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Search Results (756)

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Keywords = urban heat island (UHI)

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17 pages, 6109 KB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Sensor Height on the Representativeness of Temperature-Monitoring Sites in a Dense Midrise Urban Development Using PALM-4U
by Florian Steigerwald, Astrid Eichhorn-Müller, Heike Schau-Noppel and Meinolf Kossmann
Atmosphere 2025, 16(9), 1035; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16091035 (registering DOI) - 31 Aug 2025
Abstract
In the context of ongoing global warming and urbanization, the need for reliable temperature monitoring in urban areas is increasing. Such monitoring serves multiple purposes, including assessing urban heat island (UHI) intensity, evaluating climate adaptation strategies, and supporting heat warning systems. This study [...] Read more.
In the context of ongoing global warming and urbanization, the need for reliable temperature monitoring in urban areas is increasing. Such monitoring serves multiple purposes, including assessing urban heat island (UHI) intensity, evaluating climate adaptation strategies, and supporting heat warning systems. This study utilizes high-resolution urban climate simulations with PALM-4U for calm, clear-sky summer weather conditions and an idealized model domain. The domain represents a dense midrise urban district in Dresden Neustadt, eastern Germany. Areas with air temperatures representative of the pedestrian level within the urban development are determined using a methodology based on a 24-h temporal moving representativity range defined by the temperature’s spatial median value and standard deviation. The method is extended by an evaluation of different temperature sensor heights, addressing practical considerations such as vandalism prevention and space availability. The results highlight the feasibility of representative pedestrian-level air temperature monitoring in densely built-up urban areas, particularly at elevated sensor heights between 2.5 and 6.5 m. It is found that higher sensor heights increase the area suitable for representative pedestrian-level temperature monitoring by up to about 50%. The sensitivity of the results to variations in wind speed and building height is also examined, demonstrating the robustness of the proposed method in clear, calm summer weather conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Urban Climate)
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21 pages, 8166 KB  
Article
Transforming Vulnerable Urban Areas: An IMM-Driven Resilience Strategy for Heat and Flood Challenges in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova
by Massimo Tadi, Hadi Mohammad Zadeh and Hoda Esmaeilian Toussi
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(9), 339; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9090339 - 28 Aug 2025
Viewed by 215
Abstract
This study applies the Integrated Modification Methodology (IMM) to assess how morphology-driven, nature-based solutions reduce urban heat island (UHI) effects and flooding in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova. Multi-scale GIS diagnostics identify green continuity and vertical permeability as critical weaknesses. Simulations (Ladybug/Dragonfly) and [...] Read more.
This study applies the Integrated Modification Methodology (IMM) to assess how morphology-driven, nature-based solutions reduce urban heat island (UHI) effects and flooding in Rio de Janeiro’s Cidade Nova. Multi-scale GIS diagnostics identify green continuity and vertical permeability as critical weaknesses. Simulations (Ladybug/Dragonfly) and hydrological modelling (rational method) quantify the intervention’s impact, including greening, material retrofits, and drainage upgrades. Results show a 38% increase in albedo, a 13% reduction in volumetric heat capacity, and a 30% drop in thermal conductivity. These changes reduce the peak UHI by 0.2 °C hourly, narrowing the urban–rural temperature gap to 3.5 °C (summer) and 4.3 °C (winter). Hydrologically, impervious cover decreases from 22% to 15%, permeable surfaces rise from 9% to 29%, and peak runoff volume drops by 27% (16,062 to 11,753 m3/h), mitigating flood risks. Green space expands from 7.8% to 21%, improving connectivity by 50% and improving park access. These findings demonstrate that IMM-guided interventions effectively enhance thermal and hydrological resilience in dense tropical cities, aligning with climate adaptation and the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Urbanization, Regional Planning and Development)
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21 pages, 4429 KB  
Article
Urbanization and Its Environmental Impact in Ceredigion County, Wales: A 20-Year Remote Sensing and GIS-Based Assessment (2003–2023)
by Muhammad Waqar Younis, Edore Akpokodje and Syeda Fizzah Jilani
Sensors 2025, 25(17), 5332; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175332 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 428
Abstract
Urbanization is a dominant force reshaping human settlements, driving socio-economic development while also causing significant environmental challenges. With over 56% of the world’s population now residing in urban areas—a figure expected to rise to two-thirds by 2050—land use changes are accelerating rapidly. The [...] Read more.
