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Geosciences, Volume 13, Issue 10 (October 2023) – 32 articles

Cover Story (view full-size image): Climate change substantiated with the increase in frequency and in extreme hydrometeorological incidents remarkably affect the availability, quality, and management of water bodies. In our study, the hidden impacts of rainfall extremes on the water quality of dam reservoirs are unravelled by groundbreaking fusion of machine learning and deep learning techniques. An attempt is seized to navigate the disruptive forces that challenges the integrity of the hydrological systems through advanced approaches. As the featured article of this Special Issue, our work illuminates the pivotal domains of assessment, forecasting and risk management for the preservation of valuable water resources. Let us work together in comprehending and addressing the sophisticated interplay between the environmental variables and the resilience of integrated earth systems. View this paper
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20 pages, 2074 KiB  
Review
Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact
by Evangelos Machairas and Emmanouil A. Varouchakis
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 318; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100318 - 23 Oct 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2075
Abstract
Mining activities are prolific worldwide in light of the perpetual production of metal. The high need for metal materials in human life necessitates the development of mining operations, especially in places characterized as being highly enriched in metal ions. After the separation of [...] Read more.
Mining activities are prolific worldwide in light of the perpetual production of metal. The high need for metal materials in human life necessitates the development of mining operations, especially in places characterized as being highly enriched in metal ions. After the separation of beneficial and non-beneficial materials, industrial enrichment mechanisms take place to increase metal output. These mechanisms, known as metallurgical procedures, produce a vast volume of mining/metallurgical waste (MMW) at final disposal sites. MMW’s composition usually includes metal filings in low-pH site conditions. Thus, the environmental pollution hazard is high unless sustainable methods are implemented to reduce both heavy and toxic metals’ concentration in MMW at every disposal site. The scope of this review is to determine how cost–benefit analysis (CBA) and risk assessment (RA) could contribute positively to (a) the environmental effect of MMW reduction, (b) decreasing the environmental rehabilitation cost, and (c) research into economically sustainable methods of recovering metal from MMW. Full article
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11 pages, 1953 KiB  
Article
On the Potential of Using Random Forest Models to Estimate the Seismic Bearing Capacity of Strip Footings Positioned on the Crest of Geosynthetic-Reinforced Soil Structures
by Ernesto Ausilio, Maria Giovanna Durante and Paolo Zimmaro
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 317; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100317 - 20 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1082
Abstract
Geosynthetic-reinforced soil structures are often used to support shallow foundations of various infrastructure systems including bridges, railways, and highways. When such infrastructures are located in seismic areas, their performance is linked to the seismic bearing capacity of the foundation. Various approaches can be [...] Read more.
Geosynthetic-reinforced soil structures are often used to support shallow foundations of various infrastructure systems including bridges, railways, and highways. When such infrastructures are located in seismic areas, their performance is linked to the seismic bearing capacity of the foundation. Various approaches can be used to calculate this quantity such as analytical solutions and advanced numerical models. Building upon a robust upper bound limit analysis, we created a database comprising 732 samples. The database was then used to train and test a model based on a random forest machine learning algorithm. The trained random forest model was used to develop a publicly available web application that can be readily used by researchers and practitioners. The model considers the following input factors: (1) the ratio of the distance of the foundation from the edge and the width of the foundation (D/B), (2) the slope angle (β), (3) the horizontal seismic intensity coefficient (kh), and (4) the dimensionless geosynthetic factor, which accounts for the tensile strength of the geosynthetic. Leveraging the model developed in this study, we show that the most important features to predict the seismic bearing capacity of strip footings positioned on the crest of geosynthetic-reinforced soil structures are D/B and kh. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Earthquake Engineering and Seismotectonics)
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11 pages, 2651 KiB  
Article
Thermal Conductivity Variations in Frozen Hydrate-Bearing Sand upon Heating and Dissociation of Pore Gas Hydrate
by Evgeny Chuvilin, Dinara Davletshina, Boris Bukhanov, Sergey Grebenkin and Elena Pankratova
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 316; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100316 - 19 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1428
Abstract
High-latitude permafrost, including hydrate-bearing frozen ground, changes its properties in response to natural climate change and to impacts from petroleum production. Of special interest is the behavior of thermal conductivity, one of the key parameters that control the thermal processes in permafrost containing [...] Read more.
High-latitude permafrost, including hydrate-bearing frozen ground, changes its properties in response to natural climate change and to impacts from petroleum production. Of special interest is the behavior of thermal conductivity, one of the key parameters that control the thermal processes in permafrost containing gas hydrate accumulations. Thermal conductivity variations under pressure and temperature changes were studied in the laboratory through physical modeling using sand sampled from gas-bearing permafrost of the Yamal Peninsula (northern West Siberia, Russia). When gas pressure drops to below equilibrium at a constant negative temperature (about −6 °C), the thermal conductivity of the samples first becomes a few percent to 10% lower as a result of cracking and then increases as pore gas hydrate dissociates and converts to water and then to ice. The range of thermal conductivity variations has several controls: pore gas pressure, hydrate saturation, rate of hydrate dissociation, and amount of additionally formed pore ice. In general, hydrate dissociation can cause up to 20% thermal conductivity decrease in frozen hydrate-bearing sand. As the samples are heated to positive temperatures, their thermal conductivity decreases by a magnitude depending on residual contents of pore gas hydrate and ice: the decrease reaches ~30% at 20–40% hydrate saturation. The thermal conductivity decrease in hydrate-free saline frozen sand is proportional to the salinity and can become ~40% lower at a salinity of 0.14%. The behavior of thermal conductivity in frozen hydrate-bearing sediments under a pressure drop below the equilibrium and a temperature increase to above 0 °C is explained in a model of pore space changes based on the experimental results. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mass Transfer and Phase Transformations in Permafrost)
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14 pages, 1935 KiB  
Article
Distinctive Accumulation Patterns of Trace Elements in Sediments of Bedrock Rivers (Miño River, NW Iberian Peninsula)
by Miguel Ángel Álvarez-Vázquez, Elena De Uña-Álvarez, Alexandra María Ramírez-Pérez, Esther de Blas and Ricardo Prego
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 315; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100315 - 19 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1217
Abstract
Sediment compositions and enrichment patterns are investigated in an urban reach of a bedrock river, the Miño River passing through Ourense City, Spain. This study focuses on the trace element distribution in different fractions to gain insights into trace element enrichment. To assess [...] Read more.
