Search Results (142)

Purple-leaf tea plants are of considerable interest because they show elevated anthocyanin contents. However, the underlying biosynthetic mechanisms of this are incompletely understood. We use metabolomic profiling to analyze anthocyanin accumulation patterns across different purple-leaf plant (‘Nanhan Ziya’) tissues and report that the second and third leaves have significantly higher anthocyanin levels than other tissue types. By integrating transcriptomic sequencing data, we systematically characterize the expression profiles of key genes involved in the anthocyanin biosynthesis pathway. Correlation analysis reveals that the expression levels of anthocyanin synthase (ANS) highly, significantly, and positively correlate with anthocyanin content, with a stronger association than other genes in the pathway. This suggests that ANS may function as a critical rate-limiting enzyme in anthocyanin synthesis in purple-leaf tea plants. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis revealed several transcription factors (e.g., MYB14, NAC35, bHLH90) strongly associated with anthocyanin accumulation. We elucidate the central regulatory role of ANS at the transcriptional level, construct a preliminary interaction network with key transcription factors for it, and provide theoretical foundations for further deciphering the anthocyanin biosynthesis mechanism and for breeding tea varieties with enhanced anthocyanin traits. Full article

Quantifying glacier contributions to river discharge is challenging because many land surface models (LSMs) lack glacier processes, whereas standalone glacier models are often disconnected from catchment hydrology. Here we develop the Conjunctive Surface–Subsurface Process model version 2-glacier coupled model (CSSPv2-GLC), and evaluate it over the Three-River Headwaters Region (TRHR) at 3 km during 1979–2017. The glacier coupling raises Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency for monthly streamflow simulation at Tuotuohe station from 0.63 to 0.79 during calibration and from 0.61 to 0.76 during validation. CSSPv2-GLC reduces glacier surface temperature error to 1.85 K, compared with 3.09 K for the CSSPv2. Glacier meltwater contributions to total discharge reached 11.5% in July and 10.8% in August in the Yangtze headwaters. In contrast, the Lancang and Yellow headwaters contributed up to 4.5% and 1.8% in August. Dry-year contributions are 2–3 times higher than wet-year values, indicating a transient drought-buffering effect. These results demonstrate the value of integrating physically explicit glacier processes into land surface modeling frameworks for water resource assessment in glacierized headwater regions, and highlight the necessity of accounting for non-stationary glacier contributions to streamflow. Full article

Frequent flash floods threaten human well-being, hydropower infrastructure, and ecosystems. However, the long-term evolution of flash flood patterns over recent decades remains insufficiently understood, particularly in data-scarce high-altitude regions. Using multi-source remote sensing data integrated with historical disaster records and field investigations, this study examined the spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of flash floods across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). The results indicate that flash floods have increased exponentially, which may be influenced by disaster management policies, with peaks in July–August and frequent occurrences from April to September. The seasonal trajectory of the center of gravity of flash floods from April to September exhibited a clear directional pattern. Regions with the highest disaster density were concentrated in the headwaters of five major rivers, including the Yarlung Zangbo, Jinsha, Nu, Lancang, and Yellow Rivers. Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) and Random Forest analyses reveal that soil moisture, anthropogenic intensity, and seasonal runoff variability are the dominant driving factors. With ongoing socioeconomic development, intensified human activities have become a key contributor to the increasing frequency of flash floods. These findings highlight the value of remote sensing-based assessments for flash flood monitoring and early warning and provide scientific support for risk mitigation, loss reduction, and the advancement of water-related targets under the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals. Full article

As a major water conservation region and ecological security barrier in China, the Three-River Source Region (TRSR) of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) is underlain by extensive permafrost. However, how permafrost degradation alters regional water conservation, particularly the existence of critical thresholds and time-lagged responses, remains insufficiently understood. To clarify these issues, spatiotemporal variations in water conservation (1990–2020) were quantified, and their nonlinear, lagged, and spatially heterogeneous responses to active layer thickness (ALT) were assessed. Using multi-source remote sensing and in situ observations from 1990 to 2020, spatiotemporal variations in water conservation were quantified with the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model, and responses to permafrost degradation were examined by integrating Sen’s slope, GeoDetector, geographically weighted regression (GWR), and structural equation modeling (SEM) methods. The results showed that water conservation increased overall during 1990–2020 and exhibited a pronounced southeast–northwest gradient (higher in the southeast and lower in the northwest); the rates of change in the Lancang, Yellow, and Yangtze headwaters were 63.5, 56.5, and 31.0 mm a⁻¹, respectively. GeoDetector results indicate that precipitation was the dominant control on the spatial heterogeneity of water conservation (q = 0.704), and its interaction with active layer thickness (ALT) further increased explanatory power (q = 0.736). ALT also interacted with vegetation (q = 0.224) and topography (q = 0.157), suggesting that permafrost effects are modulated by vegetation condition and topographic setting in addition to water inputs. Piecewise regression identified a potential threshold at ALT = 1.77 m, indicating a shift in the ALT–water conservation relationship across this threshold. A 5–7-year lag in the response of water conservation to ALT was also detected, particularly apparent in continuous permafrost zones. Overall, water conservation exhibits a clear southeast–northwest gradient and a delayed response to ALT changes. In addition, the response exhibits clear spatial clustering, with the strongest sensitivity observed in areas with ice-rich permafrost overlain by alpine meadow, and a potential ALT breakpoint further suggests nonlinear permafrost–water conservation coupling. Full article