Urbanization is a dominant force reshaping human settlements, driving socio-economic development while also causing significant environmental challenges. With over 56% of the world’s population now residing in urban areas—a figure expected to rise to two-thirds by 2050—land use changes are accelerating rapidly. The conversion of natural landscapes into impervious surfaces such as concrete and asphalt intensifies the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, raises urban temperatures, and strains local ecosystems. This study investigates land use and landscape changes in Ceredigion County, UK, utilizing remote sensing and GIS techniques to analyze urbanization impacts over two decades (2003–2023). Results indicate significant urban expansion of approximately 122 km2, predominantly at the expense of agricultural and forested areas, leading to vegetation loss and changes in water availability. County-wide mean land surface temperature (LST) increased from 21.4 °C in 2003 to 23.65 °C in 2023, with urban areas recording higher values around 27.1 °C, reflecting a strong UHI effect. Spectral indices (NDVI, NDWI, NDBI, and NDBaI) reveal that urban sprawl adversely affects vegetation health, water resources, and land surfaces. The Urban Thermal Field Variance Index (UTFVI) further highlights areas experiencing thermal discomfort. Additionally, machine learning models, including Linear Regression and Random Forest, were employed to forecast future LST trends, projecting urban LST values to potentially reach approximately 27.4 °C by 2030. These findings underscore the urgent need for sustainable urban planning, reforestation, and climate adaptation strategies to mitigate the environmental impacts of rapid urban growth and ensure the resilience of both human and ecological systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensors for Climate Observation and Environment Monitoring)
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21 pages, 14674 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Regulation of Urban Thermal Environments by Source–Sink Landscapes: Implications for Urban Sustainability in Guangzhou, China
by Yaxuan Hu, Junhao Chen, Zixi Jiang, Jiaxi He, Yu Zhao and Caige Sun
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7655; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177655 - 25 Aug 2025
Viewed by 599
Abstract
Urban thermal environments critically impact human settlements and sustainable urban development. In this study, a multi-index framework integrating Landsat TM/ETM+/OLI observations (2004–2019) is developed to quantify the contributions of “source–sink” landscapes to urban heat island (UHI) dynamics in Guangzhou, China, with direct implications [...] Read more.
Urban thermal environments critically impact human settlements and sustainable urban development. In this study, a multi-index framework integrating Landsat TM/ETM+/OLI observations (2004–2019) is developed to quantify the contributions of “source–sink” landscapes to urban heat island (UHI) dynamics in Guangzhou, China, with direct implications for advancing sustainable development. Urban–rural gradient analysis was combined with emerging spatiotemporal hotspot modeling, revealing the following results: (1) there were thermal spatial heterogeneity with pronounced heat accumulation in core urban zones and improved thermal profiles in northern sectors, reflecting a transition from “more sources, fewer sinks” in the southwest to “fewer sources, more sinks” in the northeast; (2) UHIs were effectively mitigated within 25–35 km of the city center, with the landscape effect index (LI > 1) indicating successful sink-dominated cooling; (3) spatiotemporal hotspots were observed, including persistent UHIs in old urban areas contrasting with environmentally vulnerable coldspots in suburban mountainous regions, highlighting uneven thermal risks. This framework provides actionable strategies for sustainable urban planning, including optimizing green–blue infrastructure in UHI cores, enforcing cool material standards, and zoning expansion based on source–sink dynamics. This study bridges landscape ecology and sustainable development, offering a replicable model for cities worldwide to mitigate UHI effects through evidence-based landscape management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Ecosystem Services and Urban Sustainability, 2nd Edition)
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19 pages, 11289 KB  
Article
Land Cover Types Drive the Surface Temperature for Upscaling Surface Urban Heat Islands with Daylight Images
by Julien Radoux, Margot Dominique, Andrew Hartley, Céline Lamarche, Audric Bos and Pierre Defourny
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(16), 2815; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162815 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 581
Abstract
The widespread availability and spatial coverage of land surface temperature (LST) estimates from space often result in LST being used as a proxy for near-surface air temperature in order to characterize the urban heat island (UHI) effect. High-spatial-resolution satellite-based LST estimates from sensors [...] Read more.
