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Article

The Dynamic Monitoring and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality in the Tibetan Plateau Based on the Google Earth Engine

by
Muhadaisi Airiken
1,2 and
Shuangcheng Li
1,2,*
1
College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
2
Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of The Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(4), 682; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16040682
Submission received: 20 December 2023 / Revised: 4 February 2024 / Accepted: 6 February 2024 / Published: 14 February 2024
(This article belongs to the Section Ecological Remote Sensing)

Abstract

:
As a region susceptible to the impacts of climate change, evaluating the temporal and spatial variations in ecological environment quality (EEQ) and potential influencing factors is crucial for ensuring the ecological security of the Tibetan Plateau. This study utilized the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to construct a Remote Sensing-based Ecological Index (RSEI) and examined the temporal and spatial dynamics of the Tibetan Plateau’s EEQ from 2000 to 2022. The findings revealed that the RSEI of the Tibetan Plateau predominantly exhibited a slight degradation trend from 2000 to 2022, with a multi-year average of 0.404. Utilizing SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanation) to interpret XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting), the study identified that natural factors as the primary influencers on the RSEI of the Tibetan Plateau, with temperature, soil moisture, and precipitation variables exhibiting higher SHAP values, indicating their substantial contributions. The interaction between temperature and precipitation showed a positive effect on RSEI, with the SHAP interaction value increasing with rising precipitation. The methodology and results of this study could provide insights for a comprehensive understanding and monitoring of the dynamic evolution of EEQ on the Tibetan Plateau amidst the context of climate change.

1. Introduction

The unique geography and dynamic processes of the Tibetan Plateau have a significant impact on the climate of East Asia and the world. The plateau’s ecosystem is delicate, vulnerable, and sensitive to natural changes and human interference [1]. Climate change and human intervention profoundly affect the atmospheric and hydrological cycles of the plateau, potentially limiting ecological environments and regional sustainable development [2,3]. Therefore, maintaining the Ecological Environment Quality (EEQ) of the Tibetan Plateau is crucial for ensuring downstream areas’ social, economic, and ecological security and stability.
The use of holistic ecological indices, such as the Remote Sensing-based Ecological Index (RSEI), has become increasingly popular in EEQ studies. RSEI integrates data on greenness, humidity, dryness, and heat degree [4,5]. Hu and Xu [6] proposed RSEI specifically designed to identify EEQ characteristics in southeast China, utilizing principal component analysis (PCA). Xu et al. [7] utilized RSEI and feature inversion techniques to investigate the ecological effects of population growth and impervious surface area increase. Xu et al. [8] developed an RSEI-change vector analysis methodology to examine the change characteristics of China’s EEQ in the past 16 years. Other studies have also demonstrated the usefulness of RSEI in evaluating EEQ in diverse settings. RSEI has been widely used, not only in regional studies [9,10,11] but also in EEQ studies in developed countries [12,13], including urban agglomerations [11,14,15,16], watersheds [9,17], croplands [18], wetlands [4], land-use change [19], and land degradation [20]. Recent studies have also been conducted on the Tibetan Plateau: Tu et al. [21] selected patches with the highest RSEI values as alternative ecological sources, ultimately determining 123 ecological sources and 333 ecological corridors; Zhang et al. [22] analyzed the spatiotemporal changes in EEQ on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2020 and discussed the response of EEQ to climate and land-use changes. Liu et al. [23] constructed an RSEI model for the cold and high-altitude pastoral areas in the northeastern part of the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2020. The results indicated a good correlation between the Comprehensive Ecological Security Index and RSEI, demonstrating that the assessment framework could effectively reflect the actual ecological security status of the study area. Moreover, the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform could invoke the medium-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS), Landsat, and other massive remote sensing (RS) data products. With its robust cloud computing and storage capabilities, GEE has become a valuable tool for evaluating large-scale, long-term dynamics to calculate the RSEI [24,25,26,27,28].
In the realm of machine learning research, the interpretation of models assumes paramount significance [29]. Traditional machine learning models fall short in elucidating individual predictions or justifying model decisions [30]. The SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanation) method, grounded in the TreeExplainer framework, emerges as a valuable tool capable of providing localized explanations for machine learning model predictions. It proficiently identifies non-linear interactions, facilitating adaptable modeling, interpretation, and visualization of intricate geographic phenomena and processes [31]. The TreeExplainer-based SHAP method has found applications across diverse domains, encompassing research on heat-related mortality [29], environmental disasters [32], social sciences [33], ecology [34], and geography [35]. While some studies delve into the EEQ conditions of the Tibetan Plateau, a dearth of explanations concerning the driving factors behind modeling outcomes persists. Consequently, this study leverages the capabilities of the GEE platform to address the gap in the long time series evaluation of RSEI and undertakes a comprehensive analysis of the influence exerted by both natural and anthropogenic factors in the Tibetan Plateau. The primary objective of this paper is not only to analyze the spatial–temporal dynamic change characteristics of the RSEI in the Tibetan Plateau and assess its effectiveness and reliability but also to utilize XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) and SHAP to identify and quantify the contributions of individual factors. This research aims to provide a foundational basis for monitoring the dynamic changes in the EEQ of the Tibetan Plateau under the context of climate change.