Sediment compositions and enrichment patterns are investigated in an urban reach of a bedrock river, the Miño River passing through Ourense City, Spain. This study focuses on the trace element distribution in different fractions to gain insights into trace element enrichment. To assess enrichment, a context-specific approach was employed, based on the mean, the standard deviation of the estimated background, and the empirical rule, avoiding the pitfalls of general and arbitrary thresholds. Notably, the <0.063 mm and <2 mm fractions showed differential accumulation patterns. Both fractions serve to detect enrichments that can be indicative of contamination, but they measure different things, the maturity of sediments and postdepositional processes being key factors in understanding the sediment composition and enrichments. These findings also highlight the role of rock cavities, particularly those hosting permanent deposits, as traps for trace elements and their potential significance in assessing environmental enrichment. This work contributes to understanding sediment compositions and enrichment dynamics in bedrock rivers. It also underscores the significance of considering site-specific approaches for enrichment assessment and the necessity for further research to unravel the mechanisms driving differential accumulation within distinct depositional environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geochemistry)
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19 pages, 4856 KiB  
Article
Time-Series Variation of Landslide Expansion in Areas with a Low Frequency of Heavy Rainfall
by Ken’ichi Koshimizu and Taro Uchida
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 314; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100314 - 18 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1239
Abstract
After multiple simultaneous landslides caused by heavy rainfall, expanding landslides continue to occur for a certain duration. Evaluation of the influencing period of sediment yield due to expanding landslides is vital for comprehensive sediment management of the basin. In this study, we investigated [...] Read more.
After multiple simultaneous landslides caused by heavy rainfall, expanding landslides continue to occur for a certain duration. Evaluation of the influencing period of sediment yield due to expanding landslides is vital for comprehensive sediment management of the basin. In this study, we investigated a region with a low frequency of heavy rainfall that has not received its due level of attention until now. Consequently, the transition of expanding landslides depends on the transition of the number of remaining landslides, based on the difference in the frequency of heavy rainfall. Furthermore, the transition of expanding landslides depends on the maximum daily rainfall after the landslides. These findings indicate that “the number of remaining landslides” and “maximum daily rainfall after a landslide” are related factors that determine the period during which expanding landslides frequently occur. An estimation formula based on elapsed time was developed to calculate the number of remaining landslides. An empirical formula for the number of expanding landslides was obtained by multiplying the function of the daily maximum rainfall after the landslide by the estimation formula for the number of remaining landslides. The developed empirical formula can be used effectively for evaluation during periods when rainfall-induced landslides are subject to subsequent expansion. Full article
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14 pages, 7301 KiB  
Article
Geomorphological Evolution of Volcanic Cliffs in Coastal Areas: The Case of Maronti Bay (Ischia Island)
by Luigi Massaro, Giovanni Forte, Melania De Falco and Antonio Santo
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 313; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100313 - 17 Oct 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1625
Abstract
The morphoevolution of coastal areas is due to the interactions of multiple continental and marine processes that define a highly dynamic environment. These processes can occur as rapid catastrophic events (e.g., landslides, storms, and coastal land use) or as slower continuous processes (i.e., [...] Read more.
The morphoevolution of coastal areas is due to the interactions of multiple continental and marine processes that define a highly dynamic environment. These processes can occur as rapid catastrophic events (e.g., landslides, storms, and coastal land use) or as slower continuous processes (i.e., wave, tidal, and current actions), creating a multi-hazard scenario. Maronti Bay (Ischia Island, Southern Italy) can be classified as a pocket beach that represents an important tourist and environmental area for the island, although it has been historically affected by slope instability, sea cliff recession, and coastal erosion. In this study, the historical morphoevolution of the shoreline was analysed by means of a dataset of aerial photographs and cartographic information available in the literature over a 25-year period. Furthermore, the role of cliff recession and its impact on the beach was also explored, as in recent years, the stability condition of the area was worsened by the occurrence of a remarkable landslide in 2019. The latter was reactivated following a cloudburst on the 26th of November 2022 that affected the whole Island and was analysed with the Dem of Difference technique. It provided an estimate of the mobilised volumes and showed how the erosion and deposition areas were distributed and modified by wave action. The insights from this research can be valuable in developing mitigation strategies and protective measures to safeguard the surrounding environment and ensure the safety of residents and tourists in this multi-hazard environment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Monitoring of Geomorphological Hazards)
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18 pages, 4330 KiB  
Article
On the Flow of CO2-Saturated Water in a Cement Fracture
by De Nyago Tafen, Barbara Kutchko and Mehrdad Massoudi
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 312; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100312 - 17 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1160
Abstract
Cement fractures represent preferential leakage pathways in abandoned wells upon exposure to a CO2-rich fluid. Understanding fracture alteration resulting from geochemical reactions is critical for assessing well integrity in CO2 storage. This paper describes a mathematical model used to investigate [...] Read more.
Cement fractures represent preferential leakage pathways in abandoned wells upon exposure to a CO2-rich fluid. Understanding fracture alteration resulting from geochemical reactions is critical for assessing well integrity in CO2 storage. This paper describes a mathematical model used to investigate the physical and the chemical changes in cement properties when CO2-saturated water is injected into a wellbore. This study examines the flow of a solution of CO2-saturated water in a two-dimensional fractured cement. In this approach, a micro-continuum equation based on the Darcy–Brinkman–Stokes (DBS) equation is used as the momentum balance equation; in addition, reactive transport equations are used to study the coupled processes of reactant transport and geochemical reactions, and the model for cement porosity alteration and fracture enhancement. This paper focuses on the effects of cement porosity, fracture aperture size, and surface roughness. Mineral dissolution and precipitation mechanisms are also considered. Our simulations show that smaller initial fracture apertures tend to a high mineral precipitation self-sealing. However, a complete sealing of the fracture is not observed due to the continuous flow of CO2-saturated water. The calcite precipitation mechanism of a rough fracture (random zigzag shape) differs from that of a smooth/flat fracture surface. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Novel Research in Carbon Capture and Storage)
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19 pages, 11820 KiB  
Article
Understanding the Snow Cover Climatology over Turkey from ERA5-Land Reanalysis Data and MODIS Snow Cover Frequency Product
by Zuhal Akyurek, Semih Kuter, Çağrı H. Karaman and Berkay Akpınar
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 311; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100311 - 17 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1611
Abstract
Understanding the distribution, patterns, and characteristics of snowfall and snow cover within a given region over extended periods is important. Snow climatology provides valuable insights into the seasonal and long-term variations in snowfall, helping researchers and meteorologists understand the impacts of climate change [...] Read more.