The widespread availability and spatial coverage of land surface temperature (LST) estimates from space often result in LST being used as a proxy for near-surface air temperature in order to characterize the urban heat island (UHI) effect. High-spatial-resolution satellite-based LST estimates from sensors such as Landsat-8 provide the spatial and thematic details necessary to understand the potential effects of urban greening measures to mitigate the increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves that are projected to occur as a result of human-induced climate change. Here, we investigate the influence of land cover on Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI) observations of LST using a technique to reduce the spatial spread of the per-pixel temperature observation. Additionally, using land cover-based linear mixture models, we downscale the surface temperature to a 2 m spatial resolution. We find a mean difference in LST, compared to the city average, of +8.94 °C (+/−1.87 °C at 95% CI) for built-up cover type, compared to a difference of −7.42 °C (+/−0.8 °C) for broadleaf trees. This highlights the potential benefits of creating urban green spaces for mitigating the UHI amplification of extreme heatwaves. Furthermore, we highlight the need for improved observations of night-time temperatures, e.g., from forthcoming missions such as TRISHNA, in order to fully capture the diurnal variability of land surface temperature and energy fluxes. Full article
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21 pages, 11748 KB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Urban Spatial Form on Land Surface Temperature Using Random Forest—Taking Beijing as a Case Study
by Ruizi He, Jiahui Wang and Dongyun Liu
Land 2025, 14(8), 1639; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081639 - 13 Aug 2025
Viewed by 434
Abstract
To examine the integrated influence of urban spatial form on the urban heat island (UHI) effect, this study selects the area within Beijing’s Fifth Ring Road as a case study. A multiscale grid system is established to quantify fourteen two- and three-dimensional morphological [...] Read more.
To examine the integrated influence of urban spatial form on the urban heat island (UHI) effect, this study selects the area within Beijing’s Fifth Ring Road as a case study. A multiscale grid system is established to quantify fourteen two- and three-dimensional morphological indicators. A Random Forest algorithm is employed to assess the relative importance of each factor. The optimal analytical scale for each key variable is then identified, and its nonlinear relationship with land surface temperature (LST) is analyzed at that scale. The main findings are as follows: (1) The Random Forest model achieves the highest predictive accuracy at a 600 m scale, significantly outperforming traditional linear models by effectively addressing multicollinearity. This suggests that machine learning offers robust technical support for UHI research. (2) Form variables exhibit distinct scale dependencies. Two-dimensional indicators dominate at medium to large scales, while three-dimensional indicators are more influential at smaller scales. Specifically, the mean building height is most significant at the 150 m scale, the standard deviation of building height at 300 m, and the impervious surface fraction at 600–1200 m. (3) Strong nonlinear effects are identified. The bare soil fraction below 0.12 intensifies surface warming; the water body fraction between 0.20 and 0.35 provides the strongest cooling; plant coverage offers maximum cooling between 0.25 and 0.45; building density cools below 0.3 buildings/hm2 but contributes to warming beyond this threshold; building coverage ratio generates the greatest warming between 0.08 and 0.32; height variability provides optimal cooling between 8 m and 40 m; and mean building height shows a positive correlation with LST below 6 m but a negative one above that height. Full article
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17 pages, 2037 KB  
Article
Urban Tree CO2 Compensation by Albedo
by Desirée Muscas, Livia Bonciarelli, Mirko Filipponi, Fabio Orlandi and Marco Fornaciari
Land 2025, 14(8), 1633; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081633 - 13 Aug 2025
Viewed by 386
Abstract
Urban form and surface properties significantly influence city liveability. Material choices in urban infrastructure affect heat absorption and reflectivity, contributing to the urban heat island (UHI) effect and residents’ thermal comfort. Among UHI mitigation strategies, urban parks play a key role by modifying [...] Read more.