2. Study Area and Methodology

2.1. Study Area

The Tibetan Plateau is characterized by sparse air and intense solar radiation, which lead to marked regional climate differences due to the impact of monsoons and westerly winds [36,37]. The temperature and moisture conditions gradually vary from the northwest, with a cold and dry climate, to the southeast, with a relatively warm and humid climate. The unique topography, high elevations, and complex surface features of the Tibetan Plateau significantly influence East Asian climate patterns, Asian monsoon processes, and Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation via powerful dynamic and thermal effects [36]. The ecological environment of the Tibetan Plateau is somewhat vulnerable, and it exhibits a distinct response to global climate change and human activities [38,39].

2.2. Data Sources and Preprocessing

2.2.1. Raster Data Utilized for Constructing the RSEI Model

The development of the RSEI model incorporated the use of MODIS data, complemented by land use data obtained from NASA LP DAAC at the USGS EROS Center (USGS, Earth Explorer, https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/ (accessed on 23 February 2023)), with detailed specifics presented in Table 1. Supplementary Table S3 provides detailed information on the specific land use types. Diverse data processing tasks, encompassing remote sensing data acquisition, cloud removal, image mosaicking, clipping, resampling, and projection, were executed on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform.

2.2.2. Multi-Source Data for Driving Factor Analysis

This study aims to explore the contribution of natural and anthropogenic factors to the ecological and environmental quality of the Tibetan Plateau. For this purpose, 10 representative driving factors were selected (Table 2) and analyzed using the XGBoost model and SHAP to elucidate the importance ranking of each factor. The vector boundary of the Tibetan Plateau was defined based on previous work [40]. Table 2 reveals differences in the spatial and temporal resolution of each driving factor. Therefore, comprehensive preprocessing was conducted on all data: five typical land use and land cover (LUCC) types (Barren, Grasslands, Mixed Forests, Evergreen Needleleaf Forests, and Woody Savannas) were selected and reordered according to RSEI values. The distance to roads was calculated using ArcGIS, and the average values of all indicators from 2014 to 2020 were computed. Finally, all data were spatially resampled to 1 km; a grid was created in ArcGIS, and voids were removed, resulting in a final dataset comprising 11,747 sample points.

2.3. Methods

The main workflow of this study is illustrated in Figure 1. Further detailed content can be categorized into the following five points: (1) obtained the RSEI index in the study area from 2000 to 2022 using GEE; (2) analyzed spatiotemporal changes based on the multi-year RSEI dataset; (3) introduced XGBoost-SHAP to assess the response of RSEI to natural and socio-economic factors; (4) explored the interactive effects of climate factors; and (5) validated and discussed the applicability of RSEI in the ecological assessment of the Tibetan Plateau.

2.3.1. Construction of the RSEI Model

RSEI has gained widespread applicability due to its ability to integrate various natural factors, providing a more comprehensive reflection of land conditions compared to a single index, as proposed by Xu, Wang, Shi, Guan, Fang, and Lin [7]. The primary calculation process is illustrated in Figure 1, and the principal component analysis results are presented in Supplementary Figure S1. The specific calculation formulas for each remote sensing index can be referenced from previous works [41,42], and the calculation formulas for each index are provided in Table 3. Since the units of various indicators differ, normalization is required. The normalization formula is given by
N i = X X m i n X m a x X m i n
where N i represents the normalized value for the i -th index, X is the original value of the i-th index, X m i n and X m a x denote the minimum and maximum values of the i -th index, respectively.
RSEI is normalized within the range [0, 1]. A higher RSEI value indicates a better eco-environmental quality for the region.