Understanding the distribution, patterns, and characteristics of snowfall and snow cover within a given region over extended periods is important. Snow climatology provides valuable insights into the seasonal and long-term variations in snowfall, helping researchers and meteorologists understand the impacts of climate change on snow accumulation, melt rates, and snowmelt runoff. In this study, in order to understand the spatial and temporal variation in snow cover in Turkey, the temporal and spatial dynamics of snow cover in the country were analyzed during the latest and longest period from 1970 to 2022 using ERA5-Land reanalysis product. It is aimed (1) to show snow-covered area (SCA), snow duration, and snow depth trends over the country; (2) to examine the altitudinal difference of snow phenology response to climate change; and (3) to evaluate the Snow Cover Frequency Maps from MODIS Snow Cover Products with the reanalysis snow depth data. It is found that the “false snow” mapping problem still exists in the MOD10C1_CGF Snow Cover Frequency maps over Turkey, especially in the melting period. We found that an increasing trend of 0.4 °C/decade and snow duration have a decreasing trend due to the early melting between 1970 and 2022. This trend is even more noticeable at elevations below 2000 m. Another important finding is the decreasing trend in snow duration at altitudes below 500 m, indicating a shift from snow to rain for precipitation types. Full article
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19 pages, 4993 KiB  
Article
Generalized Additive Models for Predicting Sea Level Rise in Coastal Florida
by Hanna N. Vaidya, Robert D. Breininger, Marisela Madrid, Steven Lazarus and Nezamoddin N. Kachouie
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 310; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100310 - 16 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1305
Abstract
Within the last century, the global sea level has risen between 16 and 21 cm and will likely accelerate into the future. Projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) show the global mean sea level (GMSL) rise may increase to up [...] Read more.
Within the last century, the global sea level has risen between 16 and 21 cm and will likely accelerate into the future. Projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) show the global mean sea level (GMSL) rise may increase to up to 1 m (1000 mm) by 2100. The primary cause of the sea level rise can be attributed to climate change through the thermal expansion of seawater and the recession of glaciers from melting. Because of the complexity of the climate and environmental systems, it is very difficult to accurately predict the increase in sea level. The latest estimate of GMSL rise is about 3 mm/year, but as GMSL is a global measure, it may not represent local sea level changes. It is essential to obtain tailored estimates of sea level rise in coastline Florida, as the state is strongly impacted by the global sea level rise. The goal of this study is to model the sea level in coastal Florida using climate factors. Hence, water temperature, water salinity, sea surface height anomalies (SSHA), and El Niño southern oscillation (ENSO) 3.4 index were considered to predict coastal Florida sea level. The sea level changes across coastal Florida were modeled using both multiple regression as a broadly used parametric model and the generalized additive model (GAM), which is a nonparametric method. The local rates and variances of sea surface height anomalies (SSHA) were analyzed and compared to regional and global measurements. The identified optimal model to explain and predict sea level was a GAM with the year, global and regional (adjacent basins) SSHA, local water temperature and salinity, and ENSO as predictors. All predictors including global SSHA, regional SSHA, water temperature, water salinity, ENSO, and the year were identified to have a positive impact on the sea level and can help to explain the variations in the sea level in coastal Florida. Particularly, the global and regional SSHA and the year are important factors to predict sea level changes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climate)
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20 pages, 5635 KiB  
Article
Li-Cs-Na-Rich Beryl from Beryl-Bearing Pegmatite Dike No. 7 of the Shongui Deposit, Kola Province, Russia
by Lyudmila N. Morozova, Sergey G. Skublov, Dmitry R. Zozulya, Pavel A. Serov, Elena S. Borisenko, Anna N. Solovjova and Alexandra K. Gavrilchik
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 309; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100309 - 16 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1477
Abstract
Beryl is both an accessory and a rock-forming mineral in pegmatites that contain beryl, making it a major source of Be. Beryl-bearing pegmatites of the Shongui deposit, located in the Kola province of the Northeastern Fennoscandian Shield, hold beryl with a yellowish-greenish color. [...] Read more.
Beryl is both an accessory and a rock-forming mineral in pegmatites that contain beryl, making it a major source of Be. Beryl-bearing pegmatites of the Shongui deposit, located in the Kola province of the Northeastern Fennoscandian Shield, hold beryl with a yellowish-greenish color. An investigation into the chemical composition of this beryl from pegmatite dike No. 7 has been performed for the first time via the secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) technique, and the chemical composition of the beryl-bearing pegmatites has been analyzed for the first time by the inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) method. These pegmatites have high concentrations (ppm) of Be (11.8), Li (30.9), Rb (482), Nb (50.3), Ta (14.6), Cs (66.8), and Mn (283) and low concentrations of Sr, Y, Ba, rare earth elements (REE), Zr, and Th. In the Shongui pegmatite field, concentrations of Be, Li, Rb, Cs, Nb, Ta, and Mn increase from barren to beryl-bearing pegmatites, whereas concentrations of Ba, Sr, Y, and REE decline. Rb/Ba, Rb/Sr, and Zr/Hf ratios, showing the fractionation degree, change from the barren to beryl-bearing pegmatites: Rb/Ba and Rb/Sr increase from 111 and 0.46 to 1365 and 8.06, respectively, and Zr/Hf decreases from 18.9 to 14.5. The chemical composition of beryl from the Shongui deposit is unique. This mineral has a concentration of 25,300 ppm of alkalis (Li, Cs, K, Rb, Na) and the average Li, Ce, and Na content is 4430, 5000, and 15,400 ppm, respectively. According to its chemical composition, the Shongui beryl belongs to the Li-Cs-Na type, a type that is not recognized in the available classifications. It is supposed that this beryl was mainly crystallized in the magmatic stage rather than in any hydrothermal and metasomatic stages. Two beryl groups have been distinguished in beryl-bearing pegmatite dike No. 7: beryl from the intermediate zone (Brl-I) and beryl from the core zone (Brl-II). These beryls are concluded to have crystallized in the following order: Brl-I and then Brl-II. Compared with Brl-I, Brl-II is depleted in Cs, Na, Cl, and H2O and is enriched in Fe and Mn. The Fe/Mn ratio varies from 9.18 to 16.50 in these beryls and their yellowish-greenish shades are thought to be driven by a large amount of Fe compared to Mn. Full article
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16 pages, 12747 KiB  
Review
Landscape Evolution in Glacier Valleys of Glaciokarsts
by Márton Veress
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 308; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100308 - 13 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1143
Abstract
The landscape evolution of the glacier valleys of glaciokarsts is described. Depending on the character of coveredness (quality and thickness of the cover), altitude and the presence of karst features, different ways of geomorphic evolution occur adjacently. Most widespread is the denudation of [...] Read more.
The landscape evolution of the glacier valleys of glaciokarsts is described. Depending on the character of coveredness (quality and thickness of the cover), altitude and the presence of karst features, different ways of geomorphic evolution occur adjacently. Most widespread is the denudation of bare surfaces by karren formation. During this process, beds are denuded, which is primarily controlled by the dip direction of the beds. The denudation of beds may modify the original cross-section of valleys. On terrains covered with caprock, the cover is becoming thinner by erosion processes since the debris is transported into the karst depressions and then from here into the karst. On terrains covered with limestone debris, if the cover is purely limestone debris, denudation is cyclical. The thick cover becomes thinner by dissolution and subsequently, the bedrock is dissolved by karren formation if water with dissolution capacity arrives at the bedrock. Then, the debris that developed on the bedrock makes the cover thicker from below. Reaching an adequate thickness, the process is repeated by the dissolution of the cover debris. In cirques, the superficial deposit is transported into the karst, which is supplied from the slopes, increasing the upfilling of the feature. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Cryosphere)
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19 pages, 4310 KiB  
Article
An Experimental Investigation on Dike Stabilization against Floods
by Sohail Iqbal and Norio Tanaka
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 307; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100307 - 13 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1454
Abstract
A flood protection dike blends seamlessly with natural surroundings. These dikes stand as vital shields, mitigating the catastrophic effects of floods and preserving both communities and ecosystems. Their design not only aids in controlling water flow but also ensures minimal disruption to the [...] Read more.