Urban form and surface properties significantly influence city liveability. Material choices in urban infrastructure affect heat absorption and reflectivity, contributing to the urban heat island (UHI) effect and residents’ thermal comfort. Among UHI mitigation strategies, urban parks play a key role by modifying the microclimate through albedo and evapotranspiration. Their effectiveness depends on their composition, such as tree cover, herbaceous layers, and paved surfaces. The selection of tree species affects the radiation dynamics via foliage color, leaf persistence, and plant morphology. Despite their ecological potential, park designs often prioritize aesthetics and cost over environmental performance. This study proposes a novel approach using CO2 compensation as a decision-making criterion for surface allocation. By applying the radiative forcing concept, surface albedo variations were converted into CO2-equivalent emissions to allow for a cross-comparison with different ecosystem services. This method, applied to four parks in two Italian cities, employed reference data, drone surveys, and satellite imagery processed through the Greenpix software v1.0.6. The results showed that adjusting the surface albedo can significantly reduce CO2 emissions. While dark-foliage trees may underperform compared to certain paved surfaces, light-foliage trees and lawns increase the reflectivity. Including evapotranspiration, the CO2 compensation benefits rose by over fifty times, supporting the expansion of vegetated surfaces in urban parks for climate resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Form and the Urban Heat Island Effect (Second Edition))
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24 pages, 3961 KB  
Article
Quantifying the Rate and Extent of Urbanization Effects on Vegetation Phenology in Mainland China
by Yiming Qu, Josep Peñuelas, Zhizhi Yu, Xiang Zeng, Ye Zhang, Yanjin He, Youtu Wu and Jing Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(16), 2758; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162758 - 8 Aug 2025
Viewed by 452
Abstract
Urbanization profoundly alters environmental conditions (e.g., temperature, artificial light at night (ALAN), and precipitation) that strongly influence vegetation phenology. However, the rate and extent of vegetation phenological responses to urbanization, as well as their underlying mechanisms, remain underexplored, particularly the roles of CO [...] Read more.
Urbanization profoundly alters environmental conditions (e.g., temperature, artificial light at night (ALAN), and precipitation) that strongly influence vegetation phenology. However, the rate and extent of vegetation phenological responses to urbanization, as well as their underlying mechanisms, remain underexplored, particularly the roles of CO2 emissions and PM2.5 concentrations, as well as the interactions among environmental conditions. We first used road network density (RND) to represent urbanization effects and quantified the phenological response rate and extent across 31 cities in China (2014–2022) using slope and range metrics derived from linear regressions of phenostages (start of season (SOS), end of season (EOS), length of season (LOS)) against RND. Partial least squares structural equation modeling was applied to assess the direct and indirect effects of RND on phenology via all five key environmental factors. Our results identified substantial differences in the urban phenological responses across latitudinal, hydrothermal, and land−cover gradients. And the impact of urbanization on phenology was most pronounced during early expansion (at a RND threshold of 2.02 ± 0.41 km/km2) but diminished with continued growth. Environmental factors distinctly affected phenological response rate and extent through RND; temperature, ALAN, and CO2 emissions were the dominant drivers of slope, negatively affecting SOS (β = −0.37 to −0.69) but positively affecting EOS and LOS (β = 0.31 to 0.68). PM2.5 played a crucial role in determining the range of SOS (β = −0.31), and precipitation had the largest impact on the range of EOS (β = −0.37). Our study innovatively uses RND to quantify urbanization intensity and improve understanding of the combined effects of multiple drivers, especially PM2.5 and CO2, on phenological responses, which may offer a useful reference for future urban planning strategies that aim to balance development with ecosystem functioning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Applications in Urban Environment and Climate)
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23 pages, 5418 KB  
Article
Optimal Roof Strategy for Mitigating Urban Heat Island in Hot Arid Climates: Simulation and Python-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
by Rehab Alaa, Amira Elbalazi and Walaa S.E. Ismaeel
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 310; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080310 - 8 Aug 2025
Viewed by 592
Abstract
This study adopts a multi-scale, simulation-driven approach to evaluate the performance of different passive roof types in mitigating Urban Heat Island (UHI) in hot arid climate. A comparative analysis was performed for selected roof types; green, pond, cool, and dark roofs. At the [...] Read more.
