Incidence and Mortality Risks of Cancer in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study in Shanghai, China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Study Population
2.2. Statistical Analyses
2.3. Ethics Statement
3. Results
3.1. Basic Characteristics and Follow-Up Time
3.2. Incidence Rates of Cancer and Mortality in Male and Female Patients
3.3. Standard Incidence Ratio of Cancer
3.4. Standard Incidence Ratio of Mortality
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Characteristics | Male n = 6488 | Female n = 5788 | p |
---|---|---|---|
Age, year | 60.2 (18.0) | 61.9 (17.0) | <0.0001 |
Duration of diabetes, years | 4.6 (9.3) | 6.3 (9.5) | <0.0001 |
Smoking exposure, no. (%) | 2615 (40.3) | 113 (2.0) | <0.0001 |
Diabetic family history, no. (%) | 2399 (37.0) | 2270 (39.2) | 0.008 |
SBP, mmHg | 130.0 (25.0) | 140.0 (30.0) | <0.0001 |
BMI, kg/m2 | 24.2 (4.0) | 24.1 (4.7) | 0.332 |
HbA1c, % | 7.7 (3.1) | 7.4 (2.5) | <0.0001 |
Microvascular complication, no. (%) | 1218 (18.8) | 1107 (19.1) | 0.619 |
Macrovascular complication, no. (%) | 821 (12.7) | 770 (13.3) | 0.333 |
Characteristics | Patients Number (%) | Person Years | Median Years of Follow-Up Time (Mean) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male | 6488 (52.9) | 29,294.3 | 4.2 (4.7) |
Female | 5788 (47.1) | 26,261.1 | 4.2 (4.6) | |
Age at baseline, years (Mean ± SD: 60.7 ± 12.4) | <45 | 1105 (9.0) | 5163.8 | 4.3 (4.4) |
45–54 | 2661 (21.7) | 12,283.7 | 4.3 (4.6) | |
55–64 | 3657 (29.8) | 16,062.3 | 4.0 (4.4) | |
65–74 | 3178 (25.9) | 14,652.9 | 4.4 (3.7) | |
≥75 | 1675 (13.6) | 7292.8 | 4.0 (3.8) | |
Period of enrollment | 2001–2005 | 5207 (42.4) | 23,651.9 | 4.3 (4.5) |
2006–2010 | 7069 (57.6) | 31,803.5 | 4.1 (4.5) | |
Diabetic duration at baseline, years (Median, IQR: 5.4, 9.4) | <1.0 | 2873 (23.4) | 13,033.6 | 4.2 (4.5) |
1.0–4.9 | 2906 (23.7) | 13,189.0 | 4.2 (4.5) | |
5.0–9.9 | 2833 (23.1) | 12,841.7 | 4.2 (4.5) | |
≥10.0 | 3664 (29.8) | 16,391.2 | 4.2 (4.5) |
Outcomes | Total | Male | Female | χ2 Test | Cox Analyze (Male vs. Female) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Cases | Incidence Rate/105 Person-Year | Number of Case | Incidence Rate/105 Person-Year | Number of Case | Incidence Rate/105 Person-Year | p | HR (95% CI) | Adjusted HR * (95% CI) | |
Cancer | |||||||||
Overall cancer | 404 | 728.5 | 226 | 774.1 | 178 | 677.8 | 0.206 | 0.87 (0.72–1.06) | 1.00 (0.78–1.28) |
Lung cancer | 63 | 113.6 | 31 | 106.2 | 32 | 121.9 | 0.574 | 1.14 (0.70–1.87) | 1.26 (0.66–2.39) |
Colorectal Cancer | 50 | 90.2 | 34 | 116.5 | 16 | 60.9 | 0.031 | 0.52 (0.29–0.94) | 0.63 (0.31–1.24) |
Gastric cancer | 50 | 90.2 | 32 | 109.6 | 18 | 68.5 | 0.112 | 0.62 (0.35–1.10) | 0.63 (0.32–1.25) |
Liver cancer | 37 | 66.7 | 28 | 95.9 | 9 | 34.3 | 0.005 | 0.36 (0.17–0.75) | 0.57 (0.24–1.37) |
Pancreatic cancer | 31 | 55.9 | 15 | 51.4 | 16 | 60.9 | 0.627 | 1.18 (0.58–2.39) | 1.66 (0.66–4.19) |
Prostate cancer (men) | - | - | 19 | 65.1 | - | - | - | - | - |
Breast cancer (women) | - | - | - | - | 28 | 106.6 | - | - | - |
Mortality | |||||||||
All-cause mortality | 779 | 1402.2 | 411 | 1426.9 | 368 | 1399.4 | 0.958 | 1.00 (0.86–1.15) | 1.04 (0.85–1.27) |
Death from cancer | 196 | 352.8 | 113 | 386.2 | 83 | 315.6 | 0.175 | 0.82 (0.61–1.08) | 0.95 (0.66–1.36) |
Lung cancer | 47 | 84.6 | 24 | 82.0 | 23 | 87.5 | 0.427 | 1.06 (0.60–1.88) | 0.89 (0.44–1.79) |
Colorectal Cancer | 16 | 28.8 | 11 | 37.6 | 5 | 19.0 | 0.566 | 0.46 (0.16–1.31) | 0.43 (0.13–1.47) |