A flood protection dike blends seamlessly with natural surroundings. These dikes stand as vital shields, mitigating the catastrophic effects of floods and preserving both communities and ecosystems. Their design not only aids in controlling water flow but also ensures minimal disruption to the local environment and its biodiversity. The present study used a uniform cohesionless sand with d50 = 0.9 mm to investigate the local scour process near a single combined dike (permeable and impermeable), replicating a flooding scenario. The experiments revealed that the maximum scour depth is likely to occur at the upstream edge of the dike, resembling a local scour observed around a scaled-down emerged dike in an open channel. The scour hole downstream of the dike gets shallower as it gets smaller, as do the horseshoe vortices that surround it. Additionally, by combining different pile shapes, the flow surrounding the dike was changed to reduce horseshoe vortices, resulting in scour length and depth reductions of 48% at the nose and 45% and 65% at the upstream and downstream dike–wall junction, respectively. Contrarily, the deposition height downstream of the dike had a reciprocal effect on permeability, which can severely harm the riverbank defense system. The combined dike demonstrates their ability to mitigate scour by reducing the flow swirls formed around the dike. The suggested solutions can slow down the rapid deterioration and shield the dike and other river training infrastructure from scour-caused failures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Natural Hazards)
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16 pages, 7895 KiB  
Article
Naïve and Semi-Naïve Bayesian Classification of Landslide Susceptibility Applied to the Kulekhani River Basin in Nepal as a Test Case
by Florimond De Smedt, Prabin Kayastha and Megh Raj Dhital
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 306; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100306 - 13 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1256
Abstract
Naïve Bayes classification is widely used for landslide susceptibility analysis, especially in the form of weights-of-evidence. However, when significant conditional dependence is present, the probabilities derived from weights-of-evidence are biased, resulting in an overestimation of landslide susceptibility. As a solution, this study presents [...] Read more.
Naïve Bayes classification is widely used for landslide susceptibility analysis, especially in the form of weights-of-evidence. However, when significant conditional dependence is present, the probabilities derived from weights-of-evidence are biased, resulting in an overestimation of landslide susceptibility. As a solution, this study presents a semi-naïve Bayesian method for landslide susceptibility mapping by combining logistic regression with weights-of-evidence. The utility of the method is tested by application to a case study in the Kulekhani River Basin in Central Nepal. The results show that the naïve Bayes approach with weights-of-evidence overpredicts the posterior probability of landslide occurrence by a factor of about two, while the semi-naïve Bayes approach, which uses logistic regression with weights-of-evidence, is unbiased and has more discriminatory power for landslide susceptibility mapping. In addition, the semi-naïve Bayes approach can statistically distinguish the main factors that promote landslides and allows us to estimate the model uncertainty by calculating the standard error of the predictions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Monitoring and Mapping II)
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24 pages, 14022 KiB  
Article
Fenitization at the Lovozero Alkaline Massif, NW Russia: Composition and Evolution of Fluids
by Olga D. Mokrushina, Julia A. Mikhailova and Yakov A. Pakhomovsky
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 305; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100305 - 13 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1256
Abstract
The 360–370 Ma old Lovozero massif (NW Russia) is a layered nepheline syenitic-foidolitic pluton. Despite its huge size (650 km2), the massif is surrounded by a narrow fenite aureole, and the most intensive fenitization is associated with pegmatites and hydrothermal veins [...] Read more.
The 360–370 Ma old Lovozero massif (NW Russia) is a layered nepheline syenitic-foidolitic pluton. Despite its huge size (650 km2), the massif is surrounded by a narrow fenite aureole, and the most intensive fenitization is associated with pegmatites and hydrothermal veins that have intruded into the wall rocks. We studied petrography, petrochemistry, mineralogy and fluid inclusions along a profile crossing the direct contact of the Lovozero massif with country Archean gneiss. We found that the fluid responsible for fenitization was a heterogeneous mixture of two coexisting phases, an aqueous fluid with salinity 8.6–15.1 eq. wt.% NaCl and a methane fluid. The coexistence of these two fluids indicates immiscibility conditions at (or below) CH4–H2O solvus. The aqueous fluid affected both the endocontact alkaline rocks and country gneiss. In the endocontact, intense autometasomatic alterations of the early crystallized minerals occurred, for example, the natrolitization of nepheline and sodalite. Besides, the aqueous fluid transported Na2O, K2O, as well as P2O5, TiO2, H2O, F, Cl and S into the exocontact. These components were precipitated in the immediate vicinity of the massif contact, and the salinity of the aqueous fluid decreased to 0.53–3.06 eq. wt.% NaCl. We assume that there are two reasons for a narrow fenite aureole in the Lovozero massif: intense autometasomatic alterations and a decrease in the permeability of country rocks due to fluid immiscibility. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geochemistry)
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25 pages, 8029 KiB  
Article
Soil–Structure Interactions in a Capped CBP Wall System Triggered by Localized Hydrogeological Drawdown in a Complex Geological Setting
by Dominic Ek Leong Ong and Elizabeth Eu Mee Chong
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 304; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100304 - 11 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1444
Abstract
Retaining walls are often used to construct basements and underground station boxes. This unique case study compares the field-measured contiguous bored pile (CBP) wall, surrounding geology, and hydrogeology or groundwater responses against the results using 2D and 3D numerical back analyses of a [...] Read more.