This study adopts a multi-scale, simulation-driven approach to evaluate the performance of different passive roof types in mitigating Urban Heat Island (UHI) in hot arid climate. A comparative analysis was performed for selected roof types; green, pond, cool, and dark roofs. At the urban scale, ENVI-met v5.7.1 was employed to simulate microclimatic impacts, including Mean Radiant Temperature (MRT) at the pedestrian street level (1.4 m) and above building canopy level (25 m). The results revealed that green roofs were the most effective in mitigating UHI on the urban scale, reducing MRT by 1.83 °C at the pedestrian level and by 3.5 °C at the above canopy level. Surprisingly, dark roofs also performed well, with MRT reductions of 1.81 °C and 3.5 °C, respectively, outperforming pond roofs, which showed reductions of 1.80 °C and 0.31 °C. While cool roofs effectively reduced MRT at the pedestrian level by 1.80 °C, they had adverse effect at the canopy level, increasing MRT by 15.58 °C. At the building scale, Design Builder v7.3.1, coupled with Energy Plus, was used to assess indoor thermal and energy performance. Pond and cool roofs reduced operative temperature by 0.08 °C and 0.07 °C, respectively, followed by green roofs, with a 0.05 °C reduction, while dark roofs increased it by 0.07 °C. In terms of energy performance, green roofs yielded the greatest benefit, reducing cooling load by 3.3%, followed by pond roofs, with a 1.32% reduction; cool roofs showed negligible reduction, while dark roofs increased it by 1.2%. Finally, a Python-based Multi criteria Decision Making (MCDM) analytical framework integrated these findings with additional factors to optimize thermal comfort, environmental impact, sustainability, and feasibility and rank strategies accordingly. The analysis identified green roofs as the optimal solution, followed by pond roofs and then cool roofs tied with the base case, leaving dark roofs as the least favorable strategy. This study’s key contribution lies in its integrated simulation–decision analysis methodology, which bridges urban climatology and building performance to provide actionable insights for sustainable urban design. By validating green roofs as the most effective passive strategy in hot arid regions, this work aids policymakers and planners in prioritizing interventions that support climate-resilient urbanization. Full article
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22 pages, 2637 KB  
Article
Vegetation-Specific Cooling Responses to Compact Urban Development: Evidence from a Landscape-Based Analysis in Nanjing, China
by Qianyu Sun, Daicong Li, Xiaolan Tang and Yujie Ren
Plants 2025, 14(16), 2457; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants14162457 - 8 Aug 2025
Viewed by 345
Abstract
The urban heat island (UHI) effect has emerged as a growing ecological challenge in compact urban environments. Although urban vegetation plays a vital role in mitigating thermal extremes, its cooling performance varies depending on vegetation type and urban morphological context. This study explores [...] Read more.
The urban heat island (UHI) effect has emerged as a growing ecological challenge in compact urban environments. Although urban vegetation plays a vital role in mitigating thermal extremes, its cooling performance varies depending on vegetation type and urban morphological context. This study explores the extent to which compact urban development—quantified using the Mixed-use and Intensive Development (MIXD) index—modulates the cooling responses of different vegetation types in Nanjing, China. A combination of landscape metrics, regression-based interaction models, and XGBoost with SHAP analysis is employed to uncover vegetation-specific and structure-sensitive cooling effects. The results indicate that densely planted trees exhibit reduced cooling effectiveness in compact areas, where spatial clustering and fragmentation tend to intensify UHI effects, particularly during nighttime. In contrast, scattered trees are found to maintain more stable cooling performance across varying degrees of urban compactness, while low-lying vegetation demonstrates limited thermal regulation capacity. Critical thresholds of MIXD (approximately 28 for UHI area and 37 for UHI intensity) are identified, indicating a nonlinear modulation of green space performance. These findings underscore the importance of vegetation structure and spatial configuration in shaping urban microclimates and offer mechanistic insights into plant–environment interactions under conditions of increasing urban density. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Plants in Urban Landscapes (Environments))
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20 pages, 12866 KB  
Article
Integrating Spatial Autocorrelation and Greenest Images for Dynamic Analysis Urban Heat Islands Based on Google Earth Engine
by Dandan Yan, Yuqing Zhang, Peng Song, Xiaofang Zhang, Yu Wang, Wenyan Zhu and Qinghui Du
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7155; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157155 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 465
Abstract
With rapid global urbanization development, impermeable surface increase, urban population growth, building area expansion, and rising energy consumption, the urban heat island (UHI) effect is becoming increasingly serious. However, the spatial distribution of the UHI cannot be accurately extracted. Therefore, we focused on [...] Read more.
