1. Introduction
Pricing contingent claims in complete markets has garnered significant attention since the seminal work of Black, Scholes and Margrabe in [
1,
2]. After this revolutionary change, refs. [
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8] expanded this field of study in various aspects. In 1976, Merton priced options with discontinuous underlying stock returns, addressing the stochastic volatility problem and providing a solution to it. Merton examined cases where prices were driven by jump-diffusion processes. Building upon Merton’s work, refs. [
7,
9] extended the jump-diffusion model and introduced the double exponential jump-diffusion model, which allows closed-form solutions for path-dependent options. They proposed an analytical solution for path-dependent options and an analytic approximation for finite-horizon American options. Refs. [
10,
11] provide extensive information on different aspects of financial modeling, from the basic mathematical tools to option pricing in models with jumps, including multi-dimensional models and, importantly, pricing and hedging in incomplete markets. Efficient hedging of contingent claims is well established in complete markets characterized by the same interest rate for credit and deposit accounts. (Refer to [
12] for detailed insights). However, our focus shifts to a more realistic financial market scenario, introducing a two-interest-rate model where the credit rate surpasses the deposit rate, aligning more closely with real-world financial markets (as discussed in [
13]). In this paper, we consider a multi-dimensional model featuring
securities, encompassing two risk-free assets,
d stocks driven by a
d-dimensional Brownian motion, and
stocks influenced by an
-dimensional Poisson process.
Given the incompleteness of the market with two interest rates [
14], we transform it into a suitable auxiliary market using a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion model incorporating two interest rates [
15].
When aiming to minimize the risk of expected shortfall, the investor operates with an initial capital lower than the necessary Black–Scholes fair price. In this scenario, wherein the value of a portfolio at the maturity time
T with the initial wealth
x is less than the contingent claim at time
T (i.e.,
, the investor seeks to determine the optimal strategy that minimizes the expected value of their shortfall
, taking into account a weighted loss function. Ref. [
16] minimizes the shortfall risk in the jump-diffusion model. For details on shortfall risk minimization, refer to [
17].
Incomplete markets typically allow for infinitely many equivalent martingale measures, leading to non-uniqueness in the no-arbitrage price of a contingent claim. Researchers address this challenge through various approaches, such as market completion by introducing specific sets of assets (refer to [
18,
19]). We introduce certain conditions under which a given set of assets completes the original market, enabling the determination of the range within which the no-arbitrage price can be obtained. The structure of this paper unfolds as follows:
Section 2 provides an overview of the market model.
Section 3 delves into contingent claim valuation within complete markets, accompanied by a theorem presenting a comprehensive solution to the contingent claim problem in such markets. In
Section 4, we establish a martingale measure for the new auxiliary market characterized by a higher interest rate for the credit account. Additionally, in
Section 5, we explore the concept of shortfall risk, acknowledging situations where achieving a perfect hedge might be infeasible, yet it remains possible to minimize the expected shortfall risk, as demonstrated towards the end of this section. The final section will explore pricing contingent claims via market completion in
-market, where we study no-arbitrage price bounds in incomplete markets.
2. The Market Model
Let be a filtered probability space with a complete and right-continuous filtration . Assume there are continuously traded securities, including two risk-free assets, d stocks driven by an -valued Brownian motion , and a -dimensional multivariate Poisson process with a positive intensity . This intensity is independent of W and is denoted by , representing the rate of the jump process at time t. The process is -predictable, positive, and uniformly bounded over .
The price of the
stock,
, is determined by the following equation
where
,
for all
, and
,
, and
.
and
are matrix-valued processes such that
row is given by
, and
for
, respectively. We assume
,
, and
are uniformly bounded in
. Henceforth, the dynamics of the price in Equation (
1) possess a unique solution under these assumptions. We also define the volatility coefficients
, forming an
full-rank matrix, ensuring that
a.s. for all
.
Considering jumps and stochastic jump sizes introduces incompleteness to the market. However, in our model, we assume that the size of the jumps is predictable. The market incompleteness arises from denoting two different interest rates, as described below.
Let us consider one deposit account
with the interest rate
and one credit account
with the interest rate
satisfying
Given that, in reality, the credit rate is always higher than the deposit rate, we assume constant values for
and
such that
and investors are not allowed to borrow and lend money simultaneously.
The market described above is denoted as the -market.