Retaining walls are often used to construct basements and underground station boxes. This unique case study compares the field-measured contiguous bored pile (CBP) wall, surrounding geology, and hydrogeology or groundwater responses against the results using 2D and 3D numerical back analyses of a deep excavation project that experienced localized groundwater drawdown through the leaking ground anchor points. Site observations indicated that the ground anchor installation works had caused larger than expected through-the-wall leakages that subsequently triggered nearby ground and building settlements. In order to study the complex soil–structure interaction behavior, back analyses using a hybrid modeling technique of through-the-wall transient hydrogeological seepage and geomaterial stress-strain analyses was implemented. Through these soil-structure interaction back analyses, it was evidently revealed that the presence of the continuous capping beam was key in providing pile head restraints against the active earth pressures when the groundwater was depressed, as well as efficiently distributing the beneficial wall corner effects towards the middle CBP wall, leading to smaller bending moment magnitudes, characterized by their ‘S-shaped’ profiles. This behavior had been correctly diagnosed, as opposed to the ‘D-shaped’ bending moment profile usually only seen in a typical free-head cantilever wall in similar geology. The eventual results show that the wall and ground responses, i.e., deflection, bending moment, and settlement, were reasonably well predicted when compared against the instrumented field data, thus validating the reliability of the geotechnical modeling technique, key geological parameters, and hydrogeological fluctuations adopted in the 2D and 3D numerical models, as well as the beneficial contributions of the continuous capping beam, which tend to be overlooked during routine retaining wall design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Soil-Structure Interactions in Underground Construction)
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33 pages, 13947 KiB  
Article
Earthquake Environmental Effects and Building Properties Controlling Damage Caused by the 6 February 2023 Earthquakes in East Anatolia
by Spyridon Mavroulis, Ioannis Argyropoulos, Emmanuel Vassilakis, Panayotis Carydis and Efthymis Lekkas
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 303; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100303 - 9 Oct 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2887
Abstract
On 6 February 2023, East Anatolia was devastated by two major earthquakes resulting in hundreds of thousands of collapses and tens of thousands of human casualties. This paper investigates the factors related to building properties and earthquake environmental effects (EEEs) that contributed to [...] Read more.
On 6 February 2023, East Anatolia was devastated by two major earthquakes resulting in hundreds of thousands of collapses and tens of thousands of human casualties. This paper investigates the factors related to building properties and earthquake environmental effects (EEEs) that contributed to the building damage grade and distribution in southeastern Turkey. In regards to the building construction properties, the loose enforcement of the building code, the random urban planning solutions and the poor construction standards are the main construction deficiencies that led to one of the largest disasters in Turkey’s recent history. Regarding geological factors, the triggering of primary and secondary EEEs largely shaped the grade and distribution of damage. Where coseismic surface ruptures intersected with the built environment, heavy to very heavy structural damage was observed. This was evident in many cases along the ruptured segments of the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ). Liquefaction observed close to waterbodies caused damage typical of building foundation load-bearing capacity loss. The earthquake-triggered landslides affected mainly mountainous and semi-mountainous settlements characterized with pre-earthquake high related susceptibility. The high susceptibility to generation of EEEs was extensively confirmed in many cases resulting in extensive damage. The provided information highlights the importance of such studies for hazard mitigation and disaster risk reduction. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Active Tectonics and Earthquakes)
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12 pages, 297 KiB  
Article
A Geoethics Syllabus for Higher Education: Evaluation of an Intervention Programme
by Clara Vasconcelos, Alexandra Cardoso and Tiago Ribeiro
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 302; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100302 - 9 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1030
Abstract
Geoethics is a field of knowledge currently in full development. Researchers in geoethics are primarily concerned with the anthropogenic interaction with the Earth system. Due to its nature, geoethics holds particular importance in sustainable development due to its nature as it aims to [...] Read more.
Geoethics is a field of knowledge currently in full development. Researchers in geoethics are primarily concerned with the anthropogenic interaction with the Earth system. Due to its nature, geoethics holds particular importance in sustainable development due to its nature as it aims to promote ethical human behaviour that does not negatively impact the Earth system. In the present research, we implemented an intervention program addressing various issues related to the sustainability of the Earth system, such as the exploitation of geological resources, the management of geological risks, and the conservation and promotion of geopatrimony. The intervention program was applied to higher education students in the geosciences field. A sample of 90 students from various geosciences courses completed an initial questionnaire, revealing limited knowledge about geoethics. This study resorted to mixed-method research involving interviews with some students who volunteered (n = 52). The results showed that after applying the intervention programme, most students developed a deeper understanding of the topics addressed and recognised the contributions this scientific area can make to sustainable development. Additional research in geoethics education is essential to foster the integration of geoethics into the curricula of higher education institutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Ethics in Geosciences)
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27 pages, 10621 KiB  
Article
Geomorphology, Geoarchaeology, and Geochronology of the Upper Pleistocene Archaeological Site of El Olivo Cave (Llanera, Asturias, Northern Spain)
by Jesús F. Jordá Pardo, David Álvarez-Alonso, María de Andrés-Herrero, Daniel Ballesteros, Pilar Carral, Aitor Hevia-Carrillo, Jorge Sanjurjo, Santiago Giralt and Montserrat Jiménez-Sánchez
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 301; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100301 - 7 Oct 2023
Viewed by 2273
Abstract
El Olivo Cave (Pruvia de Arriba, Llanera, Asturias, Spain) is a small karst cave located in the Aboño River basin and formed in the Cretaceous limestone of the Mesozoic cover of the Cantabrian Mountains (north of the Iberian Peninsula). It contains an important [...] Read more.
El Olivo Cave (Pruvia de Arriba, Llanera, Asturias, Spain) is a small karst cave located in the Aboño River basin and formed in the Cretaceous limestone of the Mesozoic cover of the Cantabrian Mountains (north of the Iberian Peninsula). It contains an important upper Pleistocene sedimentary, archaeological, and paleontological record, with abundant technological evidence and faunal remains. The archaeological record shows a first occupation that could correspond to the Middle Paleolithic and a second occupation in the Middle Magdalenian. The stratigraphic sequence inside and outside the cave was studied with geoarchaeological methodology. In this paper, the lithostratigraphic sequence is analyzed, and the data from the granulometric, mineralogical, edaphological, and radiometric analyses are presented. The results of these analyses enable an accurate interpretation of both the lithostratigraphy of the deposit and the processes responsible for its formation and subsequent evolution. The available numerical dates allow us to locate the first sedimentation episode in the cave in OIS 7a, in the Middle Pleistocene, the base of the outer fluvial sedimentation in the cold OIS 3a stage of the Upper Pleistocene and the Magdalenian occupation in the Last Glacial Maximum (OIS 2) at the end of the Late Pleistocene. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Pleistocene Hunter-Gatherers Geoarchaeology)
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35 pages, 20304 KiB  
Review
Metamorphic Remnants of the Variscan Orogeny across the Alps and Their Tectonic Significance
by Manuel Roda, Maria Iole Spalla, Marco Filippi, Jean-Marc Lardeaux, Gisella Rebay, Alessandro Regorda, Davide Zanoni, Michele Zucali and Guido Gosso
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 300; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100300 - 6 Oct 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1452
Abstract
Lithospheric slices preserving pre-Alpine metamorphic imprints are widely described in the Alps. The Variscan parageneses recorded in continental, oceanic, and mantle rocks suggest a heterogeneous metamorphic evolution across the Alpine domains. In this contribution, we collect quantitative metamorphic imprints and ages of samples [...] Read more.
