main contribution is to provide a traffic and risk exposure prediction routine that allows the traffic forecast to be distributed across the shipping route network to allow for predicting scenarios at the macro level (e.g., covering larger geographic areas) and micro level (e.g., passage way, particular route of interest). In addition, the micro level is introduced by providing a theoretical idea to integrate location specific spatial rate ratios along with the effect of the risk control option to perform sensitivity analysis of risk exposure prediction scenarios. Aspects of the risk exposure estimation routine were tested via a pilot study for the Australian region using a comprehensive and unique combination of datasets. Sources of uncertainties for risk assessments are described in general and discussed along with the potential for future developments and improvements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Maritime Safety and Operations)
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12 pages, 3368 KB  
Article
Numerical Simulation of Propagation Characteristics of Hazardous Noxious Substances Spilled from Transport Ships
by Chan Ho Jeong, Min Kyu Ko, Moonjin Lee and Seong Hyuk Lee
Appl. Sci. 2018, 8(12), 2409; https://doi.org/10.3390/app8122409 - 27 Nov 2018
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 2478
Abstract
This study numerically investigates the propagation characteristics of hazardous noxious substances (HNSs) spilled from transport ships and suggests the metal model for predicting the HNS propagation velocity varied with the current velocity and HNS density. The commercial computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code ANSYS [...] Read more.
This study numerically investigates the propagation characteristics of hazardous noxious substances (HNSs) spilled from transport ships and suggests the metal model for predicting the HNS propagation velocity varied with the current velocity and HNS density. The commercial computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code ANSYS FLUENT (V. 17.2) was used for two-dimensional simulation based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equation together with the standard kε model. The scalar transport equation was also solved to estimate the spatial and transient behaviors of HNS. The main parameters to analyze the near-field propagation characteristics of HNSs spilled from the ship were layer thickness, HNS concentration, and propagation velocity. It was found that advection becomes more dominant in propagating an HNS layer that becomes thinner as the current velocity increases. When the current velocity increased beyond a certain level (~0.75 m/s), the mixing effect made the HNS layer less dense but thicker. Consequently, lower-density HNS causes increased HNS concentrations at sea level. As the current velocity increased, the concentration distribution became homogeneous regardless of HNS density. In particular, the second-order response surface model provided for three variables on the basis of the numerical results for 15 cases with the use of the general least-squares regression method, showing a good fit. This model would be useful in estimating the propagation velocity of HNS spilled from a ship. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mechanical Engineering)
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