Rainfall erosivity is a key driver of soil erosion and sediment delivery in the Lancang River Basin, but its spatiotemporal variations and relationship with sediment delivery changes remain unquantified. Based on the daily precipitation data from meteorological stations and the annual sediment delivery data from the Yunjinghong hydrologic station, the spatial and temporal variations in rainfall erosivity and how rainfall erosivity changes contribute to the sediment delivery changes were examined in this study. The results showed that the annual average rainfall erosivity varied from 202.6 to 15,946.6 MJ mm ha⁻¹ h⁻¹ a⁻¹ among stations. The rainfall erosivity increased from the upstream to the downstream as elevation decreased. Basin-wide average rainfall erosivity declined by about ten percent from 1958 to 2019, with a decreasing rate of −6.3 MJ mm ha⁻¹ h⁻¹ a⁻¹ per year. Summer rainfall erosivity accounted for the largest portion of the rainfall erosivity throughout the whole year. The sediment delivery increased from 1963 to 2000 but has sharply decreased since 2001. Double mass curve analysis revealed that rainfall erosivity reduction accounted for 32% of the sediment delivery decrease after 2001, with human activities (vegetation restoration and dam operations) contributing the remaining 68%. Full article

As the last critical hydrological control station on the Lancang River before it flows out of China, the daily runoff variations at the Yunjinghong Hydrological Station are directly linked to agricultural irrigation, hydropower development, and ecological security in downstream Mekong River riparian countries such as Laos, Myanmar, and Thailand. Aiming at the core issues of the runoff sequence in the Lancang–Mekong Basin, which is characterized by prominent nonlinearity, non-stationarity, and coupling of multi-scale features, this study proposes a synergistic prediction framework of “multi-scale decomposition-model improvement-parameter optimization”. Firstly, Regenerated Phase-Shifted Sine-Assisted Empirical Mode Decomposition (RPSEMD) is adopted to adaptively decompose the daily runoff data. On this basis, a Convolutional Sparse Attention Transformer (CSAT) model is constructed. A one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) module is embedded in the input layer to enhance local feature perception, making up for the deficiency of traditional Transformers in capturing detailed information. Meanwhile, the sparse attention mechanism replaces the multi-head attention, realizing efficient focusing on key time-step correlations and reducing computational costs. Additionally, an Improved Multi-Verse Optimizer (IMVO) is introduced, which optimizes the hyperparameters of CSAT through a spiral update mechanism, exponential Travel Distance Rate (T_DR), and adaptive compression factor, thereby improving the model’s accuracy in capturing short-term abrupt patterns such as flood peaks and drought transition points. Experiments are conducted using measured daily runoff data from 2010 to 2022, and the proposed model is compared with mainstream models such as LSTM, GRU, and standard Transformer. The results show that the RPSEMD-IMVO-CSAT model reduces the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 15.3–28.7% and 18.6–32.4%, respectively, compared with the comparative models. Full article