2.3.2. Linear Regression Method and Mann–Kendall

The trend analysis method is a widely used statistical approach aimed at analyzing changes over time by performing a linear regression analysis on preset variables [44]. To calculate the slope of the pixel regression equation, researchers use Equation (2):
S l o p e = n i = 1 n i × R S E I i i = 1 n i i = 1 n R S E I i n i = 1 n i 2 ( i = 1 n i ) 2
where S l o p e represents the slope of the pixel regression equation, R S E I i stands for the mean value of R S E I in the i-th year, and n indicates the number of years under investigation. S l o p e > 0 suggests increasing R S E I values, S l o p e = 0 indicates no significant change, and S l o p e < 0 reflects a decrease in R S E I .
The Mann–Kendall test is an important non-parametric statistical method frequently used to analyze the significance of trends in time series. This test is usually conducted alongside linear regression analysis [45,46]. The calculation formula for the test is presented below:
Z = S 1 V a r ( S ) ,   S > 0 0 ,   S = 0 S + 1 V a r ( S ) ,   S > 0
S = i = 1 n 1 j = j + 1 n s i g n ( R S E I j R S E I i )
V a r S = n ( n 1 ) ( 2 n + 5 ) 18
s i g n R S E I j R S E I i = 1 , R S E I j R S E I i > 0 0 , R S E I j R S E I i = 0 1 , R S E I j R S E I i < 0
where S represents the summation of the rank correlation coefficient. The variance of S , which is represented by V a r ( S ) , is calculated using Formula (5). Once the slope and confidence interval of the Mann–Kendall test’s Z-value are computed, statistical plotting of R S E I change trend ( p < 0.05 ) can be executed based on these two results.

2.3.3. Attribution Analysis

The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) model, an ensemble learning algorithm built on iterative decision trees, has been extensively utilized in the realms of classification and regression [34,35]. Situated within the framework of gradient-boosting trees, this ensemble learning approach showcases robustness, exceptional performance, and precise handling of low-dimensional data [31,47]. The algorithm’s core lies in optimizing the objective function value within the gradient-boosting framework. This study specifically employed the regression function of the algorithm. After the training of the XGBoost model, the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) method was employed to delineate the marginal contribution of each predictor to the target variable. The implementation of the XGBoost model was carried out using the xgboost Python package.
Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), serving as a machine learning interpreter, utilizes game theory methods to compute the marginal contributions of each feature to the model’s output. It assigns specific predictive importance values to each feature, ensuring robust global and local interpretability [48]. SHAP finds widespread applications across various domains [35]. The amalgamation of the SHAP algorithm with feature selection enhances both the speed and quality of the feature selection process. The SHAP values for an XGBoost model are computed using the Python package shap.
For a specific input sample x with M features, the Shapley additive mechanism expresses an individual prediction by decomposing it into feature contributions [49]:
f x = g x = φ 0 + i = 1 M φ i x i
where f and g represent the original model and the explanation model, respectively. The function g should match the output of the original model for a simplified input x of x . φ 0 is the mean value of the prediction values [50], and φ i x i represents the SHAP value for feature i in sample x .
The SHAP method also provides a global explanation [34]. The SHAP feature importance of a specific variable is calculated as the average of the absolute SHAP values, denoted as I S H A P j , where j is the input variable, i is the data sample, and n is the number of samples:
I S H A P j = 1 n i = 1 n φ j i