Lithospheric slices preserving pre-Alpine metamorphic imprints are widely described in the Alps. The Variscan parageneses recorded in continental, oceanic, and mantle rocks suggest a heterogeneous metamorphic evolution across the Alpine domains. In this contribution, we collect quantitative metamorphic imprints and ages of samples that document Variscan tectonometamorphic evolution from 420 to 290 Ma. Based on age distribution and metamorphic imprint, three main stages can be identified for the Variscan evolution of the Alpine region: Devonian (early Variscan), late Devonian–late Carboniferous (middle Variscan), and late Carboniferous–early Permian (late Variscan). The dominant metamorphic imprint during Devonian times was recorded under eclogite and HP granulite facies conditions in the Helvetic–Dauphinois–Provençal, Penninic, and eastern Austroalpine domains and under Ep-amphibolite facies conditions in the Southalpine domain. These metamorphic conditions correspond to a mean Franciscan-type metamorphic field gradient. During the late Devonian–late Carboniferous period, in the Helvetic–Dauphinois–Provençal and central Austroalpine domains, the dominant metamorphic imprint developed under eclogite and HP granulite facies conditions with a Franciscan field gradient. Amphibolite facies conditions dominated in the Penninic and Southalpine domains and corresponded to a Barrovian-type metamorphic field gradient. At the Carboniferous–Permian transition, the metamorphic imprints mainly developed under amphibolite-LP granulite facies conditions in all domains of the Alps, corresponding to a mean metamorphic field gradient at the transition between Barrovian and Abukuma (Buchan) types. This distribution of the metamorphic imprints suggests a pre-Alpine burial of oceanic and continental crust underneath a continental upper plate, in a scenario of single or multiple oceanic subductions preceding the continental collision. Both scenarios are discussed and revised considering the consistency of collected data and a comparison with numerical models. Finally, the distribution of Devonian to Triassic geothermal gradients agrees with a sequence of events that starts with subduction, continues with continental collision, and ends with the continental thinning announcing the Jurassic oceanization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Structural Geology and Tectonics)
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17 pages, 5621 KiB  
Article
Weathering Effects on Engineering Geological Properties of Trachydacitic Volcanic Rocks from the Monte Amiata (Southern Tuscany, Italy)
by Enrico D’Addario, Giovanna Giorgetti, Claudia Magrini and Leonardo Disperati
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 299; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100299 - 6 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1087
Abstract
Variability in lithology and weathering degree affects physical and mechanical properties of rocks. In this study, we investigated the relationships between weathering degree and engineering geological properties of trachydacitic volcanic rocks from Monte Amiata (central Italy) by coupling field and laboratory analyses. We [...] Read more.
Variability in lithology and weathering degree affects physical and mechanical properties of rocks. In this study, we investigated the relationships between weathering degree and engineering geological properties of trachydacitic volcanic rocks from Monte Amiata (central Italy) by coupling field and laboratory analyses. We collected in situ Schmidt hammer tests in the field. We evaluated weathering quantifying the percentage of secondary minerals through thermal analysis in the laboratory. We also determined dry density (ρd), specific gravity of solids (Gs), porosity (n) and two-dimensional (2D) porosity as resulted from scanning electron microscopy investigations. The results of our study indicate a negative linear correlation between Schmidt hammer rebound values and secondary mineral percentage. This correlation provides a tool to quantitatively estimate the deterioration of rock uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) as weathering increases. Moreover, thermal analysis turned out to be a quantitative and reproducible method to evaluate weathering degree of magmatic rocks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geomechanics)
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15 pages, 28823 KiB  
Article
What Have We Learned from the Past? An Analysis of Ground Deformations in Urban Areas of Palermo (Sicily, Italy) by Means of Multi-Temporal Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry Techniques
by Nicola Angelo Famiglietti, Pietro Miele, Luigi Petti, Domenico Guida, Francesco Maria Guadagno, Raffaele Moschillo and Annamaria Vicari
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 298; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100298 - 2 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1345
Abstract
This study focuses on analyzing and monitoring urban subsidence, particularly in the city of Palermo, Italy. Land subsidence, induced by natural and human factors, poses threats to infrastructure and urban safety. Remote sensing (RS), specifically synthetic-aperture radar interferometry (In-SAR), is employed due to [...] Read more.
This study focuses on analyzing and monitoring urban subsidence, particularly in the city of Palermo, Italy. Land subsidence, induced by natural and human factors, poses threats to infrastructure and urban safety. Remote sensing (RS), specifically synthetic-aperture radar interferometry (In-SAR), is employed due to its ability to detect ground displacements over large areas with great precision. The persistent scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) technique is utilized to identify stable targets and track millimeter-level surface deformations. This research spans from October 2014 to October 2021, using Sentinel-1 satellite data to capture ground deformation from various angles. The findings are integrated into an accessible web app (ArcGIS) for local authorities that could be used aiding in urban planning and enhancing safety measures. This study’s results offer updated deformation maps, serving as an operational tool to support decision-making and community resilience, emphasizing risk awareness and responsible practices. This study highlights that the exponential expansion of urban areas, which does not take into account historical information, can gravely jeopardize both the integrity of urban infrastructure and the well-being of its inhabitants. In this context, remote sensing technologies emerge as an invaluable ally, used in monitoring and safeguarding the urban landscape. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Active Tectonics and Earthquakes)
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12 pages, 3424 KiB  
Perspective
Do Pegmatites Crystallise Fast? A Perspective from Petrologically-Constrained Isotopic Dating
by Daniil V. Popov
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 297; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100297 - 2 Oct 2023
Viewed by 1513
Abstract
Most recent studies consider the formation of individual pegmatite bodies to be a fast process with estimated crystal growth rates reaching a walloping 10 m/day. This opinion is presumably underpinned by the traditional way of thinking of them as the end products of [...] Read more.
Most recent studies consider the formation of individual pegmatite bodies to be a fast process with estimated crystal growth rates reaching a walloping 10 m/day. This opinion is presumably underpinned by the traditional way of thinking of them as the end products of magmatic fractionation. Indeed, modelling has shown that if a pegmatite-forming substance with a temperature near granitic solidus intrudes into a much colder host rock, as recorded in some outcrops, it must cool rapidly. From here, a conclusion is made that the crystallisation must likewise be rapid. However, this view is challenged by several studies that published isotopic dates supported by petrological characterisation of the analysed materials, which suggested or can be used to suggest that some minerals in pegmatites grew over millions of years. Surprisingly, such in-depth work on the geochronology of individual pegmatite bodies is relatively uncommon, so it is early to make generalisations. Here, I highlight some of the existing evidence with the aim to stimulate further research into the timescales of pegmatite crystallisation, including the use of petrologically constrained isotopic dating. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geochemistry)
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27 pages, 2923 KiB  
Article
Exploring Greek UNESCO Global Geoparks: A Systematic Review of Grey Literature on Greek Universities and Future Research Avenues for Sustainable Development
by Alexandros Aristotelis Koupatsiaris and Hara Drinia
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 296; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100296 - 1 Oct 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2204
Abstract
The relationship between humans and the environment in the modern world is challenging. UNESCO Global Geoparks are current holistic approaches for protecting and managing geographical areas that emphasise local communities and sustainability. This paper attempts to review the grey literature of Greek universities [...] Read more.
