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16 October 2022

Multiple Sclerosis Diagnosis Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning: Challenges and Opportunities

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Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia
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Department of Computer Information Systems, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia
3
Department of Physiology, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a disease that impacts the central nervous system (CNS), which can lead to brain, spinal cord, and optic nerve problems. A total of 2.8 million are estimated to suffer from MS. Globally, a new case of MS is reported every five minutes. In this review, we discuss the proposed approaches to diagnosing MS using machine learning (ML) published between 2011 and 2022. Numerous models have been developed using different types of data, including magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical data. We identified the methods that achieved the best results in diagnosing MS. The most implemented approaches are SVM, RF, and CNN. Moreover, we discussed the challenges and opportunities in MS diagnosis to improve AI systems to enable researchers and practitioners to enhance their approaches and improve the automated diagnosis of MS. The challenges faced by automated MS diagnosis include difficulty distinguishing the disease from other diseases showing similar symptoms, protecting the confidentiality of the patients’ data, achieving reliable ML models that are also easily understood by non-experts, and the difficulty of collecting a large reliable dataset. Moreover, we discussed several opportunities in the field such as the implementation of secure platforms, employing better AI solutions, developing better disease prognosis systems, combining more than one data type for better MS prediction and using OCT data for diagnosis, utilizing larger, multi-center datasets to improve the reliability of the developed models, and commercialization.

1. Introduction

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune chronic demyelinating disease that impacts the central nervous system (CNS). It is characterized mainly by inflammation and neurodegeneration. Pathologically, the disease is manifested by MS plaques or lesions. These are focal areas of demyelination affecting predominantly the white matter of the central nervous system. MS has four types which are relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), primary-progressive MS (PPMS), secondary-progressive MS (SPMS), and progressive-relapsing MS (PRMS) [1].
A total of 2.8 million are estimated to suffer from MS globally, with a prevalence rate of 35.9 per 100,000 [2]. Globally, a new case of MS is reported every five minutes [3]. MS mainly occurs in young adults, and is more common among females [4]. MS symptoms vary widely among patients. Symptoms include weak limbs, blurred vision, dizziness, fatigue, and tingling sensations [3].There is no definite cause for MS. However, research suggests that environmental factors play a role in triggering the disease in genetically susceptible individuals [5].
A reliable and precise diagnosis of MS is critical for enabling early interventions for the disease, as disease-modifying drugs aid in managing symptoms and preventing disease progression [6]. The diagnosis of MS is based on the presence of CNS lesions that are separated in both time and space and on the exclusion of all other diseases that mimic MS both clinically and radiologically [7]. There is no certain laboratory test for the diagnosis of the disease [8]. Therefore, the current 2017 McDonald diagnostic criteria for MS combine clinical assessment, imaging, and laboratory findings [9].
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is currently the most effective tool for the diagnosis of MS [10], understanding the course of the disease, and examining the effects of treatments in experiments [11]. However, MS diagnosis using MRI is time-consuming, tiresome, and susceptible to manual errors. Therefore, artificial intelligence (AI) is being used to automate MS diagnosis using machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques [12,13]. ML is a type of AI where computers are given the opportunity to learn without being explicitly programmed, while DL is a subset of ML composed of algorithms permitting the software to train itself to perform tasks by exposing multilayered neural networks to vast amounts of data.
Several papers have performed a review of the past research in MS diagnosis using AI techniques such as [12] that reviewed most previous papers that used DL techniques for the automated diagnosis of MS through MRI scans. They discussed the most used preprocessing techniques and presented the current challenges and possible future research opportunities.
In addition, Arani et al. [14] aimed to find the most efficient methods and techniques used for MS diagnosis. The authors analyzed the performance of those methods to recommend the most adequate one. They found that rule-based, fuzzy logic (FL), and artificial neural network (ANN) are the most widely used methods for diagnosing MS. They also identified the limitations of all these techniques and recommended using a combination to overcome the drawbacks of each technique and thus improve the accuracy of the diagnostic systems.
Similarly, Seccia et al. [15] reviewed studies that used computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) using clinical data alone or in conjunction with other forms of data to build prognostic models for MS. They pointed out some problems with the datasets used and recommended more collaboration between clinicians and computer scientists. Their findings imply that even though the number of publications in the field is huge, a clinically usable prognostic model for MS disease does not exist yet.
Among the many benefits of DL and ML throughout the history of medicine, both can assist clinicians in the following: first in predicting those who are susceptible to the disease and hence alerting them regarding avoiding any triggers; second, in early and accurately diagnosing the disease, leading to utilizing therapeutic agents that are known to delay the prognosis of the disease and subsequently improving the quality of life of those patients; third, in predicting the transformation of the disease from one mild type to the other based on analyzing various blood, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and radiological markers; and fourth, in predicting the usefulness of certain medications in preventing the deterioration of the disease as well as treatment monitoring.
This paper provides a comprehensive review of the current literature studying different MS diagnosis techniques such as MRI, clinical data, and OCT using DL and ML. Most of the papers published since 2011 are organized and analyzed in a tabular form and examined from different viewpoints, including ML and DL models, dataset size, and performance. The keywords used to search for these papers are multiple sclerosis, diagnosis, machine learning, and deep learning. The main focus of this paper is automated MS diagnosis. However, a few progression papers have been included in this review as well. Moreover, the paper highlights some challenges and opportunities in the field of automated MS diagnosis.
The remaining part of this work is organized as follows: Section 2 presents numerous AI-based diagnosis approaches found in the literature. The most widely used algorithms and data types are discussed in Section 3. Finally, Section 4 concludes this paper.