In the
-market, we denote
and
as the number of units invested in the
and
accounts, respectively, and
, where
represents the number of units invested in the
stock. The portfolio process is then denoted as follows
The value of the portfolio
is given by
with
,
, and
where
x is the initial value (initial capital) of the portfolio. This portfolio is self-financing (SF) if
Denote the class of admissible portfolio strategies with initial capital
x by
Any non-negative
-measurable random variable
is called a contingent claim with maturity time
T. A market is complete if and only if any contingent claim
can be replicated. Namely, there exists an initial capital
x and
such that:
Let us consider (or ) as the investor’s wealth (or debt) at time t and call it the wealth process (or debt process) if (or ) is generated by a self-financing and admissible strategy.
Since the
-market is not a complete market, standard methods for pricing and investing do not work. To address this, we transform the market into an auxiliary market
. In this market,
is the bank account with the interest rate
Note that the -market is complete for every z satisfying for any .
Now, we derive the dynamics of the wealth and debt processes in the -market.
By the self-financing wealth process
,
where
,
. Then,
Recalling
, and noting
, and
, we obtain
Taking the same steps, one can observe that the stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the seller is as follows:
A hedging strategy against f in the -market is not necessarily a hedging strategy against f in the -market. In this regard, we first pay attention to contingent claim valuation in the complete markets and then in the -market.
3. Contingent Claim Valuation in Complete Markets
As mentioned in the previous section, any non-negative
-measurable random variable
is called a contingent claim with maturity
T. The
-market is complete if and only if any contingent claim
can be replicated. This means that there exists an initial wealth
x and a strategy
such that
. We show that this is the only price for a contingent claim, preventing any arbitrage opportunities. To do that, we define a unique equivalent martingale measure. Let us consider
where
is an
-valued process,
is an
-valued process, and
is the
volatility matrix process. Let us define the following processes
and
where
is the time of the n-th jump, and is the number of type k random jumps to the market by time t.
Lemma 1. The process Z defined byis a P-martingale with . Define an auxiliary probability measure on as Then, and are martingales under P. In particular, the jump process admits -stochastic intensity Theorem 1. Let f be a given contingent claim. The fair price of f is given byand there exists a unique (up to equivalence) corresponding hedging strategy π with corresponding wealth process satisfying Here, E means expectation with respect to P.
The discount process
is defined as
4. Contingent Claim Valuation When the Interest Rate for the Credit Account Is Higher Than the Interest Rate for the Deposit Account
Now, we transform the problem of contingent claim valuation in the
-market to a suitable complete market
. By substituting
with
and defining
,
,
,
, and
as in
Section 3, one can obtain the same results. Then, the fair price
of the contingent claim
f in the
-market is given by
where
is the expectation with respect to the probability measure
.
The following lemma relates the -market to the -market. In other words, we obtain a condition under which the wealth processes corresponding to a portfolio process coincide in the -market and -market, respectively.
Lemma 2. Let ξ be a portfolio process, and and be the wealth processes in the market and , respectively. Denotethenif and only if Proof. follows the stochastic differential equation
By comparing Equation (
24) to the stochastic differential equation for
as
and by the assumption
then
is equivalent to
By recalling the relation
for
, one can find the equivalence of Equations (
23) and (
26). □
Statement 1. Let be a predictable process with values in the interval Assume that is the optimal hedging strategy against the claim in the -market and satisfies the condition in Equation (23). Then, (resp. ), the initial price of the minimal hedge in against , is equal to (resp. ), the initial price of the minimal hedging strategy in .
Proof. First, we demonstrate that the minimal hedging strategy
in the
-market is also a hedging strategy in the
-market under relation Equation (
23). Let
be the initial capital associated with that hedge in the
-market.
If
satisfies Equation (
23), then the stochastic differential equations of the wealth processes
and
in the markets
and
, respectively, coincide. By taking
as the initial price in both markets, we establish the equality between the two processes at any time
. Consequently,
Now, let us show that, under the assumption of Statement 1, the strategy
is minimal among the hedges against
in the
-market. To achieve this aim, it is sufficient to establish
where
x represents the initial capital of
, an arbitrary strategy in the
-market.
denotes the expected value under the martingale measure in Lemma 1. Let
be the wealth process corresponding to the arbitrary strategy
. We show
Let us consider the discounted wealth process
; then, by using Ito’s formula
Note that
and
is a
local martingale.