3. Results

3.1. Spatial–Temporal Variation Characteristics of RSEI in Long Time Series

Figure 2 illustrates the annual spatial distribution characteristics of the RSEI computed via the GEE platform from 2000 to 2022. The spatial distribution pattern of the ecological and environmental quality on the Tibetan Plateau displayed a distinct regularity, depicting a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest. The average RSEI value for the Tibetan Plateau during the period 2000–2022 reached 0.404. The RSEI values were classified into five categories, where higher values indicated greater vegetation coverage, a healthier ecological environmental, and a more stable ecosystem, while lower values suggested adverse regional conditions [51].
Significantly, dynamic changes in RSEI levels on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 were observed. The northern Qaidam Desert region and the southwestern part consistently exhibited Poor or Fair levels, with a substantial area falling into these categories in 2020, resulting in the lowest RSEI value reaching 0.3445. In the southeastern region, most of the time was spent in Moderate or Good levels, with rare occurrences of large areas categorized as Fair and Poor in 2008. In 2007 and 2019, extensive areas were classified as Excellent, contributing to the high RSEI value of 0.4611 in 2019. The central region predominantly fell into Good, Moderate, and Fair levels.
The RSEI trend analysis on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 was visualized via linear regression and MK test, as shown in Figure 3. Its trend was categorized into four types using a significance level of 0.05. Figure 3 reveals that the RSEI change trend in the Tibetan Plateau is mainly characterized by slight degradation (45.9%) and slight improvement (40.8%). The areas that experienced slight degradation are primarily clustered in the northeastern parts of the Tibetan Plateau. Conversely, the areas with slight improvement are mainly concentrated in regions with low elevation, gradually widening from west to east, including Qamdo, Garze, Aba, and surrounding areas. Some areas depicted considerable degradation (5.1%) scattered across locations such as Haixi and Xigaze. Moreover, 7.9% of areas remained stable, with no significant RSEI changes. Lastly, only 0.3% of regions represented a significant improvement.
To further examine the five-year variation characteristics of RSEI on the Tibetan Plateau using the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function (ECDF) in MATLAB software, fluctuations were observed (Figure 4a). In comparison to the year 2020, the ECDF values for the remaining years exhibited a notable rightward deviation, with the most significant deviation observed in 2005. This suggested a relatively superior overall ecological environment in 2005 as opposed to 2020, reaching a value of 0.431. The ECDF value for the year 2000 was positioned at a mid-range level. Moreover, in 2010 and 2005, corresponding to lower RSEI values, a similar probability distribution was evident; however, as RSEI gradually improved, distinctions became apparent.
To further elucidate the annual variations in the area proportion of each RSEI level, a chart depicting the impact of grade changes was generated (Figure 4b). Figure 4b illustrates that all RSEI levels underwent varying changes in area proportion. The ecological environmental quality (EQ) of the Tibetan Plateau was predominantly categorized as either Fair or Moderate from 2000 to 2022. Specifically, the Moderate grade reached its peak in 2010 (57.08%) and 2016 (56.99%), followed by 2022 (56.11%). The Fair grade achieved its highest percentage in 2008 (52.57%) and then gradually declined to 49.56%, 48.25%, and 47.32% in 2007, 2001, and 2020, respectively. The Poor and Good grades constituted a relatively small percentage, with Good2019 (26.9%) > Good2002 (12.96%) > Good2007 (12.45%). The highest incidence of Poor (14.41%) was recorded in 2020, indicating a poor EQ level in the Tibetan Plateau during that year, a trend more evident in Figure 2 portraying the spatial distribution. Notably, the region with an Excellent level accounted for 4.2% in 2007 and 21% in 2019.

3.2. Influence of LUCC on RSEI Response

To evaluate the influence of LUCC on RSEI, the LUCC dataset for each year was superimposed onto the RSEI map (see Supplementary Figure S3). Employing zoning statistical methods, RSEI values of each land use category were calculated from 2001 to 2020, offering insights into the specific contribution of different LUCC changes to RSEI (Figure 5).
In Figure 5, the highest RSEI median was observed for DNF at 0.499. This observation was primarily attributed to the limited extent of DNF coverage in the Tibetan Plateau. The second-highest RSEI median value was for WS, with a median of 0.485. Meanwhile, ENF and MF exhibited nearly identical RSEI medians, both at 0.484 and 0.483, respectively. These results indicated that the land use types with the most significant contribution to RSEI were WS, ENF, and MF. Subsequent land use categories include SAV, DBF, CSL, and GRA, with RSEI medians of 0.474, 0.465, 0.424, and 0.407, respectively. Notably, GRA displays the most concentrated response values to RSEI, with 0.407, exceeding the medians of CRO at 0.382, EBF at 0.377, UBL at 0.35, and BAR at 0.348. The smallest RSEI median value was observed for OSL, reaching 0.273, indicating that the RSEI of OSL was more vulnerable. Its corresponding maximum RSEI value is only 0.314, classified as Fair.