3. Discussion

In this study, we reviewed studies related to the diagnosis of MS using ML and DL that were performed in the last decade. We aimed to identify the techniques and data types that have been widely used in the automated diagnosis of MS and also identified the techniques that produced significant results. Furthermore, we enlisted the open source datasets available for the MS diagnosis in Table 3. Some of the studies have also shared their source code and are mentioned in Table 4. In the section below, we first discuss the data modalities used for the diagnosis, the discussion about the studies that achieved 100% results, widely used algorithms in the literature, followed by the challenges and opportunities.
It was found from the reviewed studies that the diagnosis of MS was performed using multiple data sources such as questionnaire data, clinical data, MRI scans, OCT data, serological measures, blood biomarkers and MEP. Some studies performed MS diagnosis using only one type of data, while others used a combination of features like clinical data, MRI, and MEP [57]. As seen in Figure 1, the highest number of studies used MRI data for the diagnosis followed by clinical data. The other common category includes the data related to RAN, MRS, MEP, brain connectivity features, EEG signals, ERG and blood biomarkers. However, the combined category contains the combination of clinical data with the other data like MRI, MEP and OCT. It can be seen from Table 1 and Table 2 that eight studies produced results of 100% for at least one measure. MRI is one of the most widely used diagnosis methods for neurological diseases because it generates accurate and fast results, and it is a secure and non-invasive procedure [107]. However, it is worth mentioning that among the studies that produced 100% results, 5 of the studies used MRI, while the other studies used different datatypes like OCT, ERG, and clinical features. Vatian et al. [104] used MRI and the radiologist notes to train the model. That study combined text mining with image analysis. Table 5 contains the details of the clinical data category used in the studies discussed in Section 2.1 and 2.2 The data consist of symptoms, demographic data such as age, weight, gender, BMI, race etc., micro-RNA structure data, medication, expanded disability status scale (EDSS), relapses, blood plasma results, lip serum, clinical history, cytokine biomarkers, and PBMC transcriptomics profiles etc. However, some studies combined different modalities like MRI and demographic data, MRI and textual information provided by the radiologist, OCT and EDSS, MRI and EDSS and demographic data.
Figure 1. Distribution of the previous studies based on the data modalities used for the MS diagnosis.
Table 5. Summary of the previous studies that used clinical data.
However, it should be noted that the studies in the literature that achieved 100% results such as [19,39,44,51,66,81,91,101] suffer from several limitations.
Ekşi et al. [39] developed an ANN model to differentiate between low-grade brain tumors and MS lesions. The study excluded brain tumors such as oligoastrocytoma and gliomatosis cerebri that have high association with MS [108]. Furthermore, the sample size of the dataset is small. Sarbaz et al. [17] performed diagnosis using videos collected from participants while walking and used the infrared marker on their forehead to monitor their balance. The study achieved significant results but might suffer from overfitting due to the small dataset. Dorado et al. conducted two studies for the diagnosis of MS. In the first study [66], they used multifocal ERG data for the diagnosis using a sample of 21 patients. In addition to the small dataset, the samples were skewed toward MS. In the second study, Dorado et al. [101] used OCT data for analyzing the retinal changes for the diagnosis of MS. A sample of 96 patients was used to train the CNN model. Data augmentation was performed as the CNN model requires a huge dataset to adequately train the model. Despite the significant results achieved with the proposed CNN model, data augmentation sometimes leads to model overfitting. Both studies achieved specificity of 100% but suffer from using a small dataset and excluding all patient samples with other ocular diseases. Similarly, Azarmi et al. [51] achieved specificity of 100% but the number of patients in the study was 20 individuals from a hospital in Iran. The study used the patients’ fMRI data and used an SVM model for classification.
Furthermore, Soltani et al. [80] achieved significant results with accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity above 99%, using a CNN model. The study was performed on a 72-patient sample. In addition to the significant results, the study also contains the benefit that the proposed model can also work well with blurred MRI scans. Similar results were achieved by Alijamaat et al. [88] using a dataset of 58 patients. However, they performed some preprocessing using HWT. Both previously mentioned studies utilized MRI scans from the eHealth lab dataset and used a DL model, but although the models produced considerable results but due to the small size of the dataset, the models are not robust.