With rapid global urbanization development, impermeable surface increase, urban population growth, building area expansion, and rising energy consumption, the urban heat island (UHI) effect is becoming increasingly serious. However, the spatial distribution of the UHI cannot be accurately extracted. Therefore, we focused on Luoyang City as the research area and combined the Getis-Ord-Gi* statistic and the greenest image to extract the UHI based on the Google Earth Engine using land surface temperature–spatial autocorrelation characteristics and seasonal changes in vegetation. As bare land considerably influenced the UHI extraction results, we combined the greenest image with the initial extraction results and applied the maximum normalized difference vegetation index threshold method to remove this effect on UHI distribution extraction, thereby achieving improved UHI extraction accuracy. Our results showed that the UHI of Luoyang continuously expanded outward, increasing from 361.69 km2 in 2000 to 912.58 km2 in 2023, with a continuous expansion rate of 22.95 km2/year. Furthermore, the urban area had a higher UHI area growth rate than the county area. Analysis indicates that the UHI effect in Luoyang has increased in parallel with the expansion of the building area. Intensive urban construction is a primary driver of this growth, directly exacerbating the UHI effect. Additionally, rising temperatures, population growth, and gross domestic product accumulation have collectively contributed to the ongoing expansion of this phenomenon. This study provides scientific guidance for future urban planning through the accurate extraction of the UHI effect, which promotes the development of sustainable human settlements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Future of Ecohydrology: Climate Change and Land Use)
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24 pages, 34850 KB  
Article
New Belgrade’s Thermal Mosaic: Investigating Climate Performance in Urban Heritage Blocks Beyond Coverage Ratios
by Saja Kosanović, Đurica Marković and Marija Stamenković
Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 935; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080935 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 654
Abstract
This study investigated the nuanced influence of urban morphology on the thermal performance of nine mass housing blocks (21–26, 28–30) in New Belgrade’s Central Zone. These blocks, showcasing diverse structures, provided a robust basis for evaluating the design parameters. ENVI-met simulations were used [...] Read more.
This study investigated the nuanced influence of urban morphology on the thermal performance of nine mass housing blocks (21–26, 28–30) in New Belgrade’s Central Zone. These blocks, showcasing diverse structures, provided a robust basis for evaluating the design parameters. ENVI-met simulations were used to assess two scenarios: an “asphalt-only” environment, isolating the urban structure’s impact, and a “real-world” scenario, including green infrastructure (GI). Overall, the findings emphasize that while GI offers mitigation, the inherent urban built structure fundamentally determines thermal outcomes. An urban block’s thermal performance, it turns out, is a complex interplay between morphological factors and local climate. Crucially, simple metrics like Green Area Percentage (GAP) and Building Coverage Ratio (BCR) proved unreliable predictors of thermal performance. This highlights the critical need for urban planning regulations to evolve beyond basic surface indicators and embrace sophisticated, context-sensitive design principles for effective heat mitigation. Optimal performance arises from morphologies that actively manage heat accumulation and facilitate its dissipation, a characteristic exemplified by Block 22’s integrated design. However, even the best-performing Block 22 remains warmer compared to denser central areas, suggesting that urban densification can be a strategy for heat mitigation. Given New Belgrade’s blocks are protected heritage, targeted GI reinforcements remain the only viable approach for improving the outdoor thermal comfort. Full article
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25 pages, 6507 KB  
Article
Sustainable Urban Heat Island Mitigation Through Machine Learning: Integrating Physical and Social Determinants for Evidence-Based Urban Policy
by Amatul Quadeer Syeda, Krystel K. Castillo-Villar and Adel Alaeddini
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7040; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157040 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 729
Abstract
Urban heat islands (UHIs) are a growing sustainability challenge impacting public health, energy use, and climate resilience, especially in hot, arid cities like San Antonio, Texas, where land surface temperatures reach up to 47.63 °C. This study advances a data-driven, interdisciplinary approach to [...] Read more.