3.3. Quantification of the SHAP Values of Drivers

To further quantify the contributions of both natural and anthropogenic factors to RSEI, various factors underwent data preprocessing operations. Subsequently, SHAP values for each factor influencing RSEI were computed across 11,747 fishnet points (Figure 6). A negative SHAP value signifies an RSEI loss from a base value caused by a specific variable, while a positive value indicates the opposite.
The results revealed that TMP, SMCI, and PRE were the three most influential factors affecting RSEI sensitivities (Figure 6a). The average contributions of Rdls, DEM, and LUCC to RSEI-XGB were consistently measured at 0.01 each (Figure 6a). Conversely, factors associated with human activities (DR, HAI, NTL, and POP) demonstrated the least degree of contribution. In summary, the relative importance of natural factors exceeded that of anthropogenic factors.
A lower TMP could result in more substantial variations in RSEI dynamics, characterized by long right tails of SHAP values (Figure 6b). Conversely, higher RSEI values were generally associated with elevated SHAP values of SMCI and PRE. To further analyze the interaction between temperature and precipitation on RSEI, TMP and PRE were examined for their interactive effect using a SHAP interaction plot (Figure 6c). An evident coupling effect between TMP and PRE was identified: when the temperature was high, an increase in precipitation led to an augmentation in the SHAP interaction value between TMP and PRE. Similarly, at lower temperatures, the SHAP interaction value with PRE exhibited a positive effect, albeit lower than the value at higher temperatures. In contrast, minimal precipitation and higher temperature resulted in a negative impact on the SHAP interaction value. In summary, the substantial interactive effects between TMP and PRE had a more pronounced impact on RSEI.

4. Discussion

4.1. Applicability of RSEI in the Ecological Environment Assessment of the Tibetan Plateau

The ecological environment, serving as a vital natural resource and human habitat, is a prerequisite for human development and social progress [16,52]. Previous research on ecological environment assessment has predominantly relied on statistical data, exhibiting some ambiguity and low spatial resolution characteristics due to subjectivity in index construction [16,53,54,55,56]. Advances in Earth observation satellites and open access to remote sensing data have facilitated a more precise identification of environmental processes across various scales, supporting regional-scale Earth observation research [56] and introducing novel methods for a comprehensive evaluation of regional ecological environment quality [5,12,42]. RSEI emerges as a more comprehensive reflection of the genuine environmental situations than a single-index evaluation, encompassing various natural elements. In a recent study, researchers combined factors such as vegetation coverage, biological richness, Net primary productivity (NPP), soil salinization, soil erosion, water conservation, and PM2.5 concentration to construct the eco-environmental quality index (EQI) for the Tibetan Plateau, openly disclosing the results for the years 2000, 2010, and 2020 [57].To further validate the legitimacy of the RSEI obtained in this study, a comparison was made with the latest research findings. The results indicated that in this study, leveraging the GEE platform for an extended time series monitoring of ecological environmental quality in the Tibetan Plateau, detailed dynamic inter-annual fluctuations were captured (Figure 2 and Figure 4). Furthermore, a substantial correlation with the EQI index was observed, reaching 0.526 (Figure 7). This suggested that RSEI holds the potential for assessing the ecological environmental quality of the Tibetan Plateau.

4.2. Analysis of RSEI Driving Factors

Several studies have highlighted that the composition of the RSEI model itself led to higher NDBSI performance when regional vegetation coverage was lower. Consequently, drought emerged as the primary determinant of ecological environment quality in such areas. Conversely, NDVI displayed greater sensitivity, with greenness emerging as a major factor influencing the ecological environment [51].
The SHAP values obtained in this study revealed that natural factors had a more significant impact on RSEI, with TMP, SMCI, and PRE identified as the top three crucial feature factors. Soil moisture had played a pivotal role in shaping the response of alpine grassland plant productivity and community composition [58]. In the high-altitude, low-temperature environment of the Tibetan Plateau, plant growth had been predominantly constrained by the availability of soil moisture. Therefore, the ranking of soil moisture among the top three driving factors in the RSEI model aligned with this result. Additionally, lower temperatures had yielded larger SHAP values, attributed to the relatively lower optimal temperature on the Tibetan Plateau [59].
Interaction results indicated that a decrease in precipitation and higher temperature had a negative impact on the SHAP interaction value. This was because, with warming and reduced precipitation (i.e., warming and drying phenomena), vegetation growth had been minimized [60]. Moreover, temperature had a positive effect on plant growth only in humid regions and a negative impact in arid regions [61].

