Trends in Suicide Mortality by Method from 1979 to 2016 in Japan
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Characterize the trends in and risk factors for suicide in Japan
- Assess the role of aging in the increase in suicide rates in 1998
- Identify the magnitude of the increase in 1998 and the extent to which it is driven by changes in method
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
Trends in and Risk Factors for Suicide in Japan
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variables | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|
Men | |||
Year | 1.013 | (1.006–1.021) | <0.01 |
1998 increase | 1.367 | (1.163–1.608) | <0.01 |
Women | |||
Year | 1.013 | (1.008–1.018) | <0.01 |
1998 increase | 1.219 | (1.092–1.359) | <0.01 |
Suicide Category | Before 1998 | After 1998 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
IRR | 95% CI | IRR | 95% CI | |
Men | ||||
Age 15–29 | ||||
Hanging | 0.989 | (0.986–0.991) | 1.012 | (1.010–1.015) |
Gas | 0.901 | (0.897–0.906) | 1.075 | (1.070–1.080) |
Drowning | 0.961 | (0.951–0.970) | 0.981 | (0.967–0.995) |
Poisoning | 0.950 | (0.942–0.959) | 0.955 | (0.944–0.966) |
Others | 0.988 | (0.985–0.991) | 0.981 | (0.977–0.985) |
Age 30–59 | ||||
Hanging | 0.998 | (0.997–1.000) | 0.975 | (0.974–0.976) |
Gas | 0.957 | (0.954–0.959) | 1.005 | (1.003–1.007) |
Drowning | 0.988 | (0.983–0.992) | 0.935 | (0.929–0.940) |
Poisoning | 0.962 | (0.959–0.966) | 0.942 | (0.938–0.947) |
Others | 0.993 | (0.991–0.995) | 0.962 | (0.960–0.964) |
Age 60–79 | ||||
Hanging | 0.987 | (0.985–0.988) | 0.971 | (0.970–0.972) |
Gas | 0.998 | (0.989–1.006) | 0.984 | (0.979–0.989) |
Drowning | 0.968 | (0.961–0.975) | 0.968 | (0.961–0.974) |
Poisoning | 0.985 | (0.980–0.990) | 0.915 | (0.909–0.921) |
Others | 1.001 | (0.997–1.005) | 0.966 | (0.963–0.969) |
Age 80+ | ||||
Hanging | 0.961 | (0.958–0.964) | 0.967 | (0.965–0.970) |
Gas | 0.896 | (0.864–0.930) | 1.015 | (0.990–1.041) |
Drowning | 0.921 | (0.907–0.934) | 0.955 | (0.940–0.970) |
Poisoning | 0.984 | (0.970–0.997) | 0.943 | (0.932–0.954) |
Others | 0.946 | (0.938–0.954) | 0.958 | (0.951–0.965) |
Women | ||||
Age 15–29 | ||||
Hanging | 0.989 | (0.984–0.993) | 1.015 | (1.012–1.019) |
Gas | 0.865 | (0.857–0.873) | 1.087 | (1.077–1.096) |
Drowning | 0.929 | (0.918–0.940) | 0.973 | (0.957–0.990) |
Poisoning | 0.950 | (0.941–0.959) | 0.993 | (0.983–1.002) |
Others | 0.996 | (0.993–1.000) | 0.971 | (0.966–0.975) |
Age 30–59 | ||||
Hanging | 0.988 | (0.986–0.990) | 1.001 | (0.999–1.003) |
Gas | 0.905 | (0.899–0.911) | 1.038 | (1.033 –1.043) |
Drowning | 0.976 | (0.971–0.980) | 0.935 | (0.929–0.941) |
Poisoning | 0.959 | (0.954–0.963) | 0.976 | (0.971–0.982) |
Others | 1.005 | (1.002–1.008) | 0.979 | (0.977–0.982) |
Age 60–79 | ||||
Hanging | 0.965 | (0.963–0.967) | 0.974 | (0.973–0.976) |
Gas | 0.883 | (0.870–0.897) | 1.017 | (1.005–1.030) |
Drowning | 0.949 | (0.944–0.953) | 0.964 | (0.959–0.969) |
Poisoning | 0.983 | (0.978–0.988) | 0.924 | (0.918–0.930) |
Others | 0.993 | (0.989–0.998) | 0.976 | (0.972–0.980) |
Age 80+ | ||||
Hanging | 0.962 | (0.959–0.965) | 0.944 | (0.942–0.947) |
Gas | 0.884 | (0.845–0.924) | 1.002 | (0.965–1.040) |
Drowning | 0.941 | (0.934–0.948) | 0.923 | (0.914–0.931) |
Poisoning | 1.004 | (0.992–1.016) | 0.928 | (0.918–0.938) |
Others | 0.969 | (0.959–0.979) | 0.952 | (0.943–0.960) |
Suicide Category | IRR | 95% CI | Percent Change | 95% CI |
---|---|---|---|---|