From integrating the relation Equation (
32) and taking the
expectation, we obtain
Since
is a hedge for
, that yields
Given that the relation Equation (
23) is satisfied,
is an initial price of a hedge for
in
-market. Therefore,
For the case of Put, the proof is similar. □
Following the above statement and Lemma 2, the wealth process in the
-market, denoted as
, coincides with the wealth process in the
-market, denoted as
, and
Therefore, we assert that the minimal hedge
in the
-market against
is also a hedge in the
-market if the relation Equation (
23) holds.
Statement 2. Let f be a given contingent claim, and let , be a progressively measurable process satisfying the condition . If the minimal hedging strategy corresponding to the solution of the contingent claim valuation problem for f in the -market satisfies the equationthen is also a hedge against in the -market. Furthermore, if (resp. ), the fair price of the claim in the -market, verifies (resp. ), thenwhere (resp. ) is the initial debt of the minimal hedge (i.e., the seller’s price). Namely, Before proving this statement, we state the following lemma.
Lemma 3. The minimal hedging strategy against in the market (for the buyer) is also the minimal hedging strategy against (for the seller) in the same market.
Proof. The stochastic differential equations of the debt and wealth processes coincide in the
market. Therefore, if
is a hedge against
in the
market, we have
By taking
as the initial price for the debt process,
Hence, is a hedge against in the market.
□
Now let us return to the proof of Statement 2.
Proof of Statement 2. Provided that relation Equation (
23) verifies
as a hedge in
against
, with an initial price of
, it is sufficient to find a minimal hedge in the latter market. Assume
, and let
y be the initial value for the debt process generated by
, an arbitrary strategy in the
-market. We aim to show that
Accordingly, any hedging strategy against
has an initial value less than
. However,
is the initial debt of the hedge
against
in the
-market. Therefore,
provides the lowest initial debt in
. Any hedging strategy against
in
is a hedging strategy against the same claim in
where
However, by definition, . Therefore, .
The proof holds for both Call and Put options. □
Now, let us provide an approximation of the arbitrage-free prices for the claim
. In this scenario, we calculate the supremum and infimum over auxiliary markets to find approximations for the upper and lower hedging prices of the claim. Therefore, the arbitrage-free interval of prices can be approximated as follows:
Example 1. Consider the European call option on Stock 1 with maturity T, exercise price K, volatility , and interest rate . The value of the option can be expressed as follows: Here, represents the price of a call option driven by the Black–Scholes formulawhere Here, is the standard normal distribution function. In Example 1, represents the total jump intensity: One can approximate the upper and lower hedging prices for Example 1 within the interval: By the Call–Put parity, a similar method can be applied to 5. The Shortfall Risk Minimization Problem
In this section, we study the case where the initial wealth
x is less than the required expected value of
denoted by
. In this case, it is unlikely to apply a perfect hedge; however, it is possible to minimize the risk of shortfall corresponding to the initial cost constraint by considering the following optimization problem:
Here, is the loss function with , and , i.e., the set of all admissible portfolios with initial capital x. is the contingent claim with the maturity time T for some . is the wealth process.
In this problem set, if x is greater than the replication cost , the completeness of the market allows the investor to hedge the contingent claim without taking risks. On the other hand, if x is strictly less than the replication cost of , there is a potential for a shortfall. We have the option to divide this problem into a perfect hedging problem of and a utility minimization problem.
In the context of a
-market, solving the problem Equation (
53) involves identifying the optimal strategy for maximizing expected utility and determining the perfect hedge for the claim
.
Let us denote
as the set of portfolio processes
and
,
a.s., where
. Then, the optimal solution for Equation (
53) is
where
is the perfect hedge for
and
is the optimal strategy for the following optimization problem
Theorem 2. (i) Let be the optimal portfolio proportions for for every . The optimal portfolio, denoted by , obtained from is given by the system of equations: Solving for and , we obtainwhere q is such that (ii) The cost function is given bywhere is the replication cost of , and(iii) The optimal wealth is given by See Kane and Melnikov [21]. Now, we present a solution to the problem Equation (
53) in a two-interest-rate market.