Compared with the other studies that produced 100% results, Lötsch et al. [19] used the largest dataset of 403 patients. However, the study used an invasive method for the diagnosis, and the authors needed to focus on the biomarkers that can be used for early diagnosis of MS. Merzoug et al. [44] achieved sensitivity of 100% and accuracy of 99.8% using SVM and AIS techniques. However, the main limitation of the study is that it did not contain any information about the dataset size or the distribution of MRI scan per category.
Similarly, in most of the previous studies that used MRI for the diagnosis of MS, the proposed models classified the patient sample with MS versus healthy controls [49,51,52,55,82,83,84,85,91,97,98], and the discrimination between these two classes is relatively simple. However, there is a need to devise a model that discriminates among MS and other diseases that are similar on MRI scan like brain tumors. Both diseases contain white matter in brain MRI, and this similarity sometimes might lead to the wrong diagnosis by physicians. Therefore, a model that can discriminate among these highly similar diseases will help physicians in their diagnosis. In the literature, a study performed by Siar and Teshnehlab [81] proposed a CNN model that discriminate among the two tumors and MS. The study achieved significant results, but the limitation of the study was that the dataset was not large. Additionally, Casino et al. [74] proposed a model that could discriminate between MS and ADHA. The diseases share similarities, and therefore, it is significant to develop a model that can discriminate between them. Another significance of this study was that most of the previous studies focused on the adult patient sample, whereas these authors focused on children using the mRNA expression data.
Macin et al. [52] achieved very high sensitivity but the study used manual feature extraction. Moreover, a KNN model was used, which is a lazy learner that requires high testing time and high space. Similarly, Deshpande et al. [55] also achieved the high sensitivity but PCA feature extraction has been used that can’t handle the nonlinear data. Furthermore, Acar et al. [85] used a very small dataset, and their model could not be generalized. Additionally, Ye et al. [94] suffers from imbalance along with the small dataset.
Wang and Lima [82] used multiple augmentation techniques to better train the model. However, due to extensive augmentation, the model might have suffered from overfitting; augmentation techniques generate synthetic data. Shmueli et al. [96] also utilized data augmentation with many fewer patients; in addition, the study used a single center data, while Rosa et al. [95] utilized multicenter data. However, that study performed manual segmentation.
Age is identified as one of the significant factors for the diagnosis of MS because age brings changes in the brain [91]. The studies that merely used MRI did not consider this factor. Therefore, there is a need to integrate different data modalities such as MRI, OCT, clinical, and textual.
In addition to the diagnosis, there are some studies that perform prognosis or discriminate among the different types of MS such as RRMS, PPMS, and SPMS. Cattani et al. [106] achieved accuracy of 99.78 for classifying different types of MS, but that study suffers from huge imbalance. Zurita et al. [54] proposed a classification model for RRMS patients. The performance of the model was not significant for patients with different levels of disability. In term of ML algorithms used for MS diagnosis, SVM is the most widely used, followed by RF. However, the best-performing algorithm is RF. As for DL algorithms, the most frequently used algorithm with the best performance is CNN.
Moreover, most of the studies utilized datasets that consisted of MRI scans, although several studies depended on clinical data to diagnose the disease. The used dataset sizes ranged from 10 to 9390 instances. However, some of the studies did not mention the size of the dataset they used. Figure 2 contains a summary of the widely used ML and DL techniques in the previous studies. Figure 3 contains the taxonomy of the related studies using dataset size and accuracy (four studies did not specify the number of patients, and therefore, those studies are not included in the figure). The largest number of studies have datasets in the range of 41–100 or 221 and above. Furthermore, most of the studies with the dataset size 41–100 produce significant results.
Figure 2. Widely used ML and DL methods in the previous studies.
Figure 3. Taxonomy of studies based on dataset and accuracy.

