4.1. Localization of a Single Source
In this study, we investigated the changes in estimation accuracy due to distance, the changes in estimation accuracy due to the transmission power of the source, the effectiveness of the proposed method against these factors, and the impact of considering edge diffraction around buildings.
When the horizontal distance from the HAPS to the source was within 60 km, the estimation error was within 1 km for almost all sources. On the other hand, in cases where the distance exceeded 80 km, significant degradation in accuracy was observed. This is likely because the direct wave could not reach the receiver, and the radio waves that arrived after multiple reflections were buried in noise power. Furthermore, when the distance was 100 km, the estimation error was within 1 km in less than 10% of the cases. This is because the elevation angle becomes nearly horizontal, causing deviations in height estimation to significantly affect horizontal distance estimation. Additionally, compared to localization over shorter distances, angle estimation errors have a greater impact on horizontal distance errors over longer distances.
When the transmission power of the source was reduced, a slight decrease in estimation accuracy was observed. On the other hand, adjusting the element panel’s tilt to modify the directivity improved the estimation accuracy. This is likely because the SNR of the signal increased. In the original element arrangement, radio waves from sources located downward were not sufficiently received, indicating that modifying the element arrangement is important.
When considering edge diffraction, no significant difference in estimation accuracy was observed at 5 km. However, at 20 km, a degradation in accuracy was confirmed. This is likely because considering edge diffraction increases the number of arriving radio waves. However, when the elevation angle is large, the variation in the angle of arrival is not significant, so the impact on accuracy is considered minimal. Additionally, even when direct or reflected waves do not reach the receiver, considering edge diffraction increases the likelihood of receiving an arriving wave, thereby improving the detection percentage.
4.2. Localization of Multiple Sources
Localization simulations were performed to investigate the differences in estimation accuracy depending on the number of sources, changes in estimation accuracy when the element spacing was varied, and mobile terminal estimation assuming a cell deployment by base stations.
As the number of sources increased, the accuracy worsened. In the MUSIC method, the direction of arrival is estimated using eigenvectors derived from the signal correlation matrix. Since an antenna array with 196 elements was used in this simulation, the number of eigenvectors available for direction estimation was reduced by the number of sources. As the number of sources increases, the number of available eigenvectors decreases, leading to a reduction in estimation accuracy. However, although the evaluation results appear to show a significant difference based on the number of sources, the cumulative distribution results do not reveal a substantial difference. This is likely due to the angle resolution. As shown in
Figure 14, as the number of sources increases, the sharpness of the peaks decreases. As a result, when sources are closely spaced, the peaks overlap, and only a single peak may appear where two sources actually exist. Consequently, a small peak elsewhere may be incorrectly selected, leading to large errors, particularly when there are many sources.
To address this, we attempted to improve the angle resolution by increasing the element spacing. The evaluation results confirmed an improvement in the estimation accuracy. The cumulative distribution results also showed a reduction in poor accuracy cases. Increasing the element spacing increases the aperture length of the antenna, improving the angle resolution. As shown in
Figure 15, increasing the element spacing improves the angle resolution. It was also confirmed that increasing the element spacing enables high estimation accuracy even when the number of sources is large.
However, increasing the element spacing causes grating lobes (aliasing of peaks), as observed in
Figure 15. Although no significant degradation in accuracy was observed in this simulation, it is possible that differences in source power could have an impact. Furthermore, changing the element spacing is not as easy as tilting the element plate.
Therefore, we performed similar simulations by incorporating the directivity of each element into the steering vector. The estimation accuracy was improved similarly to when the element spacing was increased. Although the mean error worsened, this is likely because, in cases where estimation failed, the error was larger than in other scenarios. Additionally, two differences from the spectrum without directivity consideration were observed. First, the peak values corresponding to each source were nearly equal. Since the MUSIC method generates the spectrum using eigenvectors from the noise subspace, peak values are not affected by the source power. This suggests that incorporating directivity enables the pure noise components to be effectively used for direction estimation. Second, the peaks were sharper. In the spectrum without directivity consideration, the peaks were rounded. This is also likely due to the pure utilization of noise components. These results suggest that directivity should be considered. However, incorporating directivity requires real-time calculation of steering vectors that reflect the frequently changing element directivity. Although differences were observed in the spectrum, the evaluation results did not show a significant difference compared to varying element spacing. Therefore, it is necessary to verify the superiority of each method through experiments.
In the location estimation scenario assuming mobile terminal localization, where a total of 10 transmitters with the same frequency and power were deployed, one per cell, better results were obtained for larger cell sizes, as shown in
Table 10. The reason for this is that, as previously mentioned, the smaller the cell size, the more likely the transmitters are to be located close to each other. Even in the absence of buildings, the estimation probability does not reach 100%, which is also attributed to the close proximity of the transmitters. Furthermore, the estimation accuracy for a cell size of 6 km per side was better than that for 10 km. This is because close-proximity situations occur less frequently, and the positioning error due to distance becomes a dominant factor.
From the cumulative distribution, when the cell size is small (particularly when the cell side length is 1 km), peak overlap occurs, making it difficult to accurately detect individual peaks.
When the element spacing was increased for localization in the case where the cell size was 1 km per side, the estimation results improved. As shown in
Figure 24, it was confirmed that the resolution improvement allowed for better peak identification. The estimation probability also improved due to the influence of angular resolution. However, several cases were observed where the positioning error increased significantly. Specifically, when transmitters were in extremely close proximity, even if the number of transmitters was correctly estimated using the AIC method, the accuracy of angular resolution might not be sufficient to distinguish the peaks. When this phenomenon occurs, positioning accuracy deteriorates significantly, leading to cases where the positioning error becomes large.