4.3. Limitations and Priorities for Future Work

This study utilized the GEE platform to evaluate the long-term ecological environment of the Tibetan Plateau and developed interpretable machine learning models, specifically XGBoost and SHAP. The objective was to offer a fresh attempt and establish a research foundation for monitoring the ecological environment of the Tibetan Plateau. However, there are several limitations in this study. Firstly, the RSEI model is not flawless. The application of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with different sequences of component bands during the calculation introduces stochasticity to the computed PC1 [62]. Controversies arise regarding the utilization of PC1, whether in its original form [63,64,65] or as 1-PC1 [66,67,68]. To address this, the study exercised judgment during computation to derive the final RSEI value. Secondly, the study solely employed XGBoost and SHAP as interpretable machine learning methods to identify primary driving factors. Future research should diversify the range of models used for a more comprehensive evaluation and selection of the optimal model for further analysis. Lastly, the study concentrated on the entire Tibetan Plateau, overlooking its extensive spatial heterogeneity. Moreover, in recent years, the Chinese government has initiated numerous ecological restoration projects in this region. Whether these projects have impacted the ecological environment quality of the Tibetan Plateau remains an important question for exploration in future studies, especially at finer spatial scales.

5. Conclusions

This study utilized the GEE platform to construct an RSEI model for the long-term ecological environment quality of the Tibetan Plateau. The objective was to identify spatiotemporal trends, investigate the contributions of natural and anthropogenic activities to the ecological environment, and determine the impact of climate factor interactions on the ecological environment quality of the Tibetan Plateau. The primary conclusions are summarized as follows.
The ecological environment quality trend on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 primarily exhibited a slight degradation trend (45.9%), predominantly observed in the northern regions, including Xinjiang, Nagari, Xigaze, and areas along provincial roads. Overall, the ecological environment quality of the Tibetan Plateau was mainly categorized as Fair and Moderate, with a multi-year RSEI averaging 0.404. The land-use types with the most significant impact on RSEI were Woody Savannas, Evergreen Needleleaf Forests, Mixed Forests, and Grasslands, corresponding to RSEI values of 0.485, 0.484, 0.483, and 0.407, respectively. Moreover, natural factors were the predominant influencers of ecological environment quality on the Tibetan Plateau, with temperature, soil moisture, and precipitation identified as the most critical factors. Due to the relatively lower optimal temperature on the Tibetan Plateau, lower temperatures exhibited larger SHAP values. The interaction between temperature (TMP) and precipitation (PRE) showed a positive effect on RSEI, with an increase in the SHAP interaction value as precipitation increased. These findings contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of the ecological environment on the Tibetan Plateau in the context of climate change.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/rs16040682/s1. Figure S1: The result of eigenvalue contribution rate of PC1 (%); Figure S2: Spatial distribution of land use types on the TP in 2020; Figure S3: Land use transition matrix during 2001–2020 (km2) in Tibetan Plateau; Table S1: Land use transition matrix during 2001–2020 (km2); Table S2: Land use/cover data were extracted from MCD12Q1 dataset (2001–2020).

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, M.A.; methodology, M.A.; software, M.A.; validation, M.A.; formal analysis, M.A.; data curation, M.A.; writing—original draft preparation, M.A.; writing—review and editing, M.A.; visualization, M.A.; supervision, S.L.; project administration, S.L.; funding acquisition, S.L.; resources, S.L. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program of China, grant number 2019QZKK1001.