3.1. Challenges

3.1.1. Identifying the Disease

MS is not a disease that can be identified easily as there are no tests, symptoms, or physical findings that can be used to accurately diagnose it. Multiple methods are used to support the diagnosis process including MRI scans, analyzing the patient’s medical history, blood tests, and spinal fluid analysis [12]. However, these methods are tedious, time-consuming, and prone to errors. There are, however, implications for AI in the disease diagnosis: specifically, the DL and ML models are promising techniques for accurately identifying MS [12,109]. These tools can be used to assist clinicians in their diagnosis.

3.1.2. Privacy and Confidentiality of the Patients’ Data

The sensitivity of the collected patients’ data raises several privacy and confidentiality concerns, as acquiring the data needed to build the models while protecting patients’ privacy is difficult. In addition, the patient’s identity may be susceptible to being revealed through the information accompanying the MR imaging data. In brain imaging, structural images may allow for the reconstruction of faces, thus exposing the patient’s identity. To solve these issues, face removal and scrambling can be employed. However, these techniques may affect the succeeding image analysis. Consequently, protecting patients’ privacy while collecting their information continues to be a major challenge that needs to be addressed appropriately [110].

3.1.3. Reliability of the Models

AI-based diagnosis systems may suffer from a certain degree of error and bias [111]. As a result, these models cannot be blindly trusted with their diagnosis results. This may stem from ill-trained models resulting from multiple factors including noisy data, unbalanced datasets, and biased data.

3.1.4. Issues in Collected Data: Size, Noise, Imbalance

In order to develop an automated MS diagnosis model, a large dataset is required to ensure the reliability of the developed model. However, obtaining a large dataset is not a simple task as evidenced by the small datasets used in most of the papers in Section 2. The difficulty of obtaining a large dataset stem from issues in finding participants suffering from MS and the amount of time it takes to collect the necessary data from each of them. Moreover, it is important to consider the possible differences between data collected for a study and data collected in real-world contexts, since real-world data tend to have some degree of contamination like missing values and measurement errors that are left untreated. This might limit the use of such models in real clinical settings [109]. In addition, the same patient may follow up with more than one clinician from different hospitals. Hence, the longitudinal follow up of the patients is lacking and eventually, important set of chronological data will be lost too.

3.1.5. Model Interpretation

Despite all efforts, it is still impossible to understand and explain neural network decisions. Future studies are required for explaining how DL algorithms perform their predictions. Scientists may also be able to discover and understand new pathophysiologic knowledge from AI models. Therefore, researchers are encouraged to interpret and explain the inferencing of their developed ML models. Kim [112] argues that transparent ML models can earn the trust of their users and thus encourage the adoption of autonomous systems in clinical settings.