Theorem 3. Let be the wealth process in the satisfying Equation (24), and the wealth process in the -market satisfying Equation (25) with initial capital x. Assume , the optimal proportion for problem Equation (53) in the -market verifies Equation (23), and , the optimal strategy hedging in the -market, satisfies the conditions in Statement Section 4. Then, in the -market: (i) The cost function Equation (53) is given by Equation (56). (ii) The optimal proportions invested areand on the deposit account and on the credit account. Proof. The proof follows a similar structure to the one presented by Kane and Melnikov [
21] in the multi-dimensional case. □
6. Pricing Contingent Claims via Market Completion in -Market
In this section, our aim is to study no-arbitrage price bounds in incomplete markets. To initiate our analysis, we examine the market , which is characterized by multi-dimensional risky assets and one non-risky asset and results in a single interest rate. Our objective is to price contingent claims in incomplete markets, prompting a transition to a market with two different interests later on, resulting in market incompleteness.
Assuming that the dynamics of the risky assets follow Equation (
1), with parameters and assumptions identical, we introduce a non-risky asset governed by
Let be a -valued process for , representing a portfolio. We assume that almost surely under the probability measure P.
The value of the portfolio, denoted by
, is given by
It suffices to assume that our market is arbitrage-free if there exists an equivalent martingale measure, i.e., a measure equivalent to
P under which the value of any self-financing strategy is a local martingale. The existence of this measure can be inferred by assuming at least one predictable process
, where
and
are defined on
-valued Brownian motion and a
-dimensional Poisson process, respectively, such that the process
satisfies
where
represents a vector of ones. Henceforth, we assume the existence of at least one process
as described above. Let us define the probability measure such that
Define
a non-negative local martingale (See [
19]) with
for all
. The sufficient condition for market completeness is the uniqueness of the equivalent martingale measure. Therefore, our market is complete if
is a martingale and Equation (
60) has only one solution such that
for
.
Assume
represents the set of all possible equivalent martingale measures in this market, i.e.,
is the set of all
which solve relation Equation (
60) with
for
, and
is a martingale in this set. Therefore, the unique parameters of this are given by
Proposition 1 ([
5] Theorem 4.2).
Let Ξ
denote the set of all equivalent martingale measures in the -market, and let . Then, if and only if . Let us denote an -measurable random variable as a contingent claim such that for all .
Consider the case where the financial market has the same deposit and credit rates, i.e.,
. This assumption leads to considering the same deposit and credit account
. Finally, with this assumption, we are describing the
-market with a portfolio process
. In this case, the capital follows
In such a market, the unique element of
is given by
where
for all
.
Let us return to the -market where the credit rate is higher than the deposit rate. This market is incomplete due to differing borrowing and lending rates. We establish a no-arbitrage price bound over the set of equivalent martingale measures in this incomplete market. When a market is incomplete, replicating all contingent claims becomes impossible. However, by introducing specific sets of assets, we can achieve market completeness.
We broaden the set of admissible strategies to include investment strategies with consumption, represented by an -dimensional -adapted portfolio process , where for .
The value of such a portfolio is given by
We then determine the upper and lower hedging prices as follows:
The seller price,
, represents the smallest initial capital required for the investor to establish their portfolio. The buyer price,
, is the largest initial capital required for the investor to pay, ensuring they would not want to pay more than this amount. The upper and lower hedging prices are determined by taking the infimum and supremum over the set of all equivalent martingale measures
accommodated in market with the interest rate
where
z satisfying
, for each
z as follows:
Now, we consider the case discussed in
Section 4 and introduce the interest rate
as defined in Statement 1, ensuring that the assumption for market completeness is satisfied. We provide an approximate price by defining the upper and lower completion prices
and
as follows
Example 2. In this example, we present a method for approximating the price of a contingent claim within a two-interest-rate jump-diffusion model. The pricing formula utilized is derived from the book [22] as follows:where denotes the price determined by the Black–Scholes formula Equation (49). Parameters from Model 3 of Example 4.2 in the book [23] are employedand , , , , and over the years 1999 to 2004.Assuming that ,(See [22], pages 39–41). Since we find the interval for z as . Using Equations (65) and (66) we approximate the price bounds Thus, the estimated contingent claim price lies within the interval .
7. Conclusions and Future Work
In this study, we began with a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion model, termed the
-market, where the credit rate surpasses the deposit rate. However, due to its incompleteness, standard pricing and investment methods do not apply. To overcome this, we transformed the market into an auxiliary
where
, achieving completeness for each
within the range
for any
. By demonstrating the coincidence of wealth processes in both the
-market and the
-market, subject to condition Equation (
23), we calculated upper and lower hedging prices using supremum and infimum over auxiliary markets. For future research, expanding the model introduced in this paper and incorporating a Levy model could enhance the accuracy of hedging price approximations. Interested readers can explore related works in [
10,
24,
25,
26].