Gastric cancer | 23 | 41.4 | 15 | 51.3 | 8 | 30.4 | 0.591 | 0.59 (0.25–1.39) | 0.62 (0.23–1.71) |
Liver cancer | 26 | 46.8 | 20 | 68.4 | 6 | 22.8 | 0.792 | 0.33 (0.13–0.83) | 0.62 (0.21–1.83) |
Pancreatic cancer | 27 | 48.6 | 12 | 41.0 | 15 | 57.0 | 0.252 | 1.38 (0.65–2.96) | 1.58 (0.61–4.07) |
Prostate cancer (men) | - | - | 4 | 13.7 | - | - | - | - | - |
Breast cancer (women) | - | - | - | - | 2 | 7.6 | - | - | - |
Cancer Type | Male | Female | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Obs | Exp | SIR (95% CI) | Obs | Exp | SIR (95% CI) | |
Overall cancer | 226 | 71.90 | 3.14 (2.73–3.56) | 178 | 41.49 | 4.29 (3.64–4.94) |
Lung cancer | 31 | 17.84 | 1.74 (1.13–2.34) | 32 | 5.60 | 5.71 (3.74–7.69) |
Colorectal Cancer | 34 | 8.66 | 3.93 (2.61–5.24) | 16 | 6.25 | 2.56 (1.30–3.81) |
Gastric cancer | 32 | 10.21 | 3.13 (2.06–4.21) | 18 | 4.30 | 4.19 (2.25–6.13) |
Liver cancer | 28 | 7.26 | 3.86 (2.43–5.29) | 9 | 2.53 | 3.56 (1.15–5.97) |
Pancreatic cancer | 15 | 2.75 | 5.46 (2.69–8.22) | 16 | 1.78 | 9.00 (4.59–13.41) |
Prostate cancer | 19 | 3.47 | 5.38 (3.01–7.05) | - | - | - |
Breast cancer | - | - | - | 28 | 6.08 | 4.60 (2.90–6.31) |
Cause of Mortality | Male | Female | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Obs | Exp | SMR (95% CI) | Obs | Exp | SMR (95% CI) | |
All-cause mortality | 411 | 218.17 | 1.88 (1.70–2.07) | 368 | 225.87 | 3.57 (2.78–4.35) |
Cancer mortality | 113 | 49.82 | 2.27 (1.86–2.68) | 83 | 23.26 | 1.86 (1.46–2.26) |
Lung cancer | 24 | 15.79 | 1.52 (0.91–2.13) | 23 | 4.70 | 4.90 (2.90–6.90) |
Colorectal Cancer | 11 | 4.76 | 2.31 (0.95–3.67) | 5 | 2.82 | 1.77 (0.22–3.32) |
Gastric cancer | 15 | 7.00 | 2.14 (1.06–3.22) | 8 | 2.72 | 2.95 (0.91–4.99) |
Liver cancer | 20 | 6.10 | 3.28 (1.85–4.71) | 6 | 2.12 | 2.83 (0.57–5.10) |
Pancreatic cancer | 12 | 2.76 | 4.35 (1.88–6.82) | 15 | 1.93 | 7.76 (3.83–11.69) |
Prostate cancer | 4 | 1.38 | 2.90 (0.06–5.74) | - | - | - |
Breast cancer | - | - | - | 2 | 1.53 | 1.31 (0.00–3.12) |
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Gu, Y.; Hou, X.; Zheng, Y.; Wang, C.; Zhang, L.; Li, J.; Huang, Z.; Han, M.; Bao, Y.; Zhong, W.; et al. Incidence and Mortality Risks of Cancer in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study in Shanghai, China. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2016, 13, 559. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13060559
Gu Y, Hou X, Zheng Y, Wang C, Zhang L, Li J, Huang Z, Han M, Bao Y, Zhong W, et al. Incidence and Mortality Risks of Cancer in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study in Shanghai, China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2016; 13(6):559. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13060559
Chicago/Turabian StyleGu, Yunjuan, Xuhong Hou, Ying Zheng, Chunfang Wang, Lei Zhang, Jie Li, Zhezhou Huang, Ming Han, Yuqian Bao, Weijian Zhong, and et al. 2016. "Incidence and Mortality Risks of Cancer in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study in Shanghai, China" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 13, no. 6: 559. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13060559
APA StyleGu, Y., Hou, X., Zheng, Y., Wang, C., Zhang, L., Li, J., Huang, Z., Han, M., Bao, Y., Zhong, W., Jia, W., & Cui, S. (2016). Incidence and Mortality Risks of Cancer in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study in Shanghai, China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13(6), 559. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph13060559