3.2. Opportunities

3.2.1. More Secure Platforms

It is crucial to implement security solutions and policies that will help ensure the confidentiality and reliability of health care systems that collect patients’ data. Since these data may be private, it is important to protect it against data leakage.

3.2.2. New, Better Algorithms

There are relatively few studies regarding the use of AI-based techniques for MS diagnosis. This makes it a promising area for future research, where researchers can experiment with various algorithms to build models with higher performance. Moreover, the combination of CNN with other DL algorithms can be explored [80].

3.2.3. Prognosis

Machine learning is capable of predicting MS disease course on an individual level [109]. Numerous methods have been introduced in the field of MS prognosis. Nevertheless, no model succeeded in entering routine practice. The users of these models, such as neurologists, need to be more comfortable using them. Moreover, no study has developed models predicting the course of MS with performance reliable to use in clinics. Therefore, further research is encouraged in this area to reach the goal of clinically usable and reliable automated systems that predict the individual natural course of MS disease [15], especially the scarcely studied cognitive prognosis [109]. In addition to predicting the natural course of the disease, the simulation of treatment response can also be implemented to predict how the natural course of MS changes after taking disease modifying therapy [109].

3.2.4. Combine Multiple Data Types for Diagnosis

Several studies recommended incorporating multiple data types for more accurate diagnosis, such as combining OCT data with MRI, EP, or CSF [102]; combining clinical data with lesion loads and metabolic features [60]; combining clinical characteristics and multimodal imaging [40]; and incorporating features including neuroimaging measures and blood and genetic biomarkers [59].

3.2.5. Use of OCT Data

OCT data were only been used in a few studies and showed promising results, [61,62,63,101,102]. Palomar et al. [61] proved that RNFL thickness can be used as a biomarker for MS diagnosis since it attained precision higher than 95%. Furthermore, it is recommended to explore OCT parameters in a real clinical setting as they are usually obtained by specialized devices with good-quality scans that is not always possible in the real world [61,62].

3.2.6. Using Larger and Multicenter Data

Numerous studies suffer from limited data sizes [40,66,69,70,77,87,90]. In addition, many studies had access to data from only one center [40,62,70], which may introduce bias. Therefore, the use of larger and multicenter data is encouraged as it improves the reliability of the diagnostic models.

3.2.7. Commercialization

Earlier detection and better monitoring of MS through AI has proven to result in better clinical outcomes and, subsequently, improving the health care system and quality of life of MS patients. The commercialization of the most accurate and cost-effective AI platforms along with utilizing the advances in data collection technologies will revolutionize the way clinicians deal with their patients providing a platform for precision-based medicine.

4. Conclusions

This paper attempted to provide a comprehensive review of the previous contributions achieved by researchers in the automated diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. Employing AI solutions and utilizing ML algorithms in the medical field has enhanced the medical applications for MS diagnosis. In this paper, we identified several ML methods used for MS diagnosis and discovered that the most used techniques were SVM, followed by RF and CNN. Moreover, we discussed the challenges and opportunities for diagnosing MS to find areas where researchers and practitioners can improve their approaches.
All research opportunities identified in this research can be explored in the future. However, the current authors’ perspective aims for more understanding of MS in different contexts. That is, ML algorithms will be used for the diagnosis and prognosis of the disease using real datasets. These may be demographic, clinical, and lab or machine data (radiology, patient monitoring data, etc.). Moreover, new features will be explored to identify potential predictors.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A., S.B.; methodology, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A.; formal analysis, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A.; investigation, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A., K.A.G.; resources, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A.; data curation, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A.; writing—original draft preparation, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A.; writing—review and editing, I.U.K., N.A., S.S.A., S.B., K.A.G.; visualization, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A., K.A.G.; supervision, I.U.K., N.A.; project administration, I.U.K., N.A.; funding acquisition, I.U.K., N.A., A.B., F.A.A., M.A., N.M.A., R.K.A., S.S.A., S.B., K.A.G. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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