Under the ongoing trend of climate warming and increasing humidity on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, the Three River Source Region (TRSR) has shown strong sensitivity to global climate change. Its vegetation change is particularly worthy of attention and research. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is a key indicator for assessing the growth status of vegetation. However, the insufficiency of existing NDVI datasets in terms of spatiotemporal continuity has limited the accuracy of long-term vegetation change studies. This study proposed a machine learning-based downscaling framework that integrates the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI and the Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling System (GIMMS) NDVI data to reconstruct a long-term, high-resolution NDVI dataset. Unlike conventional statistical fusion approaches, the proposed framework employs machine learning-based nonlinear relationships to generate long-term, high-resolution NDVI data. Three machine learning algorithms—Random Forest (RF), LightGBM, and CatBoost—were evaluated. Their performance was validated using the MODIS NDVI as reference, with the coefficient of determination (R²), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R) as evaluation metrics. Based on model comparison, the CatBoost model was identified as the optimal algorithm for spatiotemporal data fusion (R² = 0.9014, RMSE = 0.0674, MAE = 0.0445), significantly outperforming RF and LightGBM models and demonstrating stronger capability for NDVI spatiotemporal reconstruction. Using this model, a long-term, 1 km monthly GIMMS-MODIS NDVI dataset from 1982 to 2014 was successfully reconstructed. On the basis of this dataset, the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of vegetation in the TRSR from 1982 to 2014 were systematically analyzed. The research results show that: (1) The constructed long-series high-resolution NDVI dataset has a high consistency with MODIS NDVI data; (2) From 1982 to 2014, the NDVI in the TRSR showed an increasing trend, with an average growth rate of 0.0020/10a (p < 0.05). NDVI showed obvious spatial heterogeneity, characterized by a decreasing gradient from southeast to northwest. (3) The Yellow River source exhibited the most evident vegetation recovery, the Yangtze River Source area showed a moderate improvement, whereas the Lancang River Source area displayed little noticeable change. (4) Broad-leaved forests experienced the most significant growth, while cultivated vegetation displayed a marked tendency toward degradation. This study provides both a high-accuracy long-term NDVI product for the TRSR and a methodological foundation for advancing vegetation dynamics research in other high-altitude regions. Full article

Understanding the temporal variation in streamflow in the Lancang–Mekong River and its driving mechanism is essential for water resource management of this important international river. In this study, streamflow at the Chiang Saen gauging station was simulated using a long short-term memory (LSTM) model driven by satellite-based Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP) and Multi-Source Weather (MSWX) datasets, with the aim of quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to streamflow variations. A key contribution of this work lies in the use of LSTM to reproduce naturalized streamflow conditions—using only climate inputs—thereby providing a data-driven alternative to conventional process-based modeling approaches in this data-scarce basin. The monthly precipitation and temperature data of Chiang Saen station from 1979 to 1991 are used for model training and validation. The natural streamflow of Chiang Saen station from 1992 to 2021 is reconstructed based on the trained model. The results show that the annual average precipitation of the basin from 1979 to 2021 only exhibits a statistically insignificant decreasing trend, while the annual average temperature shows a statistically significant upward trend, and the inter-annual variation in the annual average streamflow shows a non-significant downward trend. Periodic analysis shows that the main periodicity of precipitation, temperature, and streamflow data is 12 months, following annual periodicity in climate. LSTM simulations demonstrate high accuracy in predicting the streamflow in T month based on the MSWEP precipitation and MSWX temperature data in T-2, T-1, and T months. On an annual scale, the streamflow in the changing period (1992–2021) decreases by only 4.6% compared with the reference period (1979–1991). In spring, the streamflow in the changing period is 30.6% higher than that of the reference period, and climate change and human activities contribute 40.8% and 59.2%, respectively. Increases in streamflow (3.4%) are also detected in the winter, with human activity as the dominant contributing factor. For the summer, the streamflow in the changing period is −8.2% lower than that in the reference period, with a greater contribution from human activities (68.7%) than climate change (31.3%). The streamflow in autumn of the changing period is −12.1% lower than that in the reference period, with a greater contribution from human activities (90.2%) than climate change (9.8%). In general, the findings of this study indicate that the driving mechanisms behind streamflow changes at Chiang Saen are complex at different temporal scales, and they provide valuable insights for improving our understanding of hydrological changes within the Lancang–Mekong River Basin. Full article