Data Availability Statement

The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author. The data are not publicly available due to privacy.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. Methodological framework applied in the present analysis.
Figure 1. Methodological framework applied in the present analysis.
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Figure 2. Visualized spatial distribution of RSEI over the Tibetan Plateau.
Figure 2. Visualized spatial distribution of RSEI over the Tibetan Plateau.
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Figure 3. The spatial distribution of the RSEI change trend in the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022.
Figure 3. The spatial distribution of the RSEI change trend in the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022.
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Figure 4. The ECDF effects of mean RSEI value in the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 (a) and Alluvial diagram of RSEI grades (b).
Figure 4. The ECDF effects of mean RSEI value in the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2022 (a) and Alluvial diagram of RSEI grades (b).
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Figure 5. Responses of land use types to RSEI in the Tibetan Plateau. (ENF, Evergreen Needleleaf Forests; EBF, Evergreen Broadleaf Forests; DNF, Deciduous Needleleaf Forests; DBF, Deciduous Broadleaf Forests; MF, Mixed Forests; CSL, Closed Shrublands; OSL, Open Shrublands; WS, Woody Savannas; SAV, Savannas; GRA, Grasslands; CRO, Croplands; UBL, Urban and Built-up Lands; BAR, Barren).
Figure 5. Responses of land use types to RSEI in the Tibetan Plateau. (ENF, Evergreen Needleleaf Forests; EBF, Evergreen Broadleaf Forests; DNF, Deciduous Needleleaf Forests; DBF, Deciduous Broadleaf Forests; MF, Mixed Forests; CSL, Closed Shrublands; OSL, Open Shrublands; WS, Woody Savannas; SAV, Savannas; GRA, Grasslands; CRO, Croplands; UBL, Urban and Built-up Lands; BAR, Barren).
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Figure 6. SHAP values of RSEI drivers. (a) Bar plot of the mean absolute SHAP values of drivers affecting RSEI. (b) The Bees warm plots visualize SHAP values, with each dot representing a fishnet point in this study. The dot’s position on the x-axis indicates the influence that a variable has on the XGBoost model’s prediction for that specific fishnet point. In instances where multiple dots align at the same x position, they aggregate to denote density. (c) SHAP interaction plot of features. TMP, temperature; SMCI, soil moisture; PRE, precipitation; Rdls, relief degree of land surface; DEM, digital elevation model; DR, distance to roads; HAI, human impact index; NTL, nighttime light data; POP, population density.
Figure 6. SHAP values of RSEI drivers. (a) Bar plot of the mean absolute SHAP values of drivers affecting RSEI. (b) The Bees warm plots visualize SHAP values, with each dot representing a fishnet point in this study. The dot’s position on the x-axis indicates the influence that a variable has on the XGBoost model’s prediction for that specific fishnet point. In instances where multiple dots align at the same x position, they aggregate to denote density. (c) SHAP interaction plot of features. TMP, temperature; SMCI, soil moisture; PRE, precipitation; Rdls, relief degree of land surface; DEM, digital elevation model; DR, distance to roads; HAI, human impact index; NTL, nighttime light data; POP, population density.
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Figure 7. Correlation analysis of RSEI and EQI in Tibet Plateau. The red and blue curves illustrate the distribution of RSEI and EQI values, respectively. The color intensity of each data point shifts towards red, indicating a higher concentration of sample points at corresponding values.
Figure 7. Correlation analysis of RSEI and EQI in Tibet Plateau. The red and blue curves illustrate the distribution of RSEI and EQI values, respectively. The color intensity of each data point shifts towards red, indicating a higher concentration of sample points at corresponding values.
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Table 1. The data source of ecological components.
Table 1. The data source of ecological components.
ComponentMODIS Data CollectionLayerSpatial/Temporal Resolution
GreennessMOD13A1_v6Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)500 m/16 days
HeatMOD11A2_v6Daytime Land Surface Temperature (DLST)1 km/8 days
WetnessMOD09A1_v6Corrected surface spectral reflectance for bands 1 to 7500 m/8 days
DrynessMOD09A1_v6Corrected surface spectral reflectance for bands 1 to 7500 m/8 days
WaterMOD09A1_v6Corrected surface spectral reflectance for bands 1 to 7500 m/8 days
