Meteorological Factors for Dengue Fever Control and Prevention in South China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Ethics Statements
2.2. Study Area
2.3. Data Sources
2.3.1. Epidemiological Data
2.3.2. Meteorological Data
2.4. Statistical Analyses
2.4.1. Data Preprocessing
2.4.2. Predictor Selection
2.4.3. Boosted Regression Tree Models
2.4.4. Detecting Lag Time
3. Results
3.1. Distributions of Dengue Fever Cases
3.2. The Results of Predictor Selection
3.3. The Lag Time of Dengue Fever in Guangzhou
The Relative Contribution of Different Meteorological Factors
3.4. The Relationships between Meteorological Factors and the Risk for Dengue Fever
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
DF | Dengue fever |
BRT | Boosted regression trees |
AUC | Area under the curve |
CDC | Center for Disease Control and Prevention |
Appendix
References
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Variables | Lag-58 (%) | Lag-62 (%) | Average (of 121 Models) (%) | Range (of 121 Models) (%) | Standard Deviation (of 121 Models) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Temperature | 48.57 | 58.65 | 49.35 | 28.56 to 62.03 | 7.86 |
Humidity | 14.76 | 17.31 | 17.82 | 13.18 to 27.09 | 2.75 |
Precipitation | 16.44 | 10.61 | 14.39 | 8.62 to 32.32 | 3.95 |
Sunshine duration | 12.33 | 8.69 | 10.64 | 4.81 to 19.83 | 3.22 |
Wind speed | 7.89 | 4.74 | 7.80 | 3.3 to 13.37 | 2.4 |
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Gu, H.; Leung, R.K.-K.; Jing, Q.; Zhang, W.; Yang, Z.; Lu, J.; Hao, Y.; Zhang, D. Meteorological Factors for Dengue Fever Control and Prevention in South China. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2016, 13, 867. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13090867
Gu H, Leung RK-K, Jing Q, Zhang W, Yang Z, Lu J, Hao Y, Zhang D. Meteorological Factors for Dengue Fever Control and Prevention in South China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2016; 13(9):867. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13090867
Chicago/Turabian StyleGu, Haogao, Ross Ka-Kit Leung, Qinlong Jing, Wangjian Zhang, Zhicong Yang, Jiahai Lu, Yuantao Hao, and Dingmei Zhang. 2016. "Meteorological Factors for Dengue Fever Control and Prevention in South China" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 13, no. 9: 867. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13090867