The relationship between humans and the environment in the modern world is challenging. UNESCO Global Geoparks are current holistic approaches for protecting and managing geographical areas that emphasise local communities and sustainability. This paper attempts to review the grey literature of Greek universities through their academic repositories, regarding the research field referred to as Greek UNESCO Global Geoparks from 2000 to 2022 and using the keyword “Geopark” to determine possible future research directions. Through the systematic literature review methodology, from 138 bibliographic sources, 28 were selected, which met the predefined criteria. In general, there is a growing scientific–academic interest in Geoparks, which mainly concerns the aspects of geotourism (n = 7), geology (n = 6), management (n = 4), and education (n = 4). Future research directions may focus on promoting the socio-economic and cultural aspects of Geoparks, investing in collaborative management and governance of Geoparks, facing climate change and environmental challenges in Geoparks, and enhancing Geoenvironmental Education in Geoparks. Such approaches may serve the United Nation’s Seventeen Sustainable Development Goals and cultivate cognitive and emotional bonds between local populations and the geoenvironment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geoheritage, Geoparks and Geotourism)
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25 pages, 7187 KiB  
Article
Long-Term Recurrence Pattern and Stress Transfer along the Kefalonia Transform Fault Zone (KTFZ), Greece: Implications in Seismic Hazard Evaluation
by Christos Kourouklas, Eleftheria Papadimitriou and Vasileios Karakostas
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 295; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100295 - 28 Sep 2023
Viewed by 1262
Abstract
An effort is exerted to investigate the recurrence pattern of large earthquakes (Mw ≥ 6.0) in the Kefalonia Transform Fault Zone (KTFZ), Greece, by considering the incorporation of the 74-year (1948–2022) evolving stress field. Four earthquake occurrence models—the Poisson, Poisson with [...] Read more.
An effort is exerted to investigate the recurrence pattern of large earthquakes (Mw ≥ 6.0) in the Kefalonia Transform Fault Zone (KTFZ), Greece, by considering the incorporation of the 74-year (1948–2022) evolving stress field. Four earthquake occurrence models—the Poisson, Poisson with the incorporation of the static stress changes (Poisson + ΔCFF), Brownian passage time (BPT) and Brownian passage time with the incorporation of the static stress changes (BPT + ΔCFF)—have been applied to estimate the occurrence probabilities of nearly characteristic earthquakes for the seven fault segments of the study area. The mean recurrence time, Tr, is estimated using the physics-based seismic moment rate conservation method. The results show large variability depending upon fault parameters. Incorporating the state of stress into Tr results in both advanced and delayed recurrence patterns. The occurrence probability estimates for the next 10, 20 and 30 years indicate that the fault segment most likely to be ruptured is the Paliki North fault segment in all models. Overall, the occurrence probabilities, combined with the state of stress along the fault segments, emphasize the high seismic moment rate of the study area. The application of time-dependent models (BPT, BPT + ΔCFF) resulted in significant increases or decreases in the associated seismic hazard. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Seismic Hazard Assessment and Earthquake Risk Mitigation)
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20 pages, 9132 KiB  
Article
Comparative Evaluation of Empirical Approaches and Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Predicting Uniaxial Compressive Strength of Rock
by Chuanqi Li, Jian Zhou, Daniel Dias, Kun Du and Manoj Khandelwal
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 294; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100294 - 28 Sep 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1165
Abstract
The uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) of rocks is one of the key parameters for evaluating the safety and stability of civil and mining structures. In this study, 386 rock samples containing four properties named the load strength (PLS), the porosity (Pn), [...] Read more.
The uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) of rocks is one of the key parameters for evaluating the safety and stability of civil and mining structures. In this study, 386 rock samples containing four properties named the load strength (PLS), the porosity (Pn), the P-wave velocity (Vp), and the Schmidt hardness rebound number (SHR) are utilized to predict the UCS using several typical empirical equations (EA) and artificial intelligence (AI) methods, i.e., 16 single regression (SR) equations, 2 multiple regression (MR) equations, and the random forest (RF) models optimized by grey wolf optimization (GWO), moth flame optimization (MFO), lion swarm optimization (LSO), and sparrow search algorithm (SSA). The root mean square error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R2), Willmott’s index (WI), and variance accounted for (VAF) are used to evaluate the predictive performance of all developed models. The evaluation results show that the overall performance of AI models is superior to empirical approaches, especially the LSO-RF model. In addition, the most important input variable is the Pn for predicting the UCS. Therefore, AI techniques are considered as more efficient and accurate approaches to replace the empirical equations for predicting the UCS of these collected rock samples, which provides a reliable and effective idea to predict the rock UCS in the filed site. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geophysics)
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24 pages, 13722 KiB  
Article
Prediction of Water Quality in Reservoirs: A Comparative Assessment of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Approaches in the Case of Toowoomba, Queensland, Australia
by Syeda Zehan Farzana, Dev Raj Paudyal, Sreeni Chadalavada and Md Jahangir Alam
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 293; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100293 - 27 Sep 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1744
Abstract
The effective management of surface water bodies, such as rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, necessitates a comprehensive understanding of water quality status. Altered precipitation patterns due to climate change may significantly affect the water quality and influence treatment procedures. This study aims to identify [...] Read more.
The effective management of surface water bodies, such as rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, necessitates a comprehensive understanding of water quality status. Altered precipitation patterns due to climate change may significantly affect the water quality and influence treatment procedures. This study aims to identify the most suitable water quality prediction models for the assessment of the water quality status for three water supply reservoirs in Toowoomba, Australia. It employed four machine learning and two deep learning models for determining the Water Quality Index (WQI) based on five parameters sensitive to rainfall impact. Temporal WQI variations over a period of 22 years (2000–2022) are scrutinised across 4 seasons and 12 months. Through regression analysis, both machine learning and deep learning models anticipate WQI gauged by seven accuracy metrics. Notably, XGBoost and GRU yielded exceptional outcomes, showcasing an R2 value of 0.99. Conversely, Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) demonstrated moderate accuracy with results hovering at 88% to 90% for water quality prediction across all reservoirs. The Coefficient of Efficiency (CE) and Willmott Index (d) showed that the models capture patterns well, while MAE, MAPE and RMSE provided good performance metrics for the RFR, XGBoost and GRU models. These models have provided valuable knowledge that can be utilised to assess the adverse consequences of extreme climate events such as shifts in rainfall patterns. These insights can be used to improve strategies for managing water bodies more effectively. Full article
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13 pages, 2706 KiB  
Article
Trace Element Patterns in Heterogeneous Land–Sea Sediments: A Comprehensive Study of the Ulla–Arousa System (SW Europe)
by Gonzalo Farinango, Miguel Ángel Álvarez-Vázquez and Ricardo Prego
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 292; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100292 - 25 Sep 2023
Viewed by 913
Abstract
In the continuum of the land–sea interface, sediment reservoirs are often considered separately. Therefore, integrative research is necessary. This study focuses on sediments throughout the tributaries–river–estuary–ria pathway of the Ulla–Arousa system, aiming to quantify trace element contents, identify land sources, determine background levels, [...] Read more.