Men | ||||
Age 15–29 | ||||
Hanging | 1.154 | (1.083–1.229) | 15.4 | (8.3–22.9) |
Gas | 0.099 | (0.087–0.113) | −90.1 | (−91.3–−88.7) |
Drowning | 0.711 | (0.485–1.042) | −28.9 | (−51.5–−4.2) |
Poisoning | 1.725 | (1.279–2.325) | 72.5 | (27.9–132.5) |
Others | 1.268 | (1.144–1.405) | 26.8 | (14.4–40.5) |
Age 30–59 | ||||
Hanging | 2.957 | (2.875–3.042) | 195.7 | (187.5–204.2) |
Gas | 1.004 | (0.945–1.067) | 0.4 | (−5.5–6.7) |
Drowning | 3.310 | (2.826–3.877) | 231.0 | (182.6–287.7) |
Poisoning | 1.811 | (1.583–2.072) | 81.1 | (58.3–107.2) |
Others | 2.301 | (2.170–2.439) | 130.1 | (117.0–143.9) |
Age 60–79 | ||||
Hanging | 2.221 | (2.136–2.309) | 122.1 | (113.6–130.9) |
Gas | 2.891 | (2.463–3.393) | 189.1 | (146.3–239.3) |
Drowning | 1.308 | (1.071–1.597) | 30.8 | (7.1–59.7) |
Poisoning | 3.911 | (3.289–4.650) | 291.1 | (228.9–365.0) |
Others | 2.384 | (2.167–2.622) | 138.4 | (116.7–162.2) |
Age 80+ | ||||
Hanging | 1.109 | (1.021–1.203) | 10.9 | (2.1–20.3) |
Gas | 0.238 | (0.108–0.526) | −76.2 | (−89.2–−47.4) |
Drowning | 0.607 | (0.388–0.951) | −39.3 | (−61.2–−4.9) |
Poisoning | 2.267 | (1.604–3.204) | 126.7 | (60.4–220.4) |
Others | 0.987 | (0.783–1.245) | −1.3 | (−21.7–−24.5) |
Women | ||||
Age 15–29 | ||||
Hanging | 1.277 | (1.146–1.422) | 27.7 | (14.6–42.2) |
Gas | 0.044 | (0.034–0.058) | −95.6 | (−96.6–−94.2) |
Drowning | 0.627 | (0.397–0.988) | −37.3 | (−60.3–−1.2) |
Poisoning | 1.002 | (0.767–1.308) | 0.2 | (−23.3–30.8) |
Others | 1.804 | (1.586–2.052) | 80.4 | (58.6–105.2) |
Age 30–59 | ||||
Hanging | 1.132 | (1.071–1.196) | 13.2 | (7.1–19.5) |
Gas | 0.237 | (0.203–0.277) | −76.3 | (−79.7–−72.3) |
Drowning | 2.327 | (1.970–2.747) | 132.7 | (97.0–174.7) |
Poisoning | 0.836 | (0.713–0.980) | −16.4 | (−28.7–−2.0) |
Others | 1.748 | (1.613–1.894) | 74.8 | (61.3–89.4) |
Age 60–79 | ||||
Hanging | 1.079 | (1.021–1.140) | 7.9 | (2.1–14.0) |
Gas | 0.235 | (0.164–0.336) | −76.5 | (−83.6–−66.4) |
Drowning | 0.775 | (0.663–0.905) | −22.5 | (−33.7–−9.5) |
Poisoning | 2.750 | (2.288–3.304) | 175.0 | (128.8–230.4) |
Others | 1.456 | (1.292–1.642) | 45.6 | (29.2–64.2) |
Age 80+ | ||||
Hanging | 1.517 | (1.394–1.650) | 51.7 | (39.4–65.0) |
Gas | 0.191 | (0.060–0.608) | −80.9 | (−94.0–−39.2) |
Drowning | 1.195 | (0.920–1.552) | 19.5 | (−8.0–55.2) |
Poisoning | 3.494 | (2.552–4.783) | 249.4 | (155.2–378.3) |
Others | 1.376 | (1.056–1.794) | 37.6 | (5.6–79.4) |
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Dhungel, B.; Sugai, M.K.; Gilmour, S. Trends in Suicide Mortality by Method from 1979 to 2016 in Japan. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019, 16, 1794. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16101794
Dhungel B, Sugai MK, Gilmour S. Trends in Suicide Mortality by Method from 1979 to 2016 in Japan. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2019; 16(10):1794. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16101794
Chicago/Turabian StyleDhungel, Bibha, Maaya Kita Sugai, and Stuart Gilmour. 2019. "Trends in Suicide Mortality by Method from 1979 to 2016 in Japan" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16, no. 10: 1794. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16101794
APA StyleDhungel, B., Sugai, M. K., & Gilmour, S. (2019). Trends in Suicide Mortality by Method from 1979 to 2016 in Japan. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(10), 1794. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16101794