LUCCMCD12Q1_061MODIS Global Land Cover Type500 m Yearly
Table 2. Independent variable descriptions.
Table 2. Independent variable descriptions.
Factors CategoryVariableDescriptionResolutionSource
Natural factorsDigital Elevation Model (DEM)DEM Dataset of China1 kmResource and environmental science data center of Chinese Academy of Science (http://www.resdc.cn (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Relief Degree of Land Surface Dataset (Rdls)Relief Degree of Land Surface Dataset of China1 kmGlobal Change Research Data Publishing & Repository, (http://www.geodoi.ac.cn (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Mean temperature (TMP) 1 km monthly mean temperature dataset for China (°C)National Tibetan Plateau/Third Pole Environment Data Center (https://data.tpdc.ac.cn/ (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Precipitation (PRE) 1 km monthly precipitation dataset for China (mm)1 km, 1901–2021National Tibetan Plateau/Third Pole Environment Data Center (https://data.tpdc.ac.cn/ (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Soil moisture dataset (SMCI)A 1 km daily soil moisture dataset over China based on situ measurement (10 cm) (m3/m3)1 km, 2000–2020National Tibetan Plateau/Third Pole Environment Data Center (https://data.tpdc.ac.cn/ (accessed on 23 February 2023))
LUCCMCD12Q1_061: MODIS Global Land Cover Type 1 km, 2000–2020NASA LP DAAC at the USGS EROS Center (USGS, https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Anthropogenic factorsWorldpop (POP)WorldPop estimates the number of people per 100 m × 100 m grid square on Earth, population density, etc.100 m, 2000–2020(https://www.worldpop.org/ (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Nighttime Light Data (NTL)An Extended Time Series (2000–2022) of Global NPP-VIIRS-Like Nighttime Light Data from a Cross-Sensor Calibration500 m, 2000–2022National Earth System Science Data Center, National Science & Technology Infrastructure of China (http://www.geodata.cn (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Distance to roads (DR)OpenStreetMap Data2014–2022(https://download.geofabrik.de (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Human impact index (HAI)Human Activity Intensity Dataset of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau1 km, 2000–2020Digital Journal of Global Change Data Repository, (https://www.geodoi.ac.cn/ (accessed on 23 February 2023))
Table 3. Formula and description of the ecological indicators.
Table 3. Formula and description of the ecological indicators.
IndicatorsCalculation FormulaExplanation
Wetness W e t = c 1 ρ r e d + c 2 ρ n i r 1 + c 3 ρ b l u e + c 4 ρ g r e e n + c 5 ρ n i r 2 + c 6 ρ s w i r 1 + c 7 ρ s w i r 2 where ρ r e d , ρ b l u e ,   ρ g r e e n ,   ρ s w i r 1 ,   ρ s w i r 2 represent the reflectace of the 7 bands of the MOD09A1_v6 images, respectively. For MODIS multi-band images, the coefficient of each band is c 1 = 0.1147 , c 2 = 0.2489 , c 3 = 0.2408 , c 4 = 0.3134 , c 5 = 0.3122 , c 6 = 0.6416 , c 7 = 0.5087 [43].
Dryness N D B S I = I B I + B I 2
I B I = 2 ρ s w i r 1 ρ s w i r 1 + ρ n i r 1 ρ n i r 1 ρ n i r 1 + ρ r e d + ρ g r e e n / ρ g r e e n + ρ s w i r 1 2 ρ s w i r 1 ρ s w i r 1 + ρ n i r 1 + ρ n i r 1 ρ n i r 1 + ρ r e d + ρ g r e e n / ρ g r e e n + ρ s w i r 1
B I = ρ s w i r 1 + ρ r e d ρ n i r 1 + ρ b l u e ρ s w i r 1 + ρ r e d + ρ n i r 1 + ρ b l u e
where ρ r e d , ρ b l u e , ρ g r e e n , ρ n i r 1 , and
ρ s w i r 1 are the surface reflectance of the corresponding bands in the MOD09A1 V6 images, respectively.
MNDWI M N D W I = ρ g r e e n ρ s w i r 1 / ρ g r e e n + ρ s w i r 1 where ρ g r e e n and   ρ s w i r 1 represent the reflectace of the 7 bands of the MOD09A1_v6 images, respectively.
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Airiken, M.; Li, S. The Dynamic Monitoring and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality in the Tibetan Plateau Based on the Google Earth Engine. Remote Sens. 2024, 16, 682. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16040682

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Airiken M, Li S. The Dynamic Monitoring and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality in the Tibetan Plateau Based on the Google Earth Engine. Remote Sensing. 2024; 16(4):682. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16040682

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Airiken, Muhadaisi, and Shuangcheng Li. 2024. "The Dynamic Monitoring and Driving Forces Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality in the Tibetan Plateau Based on the Google Earth Engine" Remote Sensing 16, no. 4: 682. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16040682

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