Enhancing herders’ livelihoods is essential in balancing human–land interactions and promoting inclusive, sustainable development within protected area management. Using a household survey (N = 3539; March–June 2025) and a mixed-methods quantitative approach (weighted TOPSIS, obstacle degree, Spatial Durbin Model, and hierarchical regression), we assessed household livelihood resilience in the Lancang River source area of Sanjiangyuan National Park. Key findings included the following. Overall livelihood resilience was moderate, with a mean score of 0.411. This was characterized by a marked weakness in learning capacity (0.358) and relative strength in self-organization (0.431). Major barriers to resilience included cooperative participation (obstacle degree: 8.14%), education levels (7.58%), skills training (7.18%), household savings (6.40%), and information acquisition abilities (5.97%). The spatial analysis revealed a core-periphery pattern of resilience, evidenced by significant negative spatial autocorrelation (W×HLR coefficient = −0.787, p = 0.001), suggesting competitive interactions among villages. Within this pattern, cooperative participation induced significant positive spatial spillovers (W×X₈ coefficient = 0.147, p < 0.001), while benefits derived from information acquisition abilities remained localized (Direct Effect = 0.061, p < 0.001). The pathways to resilience were associated with household heterogeneity. Associations between key factors and resilience varied across demographic groups, with women and youth benefiting more from skills training and education. Livelihood strategies were linked to information utilization, with cordyceps-dependent households exhibiting greater sensitivity to information acquisition abilities (interaction coefficient = 0.009, p = 0.009). The institutional environment shaped organizational benefits; the positive association with cooperative participation diminished in the core protected zone (interaction coefficient = −0.011, p = 0.036). These findings highlight household heterogeneity as a key factor influencing diverse resilience pathways. They also emphasize the need for targeted, spatially specific, and group-oriented governance strategies. Full article

The texture and composition of river sediments are key to understanding the characteristics of source rocks, chemical weathering in the source area, physical modifications during transport, and human impacts within watersheds. This study analyzes 47 very fine to coarse size sands from the Lancang (Upper Mekong) River in China to monitor compositional variations and assesses the contribution of different geological units to trunk-river sediments. Lancang River sands are mostly feldspatho-quartzo-lithic in composition, with quartz content increasing downstream at the expense of lithic fragments (especially of carbonate lithics). Sand is mostly generated from the Lincang and Baoshan blocks, with subordinate contributions from the Simao and Changdu blocks. This study provides new insights into erosional and depositional processes in the Lancang River and emphasizes the impact of human activities on river sediment transport. Full article

Floods are among the most frequent and damaging natural hazards in the Mekong River Basin, where the interplay of monsoon-driven climate variability, complex topography, and rapid socio-economic change creates high exposure and vulnerability. This study presents a comprehensive assessment of flood disaster patterns, loss distribution, and regional disparities across five countries in the Lower Mekong Basin—Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam. Using multivariate spatiotemporal analysis based on EM-DAT, MRC, and national government datasets, the study quantifies flood frequency, casualties, and affected population to reveal cross-country differences in disaster impact and timing. Results show that while Vietnam and Thailand experience high flood frequency and storm-induced events, Laos and Cambodia face riverine flooding under constrained economic and infrastructural conditions. The findings highlight a basin-wide increase in flood frequency over recent decades, driven by climate change, land use transitions, and uneven development. The analysis identifies critical gaps in adaptive governance, particularly the need for dynamic policy frameworks that can adjust to spatial disparities in flood typologies (e.g., Vietnam’s storm floods vs. Cambodia’s riverine floods) and improve transboundary coordination of reservoir operations. Despite the region’s extensive reservoir capacity, most infrastructure prioritizes hydropower over flood mitigation. The study evaluates the role of regional cooperation frameworks such as the Lancang–Mekong Cooperation (LMC), demonstrating how strengthened institutional flexibility and knowledge-sharing mechanisms could enhance progress toward Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to water governance (SDG 6), resilient infrastructure (SDG 9), and disaster risk reduction (SDG 11). By constructing the first integrated national-level flood disaster database for the basin and conducting comparative analysis across countries, this research provides empirical evidence to support differentiated yet coordinated flood risk governance strategies at both national and transboundary levels. Full article

The numerous uncertainties in the process of water resource development and utilization bring multiple risks to water resource management. To enhance socio-economic benefits while considering ecological benefits, it is urgent to deeply explore risks. In this paper, Nuozhadu, Jinghong, and Ganlanba hydropower stations on the lower reaches of the Lancang River are taken as the objects. To balance the socio-economic and ecological benefits, a multi-objective optimization operation model was constructed. To describe the risk transmission, a VAR model was constructed, and the dynamic transmission among risks was explored. The results show that the ratio of ecological change is 10.38%, and the cascade power generation is 33,243 GWh (2% higher than the designed). The impacts of the perturbation for each risk on itself and others are quantitatively analyzed by the impulse response function. It is concluded that the transmission direction is generally positive, but the increase in ecological risk has negative impacts on risks of output and abandoned water, and risks of power generation and output also negatively affect abandoned water risk. Finally, the risk transmission is quantitatively estimated by the variance decomposition method. It is concluded that the power generation risk contributes most to the output and ecology risks, the ecological risk only contributes significantly to the abandoned water risk (the contribution rate is 6.30%), and the abandoned water risk contributes a lot to the others. Full article