In the continuum of the land–sea interface, sediment reservoirs are often considered separately. Therefore, integrative research is necessary. This study focuses on sediments throughout the tributaries–river–estuary–ria pathway of the Ulla–Arousa system, aiming to quantify trace element contents, identify land sources, determine background levels, and assess sediment enrichment and contamination states. The elements Al, As, Cr, Cu, Fe, Ni, Pb, Sb, U, and Zn were determined in 78 sediment stations. Two approaches were considered. First, background functions and enrichment factors were estimated using Al or U as the reference element. Second, a statistical study was conducted using distribution analysis, which helped identify trace element sources and their influences throughout the basin. The results revealed two significant sources of trace elements. One source is the amphibolite massif of the Arinteiro Unit, influencing the Brandelos (Cu) and Lañas (Fe) tributaries. Another source is the Deza tributary (As, Sb). However, these alterations do not reach the estuary, where anthropogenic sources (Cr, Cu, Ni) dominate. In the inner Ria of Arousa, only a light Cr enrichment was observed. The integrated study of the Ulla–Arousa system provides valuable patterns to understand and address heterogeneous land–sea systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sedimentology, Stratigraphy and Palaeontology)
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21 pages, 9095 KiB  
Article
The Mechanical Characterization of Pyroclastic Deposits for Landslide Early Warning Systems
by Emilia Damiano, Martina de Cristofaro, Antonia Brunzo, Goffredo Carrieri, Luisa Iavazzo, Nadia Netti and Lucio Olivares
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 291; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100291 - 23 Sep 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1178
Abstract
Broad mountainous areas in the western Campania (southern Italy), where young pyroclastic deposits extensively outcrop, frequently experience rainfall-induced slope movements of different degrees of mobility, causing heavy damage and fatalities. Such landslides cannot be easily mitigated, and the implementation of physically based early [...] Read more.
Broad mountainous areas in the western Campania (southern Italy), where young pyroclastic deposits extensively outcrop, frequently experience rainfall-induced slope movements of different degrees of mobility, causing heavy damage and fatalities. Such landslides cannot be easily mitigated, and the implementation of physically based early warning systems is still not able to predict the post-failure evolution of slope movements and the exposed areas at risk. This paper is devoted to overcoming this limit. To this end, the mechanical characterization of pyroclastic soil, carried out through an extensive laboratory testing program, is presented and compared with those of two other ashy soils of different depositional mechanisms. The results show that the depositional mode influences soil properties; to begin with, it affects the unsaturated shear strength, whose intercept of cohesion is up to 5 kPa higher in ashes of flow deposition than in airfall ash deposits. The saturated undrained soil response allowed for the identification of different levels of susceptibility to the liquefaction of pyroclastic deposits, which is one of the main factors governing the post-failure evolution of landslides. Gathering all the acquired information, including saturated and unsaturated soil shear strength, permeability function, and water retention curves, into a soil database, it was possible to present all data under a unitary framework. Finally, the implementation of the proposed flowchart for a simplified assessment of post-failure evolution to be employed in regional early warning systems can enhance our knowledge of the areas at risk. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Geotechnics for Hazard Mitigation)
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15 pages, 3389 KiB  
Article
Enrichment of Low-Level Tritium in Groundwater via an Electrolysis Process for Liquid Scintillation Counting Applications
by Al Mamun
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 290; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100290 - 23 Sep 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1275
Abstract
Tritium levels in the groundwater of arid regions are very low; in most cases, these low tritium levels cannot be detected using a conventional liquid scintillation counter (LSC). To measure the tritium activity concentration, low-level tritium in groundwater needs to be enriched by [...] Read more.
Tritium levels in the groundwater of arid regions are very low; in most cases, these low tritium levels cannot be detected using a conventional liquid scintillation counter (LSC). To measure the tritium activity concentration, low-level tritium in groundwater needs to be enriched by a known factor so that the scintillation counter can detect it. An electrolysis process with electrolytic cells was designed and fabricated in our laboratory following the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) instructions. Nine spiked samples with a known quantity of tritium were enriched, and the tritium activity concentration was measured using the scintillation counter. The enriched water exhibits a comparable level of spiked samples, albeit with some degree of uncertainty. A correlation was drawn among the tritium activity, enrichment factor, and the required time for the electrolysis procedure. This study confirmed that an enrichment process of approximately ten- to fortyfold of the initial concentration of the tritium could be achieved using the electrolysis process with the fabricated electrolytic cells. The simple design and fabrication of the electrolysis process by controlling various parameters make it affordable to measure low-level tritium using a conventional LSC. Various statistical analyses confirmed the accuracy and precision of the data obtained by the electrolysis process. This enrichment technique would prove valuable in regions where tritium levels in groundwater are extremely low, making them challenging to detect using conventional liquid scintillation counter. Full article
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31 pages, 11012 KiB  
Article
The Open Landslide Project (OLP), a New Inventory of Shallow Landslides for Susceptibility Models: The Autumn 2019 Extreme Rainfall Event in the Langhe-Monferrato Region (Northwestern Italy)
by Michele Licata, Victor Buleo Tebar, Francesco Seitone and Giandomenico Fubelli
Geosciences 2023, 13(10), 289; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100289 - 23 Sep 2023
Viewed by 1164
Abstract
Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose significant threats to human settlements and infrastructure in temperate and equatorial climate regions. This study focuses on the development of the Open Landslide Project (OLP), an open source landslide inventory aimed at facilitating geostatistical analyses and landslide [...] Read more.
Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose significant threats to human settlements and infrastructure in temperate and equatorial climate regions. This study focuses on the development of the Open Landslide Project (OLP), an open source landslide inventory aimed at facilitating geostatistical analyses and landslide risk management. Using a multidisciplinary approach and open source, multisatellite imagery data, more than 3000 landslides triggered by the extreme rainfall of autumn 2019 in northwestern Italy were systematically mapped. The inventory creation process followed well-defined criteria and underwent rigorous validation to ensure accuracy and reliability. The dataset’s suitability was confirmed through multivariate correlation and Double Pareto probably density function. The OLP inventory effectiveness in assessing landslide risks was proved by the development of a landslide susceptibility model using binary logistic regression. The analysis of rainfall and lithology revealed that regions with lower rainfall levels experienced a higher occurrence of landslides compared to areas with higher peak rainfall. This was attributed to the response of the lithological composition to rainfalls. The findings of this research contribute to the understanding and management of landslide risks in anthropized climate regions. The OLP has proven to be a valuable resource for future geostatistical analysis. Full article
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