Urban heat islands (UHIs) are a growing sustainability challenge impacting public health, energy use, and climate resilience, especially in hot, arid cities like San Antonio, Texas, where land surface temperatures reach up to 47.63 °C. This study advances a data-driven, interdisciplinary approach to UHI mitigation by integrating Machine Learning (ML) with physical and socio-demographic data for sustainable urban planning. Using high-resolution spatial data across five functional zones (residential, commercial, industrial, official, and downtown), we apply three ML models, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), to predict land surface temperature (LST). The models incorporate both environmental variables, such as imperviousness, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), building area, and solar influx, and social determinants, such as population density, income, education, and age distribution. SVM achieved the highest R2 (0.870), while RF yielded the lowest RMSE (0.488 °C), confirming robust predictive performance. Key predictors of elevated LST included imperviousness, building area, solar influx, and NDVI. Our results underscore the need for zone-specific strategies like more greenery, less impervious cover, and improved building design. These findings offer actionable insights for urban planners and policymakers seeking to develop equitable and sustainable UHI mitigation strategies aligned with climate adaptation and environmental justice goals. Full article
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22 pages, 2934 KB  
Article
Assessing the Cooling Effects of Urban Parks and Their Potential Influencing Factors: Perspectives on Maximum Impact and Accumulation Effects
by Xinfei Zhao, Kangning Kong, Run Wang, Jiachen Liu, Yongpeng Deng, Le Yin and Baolei Zhang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7015; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157015 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 751
Abstract
Urban parks play an essential role in mitigating the urban heat island (UHI) effect driven by urbanization. A rigorous understanding of the cooling effects of urban parks can support urban planning efforts aimed at mitigating the UHI effect and enhancing urban sustainability. However, [...] Read more.
Urban parks play an essential role in mitigating the urban heat island (UHI) effect driven by urbanization. A rigorous understanding of the cooling effects of urban parks can support urban planning efforts aimed at mitigating the UHI effect and enhancing urban sustainability. However, previous research has primarily focused on the maximum cooling impact, often overlooking the accumulative effects arising from spatial continuity. The present study fills this gap by investigating 74 urban parks located in the central area of Jinan and constructing a comprehensive cooling evaluation framework through two dimensions: maximum impact (Park Cooling Area, PCA; Park Cooling Efficiency, PCE) and cumulative impact (Park Cooling Intensity, PCI; Park Cooling Gradient, PCG). We further systematically examined the influence of park attributes and the surrounding urban structures on these metrics. The findings indicate that urban parks, as a whole, significantly contribute to lowering the ambient temperatures in their vicinity: 62.3% are located in surface temperature cold spots, reducing ambient temperatures by up to 7.77 °C. However, cooling intensity, range, and efficiency vary significantly across parks, with an average PCI of 0.0280, PCG of 0.99 °C, PCA of 46.00 ha, and PCE of 5.34. For maximum impact, PCA is jointly determined by park area, boundary length, and shape complexity, while smaller parks generally exhibit higher PCE—reflecting diminished cooling efficiency at excessive scales. For cumulative impact, building density and spatial enclosure degree surrounding parks critically regulate PCI and PCG by influencing cool-air aggregation and diffusion. Based on these findings, this study classified urban parks according to their cooling characteristics, clarified the functional differences among different park types, and proposed targeted recommendations. Full article
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17 pages, 5311 KB  
Article
Projections of Urban Heat Island Effects Under Future Climate Scenarios: A Case Study in Zhengzhou, China
by Xueli Ni, Yujie Chang, Tianqi Bai, Pengfei Liu, Hongquan Song, Feng Wang and Man Jin
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2660; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152660 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 693
Abstract
As global climate change accelerates, the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon has become increasingly pronounced, posing significant challenges to urban energy balance, atmospheric processes, and public health. This study used the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to dynamically downscale two CMIP6 scenarios—moderate [...] Read more.
As global climate change accelerates, the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon has become increasingly pronounced, posing significant challenges to urban energy balance, atmospheric processes, and public health. This study used the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to dynamically downscale two CMIP6 scenarios—moderate forcing (SSP245) and high forcing (SSP585)—focusing on Zhengzhou, a rapidly urbanizing city in central China. High-resolution simulations captured fine-scale intra-urban temperature patterns and analyze the spatial and seasonal variations in UHI intensity in 2030 and 2060. The results demonstrated significant seasonal variations in UHI effects in Zhengzhou for both 2030 and 2060 under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, with the most pronounced warming in summer. Notably, under the SSP245 scenario, elevated autumn temperatures in suburban areas reduced the urban–rural temperature gradient, while intensified rural cooling during winter enhanced the UHI effect. These findings underscore the importance of integrating high-resolution climate modeling into urban planning and developing targeted adaptation strategies based on future UHI patterns to address climate challenges. Full article
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