Ecosystem services provide the scientific foundation and optimization objectives for constructing ecological security patterns, and their spatial characteristics directly affect planning decisions such as ecological source identification and corridor layout. However, current methods for constructing ecological security patterns rely excessively on static spatial optimization of landscape structure and ecological processes, while overlooking the dynamic variations in ecosystem service values under climate change. Taking Yunnan Province as a case study, this paper calculates ecosystem service values, analyzes their spatiotemporal variations, and based on ecosystem service value hotspots, applies the MSPA model and circuit theory to identify ecological sources, corridors, pinch points, barrier areas, and improvement areas. On this basis, we construct and optimize the ecological security pattern of Yunnan Province and propose ecological protection strategies. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2030, ecosystem service values in Yunnan exhibit significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity. From 2000 to 2020, they first declined and then increased, with aquatic ecosystems contributing the most. Under future climate scenarios, ecosystem service values continue to increase, with the greatest growth under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. The spatial pattern is characterized by higher values in the central region and lower values in the eastern and western areas. (2) In 2020, 56 ecological sources were identified; under the SSP1-1.9 scenario, 61 were identified, while 57 were identified under both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. These sources are mainly distributed in northwestern Yunnan and the Nujiang and Lancang River basins, presenting a “more in the west, fewer in the east” pattern. (3) In 2020, 132 ecological corridors and 74 pinch points were identified. By 2030, under SSP1-1.9, there are 149 corridors and 84 pinch points; under SSP2-4.5, 135 corridors and 55 pinch points; and under SSP5-8.5, 134 corridors and 60 pinch points. (4) By integrating results across multiple scenarios, an ecological security pattern characterized as “three screens, two zones, six corridors, and multiple points” is constructed. Based on regional ecological background characteristics, differentiated strategies for ecological security protection of territorial space are proposed. This study provides a scientific reference for the synergistic optimization of ecosystem services and ecological security patterns under climate change. Full article

This study develops a coupled hydropower–ecological optimization model to balance energy production and ecosystem sustainability. The ecological objective is quantified by a composite Eco-Index, derived via Principal Component Analysis from seven key parameters of 32 Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration, enhancing representativeness while reducing computational complexity. Hydrological years are classified into wet, normal, and dry types using the Standardized Runoff Index and runoff quantiles, showing that wet years exhibit the strongest hydropower–ecology coupling, followed by normal and dry years. The optimized average annual hydropower revenues are 3.75 billion USD in wet years, 3.10 billion USD in normal years, and 2.70 billion USD in dry years, with average EI values being 0.35, 0.27 and 0.26, respectively. Spatial analysis identifies Xiaowan and Nuozhadu reservoirs as critical control points sensitive to hydrological variability. Moreover, optimization substantially enhances system resilience and reduces vulnerability. These results demonstrate that coordinated cascade reservoir operation can improve system robustness while signaling a caveat for careful trade-offs between economic and ecological objectives. Full article

The southeastern Tibet region is characterized by rugged terrain and relative isolation, which has significantly constrained the development of agriculture. However, due to the extremely limited archaeological and historical records available, its important role in the history of agricultural development in Tibet has been overlooked. This study focuses on the Linzhi and Changdu regions of southeastern Tibet, integrating limited archival, historical, and documentary data. By reconstructing historical settlement patterns and population data, this study estimates the arable land area during the Tubo, Yuan, Ming, and Qing dynasties. Using a grid-based model, it reconstructs the distribution patterns of arable land during these periods, aiming to provide a reference for the development of agriculture in Tibet. The research findings indicate the following: (1) During historical periods, settlements in southeastern Tibet were primarily distributed in flat, resource-rich alluvial plains at medium to high altitudes. Settlement types exhibited spatial differentiation: Post stations were primarily situated along major transportation routes that connected river valleys, as well as at high mountain passes. Temples tended to occupy moderately steep slopes, while manors were concentrated in low-lying valleys. (2) During the Tubo, Yuan, Ming, and Qing periods, the total arable land area and cultivation rate in southeastern Tibet were generally low, with total arable land areas of 28,085 hm², 29,449 hm², 25,319 hm², and 24,371 hm², respectively, and cultivation rates of 0.12%, 0.13%, 0.11%, and 0.11%, respectively. (3) Farmland was predominantly distributed along the Yarlung Zangbo, Jinsha, Lancang, and Nu Rivers and their broader tributary valleys. Natural constraints resulted in a highly fragmented farmland distribution. Full article